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Hodrick-Prescott-Filter Add-In

Compute Hodrick-Prescott filtered time series with Excel.

File
HPFilter.xla

Donate it
The Hodrick Prescott add-in is the signature product of my web site. Renown multi national banks and investment
banks are using this add-in. I bear the costs for computer, web-site, software and my free time. To keep it a free
software, you can donate it.
Click Here To Donate

Installation
Download the add-in from the internet (www.web-reg.de). Extract the zip-file and declare HPFilter.xla as an add-in
(Tools->Add-Ins Manager ->Browse).

Uses
The HP-Filter is a single command function,
HP(timeseries as Range,lambda as Double)
Timeseries is a vector or matrix of time series. The data have to be organized columnwise.
The "standard-values" for Lambda are 100 for yearly data, 1600 for quarterly data and 14400 for monthly data.

HP is an array-function. First select an empty range which is of the same dimension as the timeseries that should be
filtered. Then write =HP(, then select the range that should be filtered, write a comma (or semicolon, depends on your
language settings in Windows) and then the value of lambda and a closing brace. At this point, do not press Enter.
Rather, hold down the Shift and the Ctrl Keys and then press Enter.

This Add-In uses a very fast algorithm. Filtering lot of data points does not take long time.

Examples are in this worksheet. Note that the results computed only if the Add-In ist installed

Further Notes
The HP-Filter Add-In was written by Kurt Annen. This program is freeware. But I would highly appreciate if you could
give me credit for my work by providing me with information about possible open positions as an economist. My focus
as an economist is on econometrics and dynamic macroeconomics. If you like the program, please send me an email.
annen@web-reg.de
Year GNP HP Trend HP Cycle
1960 856.48 Err:511 Err:511
1961 895.19 Err:511 Err:511
1962 936.28 Err:511 Err:511 2200
1963 962.24 Err:511 Err:511
1964 1026.34 Err:511 Err:511
2000
1965 1081.45 Err:511 Err:511
1966 1111.96 Err:511 Err:511
1967 1108.75 Err:511 Err:511 1800
1968 1169.99 Err:511 Err:511
1969 1257.09 Err:511 Err:511
1600
1970 1321.4 Err:511 Err:511
1971 1361.16 Err:511 Err:511
1972 1419.12 Err:511 Err:511 1400
1973 1488.19 Err:511 Err:511
1974 1492.08 Err:511 Err:511
1200
1975 1471.22 Err:511 Err:511
1976 1549.8 Err:511 Err:511
1977 1593.91 Err:511 Err:511 1000
1978 1641.64 Err:511 Err:511
1979 1709.17 Err:511 Err:511
800
1980 1727.51 Err:511 Err:511
1958 1963 1968 1973 1978 1983
1981 1730.52 Err:511 Err:511
1982 1714.14 Err:511 Err:511
1983 1740.9 Err:511 Err:511
1984 1789.35 Err:511 Err:511 70
1985 1823.18 Err:511 Err:511
1986 1863.77 Err:511 Err:511
1987 1890.28 Err:511 Err:511 60
1988 1960.51 Err:511 Err:511
1989 2024.16 Err:511 Err:511
50
1990 2118.42 Err:511 Err:511
1991 2191.05 Err:511 Err:511
40

30

20

10

0
1958 1963 1968 1973 1978 1983
968 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993

8 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993


Quarter real GDP HP-Trend GDP-Gap
1947.1 1239.5 Err:511 Err:511
6000.000
1947.2 1247.2 Err:511 Err:511
1947.3 1255.0 Err:511 Err:511 5500.000
1947.4 1269.5 Err:511 Err:511
1948.1 1284.0 Err:511 Err:511 5000.000
1948.2 1295.7 Err:511 Err:511
1948.3 1303.8 Err:511 Err:511 4500.000
1948.4 1316.4 Err:511 Err:511
1949.1 1305.3 Err:511 Err:511 4000.000
1949.2 1302.0 Err:511 Err:511
1949.3 1312.6 Err:511 Err:511 3500.000
1949.4 1301.9 Err:511 Err:511
1950.1 1350.9 Err:511 Err:511 3000.000
1950.2 1393.5 Err:511 Err:511
1950.3 1445.2 Err:511 Err:511 2500.000
1950.4 1484.5 Err:511 Err:511
2000.000
1951.1 1504.1 Err:511 Err:511
1951.2 1548.3 Err:511 Err:511
1500.000
1951.3 1585.4 Err:511 Err:511
1951.4 1596.0 Err:511 Err:511 1000.000
1952.1 1607.7 Err:511 Err:511
1952.2 1612.1 Err:511 Err:511 0 00 0 00 0 00 0 00 0 00 0 00 0 00
0. 2 0. 4 0. 6 0. 8 0. 0. 0.
1952.3 1621.9 Err:511 Err:511 10 12 1
1952.4 1657.8 Err:511 Err:511
1953.1 1687.3 Err:511 Err:511
1953.2 1695.3 Err:511 Err:511
1953.3 1687.9 Err:511 Err:511 12.000
1953.4 1671.2 Err:511 Err:511
1954.1 1660.8 Err:511 Err:511
1954.2 1658.4 Err:511 Err:511 10.000
1954.3 1677.7 Err:511 Err:511
1954.4 1698.3 Err:511 Err:511
1955.1 1742.5 Err:511 Err:511 8.000
1955.2 1758.6 Err:511 Err:511
1955.3 1778.2 Err:511 Err:511
6.000
1955.4 1793.9 Err:511 Err:511
1956.1 1787.0 Err:511 Err:511
1956.2 1798.5 Err:511 Err:511
4.000
1956.3 1802.2 Err:511 Err:511
1956.4 1826.6 Err:511 Err:511
1957.1 1836.4 Err:511 Err:511
2.000
1957.2 1834.8 Err:511 Err:511
1957.3 1851.2 Err:511 Err:511
1957.4 1830.5 Err:511 Err:511 0.000
1958.1 1790.1 Err:511 Err:511
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1958.2 1804.4 Err:511 Err:511 00 00 00 00 00 00 00
1958.3 1840.9 Err:511 Err:511 0. 20
.
40
.
60
.
80
.
00
.
20
.
1 1 14
1958.4 1880.9 Err:511 Err:511
1959.1 1904.9 Err:511 Err:511
1959.2 1937.5 Err:511 Err:511
1959.3 1930.8 Err:511 Err:511
1959.4 1941.9 Err:511 Err:511
1960.1 1976.9 Err:511 Err:511
1960.2 1971.7 Err:511 Err:511
1960.3 1973.7 Err:511 Err:511
1960.4 1961.1 Err:511 Err:511
1961.1 1977.4 Err:511 Err:511
1961.2 2006.0 Err:511 Err:511
1961.3 2035.2 Err:511 Err:511
1961.4 2076.5 Err:511 Err:511
1962.1 2103.8 Err:511 Err:511
1962.2 2125.7 Err:511 Err:511
1962.3 2142.6 Err:511 Err:511
1962.4 2140.2 Err:511 Err:511
1963.1 2170.9 Err:511 Err:511
1963.2 2199.5 Err:511 Err:511
1963.3 2237.6 Err:511 Err:511
1963.4 2254.5 Err:511 Err:511
1964.1 2311.1 Err:511 Err:511
1964.2 2329.9 Err:511 Err:511
1964.3 2357.4 Err:511 Err:511
1964.4 2364.0 Err:511 Err:511
1965.1 2410.1 Err:511 Err:511
1965.2 2442.8 Err:511 Err:511
1965.3 2485.5 Err:511 Err:511
1965.4 2543.8 Err:511 Err:511
1966.1 2596.8 Err:511 Err:511
1966.2 2601.4 Err:511 Err:511
1966.3 2626.1 Err:511 Err:511
1966.4 2640.5 Err:511 Err:511
1967.1 2657.2 Err:511 Err:511
1967.2 2669.0 Err:511 Err:511
1967.3 2699.5 Err:511 Err:511
1967.4 2715.1 Err:511 Err:511
1968.1 2752.1 Err:511 Err:511
1968.2 2796.9 Err:511 Err:511
1968.3 2816.8 Err:511 Err:511
1968.4 2821.7 Err:511 Err:511
1969.1 2864.6 Err:511 Err:511
1969.2 2867.8 Err:511 Err:511
1969.3 2884.5 Err:511 Err:511
1969.4 2875.1 Err:511 Err:511
1970.1 2867.8 Err:511 Err:511
1970.2 2859.5 Err:511 Err:511
1970.3 2895.0 Err:511 Err:511
1970.4 2873.3 Err:511 Err:511
1971.1 2939.9 Err:511 Err:511
1971.2 2944.2 Err:511 Err:511
1971.3 2962.3 Err:511 Err:511
1971.4 2977.3 Err:511 Err:511
1972.1 3037.3 Err:511 Err:511
1972.2 3089.7 Err:511 Err:511
1972.3 3125.8 Err:511 Err:511
1972.4 3175.5 Err:511 Err:511
1973.1 3253.3 Err:511 Err:511
1973.2 3267.6 Err:511 Err:511
1973.3 3264.3 Err:511 Err:511
1973.4 3289.1 Err:511 Err:511
1974.1 3259.4 Err:511 Err:511
1974.2 3267.6 Err:511 Err:511
1974.3 3239.1 Err:511 Err:511
1974.4 3226.4 Err:511 Err:511
1975.1 3154.0 Err:511 Err:511
1975.2 3190.4 Err:511 Err:511
1975.3 3249.9 Err:511 Err:511
1975.4 3292.5 Err:511 Err:511
1976.1 3356.7 Err:511 Err:511
1976.2 3369.2 Err:511 Err:511
1976.3 3381.0 Err:511 Err:511
1976.4 3416.3 Err:511 Err:511
1977.1 3466.4 Err:511 Err:511
1977.2 3525.0 Err:511 Err:511
1977.3 3574.4 Err:511 Err:511
1977.4 3567.2 Err:511 Err:511
1978.1 3591.8 Err:511 Err:511
1978.2 3707.0 Err:511 Err:511
1978.3 3735.6 Err:511 Err:511
1978.4 3779.6 Err:511 Err:511
1979.1 3780.8 Err:511 Err:511
1979.2 3784.3 Err:511 Err:511
1979.3 3807.5 Err:511 Err:511
1979.4 3814.6 Err:511 Err:511
1980.1 3830.8 Err:511 Err:511
1980.2 3732.6 Err:511 Err:511
1980.3 3733.5 Err:511 Err:511
1980.4 3808.5 Err:511 Err:511
1981.1 3860.5 Err:511 Err:511
1981.2 3844.4 Err:511 Err:511
1981.3 3864.5 Err:511 Err:511
1981.4 3803.1 Err:511 Err:511
1982.1 3756.1 Err:511 Err:511
1982.2 3771.1 Err:511 Err:511
1982.3 3754.4 Err:511 Err:511
1982.4 3759.6 Err:511 Err:511
1983.1 3783.5 Err:511 Err:511
1983.2 3886.5 Err:511 Err:511
1983.3 3944.4 Err:511 Err:511
1983.4 4012.1 Err:511 Err:511
1984.1 4089.5 Err:511 Err:511
1984.2 4144.0 Err:511 Err:511
1984.3 4166.4 Err:511 Err:511
1984.4 4194.2 Err:511 Err:511
1985.1 4221.8 Err:511 Err:511
1985.2 4254.8 Err:511 Err:511
1985.3 4309.0 Err:511 Err:511
1985.4 4333.5 Err:511 Err:511
1986.1 4390.5 Err:511 Err:511
1986.2 4387.7 Err:511 Err:511
1986.3 4412.6 Err:511 Err:511
1986.4 4427.1 Err:511 Err:511
1987.1 4460.0 Err:511 Err:511
1987.2 4515.3 Err:511 Err:511
1987.3 4559.3 Err:511 Err:511
1987.4 4625.5 Err:511 Err:511
1988.1 4655.3 Err:511 Err:511
1988.2 4704.8 Err:511 Err:511
1988.3 4734.5 Err:511 Err:511
1988.4 4779.7 Err:511 Err:511
1989.1 4817.6 Err:511 Err:511
1989.2 4839.0 Err:511 Err:511
1989.3 4839.0 Err:511 Err:511
1989.4 4856.7 Err:511 Err:511
1990.1 4898.3 Err:511 Err:511
1990.2 4917.1 Err:511 Err:511
1990.3 4906.5 Err:511 Err:511
1990.4 4867.2 Err:511 Err:511
1991.1 4842.0 Err:511 Err:511
1991.2 4867.9 Err:511 Err:511
1991.3 4879.9 Err:511 Err:511
1991.4 4880.8 Err:511 Err:511
1992.1 4918.5 Err:511 Err:511
1992.2 4947.5 Err:511 Err:511
1992.3 4990.5 Err:511 Err:511
1992.4 5060.7 Err:511 Err:511
1993.1 5075.3 Err:511 Err:511
1993.2 5105.4 Err:511 Err:511
1993.3 5139.4 Err:511 Err:511
1993.4 5218.0 Err:511 Err:511
1994.1 5261.1 Err:511 Err:511
1994.2 5314.1 Err:511 Err:511
1994.3 5367.0 Err:511 Err:511
0 00 0 00 0 00 0 00 0 00 0 00 0 00 0 00
6 0. 8 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.
10 12 14 16 18 20

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
. 00 . 00 . 00 . 00 . 00 . 00 . 00 . 00
60 80 1 00 1 20 1 40 1 60 1 80 2 00
Index Random HP Random
1 2.059816 Err:511
2 1.550087 Err:511 30
3 -0.303663 Err:511
4 -1.737846 Err:511
5 -2.303028 Err:511
6 -2.485517 Err:511
7 -1.547427 Err:511 20
8 -2.187262 Err:511
9 -2.461896 Err:511
10 -1.892466 Err:511
11 -1.540231 Err:511
12 -1.544394 Err:511 10
13 -0.922958 Err:511
14 -0.428141 Err:511
15 0.099351 Err:511
16 0.903768 Err:511
17 0.835586 Err:511 0
18 1.279972 Err:511 0 200 400 600
19 0.801208 Err:511
20 -0.145306 Err:511
21 -0.630272 Err:511
22 -0.385578 Err:511 -10
23 -0.55009 Err:511
24 -1.883405 Err:511
25 -1.586754 Err:511
26 -1.728146 Err:511
27 -1.069265 Err:511 -20
28 -1.136595 Err:511
29 -1.090287 Err:511
30 -0.615969 Err:511
31 -0.528423 Err:511
32 -0.240614 Err:511 -30
33 0.460721 Err:511
34 0.974476 Err:511
35 0.551122 Err:511
36 0.887561 Err:511
37 2.210825 Err:511
38 3.809554 Err:511
39 4.339733 Err:511
40 4.150671 Err:511
41 5.287929 Err:511
42 4.808226 Err:511
43 5.515201 Err:511
44 5.098653 Err:511
45 4.850162 Err:511
46 5.162385 Err:511
47 5.756746 Err:511
48 6.177728 Err:511
49 7.12386 Err:511
50 8.249834 Err:511
51 7.333686 Err:511
52 6.843966 Err:511
53 6.457847 Err:511
54 4.843491 Err:511
55 5.546108 Err:511
56 5.72042 Err:511
57 6.179126 Err:511
58 6.456255 Err:511
59 5.709064 Err:511
60 5.919574 Err:511
61 4.249061 Err:511
62 5.24971 Err:511
63 6.127966 Err:511
64 6.619311 Err:511
65 9.309945 Err:511
66 8.83698 Err:511
67 6.241166 Err:511
68 4.548227 Err:511
69 5.869354 Err:511
70 7.692375 Err:511
71 7.06364 Err:511
72 6.473827 Err:511
73 4.909391 Err:511
74 4.933264 Err:511
75 5.846915 Err:511
76 7.078113 Err:511
77 6.84199 Err:511
78 5.908352 Err:511
79 7.118168 Err:511
80 8.709031 Err:511
81 7.381291 Err:511
82 8.924171 Err:511
83 8.143453 Err:511
84 9.124251 Err:511
85 9.596914 Err:511
86 11.75421 Err:511
87 10.14756 Err:511
88 8.6654 Err:511
89 7.799406 Err:511
90 6.801734 Err:511
91 7.276087 Err:511
92 7.289733 Err:511
93 7.423758 Err:511
94 7.408043 Err:511
95 9.340666 Err:511
96 9.638767 Err:511
97 9.438713 Err:511
98 7.385407 Err:511
99 7.318984 Err:511
100 8.589619 Err:511
101 9.150385 Err:511
102 7.093491 Err:511
103 4.782775 Err:511
104 6.113609 Err:511
105 4.861513 Err:511
106 3.724852 Err:511
107 5.524961 Err:511
108 4.435149 Err:511
109 4.81964 Err:511
110 4.783419 Err:511
111 4.497934 Err:511
112 4.136862 Err:511
113 3.901966 Err:511
114 4.766718 Err:511
115 4.754657 Err:511
116 5.199881 Err:511
117 6.84785 Err:511
118 5.23414 Err:511
119 5.095369 Err:511
120 5.381772 Err:511
121 6.292396 Err:511
122 6.683334 Err:511
123 6.24448 Err:511
124 6.154042 Err:511
125 5.3081 Err:511
126 4.420999 Err:511
127 3.804632 Err:511
128 3.154672 Err:511
129 2.084949 Err:511
130 1.147193 Err:511
131 2.999495 Err:511
132 3.082993 Err:511
133 2.237473 Err:511
134 2.767192 Err:511
135 3.8031 Err:511
136 2.870088 Err:511
137 3.846035 Err:511
138 2.671905 Err:511
139 4.348928 Err:511
140 2.123953 Err:511
141 2.704433 Err:511
142 3.087211 Err:511
143 3.753607 Err:511
144 6.012728 Err:511
145 5.32047 Err:511
146 5.103236 Err:511
147 4.727539 Err:511
148 3.37341 Err:511
149 2.022158 Err:511
150 0.798099 Err:511
151 1.7638 Err:511
152 2.143755 Err:511
153 3.985731 Err:511
154 3.089194 Err:511
155 3.107373 Err:511
156 4.511248 Err:511
157 4.242036 Err:511
158 4.032179 Err:511
159 4.18877 Err:511
160 3.840948 Err:511
161 5.113415 Err:511
162 3.86104 Err:511
163 4.027559 Err:511
164 5.055233 Err:511
165 5.470672 Err:511
166 5.310219 Err:511
167 4.920409 Err:511
168 6.855384 Err:511
169 6.304435 Err:511
170 7.144395 Err:511
171 4.791849 Err:511
172 3.899061 Err:511
173 4.196487 Err:511
174 2.814526 Err:511
175 2.361195 Err:511
176 2.499887 Err:511
177 3.688976 Err:511
178 4.462988 Err:511
179 4.336461 Err:511
180 3.771888 Err:511
181 3.519955 Err:511
182 2.319596 Err:511
183 3.486655 Err:511
184 3.155321 Err:511
185 2.086775 Err:511
186 0.194045 Err:511
187 0.608112 Err:511
188 -0.695129 Err:511
189 -0.418586 Err:511
190 0.516508 Err:511
191 0.934422 Err:511
192 1.610876 Err:511
193 2.497164 Err:511
194 2.204062 Err:511
195 3.195689 Err:511
196 2.163575 Err:511
197 1.876371 Err:511
198 2.425291 Err:511
199 0.95983 Err:511
200 0.465677 Err:511
201 2.669651 Err:511
202 2.124536 Err:511
203 1.045028 Err:511
204 0.827805 Err:511
205 0.998539 Err:511
206 0.633888 Err:511
207 0.379668 Err:511
208 -0.135266 Err:511
209 1.958019 Err:511
210 2.275474 Err:511
211 1.216601 Err:511
212 0.811069 Err:511
213 0.484279 Err:511
214 1.502531 Err:511
215 -0.047274 Err:511
216 -0.279821 Err:511
217 -2.143541 Err:511
218 -3.070346 Err:511
219 -2.729129 Err:511
220 -2.510916 Err:511
221 -2.212672 Err:511
222 -2.327189 Err:511
223 -2.268614 Err:511
224 -2.479311 Err:511
225 -1.62736 Err:511
226 -3.152026 Err:511
227 -3.112022 Err:511
228 -4.22893 Err:511
229 -3.963221 Err:511
230 -2.130555 Err:511
231 -1.017684 Err:511
232 -2.287231 Err:511
233 -2.059607 Err:511
234 -2.459671 Err:511
235 -0.545226 Err:511
236 -0.476412 Err:511
237 -2.182973 Err:511
238 -0.961467 Err:511
239 0.679167 Err:511
240 1.585236 Err:511
241 2.749286 Err:511
242 1.847364 Err:511
243 0.741856 Err:511
244 0.397885 Err:511
245 -1.904148 Err:511
246 -2.158656 Err:511
247 -2.313919 Err:511
248 -0.695717 Err:511
249 -0.516801 Err:511
250 -1.436895 Err:511
251 -0.766455 Err:511
252 -1.091104 Err:511
253 -0.822139 Err:511
254 1.075 Err:511
255 1.506646 Err:511
256 3.311178 Err:511
257 5.243626 Err:511
258 5.680421 Err:511
259 5.179088 Err:511
260 5.909364 Err:511
261 4.866383 Err:511
262 4.999013 Err:511
263 6.769978 Err:511
264 6.197504 Err:511
265 5.78249 Err:511
266 6.757326 Err:511
267 7.120681 Err:511
268 6.345264 Err:511
269 6.785863 Err:511
270 8.266843 Err:511
271 9.653335 Err:511
272 9.576659 Err:511
273 10.18235 Err:511
274 9.937402 Err:511
275 9.387491 Err:511
276 10.85039 Err:511
277 12.34996 Err:511
278 13.60517 Err:511
279 13.93401 Err:511
280 12.38083 Err:511
281 12.12582 Err:511
282 11.29519 Err:511
283 10.83536 Err:511
284 11.98256 Err:511
285 13.44316 Err:511
286 14.23768 Err:511
287 13.71007 Err:511
288 13.86057 Err:511
289 12.65414 Err:511
290 13.03955 Err:511
291 13.12489 Err:511
292 11.54699 Err:511
293 11.11363 Err:511
294 8.636026 Err:511
295 7.369055 Err:511
296 8.236427 Err:511
297 7.632615 Err:511
298 7.76882 Err:511
299 8.72379 Err:511
300 8.527734 Err:511
301 9.657923 Err:511
302 10.31946 Err:511
303 11.62562 Err:511
304 11.62373 Err:511
305 12.05441 Err:511
306 12.16992 Err:511
307 12.00291 Err:511
308 10.83834 Err:511
309 10.88799 Err:511
310 10.14235 Err:511
311 10.46393 Err:511
312 10.63736 Err:511
313 10.17672 Err:511
314 9.028919 Err:511
315 8.996938 Err:511
316 9.578364 Err:511
317 8.470755 Err:511
318 11.20572 Err:511
319 11.54551 Err:511
320 11.8202 Err:511
321 15.25849 Err:511
322 15.21776 Err:511
323 15.96737 Err:511
324 14.81838 Err:511
325 15.14334 Err:511
326 14.09271 Err:511
327 12.97822 Err:511
328 14.11854 Err:511
329 12.25264 Err:511
330 13.74472 Err:511
331 13.7118 Err:511
332 12.91546 Err:511
333 13.3242 Err:511
334 12.37822 Err:511
335 11.19579 Err:511
336 10.76124 Err:511
337 10.65601 Err:511
338 11.60743 Err:511
339 13.6435 Err:511
340 14.60347 Err:511
341 15.0777 Err:511
342 15.69491 Err:511
343 16.82109 Err:511
344 16.96749 Err:511
345 16.43742 Err:511
346 15.86193 Err:511
347 14.48279 Err:511
348 13.7911 Err:511
349 13.93842 Err:511
350 13.07386 Err:511
351 12.71057 Err:511
352 12.99285 Err:511
353 13.5003 Err:511
354 12.79516 Err:511
355 12.71659 Err:511
356 11.94327 Err:511
357 11.86254 Err:511
358 11.35531 Err:511
359 12.16019 Err:511
360 10.93252 Err:511
361 10.68354 Err:511
362 8.872839 Err:511
363 8.510499 Err:511
364 6.472834 Err:511
365 6.513291 Err:511
366 5.544456 Err:511
367 5.442173 Err:511
368 3.777572 Err:511
369 4.289901 Err:511
370 3.501544 Err:511
371 3.939486 Err:511
372 3.717276 Err:511
373 4.691835 Err:511
374 4.094638 Err:511
375 5.272576 Err:511
376 6.287692 Err:511
377 6.202047 Err:511
378 5.120544 Err:511
379 4.816209 Err:511
380 5.15242 Err:511
381 4.231563 Err:511
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