Professional Documents
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'Responsible Consumer'
Unilever work session
July 2015
Objectives and agenda for today
Share our view on implications (positive and negative) for large companies
Discuss what it could mean for Unilever and your categories and brands
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
We have two hours scheduled together lets make it a real
discussion and maximize value to you
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 1
Why the research: consumers have been telling us for years
that they buy Fair, Eco, Social products
60 60
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
40 40
20 20
0 0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
52
26
80 42
41
40
60
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
40
14 74
20
11
20
7
8
0 0
Buys in most Buys in Buys in Occasionally Does not Total Buy in more No Buy in less
categories about 5 less than 5 buys buy categories significant categories
categories categories systematically than 2 change than 2
years ago years ago
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Deep routed Deep dives Conjoint with Extensive
market in European ~300.000 purchase consumer
analyses markets choices research
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 4
Covering full spectrum of 'responsible consumption'
Product benefits that go beyond what a product directly offers to the consumer
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Local and Products are made close by known
seasonal suppliers, supporting local community
We have heard about green/fair/social buying for years but always considered it niche
Our research however shows it is the major source of growth in consumer products
'Responsible products' make up ~15% of consumer product turn over and 70% of growth
Combination of explicit claims on Green, Eco, Fair, Organic, (real) Natural, social
Granular US analyses confirmed by lighter touch diagnosis in Europe
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
These products get an average price premium of 40% which results in high profitability
A-brand players are however losing out on this opportunity the space is captured by niche
brands and by Private Labels who use these claims to play in the premium segment
To capture the opportunity A-brands will have to overcome distrust, dive deep to understand
category and brand specific attitudes and likely have to redefine propositions end-2-end
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 6
Topics
Quantitative findings
Consumer drivers
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Implications
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 7
'Responsible' products account for 15% of grocery sales
% of Sales
50
Household Personal
Food
care care
40
30
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
20
15%
overall
10
share
0
Baby Yogurt Soup Coffee Dog Frozen Household Laundry Shampoo Cosmetics
food Food Dinners Cleaner Detergent Facial
Cold Snack Milk Bottled Cookies Food Paper Body Shaving Dental
Cereal Bars juices & Towels Lotion Cream Care
Trash
Bags
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 8
Europe follow on: 'Responsible' products have substantial
market share across product categories and countries
32
11 29
30
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
10 10
8
7 7 20
5 13
5 4 5
4 9
10
2
0 0 0
Coffee Fruit Household Personal Coffee Fruit Juice Household Personal Coffee Fruit Juice Household Personal
Juice Cleaner Care Cleaner Care Cleaner Care
Claims included
in 'responsible'
1. Shares of responsible categories differ per country due to differences in data bases as in which "stringency" of claims are incorporated in 'responsible'- with the UK having the most lenient definition
Source:IRI Database 2014, BCG analysis
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 9
THIS DOCUMENT CONTAINS PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION OF THE BOSTON CONSULTING GROUP AND INFORMATION RESOURCES, INC.
70 66
60 59 58
50
39
40
31
30 27
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
25
20 20 20
20 17 16
14 13 14
10
10 8 7
6 5 6 6 5
4 3 3
2 1 2 1 1 1 2
0 1
0
-1 -1 0 0 -1
-10
Dog Yogurt Snack Milk Frozen Soup1 Laundry Household Shampoo Hand &
food bars dinners detergent cleaner Body
Baby Coffee Cookies Bottled Cold Paper Trash Shaving Dental lotion Cosmetics
food juices cereal towels & food cream care 1
bags
1. In soup, 'responsible' growth lower than total market growth because of 'not regulated'/ light natural claims. Other claims all growing faster than market average
Source: IRI database
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 10
Backup
Europe: 'Responsible' products grow faster than non-
responsible products
%
Growth rates p.a. ('10-'13 ) per product category
30
22.6
20 19.3
16.2
14.9
13.1 13.7
12.6
10 8.5
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
6.9 6.5 7.2
5.2 5.6
3.7 4.1
3.0 2.4
2.2 2.0
0.4 0.2 0.9
0
Non-Responsible
-6.3
-7.9 Responsible
-10
Coffee Coffee Coffee Fruit Juice1 Fruit Juice Fruit Juice Household Household Household Personal Personal Personal
cleaner1 cleaner cleaner care1 care care
% total TO
9% 2% 3% 1% 1% 85%
(% US, 2013)
80
7
6
60 10
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
11
40 34 68%
20
0
Natural Environmental Organic/ Bio Social & Local Traditional Total
friendly Fair Trade
Traditional Local
Social & Fair trade Organic/ Bio
Environmental friendly Natural
1. Sum of investigated categories , total market increase is $8B
Source:IRI Database 2010-2013, BCG analysis
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 12
THIS DOCUMENT CONTAINS PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION OF THE BOSTON CONSULTING GROUP AND INFORMATION RESOURCES, INC.
Total Market Growth1 2010-2013 (US, deepdives $B) Total Market Growth 2010-2013 (US, deepdives $B)
8 1.5
Share 'responsible' Share 'responsible'
2013: 19% 2.4 6.9 2013: 6%
0.3 1.1
6
1.0
0.3 0.2
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
0.5
4 0.8
0.4 0.0 0.0
0.5
2.5 0.5 77%
65%
2
0.2
0 0.0
Environmental Social Traditional Total Environmental Social Local Traditional
friendly & Fair friendly and Fair
Natural Organic/ Trade Local Natural Organic/ trade Total
Bio Bio
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
6.6 25 3.1 9 3.6 7
0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 0 5 10 15
Sales (2013, $M, US) Sales (2013, $M, US) Sales (2013, $M, US)
Responsible claim
Traditional
+42%
~80% of categories ranging
4 between ~15-100% premiums
3,7
100
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
3
2,6
2
50
0 0
1. Weights all prices for Organic and Natural claims in Edible categories, minus 'other natural/organic' to all non natural/organic prices, based on sales and corrected for volume per serving - now only
based on 'Natural' and 'Organic' US products only edible categories included, outliers excluded 2. All IRI edible categories and all non-food from deep dive categories outliers excluded
Source: IRI database 2013
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 15
Europe sample: Responsible products growing faster and
gaining higher price premiums than non-responsible
Unweighted average CAGR for 4 product Unweighted price premium3 index based on
% %
categories in UK,FR,GER ('10-'13)1 edible categories in UK,FR,GER (2013)
10 200
8,5 % +58%
8
150
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
6
4,6 % 100
50
2
0 0
Non-responsible Responsible Non-responsible Responsible
1. 3 out of 12 categories only have '12-'13 CAGR available 2. 4 out of 6 categories that make up the price premium maintain a very strict standard on what is 'responsible' and therefore price premium
is higher than in US a more broad definition would lead to similar results as the US as can be seen in UK 3. Premium based on unweighted average of ground coffee and fruit juice in UK,FR & GER
Source:IRI Database 2014, BCG analysis
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 16
Price premium allows 'responsible' products to have superior
economics (for PL but also for A brands)
Conversion costs 10 - 10
Distribution costs 5 - 5
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
A&P and indirect costs 15 +20% 18
Total costs 52 59
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Green Mountain - Net Sales ($B) Whole foods - Net sales ($B) % of Organic sales from Private Label (2012)1
5 15 80
69
+16% 64
4 4 11.7 61 60
10.1 60
10 9.0 50 47
3 +66% 3 8.0
40
2
1 5
20
1 1
0
0 0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2009 2010 2011 2012 Sains Morri Wait Tesco Ocada Co-op
burys sons rose
Source: press search, Green Mountain Roasted Coffee annual report 2012, Whole foods Year Report 2012, Soil Association Organic Market Report 2012
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 18
THIS DOCUMENT CONTAINS PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION OF THE BOSTON CONSULTING GROUP AND INFORMATION RESOURCES, INC.
CAGR 2010-2013
(%, US, Food categories, Natural and Organic )
15
12,5
10
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
5 4,3
1,3
0
A brands Private Label Specialized responsible brands
Note: only possible to do analysis on Food Categories and Natural/Organic claims if expanded to full claims we expect at least comparable results, if not more dramatic picture
Source: IRI database 2013
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 19
Not only do A-brands not lead the change competition can
use these claims to drastically shift preference
32
80 42
60 18
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
27
40
49
20
-18% 31
0
No 'responsible' products in the market1 PL and specialized offering 'responsible'
products A brands do not2
1. No 'responsible' attributes, specialized brand with 50% premium, PL price around A brand level
2.Specialized brand with 50% premium, PL with 30%, both specialized and PL with certified Social, Environmental and Organic claims
Source: Survey Responsible Consumer 2013 Simple Conjoint
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 20
'Responsible' claims with external validation (certification)
strongly increase product preference
Example US Coffee
80 77
73
70
66
60 56
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
50 50 12% 31% 41% 47% 53%
44
40 34
30
27
23
20
0
Two A brand One product with One product with One product with One product with One product with
products with uncertified organic uncertified organic uncertified certified organic certified organic
equal attributes and fair trade organic and and uncertified fair trade
certified fair trade fair trade
Non-'responsible' 'responsible'
1. Products are from the same A brand, price remains at base price example of two coffee products
Source: Survey Responsible Consumer 2013 Simple Conjoint
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 21
THIS DOCUMENT CONTAINS PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION OF THE BOSTON CONSULTING GROUP AND INFORMATION RESOURCES, INC.
11
60
17
40
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
35
20
0
Natural Environmental Social & Fair Trade Local Organic/ Bio Total
friendly
Quantitative findings
Consumer drivers
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Implications
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 23
Little purely altruistic buing consumers want "And-And"
Survey among 9000 consumers in 8 developed economies
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
'Good for the 'Good for the world' and 'Good for me' 'Good for me'
world'
4% 86% 9%
Consumers open to buy 'responsible', with more 'closer to me' benefits as most powerful triggers, and
2 money as the most important barrier to buy
Health first, local economy protection, and family life identified as most important triggers
Price premiums are a barrier to buy 'responsible' products, mainly in the US
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
3 Consumers are very confused about 'responsible' offers, and are asking for more regulated claims to help
them understand offerings in the market
Consumers can find information on 'responsible' products but have some doubts and skepticism
They indicated a demand for more advise, certification and government regulation
4 Consumers have less trust when 'responsible' products are associated with A brands and large retailers
A brands launching a 'responsible' product can come across as they only do it out of business purposes
Consumer attitude varies widely per retailers, consumers not willing to buy 'responsible' at Walmart
5 Preferences are complicated; they differ per category, channel, country and brand we already saw some
large differences between French and American consumers
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 25
Consumer attitudes around 'responsible' products are very
complex
All 'responsible' concepts named, with most associations around the environment Strong positive associations with 'responsible' products
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
family, home) used to
Level of
Ergonomy Simplicity Essential Choice Reliability Which
responsibility
Duration
Price and quality Environment Natural and pure Information and transparency Health Social Other
Need
validation
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
'I need someone I trust to
tell me what is 'good' "'
Category Brand
Country
specific specific
specific
'In cleaning it is all about the "I think Brand A is really
environment, in dairy about US: "It should be organic" trying to be good" "Brand B
animals, in coffee about France: "It should be local" only makes chemical,
farmers' artificial stuff"
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 27
Consumer attitudes, needs and preferences are complex;
they vary per country, category, brand and channel
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
'I would never buy a green
'Buying 'responsible' in 'I would never buy any
version of AJAX, there is too
cleaning is not very 'In yogurt, the brand does 'responsible' product from
much history of using
important' not matter that much, I Walmart'
unhealthy chemicals in their
would buy the cheapest one'
products'
'I buy 'responsible' in all 'I once tried to buy
product categories apart 'In yogurt, I would easily go 'responsible' fish at
'I would never buy a
from cleaning, it just does for the Private Label brand' Walmart, and walked away
'responsible' Snickers, all
not matter that much to me'' dizzy'
their products are bad'
80
70 69
60 57 55
49 47 45 46
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
40
26 25
20
0
Carries a Carries clear Carries a Is produced Is a regional Is sold in a Is sold in a Is advertised Looks Has a product
certified symbol environmental responsible by a company product from store I trust to special as responsible responsible name that
and social background which I trust is my area be responsible responsible sounds
impact labeling story on its responsible section in responsible
packaging the store
1. Indicated as trusted as more than 50% of respondents indicate they (fully) trust this source 6 out of 15 options
Source: Survey Responsible Consumer 2013
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 29
Lack of Trust (next to Price) a main reason not to buy more
Level of distrust varies per country
20
20 19
17 18
15 15
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
13
12
10
0
Germany Japan Italy Netherlands France Spain Canada UK USA
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Best price 12 13 59
20
Know this brand 21 7 5
better
10 More convenient 6 2 4
Other 3 1 1
0
A brands Specialized Private
responsible label
brands brands
Note: Slightly more preference for A-brands in coffee and for Specialized in household cleaning, but no large differences
Source: Survey Responsible Consumer 2013
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 31
Preference for A-brands, specialty and PL differs per country
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
20
20
10
0
Japan Canada USA UK France Italy Spain Netherlands Germany
4 17
211
20
15 4
1
7 15
15
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
10 12
7
10
5 16
7%
5
5
5
1
0 0
Not Regulated Partly Regulated Strictly Total Not Regulated Partly Regulated Regulated Strictly Regulated
Regulated Regulated Responsible
XX = % Total Market
1: Much of this growth is driven by Yogurt, excluding yogurt would lead to a CAGR for Partly Regulated of 16% over the 19 remaining deepdives.
Source: IRI database 2013 & 20 deepdives combined
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 33
While certification is trusted by consumers, they do not trust
information from companies
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Non-government organizations or pressure groups 38 Consumers do
not trust
Retailers and their own labels of responsible products 38
information
Government agencies 36 from
The supplier/producer website 34 companies,
Industry associations 31 especially not
advertising
Newspapers, television, radio 29
Advertisements 21
0 20 40 60 80
Note: Indicated as trusted as more than 50% of respondents indicate they (fully) trust this source 6 out of 15 option
Source: Survey Responsible Consumer 2013
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 34
But your starting point as a brand really matters: two A-brands
with the same 'responsible' offer are not equally preferred
Category: Coffee
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
36 +3% of A-brand organic and fair trade product
31 42% with 50% premium
PL with uncertified organic and
24 25 fair trade claim with 25%
20
premium over own base
A brand 1 A brand 2
Note: A-brand 1 and A-brand B both leading A-brands in this category and country order of 1 and 2 is random
1. Specialized with 50% premium, Private label with 25% premium. Specialized and A-brand with certified organic and fair trade claim, PL with uncertified fair trade and organic claim
Source: Survey Responsible Consumer 2013 Simple Conjoint
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 35
Topics
Consumer drivers
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Implications
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 36
Two of Unilever categories were included in US research:
Shampoo and Hand & Body Lotion
2,289 11,703
10,000 294
318 300
489
737
738
838
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
935
5,000 943
999
1,218
1,605
0
Soap Frozen Margarine/ Shampoo Hair Tea Other Unilever
Novelties Spreads Conditioner Bags US
Ice Deodorant Mayonnaise Spaghetti/ Hair Hand Sales
Cream Italian Spray & Body
Sauce Lotion
Non Deepdive Category
Deepdive Category
Note: Products specified make up 80% of Unilever sales in the US 2013. Example images are not exhaustive
Source: IRI database - 2013
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 37
In the Shampoo market the 'responsible' segment accounts
for ~10% of sales and >60% of growth
80 80 35
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
60 60
91
100 100
40 40
65
20 20
9
0 0
Responsible1 Non Responsible Total Market Responsible Non Responsible Total Growth
1: Most claims are environmentally friendly claims such as; No sulfates. Other brands have organic claims; such as Organix. Claims are only registered if they are visibile on the packaging.
Note: Only products that make up 80% of market sales have been enriched, share rates might thus be underestimated
Source: IRI Database 2010-2013
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 38
3% of Unilever sales are from 'responsible' products, which is
below the market average of 8,5%
Contains products
80 with claims visibile on
packaging; in this
case Tresemm
Naturals 1 No
74 sulfates
60 78 (=environmentally
friendly)
97 97
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
40
20
Responsible share 26 22
of total market 8,5%
0 3 3
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 Sales A Brands
(US, 2013, $M)
Not-Responsible
Responsible
1: Other Unilever Shampoo Brands include: Suave, Nexxus, Dove, Clear & Axe. Suave Naturals has not been classified as responsible as there are no claims made on the packaging (fragrances
inspired by nature. Note: Only products that make up 80% of market sales have been enriched, share rates might thus be underestimated
Source: IRI Database 2010-2013
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 39
While the 'responsible' segment grows with 25%, within
Unilever it only grows with 6%
'Responsible' growth 25% For all A brands, 'responsible' growth higher than non
vs. market average of 2% responsible Unilever smallest difference with 6 vs. 5%
CAGR (US, 2010-2013, %) CAGR (US, 2010-2013, %)
25 30
25 30
20 20
15
15 10
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
5 6
2 2
10 0
-1
5 -10
2 -12
0 -20
Responsible Total Market
Non-Responsible
Responsible
80 80 40
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
60 60
86
100 100
40 40
60
20 20
14
0 0
Responsible1 Non Responsible Total Market Responsible Non Responsible Total Growth
1: Most claims are natural claims such as; Made with Natural Ingredients & All Natural. Claims are only registered if they are visibile on the packaging.
Note: Only products that make up 80% of market sales have been enriched, share rates might thus be underestimated
Source: IRI Database 2010-2013
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 41
'Responsible' products make up 12% of Unilever sales in
Hand & Body Lotion, which is below the 14% market average
80
45 Contains products1
with claims visible on
packaging; An
example: St. Ives
60 Naturally Clear
88 Made with 100%
natural exfoliants 91
(=natural ingredients) 100
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
40
55
Responsible share 20
of total market 14%
12 9
0 0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 Sales A Brands
(US, 2013, M$)
Not-Responsible Responsible
1: Other Unilever brands in Hand & Body Lotion are Suave, Vaseline & Dove.
Note: Only products that make up 80% of market sales have been enriched, share rates might thus be underestimated
Source: IRI Database 2010-2013
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 42
'Responsible' segment growth rate 14%, while for most A
brands the non-responsible segment is shrinking (-4 to -13%)
5 4
10
2 2
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
0
5 -5 -4
3
-10 -9
-13
0 -15
Responsible Total Market
-1% 4% -13% 0%
Non-Responsible
Responsible
Quantitative findings
Consumer drivers
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Implications
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 44
A brands need to dive deep to understand category and brand
specific attitudes and redefine propositions end-2-end
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
What
does it Product Credibility
take? How to alter
Production
production?
What is
Consumer the
Revenues Costs How to reach my
attitudes business Marketing
target customer?
case?
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 45
Consumer Brand
attitudes credibility
Use IRI/GFK data to determine share, growth and premiums in the market
What is the current How much are the Are consumers willing to
'responsible' share? different claims growing? pay price premiums?
Define current 'responsible' Define historic and expected Investigate premiums that
share for all relevant growth of 'responsible' are currently paid in these
categories and countries products categories and countries
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Deliverable: make a first prioritization of categories/markets
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 46
Consumer Brand
attitudes credibility
Understand competition and consumer preferences with market analyses and consumer research
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 47
Consumer Brand
attitudes credibility
Understand preferences, purchase drivers and underlying attitudes with a quant and qual
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Deliverable: understand starting point, drivers of choice
and right to win to set ambition and priorities
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 48
How to
Proposition Brand
tackle?
Business
Revenues Costs
case
Define a proposition, decide on product and claim, and calculate the business case
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
it take? Which ingredients? How to include 'responsibility' on product
packaging?
What are my expected revenues? What are the expected product costs?
What is What is are the expected sales of the product? What are the expected sourcing and
the How are sales expected to evolve over time? production costs?
business What are the sources of growth (eg What are the expected distribution, A&P
case? cannibalization) vs no action scenario and indirect costs?
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 49
How to make, buy,
Brand
or create?
Marketing
How to alter?
How to reach my
target customer?
How do I buy, make or create the right brand for this product?
Brand Are there any specialty brands for sale that match my needs? To buy or distribute/partner?
How do I use my A-brand to match my 'responsible' proposition?
What should my flanker or new brand look like to create credibility?
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
What should I change in my production?
Production Which alterations are necessary to get the right claim?
Should I partner with organizations to get the right production methods?
Am I able to do this myself, or should I outsource?
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 50
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Thank you
bcg.com | bcgperspectives.com
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 51
Backup
Example: Azabu Takano, a 'responsible' Japanese brand,
shows annual growth rates of >30%
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
They offer a variety of both fair trade and organic
products. They also offer some natural products 10
9
7
This brand is sold in specialized stores and on
their own website, and has focused all marketing 5
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
+67% 3
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
2
free
2
This brand is sold in specialized stores and 2
supermarkets, and has focused all marketing
1
efforts on being 'responsible' 1
Sold in specialty stores and supermarkets
Marketed as ''responsible', slave labor free fair-
0
trade product' that fights to make consumers
2009 2010 2011 2012
conscious of practices ongoing in cacao-industry.
+16% 11.7
10.1
10 9.0
8.0
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
0
2009 2010 2011 2012
0.5
0
2009 2010 2011 2012
Source: web and press search, Whole foods year report 2012, The Fresh Market annual report 2012
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 55
THIS DOCUMENT CONTAINS PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION OF THE BOSTON CONSULTING GROUP AND INFORMATION RESOURCES, INC.
Natural Personal Care Brand Smoothie brand owned by Icecream brand owned by
owned by Colgate-Palmolive Coca Cola Unilever
Yearly net sales growth1 11% Yearly net sales growth2 26% Yearly net sales growth1 4%
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Natural Personal Care Brand Fruit Juice brand owned by Organic foods brand owned by
owned by Johnson & Johnson Coca Cola General Mills
Yearly net sales growth1 8% Yearly net sales growth3 36% Yearly net sales growth1 12%
1: 2010-2013, see slides dedicated to brand for information on which product categories these growth numbers are based. 2: 2009-2012 3. 2011-2013
Source: IRI Database (US Sales, 2010-2013) & Britvic Soft Drinks Reports 2009-2012 for Innocent
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 56
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Backup
Example: Toms of Maine, a natural personal care brand
owned by Colgate, shows annual growth rates of 11%
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
products on animals
20
This brand is sold in specialized stores and
supermarkets, and has focused all marketing
efforts on being a specialized 'responsible' brand 10
Sold in specialty stores and supermarkets
Marketed as a natural and healthy brand. It
0
argues that being part of Palmolive has not
2010 2011 2012 2013
changed anything.
Source: Website Tom's of Maine & IRI database Dental Care 2010-2013
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 57
Backup
Example: Innocent, a 'responsible' smoothie brand owned by
Coca-Cola, shows annual growth rates of 26%
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
123
Innocent claims that it tries to get much of its
107
ingredients from Rainforest alliance certified
100
suppliers and all of the ingredients are natural
1: Sales in the UK market for take-home drinks (where Innocent gains the majority of its revenues)
Source: Website Innocent, Coca Cola Annual Report 2012, Britvic Softdrinks Report 2013-2012-2011-2010
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 58
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Backup
Example: Ben & Jerry's, a 'responsible' icecream brand
owned by Unilever, shows annual growth rates of ~4%
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Most of their ice-cream has fair trade ingredients,
447 458 480
is GMO-free and comes from animals who are 412
free range 200
1: Sales in the US icecream & frozen novelties market . Frozen novelties are 'smaller'' icecream around 4OZ while icecream is above 10OZ.
Source: Websites Unilever, Ben & Jerry's and B-Corp 'How can Ben & Jerry be a B-corp'. IRI database 2010-2013 Icecream & Frozen Novelties.
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 59
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Backup
Example: Aveeno, a personal care brand owned by Johnson
& Johnson, shows annual growth rates of 8%
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Their products focus on natural ingredients that
are rigorously tested and can be trusted to have 100
no detrimental benefits on health
1: Sales in the US in Hand & Body Lotion, Shampoo , shaving cream and facial cosmetics.
Source: Aveeno website & IRI Database 2010-2013
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 60
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Backup
Example: Zico, a natural coconut drink brand owned by Coca
Cola, shows annual growth rates of 36%
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
They only use natural pure coconut juice 11
10
This brand is sold through various channels, and
has focused marketing efforts on being a natural
and healthy brand 5
Sold in supermarkets, lunchrooms and more 2
Marketed as a natural and healthy brand for 0
athletic types.
2010 2011 2012 2013
100 93
Main focus of this brand is Organic Claims
They have many producs that are USDA certified
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
80
organic and/or claims that say they are made
from organic ingredients
50
This brand is sold through various channels, and
has focused marketing efforts on being a natural
and healthy brand
Sold in supermarkets, lunchrooms and more 0
Marketed as a natural and healthy brand for
2010 2011 2012 2013
athletic types.
Organic Dairy brand owned by Juice brand owned by Campbell Organic tomato brand owned by
Dannon Targeted at natural ingredients General Mills
Yearly net sales growth -5% Yearly net sales growth -6% Yearly net sales growth -12%
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Natural food brand owned by Ecological cleaning brand of
All natural yogurt line of Dannon
Kellogg Chlorox
Yearly net sales growth of -9%
Yearly net sales growth of -5% Yearly net sales growth of -30%
Note: net sales growth determined from category deepdives only in investigated categories in the US
Source: IRI Database (US Sales, 2010-2013)
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 63
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Backup
Example: Stonyfield Farm, an organic dairy brand owned by
Danone, shows annual growth rates of -5%
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
All of their dairy is organic (USDA certified), has
no GMO's, no artificial hormones and no
200
pesticides used.
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Association and the Produce for better health 200
foundation
Description Muir Glen Organic US net sales declining with 12% p.a.
Muir Glen Organic is an organic tomato brand of Muir Glen Organic- Net Sales1 (US, $M)
General Mills 10
The company has been founded in 1991 and has
been acquired by General Mills
-12%
The brand sells all kind of tomato-based 8 7
7
products, like pasta sauce and ketchup 7
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
5
processing of tomatoes
All ingredients have the USDA organic seal
4
No chemical additives are used in production
438
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Foods are minimally processed
Food does not contain synthetic colors, artificial
flavors, preservatives or sweeteners 200
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
that are naturally derived 23
Products are acknowledged by the EPAs 20
design for the environment program 16
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
More health benefits than other yogurts
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
1.54 2.79 3.40
0 1 2 0 1 2 3 4 0 1 2 3 4
80 77
71 71 70 69 69 68 66 64 63 63 63 61 60 58 58
60 56 56
51 49
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
40
20
0
Fresh Coffee Fresh Dairy Paper Tea House Laundry Cosme Pasta/ Juices Skin Personal Candy Hair Water Baby Pet Ready Salty
fruit and meats products hold deter tics rice care cleansing and care food care made snacks
vegetables cleaning gents chocolate meals
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
measured 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
specific claim 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Category
deepdives show
comparable
breadth of offer in
other countries2
1. Extrapolating the 16% share (from US total market) to sales in other developed countries including US, developed countries as defined by the OECD list 2. This shows part of the 'responsible'
coffee offering at Tesco's only groceries website; claims range from the Rainforest Alliance to Fair Trade and even Organic Claims. This is only a segment of all 'responsible' coffee sold, the PL Tesco
even sells ~10 'responsible' coffee products itself. Source: IRI database, Euromonitor Database BCG analyses, Press Research
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 72
Backup
Price premium of edible 'responsible' products ranges from
~13-110% per category and country
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
20
+40%
+47%
10
+44% +95% +110%
Non-Responsible
Responsible
0
Fruit Juice Fruit Juice Fruit Juice Coffee2 Coffee2 Coffee2
1. Weights all prices on sales and corrected for volume per serving - outliers excluded 2. Excluding coffee pads/UK instant coffee instead of ground coffee
Note: France and German database are more strict on classifying what is responsible and what is not results may therefore differ from UK
Source: IRI database 2014, BCG analysis
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 73
Backup
Growth of A-brands above average in France, but share of
'Responsible' is very low
% CAGR 'Responsible' growth per brand type France Share of 'Responsible' per brand type France ('13)
%
('10-'13)
30
100% 1% 0%
25 6%
27%
20
15 80%
14 49%
54% 45%
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
10 7 7 60%
0 50%
0 40%
-1 -1 -1
36%
-5 -5 39% 48%
-10 20% 9%
-14 14% 13%
6%
-20 0% 1%
Coffee Fruit Juice Household Personal Care
Coffee Fruit Juice Household Personal Care
Cleaner A-brand
Cleaner
Specialized
Private label
Other
A-brand growth rates below average... ...and share of 'responsible' often low
%
CAGR 'Responsible' growth per brand type Germany Share of 'Responsible' per brand type Germany ('13)
%
50 ('10-'13) 45
100%
40 9% 7%
33 12%
30
80% 21% 25% 46%
20 17
12
9
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
10 8
60%
0 39%
0 93%
40% 49%
-10 36%
-20 -17
-20 20%
-30 29%
16% 18%
-40 -35
0%
Coffee Fruit Juice Household Personal Care A-brand Coffee Fruit Juice Household Personal Care
Cleaner Cleaner
Specialized
Private label
Other
1. Only private label data available is from Aldi and this is only available for edible categories, hence private label share and growth rates will be underestimated
Note: Data for Germany only includes strict claims for edible categories
Source: IRI database 2014, BCG analysis
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 75
Backup
Growth of A-brands above average in UK, and shares of
'Responsible' are high
% CAGR 'Responsible' growth per brand type UK Share of 'Responsible' per brand type UK ('13)
%
('12-'13)
30
100%
20 19
15 16 15 80%
10 9
7
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
2 75% 80%
60%
88% 89%
0
40%
-10
20%
-20
-20 22% 14%
9% 7%
3% 4% 5% 4%
-30 0%
Coffee1 Fruit Juice Household Personal Care Coffee Fruit Juice Household Personal Care
Cleaner A-brand Cleaner
Specialized
Other
1. Coffee CAGR is '10-'13 as it is the only category with data of '10 available in the UK
Note: Data UK includes weak claims
Source: IRI database 2014, BCG analysis
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 76
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100
80
60
40
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
20
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Baby food Cold cereal Yogurt Snack bars Soup Milk Coffee Dog food Laundry detergent
Bottled Cookies Dental care
juices Frozen dinners Cosmetics
Hand & Body lotion Shaving cream
Trash & food bags Shampoo
Household cleaner Paper towels
Social & Fair Trade Local Natural Sales
Environment friendly Organic/ Bio (2013, $B, US)
Environment
friendly claims
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Local and
seasonal
claims
Natural claims
CAGR (10-13)1
40
Environment Friendly
20
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Local and seasonal
Natural2
10
Organic/ Bio
0
0 2 4 6 8 10
% share 20131
Sales (US, Deep dive categories 2013)
1. In deepdive categories 2. excluding outliers in 5 categories, with those included growth rate ~5%
Source: IRI database 2010-2013, BCG analysis
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 79
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Backup
Natural and Organic/Bio are most important today, but
highest growth in Environmental and Fair&Social
'Natural' & 'organic/bio' claims make up Highest growth rates in Social & Fair
80% of today's volume Trade segment with 33% p.a.
Total Sales (US, 2013, $B) CAGR 2010-2013 (US, Deepdive Categories, %)
20 8,5 3,2 1,7 1,3 0,7 15,3 40
1 17
1 1 33
2 1
15 30
4 2
25
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
4
10
10 20 18
121
5 10 10 8
7%
5
0 0
Natural Organic/ Environment Local Social & Total Natural Organic/ Bio Environment Local Social &
Bio Friendly Fair Trade Responsible Friendly Fair Trade
XX = % Total Market
1. Excluding outliers 12%, including outliers in Milk, Yogurt, Snack Bars, Bottled Juices & Baby Food 5%
Source: IRI database 2013 & 20 deepdives combined
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 80
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Food: Environmental and Social with highest Household & Personal care: Local & seasonal
growth with very high growth
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Organic/ Bio
20 20
Natural
Local and seasonal
Natural2
10 10
Organic/ Bio Environment Friendly
0 0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 0 1 2 3 4
1. In deepdive categories 2. excluding outliers in 5 categories, with those included growth rated lower than organic 3.CAGR of over 300% of local claims due to the almost non-existence of the
segment in 2010 (3 million $) and now over 220 million $ mostly in paper towels due to brand "Brawny". Source: IRI database 2010-2013, BCG analysis
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 81
Consumer research shows increasing importance in purchase
decisions: 'responsible' at par with price and brand
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
'Responsible
34
claim
Price 31
0 10 20 30 40
8
15
+14% +35% +63%
6 +40%
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
10 8.8 4 5
7.7 4
4
3
0% +17% 3 3
5
2.7 2.7 2
1.6 1.9
0 0
Dannon Light Campbells Tomato Star bucks Dannon/ Stonyfield Colgate/Toms Suave/ St Ives
n fit/ all natural Soup/ 100% whole bean / Strawberry 32oz of maine 4.7 Skin Moisturizer
vanilla 32oz natural (19/18.7oz) fair trade 12oz toothpaste (18oz/21oz)
4.2
+47%
4
3.5
+10% 3.4
3 2.8
2.5
2.4
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
2
0
A brand Private label brand Specialized responsible brand
1. Weights all prices for all 'responsible' claims to all non 'responsible' prices, weighted by sales and corrected for volume per serving
Source: IRI database 2013
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11 12
17 82 +4
40 10
8
28
+2
46
20 40 5 4
3
16 1
2
5
0 0
Not regulated Partly Regulated Strictly A brands Private Label Specialized brands
regulated regulated
Other2 Private label brand Not and partly regulated
Specialized responsible brand A brand (Strictly) regulated
1. Based on Natural and Organic sales other claims expected to show comparable results 2. other brands are other generic brands with non-'responsible' and 'responsible' alternatives Note: IRI
categories distributed as a) not regulated: Other Natural and Contains Natural Ingredients, b) partly regulated Other Organic, No artificial ingredients and All Natural , c) regulated Made with Organic
Ingredients, d) strictly regulated USDA/Certified organic and 100% Organic Source: IRI database 2013
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 85
'Responsible' products used to trade up and play at premium
price point
4 +31%
3.0 +80%
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
+32%
2.3 2.3 +53%
2 1.8 +38%
1.4 1.4
1.3
0.9 1.0
0.7
0
Carrefour caffenevrij Sainsbury Orange Tesco Milk / AH all purpose AH yoghurt / puur
/ solidair 0,25 kg Juice/ Organic 1 litre Organic (2.27 litre) cleaner lemon / & eerlijk 1 litre
puur & eerlijk (litre)
Non responsible
Responsible
Carrefour
Puur & only offers a
eerlijk main special rubric
(and first) for ecological
hit when products (the
'biological' segment it is
is selected most active
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
in
Clear
'responsible' Carrefour does
products not not sell many
labeled (e.g. 'responsible'
'Eat Natural') brands on its
while Puur & website mostly
Eerlijk its own (e.g. no
products are fair trade coffee
labeled but Carrefour's)
'Source: Press search, Albert Heijn website, Albert Heijn store visit & Carrefour Website
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 87
Specialized 'responsible' brands showing annual growth
rates of 30-70%
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Green Mountain - Net Sales ($B)
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
6
+67% 4
4
3
2 1
0 1
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
1. Fairtrade USA no longer part of Fairtrade international in 2012. Sales figures of Fair Trade USA 2011 have been added to 2012 sales
Source: Annual Reports Fair Trade, Annual Report Green Mountian Coffee Roasters, Annual reportTony Chocolonely 2012, press search, Orbis Database.
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 88
Consumers indicate a lot of confusion about 'responsible'
offers, leading to distrust
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
'responsible' product'
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
'Responsible' products are 'Responsible' products are 'Responsible' products are
more healthy and tasty better for my skin and hair safer for my children
'Responsible' products help 'Responsible' products are 'Responsible' products are less
local farmers better for the environment bad for the environment
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Fresh fruit Shampoo Coffee Snack Bars Soup
Food
Non-food
Note: deep dive categories used as a starting point, augmented with other categories for local/seasonal & social and fair trade claims
Source: IRI database 2013 & BCG analysis
Responsible Consumer - Unilever discussion 21st July 2015.pptx Draftfor discussion only 91
Consumers have a strong opinion about A-brand credibility
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
'This is not really a natural
'I highly trust this brand, this is
product, this is only a
really 'responsible''
marketing strategy'
US consumers trust Dannon far more.. .. than the French trust Danone
'Yes, Dannon makes good quality products, I 'This is not really a natural product, this is only a
would try their 'responsible' product' marketing strategy'
'I trust Dannon to be able to make a good 'Danone only expresses 'responsibility to make
'responsible' product' more profit'
Copyright 2013 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
'Dannon seems too large to produce 'responsible' 'If I would have known Les Deux Vaches is owned
products, but I think I would still try it' by Danone, I would have never bought it'
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