You are on page 1of 27

The Utilization Of Information Technology In The Forex

Business

Yulli Sumarningsih

Email: yulli@email.unikom.com

Faculty of engineering and computer science, computer engineering Courses

Indonesia Computer University

Bandung,

2017
Table of Content

CHAPTER I................................................................................................................................................ 4
BACKGROUND ............................................................................................................................... 4
FORMULATION OF THE PROBLEM......................................................................................... 4
THE PURPOSE OF THE WRITING ............................................................................................. 5
THE BENEFITS OF WRITING ..................................................................................................... 5
LIMIT PROBLEM ........................................................................................................................... 5
CHAPTER II........................................................................................................................................... 6
II. 1 THE CONCEPT OF CURRENCY EXCHANGE ................................................................. 6
II. 2 Online Forex Trading System ...................................................................................................... 7
II. 3 The Forex Market ......................................................................................................................... 8
II. 4 The Purpose Of Forex Trading...................................................................................................... 8
II. 5 Forex Trading made a farm Business . ........................................................................................ 9
II. 6 FOREIGN CURRENCY TRANSLATION RELATIONSHIP WITH INFLATION ....................................... 9
II. 7 THE MOTIVE BEING AN ENTREPRENEUR .................................................................................. 10
II. 8 THE ENTREPRENEURIAL PROCESS .............................................................................................. 12
CHAPTER III ........................................................................................................................................... 13
The process and results ......................................................................................................................... 13
III. 1 Forex Trading Application Development .................................................................................. 13
III. 2 The Concept Of The Backpropagation Method ....................................................................... 13
III. 3 Analysis Of Forex Trading .......................................................................................................... 14
III. 3.1 The Process Of Prediction Rate .......................................................................................... 15
III. 3.2 Step Prediction Forex Trading ............................................................................................ 15
III. 4 Method of data collection:........................................................................................................ 16
III. 5 Learning Forex Trading Mode Using Neural Network............................................................... 25
CHAPTER IV ........................................................................................................................................... 26
Conclusion ........................................................................................................................................... 26
CHAPTER V ............................................................................................................................................ 27
Bibliography ........................................................................................................................................ 27

2
Abstract

Forex is basically a combination of the two words in the English language which is
"foreign" and "exchange". Foreign can meaning "stranger" or "overseas" while the Exchange
can be meant as an "Exchange", in this case the question is currency exchange. And when
combined, forex or foreign exchange can be analyzed as a foreign currency exchange
activities.

The prediction is one of the most important techniques in the conduct of the business
of forex. The decision in predicting is very important, because with prediction can help find
out the value of forex at a certain time in the future so as to reduce the risk of loss. The
purpose of this research is intended to predict business fores using model neural network time
series data per 1 minute to find out the value of the accuracy of the predictions so as to reduce
the risk in running the business of forex. Research on the method of this research include
method of collecting data is then submitted to a method of training, learning, testing using a
neural network. After the evaluation of the results of this study showed that application of
Neural Network algorithm capable to predict forex prediction accuracy +/-0431 0096 so with
this prediction can help reduce the risk of running forex.

Many Forex trading as a business in entrepreneurship, opening businesses Money


Changer any part in Forex Trading for lay people. Although the current Forex Trading is
done online that facilitate traders in memperjual traded foreign currencies.

Keywords: Prediction , Forex, Packpropagation

3
CHAPTER I
INTRODUCTION

BACKGROUND

Currently, lively with folks who do exchange currency Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) into
foreign exchange (FX) such persons are referred to as 'Trader '. Many of the traders using a
great variety of applications to exchange currency in this so-called 'Trade'. However, such
applications are merely useful when we as users have always been in front of the screen and
use it for 24 hours, and we just spent time in front of the application.

The existence of these problems, the author makes this scientific masterpiece with the hope to
develop an exchange of currencies that can be predicted up to 20 days. Applications that can
predict this using data exchange currency that already happened before and using the method
of backpropagation.

Forex Trading application developed using the backpropagation Method can estimate the
price of a currency at a later time, and on the perpetrators of this forex trading is not so spent
time in front of a gadget just to do this trading analysis.

FORMULATION OF THE PROBLEM

1. What is Forex Trading?

2. Whoever the perpetrator is Forex trading?

3. When will this app be used?

4. Why Trade Forex?

5. How to profit from Forex trading?

4
THE PURPOSE OF THE WRITING

Writing this made aim to meet the huge task of courses kewirausaahaan the University
computer (UNIKOM) Bandung, West Java.

In addition The writing of this also aims to so that users understand the trader about
the application of forecasting and to explain the theories that will be in use during the making
of the application. And help newbies who want to jump and be successful in the field of
foreign exchange or Forex . And can provide an option for the user of the applications in the
forex business in order to facilitate decision-making in the forex business with berhunbungan
terxebut

THE BENEFITS OF WRITING

CHAPTER I Help students to understand the basic concepts of entrepreneurship and motifs
into self-employment.

CHAPTER II Provides information about application development process as well as a


currency exchange in the currency exchange application.

CHAPTER III Assist in the decision making in the forex business

LIMIT PROBLEM

CHAPTER I Just discussing the exchange of currencies is allowed as a farm business.

CHAPTER II Discuss entrepreneurship and forex trading

5
CHAPTER II
DISCUSSION

II. 1 THE CONCEPT OF CURRENCY EXCHANGE

Forex words we say it comes from the word "Foreign Exchange", if dibahasa
indonesiakan means the exchange of foreign currency. This means that here we exchange a
sum of money in a particular currency into an amount of money in other currencies. The
exchange rate is a unit of currency in comparison with a number of other currency which is
equivalent to the currency at any given time. The exchange rate used in accounting for
transactions abroad other than a futures contract are as follows:

Spot exchange rates (spot Rate) is the rate prevailing at the time of cash transactions.

The exchange rate is now (current Rate) is the rate in which one unit of currency can
be exchanged with other currency on the date of the balance sheet or on the date of
the transaction.

Historical exchange rate is the exchange rate in effect at the date of the occurrence of
a particular transaction.

Closing rates (closing Rate) is the spot exchange rate at the balance sheet date. The
spot exchange rate is a reflection of market value, while the exchange rate now and
the historical exchange rate is the termination of the accounting. The exchange rate
now for a foreign currency transaction is the exchange rate adjustment as a result of
spot directly above the amount stated in foreign currency at the date of the
transaction. Historical exchange rate is the exchange rate spot that refers to the date of
the incident or a particular trasaksi. Spot rate, exchange rate and exchange rate fixed
rate can represent historical or floating, depending on the particular currency
involved.

1. The exchange rate float, a floating exchange rate and multiple fixed or free
exchange rate is the value of a currency that is affected by the buying power of the world
market (supply and demand factors as well as other factors in world money markets). Fixed
exchange rate or the official exchange rate is the value of a currency that is set by the

6
Government and is not influenced by changes in the world market. Multiple exchange rate
occurs when the Government set the exchange rate for a specific purpose which is different
for different transactions.

2. Calculation of the exchange rate of a currency Goal is to provide a standard of


value, the Exchange tool as well as the unit of measurement. Exchange foreign money matta
can be done in two ways:

A direct calculation that is menbandingkan domestic currency with foreign


currencies (expressed in rupiah).

The calculation of the indirect i.e. compare foreign currency domestic currency
(expressed in foreign currency).

II. 2 Online Forex Trading System

Different Forex trading with currency exchange transactions manually in Money Chenger.
Currency exchange at Money Changer is because an individual needs to exchange the
currency for the transaction.

While forex trading done done online with the purpose of profit. Forex trading is a business
activity, investment, could even become a profession. Online Forex trading with the aim to
make a profit like that done by forex brokers.

Online forex trading principles are essentially the same as buy and sell money at the Money
Changer. Advantages of trading forex can be obtained from the difference between the
buying price and the selling price. For example, we are buying U.s. dollars as much as $100
at the time of the exchange rate of the Rupiah against the dollar is at a value of Rp13,250.
Dollars we spend to get $100 to be Rp1,325, 000. A week later, the U.S. dollar exchange rate
value of the burgeoning to be Rp13,300. A trader will sell $100 which she had with Exchange
rates this week. So she can profit Rp50,000, because people who want to buy its $100 having
to issue Rupiah as much as Rp1,300, 000. Online forex trading business doing it all not
physically. They are transacting in virtual worlds through a container called the software or
trading platform.

7
Forex is like a double-edged sword. With forex can make us quickly became rich, but the
reverse is in an instant can also erode the capital runs out. No matter whether you consider a
forex investment or as an ordinary trade forex, which obviously has a high degree of risk.

II. 3 The Forex Market

The Forex market is different from the existing market of forex market is not a real or virtual.
Because here are traded are currency, then its market (where the traders/market participants
do the selling) is called with the forex market. The Forex market is the largest market and
includes most liquid in the world. With the development of the internet, forex trading can be
done online with the help of a laptop as well as gadgets like smart phones anytime and
anywhere for 24 hours, starting from:

Market Australia (Sydney) 05.00-14.00 WIB.

Then to Asian markets (Tokyo), namely Japan, Hong Kong & Singapore 07.00-16.00
WIB.

Then to European markets namely Germany and the United Kingdom (London)
13.00-22.00.

Market (New York) 20.00-05.00 (the next day).

II. 4 The Purpose Of Forex Trading

Simply put, the purpose of forex trading is to profit from the rise and fall of currency
exchange rates. Market conditions and prices in forex market moves with very dynamic and
can change at any time quickly responding to the events be it economic, political, war,
disasters, and so on.

Especially for countries with advanced economies and strong like the US or Japan, there is a
little sensitive information, then the price of its currency could move up and down. This by
traders was seen as a chance and opportunity to do trade.

8
II. 5 Forex Trading made a farm Business .

Technological development nowadays is very rapidly which renders many forms of


entrepreneurship or business that can be done anywhere and anytime. As with Forex Trading,
because it can be done by anyone, anytime and anywhere. Many of the world's handy invidu
do this Forex trading as a business major or sideline.

With the rapid development of technology, we are able to monitor the development of
another country's currency rates and we can do the currency sale and purchase of a home. The
motive of the perpetrators of the forex Trading as a farm business is due to the time and place
is done freely or at will as long as it has a gadget that supports. Unlike other workers who
must leave for kelokasi Office with time restrictions work, business is done freely.

II. 6 FOREIGN CURRENCY TRANSLATION RELATIONSHIP WITH INFLATION


The use of the exchange rate now for mentranslasikan the cost of non-monetary assets
the acquisition of which is located in berinflasi environment will ultimately give rise to
equivalent values in domestic currency are far lower than on the basis of measurement first.
At the same time, earnings ditranslasikan will be much greater with respect to the burden of
depresisasi are also lower. Such translation results can easily be more misleading the reader
while giving information to readers.

Assessment of a lower dollar usually demeaning the power of actual profit from assets
abroad that are supported by local inflation and the return on investment ratio affected
inflation in a foreign operations can create false expectations over future profits. FASB
rejects the adjustment of inflation before the process of translation, because the adjustment is
not consistent with the framework of the historical cost valuation basis used in the basic
financial statements in the US. As a solution the FAS No. 52 requires that the use of the US
dollar as its functional currency for foreign operations that are domiciled surroundings with
hyperinflation.

This procedure will maintain a constant value equivalent of dollar assets in foreign
currency, because the assets are ditranslasikan according to the historical exchange rate.
Translational loss over the imposition of fixed assets in foreign currencies against
shareholders ' equity will give rise to significant effects against financial ratios. Problems

9
translation of foreign currencies cannot be separated from the issue of accounting for
inflation.

II. 7 THE MOTIVE BEING AN ENTREPRENEUR


There are many reasons that support a person being an entrepreneur or self-employment.
Ranging from micro to macro attempts. Here are some of the opinions of the experts to
explain when one becomes an entrepreneur.

There are several reasons a person entrepreneurship according to Wirasasmita (1994):

1. Financial reasons, namely to make a living, to be wealthy, to search for additional


revenue, sebaagai guarantee financial stability.
2. The reason social acquires prestige/status, to be known and respected, to be a role
model, to be able to meet with many people.
3. The reason the Ministry, i.e. giving jobs to the community, helping orphans, came for
the parents, for the sake of the future of family
4. The reason meet the self, to become the boss/independent, to achieve something in
want, and to avoid dependence on others, to be more productive and to use the
personal ability.

Meanwhile, according to Dr. IR. Eddy Soeryanto Soegoto (2015, revised edition) the
reason being an entrepreneur is:

1. Work is glorious, as it can provide an opportunity for other people to earn a living and
living expenses for his family.

2. Fun job, open a business or company because of love or love to work against them,
usually starting from the hobby his business activities so that it feels good to be
working on.

3. Create jobs and reduce unemployment, through his company he was able to recruit
some people of up to thousands of people who need jobs.

4. Reducing poverty, because it can give the job to someone who originally mengganggur
then this can reduce poverty by having new jobs.

10
5. Determining the progress of a nation as it is to be a country with an advanced economy
requires a minimum of 2 percent of the population of the populaso an entrepreneur of
a country.

6. Determining economic development, because the entrepreneur became COGS of the


economy in every region, both in district, municipal, provincial as well as at the
national level

7. Educate the nation and the world, in the field of education of the young entrepreneur
was instrumental in producing quality human resources even world class.

8. Become a rich man,

9. Known to many

10. The leadership of the political parties, some entrepreneur can also be the leader of a
political party

11. The leadership of the country and the Government, an entrepreur in its business
activities can be the leader of the Government or the leader of the country when the
demands of society and the political situation called him to carry out the obligation.

12. Hero development, paying attention to the participation of entrepreneur in various


areas of development as has been described above as well as its action in building up
Human Capital Indonesia, the intellectual life of the nation, improve people's
Kesejahtaraan, build the economy and infrastructure so that the Menghidupkkan
economy of the Region, and supports sustainable development (Sustainable
Development) then an entrepreneur layag called as Heroes

11
II. 8 THE ENTREPRENEURIAL PROCESS
According to Srie Sulastri (2008), the development of entrepreneurship in the start of the
process as follows:

1. The Process Of Innovation

Factors that encourage the occurrence of innovation, namely the desire of


overachievers, the curious nature of desire, risk, and experiential. In this scientific paper
the author tries to innovate against trading application or application exchanges existing
currency market

2. The Trigger Process

Factors that encourage a person jumped into the business world, namely the
existence of discontent against the existing jobs, the occurrence of the termination of
employment relationships, risk, courage and commitment to the business. The triggers in
the development of this application is the time wasted if traders always standby in front of
the computer or laptop to monitor the latest development of the graph of currency rates.

3. Implementation Process

Factors that encourage the implementation of a business, namely the mental


readiness of self-employment in total, the manager as pelaksanan activity, and the
presence of distant vision of fore to achieve success. In this case the implementation of
forex trading must possess good analytical ability to get maximum profit.

4. The Growth Process

The growth process driven organization factor, namely a compact team in running
the business, the existence of a steady strategy, structure and culture of the organization is
good and the existence of products which are being seeded. The growth process of profit
trading forex is closely related to the analysis of the ability of traders to get in constant
and increasing profit.

12
CHAPTER III

The process and results

III. 1 Forex Trading Application Development

Commonly used trading application is only functions as a tool to do the buying and
selling of foreign currency based on the exchange rate of the current graph. But nowadays a
lot of things have been developed including trading application.

With the development of the applications of this forex trading, traders can better
spend some time with the family because it is developing an application that can estimate the
nominal exchange rate in the future by using real data that exist or that have already occurred.
This forex forecasting using artificial neural network backpropagation method.

III. 2 The Concept Of The Backpropagation Method

Method of Backpropagation was first introduced by Paul Werbos on tahun1974,


which is then expressed by David Parker back in 1982 and later popularized by Rumelhart
and McCelland in 1986. The algorithm BackPropagation, network architecture using many
layers of tissue. Outline the training process on the artificial neural network is known for
several types of training, i.e. Training Supervised, Unsupervised Training, Fixed-Weight
Nets.

This method is a popular network model on neural network. This method is widely
used to be applied in the resolution of an issue relating to the identification, prediction,
pattern recognition and so on. On the berulangulang exercises, this algorithm will yield

13
better performance. This means that the "burden of interconnections" JST getting closer to
the load. (Neural Network Research,1993). Another advantage of this method is the ability to
learn the nature of adaptive or adapt in advance and the immune be faults (Fault Tolerance).
With the advantages of the backpropagation method can realize the system hold error will
result more consistently and properly.

Backpropagation training or better known as the Delta Rule Generalize (GDR) is a


supervised training where every pattern input there is a target output pairs for each of the
input pattern. Gradient descent method used to minimize total square error in calculation
result output network. The basic idea can be described by a simple relationship patterns i.e. If
output delivers results that are not in accordance with the targets of unwanted, then pembobot
will be checked in order for his errors can be minimized and response network is expected to
be closer to the value of the corresponding results. In general the purpose of this method is
the melkukan process of training or adaptation to get a balance between the ability of the
network to menanggapai correctly input patterns while adapting (arguably the ability given or
the ability to analyze)

III. 3 Analysis Of Forex Trading

Any individual could produce its own trading gayar art. It can be said if the author
learned master forex, then it is not necessarily the author has the same style of trading forex
with master. Ability in analyzing major mainstay of trading forex. This ability can determine
the success of the atupun the failure of someone to do forex trading.

There are 2 methods to analyze price movements of the market, namely:

1. technical analysis

focusing on the movement of the price for which a technical analysis is the basic
method to read the price movement using historical data in the form of a combination of the
value of the opening price, closing price, the highest and lowest prices. In addition technical
analysis also answered the question of when to buy, the realization of profits and limit losses.

14
Because technical analysis using graph in reading the price movements, and can
evaluate the price movement in the span of a short, medium and long. Therefore the technical
analysis that will be used in the process of forecasting. And technical analysis is also
compulsory in the master by traders.

2. fundamental analysis

search information about companies that will be selected, in this case fundamental
analysis will answer the question "why" the price of a stock rises and falls. Related
information in the form of financial statements and health companies, management
companies, competitors, and the market situation. Objectives of fundamental analysis:

- the briefing and the estimated share price movements in the stock price of a
company.

- Making projections about the company's performance

- Participate in the company's internal decision making and evaluating the


management of the company.

- Accumulate credit risk.

Fundamental analysis is suitable for investors

III. 3.1 The Process Of Prediction Rate

Use the benefits of the backpropagation method one is metede it can learn and has the
ability to remember, then we can set the limit of the purchase and sale of currencies which
want to buy dollars.

III. 3.2 Step Prediction Forex Trading

The first step in determining this trading Predictions, dibuthkan valid data captured permenit,
the second step is the establishment of a process of Learning Forex Trading Mode using the
algorithm of Neural Network and the last step is the process of test data that is processed
using the algorithm of Neural network.

15
III. 4 Method of data collection:

1. Secondary Data

Writing this using data exchange USA dollar against the Euro from 1 January
2017 until 13 June 2017 following the daily exchange rate table

The Trading Table. 1

the date of
the hours Open high low close
2017.01.02 0:00 1.05141 1.05275 1.04476 1.04529 91628
2017.01.03 0:00 1.04529 1.04894 1.03395 1.04031 110755
2017.01.04 0:00 1.04032 1.0499 1.03892 1.04863 118832
2017.01.05 0:00 1.04863 1.06145 1.04803 1.06047 137322
2017.01.06 0:00 1.06042 1.06199 1.05235 1.05235 112858
2017.01.09 0:00 1.0529 1.05821 1.05101 1.05716 105312
2017.01.10 0:00 1.05726 1.06263 1.05502 1.05539 120912
2017.01.11 0:00 1.0554 1.06222 1.0453 1.05808 133501
2017.01.12 0:00 1.05813 1.0684 1.05707 1.06111 146793
2017.01.13 0:00 1.06112 1.06725 1.06 1.0642 112502
2017.01.16 0:00 1.06051 1.06349 1.05786 1.05962 103847
2017.01.17 0:00 1.05962 1.07169 1.0592 1.07122 128257
2017.01.18 0:00 1.07123 1.0715 1.06277 1.06277 113626
2017.01.19 0:00 1.0628 1.0676 1.05904 1.06624 114210
2017.01.20 0:00 1.06623 1.07087 1.06245 1.06982 116240
2017.01.23 0:00 1.07 1.07684 1.06933 1.07627 109906
2017.01.24 0:00 1.07628 1.07737 1.07197 1.07292 102320
2017.01.25 0:00 1.07291 1.07691 1.07105 1.07471 97242
2017.01.26 0:00 1.07471 1.07648 1.06569 1.06799 96372
2017.01.27 0:00 1,068 1.07213 1.06576 1.06968 87901
2017.01.30 0:00 1.07174 1.07394 1.06196 1.06917 105386
2017.01.31 0:00 1.06918 1.08116 1.0684 1.07967 126302

16
2017.02.01 0:00 1.07963 1.08067 1.07295 1.07667 111682
2017.02.02 0:00 1.07668 1.08251 1.07553 1.07566 123246
2017.02.03 0:00 1.07572 1.07969 1.07107 1.07789 114319
2017.02.06 0:00 1.07858 1.07906 1.07049 1.07486 107245
2017.02.07 0:00 1.07486 1.07495 1.06554 1.06819 111538
2017.02.08 0:00 1.0682 1.07133 1.06399 1.06973 104599
2017.02.09 0:00 1.06974 1.07089 1.06502 1.06533 98821
2017.02.10 0:00 1.06538 1.0667 1.06069 1.06377 103231
2017.02.13 0:00 1.06268 1.06577 1.05914 1.05969 91361
2017.02.14 0:00 1.05968 1.06327 1.05606 1.05765 91255
2017.02.15 0:00 1.05752 1.06084 1.05215 1.05989 93465
2017.02.16 0:00 1.05987 1.06785 1,059 1.06718 99542
2017.02.17 0:00 1.06719 1.06758 1.06046 1.06056 91229
2017.02.20 0:00 1.06066 1.06322 1.06025 1.06102 74233
2017.02.21 0:00 1.06104 1.06144 1.05251 1.05351 92822
2017.02.22 0:00 1.05352 1.05732 1.04929 1.0558 105459
2017.02.23 0:00 1.05578 1.05935 1.05368 1.05808 97319
2017.02.24 0:00 1.05809 1.06172 1.05513 1.05513 98164
2017.02.27 0:00 1.05623 1.06296 1.05509 1.05853 92088
2017.02.28 0:00 1.05851 1.06274 1.05677 1.05757 104084
2017.03.01 0:00 1.05758 1.05886 1.05181 1.05456 116101
2017.03.02 0:00 1.05458 1.05503 1.04941 1.05049 99699
2017.03.03 0:00 1.0505 1.0623 1.05014 1.06166 98153
2017.03.06 0:00 1.06074 1.06392 1.0574 1.05791 88853
2017.03.07 0:00 1.05792 1.06017 1.05575 1.05652 79300
2017.03.08 0:00 1.05652 1.05732 1.05353 1.05391 81953
2017.03.09 0:00 1.05393 1.06138 1.05242 1.0575 96854
2017.03.10 0:00 1.0575 1.06982 1.05715 1.06712 90753
2017.03.13 0:00 1.06848 1.07135 1.06514 1.06529 84427
2017.03.14 0:00 1.0653 1.06618 1.05992 1.06066 77585
2017.03.15 0:00 1.06065 1.07391 1.06038 1.07339 78730
2017.03.16 0:00 1.07339 1.07732 1.07054 1.07709 89340
2017.03.17 0:00 1.07711 1.07816 1.07268 1.07368 73983

17
2017.03.20 0:00 1.07377 1.07764 1.07244 1.07359 77262
2017.03.21 0:00 1.07359 1.08177 1.07184 1.08055 98066
2017.03.22 0:00 1.08055 1.08239 1.0775 1.07916 94284
2017.03.23 0:00 1.07916 1.08041 1.07671 1.0782 87994
2017.03.24 0:00 1.07814 1.08172 1.07596 1.07957 85930
2017.03.27 0:00 1.08366 1.09052 1.08264 1.08634 90037
2017.03.28 0:00 1.08633 1.08718 1.0798 1.0813 76890
2017.03.29 0:00 1.0813 1.08257 1.07391 1.07646 81500
2017.03.30 0:00 1.07643 1.07687 1.0671 1.0673 78447
2017.03.31 0:00 1.06731 1.07011 1.06462 1.06462 81700
2017.04.03 0:00 1.06612 1.06804 1.06421 1.06683 69938
2017.04.04 0:00 1.0669 1.0677 1.06354 1.0672 66236
2017.04.05 0:00 1.06717 1.06887 1.06345 1.06624 71600
2017.04.06 0:00 1.06624 1.06838 1.06289 1.06434 75351
2017.04.07 0:00 1.06422 1.0666 1.05804 1.05885 75671
2017.04.10 0:00 1.05867 1.06063 1.05695 1.05947 63625
2017.04.11 0:00 1.05935 1.06296 1.05783 1.06037 62939
2017.04.12 0:00 1.06034 1.06749 1.05887 1.06633 66122
2017.04.13 0:00 1.06634 1.06773 1.0609 1.0612 68859
2017.04.14 0:00 1.0612 1.06294 1.06056 1.06096 50131
2017.04.17 0:00 1.06155 1.06701 1.06025 1.06411 50876
2017.04.18 0:00 1.06415 1.07357 1.06365 1.07302 73957
2017.04.19 0:00 1.07279 1.07366 1.06995 1.07094 63818
2017.04.20 0:00 1.07073 1.07773 1.07073 1.07163 63201
2017.04.21 0:00 1.07157 1.07378 1.0682 1.07266 65861
2017.04.24 0:00 1.0916 1.09181 1.07266 1.08667 101025
2017.04.25 0:00 1.08663 1.09497 1.08511 1.09245 71809
2017.04.26 0:00 1.09243 1.09506 1.08559 1.09024 81079
2017.04.27 0:00 1.09033 1.09325 1.08514 1.0872 72971
2017.04.28 0:00 1.08702 1.0947 1.08567 1.08921 73227
2017.05.01 0:00 1.09098 1.09234 1.08838 1.0898 46714
2017.05.02 0:00 1.0897 1.09328 1.08878 1.09289 66532
2017.05.03 0:00 1.09276 1.09365 1.08825 1.08841 68770

18
2017.05.04 0:00 1.08839 1.09869 1.08746 1.09837 85795
2017.05.05 0:00 1.09833 1.09988 1.09476 1.09863 82767
2017.05.08 0:00 1.10183 1.10206 1.09156 1.09226 84856
2017.05.09 0:00 1.09227 1.09326 1.08627 1.08717 75485
2017.05.10 0:00 1.08718 1.08973 1.08525 1.08664 72907
2017.05.11 0:00 1.08664 1.08921 1.08396 1,086 67165
2017.05.12 0:00 1.08602 1.09335 1.08549 1.09304 64997
2017.05.15 0:00 1.09295 1.09886 1.09218 1.09739 62496
2017.05.16 0:00 1.0974 1.10964 1.09721 1.10813 70664
2017.05.17 0:00 1.10813 1.11613 1.10792 1.11571 75993
2017.05.18 0:00 1.11572 1.1171 1.10828 1.11012 88097
2017.05.19 0:00 1.11012 1.1211 1.10952 1.12058 68526
2017.05.22 0:00 1.11948 1.12626 1.11606 1.12365 71112
2017.05.23 0:00 1.12364 1.12673 1.11742 1.11817 83861
2017.05.24 0:00 1.11816 1.12192 1.11677 1.12175 77273
2017.05.25 0:00 1.12175 1.12495 1.11928 1.12093 66650
2017.05.26 0:00 1.12091 1.12337 1.11609 1.11803 69827
2017.05.29 0:00 1.11717 1.11891 1.1161 1.11615 42280
2017.05.30 0:00 1.11621 1.1196 1.11089 1.1184 71914
2017.05.31 0:00 1.11838 1.12513 1.11637 1.12421 71221
2017.06.01 0:00 1.12421 1.12559 1.12014 1.12114 63528
2017.06.02 0:00 1.12114 1.12842 1.12042 1.12792 55666
2017.06.05 0:00 1.12714 1.12829 1.12334 1.1253 54985
2017.06.06 0:00 1.12531 1.12831 1.12396 1.12754 63549
2017.06.07 0:00 1.12754 1.12818 1.12033 1.12545 70901
2017.06.08 0:00 1.12544 1.12684 1.11943 1.12113 69502
2017.06.09 0:00 1.12113 1.12359 1.1166 1.1194 81556
2017.06.12 0:00 1.12065 1.12313 1.11948 1.12009 56563
2017.06.13 0:00 1.12011 1.12241 1.11845 1.12098 55354

19
20
2. On the method of algoritman neural network can minimize the prediction error value of
Forex Trading. Later the data that will be used will be using time permenit, within 20 minutes
of commencing from June 13, 2017 at 02 o'clock up to June 13, 2017 03:11 p.m.

Table 2. The data results of the process of Neural Network Algorithm

The
Results
No. date Time Start High Low Close e Output Error
Of NN
of the

13-
-
1 Jun- 2:52 1.3643 1.3643 1.3641 1.3642 1 0.49995 1.6992
0.16495
17
13-
Jun- -
2 2:53 1.3641 1.3642 1,364 1,364 1 0.49995 1,699
17 0.16495

13-
Jun- -
3 2:54 1.3639 1.3642 1.3639 1.3641 1 0.49995 1.6991
17 0.16495

13-
Jun- -
4 2:55 1.3642 1.3642 1.3639 1,364 1 0.49995 1,699
17 0.16495

13-
Jun- -
5 2:56 1.3639 1,364 1.3639 1.3639 1 0.49992 1.6989
17 0.16492

13-
Jun- -
6 2:57 1,364 1,364 1.3639 1.3639 1 0.49988 1.6989
17 0.16488

13- -
7 2:58 1.3638 1.3639 1.3636 1.3636 1 0.49986 1.6986
Jun- 0.16486

21
17

13-
Jun- -
8 2:59 1.3635 1.3638 1.3635 1.3638 1 0.49985 1.6988
17 0.16485

13-
Jun- -
9 3:00 1.3637 1.3637 1.3629 1.3631 1 0.49984 1.6981
17 0.16484

13-
Jun- -
10 3:01 1.3632 1.3632 1.3622 1.3623 1 0.49986 1.6973
17 0.16486

13-

11 Jun- 3:02 1.3624 1.3625 1.3621 1.3623 1 0.4999 -0.1649 1.6973


17

13-

12 Jun- 3:03 1.3624 1.3629 1.3623 1.3628 1 0.4999 -0.1649 1.6978


17

13-

13 Jun- 3:04 1.3627 1,363 1.3625 1.3627 1 0.4999 -0.1649 1.6977


17

13-
Jun- -
14 3:05 1.3628 1,363 1.3627 1.3629 1 0.49991 1.6979
17 0.16491

13-
Jun- -
15 3:06 1,363 1,363 1.3628 1.3629 1 0.49991 1.6979
17 0.16491

13-
Jun- -
16 3:07 1,363 1.3634 1.3629 1.3631 1 0.49989 1.6981
17 0.16489

22
13-
Jun- -
17 3:08 1.3632 1.3632 1.3627 1,363 1 0.49989 1,698
17 0.16489

13-
Jun- -
18 3:09 1.3629 1.3631 1.3627 1.3627 1 0.49989 1.6977
17 0.16489

13-
Jun- -
19 3:10 1.3628 1.3629 1.3627 1.3628 1 0.49989 1.6978
17 0.16489

13-
Jun- -
20 3:11 1.3627 1.3628 1.3622 1.3622 1 0.49988 1.6972
17 0.16488

23
24
III. 5 Learning Forex Trading Mode Using Neural Network

The process of Learning Mode data Forex Trading processed first changed the nominal
being numerically. From the results of the Numerical data was adapted using a neural
network. The process of adaptation using Neural Network (Backpropagation) in the process
of adaptation. In this adaptation process is measured and the final data in order to get accurate
results on predictions.

In terms of getting accurate results it is necessary several times in the process of


adaptation of the data on the method of neural network, and a trader in analyzing the ability
required to get the maximum profit

25
CHAPTER IV

Conclusion

Forex is like a big ball of energy that moves and flows, in the ball there is a balance
between fundamental and technical factors that play a role in deciding where he'll move,
where the direction of the market. There is no dominant master can reply element to 100%,
be it technical or fundamental, even forex market not be separated from the law of nature.

Using artificial neural network backpropagation method is a better development than


using existing forex trading applications. Users are not required to standby before the gadget
to see the development of forex charts, because the development of methods of forecasting
can give us time or the estimated price of the next currency to boost profit.

26
CHAPTER V

Bibliography

1. Eddy, Soeryanto. "Enterpreneurship Menjadi Pembisnis Ulung." Jakarta: PT. Elex Media
Komputindo (2010).

2. source: http://kornetcincang.blogspot.com/2009/05/translasi-mata-uang-asing.html

3. http://muttaqinhasyim.wordpress.com/2009/05/27/translasi-valuta-asing/

4. http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:cS8UpMk5K-
EJ:pksm.mercubuana.ac.id/new/elearning/files_modul/32026-6 923097097622 .doc +
difference + translation + and + conversion + transfer + eyes + money + foreign & hl = id
& gl = id

5. May, Ellen. 2011. "Smart Traders Not Gamblers". Gramedia Pustaka. Jakarta

6. C. Dunis, m. Williams, and Mark. 2009. "Modelling and trading the eur/usd exchange rate:
do neural network models perform better," Derivatives Use, Trading & Regulation, vol.
vol., pp. 8no3pp211-239.

7. Ghalayini, Latife. 2013. "Modeling and Forecasting the U.S. Dollar/Euro Exchange Rate".
Lebanon: International Journal of Economics and Finance, vol. 6, no. 1.

27