CALCULATION:

Following are the number of students left India for higher

studies in the last 5 years:

Year 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013

No of 5.2 8.7 9.1 10.3 11.5
students(mi
llion)

Let the exponential trend equation be

Tt = abt , with origin at 2009 and unit of t as 2 years.

or, log Tt = log a + t(log b)

= A + Bt , where A = log a, B = log b.

Necessary calculations are shown below :

FITTING EXPONENTIAL TREND TO THE DATA ON

POPULATION

Year t = (Year No of log yt tlog t2

2009)/10 students (yt) yt
(million)
2005 -2 5.2 0.716 - 4
2007 -1 8.7 0 1.432 1
2009 0 9.1 0.939 - 0
2011 1 10.3 5 0.939 1
2013 2 11.5 0.959 0 4
0 -
 1.012 1.012
8 2.121
1.060
6
Total 0 - 3.776 0.761 10
3 7

Substituting the values in the normal equations

log yt = 5a + Bt and t.log yt = At + Bt2

we get,

3.7763 = 5A

And, 0.7617 = 10B

So that, A = 0.75526, B = 0.07617

Thus, a = antilog 0.75526 = 5.6919

b = antilog 0.07617 = 1.1917

Hence the equation of the exponential trend is

Tt = 5.6919 (1.1917)t , with origin 2009 and 2 years as

unit t.

For the 2036, t = 13.5 so that,

log T13.5 = 5.6919 + 1.1917 13.5 = 21.77 milliion (app.)

CONCLUSION:

Thus, after 20 years the number of imigrant students,

becomes a horrified number of 22 millions which is the 7 %
of the students of India at 10 + 2 level year every year!
According to Forbes Magazine, in 2016 most number of
students has migrated from India due to brain drain in the
World. Most shocking fact is the number of immigrant
scientists and engineers of India in the US has risen to
18%. It is very hard to find any logical answer to the
question How to really stop the brain drain? Though
government has taken many steps regarding this matter
but this project shows why those stipulations still are not
able to create any antagonism to this drainage of
knowledge. The only way to stop this is by changing the
very basic structure of education in India which in my
opinion lacks incentive to meritorius students and
innovation. And if these drains shall not be closed swiftly
then it is very hard even for us to stay in this country for
higher education only being an infliction of patriotism.
REFERENCE:

Brain Drain & Brain Gain by Titu Boeri

Brain Drain The Breakthrough That Wil Change Your
Life by Charles F. Glassman
www. Ndtv . net
www. news18 . net