BOSTON GLOBE POLL #27

MA 2010 GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

Prepared by:
Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D.

The Survey Center
University of New Hampshire
September 23, 2010

Contents
Technical Report.......................................................................... 1
Data Tables .................................................................................. 2

The Boston Globe Poll #27
MA 2012 Gubernatorial Election
Conducted by the UNH Survey Center
September, 2010

Technical Report

Field Period: September 17 to September 22, 2010
Hours: 10 a.m. to 9 p.m.
Median Completion Time: 16 minutes
Sample Size: 522 randomly selected Massachusetts adults (RDD)
471 randomly selected likely November, 2010 voters
Sampling Error: Full sample +/- 4.3%
Likely voters +/- 4.5%
Response Rate (AAPOR #4): 26%
The data have been weighted by the number of adults in a household and the number of telephone numbers at
which a household can be reached in order to equalize the chances of an individual MA adult being selected.
The data have also been weighted by the sex and race of the respondent and the region of the state based on
the American Community Survey conducted by the US Census.

1

Tabular Results

2

“What do you think is the most IMPORTANT problem or issue in the race for Senator from Massachusetts?
State
Jobs/ Budget/ Govt. Educa- Health
Don't
Care
Other Know
(N=)
Taxes EconomySpendingCorruption tion
ALL MA ADULTS
10%
59%
12%
1%
3%
3%
11%
2%
515
Likely voter
Non-likely voter

9%
9%

59%
64%

13%
2%

1%
1%

4%
0%

3%
4%

10%
18%

2%
1%

466
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

15%
4%
16%
6%

53%
70%
56%
50%

13%
13%
11%
12%

0%
0%
1%
4%

3%
6%
1%
4%

2%
0%
4%
8%

12%
6%
8%
12%

2%
0%
2%
3%

156
161
53
93

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

22%
10%
2%

43%
59%
68%

13%
10%
12%

2%
1%
1%

1%
3%
5%

2%
2%
4%

16%
11%
8%

1%
3%
2%

122
179
214

Excited about November
15%
Depressed about November 3%
Neither Excited/Depressed 4%

53%
67%
62%

11%
13%
10%

1%
1%
2%

4%
4%
1%

2%
4%
3%

11%
7%
15%

2%
0%
4%

265
148
101

Extremely interested in
election
18%
Very interested
6%
Somewhat/Not Very interested4%

56%
57%
66%

13%
13%
9%

0%
1%
3%

2%
3%
5%

4%
3%
1%

7%
13%
11%

0%
3%
1%

163
211
133

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

5%
10%
16%

63%
57%
55%

13%
10%
15%

1%
2%
0%

7%
1%
3%

2%
3%
3%

9%
13%
7%

0%
3%
0%

168
255
64

Democrat
Independent
Republican

5%
13%
15%

65%
53%
52%

11%
10%
14%

0%
3%
1%

6%
0%
2%

2%
6%
1%

8%
11%
14%

1%
4%
1%

241
101
162

Approve of Obama
4%
Disapprove of Obama
18%
Neither Approve/Disapprove 5%

65%
50%
64%

13%
11%
0%

0%
2%
2%

6%
1%
0%

2%
3%
11%

9%
12%
19%

2%
3%
0%

275
213
23

Brown voter
Coakley voter

16%
4%

54%
70%

11%
12%

1%
0%

2%
5%

3%
1%

12%
6%

2%
1%

234
183

Male
Female

13%
7%

50%
66%

17%
6%

2%
1%

2%
5%

2%
4%

12%
10%

2%
2%

246
269

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

12%
11%
6%
10%

51%
53%
64%
59%

5%
9%
18%
8%

2%
0%
1%
2%

8%
6%
1%
2%

8%
4%
2%
1%

11%
12%
7%
15%

2%
4%
0%
3%

63
132
187
123

White
Minority

10%
9%

59%
60%

13%
7%

1%
0%

3%
7%

3%
2%

10%
15%

2%
1%

439
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

16%
9%
8%
8%

53%
62%
58%
60%

6%
11%
10%
19%

2%
0%
2%
1%

1%
2%
5%
3%

1%
2%
5%
0%

18%
11%
10%
8%

3%
2%
2%
1%

84
101
204
122

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

8%
6%
12%
14%
11%

59%
64%
60%
54%
56%

10%
15%
7%
12%
23%

0%
2%
0%
1%
0%

0%
2%
0%
4%
4%

6%
1%
2%
2%
2%

14%
10%
19%
13%
3%

3%
1%
0%
0%
1%

46
74
26
57
72

Inside 128
7%
128 to 495
11%
Central MA
9%
Western MA
9%
Southern MA/Cape/Islands 12%

62%
54%
60%
58%
66%

8%
17%
14%
6%
8%

0%
1%
2%
1%
0%

6%
4%
2%
1%
0%

2%
2%
3%
4%
5%

12%
8%
8%
20%
8%

3%
2%
2%
1%
1%

130
158
100
66
61

3

“Do you think things in Massachusetts are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?”
Right
Direction
40%

Wrong
Track
50%

Don't
Know
10%

(N=)
520

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

41%
32%

50%
56%

9%
12%

468
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

14%
80%
34%
26%

75%
14%
52%
64%

11%
6%
14%
10%

159
159
53
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

9%
30%
67%

78%
60%
25%

13%
10%
8%

124
179
215

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

32%
49%
48%

56%
44%
41%

11%
7%
11%

266
147
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

34%
42%
46%

59%
46%
45%

7%
12%
9%

163
211
135

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

59%
35%
15%

34%
56%
68%

8%
9%
17%

167
257
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

67%
20%
14%

26%
70%
73%

7%
10%
14%

243
102
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

68%
7%
18%

22%
82%
76%

10%
10%
6%

279
213
23

Brown voter
Coakley voter

16%
68%

73%
25%

12%
7%

237
181

Male
Female

37%
44%

52%
47%

11%
9%

251
268

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

50%
33%
41%
41%

40%
55%
48%
52%

10%
11%
11%
7%

63
135
187
121

White
Minority

39%
50%

52%
33%

9%
17%

443
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

34%
33%
33%
61%

57%
54%
55%
32%

8%
13%
11%
6%

83
100
208
124

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

46%
35%
51%
39%
49%

40%
56%
47%
53%
44%

14%
9%
2%
8%
7%

46
72
25
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

47%
45%
30%
41%
29%

45%
45%
57%
44%
65%

9%
9%
12%
15%
6%

132
161
99
66
61

ALL MA ADULTS

4

“GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Deval Patrick is handling his job as governor?”

ALL MA ADULTS

Approve
40%

Neutral Disapprove
11%
48%

(N=)
515

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

41%
26%

9%
35%

49%
39%

466
40

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

14%
87%
14%
22%

6%
6%
15%
18%

80%
6%
71%
60%

158
162
51
91

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

11%
32%
64%

5%
15%
13%

84%
53%
23%

124
175
216

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

35%
49%
43%

6%
12%
25%

60%
39%
32%

266
147
101

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

42%
40%
38%

4%
7%
28%

54%
53%
34%

164
209
133

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

57%
37%
16%

15%
8%
5%

27%
55%
79%

170
253
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

65%
26%
13%

11%
13%
10%

24%
61%
77%

245
100
161

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

68%
8%
11%

12%
7%
40%

20%
85%
49%

278
212
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

16%
72%

7%
9%

76%
19%

234
183

Male
Female

41%
40%

6%
17%

54%
43%

250
265

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

36%
34%
43%
45%

30%
13%
7%
7%

34%
53%
50%
48%

63
135
186
120

White
Minority

38%
56%

10%
23%

52%
21%

440
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

27%
36%
35%
61%

16%
10%
13%
6%

57%
54%
52%
33%

81
98
208
123

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

33%
47%
48%
37%
43%

11%
11%
10%
16%
5%

56%
42%
42%
47%
52%

45
71
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

54%
37%
30%
47%
27%

13%
9%
11%
13%
14%

33%
54%
59%
40%
59%

133
159
99
65
59

5

“And generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?”

ALL MA ADULTS

Approve
54%

Neutral Disapprove
5%
41%

(N=)
517

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

55%
43%

4%
14%

41%
42%

467
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

20%
93%
48%
55%

3%
3%
7%
6%

77%
5%
45%
40%

159
162
51
92

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

9%
47%
85%

6%
8%
1%

85%
44%
14%

124
175
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

38%
74%
68%

3%
3%
13%

59%
23%
19%

266
147
103

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

45%
56%
63%

4%
3%
9%

51%
41%
29%

164
211
133

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

76%
50%
22%

5%
5%
2%

19%
45%
76%

168
255
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

84%
39%
18%

3%
8%
4%

13%
52%
78%

244
100
163

Brown voter
Coakley voter

21%
90%

4%
4%

75%
5%

233
183

Male
Female

50%
58%

3%
6%

46%
36%

250
267

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

66%
52%
57%
46%

3%
7%
3%
6%

31%
41%
40%
48%

63
135
187
121

White
Minority

50%
81%

5%
5%

45%
14%

443
63

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

42%
50%
52%
71%

10%
4%
4%
3%

48%
46%
45%
26%

84
98
208
123

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

48%
58%
65%
52%
58%

7%
6%
0%
4%
3%

45%
37%
35%
44%
39%

46
72
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

62%
52%
50%
59%
45%

5%
4%
6%
4%
5%

33%
44%
44%
37%
50%

131
161
99
66
60

6

“Next, I’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her ... Governor Deval Patrick.”

ALL MA ADULTS

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable
42%
11%
43%

DK
3%

(N=)
520

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

44%
29%

11%
19%

43%
45%

3%
7%

470
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

13%
89%
23%
30%

9%
7%
16%
17%

76%
4%
54%
47%

1%
0%
8%
6%

159
162
53
93

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

10%
36%
67%

7%
17%
8%

79%
44%
21%

4%
3%
4%

124
178
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

36%
55%
40%

7%
12%
21%

54%
33%
29%

2%
1%
10%

267
147
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

43%
40%
46%

6%
12%
17%

50%
46%
30%

1%
2%
7%

164
212
134

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

64%
36%
19%

9%
11%
18%

22%
51%
63%

5%
3%
0%

168
258
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

69%
24%
16%

8%
12%
13%

21%
59%
67%

2%
5%
4%

244
103
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

69%
10%
21%

10%
11%
21%

17%
78%
37%

3%
1%
20%

280
213
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

17%
77%

11%
7%

70%
15%

1%
1%

235
183

Male
Female

41%
44%

10%
12%

46%
40%

3%
4%

251
269

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

51%
35%
48%
38%

10%
13%
10%
9%

33%
47%
42%
49%

7%
5%
1%
4%

63
135
188
121

White
Minority

39%
66%

11%
10%

46%
21%

3%
3%

446
63

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

28%
39%
39%
61%

16%
10%
12%
7%

51%
47%
46%
31%

5%
4%
3%
1%

84
99
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

29%
49%
51%
48%
48%

9%
13%
2%
11%
15%

54%
35%
47%
42%
37%

9%
2%
0%
0%
0%

46
74
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

53%
39%
32%
51%
37%

11%
13%
10%
10%
9%

34%
46%
51%
36%
48%

2%
2%
6%
3%
6%

131
161
100
66
61

7

“Next, I’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her ... State Treasurer Tim Cahill.”

ALL MA ADULTS

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable
27%
15%
31%

DK
27%

(N=)
521

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

27%
20%

16%
11%

33%
17%

25%
52%

471
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

21%
25%
64%
19%

14%
20%
9%
14%

46%
32%
12%
22%

18%
23%
15%
45%

159
162
53
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

25%
33%
23%

16%
14%
15%

40%
27%
29%

19%
26%
33%

124
179
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

33%
23%
16%

12%
14%
24%

34%
31%
20%

20%
32%
39%

267
148
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

22%
33%
21%

12%
18%
14%

47%
27%
19%

19%
22%
46%

164
212
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

30%
23%
30%

10%
18%
18%

31%
32%
35%

29%
27%
17%

170
258
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

32%
22%
24%

13%
16%
16%

24%
36%
38%

31%
26%
22%

245
103
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

29%
26%
11%

16%
15%
11%

26%
38%
32%

29%
22%
46%

280
213
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

27%
31%

13%
18%

40%
27%

20%
24%

237
183

Male
Female

27%
27%

16%
14%

32%
30%

25%
29%

251
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

32%
30%
24%
25%

17%
15%
13%
16%

9%
23%
41%
36%

42%
33%
21%
23%

63
135
188
123

White
Minority

27%
31%

15%
12%

32%
18%

26%
39%

446
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

27%
26%
31%
22%

10%
16%
16%
15%

30%
29%
27%
38%

33%
29%
26%
25%

84
101
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

29%
27%
32%
23%
40%

1%
16%
16%
21%
14%

27%
26%
35%
31%
34%

43%
31%
16%
24%
12%

46
74
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

22%
30%
25%
33%
29%

14%
17%
16%
13%
10%

35%
28%
32%
20%
37%

29%
25%
26%
35%
24%

133
161
100
66
61

8

“Next, I’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her ... Republican gubernatorial candidate Charlie Baker.”

ALL MA ADULTS

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable
31%
14%
25%

DK
30%

(N=)
520

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

33%
6%

14%
20%

25%
19%

28%
55%

470
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

80%
10%
6%
10%

10%
11%
20%
20%

1%
53%
24%
21%

9%
26%
50%
49%

159
162
51
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

62%
32%
13%

12%
19%
11%

8%
10%
46%

19%
40%
29%

124
178
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

47%
11%
19%

11%
14%
22%

15%
45%
19%

26%
30%
40%

266
148
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

47%
28%
17%

6%
20%
15%

29%
26%
18%

17%
27%
50%

164
211
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

19%
30%
69%

6%
20%
12%

42%
21%
1%

32%
29%
18%

170
256
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

15%
27%
60%

10%
17%
17%

41%
18%
4%

34%
39%
19%

245
101
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

16%
52%
34%

12%
17%
12%

39%
7%
13%

33%
24%
41%

280
213
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

56%
11%

16%
11%

7%
48%

21%
29%

235
183

Male
Female

32%
30%

16%
13%

23%
26%

28%
32%

250
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

22%
31%
33%
32%

19%
16%
12%
13%

17%
15%
32%
28%

42%
38%
24%
27%

63
135
187
123

White
Minority

34%
17%

13%
13%

25%
25%

28%
45%

444
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

21%
41%
32%
30%

16%
8%
16%
14%

22%
18%
21%
35%

41%
33%
31%
21%

84
99
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

17%
28%
29%
32%
43%

13%
13%
7%
16%
10%

28%
26%
21%
23%
27%

42%
34%
42%
29%
20%

46
72
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

36%
36%
29%
17%
28%

13%
15%
11%
14%
20%

28%
26%
21%
27%
16%

23%
24%
39%
42%
35%

133
161
100
66
60

9

“Next, I’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her ... Green Party gubernatorial candidate Jill Stein.”

ALL MA ADULTS

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable
14%
16%
18%

DK
52%

(N=)
521

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

15%
5%

16%
17%

19%
13%

50%
65%

471
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

10%
19%
10%
19%

17%
17%
11%
17%

26%
16%
22%
10%

46%
48%
57%
54%

159
162
53
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

10%
9%
21%

14%
18%
16%

23%
12%
20%

53%
61%
43%

124
179
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

12%
21%
10%

15%
15%
20%

22%
14%
15%

51%
51%
55%

267
148
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

17%
13%
13%

19%
17%
12%

22%
19%
13%

42%
51%
62%

164
212
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

18%
14%
6%

15%
17%
22%

18%
18%
28%

49%
52%
44%

170
258
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

17%
14%
9%

17%
8%
20%

14%
22%
24%

52%
56%
47%

245
103
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

17%
11%
14%

18%
15%
10%

16%
22%
14%

49%
53%
61%

280
213
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

11%
21%

18%
15%

23%
13%

48%
51%

237
183

Male
Female

15%
14%

14%
18%

20%
16%

51%
52%

251
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

12%
13%
16%
14%

12%
20%
13%
18%

14%
13%
22%
21%

61%
54%
50%
47%

63
135
188
123

White
Minority

15%
6%

17%
9%

18%
23%

51%
62%

446
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

10%
9%
14%
20%

19%
8%
17%
18%

16%
22%
15%
23%

55%
61%
54%
39%

84
101
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

18%
10%
17%
24%
14%

11%
17%
15%
14%
17%

15%
23%
13%
12%
19%

56%
50%
55%
50%
51%

46
74
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

10%
13%
11%
24%
20%

13%
21%
15%
14%
15%

23%
15%
19%
19%
14%

54%
51%
55%
42%
51%

133
161
100
66
61

10

“Next, I’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her ... Senator John Kerry.”

ALL MA ADULTS

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable
48%
10%
38%

DK
5%

(N=)
520

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

49%
37%

10%
5%

37%
42%

4%
16%

470
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

17%
83%
47%
45%

12%
8%
9%
11%

68%
9%
35%
37%

3%
0%
8%
7%

159
162
51
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

16%
41%
71%

7%
12%
10%

74%
40%
15%

3%
8%
4%

124
178
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

37%
67%
47%

8%
7%
20%

51%
22%
26%

4%
5%
7%

266
148
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

48%
45%
53%

7%
14%
7%

43%
37%
32%

2%
4%
8%

164
211
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

73%
41%
15%

7%
11%
12%

16%
43%
69%

3%
4%
4%

170
256
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

74%
37%
16%

9%
13%
9%

14%
45%
69%

3%
5%
7%

245
101
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

72%
17%
39%

9%
12%
5%

14%
67%
43%

4%
5%
13%

280
213
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

22%
80%

10%
8%

65%
11%

4%
1%

235
183

Male
Female

43%
52%

11%
9%

43%
33%

3%
7%

250
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

56%
43%
53%
43%

8%
13%
8%
12%

28%
38%
38%
40%

9%
7%
2%
6%

63
135
187
123

White
Minority

45%
73%

10%
3%

40%
17%

5%
8%

444
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

41%
41%
46%
60%

10%
10%
12%
6%

40%
42%
37%
33%

9%
7%
4%
2%

84
99
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

50%
57%
53%
54%
47%

3%
12%
5%
11%
11%

34%
29%
39%
34%
38%

13%
3%
3%
1%
4%

46
72
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

58%
44%
39%
51%
45%

9%
14%
12%
8%
0%

30%
38%
44%
35%
44%

2%
4%
6%
6%
11%

133
161
100
66
60

11

“Next, I’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her ... Senator Scott Brown.”

ALL MA ADULTS

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable
58%
10%
21%

DK
11%

(N=)
518

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

61%
32%

10%
11%

20%
33%

9%
24%

468
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

87%
38%
64%
52%

9%
15%
3%
10%

2%
38%
21%
18%

3%
9%
12%
20%

159
159
53
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

80%
67%
39%

10%
8%
12%

3%
11%
38%

7%
13%
11%

124
179
215

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

72%
37%
54%

8%
14%
11%

11%
38%
21%

9%
11%
15%

266
147
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

67%
61%
45%

9%
10%
12%

19%
20%
24%

5%
9%
20%

161
212
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

40%
63%
87%

13%
10%
9%

32%
18%
1%

15%
9%
2%

167
258
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

42%
58%
84%

12%
15%
6%

35%
14%
4%

12%
13%
6%

242
103
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

40%
82%
59%

11%
9%
11%

36%
3%
10%

13%
6%
20%

277
213
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

86%
33%

8%
12%

3%
44%

4%
11%

237
181

Male
Female

60%
57%

11%
9%

19%
22%

9%
12%

251
267

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

45%
57%
62%
61%

8%
9%
10%
12%

30%
18%
21%
19%

16%
16%
7%
7%

63
134
188
121

White
Minority

61%
46%

9%
13%

21%
22%

9%
20%

443
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

54%
61%
65%
49%

7%
8%
9%
14%

22%
20%
17%
28%

17%
11%
9%
9%

84
101
207
123

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

51%
48%
61%
56%
63%

8%
15%
8%
8%
12%

29%
27%
15%
26%
20%

12%
9%
15%
10%
5%

46
74
26
57
72

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

56%
61%
63%
38%
70%

11%
12%
8%
11%
6%

23%
20%
21%
29%
8%

10%
7%
8%
21%
16%

133
160
98
66
61

12

“Next, I’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her ... President Barack Obama.”

ALL MA ADULTS

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable
56%
6%
37%

DK
1%

(N=)
520

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

57%
52%

5%
11%

37%
36%

1%
2%

470
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

21%
96%
48%
56%

6%
1%
10%
9%

72%
3%
42%
33%

1%
0%
0%
2%

159
162
51
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

13%
50%
86%

7%
9%
3%

80%
39%
11%

0%
3%
0%

124
178
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

41%
76%
66%

2%
6%
15%

56%
18%
17%

1%
0%
2%

266
148
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

52%
56%
62%

1%
5%
13%

47%
38%
23%

0%
1%
2%

164
211
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

80%
51%
22%

5%
7%
4%

13%
41%
73%

2%
1%
0%

170
256
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

87%
40%
19%

5%
10%
5%

8%
46%
76%

0%
4%
0%

245
101
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

95%
5%
64%

4%
5%
25%

1%
89%
3%

0%
1%
8%

280
213
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

22%
96%

6%
2%

71%
2%

1%
0%

235
183

Male
Female

51%
61%

5%
6%

44%
31%

0%
2%

250
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

64%
56%
61%
48%

7%
7%
3%
6%

29%
36%
36%
43%

0%
0%
0%
4%

63
135
187
123

White
Minority

53%
81%

6%
7%

40%
11%

1%
0%

444
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

50%
49%
55%
70%

8%
4%
6%
6%

41%
43%
40%
24%

1%
4%
0%
0%

84
99
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

57%
63%
67%
60%
57%

4%
2%
0%
2%
8%

38%
36%
33%
38%
35%

1%
0%
0%
0%
0%

46
72
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

63%
54%
53%
63%
45%

6%
4%
5%
6%
10%

31%
41%
41%
31%
40%

0%
1%
0%
0%
4%

133
161
100
66
60

13

“Think for a minute about political incumbents, the people in Washington and Massachusetts who are currently in office. Overall, do you
trust current political incumbents to provide leadership in Washington and Massachusetts or do you think political incumbents in Washington
and Massachusetts need to be replaced by a new crop of leaders?”

ALL MA ADULTS

Trust Want New
Current Crop of
Other/
Incumbents Leaders Depends
29%
52%
14%

Don’t
Know
5%

(N=)
521

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

30%
20%

53%
41%

13%
23%

4%
16%

471
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

10%
59%
30%
16%

84%
17%
61%
55%

5%
17%
7%
24%

1%
7%
2%
5%

159
161
53
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

4%
25%
48%

89%
55%
28%

5%
13%
19%

2%
7%
5%

124
179
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

26%
32%
34%

63%
43%
37%

9%
19%
19%

2%
6%
10%

267
148
104

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

31%
30%
28%

58%
51%
46%

10%
16%
15%

1%
3%
11%

164
211
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

46%
25%
12%

32%
57%
79%

15%
14%
9%

7%
4%
1%

170
257
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

48%
17%
11%

28%
66%
79%

17%
14%
8%

7%
4%
1%

245
103
162

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

50%
5%
6%

28%
84%
55%

17%
9%
10%

5%
2%
28%

280
213
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

12%
51%

76%
24%

10%
19%

2%
6%

236
183

Male
Female

27%
32%

57%
47%

12%
15%

4%
6%

251
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

25%
28%
35%
25%

50%
52%
52%
51%

22%
11%
12%
14%

2%
8%
1%
10%

63
135
188
123

White
Minority

29%
38%

54%
39%

14%
12%

4%
11%

445
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

21%
23%
29%
40%

61%
58%
54%
38%

12%
12%
12%
17%

6%
7%
4%
4%

84
101
208
124

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

37%
33%
20%
27%
22%

42%
53%
60%
48%
61%

14%
11%
15%
20%
9%

7%
3%
5%
5%
7%

132
161
100
66
61

14

"Overall would you say you support the political movement known as the Tea Party, you oppose the Tea Party, or that you neither support nor
oppose it?"

ALL MA ADULTS

Support
Oppose
Tea
Lean
Lean
Tea
Party Support Neither Oppose Party
17%
7%
28%
3%
39%

Don't
Know
6%

(N=)
521

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

17%
14%

8%
0%

27%
38%

3%
1%

41%
21%

4%
26%

471
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

36%
3%
13%
10%

13%
0%
12%
10%

35%
22%
31%
21%

3%
3%
3%
6%

11%
69%
38%
44%

2%
4%
3%
10%

159
162
53
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

70%
0%
0%

30%
0%
0%

0%
82%
0%

0%
0%
7%

0%
0%
93%

0%
18%
0%

124
179
217

Excited about November
28%
Depressed about November 2%
Neither Excited/Depressed 9%

10%
3%
5%

32%
24%
25%

3%
2%
4%

23%
60%
48%

3%
9%
9%

267
148
105

Extremely interested in
election
28%
Very interested
12%
Somewhat/Not Very interested9%

9%
6%
7%

19%
33%
32%

4%
3%
2%

39%
42%
36%

2%
5%
14%

164
212
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

7%
18%
35%

5%
8%
14%

15%
34%
38%

3%
3%
4%

61%
34%
6%

9%
4%
3%

170
258
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

4%
18%
35%

4%
7%
13%

20%
40%
34%

3%
2%
3%

61%
28%
12%

7%
5%
4%

245
103
163

Approve of Obama
3%
Disapprove of Obama
35%
Neither Approve/Disapprove 20%

2%
14%
11%

24%
32%
34%

4%
1%
1%

62%
13%
9%

5%
5%
26%

280
213
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

30%
2%

15%
1%

35%
19%

2%
4%

14%
68%

3%
6%

237
183

Male
Female

20%
14%

10%
5%

25%
31%

3%
3%

38%
40%

5%
8%

251
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

11%
19%
15%
20%

2%
8%
7%
8%

29%
30%
29%
25%

5%
1%
4%
2%

41%
33%
43%
37%

11%
7%
1%
9%

63
135
188
123

White
Minority

18%
7%

8%
4%

28%
31%

3%
1%

39%
35%

4%
22%

446
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

20%
22%
18%
9%

4%
9%
10%
4%

38%
28%
28%
22%

1%
3%
2%
5%

31%
30%
36%
57%

6%
8%
7%
4%

84
101
208
125

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

10%
18%
23%
15%
22%

8%
8%
7%
8%
1%

30%
29%
25%
19%
39%

3%
4%
4%
2%
0%

39%
39%
38%
50%
28%

11%
2%
3%
7%
11%

133
161
100
66
61

15

“Thinking about all of the elections in November, both in Massachusetts and in other parts of the country, how do you feel about what will
happen in the November elections? Are you very excited … somewhat excited … somewhat depressed … or very depressed?”

ALL MA ADULTS

Very
Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Excited
Excited
Neutral Depressed Depressed
14%
37%
17%
24%
5%

Don't
Know
4%

(N=)
521

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

15%
6%

38%
31%

16%
23%

24%
21%

4%
11%

3%
8%

470
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

29%
7%
7%
7%

51%
30%
46%
23%

8%
13%
17%
34%

10%
38%
24%
24%

0%
6%
2%
8%

2%
5%
3%
3%

159
161
53
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

33%
9%
7%

50%
43%
25%

9%
16%
21%

5%
24%
34%

1%
3%
8%

3%
4%
3%

124
179
217

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

31%
9%
2%

37%
43%
28%

5%
17%
31%

20%
24%
28%

4%
3%
8%

4%
3%
4%

164
211
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

9%
12%
35%

33%
37%
50%

15%
19%
6%

33%
22%
6%

4%
6%
0%

5%
3%
2%

170
257
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

7%
6%
30%

30%
38%
48%

14%
30%
11%

38%
17%
7%

6%
8%
1%

5%
1%
3%

245
103
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

7%
24%
6%

29%
50%
24%

21%
8%
42%

32%
14%
16%

7%
3%
0%

4%
2%
13%

280
213
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

23%
5%

47%
29%

13%
13%

13%
40%

1%
8%

3%
4%

237
183

Male
Female

15%
13%

41%
34%

15%
18%

21%
26%

6%
3%

3%
4%

251
269

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

6%
16%
16%
14%

46%
34%
33%
42%

17%
14%
18%
15%

26%
29%
25%
18%

3%
6%
4%
5%

2%
1%
3%
7%

63
135
188
122

White
Minority

15%
11%

36%
42%

17%
14%

25%
21%

4%
8%

3%
5%

445
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

15%
17%
13%
13%

36%
39%
41%
30%

19%
14%
14%
21%

20%
27%
23%
27%

4%
2%
4%
7%

5%
2%
4%
1%

84
101
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

6%
15%
17%
14%
23%

51%
32%
35%
43%
32%

16%
15%
15%
12%
11%

22%
33%
23%
25%
32%

1%
3%
10%
3%
2%

4%
2%
0%
3%
0%

46
74
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

13%
15%
22%
7%
9%

30%
37%
29%
49%
53%

16%
21%
18%
8%
12%

33%
21%
21%
27%
15%

4%
3%
4%
6%
9%

3%
3%
7%
3%
2%

133
161
100
66
61

16

“Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the election for Massachusetts governor in 2010 … are you leaning toward someone …
or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?”

MA LIKELY VOTERS

Def. Leaning
Still
Decided Toward Trying To
Vote Someone
Decide
(N=)
34%
21%
45%
467

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

38%
53%
11%
10%

29%
22%
15%
7%

33%
25%
74%
83%

157
162
53
93

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

40%
19%
42%

27%
20%
18%

34%
61%
40%

114
149
205

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

38%
31%
26%

21%
24%
14%

41%
45%
59%

245
133
89

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

57%
23%
20%

15%
26%
20%

28%
51%
60%

161
208
98

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

47%
25%
39%

21%
20%
22%

31%
55%
39%

155
242
59

Democrat
Independent
Republican

41%
15%
37%

19%
21%
23%

40%
63%
40%

224
93
144

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

36%
32%
27%

18%
26%
13%

46%
42%
61%

255
190
18

Brown voter
Coakley voter

30%
44%

24%
18%

46%
38%

226
173

Male
Female

35%
33%

22%
19%

43%
48%

230
238

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

25%
22%
39%
44%

17%
21%
26%
16%

58%
57%
35%
40%

43
121
180
112

White
Minority

35%
30%

21%
14%

44%
56%

409
49

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

29%
30%
31%
45%

11%
22%
22%
23%

59%
49%
47%
32%

65
90
194
115

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

26%
29%
34%
30%
44%

10%
24%
25%
26%
24%

64%
47%
41%
44%
32%

31
67
21
52
71

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

38%
28%
36%
41%
31%

24%
24%
19%
14%
12%

38%
47%
45%
45%
58%

119
154
87
57
50

17

“If the 2010 Massachusetts gubernatorial election was being held TODAY and the candidates are Charlie Baker, the Republican … Deval
Patrick, the Democrat … Tim Cahill, the Independent … and Jill Stein, the Green-Rainbow candidate, who would you vote for ... Charlie
Baker … Deval Patrick … Tim Cahill … or Jill Stein?”

MA LIKELY VOTERS

Baker
34%

Patrick
35%

Cahill
11%

Stein
4%

Other
2%

Don't
Know
14%

(N=)
468

Definitely decided Vote
Leaning towards someone
Still trying to decide

37%
48%
25%

53%
37%
20%

4%
8%
19%

3%
4%
5%

1%
0%
4%

2%
3%
28%

159
97
208

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

69%
40%
11%

4%
28%
56%

12%
12%
10%

2%
3%
6%

1%
1%
3%

13%
17%
13%

114
147
207

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

52%
12%
18%

25%
55%
32%

12%
11%
12%

1%
9%
5%

1%
2%
4%

10%
12%
29%

245
132
90

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

46%
31%
21%

38%
32%
34%

6%
15%
12%

3%
3%
7%

1%
4%
1%

5%
16%
25%

161
209
97

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

15%
35%
77%

58%
28%
6%

8%
13%
8%

5%
4%
1%

1%
3%
0%

13%
16%
9%

155
241
61

Democrat
Independent
Republican

9%
34%
75%

64%
15%
2%

11%
14%
11%

3%
9%
1%

1%
9%
0%

12%
19%
11%

226
91
144

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

12%
64%
30%

59%
4%
22%

10%
12%
19%

4%
4%
11%

2%
2%
0%

13%
13%
17%

256
190
18

Brown voter
Coakley voter

63%
4%

6%
70%

12%
10%

3%
5%

2%
1%

13%
9%

226
174

Male
Female

36%
32%

33%
36%

12%
10%

3%
5%

1%
4%

14%
14%

232
236

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

20%
37%
34%
37%

31%
26%
39%
39%

24%
15%
8%
9%

4%
3%
7%
1%

0%
3%
2%
1%

20%
16%
10%
14%

43
119
182
112

White
Minority

36%
17%

33%
55%

13%
1%

4%
0%

2%
5%

13%
22%

408
49

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

32%
45%
37%
23%

25%
28%
31%
50%

15%
13%
13%
6%

3%
5%
2%
6%

4%
0%
2%
3%

22%
9%
15%
11%

65
91
191
118

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

37%
36%
35%
22%
33%

45%
28%
25%
49%
29%

4%
13%
15%
12%
15%

1%
4%
6%
6%
7%

0%
3%
5%
1%
3%

13%
17%
13%
11%
14%

120
153
88
57
50

18

“Who would your second choice be?”

Baker
12%

Patrick
14%

Cahill
35%

Stein
12%

Other
3%

Don't
Know
24%

(N=)
350

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

3%
15%
35%
10%

22%
1%
39%
9%

56%
47%
3%
6%

11%
22%
8%
0%

3%
3%
6%
2%

4%
13%
9%
72%

111
111
43
83

Definitely decided Vote
Leaning towards someone
Still trying to decide

5%
15%
15%

10%
14%
16%

52%
51%
20%

18%
10%
9%

2%
0%
5%

13%
9%
35%

91
71
186

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

16%
14%
9%

6%
13%
20%

45%
32%
31%

7%
11%
14%

5%
1%
3%

21%
28%
23%

82
117
150

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

13%
9%
15%

14%
15%
15%

40%
36%
17%

11%
15%
7%

4%
3%
2%

18%
21%
43%

176
104
70

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Somewhat/Not Very interested

13%
9%
12%

14%
15%
16%

40%
36%
27%

11%
15%
10%

4%
3%
5%

18%
21%
30%

176
104
85

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

6%
16%
11%

15%
15%
11%

38%
30%
48%

15%
10%
8%

1%
4%
6%

25%
25%
16%

110
187
42

Democrat
Independent
Republican

9%
21%
12%

16%
16%
11%

36%
27%
40%

16%
3%
12%

2%
7%
3%

22%
26%
22%

171
74
100

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

10%
14%
30%

17%
11%
10%

34%
37%
15%

14%
10%
0%

2%
5%
1%

22%
23%
43%

191
139
16

Brown voter
Coakley voter

16%
10%

13%
15%

37%
37%

9%
19%

4%
0%

21%
20%

172
127

Male
Female

13%
12%

13%
16%

34%
35%

13%
10%

4%
2%

23%
25%

176
174

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

9%
16%
12%
10%

12%
13%
15%
13%

38%
29%
44%
25%

7%
12%
10%
16%

7%
3%
3%
2%

27%
26%
16%
33%

36
97
136
70

White
Minority

13%
8%

16%
7%

33%
44%

13%
0%

3%
4%

22%
37%

308
36

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

21%
13%
8%
15%

11%
16%
12%
20%

21%
45%
35%
33%

8%
10%
10%
16%

0%
2%
6%
2%

39%
14%
29%
14%

47
61
148
91

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

13%
11%
12%
10%
11%

25%
12%
5%
14%
20%

6%
32%
40%
32%
50%

16%
13%
26%
21%
10%

5%
6%
3%
3%
0%

35%
26%
13%
19%
9%

25
47
14
43
58

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

11%
7%
21%
10%
22%

15%
18%
14%
7%
10%

39%
32%
35%
35%
32%

11%
13%
4%
26%
2%

3%
3%
3%
3%
6%

22%
26%
24%
19%
28%

84
122
62
44
38

MA LIKELY VOTERSS

19

“If the 2010 election for Massachusetts state Treasurer was being held TODAY and the candidates are Karyn Polito, the Republican and
Steve Grossman, the Democrat, who would you vote for ... Karyn Polito … or Steve Grossman?”

Polito
30%

Grossman
40%

Other
2%

Don't
Know
28%

(N=)
465

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

62%
5%
31%
18%

20%
73%
36%
19%

1%
1%
5%
4%

17%
21%
28%
59%

159
160
53
91

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

65%
33%
8%

12%
30%
63%

1%
1%
4%

23%
36%
25%

114
149
203

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

43%
12%
21%

34%
57%
31%

1%
2%
5%

22%
29%
43%

245
130
90

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Somewhat/Not Very interested

43%
12%
23%

34%
57%
31%

1%
2%
2%

22%
29%
45%

245
130
96

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

8%
33%
70%

68%
30%
9%

0%
3%
3%

24%
34%
18%

152
242
61

Democrat
Independent
Republican

5%
31%
67%

68%
21%
10%

1%
6%
2%

26%
42%
21%

223
92
145

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

10%
57%
36%

58%
18%
27%

3%
1%
0%

29%
24%
37%

253
190
18

Brown voter
Coakley voter

53%
6%

20%
71%

2%
1%

26%
21%

227
172

Male
Female

31%
29%

38%
41%

2%
2%

28%
28%

229
236

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

14%
29%
32%
33%

47%
30%
45%
41%

3%
2%
2%
1%

36%
38%
22%
25%

43
118
180
112

White
Minority

31%
18%

41%
27%

2%
4%

25%
51%

407
48

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

31%
39%
31%
21%

34%
36%
34%
54%

3%
3%
2%
2%

32%
22%
33%
23%

65
89
190
118

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

29%
18%
38%
32%
34%

42%
51%
46%
39%
49%

0%
5%
3%
3%
0%

29%
26%
14%
25%
17%

31
67
21
52
70

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

20%
35%
36%
25%
32%

49%
32%
35%
54%
32%

3%
3%
0%
1%
4%

29%
30%
29%
19%
32%

118
155
86
57
50

MA LIKELY VOTERS

20

“And if the 2010 election for Massachusetts state Auditor was being held TODAY and the candidates are Mary Connaughton, the Republican
and Suzanne Bump, the Democrat, who would you vote for ... Mary Connaughton … or Suzanne Bump”
Connaughton
29%

Bump
33%

Other
2%

Don't
Know
36%

(N=)
462

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

57%
8%
33%
13%

13%
61%
24%
25%

1%
1%
9%
2%

29%
30%
34%
60%

157
161
53
89

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

61%
29%
10%

10%
26%
51%

2%
1%
3%

26%
44%
36%

113
146
203

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

41%
11%
20%

27%
50%
25%

2%
1%
4%

29%
38%
51%

242
130
89

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

39%
22%
25%

39%
30%
30%

2%
3%
0%

19%
45%
44%

160
205
97

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

10%
29%
66%

59%
22%
14%

1%
3%
2%

30%
46%
17%

155
237
59

Democrat
Independent
Republican

7%
30%
62%

57%
16%
8%

1%
5%
2%

35%
49%
28%

224
88
144

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

9%
55%
48%

51%
12%
11%

3%
2%
0%

38%
31%
41%

256
185
18

Brown voter
Coakley voter

50%
8%

16%
61%

1%
1%

32%
30%

222
173

Male
Female

31%
26%

33%
34%

1%
3%

35%
37%

228
234

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

19%
32%
26%
33%

35%
22%
40%
36%

6%
2%
1%
1%

40%
44%
33%
30%

43
120
177
110

White
Minority

31%
15%

34%
28%

2%
7%

34%
50%

403
48

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

31%
38%
29%
19%

36%
26%
30%
43%

3%
2%
2%
2%

30%
34%
39%
36%

64
90
189
116

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

25%
16%
20%
31%
31%

43%
53%
48%
32%
31%

0%
1%
0%
2%
3%

33%
29%
33%
35%
35%

31
66
21
52
73

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

22%
32%
35%
22%
30%

39%
31%
24%
53%
22%

2%
2%
2%
1%
2%

37%
35%
39%
24%
45%

117
151
88
56
50

MA LIKELY VOTERS

21

"Please think about the November election for your representative to the U.S. House of Representatives. Do you plan to vote for the
Democratic or Republican candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives ... or do you plan to skip the election for U.S. House of
Representatives this time?"

MA LIKELY VOTERS

GOP
34%

DEM
45%

Other
3%

Don't
Know
19%

(N=)
449

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

74%
3%
32%
21%

14%
82%
43%
34%

3%
1%
8%
5%

10%
14%
18%
40%

153
159
44
90

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

76%
36%
8%

12%
35%
70%

1%
3%
4%

11%
26%
18%

113
138
198

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

53%
8%
16%

32%
71%
40%

1%
4%
7%

14%
16%
37%

237
126
86

Trust current incumbents
Want new crop of leaders
Other/Don't Know

9%
54%
14%

76%
23%
58%

1%
5%
1%

14%
19%
27%

135
237
77

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

44%
30%
22%

41%
44%
52%

2%
5%
1%

12%
21%
25%

159
198
92

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

6%
37%
89%

78%
34%
5%

0%
5%
0%

16%
24%
7%

149
236
56

Democrat
Independent
Republican

4%
38%
78%

81%
20%
5%

1%
9%
3%

14%
33%
14%

216
90
136

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

6%
71%
41%

69%
14%
30%

4%
2%
4%

21%
14%
25%

248
182
16

Brown voter
Coakley voter

62%
3%

16%
85%

3%
2%

20%
10%

218
167

Male
Female

37%
30%

41%
48%

4%
2%

18%
19%

226
223

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

25%
36%
33%
34%

48%
42%
50%
40%

8%
2%
2%
2%

19%
20%
15%
24%

40
118
167
112

White
Minority

35%
18%

44%
50%

2%
8%

19%
23%

391
48

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

40%
43%
35%
21%

35%
35%
44%
58%

2%
2%
2%
6%

24%
20%
19%
15%

63
89
182
113

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

27%
38%
36%
28%
41%

56%
38%
40%
50%
41%

1%
4%
3%
6%
0%

17%
20%
21%
15%
18%

117
145
83
57
48

22

"And turning to the November election for your representative for the Massachusetts House of Representatives. Do you plan to vote for the
Democratic or Republican candidate for the Massachusetts House of Representatives ... or do you plan to skip the election for Massachusetts
House of Representatives this time?"

MA LIKELY VOTERS

GOP
33%

DEM
43%

Other
4%

Don't
Know
21%

(N=)
450

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

77%
3%
26%
13%

7%
81%
42%
40%

3%
1%
5%
8%

13%
15%
27%
39%

153
158
46
90

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

72%
35%
8%

12%
36%
66%

3%
3%
5%

13%
26%
21%

113
141
196

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

53%
6%
16%

32%
70%
33%

1%
7%
5%

14%
17%
45%

238
126
85

Trust current incumbents
Want new crop of leaders
Other/Don't Know

10%
51%
14%

73%
22%
57%

2%
4%
4%

15%
23%
24%

134
237
78

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

44%
29%
20%

43%
42%
47%

3%
4%
3%

10%
25%
30%

157
199
94

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

8%
34%
92%

74%
35%
1%

4%
5%
0%

15%
27%
6%

150
234
57

Democrat
Independent
Republican

5%
32%
79%

78%
20%
2%

2%
10%
2%

15%
39%
17%

219
88
137

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

9%
64%
31%

67%
14%
32%

3%
4%
4%

21%
18%
33%

245
184
18

Brown voter
Coakley voter

60%
4%

14%
83%

4%
1%

21%
12%

218
167

Male
Female

36%
29%

37%
49%

4%
3%

23%
19%

225
225

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

20%
38%
31%
32%

54%
37%
47%
42%

3%
3%
3%
3%

22%
21%
18%
24%

39
118
170
111

White
Minority

34%
15%

42%
59%

3%
5%

21%
21%

394
45

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

35%
38%
34%
25%

34%
37%
42%
53%

2%
3%
4%
5%

29%
22%
20%
17%

62
88
184
113

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

28%
35%
35%
29%
35%

50%
39%
37%
51%
39%

2%
4%
2%
7%
4%

20%
22%
26%
13%
22%

118
147
83
56
46

23

“Which candidate do you think is the strongest leader?”

Baker
33%

Patrick
38%

Cahill
7%

Stein
1%

Other
3%

Don't
Know
18%

(N=)
453

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

79%
2%
21%
14%

8%
84%
17%
18%

2%
1%
40%
8%

0%
0%
1%
5%

3%
1%
2%
5%

8%
11%
19%
50%

156
159
50
85

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

71%
35%
11%

8%
35%
56%

5%
6%
9%

1%
1%
2%

3%
3%
2%

12%
21%
19%

112
142
199

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

49%
15%
17%

30%
52%
38%

7%
8%
5%

1%
3%
1%

3%
3%
2%

11%
20%
36%

241
126
85

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

45%
31%
20%

41%
35%
38%

4%
9%
7%

0%
1%
5%

2%
4%
1%

9%
21%
28%

159
199
95

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

14%
38%
61%

61%
29%
15%

6%
7%
5%

1%
2%
1%

1%
5%
0%

17%
20%
17%

150
231
61

Democrat
Independent
Republican

11%
31%
68%

59%
25%
13%

10%
4%
5%

1%
4%
1%

2%
6%
2%

17%
30%
11%

221
83
145

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

11%
64%
37%

60%
9%
33%

8%
5%
0%

1%
2%
4%

2%
4%
0%

19%
16%
27%

250
183
16

Brown voter
Coakley voter

61%
8%

15%
70%

5%
9%

1%
1%

3%
1%

15%
12%

216
172

Male
Female

37%
29%

37%
38%

6%
8%

1%
1%

3%
3%

16%
20%

222
231

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

24%
38%
32%
34%

37%
30%
48%
33%

11%
9%
5%
7%

0%
1%
2%
1%

0%
2%
1%
5%

28%
20%
12%
20%

42
117
171
112

White
Minority

37%
9%

36%
53%

7%
6%

1%
0%

2%
4%

17%
28%

399
49

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

34%
32%
36%
30%

32%
32%
33%
51%

9%
12%
5%
5%

2%
2%
2%
0%

2%
4%
2%
3%

20%
18%
22%
11%

63
88
186
114

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

18%
28%
28%
45%
36%

31%
47%
62%
35%
39%

20%
8%
0%
5%
15%

0%
1%
3%
2%
0%

3%
2%
0%
0%
2%

28%
15%
7%
14%
8%

31
66
21
51
69

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

27%
41%
39%
15%
35%

47%
29%
33%
53%
31%

3%
10%
9%
6%
7%

0%
1%
0%
6%
4%

1%
3%
3%
3%
5%

21%
17%
16%
17%
19%

118
146
85
56
48

MA LIKELY VOTERS

24

“Which candidate do you think best understands people like me?”

Baker
27%

Patrick
32%

Cahill
13%

Stein
5%

Other
2%

Don't
Know
21%

(N=)
433

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

70%
2%
14%
6%

4%
73%
6%
19%

10%
5%
56%
11%

1%
6%
3%
15%

1%
1%
4%
5%

15%
13%
17%
45%

147
155
46
82

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

57%
31%
7%

10%
26%
48%

13%
16%
11%

4%
1%
9%

2%
3%
2%

14%
22%
24%

108
136
189

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

42%
5%
15%

27%
42%
30%

12%
17%
12%

3%
11%
3%

2%
1%
4%

13%
25%
36%

232
120
80

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

35%
24%
20%

33%
30%
32%

10%
17%
11%

6%
4%
9%

3%
2%
1%

13%
24%
28%

152
193
88

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

11%
27%
69%

47%
29%
6%

14%
13%
8%

7%
5%
2%

2%
3%
0%

19%
22%
15%

149
216
59

Democrat
Independent
Republican

7%
21%
64%

51%
23%
5%

17%
16%
5%

7%
6%
3%

1%
8%
0%

17%
25%
22%

218
79
132

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

9%
52%
20%

52%
6%
12%

11%
14%
30%

6%
5%
0%

2%
3%
4%

20%
20%
33%

239
176
14

Brown voter
Coakley voter

54%
2%

9%
56%

16%
15%

3%
9%

2%
0%

16%
17%

205
164

Male
Female

30%
24%

34%
30%

11%
15%

6%
5%

1%
3%

18%
24%

214
218

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

23%
29%
27%
28%

21%
24%
38%
37%

18%
15%
12%
12%

4%
7%
7%
3%

0%
2%
0%
5%

35%
24%
16%
16%

42
109
165
106

White
Minority

29%
13%

28%
57%

15%
4%

6%
0%

2%
6%

21%
21%

378
49

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

23%
34%
27%
25%

31%
27%
29%
38%

14%
12%
14%
11%

2%
2%
4%
12%

2%
3%
1%
2%

28%
22%
24%
12%

58
83
178
112

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

18%
26%
20%
24%
37%

35%
38%
58%
24%
26%

22%
9%
5%
17%
14%

3%
6%
13%
7%
8%

8%
0%
0%
0%
0%

14%
20%
4%
27%
15%

28
65
21
51
66

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

30%
23%
32%
19%
33%

38%
27%
26%
37%
32%

13%
16%
15%
3%
16%

2%
3%
8%
16%
4%

1%
3%
2%
1%
4%

16%
29%
18%
23%
11%

113
136
81
55
48

MA LIKELY VOTERS

25

“Which candidate do you think is most likely to bring change to Massachusetts?”

Baker
44%

Patrick
17%

Cahill
11%

Stein
9%

Other
2%

Don't
Know
16%

(N=)
449

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

89%
18%
23%
21%

0%
47%
6%
2%

3%
6%
57%
10%

2%
13%
2%
20%

0%
2%
0%
6%

5%
15%
12%
42%

157
154
51
83

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

70%
53%
24%

2%
13%
29%

12%
12%
11%

5%
6%
14%

1%
2%
2%

10%
14%
21%

107
146
196

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

56%
31%
30%

16%
25%
10%

13%
9%
10%

5%
18%
10%

1%
1%
3%

9%
16%
37%

239
123
87

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

53%
41%
36%

21%
14%
17%

7%
15%
11%

9%
8%
12%

2%
2%
0%

8%
20%
24%

160
199
90

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

29%
44%
76%

31%
12%
4%

14%
10%
9%

8%
12%
3%

1%
3%
0%

17%
19%
7%

147
232
59

Democrat
Independent
Republican

26%
34%
78%

31%
10%
1%

14%
10%
9%

11%
16%
2%

1%
5%
1%

17%
25%
9%

218
84
143

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

26%
68%
45%

30%
2%
3%

11%
11%
9%

10%
7%
21%

2%
2%
0%

20%
11%
22%

244
184
17

Brown voter
Coakley voter

67%
25%

4%
35%

10%
13%

6%
13%

2%
0%

11%
15%

219
167

Male
Female

47%
41%

21%
14%

10%
13%

8%
10%

0%
3%

14%
18%

220
229

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

33%
51%
42%
43%

23%
10%
22%
16%

17%
13%
8%
13%

3%
12%
11%
6%

0%
1%
0%
3%

23%
13%
16%
18%

42
112
174
110

White
Minority

46%
24%

15%
41%

12%
10%

10%
1%

1%
6%

16%
19%

393
47

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

41%
47%
46%
40%

20%
15%
14%
23%

11%
14%
13%
8%

4%
8%
8%
15%

3%
1%
1%
3%

22%
15%
18%
11%

64
86
184
113

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

28%
33%
34%
48%
62%

33%
20%
43%
19%
10%

18%
14%
0%
12%
16%

6%
12%
16%
9%
7%

8%
2%
0%
0%
0%

7%
19%
7%
13%
5%

31
65
19
50
68

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

48%
47%
53%
22%
35%

24%
9%
16%
24%
18%

4%
18%
9%
11%
15%

6%
9%
6%
21%
9%

1%
1%
0%
2%
7%

17%
15%
15%
20%
15%

116
145
83
55
50

MA LIKELY VOTERS

26

“Which candidate do you think is most likable?”

Baker
20%

Patrick
36%

Cahill
18%

Stein
4%

Other
1%

Don't
Know
20%

(N=)
449

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

44%
7%
12%
9%

20%
71%
12%
19%

22%
6%
54%
14%

3%
4%
2%
5%

0%
1%
2%
5%

11%
12%
18%
48%

152
155
51
88

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

35%
23%
10%

17%
35%
48%

30%
20%
11%

1%
3%
5%

1%
1%
2%

16%
19%
23%

111
142
196

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

28%
11%
13%

34%
47%
26%

24%
14%
9%

2%
6%
6%

1%
2%
2%

11%
20%
44%

237
126
85

Extremely interested in election 26%
Very interested
18%
Somewhat/Not Very interested 15%

42%
34%
32%

17%
20%
19%

2%
3%
8%

2%
1%
0%

10%
24%
27%

157
199
94

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

12%
18%
47%

48%
32%
24%

16%
22%
11%

5%
3%
3%

1%
2%
0%

18%
22%
15%

151
229
60

Democrat
Independent
Republican

10%
17%
39%

50%
25%
21%

16%
17%
23%

4%
4%
3%

1%
5%
1%

18%
32%
13%

222
82
140

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

11%
34%
19%

47%
23%
27%

13%
26%
14%

5%
2%
3%

2%
1%
0%

22%
14%
36%

245
183
18

Brown voter
Coakley voter

35%
8%

22%
56%

24%
17%

3%
5%

1%
1%

15%
14%

214
173

Male
Female

20%
21%

37%
36%

23%
14%

2%
5%

0%
2%

17%
22%

220
230

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

25%
22%
15%
26%

26%
34%
43%
33%

21%
20%
19%
16%

3%
5%
5%
2%

0%
1%
1%
2%

26%
17%
18%
22%

42
119
168
109

White
Minority

20%
17%

36%
45%

20%
8%

4%
0%

1%
6%

19%
24%

393
47

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

23%
24%
21%
16%

29%
34%
35%
43%

22%
22%
20%
12%

1%
1%
4%
8%

2%
2%
1%
2%

23%
17%
20%
20%

65
84
186
112

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

20%
16%
23%
35%
14%

29%
33%
61%
28%
39%

24%
23%
16%
19%
26%

1%
4%
0%
6%
2%

6%
1%
0%
0%
1%

19%
23%
0%
12%
19%

30
65
20
52
67

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

23%
19%
22%
13%
24%

42%
28%
34%
48%
38%

11%
28%
19%
8%
18%

2%
5%
4%
5%
0%

1%
1%
0%
2%
5%

21%
18%
21%
24%
14%

116
147
85
56
45

MA LIKELY VOTERS

27

“Which of the candidates for Governor do you TRUST MORE to handle the state’s budget and fiscal problems … Charlie Baker … Deval
Patrick … Tim Cahill … or Jill Stein?”
Don't
Patrick
Cahill
Stein
Other
Know
(N=)
Baker
ALL MA ADULTS
31%
31%
19%
4%
1%
15%
504
Likely voter
Non-likely voter

33%
12%

31%
22%

19%
16%

4%
4%

0%
3%

13%
42%

457
38

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

85%
2%
6%
13%

4%
80%
2%
12%

5%
10%
84%
17%

0%
0%
3%
15%

0%
0%
0%
1%

5%
8%
6%
41%

156
158
52
88

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

65%
32%
11%

9%
22%
50%

12%
22%
20%

2%
3%
5%

2%
0%
0%

9%
21%
14%

119
174
211

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

47%
12%
19%

24%
43%
30%

19%
22%
11%

2%
6%
5%

1%
0%
0%

7%
17%
34%

259
142
103

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

43%
30%
18%

36%
28%
28%

12%
23%
19%

2%
3%
6%

1%
1%
0%

6%
14%
30%

162
207
126

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

15%
33%
66%

52%
25%
9%

15%
21%
15%

4%
4%
2%

0%
1%
0%

14%
17%
9%

166
246
64

Democrat
Independent
Republican

11%
29%
64%

52%
19%
7%

20%
21%
15%

2%
10%
2%

0%
1%
1%

15%
19%
11%

241
97
158

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

11%
60%
19%

52%
5%
8%

17%
19%
22%

2%
4%
10%

0%
1%
0%

16%
11%
40%

273
203
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

60%
7%

7%
61%

18%
19%

3%
4%

1%
0%

11%
9%

229
178

Male
Female

36%
27%

32%
29%

18%
19%

3%
4%

0%
1%

11%
19%

238
266

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

18%
31%
34%
34%

27%
22%
38%
31%

21%
26%
12%
18%

2%
3%
6%
1%

1%
1%
1%
0%

31%
16%
10%
16%

61
129
183
120

White
Minority

34%
12%

28%
50%

20%
12%

4%
0%

1%
1%

14%
25%

433
63

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

25%
37%
36%
23%

25%
22%
27%
46%

16%
23%
21%
14%

6%
2%
2%
6%

2%
0%
0%
1%

26%
16%
14%
10%

80
98
200
123

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

25%
22%
25%
31%
45%

29%
32%
52%
37%
27%

28%
21%
7%
18%
24%

1%
7%
4%
2%
2%

0%
0%
2%
0%
0%

17%
18%
10%
11%
3%

43
69
24
57
72

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

31%
35%
35%
18%
31%

40%
26%
23%
41%
24%

11%
23%
22%
18%
20%

0%
4%
5%
7%
3%

0%
0%
1%
0%
2%

18%
13%
14%
16%
20%

129
158
95
63
59

28

“How responsible do you think Deval Patrick’s administration is for the state of the Massachusetts economy … very responsible … somewhat
responsible … not very responsible … or not responsible at all?”
Not
Very
Somewhat
Not Very
Responsible Don't
Responsible Responsible Responsible
At All
Know
(N=)
ALL MA ADULTS
15%
53%
19%
9%
4%
519
Likely voter
Non-likely voter

15%
17%

53%
58%

21%
4%

9%
8%

3%
13%

469
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

14%
22%
9%
7%

51%
57%
58%
45%

23%
16%
25%
22%

13%
3%
5%
16%

0%
2%
3%
10%

159
162
53
92

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

16%
10%
19%

48%
60%
50%

22%
14%
22%

15%
11%
4%

0%
5%
5%

124
178
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

18%
12%
13%

53%
51%
56%

18%
28%
11%

10%
8%
8%

2%
2%
13%

267
148
103

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

22%
13%
9%

46%
51%
65%

18%
23%
16%

14%
8%
4%

0%
5%
6%

164
210
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

22%
10%
15%

51%
52%
62%

21%
21%
16%

3%
13%
7%

3%
4%
1%

170
257
64

Democrat
Independent
Republican

18%
16%
12%

57%
42%
54%

20%
16%
21%

3%
17%
13%

2%
10%
1%

245
103
162

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

16%
15%
16%

57%
46%
49%

19%
22%
10%

3%
17%
11%

5%
1%
14%

279
212
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

13%
17%

53%
56%

21%
21%

13%
5%

1%
2%

237
183

Male
Female

17%
14%

53%
53%

18%
21%

9%
8%

3%
5%

249
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

14%
11%
16%
19%

62%
58%
52%
43%

10%
24%
20%
20%

4%
6%
11%
12%

10%
1%
1%
6%

63
135
187
123

White
Minority

15%
18%

52%
56%

20%
11%

9%
5%

3%
10%

444
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

20%
13%
14%
17%

42%
55%
55%
54%

17%
20%
21%
19%

14%
8%
8%
8%

7%
4%
3%
3%

83
101
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

27%
17%
18%
10%
12%

37%
59%
49%
61%
54%

19%
15%
17%
20%
24%

14%
7%
13%
6%
9%

4%
2%
3%
2%
0%

46
74
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

10%
15%
21%
19%
15%

64%
53%
41%
52%
48%

15%
19%
26%
17%
22%

8%
11%
9%
5%
10%

3%
3%
3%
6%
5%

133
161
99
65
61

29

“Why do you feel that way?”

Spending
12%

Doing
All
He Can
11%

NationWide
Issue
11%

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

12%
13%

11%
12%

12%
0%

7%
12%

8%
3%

6%
4%

41%
42%

3%
15%

436
35

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

15%
6%
15%
14%

4%
24%
3%
2%

5%
21%
9%
13%

9%
4%
10%
8%

17%
1%
10%
5%

6%
6%
7%
5%

43%
37%
36%
45%

0%
2%
10%
8%

150
156
49
79

Patrick very responsible
for MA econ
16%
Somewhat responsible
8%
Not very/Not at all responsible 18%

16%
15%
1%

4%
11%
18%

8%
11%
3%

9%
6%
11%

5%
7%
5%

43%
39%
43%

0%
4%
2%

78
252
138

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

16%
16%
7%

7%
11%
12%

8%
7%
17%

6%
10%
7%

18%
7%
3%

5%
6%
5%

36%
38%
45%

3%
5%
4%

115
166
196

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

13%
10%
14%

9%
9%
16%

6%
23%
7%

9%
7%
5%

11%
5%
2%

6%
6%
3%

42%
37%
42%

3%
1%
10%

249
136
92

Extremely interested in
election
11%
Very interested
12%
Somewhat/Not Very interested 12%

9%
9%
15%

10%
9%
17%

7%
9%
5%

9%
9%
5%

6%
6%
5%

47%
40%
34%

1%
4%
8%

155
196
120

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

8%
14%
12%

14%
10%
7%

15%
13%
0%

11%
5%
8%

1%
10%
18%

6%
5%
7%

39%
39%
48%

6%
3%
1%

158
233
63

Democrat
Independent
Republican

9%
12%
18%

16%
6%
5%

19%
7%
3%

6%
10%
9%

2%
11%
15%

7%
3%
6%

37%
43%
43%

4%
8%
2%

230
91
149

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

8%
17%
22%

17%
2%
9%

17%
5%
6%

7%
9%
6%

2%
16%
6%

6%
5%
7%

38%
44%
28%

5%
2%
16%

252
197
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

15%
10%

5%
16%

6%
22%

9%
3%

13%
3%

7%
4%

43%
37%

1%
3%

224
170

Male
Female

14%
11%

8%
13%

9%
13%

8%
8%

11%
5%

3%
8%

45%
36%

2%
6%

233
244

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

12%
18%
11%
9%

12%
8%
7%
17%

9%
12%
17%
4%

17%
6%
8%
5%

6%
11%
7%
7%

9%
8%
6%
1%

31%
34%
42%
48%

5%
1%
2%
8%

48
123
182
113

White
Minority

12%
10%

9%
22%

13%
3%

8%
9%

8%
6%

6%
2%

40%
39%

3%
10%

410
57

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

18%
13%
11%
10%

7%
12%
10%
11%

1%
11%
14%
14%

6%
4%
12%
5%

6%
12%
8%
6%

5%
3%
6%
8%

48%
41%
35%
44%

9%
3%
4%
3%

73
91
190
121

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

4%
13%
18%
16%
13%

17%
12%
4%
9%
5%

12%
16%
6%
15%
3%

8%
7%
8%
7%
10%

8%
6%
6%
10%
14%

5%
5%
8%
6%
4%

44%
36%
46%
35%
41%

2%
5%
4%
1%
10%

124
146
91
58
57

ALL MA ADULTS

Final
Responsibility High Inherited
Don't
w/Governor Taxes Problem Other Know
8%
8%
6%
40% 4%

(N=)
477

30

“On another topic, we are interested in how people are getting along financially these days. Would you say that you and your family living
there are BETTER OFF or WORSE OFF financially than you were a year ago?”
Better
Off
21%

About the
Same
36%

Worse
Off
41%

Don't
Know
1%

(N=)
520

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

21%
21%

37%
24%

40%
54%

1%
2%

470
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

17%
27%
24%
18%

40%
40%
26%
35%

42%
31%
47%
47%

1%
2%
2%
0%

159
162
53
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

22%
18%
24%

32%
35%
40%

46%
45%
35%

0%
3%
1%

124
179
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

20%
22%
26%

38%
36%
32%

41%
41%
40%

1%
1%
2%

267
148
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

22%
15%
30%

39%
43%
23%

39%
41%
45%

0%
2%
2%

164
211
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

22%
18%
23%

37%
37%
33%

39%
43%
44%

2%
1%
0%

170
257
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

27%
15%
17%

33%
41%
37%

38%
44%
45%

2%
0%
1%

245
103
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

26%
14%
39%

37%
35%
34%

36%
50%
27%

1%
1%
0%

280
212
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

16%
29%

34%
38%

50%
32%

1%
1%

237
183

Male
Female

20%
23%

42%
31%

38%
44%

1%
2%

250
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

43%
28%
16%
13%

19%
35%
36%
46%

36%
36%
46%
41%

1%
1%
3%
0%

63
135
188
123

White
Minority

20%
30%

36%
36%

42%
34%

2%
0%

446
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

16%
13%
25%
27%

35%
33%
34%
42%

49%
51%
39%
31%

0%
3%
2%
0%

84
101
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

18%
16%
21%
30%
23%

29%
26%
15%
30%
37%

53%
57%
59%
38%
41%

0%
1%
5%
1%
0%

46
74
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

26%
16%
28%
28%
8%

36%
43%
34%
28%
31%

37%
39%
38%
42%
61%

1%
2%
0%
3%
0%

133
161
100
65
61

ALL MA ADULTS

31

“Let’s turn back to state politics. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement … Deval Patrick has brought reform to Beacon Hill.”

ALL MA ADULTS

Strongly
Agree
Disagree Strongly
Agree Somewhat Neutral Somewhat Disagree
7%
20%
5%
28%
27%

Don't
Know
12%

(N=)
520

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

7%
3%

21%
16%

5%
6%

28%
32%

28%
14%

10%
29%

470
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

1%
19%
0%
3%

12%
32%
23%
13%

2%
6%
10%
9%

30%
26%
25%
27%

52%
4%
37%
28%

3%
13%
6%
21%

159
162
53
93

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

4%
4%
12%

12%
22%
23%

2%
2%
10%

24%
31%
27%

53%
26%
14%

5%
14%
15%

124
179
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

8%
7%
6%

20%
22%
18%

3%
6%
11%

25%
30%
31%

37%
20%
15%

8%
15%
18%

266
148
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

14%
5%
2%

17%
23%
20%

3%
8%
5%

18%
31%
36%

38%
26%
16%

10%
7%
22%

164
211
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

14%
3%
7%

24%
19%
15%

6%
6%
1%

24%
30%
28%

15%
31%
44%

18%
10%
6%

170
256
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

12%
4%
3%

29%
13%
11%

6%
8%
3%

26%
23%
33%

10%
40%
45%

17%
12%
5%

245
103
162

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

11%
3%
3%

29%
7%
34%

7%
4%
0%

29%
27%
24%

9%
53%
11%

15%
6%
28%

280
212
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

3%
15%

12%
33%

3%
6%

30%
26%

48%
8%

5%
13%

236
183

Male
Female

6%
8%

21%
20%

3%
8%

25%
30%

35%
20%

10%
14%

250
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

8%
1%
10%
7%

25%
15%
21%
25%

6%
5%
5%
5%

27%
37%
27%
18%

12%
31%
29%
30%

22%
10%
8%
15%

63
135
188
122

White
Minority

7%
9%

18%
37%

6%
5%

30%
10%

30%
9%

10%
30%

445
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

7%
8%
7%
6%

19%
20%
20%
22%

7%
4%
4%
7%

19%
26%
27%
35%

29%
33%
29%
20%

19%
10%
12%
9%

84
101
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

11%
10%
6%
14%
1%

21%
24%
38%
17%
19%

4%
4%
0%
3%
4%

17%
28%
14%
23%
43%

32%
22%
29%
36%
28%

15%
12%
12%
7%
5%

45
74
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

9%
7%
5%
14%
2%

26%
16%
19%
19%
22%

2%
9%
7%
6%
0%

31%
31%
28%
20%
18%

20%
29%
32%
24%
36%

13%
8%
9%
17%
21%

133
161
100
65
61

32

Sign up to vote on this title
UsefulNot useful