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CANADIAN MAYORS

EMBARGOED UNTIL: 5 AM LOCAL, JANUARY 16, 2017


PRINT EXCLUSIVE: POSTMEDIA NETWORK
Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 6,103 Canadians by Chimera IVR from January 3-4, 2017 in select Canadian cities. A
mixture of landlines and cell phones were surveyed. For city specic margins of error see page A4. Please note residents were only
surveyed about their own mayor, city council and when applicable, local councillor. No Local Councillor scores were collected for
Vancouver (at large system) or Montral (borough system).

A2

"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected


by copyright. The information and/or data may only
be rebroadcast or republished with full and proper
credit and attribution to Mainstreet/Postmedia.

WATSON LEADS APPROVALS AMONG CANADAS MAYORS


January 16, 2017 (Ottawa, ON) A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll takes a close look at approval ratings for
Mayors of Major Canadian Cities from Montreal to Vancouver. The poll was conducted on January 3-4, 2017
and margins of error for the 10 city polls conducted vary from +/- 3.91 to +/- 4.00, 19 times out of 20.
Overall, every Canadian Mayor we polled has a net positive approval rating - though some Mayors are
faring radically better than others said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet Research. Jim Watson of
Ottawa leads the way with a 79% approval rating and +63 net score (approval-disapproval) while Mayor
Gregor Robertson of Vancouver sits at 50% approval and a +5 net score.
The lowest mayoral approval Mainstreet has recorded recently in Canada belongs to Mayor Matt Brown of
London, Ontario, who was polled last year following an extra-marital aair with Londons deputy mayor.
Browns disapproval was a staggering 58%, which translated to a net score of -25, continued Maggi.
Most residents polled approve of their city councils with two notable exceptions. Both Edmonton and
Vancouver report negative net scores of -1. Calgary and Montreal follow with +6 and +9 scores respectively.
Ottawa and Saskatoons city councils meanwhile boast net scores of +38 and +30.
Overall, local city councillors are polling higher than their respective city councils, though they lag on net
scores in Toronto and Winnipeg and run about even in Ottawa.
This looks to be a relatively busy year of municipal elections in Canada with Montreal, Calgary and
Edmonton scheduled to go to the polls. Regina and Saskatoon held elections last fall in which Mainstreet
was the most accurate pollster of both races, nished Maggi.
About Mainstreet Research
Mainstreet is a national public research rm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of
government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public
opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British
Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling rm
in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only
polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.
-30In Ottawa: Quito Maggi, quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
In Toronto: Dr. Joseph Angolano, joseph@mainstreetresearch.ca
In Montral: David Valentin, (514)-913-5524 - david@mainstreetresearch.ca

A3

SAMPLE SIZES & MARGINS OF ERROR

* Plus or Minus, 19 times out of 20.

A4

Simplied Mayoral Approvals

A5

Simplied Council Approvals

A6

Simplied Local Councillor Approvals

A7

Complex Mayoral Approvals

A8

Complex Council Approvals

A9

Complex Local Councillor Approvals

A10

Net Scores (Approval-Disapproval)

A11

Mayoral Approvals At A Glance

A17

SCRIPT

*Respondents were only asked about their Mayor/City Council/Local Councillor*


Do you approve or disapprove of the way *Name* is handling his job as Mayor?
[Names Randomized]
Gregor Robertson
Naheed Nenshi
Don Iveson
Charlie Clark
Michael Fougere
Brian Bowman
Drew Dilkins
John Tory
Jim Watson
Denis Coderre
Thinking about *City Name* City Council, do you approve or disapprove of the way they are handling
their job?
Vancouver
Calgary
Edmonton
Saskatoon
Regina
Winnipeg
Windsor
Toronto
Ottawa
Montreal
Thinking about your local city councillor, do you approve or disapprove of the way they are handling
their job?
Strongly Approve
Somewhat Approve
Somewhat Disapprove
Strongly Disapprove
Not Sure

ONLY WE
CALLED
THE
LIBERAL
MAJORITY.

I recommend "Raiders of the Lost Campaign Arc," released Oct. 18, because its an interview
with a pollster that everyone who follows politics should hear. Quito Maggi, of Mainstreet Public
Research, was the only pollster I saw call the Liberal majority with such condence, a week
before we voted.
Maggi also has the distinction of being the guy who predicted the BC Liberals would win in 2013,
in deance of the majority of the polls.
His technique involves picking a true bellwether riding and polling it thoroughly. His explanation
for how he does it is well worth a listen and should be required research for anyone running a
political campaign. - Shannon Rupp, The Tyee, November 4th, 2015
Mainstreet Research | 1322255B Queen Street East
| Toronto | Ontario | M4E 1G3 | Canada

Mainstreet is a national public research rm. With 20 years of political experience at all three
levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of
public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal
government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has
been the most accurate polling rm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral
election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal majority
government in the 2015 federal election.

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