BOSTON GLOBE POLL #26

MA 2010 GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

Prepared by:
Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D.

The Survey Center
University of New Hampshire
June 23, 2010

Contents
Technical Report.......................................................................... 1
Data Tables .................................................................................. 2

The Boston Globe Poll #26
MA 2012 Gubernatorial Election
Conducted by the UNH Survey Center
June, 2010

Technical Report

Field Period: June 17 to June 23, 2010
Hours: 10 a.m. to 9 p.m.
Median Completion Time: 16 minutes
Sample Size: 558 randomly selected Massachusetts adults (RDD)
497 randomly selected likely November, 2010 voters
Sampling Error: Full sample +/- 4.2%
Likely voters +/- 4.4%
Response Rate (AAPOR #4): 21%
The data have been weighted by the number of adults in a household and the number of telephone numbers at
which a household can be reached in order to equalize the chances of an individual MA adult being selected.
The data have also been weighted by the sex and race of the respondent and the region of the state based on
the American Community Survey conducted by the US Census.

1

Tabular Results

2

"First of all ... there are many problems facing the State of Massachusetts today. In general, what do you think is the most
IMPORTANT problem facing the State of Massachusetts today?" (PROBE: "Could you be more SPECIFIC or give me an
example?")
Taxes
8%

Jobs/
Economy
43%

State
Budget/
Spending
17%

Govt.
Corruption
6%

Education
6%

Health
Care
6%

Other
12%

Don't
Know
2%

(N=)
551

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

8%
9%

44%
43%

18%
17%

6%
1%

6%
6%

5%
7%

11%
13%

1%
5%

492
30

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

10%
3%
12%
12%

45%
47%
44%
38%

20%
19%
10%
17%

6%
3%
12%
9%

3%
9%
8%
7%

4%
5%
3%
8%

13%
13%
7%
7%

1%
1%
3%
3%

150
189
44
106

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

9%
6%
9%

46%
47%
33%

17%
16%
23%

3%
7%
9%

7%
6%
4%

5%
4%
4%

10%
11%
18%

2%
2%
1%

170
265
66

Democrat
Independent
Republican

6%
10%
10%

44%
42%
41%

19%
12%
20%

3%
10%
8%

10%
4%
3%

6%
8%
4%

12%
13%
12%

2%
1%
2%

247
139
155

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

15%
8%
2%

34%
41%
51%

19%
17%
19%

7%
7%
3%

1%
7%
10%

7%
7%
3%

15%
11%
10%

2%
2%
1%

146
157
205

Male
Female

11%
5%

41%
45%

20%
15%

7%
5%

2%
11%

4%
8%

14%
10%

2%
2%

262
289

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

10%
6%
7%
9%

35%
40%
51%
39%

18%
23%
14%
15%

0%
4%
6%
9%

8%
7%
5%
7%

9%
6%
5%
4%

14%
13%
10%
14%

6%
1%
0%
2%

75
121
207
140

White
African American
Other

7%
25%
4%

44%
38%
42%

18%
7%
15%

6%
4%
6%

6%
17%
3%

6%
3%
7%

11%
8%
22%

2%
0%
1%

481
24
34

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

4%
15%
7%

25%
41%
45%

28%
22%
16%

4%
1%
7%

8%
4%
7%

12%
7%
5%

18%
8%
12%

2%
2%
2%

40
61
445

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

16%
8%
6%
5%

34%
50%
47%
40%

11%
8%
21%
21%

9%
7%
3%
6%

7%
4%
6%
9%

8%
7%
6%
4%

13%
14%
10%
14%

2%
3%
2%
1%

92
101
198
154

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

15%
2%
11%
9%
8%

39%
52%
48%
44%
49%

10%
16%
13%
21%
15%

3%
4%
4%
7%
5%

4%
9%
5%
5%
5%

7%
8%
3%
5%
9%

16%
9%
11%
8%
7%

4%
1%
5%
2%
2%

34
68
35
68
86

Inside 128
5%
128 to 495
9%
Central MA
10%
Western MA
11%
Southern MA/Cape/Islands 4%

41%
43%
42%
49%
44%

19%
21%
13%
12%
16%

7%
4%
7%
9%
3%

5%
5%
4%
7%
15%

6%
6%
7%
2%
6%

15%
11%
13%
8%
11%

1%
0%
4%
2%
2%

143
160
104
69
75

ALL MA ADULTS

3

“Do you think things in Massachusetts are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?”
Right
Direction
40%

Wrong
Track
49%

Don't
Know
11%

(N=)
554

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

39%
35%

50%
59%

11%
6%

494
31

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

17%
73%
11%
24%

76%
16%
76%
63%

8%
11%
13%
13%

152
188
42
108

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

58%
33%
19%

32%
56%
72%

11%
11%
8%

171
263
66

Democrat
Independent
Republican

59%
31%
16%

28%
59%
75%

12%
10%
9%

250
140
154

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

15%
33%
65%

78%
54%
23%

7%
13%
12%

147
159
205

Male
Female

38%
42%

53%
46%

10%
13%

268
286

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

43%
40%
38%
42%

45%
47%
53%
46%

12%
14%
9%
12%

77
121
208
140

White
African American
Other

40%
44%
38%

50%
42%
43%

10%
14%
18%

480
28
34

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

50%
53%
37%

37%
37%
52%

13%
10%
11%

42
63
444

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

28%
31%
44%
49%

64%
60%
44%
37%

8%
10%
11%
14%

98
101
194
154

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

33%
45%
33%
45%
36%

54%
45%
49%
49%
55%

12%
10%
17%
7%
9%

36
68
34
67
85

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

43%
40%
31%
45%
40%

46%
49%
62%
42%
43%

10%
11%
6%
13%
17%

146
162
103
69
74

ALL MA ADULTS

4

“GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Deval Patrick is handling his job as governor?”

ALL MA ADULTS

Approve
42%

Neutral Disapprove
9%
49%

(N=)
549

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

41%
42%

8%
19%

51%
39%

493
29

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

12%
79%
17%
26%

6%
7%
1%
13%

82%
14%
83%
61%

152
190
43
106

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

59%
35%
16%

9%
9%
6%

32%
56%
78%

170
261
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

63%
29%
20%

11%
8%
6%

26%
63%
74%

249
136
154

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

16%
36%
66%

5%
10%
10%

79%
53%
24%

146
159
205

Male
Female

39%
45%

6%
12%

55%
42%

267
282

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

40%
33%
44%
47%

18%
12%
8%
5%

42%
55%
48%
48%

76
118
208
139

White
African American
Other

40%
72%
47%

10%
0%
7%

50%
28%
46%

479
28
31

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

58%
52%
39%

11%
9%
9%

31%
40%
52%

41
62
440

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

39%
39%
42%
46%

9%
10%
10%
9%

52%
51%
48%
45%

96
98
197
152

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

39%
48%
39%
36%
33%

4%
12%
9%
12%
6%

57%
40%
51%
52%
61%

35
67
35
68
84

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

48%
38%
34%
52%
39%

10%
10%
7%
8%
12%

43%
51%
59%
39%
49%

146
160
102
69
72

5

“And generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way the State Legislature is doing its job?”

ALL MA ADULTS

Approve
30%

Neutral Disapprove
16%
54%

(N=)
554

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

29%
38%

15%
13%

56%
49%

495
32

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

16%
45%
17%
27%

8%
16%
14%
21%

75%
39%
69%
52%

152
189
43
108

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

46%
23%
14%

12%
16%
11%

41%
61%
75%

172
264
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

46%
21%
12%

16%
15%
14%

38%
64%
74%

250
140
154

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

16%
32%
39%

14%
16%
15%

70%
52%
46%

147
161
204

Male
Female

22%
37%

15%
16%

63%
46%

268
286

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

35%
33%
26%
31%

23%
12%
15%
16%

42%
55%
59%
53%

79
120
208
139

White
African American
Other

29%
60%
25%

14%
27%
26%

56%
14%
49%

481
28
33

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

30%
43%
28%

21%
26%
14%

49%
31%
58%

42
62
444

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

36%
27%
31%
28%

16%
13%
19%
12%

48%
60%
49%
60%

95
102
197
153

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

33%
32%
29%
26%
33%

26%
14%
9%
15%
12%

40%
54%
61%
59%
55%

36
68
34
68
85

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

36%
29%
21%
37%
26%

12%
15%
17%
14%
25%

52%
56%
62%
49%
49%

147
160
102
70
75

6

“Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her to say. First, how about ... Governor Deval Patrick.”

ALL MA ADULTS

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable
43%
8%
45%

DK
4%

(N=)
558

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

44%
29%

7%
15%

47%
34%

2%
21%

497
32

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

10%
84%
19%
30%

9%
5%
2%
8%

78%
10%
79%
57%

3%
0%
0%
6%

152
190
44
108

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

61%
38%
15%

5%
9%
5%

30%
51%
75%

3%
2%
4%

172
266
66

Democrat
Independent
Republican

63%
34%
19%

7%
12%
6%

26%
52%
72%

4%
3%
4%

253
141
155

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

13%
38%
68%

8%
7%
7%

76%
48%
23%

2%
6%
3%

148
161
206

Male
Female

38%
48%

5%
10%

52%
39%

4%
4%

270
289

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

43%
41%
45%
44%

7%
6%
9%
8%

37%
51%
45%
43%

14%
3%
1%
5%

79
121
210
140

White
African American
Other

42%
70%
41%

7%
4%
17%

47%
18%
37%

4%
7%
5%

485
28
34

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

51%
61%
40%

9%
4%
8%

28%
32%
49%

13%
4%
3%

42
63
448

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

35%
40%
43%
52%

10%
9%
7%
5%

46%
47%
46%
41%

9%
4%
4%
2%

98
102
198
154

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

42%
46%
36%
38%
39%

10%
9%
8%
10%
2%

41%
41%
51%
49%
56%

7%
4%
5%
3%
3%

36
68
35
68
86

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

48%
47%
30%
46%
40%

10%
5%
9%
4%
8%

38%
45%
58%
45%
44%

3%
3%
4%
4%
8%

147
162
104
71
75

7

“Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her to say. First, how about ... State Treasurer Tim Cahill.”

ALL MA ADULTS

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable
21%
18%
30%

DK
31%

(N=)
558

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

22%
16%

18%
31%

32%
13%

29%
40%

497
32

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

23%
19%
44%
16%

10%
19%
18%
26%

40%
34%
20%
21%

28%
28%
18%
37%

152
190
44
108

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

24%
20%
20%

16%
21%
19%

35%
28%
35%

25%
31%
25%

172
266
66

Democrat
Independent
Republican

20%
17%
27%

17%
25%
13%

31%
30%
29%

31%
28%
32%

253
141
155

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

29%
17%
21%

13%
21%
19%

29%
27%
37%

29%
35%
23%

148
161
206

Male
Female

22%
20%

18%
18%

35%
24%

25%
38%

270
289

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

17%
23%
23%
20%

18%
20%
17%
18%

20%
27%
32%
33%

46%
30%
28%
29%

79
121
210
140

White
African American
Other

21%
13%
21%

19%
8%
13%

31%
25%
21%

29%
54%
45%

485
28
34

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

12%
17%
23%

32%
15%
17%

29%
24%
31%

27%
44%
29%

42
63
448

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

19%
20%
22%
22%

21%
10%
19%
20%

23%
36%
24%
37%

38%
34%
34%
21%

98
102
198
154

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

18%
22%
28%
20%
22%

24%
25%
2%
20%
13%

14%
20%
36%
40%
34%

44%
33%
34%
20%
31%

36
68
35
68
86

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

19%
25%
19%
24%
15%

19%
20%
21%
11%
13%

29%
31%
28%
29%
32%

33%
24%
32%
36%
40%

147
162
104
71
75

8

“Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her to say. First, how about ... Republican gubernatorial candidate Charlie
Baker.”

ALL MA ADULTS

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable
20%
16%
20%

DK
45%

(N=)
558

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

21%
7%

16%
13%

20%
9%

42%
70%

496
32

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

52%
5%
16%
9%

11%
16%
25%
19%

2%
38%
18%
15%

35%
40%
40%
57%

152
190
44
107

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

9%
24%
38%

12%
18%
21%

34%
14%
1%

44%
43%
40%

172
265
66

Democrat
Independent
Republican

9%
19%
36%

14%
18%
17%

31%
19%
3%

46%
43%
44%

252
141
155

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

39%
16%
11%

12%
20%
15%

6%
12%
39%

43%
53%
35%

148
160
206

Male
Female

24%
15%

18%
13%

18%
22%

40%
50%

270
288

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

11%
21%
21%
21%

15%
19%
15%
16%

18%
13%
21%
23%

56%
47%
43%
40%

79
121
209
140

White
African American
Other

21%
6%
11%

17%
0%
8%

19%
25%
26%

43%
69%
54%

484
28
34

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

15%
10%
22%

26%
13%
15%

14%
24%
20%

46%
53%
43%

42
63
447

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

11%
19%
19%
27%

19%
16%
15%
15%

15%
16%
20%
25%

55%
49%
46%
33%

98
101
198
154

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

6%
15%
18%
24%
27%

28%
22%
17%
8%
13%

11%
19%
15%
26%
20%

56%
44%
50%
43%
40%

35
68
35
68
86

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

19%
24%
19%
12%
18%

17%
17%
17%
12%
14%

26%
24%
10%
14%
18%

38%
35%
55%
62%
50%

147
161
104
71
75

9

“Think for a minute about political incumbents, the people in Washington and Massachusetts who are currently in office. Overall, do you
trust current political incumbents to provide leadership in Washington and Massachusetts or do you think political incumbents in Washington
and Massachusetts need to be replaced by a new crop of leaders?”

ALL MA ADULTS

Trust Want New
Current Crop of
Other/
Incumbents Leaders Depends
28%
50%
18%

Don’t
Know
5%

(N=)
557

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

27%
20%

50%
61%

20%
5%

4%
14%

496
32

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

5%
49%
17%
22%

80%
21%
64%
51%

15%
23%
17%
22%

0%
6%
2%
5%

152
189
44
108

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

45%
17%
6%

28%
58%
81%

22%
21%
12%

5%
4%
1%

170
266
66

Democrat
Independent
Republican

45%
21%
6%

28%
56%
79%

22%
19%
12%

5%
4%
3%

251
141
155

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

5%
25%
45%

80%
55%
25%

12%
15%
27%

3%
6%
3%

148
161
205

Male
Female

24%
31%

59%
41%

16%
21%

2%
7%

268
289

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

41%
30%
23%
25%

44%
48%
51%
51%

14%
15%
23%
18%

2%
7%
4%
6%

79
121
209
140

White
African American
Other

25%
72%
34%

51%
15%
49%

19%
13%
7%

5%
0%
11%

483
28
34

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

43%
45%
24%

37%
33%
53%

14%
23%
18%

5%
0%
5%

42
63
447

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

25%
26%
27%
32%

57%
59%
47%
41%

12%
12%
21%
23%

6%
3%
5%
4%

98
102
196
154

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

24%
32%
29%
19%
27%

49%
44%
54%
53%
52%

11%
21%
16%
25%
19%

16%
2%
1%
3%
2%

36
68
35
68
85

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

33%
25%
19%
35%
26%

43%
50%
61%
47%
48%

17%
20%
15%
16%
22%

7%
4%
5%
2%
4%

147
162
104
69
75

10

“Let’s change the subject a minute … do you happen to know who your Representative to the Massachusetts House of Representatives is?”

ALL MA ADULTS

Yes
60%

No
38%

Don't
Know
1%

(N=)
558

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

65%
17%

33%
83%

2%
0%

497
32

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

66%
68%
68%
58%

33%
32%
31%
36%

0%
1%
1%
6%

152
190
44
108

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

72%
62%
52%

28%
36%
47%

0%
3%
1%

172
266
66

Democrat
Independent
Republican

61%
55%
64%

39%
40%
35%

0%
5%
1%

253
141
155

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

65%
57%
66%

34%
41%
32%

1%
2%
1%

148
161
206

Male
Female

64%
57%

36%
41%

0%
3%

270
289

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

35%
53%
72%
60%

65%
46%
26%
37%

0%
0%
2%
3%

79
121
210
140

White
African American
Other

63%
50%
28%

36%
42%
72%

1%
8%
0%

485
28
34

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

35%
52%
64%

65%
48%
34%

0%
0%
2%

42
63
448

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

52%
54%
59%
70%

48%
45%
39%
29%

0%
1%
2%
2%

98
102
198
154

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

58%
64%
60%
52%
56%

39%
35%
40%
46%
39%

3%
0%
0%
2%
5%

36
68
35
68
86

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

49%
71%
50%
70%
65%

51%
28%
50%
27%
32%

1%
1%
0%
4%
3%

147
162
104
71
75

11

“Do you plan to vote for your current Massachusetts State Representative in November or will you vote for his or her opponent?”

ALL MA ADULTS

Vote For Vote
State
for
Won’t
Rep Opponent Vote
36%
18%
8%

Don't
Know
38%

(N=)
549

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

39%
13%

19%
10%

3%
38%

38%
39%

491
29

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

23%
58%
28%
32%

38%
9%
21%
11%

1%
2%
4%
10%

38%
31%
47%
47%

150
190
42
106

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

58%
31%
16%

13%
20%
37%

4%
5%
7%

25%
45%
40%

169
264
63

Democrat
Independent
Republican

52%
25%
22%

8%
18%
35%

8%
11%
5%

33%
46%
38%

250
137
152

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

18%
34%
53%

44%
12%
5%

4%
14%
6%

34%
41%
36%

146
158
202

Male
Female

36%
36%

23%
13%

8%
8%

32%
43%

263
286

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

23%
33%
43%
36%

9%
20%
17%
23%

22%
10%
6%
3%

46%
37%
34%
38%

77
120
207
138

White
African American
Other

36%
48%
34%

18%
18%
11%

9%
6%
10%

37%
27%
45%

479
26
33

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

29%
29%
37%

7%
19%
19%

31%
8%
6%

33%
45%
37%

39
63
442

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

37%
35%
33%
40%

23%
15%
18%
17%

14%
7%
9%
6%

27%
43%
40%
37%

93
102
195
153

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

45%
40%
40%
32%
33%

9%
16%
24%
23%
21%

8%
13%
6%
9%
7%

38%
31%
30%
37%
39%

36
67
35
68
85

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

36%
35%
33%
41%
35%

14%
17%
23%
15%
24%

9%
8%
5%
12%
8%

40%
39%
39%
32%
32%

143
162
104
71
70

12

“I know that it is early, but have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the election for Massachusetts governor in 2010 … are you
leaning toward someone … or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?”

ALL MA ADULTS

Def. Leaning
Still
Decided Toward Trying To
Decide
(N=)
Vote Someone
24%
15%
61%
488

Likely voter

24%

15%

61%

488

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

23%
39%
8%
2%

22%
18%
10%
4%

55%
43%
82%
94%

149
188
44
104

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

35%
16%
27%

16%
16%
13%

49%
68%
60%

161
243
61

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

33%
26%
8%

18%
12%
17%

48%
62%
75%

170
185
134

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

20%
11%
36%

15%
15%
16%

65%
74%
47%

142
127
188

Democrat
Independent
Republican

31%
11%
22%

18%
10%
16%

51%
79%
62%

226
113
145

Male
Female

29%
19%

18%
13%

53%
68%

236
251

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

17%
23%
23%
29%

9%
13%
19%
15%

74%
65%
58%
56%

55
102
191
132

White
African American
Other

24%
20%
17%

16%
0%
9%

59%
80%
75%

429
24
24

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

24%
12%
25%

7%
14%
16%

69%
75%
59%

26
56
401

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

22%
16%
21%
33%

8%
16%
16%
19%

70%
68%
64%
48%

74
90
172
146

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

10%
28%
14%
21%
28%

21%
17%
27%
12%
18%

69%
54%
59%
67%
54%

32
51
33
63
81

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

30%
23%
18%
24%
20%

16%
19%
12%
7%
20%

55%
58%
69%
70%
60%

125
149
90
60
63

13

“If the 2010 Massachusetts gubernatorial election was being held TODAY and the candidates are Charlie Baker, the Republican … Deval
Patrick, the Democrat … Tim Cahill, the Independent … and Jill Stein, the Green-Rainbow candidate, who would you vote for ... Charlie
Baker … Deval Patrick … Tim Cahill … or Jill Stein?”

Baker
31%

Patrick
38%

Cahill
9%

Stein
2%

Other
2%

Don't
Know
17%

(N=)
494

10%
35%
67%

63%
30%
9%

6%
12%
7%

3%
3%
0%

5%
0%
2%

13%
20%
14%

162
247
63

Extremely interested in election 45%
Very interested
29%
Somewhat/Not Very interested 16%

34%
40%
41%

5%
10%
12%

3%
3%
1%

3%
1%
2%

10%
17%
28%

171
183
140

Definitely decided Vote
Leaning towards someone
Still trying to decide

30%
44%
28%

65%
45%
27%

3%
6%
12%

0%
0%
4%

1%
0%
3%

1%
5%
26%

114
75
296

Democrat
Independent
Republican

9%
28%
65%

64%
24%
10%

7%
15%
7%

3%
3%
1%

2%
4%
1%

14%
26%
16%

229
113
149

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

59%
27%
12%

12%
27%
67%

7%
17%
6%

2%
3%
3%

2%
4%
1%

18%
23%
12%

144
129
189

Male
Female

38%
24%

35%
42%

10%
8%

2%
3%

2%
2%

14%
21%

244
250

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

22%
33%
30%
35%

29%
34%
42%
41%

17%
10%
6%
8%

8%
4%
0%
1%

2%
2%
3%
2%

23%
16%
19%
14%

58
105
192
132

White
African American
Other

32%
6%
26%

37%
64%
47%

9%
0%
7%

3%
0%
3%

2%
0%
5%

17%
29%
13%

435
24
24

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

23%
19%
33%

41%
47%
37%

11%
6%
9%

5%
1%
2%

4%
0%
2%

15%
28%
16%

27
56
406

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

24%
38%
31%
28%

37%
33%
35%
49%

12%
10%
8%
8%

0%
2%
3%
3%

6%
1%
2%
1%

22%
16%
22%
11%

75
91
178
145

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

13%
34%
44%
35%
37%

48%
36%
29%
36%
38%

13%
9%
4%
13%
12%

2%
8%
2%
2%
1%

0%
4%
3%
2%
0%

24%
9%
18%
13%
12%

32
59
33
63
81

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

27%
35%
33%
20%
36%

49%
33%
32%
41%
36%

7%
10%
11%
11%
4%

3%
0%
3%
4%
5%

1%
2%
1%
7%
0%

13%
20%
19%
17%
19%

128
148
91
63
65

MA LIKELY VOTERS
Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

14

“Does Deval Patrick’s four years as Governor make you more likely or less likely to vote for him in November, or will this make little
difference in your vote?”

MA LIKELY VOTERS

More
Likely
30%

Less Make Little
Likely Difference
46%
20%

Don't
Know
4%

(N=)
492

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

7%
66%
4%
12%

78%
7%
78%
55%

13%
22%
18%
28%

3%
5%
0%
6%

152
189
44
105

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

46%
24%
10%

26%
53%
68%

23%
20%
16%

5%
2%
6%

162
245
63

Democrat
Independent
Republican

48%
18%
13%

26%
52%
70%

23%
25%
13%

3%
5%
5%

228
112
149

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

9%
19%
54%

72%
50%
24%

16%
30%
19%

3%
2%
3%

144
128
189

Male
Female

28%
32%

48%
43%

19%
21%

4%
4%

241
251

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

26%
28%
33%
30%

44%
53%
42%
45%

24%
19%
21%
19%

6%
0%
4%
6%

59
103
193
130

White
African American
Other

30%
37%
36%

47%
6%
38%

19%
54%
16%

4%
3%
10%

435
24
23

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

42%
37%
28%

44%
25%
48%

13%
28%
20%

2%
9%
3%

28
55
405

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

24%
27%
28%
39%

45%
52%
47%
39%

26%
16%
22%
18%

4%
5%
3%
4%

74
90
179
144

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

23%
30%
27%
23%
19%

39%
44%
58%
53%
55%

33%
22%
14%
19%
22%

5%
3%
2%
4%
4%

32
59
34
63
80

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

34%
33%
19%
34%
29%

40%
43%
59%
40%
48%

21%
20%
17%
27%
18%

5%
4%
5%
0%
5%

128
149
91
61
63

15

“Does Tim Cahill’s eight years as State Treasurer make you more likely or less likely to vote for him in November, or will this make little
difference in your vote?”

MA LIKELY VOTERS

More
Likely
15%

Less Make Little
Likely Difference
30%
45%

Don't
Know
10%

(N=)
496

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

12%
15%
44%
10%

43%
29%
4%
26%

38%
47%
50%
48%

7%
9%
2%
17%

152
190
44
107

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

17%
15%
13%

26%
31%
39%

50%
45%
38%

8%
9%
10%

162
249
63

Democrat
Independent
Republican

16%
15%
14%

29%
24%
38%

47%
46%
40%

7%
14%
9%

229
115
149

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

14%
17%
16%

37%
21%
31%

37%
57%
45%

12%
4%
8%

144
130
190

Male
Female

12%
18%

32%
28%

48%
42%

8%
12%

242
253

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

9%
24%
13%
15%

34%
32%
29%
31%

44%
43%
48%
41%

13%
1%
10%
14%

59
105
193
131

White
African American
Other

16%
0%
20%

31%
38%
20%

44%
62%
33%

9%
0%
27%

438
24
23

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

25%
14%
15%

30%
25%
31%

40%
48%
45%

5%
13%
9%

28
56
407

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

7%
14%
17%
19%

25%
38%
27%
31%

49%
41%
47%
43%

19%
7%
9%
6%

74
91
179
146

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

9%
17%
16%
21%
11%

22%
32%
41%
34%
24%

57%
43%
32%
37%
60%

13%
9%
11%
7%
4%

32
59
34
63
81

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

17%
14%
10%
23%
14%

31%
29%
23%
34%
36%

41%
48%
57%
34%
38%

11%
8%
10%
9%
12%

128
149
91
63
64

16

“Does Charlie Baker’s record as a former health insurance company CEO make you more likely or less likely to vote for him in November, or
will this make little difference in your vote?”

MA LIKELY VOTERS

More
Likely
20%

Less Make Little
Likely Difference
30%
37%

Don't
Know
12%

(N=)
494

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

47%
11%
8%
5%

9%
43%
39%
34%

36%
34%
44%
42%

8%
12%
8%
19%

152
190
44
105

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

15%
20%
38%

38%
29%
7%

39%
35%
47%

8%
16%
7%

162
249
63

Democrat
Independent
Republican

12%
16%
36%

43%
31%
11%

35%
36%
43%

10%
18%
10%

226
115
149

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

32%
21%
11%

18%
24%
46%

42%
43%
33%

9%
12%
9%

144
128
190

Male
Female

23%
18%

30%
31%

37%
37%

10%
14%

240
253

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

8%
28%
16%
26%

45%
23%
33%
25%

32%
43%
40%
32%

15%
6%
11%
17%

57
105
193
131

White
African American
Other

21%
15%
12%

31%
11%
49%

37%
70%
18%

12%
4%
22%

438
22
23

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

24%
17%
21%

40%
34%
29%

32%
36%
38%

4%
13%
12%

28
54
407

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

18%
26%
19%
20%

26%
17%
32%
39%

40%
42%
40%
31%

16%
16%
9%
10%

72
91
179
146

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

17%
14%
26%
19%
22%

31%
40%
21%
38%
28%

39%
36%
44%
31%
47%

13%
11%
9%
12%
3%

32
59
34
63
81

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

21%
21%
18%
18%
25%

31%
28%
36%
34%
21%

35%
39%
34%
40%
38%

13%
11%
12%
9%
15%

126
149
91
63
64

17

“Think for a minute about the state budget. Who do you TRUST MORE to handle the state’s budget and fiscal problems … Governor
Patrick or the state Legislature?”

ALL MA ADULTS

Gov.
State
Both
Patrick Legislature Equally
29%
30%
8%

Neither
27%

Don't
Know
6%

(N=)
554

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

29%
35%

30%
29%

8%
0%

27%
30%

6%
6%

495
32

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

15%
56%
16%
8%

35%
13%
42%
43%

3%
12%
4%
13%

44%
9%
37%
33%

3%
11%
1%
3%

152
188
44
108

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

40%
27%
11%

27%
30%
34%

11%
7%
2%

14%
31%
45%

7%
5%
7%

171
265
66

Democrat
Independent
Republican

40%
25%
13%

31%
24%
34%

10%
10%
4%

11%
37%
43%

8%
3%
6%

251
138
155

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

12%
20%
47%

30%
36%
23%

3%
11%
11%

49%
27%
12%

6%
6%
7%

148
161
204

Male
Female

36%
22%

22%
37%

7%
9%

30%
24%

4%
8%

267
287

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

24%
28%
30%
31%

47%
37%
25%
21%

6%
8%
10%
8%

19%
25%
29%
30%

4%
3%
7%
10%

79
121
207
139

White
African American
Other

28%
53%
30%

30%
20%
40%

8%
13%
4%

27%
11%
21%

7%
3%
5%

482
28
32

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

33%
34%
28%

37%
39%
28%

4%
10%
8%

22%
12%
29%

4%
5%
7%

42
63
444

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

30%
20%
28%
36%

29%
35%
36%
18%

6%
5%
7%
12%

29%
34%
23%
26%

6%
7%
6%
7%

97
100
198
152

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

21%
25%
28%
24%
24%

42%
29%
40%
31%
37%

8%
15%
0%
14%
8%

20%
25%
22%
27%
29%

9%
7%
9%
4%
2%

36
68
35
68
86

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

30%
33%
22%
32%
24%

27%
30%
37%
27%
29%

8%
7%
5%
12%
13%

28%
26%
31%
25%
24%

8%
5%
5%
4%
10%

146
161
102
70
75

18

“Overall, which of the following should be done to improve the state’s budget and fiscal problems … should the governor and the legislature
do more to cut government programs, services, and spending, or should taxes and other revenues be raised?”
Cut
Programs/
Services
52%

Raise
Taxes
23%

Some of
Both
19%

Don't
Know
6%

(N=)
547

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

53%
54%

24%
16%

19%
10%

5%
19%

488
32

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

78%
29%
67%
53%

7%
42%
14%
18%

13%
22%
15%
23%

2%
6%
4%
6%

151
187
41
107

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

33%
59%
78%

42%
14%
6%

20%
21%
10%

6%
6%
6%

167
263
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

33%
58%
78%

41%
10%
6%

21%
22%
11%

4%
10%
6%

247
136
154

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

82%
56%
30%

10%
16%
39%

4%
21%
26%

4%
6%
6%

147
157
203

Male
Female

59%
46%

17%
28%

20%
18%

4%
8%

266
282

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

48%
48%
53%
57%

24%
27%
21%
21%

23%
19%
21%
13%

5%
6%
5%
9%

79
120
203
137

White
African American
Other

51%
56%
61%

23%
37%
20%

20%
7%
12%

6%
0%
7%

477
28
31

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

48%
36%
55%

24%
33%
21%

21%
24%
17%

7%
6%
6%

39
62
440

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

57%
56%
53%
45%

26%
15%
21%
29%

8%
23%
20%
21%

9%
7%
5%
5%

95
100
194
152

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

61%
45%
74%
53%
56%

14%
34%
18%
20%
17%

17%
18%
7%
21%
24%

8%
3%
1%
7%
3%

33
68
35
68
85

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

47%
53%
64%
46%
49%

30%
21%
16%
20%
24%

18%
20%
15%
17%
24%

4%
6%
4%
17%
3%

145
159
102
68
74

ALL MA ADULTS

19

“Let’s switch gears and talk about gambling in Massachusetts. As you may know, the Massachusetts House and Senate have passed slightly
different bills that would legalize casino gambling in Massachusetts. The Senate bill would allow gambling at three resort casinos while the
House bill would allow gambling at two casinos and slot machines at the state’s four racetracks. Do you prefer the Senate bill with three
resort casinos … the House bill with 2 casinos and slot machines at racetracks … do you not want any gambling, or haven’t you thought
enough about this to say?”
Prefer
Senate
Bill
27%

Prefer
House
Bill
22%

Prefer
Other
4%

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

27%
34%

21%
30%

4%
0%

31%
20%

17%
15%

496
32

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

33%
26%
9%
30%

20%
20%
33%
18%

3%
3%
4%
7%

31%
31%
35%
30%

13%
20%
19%
15%

152
190
44
107

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

25%
30%
23%

23%
22%
18%

3%
5%
2%

30%
29%
36%

19%
14%
20%

171
266
66

Democrat
Independent
Republican

25%
29%
30%

24%
19%
19%

3%
5%
4%

28%
36%
29%

20%
11%
18%

253
140
155

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

26%
30%
26%

18%
25%
23%

5%
3%
3%

33%
24%
33%

17%
18%
16%

148
161
205

Male
Female

30%
25%

21%
23%

2%
5%

32%
29%

16%
19%

270
288

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

36%
29%
25%
25%

26%
23%
22%
19%

2%
1%
5%
4%

22%
27%
33%
33%

14%
20%
15%
19%

79
121
209
140

White
African American
Other

26%
45%
34%

22%
15%
21%

3%
0%
9%

31%
19%
21%

17%
22%
15%

483
28
34

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

21%
32%
27%

19%
21%
22%

1%
2%
4%

42%
29%
29%

17%
16%
17%

42
63
447

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

27%
26%
30%
25%

28%
32%
20%
13%

5%
3%
2%
4%

18%
19%
30%
45%

22%
21%
17%
13%

97
102
198
154

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

19%
29%
24%
31%
32%

22%
22%
30%
31%
13%

5%
1%
6%
1%
2%

26%
33%
29%
19%
38%

28%
15%
11%
17%
15%

36
68
35
68
86

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

31%
24%
28%
35%
19%

19%
21%
23%
17%
32%

2%
6%
2%
6%
1%

32%
29%
37%
20%
30%

16%
21%
10%
21%
19%

146
162
104
71
75

ALL MA ADULTS

Don’t Want
Legalized
Don't
Gambling Know
30%
17%

(N=)
557

20

“How many times have you visited a casino outside of Massachusetts in the past twelve months?”

ALL MA ADULTS

Once
14%

2 Times
6%

3 to 5
Times
5%

6 to 10 More Than
Times
10 Times
2%
3%

Don't
Know
1%

(N=)
558

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

14%
7%

7%
3%

5%
14%

1%
3%

3%
3%

68%
70%

1%
0%

497
32

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

18%
10%
18%
15%

10%
5%
2%
6%

6%
5%
3%
3%

2%
2%
1%
1%

5%
2%
8%
2%

58%
74%
67%
73%

1%
1%
1%
1%

152
190
44
108

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

11%
17%
11%

5%
7%
6%

7%
5%
2%

2%
2%
0%

3%
3%
3%

71%
64%
78%

1%
1%
0%

172
266
66

Democrat
Independent
Republican

14%
10%
18%

5%
7%
7%

6%
4%
6%

2%
3%
1%

3%
6%
2%

70%
70%
65%

1%
1%
1%

253
141
155

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

17%
18%
11%

8%
6%
5%

3%
6%
5%

2%
2%
2%

4%
2%
3%

64%
67%
72%

1%
0%
1%

148
161
206

Male
Female

14%
14%

7%
6%

7%
4%

2%
1%

3%
3%

67%
70%

1%
1%

270
289

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

24%
11%
13%
13%

7%
6%
8%
4%

6%
11%
1%
6%

0%
3%
1%
3%

4%
1%
4%
4%

59%
69%
72%
68%

1%
0%
1%
0%

79
121
210
140

White
African American
Other

15%
4%
10%

7%
6%
0%

5%
8%
14%

2%
0%
3%

3%
0%
8%

68%
82%
64%

1%
0%
2%

485
28
34

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

15%
15%
14%

8%
2%
7%

4%
2%
6%

0%
0%
2%

2%
2%
4%

69%
79%
67%

1%
0%
1%

42
63
448

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

12%
11%
17%
13%

5%
8%
7%
4%

9%
6%
5%
3%

2%
2%
1%
3%

5%
4%
3%
2%

66%
67%
67%
73%

0%
2%
1%
1%

98
102
198
154

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

12%
13%
6%
21%
16%

5%
8%
18%
7%
8%

7%
2%
4%
6%
5%

1%
5%
2%
2%
2%

2%
2%
3%
5%
5%

72%
71%
65%
54%
65%

1%
0%
2%
4%
0%

36
68
35
68
86

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

11%
15%
15%
22%
9%

8%
1%
12%
5%
6%

4%
3%
10%
5%
7%

2%
2%
0%
3%
0%

4%
4%
0%
2%
4%

70%
73%
61%
60%
73%

1%
0%
1%
3%
0%

147
162
104
71
75

Never
69%

21

“Turning to immigration for a moment … In general, how serious a problem do you think illegal immigration is in the United States: a very
serious problem, somewhat serious, not very serious, or not a problem at all?"

ALL MA ADULTS

Very
Serious
55%

Somewhat Not Very
Serious
Serious
30%
10%

Not A
Problem
At All
4%

Don't
Know
1%

(N=)
557

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

55%
69%

31%
14%

10%
17%

4%
0%

1%
0%

496
32

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

80%
35%
62%
54%

17%
43%
26%
29%

1%
15%
12%
11%

1%
6%
0%
5%

0%
1%
0%
1%

152
190
43
108

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

35%
66%
76%

43%
26%
17%

16%
5%
7%

5%
3%
0%

2%
0%
0%

172
265
66

Democrat
Independent
Republican

37%
60%
80%

40%
27%
16%

17%
5%
4%

5%
7%
0%

1%
0%
0%

253
141
155

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

81%
51%
38%

15%
37%
37%

4%
9%
17%

0%
3%
5%

0%
0%
2%

148
161
205

Male
Female

57%
53%

26%
34%

11%
10%

5%
3%

1%
1%

270
288

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

43%
45%
55%
68%

36%
37%
33%
17%

18%
11%
7%
11%

4%
6%
4%
3%

0%
2%
1%
1%

79
121
210
140

White
African American
Other

56%
21%
62%

30%
59%
12%

10%
15%
12%

3%
6%
14%

1%
0%
0%

485
28
34

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

38%
29%
60%

41%
41%
28%

17%
25%
7%

4%
2%
4%

0%
2%
1%

42
63
448

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

64%
64%
47%
51%

21%
24%
40%
28%

12%
5%
9%
14%

2%
6%
3%
6%

1%
1%
1%
1%

98
102
198
154

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

57%
52%
65%
58%
52%

27%
29%
28%
26%
39%

11%
10%
7%
15%
7%

5%
8%
0%
1%
1%

0%
1%
0%
0%
2%

36
68
35
68
86

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

53%
55%
66%
47%
48%

29%
33%
19%
32%
41%

13%
8%
10%
12%
9%

3%
3%
6%
7%
2%

2%
0%
0%
2%
0%

147
162
104
70
75

22

“Overall, do you think illegal immigrants contribute to and help the state economy or do they take away from and hurt the state economy”

ALL MA ADULTS

Contribute Take
and
Away and Some of
Hurt
Both
Help
27%
53%
14%

Don't
Know
6%

(N=)
552

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

27%
22%

53%
68%

14%
6%

6%
3%

491
31

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

12%
41%
22%
23%

77%
33%
65%
51%

7%
17%
12%
18%

4%
8%
1%
8%

150
187
43
108

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

39%
20%
15%

33%
62%
76%

19%
13%
4%

9%
5%
4%

172
261
64

Democrat
Independent
Republican

40%
21%
10%

36%
60%
76%

17%
16%
9%

8%
3%
5%

249
140
153

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

7%
19%
47%

79%
60%
29%

12%
13%
16%

2%
8%
8%

146
159
204

Male
Female

25%
28%

58%
48%

13%
16%

4%
8%

266
285

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

32%
26%
29%
21%

43%
55%
51%
57%

20%
11%
15%
14%

4%
8%
5%
8%

79
120
206
139

White
African American
Other

25%
35%
35%

53%
51%
44%

16%
0%
13%

6%
14%
8%

479
28
34

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

36%
44%
23%

44%
34%
57%

15%
16%
14%

5%
6%
6%

42
63
442

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

18%
17%
33%
31%

64%
64%
48%
43%

14%
12%
15%
16%

4%
7%
4%
10%

98
101
195
153

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

15%
35%
21%
31%
21%

65%
55%
66%
57%
59%

14%
9%
5%
11%
14%

7%
1%
9%
1%
7%

36
68
34
66
85

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

37%
25%
23%
19%
20%

46%
54%
61%
51%
54%

14%
16%
11%
15%
15%

3%
4%
5%
15%
11%

146
160
103
70
73

23

“Does Massachusetts need to do more to ensure that illegal immigrants do not receive public benefits?”

ALL MA ADULTS

Yes Yes No No Strongly Somewhat Neutral Somewhat Strongly
56%
12%
6%
10%
12%

Don't
Know
4%

(N=)
554

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

57%
62%

12%
8%

6%
5%

10%
0%

11%
24%

4%
0%

493
32

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

81%
33%
75%
59%

12%
14%
12%
12%

1%
10%
6%
4%

2%
17%
2%
11%

3%
21%
4%
7%

2%
5%
1%
7%

152
188
43
107

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

39%
64%
78%

9%
14%
15%

9%
4%
3%

14%
8%
2%

26%
5%
1%

3%
5%
2%

170
263
66

Democrat
Independent
Republican

37%
60%
83%

11%
17%
11%

8%
5%
3%

19%
6%
1%

20%
9%
1%

5%
3%
2%

249
141
155

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

80%
57%
36%

12%
18%
8%

2%
4%
10%

3%
9%
17%

2%
7%
22%

0%
5%
6%

148
161
202

Male
Female

59%
53%

13%
12%

5%
6%

9%
12%

10%
14%

5%
3%

269
285

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

43%
54%
54%
66%

15%
15%
14%
5%

9%
3%
4%
8%

14%
11%
10%
8%

15%
12%
13%
9%

5%
4%
4%
3%

79
121
208
139

White
African American
Other

56%
43%
50%

12%
14%
7%

6%
3%
1%

9%
16%
23%

12%
19%
15%

4%
6%
4%

481
28
34

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

37%
28%
61%

15%
22%
11%

8%
13%
4%

10%
21%
9%

22%
14%
11%

9%
3%
4%

42
63
445

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

73%
73%
47%
43%

6%
6%
17%
15%

7%
3%
7%
6%

4%
7%
13%
14%

6%
7%
13%
18%

4%
4%
3%
5%

98
102
196
152

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

65%
61%
62%
60%
53%

3%
7%
19%
11%
21%

12%
5%
4%
5%
5%

6%
6%
11%
14%
4%

8%
15%
4%
8%
15%

6%
7%
1%
2%
1%

36
68
35
66
86

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

48%
53%
67%
59%
56%

14%
10%
15%
11%
13%

5%
8%
2%
5%
7%

14%
13%
9%
2%
7%

16%
12%
5%
16%
11%

3%
4%
2%
6%
7%

146
162
102
70
75

24

“Let’s turn back to state politics. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement … Deval Patrick has brought reform to Beacon Hill.”

ALL MA ADULTS

Strongly
Agree
Disagree Strongly
Agree Somewhat Neutral Somewhat Disagree
6%
22%
9%
22%
33%

Don't
Know
9%

(N=)
553

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

6%
8%

22%
11%

8%
17%

23%
21%

34%
28%

8%
16%

492
32

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

2%
13%
2%
0%

15%
33%
16%
13%

1%
13%
6%
9%

18%
24%
24%
27%

59%
9%
48%
37%

4%
8%
3%
13%

152
190
41
106

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

12%
3%
3%

25%
22%
12%

11%
8%
4%

22%
25%
16%

23%
34%
56%

7%
7%
9%

170
265
66

Democrat
Independent
Republican

9%
4%
2%

30%
17%
14%

10%
11%
5%

22%
24%
20%

20%
37%
50%

10%
8%
8%

249
141
155

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

2%
5%
9%

14%
22%
28%

6%
10%
10%

17%
25%
23%

56%
28%
19%

5%
10%
10%

148
157
205

Male
Female

5%
6%

18%
26%

6%
11%

22%
22%

42%
24%

7%
12%

266
288

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

6%
4%
5%
8%

26%
18%
23%
20%

9%
6%
11%
7%

19%
26%
24%
16%

29%
34%
33%
32%

11%
12%
4%
15%

77
121
210
138

White
African American
Other

6%
7%
3%

22%
32%
23%

8%
20%
4%

22%
15%
29%

34%
10%
22%

8%
15%
18%

483
26
34

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

2%
7%
6%

27%
32%
20%

11%
8%
8%

25%
25%
21%

21%
18%
36%

15%
11%
9%

42
61
446

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

8%
6%
4%
5%

15%
27%
18%
29%

14%
4%
9%
8%

15%
20%
25%
22%

38%
36%
32%
27%

9%
7%
11%
9%

94
102
198
154

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

10%
5%
6%
7%
9%

20%
31%
20%
22%
9%

14%
8%
5%
9%
8%

17%
21%
26%
25%
23%

28%
23%
34%
35%
42%

10%
11%
9%
1%
9%

34
68
35
68
86

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

5%
5%
3%
15%
1%

20%
22%
26%
22%
21%

14%
6%
7%
6%
8%

23%
20%
25%
17%
25%

28%
39%
35%
26%
31%

10%
8%
4%
14%
14%

145
162
104
68
75

25

“How familiar are you with the recent controversy over political patronage at the Massachusetts Probation Department … very familiar …
somewhat familiar … not very familiar … or not familiar at all?”

ALL MA ADULTS

Very
Somewhat Not Very Not Familiar Don't
At All
Know
Familiar Familiar Familiar
12%
27%
20%
40%
2%

(N=)
555

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

13%
2%

29%
12%

20%
14%

37%
72%

1%
0%

493
32

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

19%
11%
16%
5%

22%
37%
38%
22%

23%
22%
8%
16%

35%
29%
39%
52%

1%
0%
0%
6%

150
189
43
108

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

14%
12%
8%

34%
26%
25%

16%
22%
18%

33%
39%
47%

3%
1%
2%

169
265
66

Democrat
Independent
Republican

12%
15%
8%

30%
27%
24%

19%
17%
22%

38%
40%
43%

1%
2%
2%

250
141
155

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

11%
5%
18%

24%
24%
35%

19%
24%
18%

44%
45%
27%

2%
2%
1%

146
161
205

Male
Female

18%
6%

27%
27%

19%
21%

34%
46%

2%
1%

268
287

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

7%
7%
14%
14%

10%
27%
29%
34%

14%
21%
25%
16%

66%
45%
31%
35%

3%
0%
1%
2%

79
120
208
140

White
African American
Other

12%
3%
5%

27%
31%
29%

20%
11%
19%

39%
45%
48%

1%
10%
0%

482
28
34

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

9%
3%
13%

21%
24%
28%

24%
20%
19%

45%
49%
38%

0%
4%
1%

42
63
445

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

4%
7%
11%
21%

17%
22%
26%
39%

21%
24%
21%
14%

55%
43%
42%
25%

3%
3%
1%
1%

96
102
197
154

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

5%
6%
8%
15%
20%

11%
27%
18%
33%
28%

31%
26%
22%
17%
19%

50%
41%
51%
35%
33%

3%
1%
1%
0%
0%

36
68
35
68
86

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

15%
13%
10%
8%
8%

21%
35%
24%
32%
20%

19%
18%
21%
16%
28%

43%
32%
43%
43%
44%

2%
2%
2%
1%
0%

147
160
103
70
75

26

“Do you think the patronage controversy in the Massachusetts Probation Department is an isolated incident … do you think it is politics as
usual for Massachusetts, or don’t you know enough about it to say?”

ALL MA ADULTS

Isolated Politics as
Usual
Incident
5%
48%

Don't
Know
48%

(N=)
554

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

5%
0%

51%
32%

44%
68%

493
32

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

4%
8%
3%
2%

59%
50%
69%
35%

38%
42%
28%
64%

150
189
43
108

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

6%
3%
5%

47%
53%
46%

47%
43%
49%

169
265
66

Democrat
Independent
Republican

6%
4%
3%

44%
51%
52%

50%
45%
45%

250
141
155

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

1%
3%
8%

55%
38%
56%

44%
59%
37%

146
161
205

Male
Female

6%
4%

59%
37%

35%
60%

268
287

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

7%
1%
5%
6%

24%
44%
53%
55%

69%
55%
42%
39%

79
120
208
140

White
African American
Other

5%
0%
6%

50%
30%
35%

45%
70%
59%

482
28
34

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

3%
5%
5%

43%
23%
52%

54%
72%
43%

42
63
445

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

4%
4%
5%
6%

36%
49%
44%
59%

61%
47%
51%
35%

96
102
197
154

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

3%
9%
3%
4%
6%

34%
44%
37%
49%
59%

63%
47%
60%
47%
35%

35
68
35
68
86

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

4%
6%
5%
2%
5%

47%
53%
42%
51%
42%

49%
41%
53%
46%
53%

147
160
103
70
75

27

“And on a completely different topic … what is your favorite professional sports team?”

ALL MA ADULTS

Boston
Bruins
4%

Boston
N.E.
Boston
N.Y.
Celtics Patriots Red Sox Yankees Other
13%
23%
40%
2%
6%

None
10%

Don't
Know
1%

(N=)
557

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

5%
0%

12%
13%

25%
19%

41%
41%

2%
2%

6%
8%

9%
17%

1%
0%

496
32

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

5%
4%
1%
6%

5%
18%
10%
14%

35%
17%
44%
18%

41%
42%
38%
40%

3%
1%
0%
1%

6%
7%
0%
4%

4%
8%
7%
15%

1%
1%
0%
2%

152
190
43
108

Registered Democrat
Registered Undeclared
Registered Republican

3%
5%
2%

17%
11%
9%

18%
29%
19%

45%
37%
54%

1%
2%
2%

5%
6%
5%

10%
9%
6%

1%
1%
1%

172
265
66

Democrat
Independent
Republican

4%
6%
4%

19%
6%
9%

15%
31%
29%

43%
33%
43%

1%
3%
2%

5%
7%
7%

10%
14%
5%

1%
1%
1%

253
141
155

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

3%
4%
5%

11%
10%
15%

33%
24%
16%

40%
40%
43%

2%
2%
2%

4%
9%
6%

6%
8%
13%

1%
3%
0%

148
161
205

Male
Female

6%
3%

11%
15%

30%
17%

36%
45%

2%
2%

7%
5%

7%
12%

1%
2%

270
288

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

8%
6%
4%
1%

19%
16%
13%
7%

21%
23%
24%
24%

30%
36%
42%
46%

5%
1%
2%
1%

10%
5%
6%
6%

5%
11%
7%
14%

2%
3%
0%
1%

79
121
210
140

White
African American
Other

4%
3%
6%

11%
48%
11%

24%
17%
19%

44%
2%
25%

2%
0%
2%

5%
13%
11%

8%
17%
25%

1%
0%
2%

485
28
34

10 years or less in MA
11 to 20 years
More than 20 years

0%
6%
5%

27%
19%
11%

2%
23%
25%

25%
35%
42%

2%
1%
2%

21%
8%
4%

18%
7%
9%

4%
0%
1%

42
63
448

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

5%
5%
3%
5%

12%
11%
17%
10%

30%
30%
18%
21%

39%
40%
39%
42%

1%
4%
3%
1%

7%
1%
9%
6%

7%
9%
8%
14%

1%
0%
2%
1%

98
102
198
154

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

0%
7%
7%
6%
1%

10%
8%
15%
11%
17%

26%
16%
18%
33%
28%

45%
48%
53%
40%
38%

0%
0%
2%
2%
3%

8%
5%
3%
0%
5%

11%
15%
1%
5%
8%

0%
0%
0%
2%
0%

36
68
35
68
86

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

5%
3%
5%
4%
5%

22%
12%
10%
8%
5%

17%
25%
26%
22%
30%

31%
44%
44%
40%
44%

2%
1%
3%
6%
0%

7%
6%
9%
2%
7%

15%
7%
3%
15%
9%

1%
2%
0%
4%
0%

147
162
104
70
75

28