You are on page 1of 6

Simulaciòn pronostica de demanda

Años Ref. producto Cantidad Venta Valor Venta
2010 PL - R1 Queso Expos 3,456 3,500
2011 PL - R2 Queso Expos 6,789 3,456
2012 PL - R3 Queso Expos 23,456 6,789
2013 PL - R4 Queso Expos 8,906 2,345
2014 PL - R5 Queso Expos 4,567 7,890
2015 PL - R6 Queso Expos 1,678 6,789
2016 PL - R7 Queso Expos 256,789 2,345
2017 PL - R8 Queso Expos 14,567 6,789
2018 107,424
2019 128,063
2021 167,047
2022 191,815
2023 209,549
2024 218,942
2025 215,218

1. Name of the company.

Expolacteos ltda.

2. Main business area.

Foods: lactea sector.

3. Seven steps to make a forecasting system:

a. Uses.

Forecast of demand.

b. Items.

The forecast applies to dairy products such as yogurt, cheese and other milk products.

c. Time horizon.

The forecast will be made annual.

d. Model.

Quantitative forecast.

e. data gathering.

Sales records.

f.Making.

Making.Quantitative forecast. Determine the validity of a forecast. g.Validation and Implementation. data gathering.    . f. e. Sales records.

000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Con tendencia al alza .000 36.                      and other milk products.000 12. para el punto 8 e 2017 la venta baja rapidamente.096.242.033. despues en grafica .462. EXPOLACTEOS ulaciòn pronostica de demanda Total 300.4196406507x . corespondiente al año 2016 tal cual esta en la tabla de tendencia muy alata en la venta del producto. then in point 7 as ind corresponding to the year 2016 as it is in the table of the diagnos tendency in the sale of the product. to be located in the nine where the forecast was 2025. hasta ubicarse en el nueve do 2018 . indicating that then the product will have a tendency line in Forecast and graph. .784 20.205 Linear (Column D) 98.000 23.895. indicando que entonces el producto te venta alcista segun el pronostico y la grafica.9353331841 200.000 159.363 100.170.000 50.39206. For point 8 in the graph corre sale falls rapidly.570 f(x) = 17886.luego ala baja hasta el 2015.884.000 602.784 250.942 Column D 150. With a tendency to rise.391. hasta el año 2025 .630 11. then down to 2015.

.

41 Column D Linear (Column D) 11 12 13 14 15 ta el 2015. para el punto 8 en la grafica corespondiente al año bicarse en el nueve donde se realizo el pronstico para el entonces el producto tendra una linea de tendencia en fica. the table of the diagnosis presenting a very high oint 8 in the graph corresponding to the year 2017. despues en el punto 7 como lo señala la cual esta en la tabla del diagnostico presentando una ucto.                      15. until the year l have a tendency line in bullish sales according to the . the e where the forecast was made for 2018. then in point 7 as indicated by the chart.