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MTTF of last MTTF of last MTTF of last MTTF of last

36 TTFs 12 TTFs 6 TTFs 3 TTFs


407 464 479 505
TTFs 700
1 378
2 264 600
3 260 300.96233333
4 330 500
5 388 f(x) = 4.8966500
6 277 316.31566667 331.669 R = 0.41582921
400
7 294
8 423
300
9 444 387.05166667
10 389
11 477 200
12 367 357.62525 398.93483333 410.818
13 387 100
14 463
15 426 425.34566667 0
16 365 0 5 10
17 282
18 378 383.4535 341.56133333 Intercept =
19 326
20 425
21 405 385.519
22 485
23 449
24 415 400.54491667 417.63633333 449.75366667
25 338
26 411
27 509 419.44533333
28 454
29 471
30 507 448.39466667 477.344
31 393
32 561
33 407 453.84633333
34 460
35 449
36 607 407.37080556 463.94225 479.48983333 505.13333333
X Y
700 No. of failures (x)
MTBF (y) Intercept Slope
1 378.389 242.6947 2.426947
600 2 321.3615 242.6947 2.426947
3 300.9623 242.6947 2.426947
500 4 308.2168 242.6947 2.426947
f(x) = 4.8966500644x + 316.7827793651 5 324.2338 242.6947 2.426947
R = 0.4158292103 6 316.3157 242.6947 2.426947
400
7 313.1326 242.6947 2.426947
8 326.9259 242.6947 2.426947
300
9 339.8943 242.6947 2.426947
10 344.7965 242.6947 2.426947
200 11 356.8146 242.6947 2.426947
12 357.6253 242.6947 2.426947
100 13 359.8566 242.6947 2.426947
14 367.2401 242.6947 2.426947
0
15 371.1693 242.6947 2.426947
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 16 370.756 242.6947 2.426947
17 365.5376 242.6947 2.426947
Intercept = 316.7828 18 366.2347 242.6947 2.426947
Slope = 4.89665 19 364.1199 242.6947 2.426947
20 367.183 242.6947 2.426947
21 368.9896 242.6947 2.426947
22 374.2614 242.6947 2.426947
23 377.508 242.6947 2.426947
24 379.0851 242.6947 2.426947
25 377.4518 242.6947 2.426947
26 378.7361 242.6947 2.426947
27 383.5696 242.6947 2.426947
28 386.0774 242.6947 2.426947
29 389.0179 242.6947 2.426947
30 392.947 242.6947 2.426947
31 392.9554 242.6947 2.426947
32 398.2022 242.6947 2.426947
33 398.4833 242.6947 2.426947
34 400.297 242.6947 2.426947
35 401.6755 242.6947 2.426947
36 407.3708 242.6947 2.426947
245.1217
247.5486 450
249.9756
252.4025 400
254.8295
257.2564 350
259.6834
262.1103 300
264.5373
266.9642 250
MTBF (y)
269.3912
200 Column R
271.8181
274.2451
150
276.672
279.099 100
281.5259
283.9528 50
286.3798
288.8067 0
291.2337 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
293.6606
296.0876
298.5145
300.9415
303.3684
305.7954
308.2223
310.6493
313.0762
315.5032
317.9301
320.3571 trrend
322.784
325.211
327.6379
330.0648
MTBF (y)
Column R

40
Geometric gradient = 0.2 In this case, the more recent the data the more importance they have
Sum of weights = 9.92992

Weighted MTTF of the last 6 TTFs = 492


700
MTTF
TTFs 6 periods Weights
600
1 378
2 264
500
3 260 f(x) = 4.8966500644x + 316.7827793651
4 330 R = 0.4158292103
5 388 400
6 277 316.31566667
7 294 300
8 423
9 444 200
10 389
11 477 100
12 367 398.93483333
13 387 0
14 463 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
15 426
16 365
17 282 Intercept = 316.7828
18 378 383.4535 Slope = 4.89665
19 326
20 425
21 405
22 485
23 449
24 415 417.63633333
25 338
26 411
27 509
28 454
29 471
30 507 448.39466667
31 393 1 393.208
32 561 1.2 673.0236
33 407 1.44 586.76832
34 460 1.728 795.137472
35 449 2.0736 930.1049856
36 607 479.48983333 2.48832 1509.6761856
30 35 40
MTTF of last MTTF of last MTTF of last MTTF of last
36 TTFs 12 TTFs 6 TTFs 3 TTFs
407 464 479 505
TTFs 700
1 378
2 264 600
3 260 300.96233333
4 330 500
5 388 f(x) = 4.8966500
6 277 316.31566667 331.669 R = 0.41582921
400
7 294
8 423
300
9 444 387.05166667
10 389
11 477 200
12 367 357.62525 398.93483333 410.818
13 387 100
14 463
15 426 425.34566667 0
16 365 0 5 10
17 282
18 378 383.4535 341.56133333 Intercept =
19 326
20 425
21 405 385.519
22 485
23 449
24 415 400.54491667 417.63633333 449.75366667
25 338
26 411
27 509 419.44533333
28 454
29 471
30 507 448.39466667 477.344
31 393
32 561
33 407 453.84633333
34 460
35 449
36 607 407.37080556 463.94225 479.48983333 505.13333333
x y
700 No. of failures (x)TTFs Slope (m) Intercept
1 378 4.89665 316.7828
600 2 264 4.89665 316.7828
3 260 4.89665 316.7828
500 4 330 4.89665 316.7828
f(x) = 4.8966500644x + 316.7827793651 5 388 4.89665 316.7828
R = 0.4158292103 6 277 4.89665 316.7828
400
7 294 4.89665 316.7828
8 423 4.89665 316.7828
300
9 444 4.89665 316.7828
10 389 4.89665 316.7828
200 11 477 4.89665 316.7828
12 367 4.89665 316.7828
100 13 387 4.89665 316.7828
14 463 4.89665 316.7828
0
15 426 4.89665 316.7828
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 16 365 4.89665 316.7828
17 282 4.89665 316.7828
Intercept = 316.7828 18 378 4.89665 316.7828
Slope = 4.89665 19 326 4.89665 316.7828
20 425 4.89665 316.7828
21 405 4.89665 316.7828
22 485 4.89665 316.7828
23 449 4.89665 316.7828
24 415 4.89665 316.7828
25 338 4.89665 316.7828
26 411 4.89665 316.7828
27 509 4.89665 316.7828
28 454 4.89665 316.7828
29 471 4.89665 316.7828
30 507 4.89665 316.7828
31 393 4.89665 316.7828
32 561 4.89665 316.7828
33 407 4.89665 316.7828
34 460 4.89665 316.7828
35 449 4.89665 316.7828
36 607 4.89665 316.7828

700

600

500

400

300

200

100

0
123456789111111111122222222223333333
400

300

200

100

0
123456789111111111122222222223333333
012345678901234567890123456
Y=mx+c No. of failures (x)MTTF Slope Intercept Y=mx+c
321.6794 1 378 2.426947 319.7513 322.1782
450
326.5761 2 321 2.426947 319.7513 324.6052
331.4727 3 301 2.426947 319.7513 327.0321 400
336.3694 4 308 2.426947 319.7513 329.4591
341.266 5 324 2.426947 319.7513 331.886 350
346.1627 6 316 2.426947 319.7513 334.313
351.0593 7 313 2.426947 319.7513 336.7399 300
355.956 8 327 2.426947 319.7513 339.1669
360.8526 9 340 2.426947 319.7513 341.5938 250
365.7493 10 345 2.426947 319.7513 344.0208
200
370.6459 11 357 2.426947 319.7513 346.4477
375.5426 12 358 2.426947 319.7513 348.8747 150
380.4392 13 360 2.426947 319.7513 351.3016
385.3359 14 367 2.426947 319.7513 353.7286 100
390.2325 15 371 2.426947 319.7513 356.1555
395.1292 16 371 2.426947 319.7513 358.5825 50
400.0258 17 366 2.426947 319.7513 361.0094
0
404.9225 18 366 2.426947 319.7513 363.4363
1234567891111
409.8191 19 364 2.426947 319.7513 365.8633
0123
414.7158 20 367 2.426947 319.7513 368.2902
419.6124 21 369 2.426947 319.7513 370.7172
424.5091 22 374 2.426947 319.7513 373.1441
429.4057 23 378 2.426947 319.7513 375.5711
434.3024 24 379 2.426947 319.7513 377.998
439.199 25 377 2.426947 319.7513 380.425
444.0957 26 379 2.426947 319.7513 382.8519
448.9923 27 384 2.426947 319.7513 385.2789
453.889 28 386 2.426947 319.7513 387.7058
458.7856 29 389 2.426947 319.7513 390.1328
463.6823 30 393 2.426947 319.7513 392.5597
468.5789 31 393 2.426947 319.7513 394.9867
473.4756 32 398 2.426947 319.7513 397.4136
478.3722 33 398 2.426947 319.7513 399.8406
483.2689 34 400 2.426947 319.7513 402.2675
488.1655 35 402 2.426947 319.7513 404.6945
493.0622 36 407 2.426947 319.7513 407.1214

y TTFs
Y=mx+c

22222222223333333
y TTFs
Y=mx+c

22222222223333333
01234567890123456
450

400

350

300

250

200 MTTF
Y=mx+c
150

100

50

0
123456789111111111122222222223333333
012345678901234567890123456