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NOVA SCOTIA - MAY 28, 2017

Methodology About Mainstreet


Mainstreet surveyed a stratied random sample of With 20 years of political experience at all three
1,200 Nova Scotians from May 28, 2017 through levels of government, President and CEO Quito
Chimera IVR. Respondents were screened to Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
conrm voting eligibility. Landline and Cell lines public aairs.
were included. Responses were weighed using
demographic information to targets based on the Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet
2011 Census. Research has provided accurate snapshots of
public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP
The margin of error for survey results is 2.81 government in Alberta, a majority Liberal
percentage points, 19 times out of 20. For Halax government in British Columbia and a majority
CMA specic results, the margin of error is 4.75 Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has
percentage points, 19 times out of 20. For Cape been the most accurate polling rm in several by
Breton CMA specic results, the margin of error is elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral
5.52 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. For election. Most recently, Mainstreet Research was
Rest of Nova Scotia specic results, the margin of the only polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal
error is 4.55 percentage points, 19 times out of majority government in the 2015 federal election.
20. The response rate for this survey was 5%.
Contact Information
In Ottawa: Quito Maggi, President
quito@mainstreetresearch.ca

In Montral: David Valentin, Executive Vice


President. david@mainstreetresearch.ca

In Toronto: Dr. Joseph Angolano, Vice President


joseph@mainstreetresearch.ca

Find us online at:


www.mainstreetresearch.ca
twitter.com/MainStResearch
facebook.com/mainstreetresearch
EMBARGOED UNTIL: 5 AM AST, MAY 29, 2017

NS LIBERALS FINISH CAMPAIGN WITH LEAD

May 29, 2017 (Ottawa, ON) A new Mainstreet/iPolitics poll nds the Nova Scotia Liberals nishing the
election ahead of the NS PCs with a solid lead. The Mainstreet/iPolitics poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.81
percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

Were more or less back to where we started at the beginning of the campaign said Quito Maggi,
President of Mainstreet Research. The PCs are up from the beginning of the campaign, and the NDP are
down somewhat, but the Liberals continue to lead, now in both the Greater Halifax Area and the Rest of
Nova Scotia (which does not include Cape Breton CMA).

Among Decided & Leaning Voters: Liberals 41% (+4), PCs 33% (-1), NDP 22% (-3), Greens 4% (-)

One consistent problem for the Liberals has been female voters, a problem that now seems to have
resolved itself. The Liberals now tie with the PCs among female voters. We have been watching the Liberals
continually dominating with male voters and the continues in this survey.

The Liberals regional leads points to a Liberal government on Tuesday. How vote splits will aect
individual ridings is tough to predict, incumbents are typically able to outperform regional numbers and
with the size of the average riding relatively small, local candidates can make more of an impact since they
are able to meet more voters on a one-on-one basis. With a lead of 7 percentage points the Liberals are in
a healthy positon. In the nal phase of the campaign get-out-the-vote eorts are more important than
anything else. Election Day will show which campaigns were successful at convincing their voters to head
to the polls, nished Maggi.

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For additional information or to arrange an interview, contact:

David Valentin, Executive Vice-President, (514) 913-5524 - david@mainstreetresearch.ca


Among All Voters