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June 6th 2018, Final projections www.tooclosetocall.

ca
Based on the latest polls by Abacus(May 30), Forum(June 2), Leger(2), Pollara(4), Ipsos(4), Ekos(5) and Mainstreet(4 and 6)
OLP PC NDP Green
% 19.8 37.9 36.0 4.6
seats 3 74 46 1
chances of winning* 0.0% 88.1% 11.0% 0.0%
chances of a majority 0.0% 78.4% 6.2% 0.0% Probability to win the riding

OLP PC NDP Green OLP PC NDP Green
Ajax 29.2% 38.4% 29.6% 2.8% 11.85% 74.82% 13.34% 0.00%
Algoma—Manitoulin 9.8% 24.8% 62.4% 3.0% 0.00% 0.01% 99.99% 0.00%
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill 25.0% 47.7% 23.9% 3.3% 0.41% 99.18% 0.41% 0.00%
Barrie—Innisfil 19.4% 45.5% 29.6% 5.6% 0.04% 96.13% 3.84% 0.00%
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte 18.6% 46.7% 28.2% 6.6% 0.03% 97.55% 2.43% 0.00%
Bay of Quinte 19.4% 44.1% 31.6% 4.9% 0.14% 90.91% 8.96% 0.00%
Beaches—East York 20.5% 21.5% 52.9% 5.2% 0.01% 0.02% 99.98% 0.00%
Brampton Centre 21.2% 36.8% 36.2% 5.7% 0.57% 51.80% 47.64% 0.00%
Brampton East 18.1% 27.2% 53.0% 1.6% 0.00% 0.35% 99.65% 0.00%
Brampton North 20.7% 33.2% 43.0% 3.1% 0.15% 13.91% 85.95% 0.00%
Brampton South 24.8% 36.6% 35.6% 3.0% 2.72% 52.89% 44.40% 0.00%
Brampton West 25.7% 32.4% 39.7% 2.1% 3.17% 19.58% 77.26% 0.00%
Brantford—Brant 15.6% 40.3% 40.2% 3.9% 0.01% 50.69% 49.30% 0.00%
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound 8.9% 54.1% 28.6% 8.4% 0.00% 99.66% 0.34% 0.00%
Burlington 22.9% 45.8% 27.4% 3.9% 0.29% 97.68% 2.04% 0.00%
Cambridge 21.2% 41.0% 32.4% 5.4% 0.04% 66.26% 33.71% 0.00%
Carleton 15.8% 53.6% 25.1% 5.5% 0.00% 99.91% 0.10% 0.00%
Chatham-Kent—Leamington 3.8% 43.8% 47.4% 5.0% 0.00% 36.41% 63.59% 0.00%
Davenport 24.3% 15.5% 55.3% 4.9% 0.03% 0.00% 99.97% 0.00%
Don Valley East 34.0% 33.9% 28.8% 3.3% 43.77% 42.32% 13.92% 0.00%
Don Valley North 28.9% 41.1% 26.8% 3.3% 7.18% 88.92% 3.91% 0.00%
Don Valley West 31.9% 41.5% 23.5% 3.1% 13.89% 84.92% 1.19% 0.00%
Dufferin—Caledon 14.5% 45.9% 23.9% 15.8% 0.01% 99.30% 0.70% 0.00%
Durham 15.7% 40.9% 39.7% 3.7% 0.01% 55.61% 44.39% 0.00%
Eglinton—Lawrence 30.6% 42.7% 23.7% 3.0% 8.58% 90.49% 0.94% 0.00%
Elgin—Middlesex—London 0.0% 54.3% 40.9% 4.7% 0.00% 90.19% 9.81% 0.00%
Essex 0.0% 27.0% 69.9% 3.0% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00%
Etobicoke Centre 27.3% 42.1% 28.1% 2.5% 3.84% 90.87% 5.29% 0.00%
Etobicoke—Lakeshore 25.6% 42.3% 28.1% 3.9% 2.03% 93.64% 4.34% 0.00%
Etobicoke North 21.6% 45.1% 31.4% 2.0% 0.13% 94.45% 5.43% 0.00%
Flamborough—Glanbrook 15.4% 43.3% 36.7% 4.6% 0.00% 75.95% 24.05% 0.00%
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell 31.3% 37.8% 27.7% 3.2% 20.97% 70.12% 8.92% 0.00%
Guelph 9.2% 30.5% 28.7% 31.6% 0.01% 34.93% 23.25% 41.82%
Haldimand—Norfolk 4.7% 58.1% 32.6% 4.6% 0.00% 99.53% 0.48% 0.00%
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock 17.1% 46.6% 32.3% 4.0% 0.02% 94.18% 5.81% 0.00%
Hamilton Centre 3.5% 18.5% 68.9% 9.1% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00%
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek 11.7% 24.1% 60.4% 3.8% 0.00% 0.03% 99.97% 0.00%
Hamilton Mountain 9.8% 23.3% 62.7% 4.2% 0.00% 0.01% 100.00% 0.00%
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas 22.8% 33.2% 39.0% 5.0% 1.47% 25.86% 72.68% 0.00%
Hastings—Lennox and Addington 12.1% 45.0% 37.2% 5.7% 0.00% 79.36% 20.65% 0.00%
Humber River—Black Creek 26.8% 33.2% 38.5% 1.5% 5.39% 25.25% 69.37% 0.00%
Huron—Bruce 11.3% 47.1% 38.3% 3.3% 0.00% 81.19% 18.81% 0.00%
Kanata—Carleton 20.5% 46.2% 26.5% 6.7% 0.05% 98.63% 1.32% 0.00%
Kenora—Rainy River 9.0% 40.0% 48.3% 2.7% 0.00% 21.50% 78.51% 0.00%
Kiiwetinoong 3.9% 19.2% 73.3% 3.5% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00%
Kingston and the Islands 20.9% 27.0% 44.6% 7.5% 0.30% 3.22% 96.49% 0.00%
King—Vaughan 29.1% 42.6% 25.4% 2.9% 6.21% 91.73% 2.06% 0.00%
Kitchener Centre 22.3% 34.0% 37.5% 6.2% 1.22% 34.57% 64.22% 0.00%
Kitchener—Conestoga 19.5% 43.4% 30.9% 6.2% 0.07% 91.25% 8.68% 0.00%
Kitchener South—Hespeler 19.3% 40.6% 33.9% 6.1% 0.20% 76.02% 23.79% 0.00%
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex 0.2% 53.5% 41.9% 4.5% 0.00% 86.99% 13.01% 0.00%
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston 8.6% 52.1% 32.4% 6.9% 0.00% 97.93% 2.08% 0.00%
Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes
3.9% 60.3% 31.0% 4.8% 0.00% 99.85% 0.16% 0.00%
London—Fanshawe 0.2% 30.3% 65.6% 3.9% 0.00% 0.04% 99.97% 0.00%
London North Centre 9.0% 37.6% 48.2% 5.2% 0.00% 14.58% 85.43% 0.00%
London West 3.6% 37.1% 55.5% 3.8% 0.00% 3.95% 96.05% 0.00%
Markham—Stouffville 27.0% 43.9% 25.6% 3.5% 2.55% 95.89% 1.57% 0.00%
Markham—Thornhill 28.9% 45.0% 23.9% 2.2% 3.46% 95.84% 0.71% 0.00%
Markham—Unionville 20.3% 51.4% 24.7% 3.6% 0.00% 99.85% 0.15% 0.00%
Milton 22.8% 46.5% 27.4% 3.3% 0.29% 97.84% 1.88% 0.00%
Mississauga Centre 29.5% 37.1% 30.5% 2.8% 14.80% 66.31% 18.90% 0.00%
Mississauga East—Cooksville 28.5% 38.7% 29.3% 3.5% 9.87% 77.59% 12.55% 0.00%
Mississauga—Erin Mills 28.0% 40.3% 29.6% 2.2% 6.62% 83.10% 10.28% 0.00%
Mississauga—Lakeshore 28.2% 43.8% 24.9% 3.0% 4.08% 94.28% 1.65% 0.00%
Mississauga—Malton 28.8% 34.8% 33.8% 2.7% 13.14% 47.78% 39.08% 0.00%
Mississauga—Streetsville 28.8% 39.7% 27.7% 3.8% 9.34% 83.43% 7.24% 0.00%
Mushkegowuk—James Bay 15.4% 15.1% 68.3% 1.2% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00%
Nepean 22.8% 45.1% 26.8% 5.3% 0.34% 97.85% 1.82% 0.00%
Newmarket—Aurora 24.2% 46.5% 25.3% 3.9% 0.41% 98.67% 0.92% 0.00%
Niagara Centre 2.0% 32.3% 61.9% 3.8% 0.00% 0.20% 99.80% 0.00%
Niagara Falls 0.0% 37.3% 59.6% 3.1% 0.00% 1.47% 98.53% 0.00%
Niagara West 6.8% 54.3% 33.0% 5.8% 0.00% 98.54% 1.47% 0.00%
Nickel Belt 7.0% 19.1% 70.5% 3.4% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00%
Nipissing 8.8% 49.3% 38.3% 3.6% 0.00% 87.43% 12.58% 0.00%
Northumberland—Peterborough South 20.7% 43.8% 31.5% 4.1% 0.16% 90.45% 9.40% 0.00%
Oakville 27.0% 47.4% 22.0% 3.6% 1.21% 98.53% 0.27% 0.00%
Oakville North—Burlington 25.0% 46.4% 25.4% 3.2% 0.74% 98.31% 0.95% 0.00%
Orléans 33.6% 38.6% 24.3% 3.5% 28.31% 69.00% 2.70% 0.00%
Oshawa 3.5% 37.9% 55.0% 3.5% 0.00% 3.84% 96.17% 0.00%
Ottawa Centre 33.2% 22.9% 35.7% 8.3% 37.67% 2.89% 59.45% 0.00%
Ottawa South 31.3% 37.1% 27.3% 4.3% 23.20% 67.97% 8.84% 0.00%
Ottawa—Vanier 37.1% 27.3% 30.3% 5.3% 69.43% 10.45% 20.13% 0.00%
Ottawa West—Nepean 27.3% 37.9% 28.6% 6.2% 8.50% 79.34% 12.16% 0.00%
Oxford 6.5% 53.3% 35.6% 4.6% 0.00% 96.48% 3.52% 0.00%
Parkdale—High Park 21.1% 19.7% 54.2% 5.1% 0.00% 0.01% 100.00% 0.00%
Parry Sound—Muskoka 8.1% 47.1% 25.9% 19.0% 0.00% 98.85% 1.15% 0.00%
Perth—Wellington 18.6% 46.7% 30.0% 4.7% 0.03% 96.41% 3.57% 0.00%
Peterborough—Kawartha 23.9% 40.0% 32.0% 4.2% 1.65% 79.53% 18.82% 0.00%
Pickering—Uxbridge 25.9% 42.1% 27.9% 4.1% 2.79% 92.36% 4.85% 0.00%
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke 3.8% 65.0% 28.2% 3.0% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Richmond Hill 26.7% 45.5% 24.7% 3.1% 1.61% 97.45% 0.95% 0.00%
Sarnia—Lambton 0.0% 46.6% 49.1% 4.3% 0.00% 40.71% 59.29% 0.00%
Sault Ste. Marie 23.7% 38.2% 35.8% 2.3% 1.76% 59.63% 38.61% 0.00%
Scarborough—Agincourt 27.1% 43.0% 27.5% 2.4% 2.72% 94.14% 3.14% 0.00%
Scarborough Centre 27.6% 31.5% 37.9% 3.0% 7.69% 20.02% 72.30% 0.00%
Scarborough—Guildwood 27.9% 36.7% 32.7% 2.7% 9.24% 62.47% 28.30% 0.00%
Scarborough North 20.4% 38.3% 39.9% 1.3% 0.11% 43.54% 56.36% 0.00%
Scarborough—Rouge Park 26.1% 32.9% 38.9% 2.1% 4.06% 23.21% 72.74% 0.00%
Scarborough Southwest 27.5% 29.5% 38.9% 4.0% 7.49% 11.69% 80.82% 0.00%
Simcoe—Grey 12.1% 53.4% 26.9% 7.5% 0.00% 99.76% 0.24% 0.00%
Simcoe North 16.3% 44.9% 31.1% 7.8% 0.01% 93.29% 6.71% 0.00%
Spadina—Fort York 26.5% 26.0% 42.2% 5.4% 3.29% 2.54% 94.18% 0.00%
St. Catharines 21.3% 36.6% 38.4% 3.8% 0.49% 42.11% 57.41% 0.00%
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry 4.0% 57.9% 35.5% 2.6% 0.00% 98.87% 1.13% 0.00%
Sudbury 23.4% 27.0% 46.0% 3.5% 0.64% 2.52% 96.85% 0.00%
Thornhill 24.6% 52.2% 21.1% 2.2% 0.08% 99.91% 0.02% 0.00%
Thunder Bay—Atikokan 33.4% 23.3% 39.7% 3.6% 25.83% 2.08% 72.10% 0.00%
Thunder Bay—Superior North 36.5% 17.1% 42.3% 4.0% 28.15% 0.11% 71.75% 0.00%
Timiskaming—Cochrane 8.5% 24.8% 65.0% 1.7% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00%
Timmins 5.6% 38.3% 54.3% 1.8% 0.00% 6.20% 93.80% 0.00%
Toronto Centre 36.2% 21.8% 37.1% 5.0% 45.25% 1.02% 53.74% 0.00%
Toronto—Danforth 19.7% 17.1% 58.1% 5.1% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00%
Toronto—St. Paul's 34.2% 33.4% 27.2% 5.2% 47.97% 41.74% 10.30% 0.00%
University—Rosedale 26.3% 26.9% 39.6% 7.1% 5.11% 5.89% 89.01% 0.00%
Vaughan—Woodbridge 34.3% 38.1% 25.5% 2.1% 32.78% 63.65% 3.57% 0.00%
Waterloo 14.9% 34.0% 46.6% 4.6% 0.00% 9.98% 90.02% 0.00%
Wellington—Halton Hills 14.4% 53.4% 25.0% 7.1% 0.00% 99.88% 0.12% 0.00%
Whitby 16.7% 47.5% 31.8% 4.0% 0.00% 96.09% 3.92% 0.00%
Willowdale 29.0% 40.3% 26.9% 3.8% 8.84% 86.49% 4.67% 0.00%
Windsor—Tecumseh 0.0% 21.4% 73.4% 5.2% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00%
Windsor West 18.4% 22.0% 56.6% 2.9% 0.01% 0.05% 99.95% 0.00%
York Centre 22.8% 40.9% 33.3% 3.1% 0.74% 80.52% 18.75% 0.00%
York South—Weston 25.8% 19.4% 52.5% 2.2% 0.15% 0.01% 99.85% 0.00%
York—Simcoe 19.6% 41.6% 32.7% 6.1% 0.12% 83.29% 16.59% 0.00%

*Winning=winning the most seats, excluding ties