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2002

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1955 -1978

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1972 1978
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1980
1989
1983

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86 1996 4
55 2002
5 158-9
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51-6Michael D. Swaine, Chinese
Decision-Making Regarding Taiwan, 1979-2000, in David M. Lampton (ed.), The Making of Chinese
Foreign and Security Policy in the Era of Reform (Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 2001), p. 311.
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2002 8 28
4

1998 66-8

2
1980
1990 6



1992 10
5


1990



1992 6

6

1992
1992 3 10



71993 4 27-29


5
1998
35-7, 216
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2001 1 22 1
92 2000 7 21 3
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1999 8 6 102002
7 16 2002 7 16 2002
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1980
1993 5 8

1993 8 ---





1995 1




1995 6


9
10

1995 7 1996 3




11

8
1993 5 17
9
1995 6 18 1
10
1996 1 31 2
11
Chen-yuan Tung, Chinas Economic Leverage and Taiwans Security Concerns with Respect to
Cross-Strait Economic Relations, Ph.D. Dissertation, Johns Hopkins University, 2002, pp. 234-45.

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1996



1997 9


1998




1998 2 24


6 25 10
14-18



1999 7 9



127

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1999 7 12 4

5
2000 2



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2000 3 18
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143 14
153
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3 18

2000 3 18
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2000 2

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2000

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2000 2 26 3
15
AFP: PRC FM Spokesman Warns Taiwan on Election Result, Hong Kong AFP, March 14, 2000, in
FBIS-CHI-2000-0314.
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2000 3 16 3
17
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2002 7 26 11

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7
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2000 8
2000 8



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2002 10

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2000 7 19 4
2000 8 26 4
19
2002 11 9 1
20
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21
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7

22



1979
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23

22
14 15 16
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2000 3 19 4








1999 8
24

2002 8 3

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26
27






28

24
1999 8 20 10Swaine,
Chinese Decision-Making, p. 329.
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David G. Brown, China-Taiwan Relations: Chen Muddies Cross-Strait Waters, Comparative Connections,
Vol. 4, No. 3 (3rd Quarter 2002), p. 67.
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Bonnie S. Glaser, U.S.-China Realtions: Playing Up the Positive on the Eve of the Crawford Summit,
Comparative Connections, Vol. 4, No. 3 (3rd Quarter 2002), p. 27-28.
2002 10 1
27
2002 10 9
28
1999 8 13 3
2002 8 6
2002 8 27 11

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30

1955


1995-96

1999-2000


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1979


1990


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1992 [][]
33

29
2000 9 25
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31
John W. Garver, Face Off: China, the United States, and Taiwans Democratization (Seattle: University of
Washington Press, 1997), p. 118.
http://www.mac.gov.tw/mlpolicy/mwreport/8903/1-3.htm.
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83 8 115
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128

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1978
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1995-96
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2000

2001

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1978



1984 10


371992
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--- 38

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1993 1 6 10
35
2002 6
2002 7 5
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Tung, Chinas Economic Leverage, pp. 255-63, 374-89.
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1999 10 19 3
38
1993 1 6 10

11

39
1995-96 1999-2000

40 1999 7
8 41

42
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45

1990
2000
46
1991 2
47

48

49

39
2001 6 1521 7 3
2001 7 5 2001 7 9121629
2002 7 13
40
Tung, Chinas Economic Leverage, pp. 389-425.
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2002 8 24 11
42
2001 6 26
43
2001 7 12
44
2001 7 19
45
2002 7 10

46
2000 7 20 2
92 2000 7 21 3
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2000 7 19 3
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2000 7 21 2
49
2001 1 22 2

12

2000 3
506 9


51 2000-01


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2001

532002
54


55

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57 1990

50
16 2000 4 6 11
2000 5 27 1
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2000 7 18 11
52
2001 6 6 2001
8 7 2001
11 11 1
53
2002 1 11 2
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2002 1 20 4
55
2002 1 28 7
2002 6 2728
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2002 8 21 11
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2001 6 6 2001 6 13
2001 6 21 7 4

13

2001
WTO
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59 2002
1998
602002 7

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62


1973
1980


63



2001 6 28 2001 7 1019 8 10


2001 7 29 2002 7 3
2002 7 8
2002 7 9
2002 7 17
2002 1 20 4
58
Tung, Chinas Economic Leverage, pp. 294-365.
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2002 7 9
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2002 3 16 1
61
1979
2001 7 12 2002 7
8 2002 7 8
2002 7 916
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2002 7 6 1
63
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1999 10 19 3

14
1999 10

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1999 10 20 13
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366-369
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319 1996 8 59

1998 8 26 2
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83-4
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1999 9 1 2

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1995-96

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2000


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1995-96

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2001 9 12 6
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520 2000 3 28 4
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366-369
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Qimao Chen, The Taiwan Strait Crisis: Causes, Scenrios, and Solutions, in Suisheng Zhao (ed.), Across
the Taiwan Strait: Mainland China, Taiwan, and the 1995-1996 Crisis (New York: Routledge, 1999), pp.
134-5. 2001 6 15
2001 9 12 6
2002 7 9

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2001 8 8 2001 8

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1978


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1995-96

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1996 2


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2002

1995-96

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2002 7 11
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Tung, Chinas Economic Leverage, pp. 226-7. 2001 6
1825 7 23 2001 7 12
2001 7 1329
79
2001 6 152128
2001 7 1012
80
Tung, Chinas Economic Leverage, pp. 234-46.
81
Tung, Chinas Economic Leverage, pp. 226-7.

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1980

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F-16 1994
1995
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2000 2 26 14

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1999-2000
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1970

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2002 7 1
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2000 3 62
94
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1983 6 26
229
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1990



1993


96 1993 APEC

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1998 10



98 1997 1999

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1992

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275
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86 1999 4 10 2

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