Statistics and Probability - Solved Assignments - Semester Spring 2010

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Statistics and Probability - Solved Assignments - Semester Spring 2010

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Solved Assignments

Semester Spring 2010

Assignment 1

Question 1: (Marks:

2+2+2+4=10

Given that

Now we will find the median by using the empirical relationship among the three measures

i.e.

1

median = (mod e + 2mean)

3

1 1

median = (2 + 2 × 5) = (12 ) = 4

3 3

The main purpose of a statistical study is to make inference about population on the basis of

sample data. So to get descriptive information from sample, we need data. And collection of

numerical data provides the BASIS for the analysis of data to carry out further steps.

2. Statistics assists in the efficient design of laboratory and field experiments as well as

surveys.

3. Statistics assists in a sound and effective planning in any field of inquiry.

(b)

A paint retailer has had numerous complaints from customers about under-filled paint cans. As a

result retailer started to inspect the incoming shipments. A recent shipment contained 2,440

gallon-size cans. The retailer sampled 50 cans and weighted each on a scale capable of

measuring weight up to four decimal places and properly filled cans weight 10 pounds.

1. Describe a population

2. Describe a variable of interest

3. Describe the data type of variable

4. Describe a sample

Sol:

a) The population is the set of units of interests to the retailer, which is the shipment of

2,440 cans of paint.

b) The weight of paint cans is the variable, the retailer wishes to evaluate.

c) In this case retailer has to measure the weight, and the weight is continuous quantitative

variable.

d) The sample is the subset of population. In this case, it is the 50 cans of paint selected by

the retailer.

Question 2: Marks:

2+2+6=10

Under this method, the information is gathered by employing trained enumerators who assist the

informants in making the entries in the schedules or questionnaires correctly. This method gives the

most reliable information if the enumerator is well-trained, experienced and tactful.

(b) Average height of the students in a school is 5.2 inches. A sample of 12 students showed the

following heights in inches.

5.0, 5.3, 5.2, 4.9, 4.11, 5.0, 5.5, 5.4, 5.1, 5.0, 5.2, 4.10

Sol:

As µ=5.2 and sample mean of the data is

x=

∑ x = 59.81 = 4.98

n 12

Sampling error = x − µ

=4.98-5.5=-0.22

(c) Find the missing frequencies and complete the following table.

2 2/15

4 1

6 7

8 3

10 15 1

=2/15

So, First class has 2 frequency and in cumulative first class frequency is the first cumulative

frequency so first cumulative will also be 2

And last cumulative frequency is the total no of all the frequencies the difference between 10 and

15 will generate 5 which is the last class frequency

BY dividing all the also frequencies we can obtain the relative frequencies.

x f c.f Cumulativ

Relative

frequency

2 2 2 2/15

4 1 3 3/15

6 4 7 7/15

8 3 10 10/15

10 5 15 15/15

Question 3: Marks:

=2+8=10

a) Can we find out the Median from the following data? If yes, write the reason (No need to

calculate the median).

2000-2999/- 300

3000-3999/- 250

4000-4999/- 50

Sol:

Yes we can find the median from the data as median is the most appropriate measure of average

when data is in open ended class intervals.

(b) Compute Mean, Median and Mode from the following data.

No. of students 1 2 3 5 6

f 15 10 5 15 5

Sol:

1 15 15 15

2 10 20 25

3 5 15 30

5 15 75 45

6 5 30 50

Total 50 155

X=

∑ fx = 155 / 50

Mean= ∑f

= 3.1

Since n/2 =50/2=25 is an integer so, median will be the averages of (n/2)th value and

{(n+2)/2}th value,

n

median = ( ) th value

2

50

= ( ) th value

2

= 25 th value

and

n+2

median = ( )th value

2

50 + 2

=( )th value

2

= (52 )th value

2

= 26 th value

Now we check the 25th value and the 26th value in the cumulative frequency column and found

that these values lie corresponds to 2 & 3 respectively. So

Median= (2+3)/2

=2.5

Mode

As the data is discrete, so mode would be that value; which occur maximum no. of times in the

data set and here we have two modes 1 and 5, as they both occur equal no. of times in the data

set i.e. 15 times.

Assignment 2

Question 1: (Marks:

4x2=8)

Range is only the difference between the minimum and maximum value. It gives no information

about the distribution between two ends of series and it is affected by outliers (highly extreme

values). Hence it can draw misleading/false picture of the observation.

The quartile deviation is superior to range as it is not affected by extremely large or small

observations. It covers the central 50% of values. It is also used in situations where extreme

observations are thought to be unrepresentative.

Both are used to measure the dispersion of the data set and involve each and every data-value in

their computation. But in mean deviation, while using the absolute values we neglect the fact that

some deviations are negative and some are positive. We introduce a kind of artificiality in Mean

Deviation and because of that the further theoretical development or application of the concept is

impossible.

This problem is overcome by computing the standard deviation. This problem is overcome by

computing the Standard Deviation. We square the deviations in Standard Deviation rather than

taking absolute values of the deviations.

That’s why standard deviation is much preferred and widely used measure of dispersion.

A limitation of the Chebychev's theorem is that it gives no information at all about the

probability of observing a value within one standard deviation of the mean. That is when the

value of constant “k” is one. Although huge amount of data fall within µ ± σ , this can not be

explained by this theorem.

d) If coefficient of skewness = 0, then what would you say about the skewness of the

distribution?

If the coefficient of skweness = 0, then it is a symmetrical distribution. That’s mean, median and

mode of distribution is equal.

Question 2: (Marks:

4+8=12)

a) Show that the range is greatly affected by the extreme values; interpret the result.

Solution:

Given that

Then

Range=Xm-X0

=1014-9

=1005

Interpretation:

Observing the values closely, we find that value ‘9’ is significantly smaller than the rest of

values in the data set. And since range depends on this value too, this single value has caused the

range of the data set to be wider and it is presenting a misleading picture about the whole data.

b) The mean and the standard deviation of a set of values is 50 and 10 respectively. Compute

X ± 2 S and X ± 3S . Interpret the results in the light of (i) empirical rule (ii) Chebyshe’s

inequality.

Solution:

X ± 3S = 50 ± 3(10) = (20,80)

• According to empirical rule, in a normal distribution, the interval X ± 2 S contains

95.45% values. So here we can say that the 95.45% of the data lies in the interval the (30,

70).

95.45% values. So we can say that the 99.73 % values lie within interval (20, 80).

• According to Chebychev’s inequality, the interval X ± 2 S contains at least

1 1 3

1 − 2 = 1 − 2 = = 75% of the observations. So we can say that by this rule, 75%

k 2 4

values of given data lies in the interval (30, 70).

1 1 8

1 − 2 = 1 − 2 = = 88.89% of the observations. So we can say that by this rule,

k 3 9

88.99% values of given data lies in the interval (20, 80).

Question 3: (Marks:

5+5=10)

a. Find the first two moments about mean from the following data.

Solution:

To find the moments about mean we have to find the mean of the data.

X X −X (X − X )2

34 -17 289

36 -15 225

38 -13 169

40 -11 121

42 -9 81

54 3 9

56 5 25

68 17 289

70 19 361

72 21 441

0 2010

Mean:

ΣX 510

X= = = 51

n 10

∑ (x i − x )

m1 = =0

n

∑ ( xi − x )

2

m2 =

n

2010

= = 201

10

Q1 = 34.087156

Q3 = 44.962963

Xɶ = 39.606382

Solution:

(Q1 + Q3 − 2 Median)

Sk =

Q3 − Q1

34.087156 + 44.962963 − 2(39.606382)

Sk =

44.962963 − 34.087156

−0.162645

Sk =

10.875807

Sk = −0.014954752

Assignment 3

Question 1: Marks:

3+3+4=10

∑Y 2

= 26, ∑ Y = 10, ∑ XY = 37

Solution:

s yx =

∑Y 2

− a ∑ Y − b∑ XY

n−2

26 − ( −1)(10 ) − ( 0.5 )( 37 )

=

5−2

26 + 10 − 18.5

=

3

17.5

= = 5.833 = 2.415

3

Y= 2.64 + 10.83 X

And

X= -1.91 + 6.18 Y

Are these lines possible for any data set? Explain your answer:

Solution:

These lines are possible only if the square root of the product of two slopes “r” lies

between -1 and +1. The correlation coefficient “r” in this case is given blow.

r = byx × bxy

r = 10.83 × 6.18

r = 66.93 = 8.18 > 1

c) Two dice are rolled. Make a sample space also find the probability that

ii. The sum of the outcomes is equal to 7.

iii. The sum of the outcomes is equal to 1.

Solution:

S= {(1, 1), (1, 2), (1, 3), (1, 4) (1, 5), (1, 6),

(2, 1), (2, 2), (2, 3), (2, 4), (2, 5), (2, 6),

(3, 1), (3, 2), (3, 3), (3, 4), (3, 5), (3, 6),

(4, 1), (4, 2), (4, 3), (4, 4), (4, 5), (4, 6),

(5, 1), (5, 2), (5, 3), (5, 4), (5, 5), (5, 6),

(6, 1), (6, 2), (6, 3), (6, 4), (6, 5), (6, 6)}

n(S) = 36

n( sum 10) 3

P (Sum is A) = = = 0.0833

n( S ) 36

Let B be the event that sum of the outcomes is equal to 7.

B = {(1, 6), (2, 5), (3, 4), (4, 3), (5, 2), (6, 1)}

n( sum 7) 6

P(B) = = = 0.167 = 6/36

n( S ) 36

Let C be the event that sum of the outcomes is equal to 1.

C = {φ }

n( sum1) 0

P(C) = = =0

n( S ) 36

Question 2: Marks:

4+6=10

a) If S= {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}, A = {1, 2, 3, 4} and B = {3, 4, 5, 6}, then verify whether A and B

are independent?

Solution:

P ( A ∩ B ) = P ( A) × P ( B )

A ∩ B = {3, 4}

P (A ∩ B) = 2/6

P (A) = 4/6

P (B) = 4/6

Since,

P (A) x P (B) = 4/6 x 4/6

P (A) x P (B) = 4/9

P (A) x P (B) ≠ P (A ∩ B)

Hence A and B are not independent.

b) Indicate whether the following statement is true or false for three mutually exclusive

events A, B and C. Justify your answer.

1 2 1 1 1

P( A) = , × P( B) = and × P(C ) =

6 3 6 4 6

Solution:

Given that

1

P( A) =

6

And

2 1

.P( B) =

3 6

1 3 3

⇒ P( B ) = × =

6 2 12

3

⇒ P( B ) =

12

Now

1 1

.P ( C ) =

4 6

1 4 4

P (C ) = × =

6 1 6

For three events to be mutually exclusive there sum must be equal to one

1 3 4 13

P ( A) + P ( B ) + P (C ) = ( ) + ( ) + ( ) = ≠1

6 12 6 12

Question 3: Marks:

2+8=10

a) If we draw a card from an ordinary deck of 52 playing cards. Can king and diamond be

mutually exclusive events? Give reason to support your answer.

Solution: The both events can not be mutually exclusive because if we draw a card from an

ordinary deck of 52 playing cards it can be both a king and a diamond. So they are not

mutually exclusive events.

b) A marble is drawn at random from a box containing 10 red, 30 white, 20 blue and 15

orange marbles.

Find the probability that the drawn marble is

i. orange or red

ii. not – ‘red or blue’

iii. not blue

iv. red, white or blue.

Solution:

Red marbles White marbles Blue marbles Orange marbles Total

10 30 20 15 75

15 + 10 1

i. P(marble is orange or red) = = = 0.33

75 3

30 + 15 45 3

ii. P(marble is not – ‘red or blue’) = = = = 0.60

75 75 5

10 + 30 + 15 55 11

iii. P(marble is not blue’) = = = = 0.73

75 75 15

10 + 30 + 20 60 4

iv. P(marble is red, white or blue) = = = = 0.80

75 75 5

Assignment 4

Question 1: Marks:

3+7=10

a)

No. of Petals

P(X)

X

x1 = 3 0.05

x2 = 4 0.10

x3= 5 0.20

x4 = 6 0.30

x5 = 7 0.25

x6 = 8 0.075

x7 = 9 0.025

Total 1

Sol:

P(X)

X

x1 = 3 0.05 0.15

x2 = 4 0.10 0.4

x3= 5 0.20 1

x4 = 6 0.30 1.8

x5 = 7 0.25 1.75

x6 = 8 0.075 0.6

x7 = 9 0.025 0.225

Total 1 5.925

b) A random variable X has the following probability distribution:

X P(X)

-2 0.1

-1 k

0 0.2

1 2k

2 0.3

3 3k

Find

(i) K (ii) P(X<2) (iii) P (X≥2).

Sol

X P(X) P(X)

-2 0.1 0.1

-1 k 0.0667

0 0.2 0.200

1 2k 0.1333

2 0.3 0.3000

3 3k 0.2000

Total 0.6+6k 1.000

∑ P ( X ) = 0.6 + 6k

AS

∑ P( X ) = 1

6k = 1 − 0.6 = 0.4

6k = 0.4

k = 0.4 / 6

k = 0.0667

P(X<2) = 0.100 + 0.0667 + 0.2 + 0.1333

P(X<2 ) = 0.5000

(iii) P(X≥2) = 1- P (X<2) = 1 - 0.5 = 0.5

Question 2: Marks:

2+2+6=10

Sol

= 2 (4) + 5 (1)

=8+5

= 13

Y

P(X = xi)

0 1 2

g(x)

X

0 3/28 6/28 1/28

1 9/28 6/28 0

2 3/28 0 0

P(Y = yj)

h(y)

Sol

2

h(0) = ∑ f ( x,0)

x =0

3 9 3

h(0) = + +

28 28 28

15

h(0) = = 0.5357

28

c) Let X and Y are two discrete r.v.’s with the following joint probability distribution:

x

1 2

y

1 0.10 0.15

2 0.20 0.30

3 0.10 0.15

Sol

x

1 2 h(y)

g(x) 0.4 0.60 1

E ( y ) = ∑ yh ( y ) = 1× 0.25 + 2 × 0.50 + 3 × 0.25 = 2

Question 3: Marks: 10

xy

f ( x, y ) = x = 2, 4, 5; y = 1, 2, 3

66

Find

(i) Joint Probability distribution table

(ii) Marginal probability function of X and Y,

(iii) Are X and Y are independent.

Solution:

x 1 2 3

5 5/66 10/66 15/66

(ii)

3

xy x 2 x 3x x

g ( x ) = ∑ f ( x, y ) = ∑ = + + = for x = 2, 4,5

y y =1 66 66 66 66 11

5

xy 2 y 4 y 5 y y

h ( y ) = ∑ f ( x, y ) = ∑ = + + = for y = 1, 2,3

x x = 2 66 66 66 66 6

(iii)

x y xy

Now g ( x ) .h ( y ) = × = = f ( x, y )

11 6 66

Assignment 5

Question 1: Marks:

2+3+5=10

a) When you consider poisson distribution as the limiting form of the binomial distribution?

Solution:

It is a limiting approximation to the binomial distribution, when p, the probability of success is

very small but n, the number of trials is so large that the product np = µ is of a moderate size.

b) The mean and standard deviation of the population is 30 and 5 respectively. The probability

distribution of the parent population is unknown, find the mean and standard error of the

sampling distribution of X when n=50

Solution:

Given is

µ = 30,σ = 5 and n = 50

As we know that

µX = µ

⇒ µ X = 30

σ

S .E ( X ) = σ X =

n

Putting values

5 5

= = = 0.707

50 7.07

c) Ten vegetables cans, all of the same size, have lost their labels. It is known that 5 contain

tomatoes and 5 contain corns. If 5 are selected at random, what is the probability that all contain

tomatoes? What is the probability that 3 or more contain tomatoes?

Solution:

Tomatoes cans Total cans Corn cans Selected cans

K= 5 N= 10 N-K= 5 n=5

Let X denote the number of tomatoes cans then hypergeometric distribution is given by

k N − k

x n−x

P ( X = x) =

N

n

C55C05 1

P( X = 5) = 10

= = 0.00397

C5 252

= + 10 + 10

C510 C5 C5

100 25 1

P ( X ≥ 3) = P ( X = 3) + P ( X = 4) + P ( X = 5) = + +

252 252 252

126 1

= =

252 2

Question 2: Marks:

3+7=10

Solution:

Sampling with replacement: Sampling is said to be with replacement when from a population a

sampling unit is drawn, observed and then returned to the population before another unit is

drawn.

In sampling with replacement, an element can be selected more than once.

Sampling without replacement: Sampling is said to be without replacement when from a

population a sampling unit is drawn and not returned to the population before another unit is

drawn.

b) A finite population consists of values 6, 6, 9, 15 and 18. Calculate the sample means for all

possible random samples of size n=3, that can be drawn from this population without

replacement. Make the sampling distribution of sample mean and find the mean and variance of

this distribution.

Solution:

Given data is

N=5, n=3

Cn = 5C3 = 10

No Samples x = ∑x/n

1 6,6,9 7

2 6,6,15 9

3 6,6,18 10

4 6,9,15 10

5 6,9,18 11

6 6,15,18 13

7 6,9,15 10

8 6,9,18 11

9 6,15,18 13

10 9,15,18 14

x f f (x) xf ( x ) x2 f (x)

σ X2 = ∑ x 2 f ( x ) −(∑ xf ( x )) 2 = 1206 /10 − (10.8 ) = 3.96

2

Question 3: Marks:

2+2+6=10

a) Find the value of maximum ordinate of the standard normal curve correct to four decimal

places.

Solution:

Since the standard normal probability density function is symmetric about zero, its maximum

ordinate is at Z=0

1 − (0)2 / 2 1

= e =

2π 2.507

= 0.3989

b) If Z is a standard normal variable with mean 0 and variance 1, then find the Lower quartile.

Solution:

P( Z < Q1 ) = 0.25

φ (Q1 ) = 0.25

(Q1 ) = φ −1 (0.25)

Q1 = −0.6745

As we know that

Q1 = µ − 0.6745σ

Putting value

Q1 = 0 − 0.6745(1)

Q1 = 0.6745

c) Let X 1 , X 2 , X 3 be a random sample of size 3 from a population with mean µ and variance σ

2

X1 + X 2 + X 3

T1 =

3

X1 + 2 X 2 + X 3

T2 =

4

Solution:

First we examine which one among T1 & T2 is unbiased. If ONLY one of them is the unbiased

we can prefer it as a better estimator. If both of them are unbiased then we have to compare their

variances. The estimator with least variance will be the preferred.

So let’s first see unbiasedness:

And for T2

X + 2X2 + X3

E (T2 ) = E 1

4

1 4µ

E (T2 ) = E ( µ + 2 µ + µ ) = =µ

4 4

So T2 is also unbiased.

Since both estimator are unbiased, NOW we have to check there variances.

X + X2 + X3 1

Var (T1 ) = Var 1 = 9 [Var ( X 1 ) + Var ( X 2 ) + Var ( X 3 ) ]

3

1 3σ 2

σ2

= σ 2 + σ 2 + σ 2 = =

9 9 3

X + 2X2 + X3 1

Var (T2 ) = Var 1 = 16 [Var ( X 1 ) + 4Var ( X 2 ) + Var ( X 3 ) ]

4

1 6σ 2

3σ 2

σ 2 + 4σ 2 + σ 2 = =

16 16 8

1 3

< so

3 8

Var (T1 ) < Var (T2 )

Hence we conclude that since T1 is unbiased as well as has low variance, so this estimator T1 is

better then T2.

Assignment 6

Question 1: Marks:

5x2=10

Solution:

If H1 :θ < θ 0

(i) Then the test is left-tailed test, and the rejection region is located in the left tail of the

distribution.

If H1 :θ > θ 0

(ii)

Then the test is right-tailed test, and the rejection region is located in the right tail of the

distribution.

If H1 :θ ≠ θ 0

(iii)

Then the test is two-tailed test, and the rejection region is located equally in both tails of the

distribution.

2) If α = 0.10, how many intervals would be expected to contain µ ?

Solution:

We would expect about 90% of all such confidence intervals to contain µ and 10% to miss µ , in

the repeated sampling.

3) What does role the sample mean play in a two-sided confidence interval for µ based

on a random sample from a normal distribution?

Solution:

The sample mean is the mid point of the confidence interval but has no effect on the length of the

confidence interval.

Solution:

variance σ , we may replace σ 2 by S 2 .

2

5) If an automobile is driven on the average no more than 16000 Km per year, then

formulate the null and alternative hypothesis.

Solution:

H 0 : µ ≤ 16000 km

H1 : µ > 16000km

Question 2: Marks:

2+2+6=10

a) The average yield of corn of variety A exceeds the average yield of variety B by at least

200 Kg per acre, formulate null and alternative hypothesis.

Solution:

H 0 : µ A − µ B ≥ 200 kg

H1 : µ A − µ B < 200 kg

Solution:

If the value of parameter is fully specified (i.e. H1 : µ ≠ µ0 ), we use two tailed test. If the

parameter of the distribution is not specified ( H1 : µ > µ0 or H1 : µ < µ0 ) then we use one sided

test.

c) In a poll of college students in a large university, 300 of 400 students living in students

residences (hostels) approved a certain course of action, whereas 200 of 300 students not

living in students’ residences approved it. Compute the 90% confidence interval for the

difference of proportions.

Solution:

300

Pˆ1 = = 0.75

400

200

Pˆ2 = = 0.67

300

( pˆ1 − pˆ 2 ) ± Zα 2 +

n1 n2

( pˆ1 − pˆ 2 ) ± (1.645) +

n1 n2

or 0.08 ± (1.645)

(0.75)(0.25) + (0.67)(0.33)

400 300

or 0.08 ± 0.057

or 0.023 to 0.137

Question 3: Marks:

5+5=10

a) The Punjab Highway Department is studying the traffic pattern on the G.T. Road near

Lahore. As part of the study, the department needs to estimate the average number of

vehicles that pass the Ravi Bridge each day. A random sample of 65 days gives x = 5010

and s = 650. Find the 90 percent confidence interval estimate for µ, the average number

of vehicles per day.

Solution:

1 − α = 0.90 6 50

501 0 ± (1 .64 5)

65

α = 0.1

α = 0.05

2

Zα = Z 0.05 = 1.645

2

s

x ± zα 2

n

650

5010 ± 1.645

65

or 5010 ± 132.62

or 4877.38 to 5142.62

or, rounding the above two figures correct to the nearest whole number, we have :

4877 to 5142

b) Mr. Ali wants to run election for City Government. After a strong election campaign, Mr.

Ali’s staff conducts their own poll over the weekend prior to the election. The results

show that for a random sample of 500 voters 290 will vote for Mr. Ali. Develop a 95

percent confidence interval for the population proportion who will vote for Mr. Ali

using α = 0.05 .

Solution:

p̂(1 − p̂ )

p̂ ± z α / 2

n

0.58(1 − 0.58)

= 0.58 ± 1.96

500

= 0.58 ± 0.043

= (0.537, 0.623)

The end points of the confidence interval are 0.537 and 0.623. The lower point of the confidence

interval is greater than 0.50. So, we conclude that the proportion of voters in the population

supporting Mr. Ali is greater than 50 percent. He will win the election, based on the polling

results.

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