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Math As Level 9709 Nov 2015 question paper 73

Math As Level 9709 Nov 2015 question paper 73

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MATHEMATICS 9709/73

Paper 7 Probability & Statistics 2 (S2) October/November 2015

1 hour 15 minutes

Additional Materials: Answer Booklet/Paper

*5253492583*

Graph Paper

List of Formulae (MF9)

If you have been given an Answer Booklet, follow the instructions on the front cover of the Booklet.

Write your Centre number, candidate number and name on all the work you hand in.

Write in dark blue or black pen.

You may use an HB pencil for any diagrams or graphs.

Do not use staples, paper clips, glue or correction fluid.

DO NOT WRITE IN ANY BARCODES.

Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place in the case of angles in

degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.

The use of an electronic calculator is expected, where appropriate.

You are reminded of the need for clear presentation in your answers.

At the end of the examination, fasten all your work securely together.

The number of marks is given in brackets [ ] at the end of each question or part question.

The total number of marks for this paper is 50.

Questions carrying smaller numbers of marks are printed earlier in the paper, and questions carrying larger

numbers of marks later in the paper.

JC15 11_9709_73/2R

UCLES 2015 [Turn over

2

1 It is known that the number, N , of words contained in the leading article each day in a certain

newspaper can be modelled by a normal distribution with mean 352 and variance 29. A researcher

takes a random sample of 10 leading articles and finds the sample mean, N , of N .

(i) State the distribution of N , giving the values of any parameters. [2]

2 The number of calls received per 5-minute period at a large call centre has a Poisson distribution

with mean ,, where , > 30. If more than 55 calls are received in a 5-minute period, the call centre

is overloaded. It has been found that the probability of being overloaded during a randomly chosen

5-minute period is 0.01. Use the normal approximation to the Poisson distribution to obtain a quadratic

equation in , and hence find the value of ,. [5]

3 From a random sample of 65 people in a certain town, the proportion who own a bicycle was noted.

From this result an !% confidence interval for the proportion, p, of all people in the town who own a

bicycle was calculated to be 0.284 < p < 0.516.

(i) Find the proportion of people in the sample who own a bicycle. [1]

T

k 4 x2 2 x 2,

f x =

0 otherwise,

where k is a constant.

32 . [3]

(ii) Sketch the graph of y = f x and hence write down the value of E X . [2]

5 (a) Narika has a die which is known to be biased so that the probability of throwing a 6 on any

1 . She uses an approximating distribution to calculate the probability of obtaining no

throw is 100

6s in 450 throws. Find the percentage error in using the approximating distribution for this

calculation. [4]

(b) Johan claims that a certain six-sided die is biased so that it shows a 6 less often than it would if

the die were fair. In order to test this claim, the die is thrown 25 times and it shows a 6 on only

2 throws. Test at the 10% significance level whether Johans claim is justified. [5]

3

6 Parcels arriving at a certain office have weights W kg, where the random variable W has mean - and

standard deviation 0.2. The value of - used to be 2.60, but there is a suspicion that this may no longer

be true. In order to test at the 5% significance level whether the value of - has increased, a random

sample of 75 parcels is chosen. You may assume that the standard deviation of W is unchanged.

(i) The mean weight of the 75 parcels is found to be 2.64 kg. Carry out the test. [4]

(ii) Later another test of the same hypotheses at the 5% significance level, with another random

sample of 75 parcels, is carried out. Given that the value of - is now 2.68, calculate the

probability of a Type II error. [5]

7 The diameter, in cm, of pistons made in a certain factory is denoted by X , where X is normally

distributed with mean - and variance 3 2 . The diameters of a random sample of 100 pistons were

measured, with the following results.

The pistons are designed to fit into cylinders. The internal diameter, in cm, of the cylinders is denoted

by Y , where Y has an independent normal distribution with mean 2.12 and variance 0.000 144. A

piston will not fit into a cylinder if Y X < 0.01.

(ii) Using your answers to part (i), find the probability that a randomly chosen piston will not fit into

a randomly chosen cylinder. [6]

4

BLANK PAGE

Permission to reproduce items where third-party owned material protected by copyright is included has been sought and cleared where possible. Every reasonable

effort has been made by the publisher (UCLES) to trace copyright holders, but if any items requiring clearance have unwittingly been included, the publisher will

be pleased to make amends at the earliest possible opportunity.

To avoid the issue of disclosure of answer-related information to candidates, all copyright acknowledgements are reproduced online in the Cambridge International

Examinations Copyright Acknowledgements Booklet. This is produced for each series of examinations and is freely available to download at www.cie.org.uk after

the live examination series.

Cambridge International Examinations is part of the Cambridge Assessment Group. Cambridge Assessment is the brand name of University of Cambridge Local

Examinations Syndicate (UCLES), which is itself a department of the University of Cambridge.

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