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The survival function of the Weibull distribution with α = 2 and λ = 0.001 (using Table 2.2):

The probability that a rat will be tumor free at 30 days (in other words, the time the rat develops

a tumor is greater than 30 days) is

For x = 45 days,

For x = 60 days,

2.2 (b) From Table 2.2, the mean time to tumor with α = 2 and λ = 0.001 is

For x = 30 days,

For x = 45 days,

1

BSTA 6652 HW#1 Answer Key– Winter, 2012

For x = 60 days,

2.4 (a) Show that the hazard rate has a bathtub shape and find the time at which the hazard rate

changes from decreasing to increasing.

For α = 0.5,

The hazard rate for various values of λ is plotted as follows. The hazard rate has a bathtub shape

for positive λ. Here are several examples:

2

BSTA 6652 HW#1 Answer Key– Winter, 2012

exponential power distribution

5

λ=2

λ=1

4

λ = 0.5

3

h(x)

2

1

0

0 2 4 6 8

, i.e. is increasing here.

To find the time at which the hazard rate changes from decreasing to increasing for α<1, find the

local minimum:

For α = 0.5,

2.4 (b) If α = 2, show that the derivative of the hazard rate is positive for all x > 0.

Since ≥ 0 always, the other quantity in square brackets must be shown to be positive

for all x ≥ 0. For α = 2,

3

BSTA 6652 HW#1 Answer Key– Winter, 2012

which is positive for all x ≥ 0. Therefore, the hazard rate of x is monotone increasing.

2.6 (a) Let X denote the time to death (in months) of a randomly chosen mouse. The survival

function of the Gompertz distribution:

The probability that a randomly chosen mouse will leave at least one year is the probability it is

still alive at one year (12 months):

2.6 (b) The probability that a randomly chosen mouse will die within the first six months is

4

BSTA 6652 HW#1 Answer Key– Winter, 2012

In short, for (

survival tends to zero. This function is also piecewise continuous.

5

BSTA 6652 HW#1 Answer Key– Winter, 2012

6

BSTA 6652 HW#1 Answer Key– Winter, 2012

The median residual lifetime is the length of the interval from time x to the time where one-half

of the individuals alive at time x will still be alive. The median residual lifetime is mrl such that

The value of mrl depends on x. Here is an example of how to find mrl. Let x=0, then ,

the median life time. First of all, find the value of

Second, find the interval [τj-1, τj) such that . Then falls into the interval [τj-1, τj)

and Solving for gives

.

Problem 1. Given the lifetime variable Y is exponentially distributed with a positive constant β ,

-y/β

we know that S(y) = e for y ≥ 0. Therefore for t ≥ 0 we can write:

S(y+t) = e =e *e = S(y) * S(t). Thus a lifetime variable that is

exponentially distributed exhibits the memoryless property: S(y+t) = S(y)S(t), y≥0, t≥0

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