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OH-Sen Basswood Research for Club for Growth (Dec. 2016) ---------- Forwarded message ---------- From: Doug

OH-Sen Basswood Research for Club for Growth (Dec. 2016)

---------- Forwarded message ---------- From: Doug Sachtleben

Polling was done by live callers by Basswood h4p://www.redseallc. com/

A statewide poll of 600 likely Republican primary voters conducted Dec. 11-12

Candidate

Favorable

Unfavorable

No Opinion

Never Heard Of

Josh Mandel

59

7

28

5

Pat Tiberi

16

5

29

49

Matt Huffman

8

3

27

61

Head-to-Head Matchups

Mandel – 60 Tiberi – 12 Undecided – 27

Mandel – 62 Huffman – 8

BASSWOOD RESEARCH

Undecided – 30

SURVEY OF OHIO REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

TABLE OF CONTENTS

TABLE #

TABLE TITLE

DECEMBER 13, 2016

----------------------------------------

Pg

1

1

Q1. -

AS YOU MAY KNOW, VERY FEW PEOPLE ACTUALLY VOTE IN PRIMARY ELECTIONS.

 

HOW OFTEN DO YOU VOTE IN REPUBLICAN PRIMARY ELECTIONS IN OHIO? WOULD

YOU SAY YOU ALWAYS VOTE, ALMOST ALWAYS VOTE, SOMETIMES VOTE, RARELY

VOTE, OR NEVER VOTE IN REPUBLICAN PRIMARY ELECTIONS IN OHIO?

 

- Total

600

- 82.7 ALWAYS

496

- 14.5 ALMOST ALWAYS

87

- 2.8 SOMETIMES

17

Pg

6

2

Q2. -

WITH WHICH POLITICAL PARTY ARE YOU AFFILIATED?

 

- Total

600

- 87.8 REPUBLICAN

527

- 12.2 INDEPENDENT/OTHER

73

Pg

10

3

Q3. -

IN WHICH PARTY'S PRIMARY ARE YOU MOST LIKELY TO VOTE, THE REPUBLICAN

 

OR THE DEMOCRAT?

 

- 73

Total

- 73 100.0 REPUBLICAN

Pg

14

4

Q4. -

IF YOU HAD TO LABEL YOURSELF, WOULD YOU SAY YOU ARE A LIBERAL, A

MODERATE, OR A CONSERVATIVE IN YOUR POLITICAL BELIEFS

- 600

Total

- 3.2 LIBERAL

19

- 23.2 MODERATE

139

- 70.5 CONSERAVTIVE

423

- Smwht Conservative

166

27.7

- Very Conservative

257

42.8

- 3.2 DK/REFUSED

19

Pg

54

6

Q6. -

WHAT ISSUE OR ACTION DO YOU MOST ASSOCIATE WITH JOSH MANDEL?

-

600

Total

-

50

8.3 OHIO STATE TREASURER

-

24

4.0 GOOD/LIKE/OKAY

-

21

3.5 GOOD JOB/RECORD

-

19

3.2 MILITARY/MARINE

-

12

2.0 HANDICAP SAVING ACCTS

-

11

1.8 HONEST/TRUSTWORTHY

-

11

1.8 CHECKBOOK TRANSPARENC

-

9

1.5 CONSERVATIVE/VERY

-

8

1.3 BUDGET

-

8

1.3 FISCAL RESPONSIBILITY

-

7

1.2 2018 SENATE CANDIDATE

-

7

1.2

TV ADS

-

6

1.0 GOOD VIEWS/POSITION

-

5

0.8 HEARD OF/KNOW NAME

-

5

0.8

JOBS

-

5

0.8 HEARD NEGATIVES

-

4

0.7 REPUBLICAN

-

3

0.5 FOR THE PEOPLE/AREA

-

3

0.5 HARD WORKER/TRY HARD

-

3

0.5 RUNNING VS BROWN

-

3

0.5 ECONOMY

-

3

0.5 JUST DON'T LIKE

-

3

0.5 INEFFECTIV/DO NOTHING

-

3

0.5 AGE/YOUNG

-

3

0.5 CRONYISM

-

2

0.3

NEW

-

2

0.3 ABORTION STAND

-

2

0.3 "POWER TO THE PEOPLE"

-

2

0.3 HEARD GOOD THINGS

-

2

0.3 RADICAL

-

2

0.3 DISAGREE WITH VIEWS

-

1

0.2 QUALIFIED

-

1

0.2 WASTEFUL SPENDING

-

1

0.2 TAXES

-

1

0.2 DISHONEST/DONT TRUST

-

1

0.2 WISHY WASHY

-

1

0.2 NOT ENOUGH EXPERIENCE

-

1

0.2 IMMIGRATION STAND

-

1

0.2 STATE PENSION PLAN

-

1

0.2 CITIES GIVE BUDGETS

-

1

0.2 SWITCHED PARTIES

-

1

0.2 LOCAL APPEARANCES

-

1

0.2 PEOPLE PERSON

-

1

0.2 LOST 2016 SENATE RACE

-

1

0.2 SELF SERVING

-

1

0.2 OIL PIPELINE

-

1

0.2

UP AND COMING

-

1

0.2 ATTENDED TRUMP RALLY

-

1

0.2 WHINER

-

334

55.7 DON'T KNOW

Pg

84

7

Q7. -

WHAT ISSUE OR ACTION DO YOU MOST ASSOCIATE WITH PAT TIBERI?

-

600

Total

-

9

1.5 CONGRESSMAN

-

7

1.2 GOOD/LIKE/OKAY

-

6

1.0 REPUBLICAN/PARTY LINE

-

5

0.8 GOOD JOB/RECORD

-

5

0.8 JUST DON'T LIKE

-

4

0.7 CONSERVATIVE/VERY

-

4

0.7 AROUND/IN LONG

-

4

0.7 SELF SERVING

-

3

0.5 HEARD OF/KNOW NAME

-

3

0.5

JOBS

-

2

0.3 FOR THE PEOPLE/AREA

-

2

0.3 POOR JOB IN CONGRESS

-

2

0.3 PEOPLE PERSON

-

2

0.3 FAMILY MAN/VALUES

-

2

0.3 LEGISLATION

-

2

0.3 RELIABLE/DEPENDABLE

-

1

0.2 HONEST/SINCERE

-

1

0.2 GOOD VIEWS/POSITION

-

1

0.2 KNOW PERSONALLY

-

1

0.2 ENVIRONMENT/EPA

-

1

0.2 POLITICIAN

-

1

0.2 TAXES

-

1

0.2 ABORTION STAND

Pg 104

8

- 0.2 R.I.N.O.

1

- 0.2 HEARD GOOD THINGS

1

- 0.2 FROM COLUMBUS

1

- 1

0.2 MODERATE

- 1

0.2 KINDNESS

- 0.2 AUTO INDUSTRY

1

- 0.2 STATUS QUO

1

- 0.2 FISCAL RESPONSIBILITY

1

- 0.2 INCUMBENT

1

- 0.2 OHIO GOVERNMENT

1

-

1

0.2

TOO LAID BACK

- 0.2 CHRISTIAN

1

- 1

0.2

JERK

- 518

86.3

DON'T KNOW

Q8. -

IN GENERAL, ARE YOU MOST INTERESTED IN ECONOMIC ISSUES LIKE JOBS AND

UNEMPLOYMENT; FOREIGN AFFAIRS ISSUES LIKE NATIONAL DEFENSE AND

TERRORISM; DOMESTIC ISSUES LIKE EDUCATION, HEALTH CARE, AND THE

ENVIRONMENT; FINANCIAL ISSUES LIKE TAXES, SPENDING, AND THE BUDGET;

OR MORAL ISSUES LIKE RIGHT TO LIFE AND TRADITIONAL MARRIAGE?

- 600

Total

- 218

36.3 ECONOMIC

- 107

17.8 MORAL

- 14.0 FOREIGN AFFAIRS

84

- 81

13.5 FINANCIAL

- 74

12.3 DOMESTIC

- 6.0 DK/REFUSED

36

Pg 114

9

Q9. -

WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING WOULD YOU SAY MOST WORRIES YOU ABOUT THE

 

FUTURE OF AMERICA?

1. ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION

2. THE NATIONAL DEBT

3. THE FUTURE OF THE SUPREME COURT

4. THE SPREADING THREAT OF TERRORISM AND WAR

5. A WEAK ECONOMY WITH TOO FEW ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES

 

- Total

600

- 23.7 TERRORISM/WAR

142

- 20.3 FUTURE/SUPREME COURT

122

- 18.2 NATIONAL DEBT

109

- 17.5 WEAK ECONOMY

105

- 14.3 ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION

86

- 6.0 DK/REFUSED

36

Pg 124

10

Q10. - PLEASE TELL ME WHETHER YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION

OF EACH OF THE FOLLOWING PEOPLE. IF YOU HAVE NO OPINION OR HAVE NEVER

HEARD OF THE PERSON, JUST SAY SO.

"DONALD TRUMP"

- Total

600

- 86.7 FAVORABLE

520

- Very Favorable

344

57.3

- Somewhat Favorable

176

29.3

- 9.8 UNFAVORABLE

59

- Somewhat Unfavorable

31

5.2

- Very Unfavorable

28

4.7

- 3.5 NO OPINION

21

Pg 134

11

Q11. - PLEASE TELL ME WHETHER YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION

 

OF EACH OF THE FOLLOWING PEOPLE. IF YOU HAVE NO OPINION OR HAVE NEVER

HEARD OF THE PERSON, JUST SAY SO.

"ROB PORTMAN"

- Total

600

- 80.2 FAVORABLE

481

- Very Favorable

235

39.2

- Somewhat Favorable

246

41.0

46

- 7.7 UNFAVORABLE

- Somewhat Unfavorable

32

5.3

- Very Unfavorable

14

2.3

- 11.0 NO OPINION

66

- 1.2

7

NEVER HEARD OF

Pg 154

13

Q13. - PLEASE TELL ME WHETHER YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION

OF EACH OF THE FOLLOWING PEOPLE. IF YOU HAVE NO OPINION OR HAVE NEVER

HEARD OF THE PERSON, JUST SAY SO.

"JOSH MANDEL"

- Total

600

- 59.5 FAVORABLE

357

- Very Favorable

139

23.2

- Somewhat Favorable

218

36.3

- 7.5 UNFAVORABLE

45

- Somewhat Unfavorable

31

5.2

- Very Unfavorable

14

2.3

Pg 164

14

- 169

-

29

28.2

4.8

NO OPINION

NEVER HEARD OF

Q14. - PLEASE TELL ME WHETHER YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION

OF EACH OF THE FOLLOWING PEOPLE. IF YOU HAVE NO OPINION OR HAVE NEVER

HEARD OF THE PERSON, JUST SAY SO.

"PAT TIBERI"

- Total

600

- 16.5 FAVORABLE

99

- Very Favorable

40

6.7

- Somewhat Favorable

59

9.8

- 5.2 UNFAVORABLE

31

- Somewhat Unfavorable

11

1.8

- Very Unfavorable

20

3.3

- 29.2 NO OPINION

175

- 49.2 NEVER HEARD OF

295

Pg 174

15

Q15. - PLEASE TELL ME WHETHER YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION

 

OF EACH OF THE FOLLOWING PEOPLE. IF YOU HAVE NO OPINION OR HAVE NEVER

HEARD OF THE PERSON, JUST SAY SO.

"MATT HUFFMAN"

 

-

600

Total

-

49

8.2 FAVORABLE

-

14

2.3

Very Favorable

-

35

5.8

Somewhat Favorable

-

19

3.2 UNFAVORABLE

-

9

1.5

Somewhat Unfavorable

-

10

1.7

Very Unfavorable

-

163

27.2 NO OPINION

-

369

61.5 NEVER HEARD OF

Pg 214

19

Q16. - IN GENERAL, DO YOU CONSIDER YOURSELF MORE OF A TRADITIONAL-TYPE

 

REPUBLICAN OR MORE OF A DONALDTRUMP-TYPE REPUBLICAN?

 

- Total

600

 

- 53.5 TRADITIONAL REPUB.

321

- 34.7 TRUMP REPUBLICAN

208

- 11.8 DK/REFUSED

71

Pg 224

21

Q18. - IN A REPUBLICAN PRIMARY ELECTION FOR U.S. SENATOR, IF THE CANDIDATES

WERE JOSH MANDEL AND PAT TIBERI, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE?

Pg 229

22

- Total

600

- 362

60.3 MANDEL

- 75

12.5 TIBERI

- 163

27.2 UNDECIDED

Q19. - IN A REPUBLICAN PRIMARY ELECTION FOR U.S. SENATOR, IF THE CANDIDATES

WERE JOSH MANDEL AND MATT HUFFMAN, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE?

- Total

600

- 61.7 MANDEL

370

- 8.0 HUFFMAN

48

- 30.3 UNDECIDED

182