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Homework

on the homework, but it is important that you do your own work.

Before working with someone else on the assignment, you should

attempt each problem on your own.

Suppose there is a large can of mixed nuts available for purchase at the

store. The label states that 20% of the nuts are peanuts. You purchase the

can and pull out a sample of n=100 nuts and count x=12 peanuts. Use

this information to answer questions 1 through 11.

1 Are the requirements met to construct a 95% confidence interval for the

true proportion of peanuts in the can?

Np^ =or>10

N(1-p^) =or> 10

2 Find p , the point estimate of the proportion of peanuts in the can.

.12

3 Construct and interpret a 90% confidence interval for the true proportion

of peanuts in the can.

6.7% and 17.3%

You suspect that the true proportion of peanuts in the can is less than 20%.

Conduct a hypothesis test to test your theory. Use a level of significance of

=0.05 .

5 Find p , the point estimate of the proportion of peanuts in the can.

.12

Ho p=.2

Ha p not=.2

-2

.0228

9 Label the test statistic and shade the P-value on a sampling distribution

curve. Note: You can either sketch the distribution curve and

scan in your document or use the snipping tool to paste a

picture of the distribution curve here. Click here for instructions

on how to use the snipping tool.

10 What decision do you make based on the P-value and the level of

significance ( )?

There is sufficient evidence to suggest the proportion of peanuts is less

than 20%.

As of 1 Nov 2009, there have been 185,067 confirmed cases of the Swine Flu

(H1N1) in the Americas. Out of these patients, a total of 4399 have died from

the disease.

12 Construct and interpret a 95% confidence interval for the true proportion

of people who contract this disease that will die.

(0.023, 0.024) 95% confidence the true proportion is in between those

two numbers

Avian Influenza A (H5N1), commonly called the bird flu, is a very deadly

strain related to the H1N1 virus. As of 22 September 2009, there have been

442 laboratory-confirmed cases of this virus in humans world-wide. Of these,

262 have resulted in death.

13 Construct and interpret a 95% confidence interval for the true proportion

of people who would die if infected with this disease.

these two numbers

14 Compare the results from questions 12 and 13. Which of these viruses is

more deadly? Justify your answer.

The H5N1 is more deadly over the people ie while swine flu has only a

2% fatality rate.

of BYU-Idaho students who cover their mouth and nose when they sneeze or

cough. Use this information to answer questions 15 and 16.

15 Assume that no prior information is known. How many people would you

have to survey to obtain a margin of error of 4% with 90% confidence?

423

16 Suppose for the same question that there had been a prior study done.

That study found that 73% of those surveyed did cover their mouth and

nose. Use the estimate p =0.73 to determine the number of people

would you have to survey to obtain a margin of error of 4% with 90%

confidence?

334

First Data Corp. records indicate that in 2005 43% of adult email users

received a "phishing" email. A phishing email replicates an authentic site for

the purpose of stealing personal information such as account numbers and

passwords. Suppose a random sample of 800 adults is surveyed on whether

they received any phishing emails in 2012 and 324 respond that they did.

Conduct a hypothesis test to see if this indicates that the true proportion of

adults who received phishing emails in 2012 was different than 43%. Use a

level of significance of =0.05 . Use this information to answer questions 17

through 24.

17 Illustrate the phishing email data using a pie chart and a bar chart. For a

refresher on how to do this, see Bro. Cromar's video for SPSS or this

document for Excel.

Chart Title

no yes

Np =or>10 334

19 Find p , the traditional estimator of the true proportion of adults who

received phishing emails.

.405

Ho p=.43

Ha p not=.43

-1.428

.1532

23 What decision do you make based on the P-value and the level of

significance ( )?

Fail to reject

24 State your conclusion in an English sentence.

phishing emails is different than .43

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