Pitcher Rating - Stats as of August 11, 2010

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 NAME Adam Wainwright Ubaldo Jimenez Roy Halladay David Price Heath Bell Chris Carpenter Jered Weaver Josh Johnson CC Sabathia Mat Latos Jon Lester Cliff Lee Justin Verlander Tim Hudson Rafael Soriano Carl Pavano Brian Wilson Billy Wagner Trevor Cahill Tim Lincecum Clayton Kershaw Yovani Gallardo Felix Hernandez Neftali Feliz Mariano Rivera Clay Buchholz Francisco Liriano Johan Santana John Danks Joakim Soria Johnny Cueto Ricky Nolasco Andy Pettitte Francisco Rodriguez Colby Lewis Matt Garza Phil Hughes Jeff Niemann Matt Cain Bronson Arroyo Gio Gonzalez C.J. Wilson Jonathan Papelbon Ricky Romero Hong-Chih Kuo LEAGUE NL NL NL AL NL NL AL NL AL NL AL AL AL NL AL AL NL NL AL NL NL NL AL AL AL AL AL NL AL AL NL NL AL NL AL AL AL AL NL NL AL AL AL AL NL W 17 17 14 15 5 13 11 10 14 12 12 10 13 13 2 14 2 6 12 11 10 11 8 3 3 12 10 9 11 0 11 12 11 4 9 11 13 10 9 12 10 10 4 9 3 L 6 3 8 5 0 3 7 4 5 5 7 5 7 5 1 7 1 2 4 6 7 5 9 2 2 5 7 6 8 2 3 8 2 2 8 7 5 3 9 7 7 5 4 7 1 SV HLD BSV SO 158 143 168 133 60 136 182 156 131 125 160 126 147 83 37 93 70 71 76 163 153 149 165 51 36 82 156 111 114 51 102 130 90 67 141 114 110 102 117 80 114 108 44 132 48 RS 6.18 7.01 5.01 7.11 0.00 6.63 5.58 6.10 7.27 6.18 6.47 4.53 6.41 6.49 0.00 6.07 0.00 0.00 5.93 7.11 5.58 8.09 3.85 0.00 0.00 7.23 6.85 4.17 5.68 0.00 7.64 6.26 8.48 0.00 5.53 6.93 9.72 7.83 4.62 6.08 5.87 6.99 0.00 5.82 0.00 WHIP 0.97 1.11 1.03 1.24 1.28 1.16 1.08 1.01 1.24 0.99 1.16 0.92 1.23 1.10 0.87 1.08 1.26 0.89 0.98 1.30 1.25 1.28 1.12 0.97 0.70 1.23 1.24 1.23 1.13 1.17 1.26 1.25 1.20 1.15 1.15 1.20 1.21 1.17 1.14 1.18 1.32 1.27 1.05 1.27 0.83 ERA 1.99 2.55 2.34 2.84 1.89 2.89 2.87 1.97 3.14 2.36 2.94 2.44 3.72 2.24 1.81 3.28 2.19 1.78 2.56 3.41 3.19 2.86 2.71 3.35 1.09 2.66 3.33 3.06 3.30 2.15 3.38 4.57 2.88 2.24 3.37 3.92 3.92 3.12 3.06 3.94 3.51 3.30 2.74 3.53 0.91 PR 51.85 49.28 44.51 39.58 38.38 38.04 36.63 36.18 35.64 35.49 34.38 33.94 32.93 32.62 32.20 32.03 31.67 31.49 30.98 29.96 29.27 29.18 29.02 28.99 26.93 26.75 26.68 26.39 26.39 25.54 25.37 25.21 25.10 24.62 24.40 23.75 23.68 23.63 23.52 23.19 23.12 23.04 22.97 22.86 22.78 ∆ 2 1 3 6 4 8 13 5 9 7 12 14 17 20 11 18 16 19 23 10 15 24 30 27 21 35 25 44 29 32 22 26 28 NR 38 39 31 36 34 NR NR 33 NR 40 NR

32

3

32 32 28

2 3 7

29 23

3

2 2

31

2

25 1

5

29 3 16

5 1

Pitcher Rating - Stats as of August 11, 2010
DROPPED FROM RANKINGS: 37 Ryan Franklin 41 John Axford 42 Leo Nunez 43 Shaun Marcum 45 Ervin Santana

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

ESPN Cy Young Predictor AL NL Barry Zito Randy Johnson Keith Foulke Mark Prior Johan Santana Eric Gagne Mariano Rivera Chris Carpenter Johan Santana Brandon Webb CC Sabathia Jake Peavy Cliff Lee Tim Lincecum Felix Hernandez Adam Wainwright

Ross Clites Pitcher Rating AL NL Barry Zito Randy Johnson Roy Halladay Eric Gagne Johan Santana Eric Gagne Mariano Rivera Chris Carpenter Johan Santana Brandon Webb CC Sabathia Jake Peavy Cliff Lee Tim Lincecum Felix Hernandez Tim Lincecum

Since the inception of the ESPN Cy Young Predictor in 2002, it has "predicted" the winner with 62.5% accuracy. In that same time span, Pitcher Rating has a 81% correlation to the actual voting. The two formulas are in agreement that last year's AL winner should have been Felix Hernandez, as well as Mariano Rivera in '05 and Eric Gagne in '04. The egregious difference between the two formulas comes in 2003, where the Cy Young Predictor rewarded one closer too much and another not enough. A Cy Young Award winner should at least pass the eye test. Keith Foulke and Mark Prior? Seriously? Foulke finished seventh in the vote, Prior taking third. For the first time all season, ESPN Cy Young Predictor and Pitcher Rating agree on the placement of the Top 5 in a league. Those similarities do not translate into the American League, which is back to having only David Price in common. 2010 ESPN Cy Young Predictor AL NL David Price Adam Wainwright CC Sabathia Ubaldo Jimenez Carl Pavano Roy Halladay Rafael Soriano Heath Bell Neftali Feliz Chris Carpenter Jon Lester Tim Hudson Trevor Cahill Billy Wagner 2010 Ross Clites Pitcher Rating AL NL David Price Adam Wainwright Jered Weaver Ubaldo Jimenez CC Sabathia Roy Halladay Jon Lester Heath Bell Cliff Lee Chris Carpenter Justin Verlander Josh Johnson Rafael Soriano Mat Latos

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