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# Araullo University PHINMA Educa`tion Network

Syllabus

## PEN Code: POS 015 Credit: 3 units

PEN Subject Title: QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS OF POLITICAL DATA

Prerequisite: None
A. Subject Description:
This course deals with the statistical technique for social research and the quantitative analysis of political data.
B. Objectives:

## At the end of the course, the students should be able to:

1. Develop awareness on how political and social data are treated quantitatively and results are analyzed using the
various statistical techniques
C. Subject Outline and Time Allotment:

## EXAMS Topics Schedule

I. Quantitative Analysis
Data and Data Collection
Methods of Displaying Data, Percentiles, Quartiles and Median, Measures June 15 to June 18
of Centrality and Measures of Variability

II. Probabilities
Basic Definitions, Events, Sample, Space and Probabilities
Basic Rules for Probabilities
June 23 to July 21
Conditional Probability, Independence of Events
Bayes Theorem

## 1ST PERIODICAL July 20-25, 2015

III. Chance Quantities
Random Variables
Expected Values of Discreet Random Variables
July 28 to Aug. 13
Binomial Distribution,
Continues Random Variables

## IV. The Normal Probability Distribution

The Shape of the Normal Distribution
Finding Probabilities of the Standard Normal Distribution Aug 18 to Aug 27
Transformations

## V. Statistical Inference Using Election Polls Data

Definitions, Sampling Distributions,
Sampling Distributions of the Sample Mean
Confidence Intervals, Sept. 01 to Sept. 08
The Sampling Distribution of the Sample Proportion
Sample Size Determination

## VI. Trial By Probability

Statistical Hypothesis Testing
Test about the Population Mean-When the Population Standard Deviation is
Unknown, Large-Sample Test for The Population Proportion
Sept. 10 to Sept.15
How Hypothesis Testing Works
The Probability of the Test II Errors
The Power of Test

## 2ND PERIODICAL September 7-12, 2015

VII. Making Extended Comparison
Analysis of Variance, The Hypothesis Test of Analysis of Variance
The Theory and the Computations of Analysis of Variance Sept. 22 to Sept. 29
Contingency Table Analysis: A Chi-Square Test for Independence

## VIII. Statistical Models

Regression
Dependent and Independent Variables,
Oct. 01 to Oct. 20
Statistical Models, The Simple Linear Regression Model,
Estimation: The Method of Least Squares, Error Variance and the Standard
Errors of Regression Estimator
1
3RD PERIODICAL October 19- 24, 2015

D. Textbook:
Aczel, Amir D., Statistics, Concepts and Applications, Richard Irwin Inc., Chicago: 2000.

E. Course Requirements
Requirements Due Date
Case Study/Feasibility Study October 24, 2015