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# 3rd Year B.B.S.

## 2nd Term Improvement Examination 1994

Department of Management
Subject: Quantitative Analysis in Management
Course No: 323

## Time: 3 Hours Total Marks: 40

(N.B. Marks for each question are given on the right margin. Answer any four question)
1. a) Discuss briefly the importance and use of Index Number in business and industry. 03
b) What is Fishers Index? Why is it called ideal? 02
c) Show with the help of the following data that the Time and Factor Reversal Test are 05
satisfied by Fishers Ideal formula for Index Number construction.
Commodity Base Year Base Year Current Year Current Year
Price (Tk.) Quantity (Kg) Price (Tk.) Quantity (Kg)
A 6 50 10 56
B 2 100 2 120
C 4 60 6 60
D 10 30 12 24
E 8 40 12 36

## 2. a) What do your understand by Time Series? 01

b) State the components of Time Series. 03
c) Compute the trend value for the following data using the method of Least Square: 06
Year 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986
Y 83 60 54 21 22 13 23

## 3. a) Distinguish between interpolation and extrapolation. 05

b) Estimate the premium payable at the ages of 23 and 42 years from the following 05
data:
Age in Years 20 25 30 35 40 45
Premium in Tk. 30 33 37 42 48 57
4. a) What is a hypothesis? What characteristics it must possess in order to e a good 04
research hypothesis?
b) Distinguish between the followings: 06
I) Null hypothesis and Alternative hypothesis ii) One tailed and Two tailed test
iii) Type I error and Type II error
5. a) What do you mean by feasibility polygon?
b) Draw a feasibility polygon of the following linear programming problem and find
out the optimal solution:
Maximize Z = 3X + 3Y
subject to 5X + 5Y 25
7X + Y 21
X,Y0

## 6. Write short notes on:

a) Index number b) Seasonal variation c)
Decision variable d) Moving average method.