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Permintaan (Dt) At (rata-rata bergerak 2 periode)
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Hari
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Hari

Permintaan (Dt) At (rata-rata bergerak 2 periode)
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Permintaan (Dt) At (rata-rata bergerak 2 periode)
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75 .5 23.5 21.5 15 14.75 19.75 23.9 10 11 12 13 14 15 22 14 15 27 30 23 15 14.

3 12.7 24.7 19.3 10.3 0.7 -3.7 eror (Dt-Ft) 18 23 21.25 12 -11 -5.At (rata-rata bergerak 2 periode) eror (Dt-Ft) 14 23.5 At (rata-rata bergerak 2 periode) 15 -8.5 8 -10.0 9.0 26.5 9 -5.0 15.0 19.0 18.0 11.7 17.5 -5 -6 10 -1 -3 12.3 14.5 -10.5 eror (Dt-Ft) 19.5 -11.5 22 22.3 10.7 At (rata-rata bergerak 2 periode) -4.25 .0 -11.3 -12.7 24.5 21 28.5 26.5 18.3 -1.0 -1.0 -11.5 21 14 12 15 18 14.0 20.

5 14.25 10.5 23.5 -0.75 5.16.5 0 12.75 .5 21.5 -8.5 15 14.5 1.75 19.

7 24.7 19.3 -12.0 20.20.0 19.7 .0 9.7 24.7 -4.

7 .7 17.7 -3.0 26.7 19.0 15.3 12.7 22.7 24.7 24.19.3 -1.0 -1.0 11.0 18.0 15.3 10.0 19.0 26.0 18.7 17.0 -11.3 14.0 -11.3 12.3 14.3 10.3 0.

3 1042.0 -8.5 -11.3 64.0 110.3 81.2 .0 36.Hari 250 200 150 100 50 0 2000 2 -50 150 100 50 0 0 2 Permintaan (Dt) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Forecast 10 2 periode 18 29 14.5 5 6 10 14 1 3 12.0 3 periode 22 12.3 25.3 16 80.0 156.0 -3.5 Jumlah 252.5 -5.0 9.5 4 6 8 10 2 periode error Abs 15.0 10.5 30 22.5 105.5 Abs Square 30 21.0 -10.0 -5.0 15 18.5 8.1 225.0 100.0 error 12.5 11.5 16 21.5 8 10.0 Permintaan (Dt) Forecast 27 14.0 -6.0 72.0 12 -1.5 9 5.5 12 -50 Permintaan (Dt) Forecast Abs Square error Square 15 8.0 8 14.5 15 26.5 9.0 16 1.5 3.3 132.0 15 23.5 14 8.0 23 28.0 4 6 8 10 14 15.0 12 22.0 30.

0 -4.3 19.7 26.7 (Dt) Forecast 231.0 -4.3 -1.7 -12.3 10 12.3 10 17.1 error 868.4 100.Hari Permintaan (Dt) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 -20 Jumlah 0 Forecast 10 18 29 15 30 12 16 8 22 14 15 27 30 2 23 15 3 periode error Abs Square 4 19.4 9.7 24.1 100.3 18.4 1.0 8 1 10 11.0 128.0 11.0 10.9 Abs Square 7.7 0.0 6 -1.0 87.0 128.2 16.0 85.7 11.4 14 .4 72.1 160.3 -11.0 1.8 0.3 0.7 9.0 -3.7 Permintaan-11.0 11.3 14.3 15.7 3 19.0 1.3 20.3 12.012 136.3 4 24.0 4 periode 9.0 10.

5 18.9 7.0 14.5 -8.0 -5.5 0.5 14.0 12.3 18.5 1.3 0.0 23.6 769.8 5.5 -10.0 150.5 8.3 5.5 -0.5 21.8 Square 12 11 5.3 105.5 0 12.0 21.9 70.3 10.3 2.8 77.0 .5 0.5 15.5 1.3 76.5 23.5 10.3 0.3 16.3 10.1 30.0 -11.0 Hari 12 error 14 Permintaan (Dt) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 16 14 15 Forecast 10 18 29 15 30 12 16 8 22 14 15 27 30 23 15 18.0 121.3 5.1 110.8 19.1 144.8 206.0 30.8 4 periode error Abs 12.

83571 .83571 9 99 91.11429 rata2 total 87.55714 87. Pemulusan Eksponensial a.83571 rata-rata 88.83571 10 110 94 98 87.83571 3 120 96 102 87.83571 5 75 87 84 87.83571 8 85 89 88 87.83571 12 80 88 86 87.6 87.83571 14 50 82 74 87.83571 2 95 91 92 87.2.83571 6 60 84 78 87.83571 7 50 82 74 87. Simulasikan donat coklat dengan metode eksponensial Hari PermintaanAt1 At2 rata-rata total 1 80 88 86 87.83571 13 55 83 76 87.8 93.83571 4 110 94 98 87.83571 11 90 90 90 87.