Maurice Carroll, Director Quinnipiac University Polling Institute Rubenstein Associates, Inc.

, Public Relations Pat Smith (212) 843-8026 FOR RELEASE: SEPTEMBER 2, 2010

LAZIO UP 12 PTS. IN NEW YORK GOP PRIMARY FOR GOVERNOR, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; DEMS STILL DON’T KNOW WHO’S RUNNING FOR ATTORNEY GENERAL
Former Congressman Rick Lazio leads businessman Carl Paladino 47 – 35 percent among New York State Republican likely primary voters in the race for Governor, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. But 18 percent of Republican voters remain undecided and 49 percent of those who do name a candidate say they might change their mind before the September 14 primary. Paladino’s support looks a little stronger as 62 percent of his voters say their mind is made up, compared to 42 percent of Lazio backers, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-peack) University poll finds. There is a significant gender gap as Lazio leads 51 – 26 percent among Republican women and only 44 – 42 percent among men. By a 58 – 14 percent margin, Republican likely primary voters have a favorable opinion of Lazio, while 26 percent haven’t heard enough about him to form an opinion. Paladino gets a 45 – 6 percent favorability, with 47 percent who haven’t heard enough about him to form an opinion. “With many of his supporters open to changing their minds, Rick Lazio has a shaky lead,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “The people who like Carl Paladino are more likely than Lazio’s voters to have made up their minds to stick with him. But an awful lot of voters don’t know much about him. Can he convince enough voters that he’s the Republican to run against Andrew Cuomo with a big TV blitz in the next two weeks? We’ll have to wait and see.” -more-

Quinnipiac University Poll/September 2, 2010 – page 2 In the Republican primary to face U.S. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, 49 percent of likely voters are undecided, while 28 percent back former Congressman Joseph DioGuardi, followed by 12 percent for David Malpass and 10 percent for Bruce Blakeman. And 67 percent of those who do name a candidate say they might change their mind. The “don’t know enough” factor for each of the candidates ranges from 65 percent to 76 percent, and this is among Republican likely primary voters. “Joseph DioGuardi? David Malpass? Bruce Blakeman? Flip a coin. Most voters don’t know much about any of them. The impossible-to-predict spillover from people who go out to vote for governor or in other primaries will make the difference, and there’s no way on earth of foreseeing what that will be,” Carroll added. Democratic Primary for Attorney General When registered Democrats were asked in an open-ended question, allowing for any answer, for whom they would vote in the primary for Attorney General:
• •

• • •

77 percent don’t know; 8 percent name someone who is not on the ballot; 4 percent name Nassau County District Attorney Kathleen Rice; 3 percent name State Sen. Eric Schneiderman; 1 percent name State Assembly Member Richard Brodsky; 1 percent name attorney Sean Coffey. These results are little changed from a July 28 survey when 81 percent of Democrats

could not name a candidate. “The five-candidate Democratic primary for attorney general is still way up in the air. It’s a big job, folks. Look what happened to the last New York State attorneys general. But only 9 percent of Democrats have named a candidate who is on the ballot,” Carroll said. From August 23 – 31, Quinnipiac University surveyed 359 New York State Republican likely primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 5.2 percentage points and 866 New York State registered Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research.
For more data or RSS feed– http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

2

3

1. (If registered Democrat) As you may know, there is a Democratic primary for State Attorney General in New York this year. Do you know who you will vote for? (If YES) Who? REGISTERED DEMOCRATS No/Don't Know Eric Schneiderman Kathleen Rice Richard Brodsky Eric Dinallo Sean Coffey Yes/Any Other Name WLDN'T VOTE Refused 77% 3 4 1 1 8 2 5

TREND: (If registered Democrat) As you may know, there is a Democratic primary for State Attorney General in New York this year. Do you know who you will vote for? (If YES) Who? REGISTERED DEMS Sep 02 Jul 28 2010 2010 No/Don't Know Eric Schneiderman Kathleen Rice Richard Brodsky Eric Dinallo Sean Coffey Yes/Any Other Name WLDN'T VOTE Refused 77 3 4 1 1 8 2 5 81 2 1 9 2 6

2. (If registered Republican) If the Republican primary for Governor were being held today, would you vote for Rick Lazio or Carl Paladino? (If undecided q2)As of today, would you say that you lean a little more toward Lazio or Paladino? (This table includes "Leaners".) LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS Tot Men Wom Lazio Paladino SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 47% 35 18 44% 42 15 51% 26 23

2a. (If express choice q2) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary? LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS CAND CHOICE Q2.... Tot RL CP Made up Might change DK/NA 51% 49 42% 58 62% 37 1

4

3. (If registered Republican) If the Republican primary for United States Senator were being held today, would you vote for David Malpass, Bruce Blakeman, or Joe DioGuardi? (If undecided q3) As of today, would you say that you lean a little more toward Malpass, Blakeman or DioGuardi? (This table includes "Leaners".) LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS Tot Men Wom Malpass Blakeman DioGuardi SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 12% 10 28 49 17% 13 31 1 39 7% 7 25 61

3a. (If express choice q3) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary? LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS Tot Made up Might change DK/NA 33% 67 -

7. Is your opinion of - Rick Lazio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS Tot Men Wom Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 58% 14 26 3 62% 16 17 5 52% 10 37 1

8. Is your opinion of - Carl Paladino favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS Tot Men Wom Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 45% 6 47 2 56% 6 36 2 32% 5 61 2

13. Is your opinion of - Bruce Blakeman favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS Tot Men Wom Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 18% 2 76 3 21% 3 72 5 16% 1 82 1

5

14. Is your opinion of - David Malpass favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS Tot Men Wom Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 21% 1 75 4 28% 2 65 5 11% 86 2

15. Is your opinion of - Joe DioGuardi favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS Tot Men Wom Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 31% 2 65 2 41% 3 54 2 20% 1 79 1

6

Sign up to vote on this title
UsefulNot useful