ALBERTA MARCH 2017

EMBARGOED UNTIL:
6 AM MST, MARCH 14, 2017
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POSTMEDIA NETWORK
Methodology About Mainstreet
Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 2,374 With 20 years of political experience at all three
Albertans on March 10, 2017 through Chimera IVR. levels of government, President and CEO Quito
Respondents were screened to confirm voting Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
eligibility. Landline and Cell lines were included. public affairs.
Responses were weighed using demographic
information to targets based on the 2011 Census. Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet
Research has provided accurate snapshots of
The margin of error for survey results is ± 2.01 public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP
percentage points, 19 times out of 20. For government in Alberta, a majority Liberal
Edmonton specific results, the margin of error is ± government in British Columbia and a majority
3.62 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. For Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has
Calgary specific results, the margin of error is ± 3.4 been the most accurate polling firm in several by
percentage points, 19 times out of 20. elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral
election. Most recently, Mainstreet Research was
the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal
. majority government in the 2015 federal election.

Contact Information
In Ottawa: Quito Maggi, President
quito@mainstreetresearch.ca

In Montreal: David Valentin, Executive Vice
President. david@mainstreetresearch.ca

In Toronto: Dr. Joseph Angolano, Vice President
joseph@mainstreetresearch.ca

Find us online at:
www.mainstreetresearch.ca
twitter.com/MainStResearch
facebook.com/mainstreetresearch
TAX RELIEF, DEFICIT SLAYING TOP BUDGET WISH LIST

March 14, 2017 (Ottawa, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds Albertans keen to see tax reductions
with 35% saying it is their top budget priority. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/-
2.01 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

In second place comes reducing spending to lower the deficit at 24%, followed by spending on health
and education (18%) and investment in public infrastructure (12%).

“It’s unlikely Albertans are going to get everything they want on their wish list but some will see financial
relief with the government’s plan to reduce school fees.” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet
Research. “What’s clear is that Albertans across the province want to see a reduction in the taxes they have
to pay despite the fact that a tax reduction would make it harder to slay the deficit which is the number
two priority at 24%.”

Overall, 58% of Albertans are dissatisfied with the government’s response to economic conditions.

“The government does not control oil prices but many Albertans are saying they have no handled the
downturn correctly,” continued Maggi. “Most of the support for government policies is coming from
Edmonton and to a lesser extent, Calgary.”

“Many in the province simply do not believe the government is acting fast enough to bring the budget back
to balance with 52% saying the government is moving too slowly.”

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For additional information or to arrange an interview, contact:
Quito Maggi, President, quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
David Valentin, Executive Vice-President, (514) 913-5524 - david@mainstreetresearch.ca
Budget Priorities

Different parts of the province have different
priorities, notably Edmonton, which registers the
highest numbers for investment in infrastructure
(16%) and spending on health and education
(24%).

In Calgary, the biggest priority is reducing taxes
(34%) followed by reducing the deficit (29%).

In the Rest of Alberta reducing taxes posts 38%
(the highest in the province) with lowering the
deficit at 23% and spending on a health and
education in a decent third place with 18%.

It’s unlikely Albertans are going to get everything
they want on their wish list but some will see
Priority #1: Reduce Taxes financial relief with the government’s plan to
As the provincial government moves to table the reduce school fees.
spring budget, Albertans are most keen to see tax
reductions with a full 35% saying that is their One thing that appears to have been ruled out is
number one budget priority. moving any faster to reduce the deficit. The
provincial deficit is currently projected to be $10.8
In second place comes reducing spending to lower billion.
the deficit at 24%, followed by spending on health
and education (18%) and investment in public
infrastructure (12%).
“It’s unlikely Albertans are going
As this survey explores, many Albertans do not to get everything they want on
believe the government is moving fast enough to their wish list but some will see
balance the budget; but with many still reeling financial relief with the
from the economic climate that appears to
steadily be improving, it should come as no
government’s plan to reduce
surprise that tax cuts are polling high. Of course, school fees.” - Quito Maggi
tax cuts in the current economic climate would
make balancing the budget harder.
Childcare

Government Approval
And how would you rate the provincial
58% of Albertans are dissatisfied with the government’s
government’s handling of the economy?
response to economic conditions.

Only 24% say the government’s handling of the economy is
Excellent or Good. Another 10% say that the response has
been fair.

Only in Edmonton do positive ratings nearly outnumber
negative ones. In Edmonton, 40% say the response has
been excellent or good while 41% say the response has been
poor or very poor - essentially a tie.

In all other areas of the province the numbers are much
more stark. In Calgary 52% say the response has been Poor
or Very Poor; in the Rest of Alberta that number is 66%, a
full two thirds.

Men are slightly more likely than women to register negative
ratings - but their ratings are more intensely negative with
more men registering Very Poor than women by 8
percentage points.
Budget Balance
A majority of Albertans, 52%, say the government is Finance Minister Joe Ceci says the provincial
moving too slowly to balance the budget. budget will not be back in balance (with
revenues meeting or exceeding government
Only 9% say the government is moving too fast while 24%
say the speed is about right.
spending) until 2023 or 2024. In your opinion is
this too fast, too slow or is it about right?
Only in Edmonton do more respondents say the speed is
about right (40%) than too slow (34%).

In Calgary, the number who think the government is
moving too slowly jumps to 50%, while in the Rest of
Alberta it’s 59%.

Males are much more likely than females to say that the
government is moving too slowly by 16% (Males: 60%;
Females: 44%).

Those over the age of 50 are the least likely to say the
government is moving too slowly but not by about 7-9
percentage points when comparing the age cohorts.