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You are on page 1of 5

EXAMINATIONS

Subject CT3 Probability & Mathematical Statistics

Time allowed: Three Hours (10.30 13.30 Hours)

Total Marks: 100

1. Please read the instructions inside the cover page of answer booklet and

instructions to examinees sent along with hall ticket carefully and follow

without exception

2. Mark allocations are shown in brackets.

3. Attempt all questions, beginning your answer to each question on a separate

sheet. However, answers to objective type questions could be written on the

same sheet.

4. Please check if you have received complete Question Paper and no page is

missing. If so, kindly get new set of Question Paper from the Invigilator.

Please return your answer book and this question paper to the supervisor separately.

IAI CT3 0317

Q. 1) The following are the marks scored by 24 students in a theory paper conducted for 60

marks:

22 31 26 22

19 21 33 27

53 27 34 27

46 30 21 30

17 60 36 32

26 33 27 33

[5]

Q. 2) Obtain the recursive relation for the binomial distribution of the form

probabilities 0.20, 0.10 and 0.70 to reach his office. The probabilities that he reaches

office on time by respectively are 0.85, 0.80 and 0.95.

On a particular day, he does not reach office on time. Calculate the probability that he

chose route B. [3]

binomial random variable with parameters independent of

and variance of S. (3)

ii) Calculate the approximate probability that exceeds the value 60,000. (3)

[6]

Q. 5) Let the random variables X and Y have joint probability density function (pdf)

Page 2 of 5

IAI CT3 0317

iv) Compute

Hence, verify = (5)

[12]

i) Derive the Moment Generating Function of X, from first principles and hence

obtain its Cumulant Generating Function. (4)

[8]

Q. 7) A stock trader has 100 shares of a company and adopts a random strategy for buying/

selling of shares based on the outcomes of a die roll at each trading session. The strategy

is:

1 Do nothing

2 or 4 Buy one share

3 or 5 Sell one share

6 Buy two shares.

Calculate an approximate probability that after 18 independent trading sessions the trader

will have more than 110 shares of the company. [5]

Q. 8) A random sample of 10 bulbs are selected and their survival times (in months) are

recorded as 1,1,1,2,3,4,7,7,8,16 and suppose that the survival times is as a random

variable from exponential distribution with mean 1/ .

iv) Obtain the Cramer- Rao Lower Bound (CRLB) for the variance of the estimator for

. (1)

[8]

Q. 9) The weights (in kgs) of a random sample of 10 adults who visited a retail store A on a

particular day are given below.

50, 55, 60, 60, 60, 70, 70, 70, 80, 85.

i) Calculate a 95% confidence interval for the true mean weight of the adults who

visited the store. (4)

ii) Calculate the minimum sample size required in order to obtain a 95% confidence

interval for the true mean to have a width of no more than 10 kgs. (2)

Page 3 of 5

IAI CT3 0317

The summary measures of weights of a random sample of 12 adults who have visited

retail store B on the same day are:

iii) Calculate 95% confidence interval for the difference in mean weights of the adults

who visited these stores and comment on the significant difference in their mean

weights. (4)

iv) Obtain a 90% confidence interval for ratio of the two variances of weights of adults

who have visited these stores and comment on the equality of variances. (3)

(Assume that the random samples are from normal populations). [13]

Q. 10) A random sample of size 1 is taken from a population with probability density function

i) Obtain the Most Powerful test of level = 0.05 for testing the null

hypothesis H0: =5 against the alternative H1: =4. (4)

[6]

Q. 11) A manufacturing consultant wishes to study the average life of the four brands of an

electronic device and selects a random sample of devices from each of the brands. Data

on the life (in hours) of the devices are given below:

Brand 1: 7, 13, 9, 4

Brand 2: 6, 8, 7, 9

Brand 3: 5, 7, 6, 9, 10, 3

Brand 4: 7, 9, 6, 8, 5

ii) Perform an analysis of variance, stating the assumption and the hypothesis tested. (7)

iii) Calculate 95% confidence interval for the underlying common variance 2 of the

lifetime of the devices. (3)

iv) Analyse the above data using the least significant difference approach based on the

highest and the lowest sample averages for given brands and suggest between these

two brands, which one you would likely prefer. (3)

[17]

Page 4 of 5

IAI CT3 0317

Q. 12) A local transit authority for a metropolitan city wants to determine whether there is any

relationship between the age of a bus and the daily maintenance cost. Data on a random

sample of 12 buses resulted in the following.

10 11 18 20 22 26 30 38 42 46 50 55

(in months)

Daily Maintenance

50 40 60 50 70 60 80 70 80 90 80 100

Cost (in Rs) (Y)

iii) Calculate the proportion of variability explained by this model and comment on the

(2)

result.

iv) Calculate a 95% confidence interval for the daily maintenance cost for an

(4)

individual bus aged 34 months.

[14]

**************************

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