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Data Set 1101 Data Set 1102

y y
Jan 362.00 Jan 197 fish catch dat
Feb 381.00 Feb 211
450.00
Mar 317.00 Mar 203
Apr 297.00 Apr 247 400.00
May 399.00 May 239 350.00
Jun 402.00 Jun 269 300.00
Jul 375.00 Jul 308 250.00
Aug 349.00 Aug 262 200.00
Sep 386.00 Sep 258
150.00
Oct 328.00 Oct 256
Nov 389.00 Nov 261 100.00
Dec 343.00 Dec 288 50.00
Jan 276.00 Jan 296 0.00
Feb 334.00 Feb 276
Mar 394.00 Mar 305
Apr 334.00 Apr 308
May 384.00 May 356
Jun 314.00 Jun 393
Jul 344.00 Jul 363
Aug 337.00 Aug 386
Sep 345.00 Sep 443
Oct 362.00 Oct 308
Nov 314.00 Nov 358
Dec 365.00 Dec 384
Data Set 1103
Month y
fish catch data (1101) calculator sales data (1102)
Jan 297
Feb 249
450.00 500
Mar 340
400.00 450
Apr 406
350.00 400 May 464
300.00 350 Jun 481
300 Jul 549
250.00
250 Aug 553
200.00
200 Sep 556
150.00
150 Oct 642
100.00 100 Nov 670
50.00 50 Dec 712
0.00 0 Jan 808
Feb 809
Mar 867
Apr 855
May 965
Jun 921
Jul 956
Aug 990
Sep 1019
Oct 1021
Nov 1033
Dec 1127
ta (1102)
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.99352
R Square 0.987082
Adjusted R 0.985852
Standard Er31.24685
Observatio 24

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 1566730 783365.1 802.3275 1.47E-020
Residual 21 20503.68 976.3657
Total 23 1587234

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Intercept 199.6196 20.84795 9.57502 4.12E-009 156.2639 242.9753 156.2639
X Variable 50.93662 3.842425 13.25637 1.14E-011 42.94586 58.92738 42.94586
X Variable -0.567726 0.149212 -3.804816 0.001035 -0.87803 -0.257422 -0.87803

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

ObservationPredicted Y Residuals
1 249.9885 47.01154
2 299.2219 -50.22191
3 347.3199 -7.3199
4 394.2824 11.71756
5 440.1095 23.89047
6 484.8012 -3.801171
7 528.3574 20.64264
8 570.7781 -17.77809
9 612.0634 -56.06338
10 652.2132 -10.21321
11 691.2276 -21.22759
12 729.1065 -17.10652
13 765.85 42.15
14 801.458 7.541973
15 835.9306 31.0694
16 869.2677 -14.26773
17 901.4694 63.5306
18 932.5356 -11.53562
19 962.4664 -6.466388
20 991.2617 -1.261706
21 1018.922 0.078428
22 1045.446 -24.44599
23 1070.835 -37.83495
24 1095.088 31.91154
Upper 95.0%
242.9753
58.92738
-0.257422
-6000 4500 3000 1500 0
-6000 440.00 440.00 440.00 440.00
1500 1500 1500 1500
-6000 1940.00 1940.00 1940.00 1940.00
11%
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.989028
R Square 0.978177
Adjusted R 0.977185
Standard Er39.67949
Observatio 24

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 1552596 1552596 986.112 9.08E-020
Residual 22 34638.16 1574.462
Total 23 1587234

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Intercept 261.1232 16.71897 15.61838 2.17E-013 226.4502 295.7962 226.4502
X Variable 36.74348 1.170084 31.40242 9.08E-020 34.31687 39.17008 34.31687

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

ObservationPredicted Y Residuals
1 297.8667 -0.866667
2 334.6101 -85.61014
3 371.3536 -31.35362
4 408.0971 -2.097101
5 444.8406 19.15942
6 481.5841 -0.584058
7 518.3275 30.67246
8 555.071 -2.071014
9 591.8145 -35.81449
10 628.558 13.44203
11 665.3014 4.698551
12 702.0449 9.955072
13 738.7884 69.21159
14 775.5319 33.46812
15 812.2754 54.72464
16 849.0188 5.981159
17 885.7623 79.23768
18 922.5058 -1.505797
19 959.2493 -3.249275
20 995.9928 -5.992754
21 1032.736 -13.73623
22 1069.48 -48.47971
23 1106.223 -73.22319
24 1142.967 -15.96667
Upper 95.0%
295.7962
39.17008
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.994133
R Square 0.988301
Adjusted R 0.986546
Standard Er 30.4709
Observatio 24

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 3 1568664 522888.1 563.1682 1.77E-019
Residual 20 18569.52 928.4759
Total 23 1587234

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Intercept 142.2417 44.65103 3.185631 0.004646 49.1013 235.3822 49.1013
X Variable 57.8961 6.106591 9.480919 7.69E-009 45.15797 70.63422 45.15797
X Variable -0.777908 0.205861 -3.778799 0.001179 -1.207327 -0.348489 -1.207327
X Variable 84.51314 58.55487 1.443315 0.164413 -37.63019 206.6565 -37.63019

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

ObservationPredicted Y Residuals
1 283.8731 13.12695
2 297.1789 -48.17886
3 337.0999 2.900109
4 382.5079 23.49213
5 429.1771 34.82286
6 475.6991 5.300856
7 521.4702 27.52978
8 566.1885 -13.18854
9 609.6864 -53.68641
10 651.8632 -9.863218
11 692.6549 -22.65495
12 732.0189 -20.01891
13 769.9256 38.07444
14 806.3538 2.64621
15 841.2881 25.71188
16 874.7169 -19.71693
17 906.6314 58.36864
18 937.0245 -16.0245
19 965.8909 -9.890888
20 993.2262 -3.226176
21 1019.027 -0.02683
22 1043.29 -22.28996
23 1066.013 -33.01318
24 1087.195 39.80549
Upper 95.0%
235.3822
70.63422
-0.348489
206.6565
Month y X x^2 x^-1
Jan 297 1 1 1
Feb 249 2 4 0.5
Mar 340 3 9 0.333333
Apr 406 4 16 0.25
May 464 5 25 0.2
Jun 481 6 36 0.166667
Jul 549 7 49 0.142857
Aug 553 8 64 0.125
Sep 556 9 81 0.111111
Oct 642 10 100 0.1
Nov 670 11 121 0.090909
Dec 712 12 144 0.083333
Jan 808 13 169 0.076923
Feb 809 14 196 0.071429
Mar 867 15 225 0.066667
Apr 855 16 256 0.0625
May 965 17 289 0.058824
Jun 921 18 324 0.055556
Jul 956 19 361 0.052632
Aug 990 20 400 0.05
Sep 1019 21 441 0.047619
Oct 1021 22 484 0.045455
Nov 1033 23 529 0.043478
Dec 1127 24 576 0.041667
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.879086
R Square 0.772792
Adjusted R 0.751153
Standard Er32.40262
Observatio 24

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 74992.43 37496.22 35.71307 1.75E-007
Residual 21 22048.53 1049.93
Total 23 97040.96

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Intercept 195.8295 21.61908 9.05818 1.06E-008 150.8702 240.7889 150.8702
X Variable 8.581911 3.98455 2.153797 0.043026 0.295586 16.86824 0.295586
X Variable -0.020303 0.154732 -0.131211 0.896857 -0.342084 0.301479 -0.342084

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

ObservationPredicted Y Residuals
1 204.3912 -7.391154
2 212.9122 -1.912157
3 221.3926 -18.39256
4 229.8323 17.16765
5 238.2315 0.768463
6 246.5901 22.40988
7 254.9081 53.0919
8 263.1855 -1.185471
9 271.4222 -13.42224
10 279.6184 -23.6184
11 287.774 -26.77396
12 295.8889 -7.888913
13 303.9633 -7.963261
14 311.997 -35.997
15 319.9901 -14.99014
16 327.9427 -19.94267
17 335.8546 20.1454
18 343.7259 49.27408
19 351.5566 11.44336
20 359.3468 26.65325
21 367.0963 75.90374
22 374.8052 -66.80516
23 382.4735 -24.47346
24 390.1012 -6.101154
Upper 95.0%
240.7889
16.86824
0.301479
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.879361
R Square 0.773275
Adjusted R 0.739267
Standard Er33.16743
Observatio 24

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 3 75039.39 25013.13 22.73758 1.18E-006
Residual 20 22001.57 1100.079
Total 23 97040.96

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Intercept 175.7242 99.80221 1.760725 0.093569 -32.45953 383.908 -32.45953
X Variable 3.075226 26.96484 0.114046 0.910339 -53.17244 59.32289 -53.17244
X Variable 0.067505 0.453574 0.148828 0.88318 -0.878634 1.013644 -0.878634
X Variable 21.13603 102.307 0.206594 0.838416 -192.2726 234.5447 -192.2726

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

ObservationPredicted Y Residuals
1 200.003 -3.002993
2 212.0356 -1.035562
3 222.1661 -19.16613
4 231.3773 15.62273
5 240.0496 -1.049576
6 248.3782 20.62176
7 256.4792 51.52078
8 264.4281 -2.428055
9 272.2772 -14.27723 C
10 280.0649 -24.06495
100
11 287.8201 -26.82006
80
12 295.565 -7.564964
13 303.3175 -7.31749 60
14 311.0921 -35.09208 40
15 318.9007 -13.90065
20
16 326.7532 -18.75315
0
17 334.658 21.34201 0 5 10
18 342.6224 50.37762 -20
19 350.6525 12.34749 -40
20 358.7538 27.2462 -60

-80
0
0 5 10
-20

-40
-60
21 366.931 76.06903
-80
22 375.1882 -67.18821
23 383.5292 -25.52922
24 391.9573 -7.957298
Upper 95.0%
383.908
59.32289
1.013644
234.5447

Chart Title

5 10 15 20 25 30
5 10 15 20 25 30
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.880838
R Square 0.775875
Adjusted R 0.728691
Standard Er33.83344
Observatio 24

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 4 75291.63 18822.91 16.44351 5.65E-006
Residual 19 21749.33 1144.701
Total 23 97040.96

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Intercept 369.5597 425.2869 0.868966 0.395711 -520.576 1259.695 -520.576
X Variable 31.61511 66.73044 0.473773 0.64106 -108.0533 171.2835 -108.0533
X Variable -0.280165 0.873275 -0.320822 0.751848 -2.10795 1.54762 -2.10795
X Variable -117.3285 312.8846 -0.37499 0.711821 -772.2036 537.5465 -772.2036
X Variable -91.50269 194.9255 -0.469424 0.644109 -499.4864 316.481 -499.4864

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

ObservationPredicted Y Residuals
1 192.0634 4.93663
2 219.9903 -8.990255
3 228.1636 -25.1636
4 234.0047 12.99531
5 239.9759 -0.975934
6 246.5188 22.48115
7 253.6434 54.35664
8 261.2569 0.743122
9 269.2497 -11.24965 C
10 277.5185 -21.51851 100
11 285.9727 -24.97267
80
12 294.5339 -6.533936
13 303.1354 -7.135385 60
14 311.7197 -35.71966 40
15 320.2374 -15.23742 20
16 328.646 -20.64598
0
17 336.9082 19.09176 0 5 10
18 344.9917 48.00829 -20
19 352.8678 10.13216 -40

-60

-80
0
0 5 10
-20

-40
20 360.5114 25.48863 -60
21 367.8998 75.10017
-80
22 375.0132 -67.01317
23 381.8334 -23.83339
24 388.3443 -4.344295
Upper 95.0%
1259.695
171.2835
1.54762
537.5465
316.481

Chart Title

5 10 15 20 25 30
5 10 15 20 25 30
Month y X X^2 X^0.5 x^-1
Jan 197 1 1 1 1
Feb 211 2 4 1.414214 0.5
Mar 203 3 9 1.732051 0.333333
Apr 247 4 16 2 0.25
May 239 5 25 2.236068 0.2
Jun 269 6 36 2.44949 0.166667
Jul 308 7 49 2.645751 0.142857
Aug 262 8 64 2.828427 0.125
Sep 258 9 81 3 0.111111
Oct 256 10 100 3.162278 0.1
Nov 261 11 121 3.316625 0.090909
Dec 288 12 144 3.464102 0.083333
Jan 296 13 169 3.605551 0.076923
Feb 276 14 196 3.741657 0.071429
Mar 305 15 225 3.872983 0.066667
Apr 308 16 256 4 0.0625
May 356 17 289 4.123106 0.058824
Jun 393 18 324 4.242641 0.055556
Jul 363 19 361 4.358899 0.052632
Aug 386 20 400 4.472136 0.05
Sep 443 21 441 4.582576 0.047619
Oct 308 22 484 4.690416 0.045455
Nov 358 23 529 4.795832 0.043478
Dec 384 24 576 4.898979 0.041667
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.132501
R Square 0.017557
Adjusted R -0.0271
Standard Er34.28023
Observatio 24

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 462.0009 462.0009 0.393147 0.537103
Residual 22 25852.96 1175.134
Total 23 26314.96

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Intercept 343.0303 14.91856 22.99353 7.09E-017 312.0911 373.9695 312.0911
X Variable 1.270979 2.027033 0.627015 0.537103 -2.93283 5.474788 -2.93283

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

ObservationPredicted Y Residuals
1 344.3013 17.69872
2 345.5723 35.42774
3 346.8432 -29.84324
4 348.1142 -51.11422
5 349.3852 49.6148
6 350.6562 51.34382
7 351.9272 23.07284
8 353.1981 -4.198135
9 354.4691 31.53089
10 355.7401 -27.74009
11 357.0111 31.98893
12 358.2821 -15.28205
13 344.3013 -68.30128
14 345.5723 -11.57226
15 346.8432 47.15676
16 348.1142 -14.11422
17 349.3852 34.6148
18 350.6562 -36.65618
19 351.9272 -7.927156
20 353.1981 -16.19814
21 354.4691 -9.469114
22 355.7401 6.259907
23 357.0111 -43.01107
24 358.2821 6.717949
Upper 95.0%
373.9695
5.474788
y x X Error
362 Jan 1 11 IID test?
381 Feb 2 30
317 Mar 3 -34
297 Apr 4 -54
399 May 5 48
402 Jun 6 51
375 Jul 7 24
349 Aug 8 -2
386 Sep 9 35
328 Oct 10 -23
389 Nov 11 38
343 Dec 12 -8
276 Jan 1 -75
334 Feb 2 -17
394 Mar 3 43
334 Apr 4 -17
384 May 5 33
314 Jun 6 -37
344 Jul 7 -7
337 Aug 8 -14
345 Sep 9 -6
362 Oct 10 11
314 Nov 11 -37
365 Dec 12 14
351