BOSTON GLOBE POLL #27

MA 2010 GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

Prepared by:
Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D.

The Survey Center
University of New Hampshire
September 23, 2010

Contents
Technical Report.......................................................................... 1
Questionnaire ............................................................................... 2
Data Tables ................................................................................ 18

The Boston Globe Poll #27
MA 2012 Gubernatorial Election
Conducted by the UNH Survey Center
September, 2010

Technical Report

Field Period: September 17 to September 22, 2010
Hours: 10 a.m. to 9 p.m.
Median Completion Time: 16 minutes
Sample Size: 522 randomly selected Massachusetts adults (RDD)
471 randomly selected likely November, 2010 voters
Sampling Error: Full sample +/- 4.3%
Likely voters +/- 4.5%
Response Rate (AAPOR #4): 26%
The data have been weighted by the number of adults in a household and the number of telephone numbers at
which a household can be reached in order to equalize the chances of an individual MA adult being selected.
The data have also been weighted by the sex and race of the respondent and the region of the state based on
the American Community Survey conducted by the US Census.

1

The Boston Globe Poll #27
Conducted by the UNH Survey Center
September 16, 2010
FINAL
INTRO:
“Good afternoon / evening. My name is _____________________ and I'm from the University of New
Hampshire Survey Center. We are conducting a short, confidential study about politics and policy in
Massachusetts, and we'd really appreciate your help and cooperation.”
1
99

CONTINUE
REFUSED

BIR1
“In order to determine who to interview, could you tell me, of the adults who currently live in your household
-- including yourself -- who had the most recent birthday? I don't mean who is the youngest, but rather, who
had the most recent birthday?”
1
2
3
4

INFORMANT 
SKIP TO SEX
SOMEONE ELSE (SPECIFY): ________________ 
SKIP TO INT2
DON'T KNOW ALL BIRTHDAYS, ONLY SOME 
CONTINUE WITH BIR2
DON'T KNOW ANY BIRTHDAYS OTHER THAN OWN 
SKIP TO SEX

99

REFUSED -- ENTER NON-RESPONSE INFORMATION

BIR2
“Of the ones that you do know, who had the most recent birthday?”
1
2

INFORMANT 
SKIP TO SEX
SOMEONE ELSE (SPECIFY): ___________________  SKIP TO INT2

99

REFUSED

INT2
ASK TO SPEAK TO THAT PERSON
“Good afternoon / evening, this is _____________________ calling from the University of New Hampshire.
This month, we are conducting a confidential study about politics and policy in Massachusetts, and we'd
really appreciate your help and cooperation. You have been identified as the adult in your household who had
the most recent birthday. Is this correct?”
1
2

YES SKIP TO SEX
APPOINTMENT

99

REFUSAL TERMINATE

2

SEX
“Thank you very much for helping us with this important study. We really appreciate your help. Before we
begin I want to assure you that all of your answers are strictly confidential. Your telephone number was
randomly selected from all families in Massachusetts and your responses will be combined with answers from
other people from across the state.”
“Participation is voluntary. If you decide to participate, you may decline to answer any question or end the
interview at any time. This call may be monitored for quality assurance.”
IF ASKED: “This survey will take about ten minutes to complete.”
RECORD SEX OF RESPONDENT

*

1
2
99

MALE
FEMALE
NA / REFUSED

MIPMA
“First of all ... there are many problems facing the State of Massachusetts today. In general, what do you
think is the most IMPORTANT problem facing the State of Massachusetts today?” (PROBE: “Could you be
more SPECIFIC or give me an example?”)
RECORD VERBATIM PROBE FOR SPECIFIC RESPONSE

TRACKMA
“Do you think things in Massachusetts are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on
the wrong track?”

2

1
RIGHT DIRECTION
WRONG TRACK

*

98
99

DK (PROBE: REPEAT QUESTION)
NA / REFUSED

3

GOVAPP
“GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Deval Patrick is handling his job as
governor?”
(IF APPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY approve of the way he is handling his job as
governor, or that you approve only SOMEWHAT?”
(IF DISAPPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY disapprove of the way he is handling his job as
governor, or that you disapprove only SOMEWHAT?”
(IF NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK): “Would you say that you lean a little more toward APPROVING or
DISAPPROVING of the way he is handling his job as governor?”

*

1
2
3

STRONGLY APPROVE
APPROVE SOMEWHAT
LEAN TOWARD APPROVING

4

NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK

5
6
7

LEAN TOWARD DISAPPROVING
DISAPPROVE SOMEWHAT
STRONGLY DISAPPROVE

99

NA / REFUSED

PRESAPP
“And generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as
President?”
(IF APPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY approve of the way he is handling his job as
President, or that you approve only SOMEWHAT?”
(IF DISAPPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY disapprove of the way he is handling his job as
President, or that you disapprove only SOMEWHAT?”
(IF NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK): “Would you say that you lean a little more toward APPROVING or
DISAPPROVING of the way he is handling his job as President?”

*

1
2
3

STRONGLY APPROVE
APPROVE SOMEWHAT
LEAN TOWARD APPROVING

4

NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK

5
6
7

LEAN TOWARD DISAPPROVING
DISAPPROVE SOMEWHAT
STRONGLY DISAPPROVE

99

NA / REFUSED

4

FAV
“Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you
have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person -- or if you don’t know enough about him or her to say.
First, how about ... ROTATE FAV1 TO FAV8
FAV1
“Governor Deval Patrick.”
IF NECESSARY: “Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion about him, or don’t you know enough
about him to say?”

*

1
2
3

FAVORABLE
NEITHER FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE - VOLUNTEERED
UNFAVORABLE

98
99

DK / NEVER HEARD OF / KNOW TOO LITTLE TO SAY
NA / REFUSED

FAV2 “State Treasurer Tim Cahill.”
FAV3 “Republican gubernatorial candidate Charlie Baker.”
FAV4 “Green Party gubernatorial candidate Jill Stein.”
FAV5 “Senator John Kerry.”
FAV6 “Senator Scott Brown.”
FAV7 “President Barack Obama.”

VOTEMOT
“Think for a minute about political incumbents, the people in Washington and Massachusetts who are
currently in office. Overall, do you trust current political incumbents to provide leadership in Washington
and Massachusetts or do you think political incumbents in Washington and Massachusetts need to be replaced
by a new crop of leaders?” ROTATE RESPONSES

*

1
2
3

TRUST CURRENT INCUMBENTS
WANT NEW CROP OF LEADERS
OTHER – IT DEPENDS ON THE PERSON

98
99

DK / NOT SURE – DO NOT PROBE
NA / REFUSED

5

TPARTY
"Overall would you say you support the political movement known as the Tea Party, you oppose the Tea
Party, or that you neither support nor oppose it?"
IF NEITHER / DK: "Would you say you lean towards supporting or opposing the Tea Party movement?"

*

1
2
3
4
5

SUPPORT TEA PARTY
LEAN - SUPPORT
NEITHER SUPPORT OR OPPOSE
LEAN - OPPOSE
OPPOSE TEA PARTY

98
99

DK / NOT SURE
NA / REFUSED

HOPE
“Thinking about all of the elections in November, both in Massachusetts and in other parts of the country,
how do you feel about what will happen in the November elections? Are you very excited … somewhat
excited … somewhat depressed … or very depressed?”

*

1
2
3
4
5

VERY EXCITED
SOMEWHAT EXCITED
NEUTRAL - VOLUNTEERED
SOMEWHAT DEPRESSED
VERY DEPRESSED

98
99

DK / NOT SURE
NA / REFUSED

REGVOTE
“Are you registered to vote at your current address?”
IF YES: “Are you registered to vote as a Democrat, Independent, Republican or something else?”

*

1
2
3
4

REGISTERED DEMOCRAT  SKIPTO VOTEINT
REGISTERED INDEPENDENT / UNAFFILIATED  SKIPTO VOTEINT
REGISTERED REPUBLICAN  SKIPTO VOTEINT
REGISTERED OTHER  SKIPTO VOTEINT

98
99

NOT REGISTERED / DK (DO NOT PROBE)
NA / REFUSED

6

NOTREG
“Do you plan on registering so that you can vote in the November election?”
1
2

YES
NO  SKIPTO ECON1

98
DK (DO NOT PROBE)  SKIPTO ECON1
*
99
NA  SKIPTO ECON1
VOTEINT
“And as you know, the general election for Governor of Massachusetts and other offices is being held in
November 2010. How interested would you say you are in the 2010 general election ... extremely interested
... very interested ... somewhat interested ... or not very interested?”

*

1
2
3
4

EXTREMELY INTERESTED
VERY INTERESTED
SOMEWHAT INTERESTED
NOT VERY INTERESTED

98
99

DK (DO NOT PROBE)
NA

VOTELIKE
“Which of the following statements best describes you ... (READ NUMBERS 1 TO 5)

*

1
2
3
4
5

I will probably NOT vote in the November 2010 general election,  SKIPTO ECON1
I MAY vote in the November 2010 general election,
Unless some emergency comes up, I WILL vote in the 2010 general election,
I will DEFINITELY vote in the 2010 general election, or
I just don't know at this time.”  SKIPTO ECON1

99

NA/REFUSED  SKIPTO ECON1

GOV1
“Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the election for Massachusetts governor in 2010 … are
you leaning toward someone … or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?”
1
2
3

DEFINITELY DECIDED WHO WILL VOTE FOR
LEANING TOWARD SOMEONE
STILL TRYING TO DECIDE

99

NA / REFUSED

7

GOV2
“If the 2010 Massachusetts gubernatorial election was being held TODAY and the candidates are Charlie
Baker, the Republican … Deval Patrick, the Democrat … Tim Cahill, the Independent … and Jill Stein, the
Green-Rainbow candidate, who would you vote for ... Charlie Baker … Deval Patrick … Tim Cahill … or Jill
Stein?" ROTATE CANDIDATES

*

1
2
3
4
5

BAKER
PATRICK
CAHILL
STEIN
OTHER

6

WILL NOT VOTE IN GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION  SKIPTO TREAS

98
99

DK / UNSURE  SKIPTO TREAS
NA/REFUSED  SKIPTO TREAS

GOV3
“Who would your second choice be?

*

1
2
3
4
5

BAKER
PATRICK
CAHILL
STEIN
OTHER

6

NO SECOND CHOICE

98
99

DK / UNSURE
NA/REFUSED

TREAS
“If the 2010 election for Massachusetts state Treasurer was being held TODAY and the candidates are Karyn
Polito, the Republican and Steve Grossman, the Democrat, who would you vote for ... Karyn Polito … or
Steve Grossman?" ROTATE CANDIDATES

*

1
2
3

POLITO
GROSSMAN
OTHER

4

WILL NOT VOTE IN STATE TREASURER ELECTION

98
99

DK / UNSURE
NA/REFUSED

8

AUDIT
“And if the 2010 election for Massachusetts State Auditor was being held TODAY and the candidates are
Mary Connaughton, the Republican and Suzanne Bump, the Democrat, who would you vote for ... Mary
Connaughton … or Suzanne Bump " ROTATE CANDIDATES

*

1
2
3

CONNAUGHTON
BUMP
OTHER

4

WILL NOT VOTE IN STATE AUDITOR ELECTION

98
99

DK / UNSURE
NA/REFUSED

CONGVOTE
"Please think about the November election for your representative to the U.S. House of Representatives. Do
you plan to vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives ... or do
you plan to skip the election for U.S. House of Representatives this time?"
ROTATE PARTIES

*

1
2
3

REPUBLICAN
DEMOCRAT
OTHER

4

WILL NOT VOTE IN US HOUSE ELECTION

98
99

DK / NOT SURE
NA / REFUSED

REPVOTE
"And turning to the November election for your representative for the Massachusetts House of
Representatives. Do you plan to vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate for the Massachusetts
House of Representatives ... or do you plan to skip the election for Massachusetts House of Representatives
this time?"
ROTATE PARTIES

*

1
2
3

REPUBLICAN
DEMOCRAT
OTHER

4

WILL NOT VOTE IN US HOUSE ELECTION

98
99

DK / NOT SURE
NA / REFUSED

9

BALLOT1
“As you may know, Question 1 on the November ballot is a proposal to eliminate sales tax on alcohol sold in
Massachusetts. Do you favor or oppose ballot Question 1, the proposal to eliminate the sales tax on alcohol
sold in Massachusetts, or haven’t you thought about this enough to say?”
“Is that strongly or just somewhat?”

*

1
2
3
4

STRONGLY FAVOR
SOMEWHAT FAVOR
SOMEWHAT OPPOSE
STRONGLY OPPOSE

98
99

DK / NOT SURE / HAVEN’T THOUGHT ENOUGH ABOUT IT TO SAY
NA / REFUSED

BALLOT2
“And as you may know, Question 3 on the November ballot is a proposal to reduce the state sales tax from 6
point two-five percent to 3 percent. Do you favor or oppose ballot Question 3, the proposal to reduce the state
sales tax from 6 point two-five percent to 3 percent, or haven’t you thought about this enough to say?”
“Is that strongly or just somewhat?”

*

1
2
3
4

STRONGLY FAVOR
SOMEWHAT FAVOR
SOMEWHAT OPPOSE
STRONGLY OPPOSE

98
99

DK / NOT SURE / HAVEN’T THOUGHT ENOUGH ABOUT IT TO SAY
NA / REFUSED

CCCHAR
“I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates running for Governor, and for each one,
tell me who you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person.”
ROTATE CCHAR1 TO CCHAR5
CCHAR1
“Which candidate do you think is the strongest leader?” READ LIST IF NECESSARY
1
2
3
4
5

CHARLIE BAKER
DEVAL PATRICK
TIM CAHILL
JILL STEIN
SOMEONE ELSE

97
98
99

NONE
DK / NOT SURE
NA / REFUSED

10

CCHAR2
“Which candidate do you think best understands people like me?” READ LIST IF NECESSARY
CCHAR3
“Which candidate do you think is most likely to bring change to Massachusetts?” READ LIST IF
NECESSARY
CCHAR4
“Which candidate do you think is most likable?” READ LIST IF NECESSARY

ECON1
“Which of the candidates for Governor do you TRUST MORE to handle the state’s budget and fiscal
problems … [ROTATE RESPONSES] Charlie Baker … Deval Patrick … Tim Cahill … or Jill Stein?”
1
2
3
4
5

CHARLIE BAKER
DEVAL PATRICK
TIM CAHILL
JILL STEIN
SOMEONE ELSE

97
98
99

NONE
DK / NOT SURE
NA / REFUSED

ECON2
“How responsible do you think Deval Patrick’s administration is for the state of the Massachusetts economy
… very responsible … somewhat responsible … not very responsible … or not responsible at all?”

*

1
2
3
4

VERY RESPONSIBLE
SOMEWHAT RESPONSIBLE
NOT VERY RESPONSIBLE
NOT RESPONSIBLE AT ALL

98
99

DK / NOT SURE
NA / REFUSED

ECON3
“Why do you feel that way?”
“Could you give me an example?”
“Could you be a little more specific?”
RECORD VERBATIM RESPONSE. PROBE FOR SPECIFIC REASON

11

CCON1
“On another topic, we are interested in how people are getting along financially these days. Would you say
that you and your family living there are BETTER OFF or WORSE OFF financially than you were a year
ago?”

*

1
2
3

BETTER OFF
ABOUT THE SAME (VOLUNTEERED)
WORSE OFF

98
99

DON'T KNOW / NOT SURE
NA / REFUSED

ETHICS1
“Let’s turn back to state politics. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement … Deval Patrick has
brought reform to Beacon Hill.”
“Is that strongly or just somewhat?”
1
2
3
4
5

STRONGLY AGREE
AGREE SOMEWHAT
NEUTRAL
DISAGREE SOMEWHAT
STRONGLY DISAGREE

98
99

DK / NOT SURE
NA / REFUSED

GAM1
“On another topic … recently, a bill that would legalize casino gambling in Massachusetts failed to pass …
do you think that the failure to legalize casino gambling in Massachusetts was a good thing or a bad thing?”

*

1
2
3

GOOD THING
PRO-CON – SOME GOOD / SOME BAD
BAD THING

98
99

DK (PROBE: REPEAT QUESTION)
NA

GAM2
“Who do you think is MOST responsible for the failure to legalize gambling in Massachusetts … Governor
Deval Patrick … Senate President Therese Murray … or Speaker of the House Robert De Leo?”

*

1
2
3
4
5

DEVAL PATRICK
THERESE MURRAY
ROBERT DE LEO
COMBINATION
OTHER - SPECIFY

98
99

DK (PROBE: REPEAT QUESTION)
NA
12

CAPE1
“Recently, there has been a lot of discussion about building more than 100 windmills off the coast of Cape
Cod in Nantucket Sound to generate electricity. Based on what you have heard or read about the Cape Wind
project, do you support or oppose the project to build windmills in Nantucket Sound to generate electricity?
“Is that strongly or just somewhat?”
1
2
3
4
5

STRONGLY SUPPORT
SUPPORT SOMEWHAT
NEUTRAL
OPPOSE SOMEWHAT
STRONGLY OPPOSE

98
99

DK / NOT SURE
NA / REFUSED

CAPE2
"If electricity generated by the Cape Wind project costs more than electricity from traditional sources, would
you be willing to pay more on your utility bill for electricity from Cape Wind?"
IF YES: “How much more would you be willing to pay per month … less than 5 percent more … 5 to 10
percent more … or more than 10 percent more per month?”

*

1
2
3
4

NO / NONE / WOULD NOT BE WILLING TO PAY MORE
LESS THAN 5% MORE
5% TO 10% MORE
MORE THAN 10% MORE

98
99

DK / NOT SURE
NA / REFUSED

IMM1
“And on another topic, does Massachusetts need to do more to ensure that illegal immigrants do not receive
public benefits?”
“Is that strongly or just somewhat?”

*

1
2
3
4
5

YES - STRONGLY
YES - SOMEWHAT
NEUTRAL
NO - SOMEWHAT
NO – STRONGLY

98
99

DK / NOT SURE – DO NOT PROBE
NA / REFUSED

13

TOWN
“Now, a few final questions . . .”
“What town do you live?” ENTER NUMBER OF TOWN FROM SHEET.

*

997

OTHER SPECIFY _____________________________

998
999

DK - DO NOT PROBE
NA / REFUSED

D1
“What is the highest grade in school, or level of education that you've completed and got credit for ...”
[READ RESPONSES]

*

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

“Eighth grade or less,
Some high school,
High school graduate, (INCLUDES G.E.D.)
Technical school,
Some college,
College graduate,
Or postgraduate work?”

98
99

DK (DO NOT PROBE)
NA / REFUSED

D2
“GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent
or what?”
(IF REPUBLICAN): “Would you call yourself a STRONG Republican or a NOT VERY STRONG
Republican?”
(IF DEMOCRAT): “Would you call yourself a STRONG Democrat or a NOT VERY STRONG Democrat?”
(IF INDEPENDENT, NO PREFERENCE, OR OTHER): “Do you think of yourself as closer to the
Republican or to the Democratic party?”

*

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

STRONG DEMOCRAT
NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT
INDEPENDENT, BUT CLOSER TO DEMOCRATS
INDEPENDENT--CLOSER TO NEITHER
INDEPENDENT, BUT CLOSER TO REPUBLICANS
NOT VERY STRONG REPUBLICAN
STRONG REPUBLICAN
OTHER PARTY

99

DK / NA / REFUSED

14

MASEN
“Think back to the special election for Senate in January. Did you vote Scott Brown, the Republican, Martha
Coakley, the Democrat, someone else, or did you skip that election?

*

1
2
3

SCOTT BROWN - REPUBLICAN
MARTHA COAKLEY - DEMOCRAT
OTHER

97

DID NOT VOTE

98
99

DK / NOT SURE
NA / REFUSED

D3
“What is your current age?”
RECORD EXACT NUMBER OF YEARS OLD -- E.G., 45
96

*

NINETY-SIX YEARS OF AGE OR OLDER

97
REFUSED
98
DK
99 NA

D5
“Are you of Hispanic or Spanish origin?"

*

1
2

YES
NO

98
99

DON'T KNOW
REFUSED

15

D6
“Which of the following best describes your race? Is it ...White ... African-American ... Asian ... NativeAmerican ... or some other race?”

*

1
2
3
4
5
6

WHITE (CAUCASIAN)
BLACK (AFRICAN-AMERICAN)
HISPANIC
ASIAN
NATIVE AMERICAN
OTHER - SPECIFY: ________________________________

98
99

DON'T KNOW
NO ANSWER/REFUSED

D7
“Including yourself, how many adults CURRENTLY live in your household?”

*

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

ONE - JUST RESPONDENT
TWO
THREE
FOUR
FIVE
SIX
SEVEN OR MORE

98
99

DK
NA / REFUSED

D8
“How much TOTAL income did you and your family receive in 2009, not just from wages or salaries but
from ALL sources -- that is, before taxes and other deductions were made? Was it ….” (READ
CATEGORIES)
ANNUAL

*
*
*

MONTHLY EQUIVALENT

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

Less than $15,000,
LESS THAN $1,250
$15,000 - $29,999,
$1,250 - $2,499
$30,000 - $44,999,
$2,500 - $3,749
$45,000 - $59,999,
$3,750 - $4,999
$60,000 - $74,999,
$5,000 - $6,249
$75,000 - $99,999,
$6,250 - $8,333
$100,000 to $149,999, or
$8,334 - $12,4999
$150,000 and over?”
$12,500 or more

97
98
99

REFUSED
DK
NA

16

D9
“Not counting business lines, extension phones, or cellular phones -- on how many different telephone
NUMBERS can your household be reached?”

*

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

ONE
TWO
THREE
FOUR
FIVE
SIX
SEVEN OR MORE

98
99

DK
NA / REFUSED

D10
“Finally, would you be willing to be interviewed by a reporter to discuss your reactions to some of the topics
we've been talking about?”
1
2

YES “Could I have just your first name in case a reporter wants to call you?” ____________
NO / DK (DO NOT PROBE)

99

NA / REFUSED

“Thank you for your time and participation. Your input has been very valuable. Goodbye.”

17

Tabular Results

18

“What do you think is the most IMPORTANT problem or issue in the race for Senator from Massachusetts?
State
Jobs/ Budget/ Govt. Educa- Health
Don't
Care
Other Know
(N=)
Taxes EconomySpendingCorruption tion
ALL MA ADULTS
10%
59%
12%
1%
3%
3%
11%
2%
515
Likely voter
Non-likely voter

9%
9%

59%
64%

13%
2%

1%
1%

4%
0%

3%
4%

10%
18%

2%
1%

466
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

15%
4%
16%
6%

53%
70%
56%
50%

13%
13%
11%
12%

0%
0%
1%
4%

3%
6%
1%
4%

2%
0%
4%
8%

12%
6%
8%
12%

2%
0%
2%
3%

156
161
53
93

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

22%
10%
2%

43%
59%
68%

13%
10%
12%

2%
1%
1%

1%
3%
5%

2%
2%
4%

16%
11%
8%

1%
3%
2%

122
179
214

Excited about November
15%
Depressed about November 3%
Neither Excited/Depressed 4%

53%
67%
62%

11%
13%
10%

1%
1%
2%

4%
4%
1%

2%
4%
3%

11%
7%
15%

2%
0%
4%

265
148
101

Extremely interested in
election
18%
Very interested
6%
Somewhat/Not Very interested4%

56%
57%
66%

13%
13%
9%

0%
1%
3%

2%
3%
5%

4%
3%
1%

7%
13%
11%

0%
3%
1%

163
211
133

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

5%
10%
16%

63%
57%
55%

13%
10%
15%

1%
2%
0%

7%
1%
3%

2%
3%
3%

9%
13%
7%

0%
3%
0%

168
255
64

Democrat
Independent
Republican

5%
13%
15%

65%
53%
52%

11%
10%
14%

0%
3%
1%

6%
0%
2%

2%
6%
1%

8%
11%
14%

1%
4%
1%

241
101
162

Approve of Obama
4%
Disapprove of Obama
18%
Neither Approve/Disapprove 5%

65%
50%
64%

13%
11%
0%

0%
2%
2%

6%
1%
0%

2%
3%
11%

9%
12%
19%

2%
3%
0%

275
213
23

Brown voter
Coakley voter

16%
4%

54%
70%

11%
12%

1%
0%

2%
5%

3%
1%

12%
6%

2%
1%

234
183

Male
Female

13%
7%

50%
66%

17%
6%

2%
1%

2%
5%

2%
4%

12%
10%

2%
2%

246
269

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

12%
11%
6%
10%

51%
53%
64%
59%

5%
9%
18%
8%

2%
0%
1%
2%

8%
6%
1%
2%

8%
4%
2%
1%

11%
12%
7%
15%

2%
4%
0%
3%

63
132
187
123

White
Minority

10%
9%

59%
60%

13%
7%

1%
0%

3%
7%

3%
2%

10%
15%

2%
1%

439
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

16%
9%
8%
8%

53%
62%
58%
60%

6%
11%
10%
19%

2%
0%
2%
1%

1%
2%
5%
3%

1%
2%
5%
0%

18%
11%
10%
8%

3%
2%
2%
1%

84
101
204
122

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

8%
6%
12%
14%
11%

59%
64%
60%
54%
56%

10%
15%
7%
12%
23%

0%
2%
0%
1%
0%

0%
2%
0%
4%
4%

6%
1%
2%
2%
2%

14%
10%
19%
13%
3%

3%
1%
0%
0%
1%

46
74
26
57
72

Inside 128
7%
128 to 495
11%
Central MA
9%
Western MA
9%
Southern MA/Cape/Islands 12%

62%
54%
60%
58%
66%

8%
17%
14%
6%
8%

0%
1%
2%
1%
0%

6%
4%
2%
1%
0%

2%
2%
3%
4%
5%

12%
8%
8%
20%
8%

3%
2%
2%
1%
1%

130
158
100
66
61

19

“Do you think things in Massachusetts are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?”
Right
Direction
40%

Wrong
Track
50%

Don't
Know
10%

(N=)
520

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

41%
32%

50%
56%

9%
12%

468
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

14%
80%
34%
26%

75%
14%
52%
64%

11%
6%
14%
10%

159
159
53
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

9%
30%
67%

78%
60%
25%

13%
10%
8%

124
179
215

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

32%
49%
48%

56%
44%
41%

11%
7%
11%

266
147
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

34%
42%
46%

59%
46%
45%

7%
12%
9%

163
211
135

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

59%
35%
15%

34%
56%
68%

8%
9%
17%

167
257
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

67%
20%
14%

26%
70%
73%

7%
10%
14%

243
102
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

68%
7%
18%

22%
82%
76%

10%
10%
6%

279
213
23

Brown voter
Coakley voter

16%
68%

73%
25%

12%
7%

237
181

Male
Female

37%
44%

52%
47%

11%
9%

251
268

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

50%
33%
41%
41%

40%
55%
48%
52%

10%
11%
11%
7%

63
135
187
121

White
Minority

39%
50%

52%
33%

9%
17%

443
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

34%
33%
33%
61%

57%
54%
55%
32%

8%
13%
11%
6%

83
100
208
124

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

46%
35%
51%
39%
49%

40%
56%
47%
53%
44%

14%
9%
2%
8%
7%

46
72
25
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

47%
45%
30%
41%
29%

45%
45%
57%
44%
65%

9%
9%
12%
15%
6%

132
161
99
66
61

ALL MA ADULTS

20

“GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Deval Patrick is handling his job as governor?”

ALL MA ADULTS

Approve
40%

Neutral Disapprove
11%
48%

(N=)
515

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

41%
26%

9%
35%

49%
39%

466
40

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

14%
87%
14%
22%

6%
6%
15%
18%

80%
6%
71%
60%

158
162
51
91

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

11%
32%
64%

5%
15%
13%

84%
53%
23%

124
175
216

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

35%
49%
43%

6%
12%
25%

60%
39%
32%

266
147
101

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

42%
40%
38%

4%
7%
28%

54%
53%
34%

164
209
133

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

57%
37%
16%

15%
8%
5%

27%
55%
79%

170
253
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

65%
26%
13%

11%
13%
10%

24%
61%
77%

245
100
161

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

68%
8%
11%

12%
7%
40%

20%
85%
49%

278
212
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

16%
72%

7%
9%

76%
19%

234
183

Male
Female

41%
40%

6%
17%

54%
43%

250
265

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

36%
34%
43%
45%

30%
13%
7%
7%

34%
53%
50%
48%

63
135
186
120

White
Minority

38%
56%

10%
23%

52%
21%

440
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

27%
36%
35%
61%

16%
10%
13%
6%

57%
54%
52%
33%

81
98
208
123

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

33%
47%
48%
37%
43%

11%
11%
10%
16%
5%

56%
42%
42%
47%
52%

45
71
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

54%
37%
30%
47%
27%

13%
9%
11%
13%
14%

33%
54%
59%
40%
59%

133
159
99
65
59

21

“And generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?”

ALL MA ADULTS

Approve
54%

Neutral Disapprove
5%
41%

(N=)
517

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

55%
43%

4%
14%

41%
42%

467
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

20%
93%
48%
55%

3%
3%
7%
6%

77%
5%
45%
40%

159
162
51
92

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

9%
47%
85%

6%
8%
1%

85%
44%
14%

124
175
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

38%
74%
68%

3%
3%
13%

59%
23%
19%

266
147
103

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

45%
56%
63%

4%
3%
9%

51%
41%
29%

164
211
133

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

76%
50%
22%

5%
5%
2%

19%
45%
76%

168
255
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

84%
39%
18%

3%
8%
4%

13%
52%
78%

244
100
163

Brown voter
Coakley voter

21%
90%

4%
4%

75%
5%

233
183

Male
Female

50%
58%

3%
6%

46%
36%

250
267

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

66%
52%
57%
46%

3%
7%
3%
6%

31%
41%
40%
48%

63
135
187
121

White
Minority

50%
81%

5%
5%

45%
14%

443
63

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

42%
50%
52%
71%

10%
4%
4%
3%

48%
46%
45%
26%

84
98
208
123

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

48%
58%
65%
52%
58%

7%
6%
0%
4%
3%

45%
37%
35%
44%
39%

46
72
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

62%
52%
50%
59%
45%

5%
4%
6%
4%
5%

33%
44%
44%
37%
50%

131
161
99
66
60

22

“Next, I’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her ... Governor Deval Patrick.”

ALL MA ADULTS

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable
42%
11%
43%

DK
3%

(N=)
520

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

44%
29%

11%
19%

43%
45%

3%
7%

470
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

13%
89%
23%
30%

9%
7%
16%
17%

76%
4%
54%
47%

1%
0%
8%
6%

159
162
53
93

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

10%
36%
67%

7%
17%
8%

79%
44%
21%

4%
3%
4%

124
178
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

36%
55%
40%

7%
12%
21%

54%
33%
29%

2%
1%
10%

267
147
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

43%
40%
46%

6%
12%
17%

50%
46%
30%

1%
2%
7%

164
212
134

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

64%
36%
19%

9%
11%
18%

22%
51%
63%

5%
3%
0%

168
258
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

69%
24%
16%

8%
12%
13%

21%
59%
67%

2%
5%
4%

244
103
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

69%
10%
21%

10%
11%
21%

17%
78%
37%

3%
1%
20%

280
213
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

17%
77%

11%
7%

70%
15%

1%
1%

235
183

Male
Female

41%
44%

10%
12%

46%
40%

3%
4%

251
269

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

51%
35%
48%
38%

10%
13%
10%
9%

33%
47%
42%
49%

7%
5%
1%
4%

63
135
188
121

White
Minority

39%
66%

11%
10%

46%
21%

3%
3%

446
63

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

28%
39%
39%
61%

16%
10%
12%
7%

51%
47%
46%
31%

5%
4%
3%
1%

84
99
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

29%
49%
51%
48%
48%

9%
13%
2%
11%
15%

54%
35%
47%
42%
37%

9%
2%
0%
0%
0%

46
74
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

53%
39%
32%
51%
37%

11%
13%
10%
10%
9%

34%
46%
51%
36%
48%

2%
2%
6%
3%
6%

131
161
100
66
61

23

“Next, I’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her ... State Treasurer Tim Cahill.”

ALL MA ADULTS

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable
27%
15%
31%

DK
27%

(N=)
521

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

27%
20%

16%
11%

33%
17%

25%
52%

471
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

21%
25%
64%
19%

14%
20%
9%
14%

46%
32%
12%
22%

18%
23%
15%
45%

159
162
53
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

25%
33%
23%

16%
14%
15%

40%
27%
29%

19%
26%
33%

124
179
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

33%
23%
16%

12%
14%
24%

34%
31%
20%

20%
32%
39%

267
148
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

22%
33%
21%

12%
18%
14%

47%
27%
19%

19%
22%
46%

164
212
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

30%
23%
30%

10%
18%
18%

31%
32%
35%

29%
27%
17%

170
258
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

32%
22%
24%

13%
16%
16%

24%
36%
38%

31%
26%
22%

245
103
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

29%
26%
11%

16%
15%
11%

26%
38%
32%

29%
22%
46%

280
213
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

27%
31%

13%
18%

40%
27%

20%
24%

237
183

Male
Female

27%
27%

16%
14%

32%
30%

25%
29%

251
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

32%
30%
24%
25%

17%
15%
13%
16%

9%
23%
41%
36%

42%
33%
21%
23%

63
135
188
123

White
Minority

27%
31%

15%
12%

32%
18%

26%
39%

446
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

27%
26%
31%
22%

10%
16%
16%
15%

30%
29%
27%
38%

33%
29%
26%
25%

84
101
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

29%
27%
32%
23%
40%

1%
16%
16%
21%
14%

27%
26%
35%
31%
34%

43%
31%
16%
24%
12%

46
74
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

22%
30%
25%
33%
29%

14%
17%
16%
13%
10%

35%
28%
32%
20%
37%

29%
25%
26%
35%
24%

133
161
100
66
61

24

“Next, I’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her ... Republican gubernatorial candidate Charlie Baker.”

ALL MA ADULTS

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable
31%
14%
25%

DK
30%

(N=)
520

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

33%
6%

14%
20%

25%
19%

28%
55%

470
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

80%
10%
6%
10%

10%
11%
20%
20%

1%
53%
24%
21%

9%
26%
50%
49%

159
162
51
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

62%
32%
13%

12%
19%
11%

8%
10%
46%

19%
40%
29%

124
178
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

47%
11%
19%

11%
14%
22%

15%
45%
19%

26%
30%
40%

266
148
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

47%
28%
17%

6%
20%
15%

29%
26%
18%

17%
27%
50%

164
211
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

19%
30%
69%

6%
20%
12%

42%
21%
1%

32%
29%
18%

170
256
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

15%
27%
60%

10%
17%
17%

41%
18%
4%

34%
39%
19%

245
101
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

16%
52%
34%

12%
17%
12%

39%
7%
13%

33%
24%
41%

280
213
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

56%
11%

16%
11%

7%
48%

21%
29%

235
183

Male
Female

32%
30%

16%
13%

23%
26%

28%
32%

250
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

22%
31%
33%
32%

19%
16%
12%
13%

17%
15%
32%
28%

42%
38%
24%
27%

63
135
187
123

White
Minority

34%
17%

13%
13%

25%
25%

28%
45%

444
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

21%
41%
32%
30%

16%
8%
16%
14%

22%
18%
21%
35%

41%
33%
31%
21%

84
99
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

17%
28%
29%
32%
43%

13%
13%
7%
16%
10%

28%
26%
21%
23%
27%

42%
34%
42%
29%
20%

46
72
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

36%
36%
29%
17%
28%

13%
15%
11%
14%
20%

28%
26%
21%
27%
16%

23%
24%
39%
42%
35%

133
161
100
66
60

25

“Next, I’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her ... Green Party gubernatorial candidate Jill Stein.”

ALL MA ADULTS

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable
14%
16%
18%

DK
52%

(N=)
521

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

15%
5%

16%
17%

19%
13%

50%
65%

471
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

10%
19%
10%
19%

17%
17%
11%
17%

26%
16%
22%
10%

46%
48%
57%
54%

159
162
53
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

10%
9%
21%

14%
18%
16%

23%
12%
20%

53%
61%
43%

124
179
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

12%
21%
10%

15%
15%
20%

22%
14%
15%

51%
51%
55%

267
148
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

17%
13%
13%

19%
17%
12%

22%
19%
13%

42%
51%
62%

164
212
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

18%
14%
6%

15%
17%
22%

18%
18%
28%

49%
52%
44%

170
258
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

17%
14%
9%

17%
8%
20%

14%
22%
24%

52%
56%
47%

245
103
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

17%
11%
14%

18%
15%
10%

16%
22%
14%

49%
53%
61%

280
213
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

11%
21%

18%
15%

23%
13%

48%
51%

237
183

Male
Female

15%
14%

14%
18%

20%
16%

51%
52%

251
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

12%
13%
16%
14%

12%
20%
13%
18%

14%
13%
22%
21%

61%
54%
50%
47%

63
135
188
123

White
Minority

15%
6%

17%
9%

18%
23%

51%
62%

446
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

10%
9%
14%
20%

19%
8%
17%
18%

16%
22%
15%
23%

55%
61%
54%
39%

84
101
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

18%
10%
17%
24%
14%

11%
17%
15%
14%
17%

15%
23%
13%
12%
19%

56%
50%
55%
50%
51%

46
74
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

10%
13%
11%
24%
20%

13%
21%
15%
14%
15%

23%
15%
19%
19%
14%

54%
51%
55%
42%
51%

133
161
100
66
61

26

“Next, I’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her ... Senator John Kerry.”

ALL MA ADULTS

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable
48%
10%
38%

DK
5%

(N=)
520

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

49%
37%

10%
5%

37%
42%

4%
16%

470
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

17%
83%
47%
45%

12%
8%
9%
11%

68%
9%
35%
37%

3%
0%
8%
7%

159
162
51
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

16%
41%
71%

7%
12%
10%

74%
40%
15%

3%
8%
4%

124
178
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

37%
67%
47%

8%
7%
20%

51%
22%
26%

4%
5%
7%

266
148
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

48%
45%
53%

7%
14%
7%

43%
37%
32%

2%
4%
8%

164
211
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

73%
41%
15%

7%
11%
12%

16%
43%
69%

3%
4%
4%

170
256
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

74%
37%
16%

9%
13%
9%

14%
45%
69%

3%
5%
7%

245
101
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

72%
17%
39%

9%
12%
5%

14%
67%
43%

4%
5%
13%

280
213
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

22%
80%

10%
8%

65%
11%

4%
1%

235
183

Male
Female

43%
52%

11%
9%

43%
33%

3%
7%

250
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

56%
43%
53%
43%

8%
13%
8%
12%

28%
38%
38%
40%

9%
7%
2%
6%

63
135
187
123

White
Minority

45%
73%

10%
3%

40%
17%

5%
8%

444
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

41%
41%
46%
60%

10%
10%
12%
6%

40%
42%
37%
33%

9%
7%
4%
2%

84
99
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

50%
57%
53%
54%
47%

3%
12%
5%
11%
11%

34%
29%
39%
34%
38%

13%
3%
3%
1%
4%

46
72
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

58%
44%
39%
51%
45%

9%
14%
12%
8%
0%

30%
38%
44%
35%
44%

2%
4%
6%
6%
11%

133
161
100
66
60

27

“Next, I’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her ... Senator Scott Brown.”

ALL MA ADULTS

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable
58%
10%
21%

DK
11%

(N=)
518

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

61%
32%

10%
11%

20%
33%

9%
24%

468
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

87%
38%
64%
52%

9%
15%
3%
10%

2%
38%
21%
18%

3%
9%
12%
20%

159
159
53
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

80%
67%
39%

10%
8%
12%

3%
11%
38%

7%
13%
11%

124
179
215

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

72%
37%
54%

8%
14%
11%

11%
38%
21%

9%
11%
15%

266
147
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

67%
61%
45%

9%
10%
12%

19%
20%
24%

5%
9%
20%

161
212
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

40%
63%
87%

13%
10%
9%

32%
18%
1%

15%
9%
2%

167
258
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

42%
58%
84%

12%
15%
6%

35%
14%
4%

12%
13%
6%

242
103
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

40%
82%
59%

11%
9%
11%

36%
3%
10%

13%
6%
20%

277
213
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

86%
33%

8%
12%

3%
44%

4%
11%

237
181

Male
Female

60%
57%

11%
9%

19%
22%

9%
12%

251
267

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

45%
57%
62%
61%

8%
9%
10%
12%

30%
18%
21%
19%

16%
16%
7%
7%

63
134
188
121

White
Minority

61%
46%

9%
13%

21%
22%

9%
20%

443
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

54%
61%
65%
49%

7%
8%
9%
14%

22%
20%
17%
28%

17%
11%
9%
9%

84
101
207
123

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

51%
48%
61%
56%
63%

8%
15%
8%
8%
12%

29%
27%
15%
26%
20%

12%
9%
15%
10%
5%

46
74
26
57
72

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

56%
61%
63%
38%
70%

11%
12%
8%
11%
6%

23%
20%
21%
29%
8%

10%
7%
8%
21%
16%

133
160
98
66
61

28

“Next, I’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her ... President Barack Obama.”

ALL MA ADULTS

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable
56%
6%
37%

DK
1%

(N=)
520

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

57%
52%

5%
11%

37%
36%

1%
2%

470
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

21%
96%
48%
56%

6%
1%
10%
9%

72%
3%
42%
33%

1%
0%
0%
2%

159
162
51
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

13%
50%
86%

7%
9%
3%

80%
39%
11%

0%
3%
0%

124
178
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

41%
76%
66%

2%
6%
15%

56%
18%
17%

1%
0%
2%

266
148
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

52%
56%
62%

1%
5%
13%

47%
38%
23%

0%
1%
2%

164
211
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

80%
51%
22%

5%
7%
4%

13%
41%
73%

2%
1%
0%

170
256
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

87%
40%
19%

5%
10%
5%

8%
46%
76%

0%
4%
0%

245
101
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

95%
5%
64%

4%
5%
25%

1%
89%
3%

0%
1%
8%

280
213
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

22%
96%

6%
2%

71%
2%

1%
0%

235
183

Male
Female

51%
61%

5%
6%

44%
31%

0%
2%

250
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

64%
56%
61%
48%

7%
7%
3%
6%

29%
36%
36%
43%

0%
0%
0%
4%

63
135
187
123

White
Minority

53%
81%

6%
7%

40%
11%

1%
0%

444
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

50%
49%
55%
70%

8%
4%
6%
6%

41%
43%
40%
24%

1%
4%
0%
0%

84
99
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

57%
63%
67%
60%
57%

4%
2%
0%
2%
8%

38%
36%
33%
38%
35%

1%
0%
0%
0%
0%

46
72
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

63%
54%
53%
63%
45%

6%
4%
5%
6%
10%

31%
41%
41%
31%
40%

0%
1%
0%
0%
4%

133
161
100
66
60

29

“Think for a minute about political incumbents, the people in Washington and Massachusetts who are currently in office. Overall, do you
trust current political incumbents to provide leadership in Washington and Massachusetts or do you think political incumbents in Washington
and Massachusetts need to be replaced by a new crop of leaders?”

ALL MA ADULTS

Trust Want New
Current Crop of
Other/
Incumbents Leaders Depends
29%
52%
14%

Don’t
Know
5%

(N=)
521

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

30%
20%

53%
41%

13%
23%

4%
16%

471
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

10%
59%
30%
16%

84%
17%
61%
55%

5%
17%
7%
24%

1%
7%
2%
5%

159
161
53
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

4%
25%
48%

89%
55%
28%

5%
13%
19%

2%
7%
5%

124
179
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

26%
32%
34%

63%
43%
37%

9%
19%
19%

2%
6%
10%

267
148
104

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

31%
30%
28%

58%
51%
46%

10%
16%
15%

1%
3%
11%

164
211
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

46%
25%
12%

32%
57%
79%

15%
14%
9%

7%
4%
1%

170
257
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

48%
17%
11%

28%
66%
79%

17%
14%
8%

7%
4%
1%

245
103
162

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

50%
5%
6%

28%
84%
55%

17%
9%
10%

5%
2%
28%

280
213
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

12%
51%

76%
24%

10%
19%

2%
6%

236
183

Male
Female

27%
32%

57%
47%

12%
15%

4%
6%

251
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

25%
28%
35%
25%

50%
52%
52%
51%

22%
11%
12%
14%

2%
8%
1%
10%

63
135
188
123

White
Minority

29%
38%

54%
39%

14%
12%

4%
11%

445
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

21%
23%
29%
40%

61%
58%
54%
38%

12%
12%
12%
17%

6%
7%
4%
4%

84
101
208
124

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

37%
33%
20%
27%
22%

42%
53%
60%
48%
61%

14%
11%
15%
20%
9%

7%
3%
5%
5%
7%

132
161
100
66
61

30

"Overall would you say you support the political movement known as the Tea Party, you oppose the Tea Party, or that you neither support nor
oppose it?"

ALL MA ADULTS

Support
Oppose
Tea
Lean
Lean
Tea
Party Support Neither Oppose Party
17%
7%
28%
3%
39%

Don't
Know
6%

(N=)
521

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

17%
14%

8%
0%

27%
38%

3%
1%

41%
21%

4%
26%

471
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

36%
3%
13%
10%

13%
0%
12%
10%

35%
22%
31%
21%

3%
3%
3%
6%

11%
69%
38%
44%

2%
4%
3%
10%

159
162
53
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

70%
0%
0%

30%
0%
0%

0%
82%
0%

0%
0%
7%

0%
0%
93%

0%
18%
0%

124
179
217

Excited about November
28%
Depressed about November 2%
Neither Excited/Depressed 9%

10%
3%
5%

32%
24%
25%

3%
2%
4%

23%
60%
48%

3%
9%
9%

267
148
105

Extremely interested in
election
28%
Very interested
12%
Somewhat/Not Very interested9%

9%
6%
7%

19%
33%
32%

4%
3%
2%

39%
42%
36%

2%
5%
14%

164
212
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

7%
18%
35%

5%
8%
14%

15%
34%
38%

3%
3%
4%

61%
34%
6%

9%
4%
3%

170
258
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

4%
18%
35%

4%
7%
13%

20%
40%
34%

3%
2%
3%

61%
28%
12%

7%
5%
4%

245
103
163

Approve of Obama
3%
Disapprove of Obama
35%
Neither Approve/Disapprove 20%

2%
14%
11%

24%
32%
34%

4%
1%
1%

62%
13%
9%

5%
5%
26%

280
213
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

30%
2%

15%
1%

35%
19%

2%
4%

14%
68%

3%
6%

237
183

Male
Female

20%
14%

10%
5%

25%
31%

3%
3%

38%
40%

5%
8%

251
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

11%
19%
15%
20%

2%
8%
7%
8%

29%
30%
29%
25%

5%
1%
4%
2%

41%
33%
43%
37%

11%
7%
1%
9%

63
135
188
123

White
Minority

18%
7%

8%
4%

28%
31%

3%
1%

39%
35%

4%
22%

446
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

20%
22%
18%
9%

4%
9%
10%
4%

38%
28%
28%
22%

1%
3%
2%
5%

31%
30%
36%
57%

6%
8%
7%
4%

84
101
208
125

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

10%
18%
23%
15%
22%

8%
8%
7%
8%
1%

30%
29%
25%
19%
39%

3%
4%
4%
2%
0%

39%
39%
38%
50%
28%

11%
2%
3%
7%
11%

133
161
100
66
61

31

“Thinking about all of the elections in November, both in Massachusetts and in other parts of the country, how do you feel about what will
happen in the November elections? Are you very excited … somewhat excited … somewhat depressed … or very depressed?”

ALL MA ADULTS

Very
Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Excited
Excited
Neutral Depressed Depressed
14%
37%
17%
24%
5%

Don't
Know
4%

(N=)
521

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

15%
6%

38%
31%

16%
23%

24%
21%

4%
11%

3%
8%

470
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

29%
7%
7%
7%

51%
30%
46%
23%

8%
13%
17%
34%

10%
38%
24%
24%

0%
6%
2%
8%

2%
5%
3%
3%

159
161
53
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

33%
9%
7%

50%
43%
25%

9%
16%
21%

5%
24%
34%

1%
3%
8%

3%
4%
3%

124
179
217

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

31%
9%
2%

37%
43%
28%

5%
17%
31%

20%
24%
28%

4%
3%
8%

4%
3%
4%

164
211
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

9%
12%
35%

33%
37%
50%

15%
19%
6%

33%
22%
6%

4%
6%
0%

5%
3%
2%

170
257
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

7%
6%
30%

30%
38%
48%

14%
30%
11%

38%
17%
7%

6%
8%
1%

5%
1%
3%

245
103
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

7%
24%
6%

29%
50%
24%

21%
8%
42%

32%
14%
16%

7%
3%
0%

4%
2%
13%

280
213
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

23%
5%

47%
29%

13%
13%

13%
40%

1%
8%

3%
4%

237
183

Male
Female

15%
13%

41%
34%

15%
18%

21%
26%

6%
3%

3%
4%

251
269

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

6%
16%
16%
14%

46%
34%
33%
42%

17%
14%
18%
15%

26%
29%
25%
18%

3%
6%
4%
5%

2%
1%
3%
7%

63
135
188
122

White
Minority

15%
11%

36%
42%

17%
14%

25%
21%

4%
8%

3%
5%

445
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

15%
17%
13%
13%

36%
39%
41%
30%

19%
14%
14%
21%

20%
27%
23%
27%

4%
2%
4%
7%

5%
2%
4%
1%

84
101
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

6%
15%
17%
14%
23%

51%
32%
35%
43%
32%

16%
15%
15%
12%
11%

22%
33%
23%
25%
32%

1%
3%
10%
3%
2%

4%
2%
0%
3%
0%

46
74
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

13%
15%
22%
7%
9%

30%
37%
29%
49%
53%

16%
21%
18%
8%
12%

33%
21%
21%
27%
15%

4%
3%
4%
6%
9%

3%
3%
7%
3%
2%

133
161
100
66
61

32

“Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the election for Massachusetts governor in 2010 … are you leaning toward someone …
or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?”

MA LIKELY VOTERS

Def. Leaning
Still
Decided Toward Trying To
Vote Someone
Decide
(N=)
34%
21%
45%
467

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

38%
53%
11%
10%

29%
22%
15%
7%

33%
25%
74%
83%

157
162
53
93

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

40%
19%
42%

27%
20%
18%

34%
61%
40%

114
149
205

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

38%
31%
26%

21%
24%
14%

41%
45%
59%

245
133
89

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

57%
23%
20%

15%
26%
20%

28%
51%
60%

161
208
98

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

47%
25%
39%

21%
20%
22%

31%
55%
39%

155
242
59

Democrat
Independent
Republican

41%
15%
37%

19%
21%
23%

40%
63%
40%

224
93
144

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

36%
32%
27%

18%
26%
13%

46%
42%
61%

255
190
18

Brown voter
Coakley voter

30%
44%

24%
18%

46%
38%

226
173

Male
Female

35%
33%

22%
19%

43%
48%

230
238

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

25%
22%
39%
44%

17%
21%
26%
16%

58%
57%
35%
40%

43
121
180
112

White
Minority

35%
30%

21%
14%

44%
56%

409
49

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

29%
30%
31%
45%

11%
22%
22%
23%

59%
49%
47%
32%

65
90
194
115

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

26%
29%
34%
30%
44%

10%
24%
25%
26%
24%

64%
47%
41%
44%
32%

31
67
21
52
71

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

38%
28%
36%
41%
31%

24%
24%
19%
14%
12%

38%
47%
45%
45%
58%

119
154
87
57
50

33

“If the 2010 Massachusetts gubernatorial election was being held TODAY and the candidates are Charlie Baker, the Republican … Deval
Patrick, the Democrat … Tim Cahill, the Independent … and Jill Stein, the Green-Rainbow candidate, who would you vote for ... Charlie
Baker … Deval Patrick … Tim Cahill … or Jill Stein?”

MA LIKELY VOTERS

Baker
34%

Patrick
35%

Cahill
11%

Stein
4%

Other
2%

Don't
Know
14%

(N=)
468

Definitely decided Vote
Leaning towards someone
Still trying to decide

37%
48%
25%

53%
37%
20%

4%
8%
19%

3%
4%
5%

1%
0%
4%

2%
3%
28%

159
97
208

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

69%
40%
11%

4%
28%
56%

12%
12%
10%

2%
3%
6%

1%
1%
3%

13%
17%
13%

114
147
207

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

52%
12%
18%

25%
55%
32%

12%
11%
12%

1%
9%
5%

1%
2%
4%

10%
12%
29%

245
132
90

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

46%
31%
21%

38%
32%
34%

6%
15%
12%

3%
3%
7%

1%
4%
1%

5%
16%
25%

161
209
97

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

15%
35%
77%

58%
28%
6%

8%
13%
8%

5%
4%
1%

1%
3%
0%

13%
16%
9%

155
241
61

Democrat
Independent
Republican

9%
34%
75%

64%
15%
2%

11%
14%
11%

3%
9%
1%

1%
9%
0%

12%
19%
11%

226
91
144

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

12%
64%
30%

59%
4%
22%

10%
12%
19%

4%
4%
11%

2%
2%
0%

13%
13%
17%

256
190
18

Brown voter
Coakley voter

63%
4%

6%
70%

12%
10%

3%
5%

2%
1%

13%
9%

226
174

Male
Female

36%
32%

33%
36%

12%
10%

3%
5%

1%
4%

14%
14%

232
236

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

20%
37%
34%
37%

31%
26%
39%
39%

24%
15%
8%
9%

4%
3%
7%
1%

0%
3%
2%
1%

20%
16%
10%
14%

43
119
182
112

White
Minority

36%
17%

33%
55%

13%
1%

4%
0%

2%
5%

13%
22%

408
49

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

32%
45%
37%
23%

25%
28%
31%
50%

15%
13%
13%
6%

3%
5%
2%
6%

4%
0%
2%
3%

22%
9%
15%
11%

65
91
191
118

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

37%
36%
35%
22%
33%

45%
28%
25%
49%
29%

4%
13%
15%
12%
15%

1%
4%
6%
6%
7%

0%
3%
5%
1%
3%

13%
17%
13%
11%
14%

120
153
88
57
50

34

“Who would your second choice be?”

Baker
12%

Patrick
14%

Cahill
35%

Stein
12%

Other
3%

Don't
Know
24%

(N=)
350

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

3%
15%
35%
10%

22%
1%
39%
9%

56%
47%
3%
6%

11%
22%
8%
0%

3%
3%
6%
2%

4%
13%
9%
72%

111
111
43
83

Definitely decided Vote
Leaning towards someone
Still trying to decide

5%
15%
15%

10%
14%
16%

52%
51%
20%

18%
10%
9%

2%
0%
5%

13%
9%
35%

91
71
186

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

16%
14%
9%

6%
13%
20%

45%
32%
31%

7%
11%
14%

5%
1%
3%

21%
28%
23%

82
117
150

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

13%
9%
15%

14%
15%
15%

40%
36%
17%

11%
15%
7%

4%
3%
2%

18%
21%
43%

176
104
70

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Somewhat/Not Very interested

13%
9%
12%

14%
15%
16%

40%
36%
27%

11%
15%
10%

4%
3%
5%

18%
21%
30%

176
104
85

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

6%
16%
11%

15%
15%
11%

38%
30%
48%

15%
10%
8%

1%
4%
6%

25%
25%
16%

110
187
42

Democrat
Independent
Republican

9%
21%
12%

16%
16%
11%

36%
27%
40%

16%
3%
12%

2%
7%
3%

22%
26%
22%

171
74
100

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

10%
14%
30%

17%
11%
10%

34%
37%
15%

14%
10%
0%

2%
5%
1%

22%
23%
43%

191
139
16

Brown voter
Coakley voter

16%
10%

13%
15%

37%
37%

9%
19%

4%
0%

21%
20%

172
127

Male
Female

13%
12%

13%
16%

34%
35%

13%
10%

4%
2%

23%
25%

176
174

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

9%
16%
12%
10%

12%
13%
15%
13%

38%
29%
44%
25%

7%
12%
10%
16%

7%
3%
3%
2%

27%
26%
16%
33%

36
97
136
70

White
Minority

13%
8%

16%
7%

33%
44%

13%
0%

3%
4%

22%
37%

308
36

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

21%
13%
8%
15%

11%
16%
12%
20%

21%
45%
35%
33%

8%
10%
10%
16%

0%
2%
6%
2%

39%
14%
29%
14%

47
61
148
91

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

13%
11%
12%
10%
11%

25%
12%
5%
14%
20%

6%
32%
40%
32%
50%

16%
13%
26%
21%
10%

5%
6%
3%
3%
0%

35%
26%
13%
19%
9%

25
47
14
43
58

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

11%
7%
21%
10%
22%

15%
18%
14%
7%
10%

39%
32%
35%
35%
32%

11%
13%
4%
26%
2%

3%
3%
3%
3%
6%

22%
26%
24%
19%
28%

84
122
62
44
38

MA LIKELY VOTERSS

35

“If the 2010 election for Massachusetts state Treasurer was being held TODAY and the candidates are Karyn Polito, the Republican and
Steve Grossman, the Democrat, who would you vote for ... Karyn Polito … or Steve Grossman?”

Polito
30%

Grossman
40%

Other
2%

Don't
Know
28%

(N=)
465

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

62%
5%
31%
18%

20%
73%
36%
19%

1%
1%
5%
4%

17%
21%
28%
59%

159
160
53
91

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

65%
33%
8%

12%
30%
63%

1%
1%
4%

23%
36%
25%

114
149
203

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

43%
12%
21%

34%
57%
31%

1%
2%
5%

22%
29%
43%

245
130
90

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Somewhat/Not Very interested

43%
12%
23%

34%
57%
31%

1%
2%
2%

22%
29%
45%

245
130
96

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

8%
33%
70%

68%
30%
9%

0%
3%
3%

24%
34%
18%

152
242
61

Democrat
Independent
Republican

5%
31%
67%

68%
21%
10%

1%
6%
2%

26%
42%
21%

223
92
145

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

10%
57%
36%

58%
18%
27%

3%
1%
0%

29%
24%
37%

253
190
18

Brown voter
Coakley voter

53%
6%

20%
71%

2%
1%

26%
21%

227
172

Male
Female

31%
29%

38%
41%

2%
2%

28%
28%

229
236

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

14%
29%
32%
33%

47%
30%
45%
41%

3%
2%
2%
1%

36%
38%
22%
25%

43
118
180
112

White
Minority

31%
18%

41%
27%

2%
4%

25%
51%

407
48

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

31%
39%
31%
21%

34%
36%
34%
54%

3%
3%
2%
2%

32%
22%
33%
23%

65
89
190
118

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

29%
18%
38%
32%
34%

42%
51%
46%
39%
49%

0%
5%
3%
3%
0%

29%
26%
14%
25%
17%

31
67
21
52
70

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

20%
35%
36%
25%
32%

49%
32%
35%
54%
32%

3%
3%
0%
1%
4%

29%
30%
29%
19%
32%

118
155
86
57
50

MA LIKELY VOTERS

36

“And if the 2010 election for Massachusetts state Auditor was being held TODAY and the candidates are Mary Connaughton, the Republican
and Suzanne Bump, the Democrat, who would you vote for ... Mary Connaughton … or Suzanne Bump”
Connaughton
29%

Bump
33%

Other
2%

Don't
Know
36%

(N=)
462

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

57%
8%
33%
13%

13%
61%
24%
25%

1%
1%
9%
2%

29%
30%
34%
60%

157
161
53
89

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

61%
29%
10%

10%
26%
51%

2%
1%
3%

26%
44%
36%

113
146
203

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

41%
11%
20%

27%
50%
25%

2%
1%
4%

29%
38%
51%

242
130
89

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

39%
22%
25%

39%
30%
30%

2%
3%
0%

19%
45%
44%

160
205
97

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

10%
29%
66%

59%
22%
14%

1%
3%
2%

30%
46%
17%

155
237
59

Democrat
Independent
Republican

7%
30%
62%

57%
16%
8%

1%
5%
2%

35%
49%
28%

224
88
144

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

9%
55%
48%

51%
12%
11%

3%
2%
0%

38%
31%
41%

256
185
18

Brown voter
Coakley voter

50%
8%

16%
61%

1%
1%

32%
30%

222
173

Male
Female

31%
26%

33%
34%

1%
3%

35%
37%

228
234

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

19%
32%
26%
33%

35%
22%
40%
36%

6%
2%
1%
1%

40%
44%
33%
30%

43
120
177
110

White
Minority

31%
15%

34%
28%

2%
7%

34%
50%

403
48

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

31%
38%
29%
19%

36%
26%
30%
43%

3%
2%
2%
2%

30%
34%
39%
36%

64
90
189
116

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

25%
16%
20%
31%
31%

43%
53%
48%
32%
31%

0%
1%
0%
2%
3%

33%
29%
33%
35%
35%

31
66
21
52
73

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

22%
32%
35%
22%
30%

39%
31%
24%
53%
22%

2%
2%
2%
1%
2%

37%
35%
39%
24%
45%

117
151
88
56
50

MA LIKELY VOTERS

37

"Please think about the November election for your representative to the U.S. House of Representatives. Do you plan to vote for the
Democratic or Republican candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives ... or do you plan to skip the election for U.S. House of
Representatives this time?"

MA LIKELY VOTERS

GOP
34%

DEM
45%

Other
3%

Don't
Know
19%

(N=)
449

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

74%
3%
32%
21%

14%
82%
43%
34%

3%
1%
8%
5%

10%
14%
18%
40%

153
159
44
90

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

76%
36%
8%

12%
35%
70%

1%
3%
4%

11%
26%
18%

113
138
198

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

53%
8%
16%

32%
71%
40%

1%
4%
7%

14%
16%
37%

237
126
86

Trust current incumbents
Want new crop of leaders
Other/Don't Know

9%
54%
14%

76%
23%
58%

1%
5%
1%

14%
19%
27%

135
237
77

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

44%
30%
22%

41%
44%
52%

2%
5%
1%

12%
21%
25%

159
198
92

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

6%
37%
89%

78%
34%
5%

0%
5%
0%

16%
24%
7%

149
236
56

Democrat
Independent
Republican

4%
38%
78%

81%
20%
5%

1%
9%
3%

14%
33%
14%

216
90
136

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

6%
71%
41%

69%
14%
30%

4%
2%
4%

21%
14%
25%

248
182
16

Brown voter
Coakley voter

62%
3%

16%
85%

3%
2%

20%
10%

218
167

Male
Female

37%
30%

41%
48%

4%
2%

18%
19%

226
223

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

25%
36%
33%
34%

48%
42%
50%
40%

8%
2%
2%
2%

19%
20%
15%
24%

40
118
167
112

White
Minority

35%
18%

44%
50%

2%
8%

19%
23%

391
48

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

40%
43%
35%
21%

35%
35%
44%
58%

2%
2%
2%
6%

24%
20%
19%
15%

63
89
182
113

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

27%
38%
36%
28%
41%

56%
38%
40%
50%
41%

1%
4%
3%
6%
0%

17%
20%
21%
15%
18%

117
145
83
57
48

38

"And turning to the November election for your representative for the Massachusetts House of Representatives. Do you plan to vote for the
Democratic or Republican candidate for the Massachusetts House of Representatives ... or do you plan to skip the election for Massachusetts
House of Representatives this time?"

MA LIKELY VOTERS

GOP
33%

DEM
43%

Other
4%

Don't
Know
21%

(N=)
450

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

77%
3%
26%
13%

7%
81%
42%
40%

3%
1%
5%
8%

13%
15%
27%
39%

153
158
46
90

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

72%
35%
8%

12%
36%
66%

3%
3%
5%

13%
26%
21%

113
141
196

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

53%
6%
16%

32%
70%
33%

1%
7%
5%

14%
17%
45%

238
126
85

Trust current incumbents
Want new crop of leaders
Other/Don't Know

10%
51%
14%

73%
22%
57%

2%
4%
4%

15%
23%
24%

134
237
78

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

44%
29%
20%

43%
42%
47%

3%
4%
3%

10%
25%
30%

157
199
94

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

8%
34%
92%

74%
35%
1%

4%
5%
0%

15%
27%
6%

150
234
57

Democrat
Independent
Republican

5%
32%
79%

78%
20%
2%

2%
10%
2%

15%
39%
17%

219
88
137

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

9%
64%
31%

67%
14%
32%

3%
4%
4%

21%
18%
33%

245
184
18

Brown voter
Coakley voter

60%
4%

14%
83%

4%
1%

21%
12%

218
167

Male
Female

36%
29%

37%
49%

4%
3%

23%
19%

225
225

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

20%
38%
31%
32%

54%
37%
47%
42%

3%
3%
3%
3%

22%
21%
18%
24%

39
118
170
111

White
Minority

34%
15%

42%
59%

3%
5%

21%
21%

394
45

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

35%
38%
34%
25%

34%
37%
42%
53%

2%
3%
4%
5%

29%
22%
20%
17%

62
88
184
113

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

28%
35%
35%
29%
35%

50%
39%
37%
51%
39%

2%
4%
2%
7%
4%

20%
22%
26%
13%
22%

118
147
83
56
46

39

“As you may know, Question 1 on the November ballot is a proposal to eliminate sales tax on alcohol sold in Massachusetts. Do you favor or
oppose ballot Question 1, the proposal to eliminate the sales tax on alcohol sold in Massachusetts, or haven’t you thought about this enough to
say?”

MA LIKELY VOTERS

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly
Favor
Favor
Oppose
Oppose
23%
13%
16%
34%

Don't
Know
14%

(N=)
471

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

33%
10%
21%
27%

16%
12%
14%
11%

13%
16%
22%
15%

22%
50%
26%
35%

16%
12%
17%
13%

159
162
53
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

35%
25%
13%

17%
15%
10%

16%
14%
16%

17%
29%
48%

14%
16%
13%

115
149
207

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

29%
18%
12%

13%
12%
17%

15%
16%
18%

28%
41%
41%

16%
13%
13%

246
133
91

Extremely interested in election 26%
Very interested
23%
Somewhat/Not Very interested 16%

13%
13%
15%

13%
14%
24%

37%
33%
33%

12%
17%
12%

162
210
99

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

12%
26%
33%

13%
13%
17%

16%
14%
19%

46%
31%
19%

12%
16%
12%

155
244
61

Democrat
Independent
Republican

11%
30%
35%

10%
23%
12%

17%
17%
14%

47%
18%
23%

15%
12%
16%

226
93
145

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

12%
37%
23%

11%
17%
8%

14%
15%
33%

49%
16%
32%

14%
16%
4%

258
191
18

Brown voter
Coakley voter

34%
10%

18%
8%

14%
17%

20%
51%

13%
14%

227
175

Male
Female

27%
18%

13%
13%

16%
15%

31%
37%

12%
16%

233
238

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

23%
18%
23%
27%

11%
11%
17%
12%

31%
19%
9%
17%

28%
34%
38%
32%

7%
18%
13%
12%

43
121
182
114

White
Minority

23%
17%

13%
12%

17%
8%

35%
35%

13%
28%

411
49

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

36%
22%
21%
18%

10%
11%
17%
10%

17%
14%
14%
18%

22%
36%
30%
46%

14%
17%
18%
7%

65
91
194
118

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

19%
30%
23%
14%
18%

24%
7%
7%
13%
19%

12%
16%
19%
17%
15%

33%
27%
41%
49%
33%

12%
20%
12%
7%
15%

121
155
88
57
50

40

“And as you may know, Question 3 on the November ballot is a proposal to reduce the state sales tax from 6 point two-five percent to 3
percent. Do you favor or oppose ballot Question 3, the proposal to reduce the state sales tax from 6 point two-five percent to 3 percent, or
haven’t you thought about this enough to say?”

MA LIKELY VOTERS

Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly
Favor
Favor
Oppose
Oppose
36%
10%
13%
30%

Don't
Know
11%

(N=)
471

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

52%
14%
38%
45%

10%
6%
20%
9%

11%
20%
7%
8%

19%
49%
26%
22%

8%
10%
9%
16%

159
162
53
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

55%
41%
22%

12%
11%
8%

9%
12%
16%

15%
22%
45%

9%
13%
10%

115
149
207

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

46%
27%
23%

10%
8%
12%

11%
18%
13%

22%
40%
40%

12%
8%
12%

246
133
91

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

43%
33%
32%

4%
15%
7%

8%
16%
15%

35%
24%
36%

9%
12%
10%

162
210
99

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

24%
40%
49%

6%
14%
4%

16%
11%
15%

40%
27%
22%

14%
9%
11%

155
244
61

Democrat
Independent
Republican

20%
49%
52%

8%
14%
11%

15%
13%
10%

44%
15%
20%

13%
10%
8%

226
93
145

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

21%
59%
7%

8%
11%
12%

14%
9%
42%

44%
13%
25%

13%
7%
14%

258
191
18

Brown voter
Coakley voter

51%
18%

11%
9%

9%
17%

19%
44%

9%
12%

227
175

Male
Female

37%
35%

13%
7%

11%
15%

33%
28%

6%
15%

233
238

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

47%
34%
32%
39%

10%
6%
11%
13%

18%
14%
13%
11%

17%
35%
35%
25%

8%
12%
9%
12%

43
121
182
114

White
Minority

35%
42%

10%
8%

13%
14%

33%
18%

10%
19%

411
49

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

46%
44%
40%
19%

5%
13%
9%
11%

12%
13%
14%
13%

17%
24%
28%
49%

21%
7%
10%
8%

65
91
194
118

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

32%
37%
46%
40%
33%

18%
8%
0%
7%
10%

7%
17%
6%
16%
6%

23%
32%
39%
29%
43%

20%
7%
9%
9%
8%

31
67
21
52
73

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

32%
37%
45%
25%
42%

10%
12%
4%
13%
11%

16%
14%
8%
14%
12%

31%
26%
34%
38%
26%

11%
12%
9%
10%
8%

121
155
88
57
50

41

“Which candidate do you think is the strongest leader?”

Baker
33%

Patrick
38%

Cahill
7%

Stein
1%

Other
3%

Don't
Know
18%

(N=)
453

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

79%
2%
21%
14%

8%
84%
17%
18%

2%
1%
40%
8%

0%
0%
1%
5%

3%
1%
2%
5%

8%
11%
19%
50%

156
159
50
85

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

71%
35%
11%

8%
35%
56%

5%
6%
9%

1%
1%
2%

3%
3%
2%

12%
21%
19%

112
142
199

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

49%
15%
17%

30%
52%
38%

7%
8%
5%

1%
3%
1%

3%
3%
2%

11%
20%
36%

241
126
85

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

45%
31%
20%

41%
35%
38%

4%
9%
7%

0%
1%
5%

2%
4%
1%

9%
21%
28%

159
199
95

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

14%
38%
61%

61%
29%
15%

6%
7%
5%

1%
2%
1%

1%
5%
0%

17%
20%
17%

150
231
61

Democrat
Independent
Republican

11%
31%
68%

59%
25%
13%

10%
4%
5%

1%
4%
1%

2%
6%
2%

17%
30%
11%

221
83
145

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

11%
64%
37%

60%
9%
33%

8%
5%
0%

1%
2%
4%

2%
4%
0%

19%
16%
27%

250
183
16

Brown voter
Coakley voter

61%
8%

15%
70%

5%
9%

1%
1%

3%
1%

15%
12%

216
172

Male
Female

37%
29%

37%
38%

6%
8%

1%
1%

3%
3%

16%
20%

222
231

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

24%
38%
32%
34%

37%
30%
48%
33%

11%
9%
5%
7%

0%
1%
2%
1%

0%
2%
1%
5%

28%
20%
12%
20%

42
117
171
112

White
Minority

37%
9%

36%
53%

7%
6%

1%
0%

2%
4%

17%
28%

399
49

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

34%
32%
36%
30%

32%
32%
33%
51%

9%
12%
5%
5%

2%
2%
2%
0%

2%
4%
2%
3%

20%
18%
22%
11%

63
88
186
114

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

18%
28%
28%
45%
36%

31%
47%
62%
35%
39%

20%
8%
0%
5%
15%

0%
1%
3%
2%
0%

3%
2%
0%
0%
2%

28%
15%
7%
14%
8%

31
66
21
51
69

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

27%
41%
39%
15%
35%

47%
29%
33%
53%
31%

3%
10%
9%
6%
7%

0%
1%
0%
6%
4%

1%
3%
3%
3%
5%

21%
17%
16%
17%
19%

118
146
85
56
48

MA LIKELY VOTERS

42

“Which candidate do you think best understands people like me?”

Baker
27%

Patrick
32%

Cahill
13%

Stein
5%

Other
2%

Don't
Know
21%

(N=)
433

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

70%
2%
14%
6%

4%
73%
6%
19%

10%
5%
56%
11%

1%
6%
3%
15%

1%
1%
4%
5%

15%
13%
17%
45%

147
155
46
82

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

57%
31%
7%

10%
26%
48%

13%
16%
11%

4%
1%
9%

2%
3%
2%

14%
22%
24%

108
136
189

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

42%
5%
15%

27%
42%
30%

12%
17%
12%

3%
11%
3%

2%
1%
4%

13%
25%
36%

232
120
80

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

35%
24%
20%

33%
30%
32%

10%
17%
11%

6%
4%
9%

3%
2%
1%

13%
24%
28%

152
193
88

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

11%
27%
69%

47%
29%
6%

14%
13%
8%

7%
5%
2%

2%
3%
0%

19%
22%
15%

149
216
59

Democrat
Independent
Republican

7%
21%
64%

51%
23%
5%

17%
16%
5%

7%
6%
3%

1%
8%
0%

17%
25%
22%

218
79
132

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

9%
52%
20%

52%
6%
12%

11%
14%
30%

6%
5%
0%

2%
3%
4%

20%
20%
33%

239
176
14

Brown voter
Coakley voter

54%
2%

9%
56%

16%
15%

3%
9%

2%
0%

16%
17%

205
164

Male
Female

30%
24%

34%
30%

11%
15%

6%
5%

1%
3%

18%
24%

214
218

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

23%
29%
27%
28%

21%
24%
38%
37%

18%
15%
12%
12%

4%
7%
7%
3%

0%
2%
0%
5%

35%
24%
16%
16%

42
109
165
106

White
Minority

29%
13%

28%
57%

15%
4%

6%
0%

2%
6%

21%
21%

378
49

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

23%
34%
27%
25%

31%
27%
29%
38%

14%
12%
14%
11%

2%
2%
4%
12%

2%
3%
1%
2%

28%
22%
24%
12%

58
83
178
112

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

18%
26%
20%
24%
37%

35%
38%
58%
24%
26%

22%
9%
5%
17%
14%

3%
6%
13%
7%
8%

8%
0%
0%
0%
0%

14%
20%
4%
27%
15%

28
65
21
51
66

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

30%
23%
32%
19%
33%

38%
27%
26%
37%
32%

13%
16%
15%
3%
16%

2%
3%
8%
16%
4%

1%
3%
2%
1%
4%

16%
29%
18%
23%
11%

113
136
81
55
48

MA LIKELY VOTERS

43

“Which candidate do you think is most likely to bring change to Massachusetts?”

Baker
44%

Patrick
17%

Cahill
11%

Stein
9%

Other
2%

Don't
Know
16%

(N=)
449

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

89%
18%
23%
21%

0%
47%
6%
2%

3%
6%
57%
10%

2%
13%
2%
20%

0%
2%
0%
6%

5%
15%
12%
42%

157
154
51
83

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

70%
53%
24%

2%
13%
29%

12%
12%
11%

5%
6%
14%

1%
2%
2%

10%
14%
21%

107
146
196

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

56%
31%
30%

16%
25%
10%

13%
9%
10%

5%
18%
10%

1%
1%
3%

9%
16%
37%

239
123
87

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

53%
41%
36%

21%
14%
17%

7%
15%
11%

9%
8%
12%

2%
2%
0%

8%
20%
24%

160
199
90

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

29%
44%
76%

31%
12%
4%

14%
10%
9%

8%
12%
3%

1%
3%
0%

17%
19%
7%

147
232
59

Democrat
Independent
Republican

26%
34%
78%

31%
10%
1%

14%
10%
9%

11%
16%
2%

1%
5%
1%

17%
25%
9%

218
84
143

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

26%
68%
45%

30%
2%
3%

11%
11%
9%

10%
7%
21%

2%
2%
0%

20%
11%
22%

244
184
17

Brown voter
Coakley voter

67%
25%

4%
35%

10%
13%

6%
13%

2%
0%

11%
15%

219
167

Male
Female

47%
41%

21%
14%

10%
13%

8%
10%

0%
3%

14%
18%

220
229

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

33%
51%
42%
43%

23%
10%
22%
16%

17%
13%
8%
13%

3%
12%
11%
6%

0%
1%
0%
3%

23%
13%
16%
18%

42
112
174
110

White
Minority

46%
24%

15%
41%

12%
10%

10%
1%

1%
6%

16%
19%

393
47

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

41%
47%
46%
40%

20%
15%
14%
23%

11%
14%
13%
8%

4%
8%
8%
15%

3%
1%
1%
3%

22%
15%
18%
11%

64
86
184
113

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

28%
33%
34%
48%
62%

33%
20%
43%
19%
10%

18%
14%
0%
12%
16%

6%
12%
16%
9%
7%

8%
2%
0%
0%
0%

7%
19%
7%
13%
5%

31
65
19
50
68

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

48%
47%
53%
22%
35%

24%
9%
16%
24%
18%

4%
18%
9%
11%
15%

6%
9%
6%
21%
9%

1%
1%
0%
2%
7%

17%
15%
15%
20%
15%

116
145
83
55
50

MA LIKELY VOTERS

44

“Which candidate do you think is most likable?”

Baker
20%

Patrick
36%

Cahill
18%

Stein
4%

Other
1%

Don't
Know
20%

(N=)
449

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

44%
7%
12%
9%

20%
71%
12%
19%

22%
6%
54%
14%

3%
4%
2%
5%

0%
1%
2%
5%

11%
12%
18%
48%

152
155
51
88

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

35%
23%
10%

17%
35%
48%

30%
20%
11%

1%
3%
5%

1%
1%
2%

16%
19%
23%

111
142
196

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

28%
11%
13%

34%
47%
26%

24%
14%
9%

2%
6%
6%

1%
2%
2%

11%
20%
44%

237
126
85

Extremely interested in election 26%
Very interested
18%
Somewhat/Not Very interested 15%

42%
34%
32%

17%
20%
19%

2%
3%
8%

2%
1%
0%

10%
24%
27%

157
199
94

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

12%
18%
47%

48%
32%
24%

16%
22%
11%

5%
3%
3%

1%
2%
0%

18%
22%
15%

151
229
60

Democrat
Independent
Republican

10%
17%
39%

50%
25%
21%

16%
17%
23%

4%
4%
3%

1%
5%
1%

18%
32%
13%

222
82
140

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

11%
34%
19%

47%
23%
27%

13%
26%
14%

5%
2%
3%

2%
1%
0%

22%
14%
36%

245
183
18

Brown voter
Coakley voter

35%
8%

22%
56%

24%
17%

3%
5%

1%
1%

15%
14%

214
173

Male
Female

20%
21%

37%
36%

23%
14%

2%
5%

0%
2%

17%
22%

220
230

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

25%
22%
15%
26%

26%
34%
43%
33%

21%
20%
19%
16%

3%
5%
5%
2%

0%
1%
1%
2%

26%
17%
18%
22%

42
119
168
109

White
Minority

20%
17%

36%
45%

20%
8%

4%
0%

1%
6%

19%
24%

393
47

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

23%
24%
21%
16%

29%
34%
35%
43%

22%
22%
20%
12%

1%
1%
4%
8%

2%
2%
1%
2%

23%
17%
20%
20%

65
84
186
112

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

20%
16%
23%
35%
14%

29%
33%
61%
28%
39%

24%
23%
16%
19%
26%

1%
4%
0%
6%
2%

6%
1%
0%
0%
1%

19%
23%
0%
12%
19%

30
65
20
52
67

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

23%
19%
22%
13%
24%

42%
28%
34%
48%
38%

11%
28%
19%
8%
18%

2%
5%
4%
5%
0%

1%
1%
0%
2%
5%

21%
18%
21%
24%
14%

116
147
85
56
45

MA LIKELY VOTERS

45

“Which of the candidates for Governor do you TRUST MORE to handle the state’s budget and fiscal problems … Charlie Baker … Deval
Patrick … Tim Cahill … or Jill Stein?”
Don't
Patrick
Cahill
Stein
Other
Know
(N=)
Baker
ALL MA ADULTS
31%
31%
19%
4%
1%
15%
504
Likely voter
Non-likely voter

33%
12%

31%
22%

19%
16%

4%
4%

0%
3%

13%
42%

457
38

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

85%
2%
6%
13%

4%
80%
2%
12%

5%
10%
84%
17%

0%
0%
3%
15%

0%
0%
0%
1%

5%
8%
6%
41%

156
158
52
88

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

65%
32%
11%

9%
22%
50%

12%
22%
20%

2%
3%
5%

2%
0%
0%

9%
21%
14%

119
174
211

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

47%
12%
19%

24%
43%
30%

19%
22%
11%

2%
6%
5%

1%
0%
0%

7%
17%
34%

259
142
103

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

43%
30%
18%

36%
28%
28%

12%
23%
19%

2%
3%
6%

1%
1%
0%

6%
14%
30%

162
207
126

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

15%
33%
66%

52%
25%
9%

15%
21%
15%

4%
4%
2%

0%
1%
0%

14%
17%
9%

166
246
64

Democrat
Independent
Republican

11%
29%
64%

52%
19%
7%

20%
21%
15%

2%
10%
2%

0%
1%
1%

15%
19%
11%

241
97
158

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

11%
60%
19%

52%
5%
8%

17%
19%
22%

2%
4%
10%

0%
1%
0%

16%
11%
40%

273
203
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

60%
7%

7%
61%

18%
19%

3%
4%

1%
0%

11%
9%

229
178

Male
Female

36%
27%

32%
29%

18%
19%

3%
4%

0%
1%

11%
19%

238
266

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

18%
31%
34%
34%

27%
22%
38%
31%

21%
26%
12%
18%

2%
3%
6%
1%

1%
1%
1%
0%

31%
16%
10%
16%

61
129
183
120

White
Minority

34%
12%

28%
50%

20%
12%

4%
0%

1%
1%

14%
25%

433
63

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

25%
37%
36%
23%

25%
22%
27%
46%

16%
23%
21%
14%

6%
2%
2%
6%

2%
0%
0%
1%

26%
16%
14%
10%

80
98
200
123

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

25%
22%
25%
31%
45%

29%
32%
52%
37%
27%

28%
21%
7%
18%
24%

1%
7%
4%
2%
2%

0%
0%
2%
0%
0%

17%
18%
10%
11%
3%

43
69
24
57
72

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

31%
35%
35%
18%
31%

40%
26%
23%
41%
24%

11%
23%
22%
18%
20%

0%
4%
5%
7%
3%

0%
0%
1%
0%
2%

18%
13%
14%
16%
20%

129
158
95
63
59

46

“How responsible do you think Deval Patrick’s administration is for the state of the Massachusetts economy … very responsible … somewhat
responsible … not very responsible … or not responsible at all?”
Not
Very
Somewhat
Not Very
Responsible Don't
Responsible Responsible Responsible
At All
Know
(N=)
ALL MA ADULTS
15%
53%
19%
9%
4%
519
Likely voter
Non-likely voter

15%
17%

53%
58%

21%
4%

9%
8%

3%
13%

469
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

14%
22%
9%
7%

51%
57%
58%
45%

23%
16%
25%
22%

13%
3%
5%
16%

0%
2%
3%
10%

159
162
53
92

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

16%
10%
19%

48%
60%
50%

22%
14%
22%

15%
11%
4%

0%
5%
5%

124
178
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

18%
12%
13%

53%
51%
56%

18%
28%
11%

10%
8%
8%

2%
2%
13%

267
148
103

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

22%
13%
9%

46%
51%
65%

18%
23%
16%

14%
8%
4%

0%
5%
6%

164
210
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

22%
10%
15%

51%
52%
62%

21%
21%
16%

3%
13%
7%

3%
4%
1%

170
257
64

Democrat
Independent
Republican

18%
16%
12%

57%
42%
54%

20%
16%
21%

3%
17%
13%

2%
10%
1%

245
103
162

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

16%
15%
16%

57%
46%
49%

19%
22%
10%

3%
17%
11%

5%
1%
14%

279
212
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

13%
17%

53%
56%

21%
21%

13%
5%

1%
2%

237
183

Male
Female

17%
14%

53%
53%

18%
21%

9%
8%

3%
5%

249
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

14%
11%
16%
19%

62%
58%
52%
43%

10%
24%
20%
20%

4%
6%
11%
12%

10%
1%
1%
6%

63
135
187
123

White
Minority

15%
18%

52%
56%

20%
11%

9%
5%

3%
10%

444
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

20%
13%
14%
17%

42%
55%
55%
54%

17%
20%
21%
19%

14%
8%
8%
8%

7%
4%
3%
3%

83
101
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

27%
17%
18%
10%
12%

37%
59%
49%
61%
54%

19%
15%
17%
20%
24%

14%
7%
13%
6%
9%

4%
2%
3%
2%
0%

46
74
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

10%
15%
21%
19%
15%

64%
53%
41%
52%
48%

15%
19%
26%
17%
22%

8%
11%
9%
5%
10%

3%
3%
3%
6%
5%

133
161
99
65
61

47

“Why do you feel that way?”

Spending
12%

Doing
All
He Can
11%

NationWide
Issue
11%

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

12%
13%

11%
12%

12%
0%

7%
12%

8%
3%

6%
4%

41%
42%

3%
15%

436
35

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

15%
6%
15%
14%

4%
24%
3%
2%

5%
21%
9%
13%

9%
4%
10%
8%

17%
1%
10%
5%

6%
6%
7%
5%

43%
37%
36%
45%

0%
2%
10%
8%

150
156
49
79

Patrick very responsible
for MA econ
16%
Somewhat responsible
8%
Not very/Not at all responsible 18%

16%
15%
1%

4%
11%
18%

8%
11%
3%

9%
6%
11%

5%
7%
5%

43%
39%
43%

0%
4%
2%

78
252
138

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

16%
16%
7%

7%
11%
12%

8%
7%
17%

6%
10%
7%

18%
7%
3%

5%
6%
5%

36%
38%
45%

3%
5%
4%

115
166
196

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

13%
10%
14%

9%
9%
16%

6%
23%
7%

9%
7%
5%

11%
5%
2%

6%
6%
3%

42%
37%
42%

3%
1%
10%

249
136
92

Extremely interested in
election
11%
Very interested
12%
Somewhat/Not Very interested 12%

9%
9%
15%

10%
9%
17%

7%
9%
5%

9%
9%
5%

6%
6%
5%

47%
40%
34%

1%
4%
8%

155
196
120

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

8%
14%
12%

14%
10%
7%

15%
13%
0%

11%
5%
8%

1%
10%
18%

6%
5%
7%

39%
39%
48%

6%
3%
1%

158
233
63

Democrat
Independent
Republican

9%
12%
18%

16%
6%
5%

19%
7%
3%

6%
10%
9%

2%
11%
15%

7%
3%
6%

37%
43%
43%

4%
8%
2%

230
91
149

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

8%
17%
22%

17%
2%
9%

17%
5%
6%

7%
9%
6%

2%
16%
6%

6%
5%
7%

38%
44%
28%

5%
2%
16%

252
197
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

15%
10%

5%
16%

6%
22%

9%
3%

13%
3%

7%
4%

43%
37%

1%
3%

224
170

Male
Female

14%
11%

8%
13%

9%
13%

8%
8%

11%
5%

3%
8%

45%
36%

2%
6%

233
244

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

12%
18%
11%
9%

12%
8%
7%
17%

9%
12%
17%
4%

17%
6%
8%
5%

6%
11%
7%
7%

9%
8%
6%
1%

31%
34%
42%
48%

5%
1%
2%
8%

48
123
182
113

White
Minority

12%
10%

9%
22%

13%
3%

8%
9%

8%
6%

6%
2%

40%
39%

3%
10%

410
57

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

18%
13%
11%
10%

7%
12%
10%
11%

1%
11%
14%
14%

6%
4%
12%
5%

6%
12%
8%
6%

5%
3%
6%
8%

48%
41%
35%
44%

9%
3%
4%
3%

73
91
190
121

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

4%
13%
18%
16%
13%

17%
12%
4%
9%
5%

12%
16%
6%
15%
3%

8%
7%
8%
7%
10%

8%
6%
6%
10%
14%

5%
5%
8%
6%
4%

44%
36%
46%
35%
41%

2%
5%
4%
1%
10%

124
146
91
58
57

ALL MA ADULTS

Final
Responsibility High Inherited
Don't
w/Governor Taxes Problem Other Know
8%
8%
6%
40% 4%

(N=)
477

48

“On another topic, we are interested in how people are getting along financially these days. Would you say that you and your family living
there are BETTER OFF or WORSE OFF financially than you were a year ago?”
Better
Off
21%

About the
Same
36%

Worse
Off
41%

Don't
Know
1%

(N=)
520

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

21%
21%

37%
24%

40%
54%

1%
2%

470
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

17%
27%
24%
18%

40%
40%
26%
35%

42%
31%
47%
47%

1%
2%
2%
0%

159
162
53
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

22%
18%
24%

32%
35%
40%

46%
45%
35%

0%
3%
1%

124
179
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

20%
22%
26%

38%
36%
32%

41%
41%
40%

1%
1%
2%

267
148
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

22%
15%
30%

39%
43%
23%

39%
41%
45%

0%
2%
2%

164
211
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

22%
18%
23%

37%
37%
33%

39%
43%
44%

2%
1%
0%

170
257
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

27%
15%
17%

33%
41%
37%

38%
44%
45%

2%
0%
1%

245
103
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

26%
14%
39%

37%
35%
34%

36%
50%
27%

1%
1%
0%

280
212
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

16%
29%

34%
38%

50%
32%

1%
1%

237
183

Male
Female

20%
23%

42%
31%

38%
44%

1%
2%

250
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

43%
28%
16%
13%

19%
35%
36%
46%

36%
36%
46%
41%

1%
1%
3%
0%

63
135
188
123

White
Minority

20%
30%

36%
36%

42%
34%

2%
0%

446
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

16%
13%
25%
27%

35%
33%
34%
42%

49%
51%
39%
31%

0%
3%
2%
0%

84
101
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

18%
16%
21%
30%
23%

29%
26%
15%
30%
37%

53%
57%
59%
38%
41%

0%
1%
5%
1%
0%

46
74
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

26%
16%
28%
28%
8%

36%
43%
34%
28%
31%

37%
39%
38%
42%
61%

1%
2%
0%
3%
0%

133
161
100
65
61

ALL MA ADULTS

49

“Let’s turn back to state politics. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement … Deval Patrick has brought reform to Beacon Hill.”

ALL MA ADULTS

Strongly
Agree
Disagree Strongly
Agree Somewhat Neutral Somewhat Disagree
7%
20%
5%
28%
27%

Don't
Know
12%

(N=)
520

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

7%
3%

21%
16%

5%
6%

28%
32%

28%
14%

10%
29%

470
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

1%
19%
0%
3%

12%
32%
23%
13%

2%
6%
10%
9%

30%
26%
25%
27%

52%
4%
37%
28%

3%
13%
6%
21%

159
162
53
93

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

4%
4%
12%

12%
22%
23%

2%
2%
10%

24%
31%
27%

53%
26%
14%

5%
14%
15%

124
179
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

8%
7%
6%

20%
22%
18%

3%
6%
11%

25%
30%
31%

37%
20%
15%

8%
15%
18%

266
148
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

14%
5%
2%

17%
23%
20%

3%
8%
5%

18%
31%
36%

38%
26%
16%

10%
7%
22%

164
211
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

14%
3%
7%

24%
19%
15%

6%
6%
1%

24%
30%
28%

15%
31%
44%

18%
10%
6%

170
256
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

12%
4%
3%

29%
13%
11%

6%
8%
3%

26%
23%
33%

10%
40%
45%

17%
12%
5%

245
103
162

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

11%
3%
3%

29%
7%
34%

7%
4%
0%

29%
27%
24%

9%
53%
11%

15%
6%
28%

280
212
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

3%
15%

12%
33%

3%
6%

30%
26%

48%
8%

5%
13%

236
183

Male
Female

6%
8%

21%
20%

3%
8%

25%
30%

35%
20%

10%
14%

250
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

8%
1%
10%
7%

25%
15%
21%
25%

6%
5%
5%
5%

27%
37%
27%
18%

12%
31%
29%
30%

22%
10%
8%
15%

63
135
188
122

White
Minority

7%
9%

18%
37%

6%
5%

30%
10%

30%
9%

10%
30%

445
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

7%
8%
7%
6%

19%
20%
20%
22%

7%
4%
4%
7%

19%
26%
27%
35%

29%
33%
29%
20%

19%
10%
12%
9%

84
101
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

11%
10%
6%
14%
1%

21%
24%
38%
17%
19%

4%
4%
0%
3%
4%

17%
28%
14%
23%
43%

32%
22%
29%
36%
28%

15%
12%
12%
7%
5%

45
74
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

9%
7%
5%
14%
2%

26%
16%
19%
19%
22%

2%
9%
7%
6%
0%

31%
31%
28%
20%
18%

20%
29%
32%
24%
36%

13%
8%
9%
17%
21%

133
161
100
65
61

50

“On another topic … recently, a bill that would legalize casino gambling in Massachusetts failed to pass … do you think that the failure to
legalize casino gambling in Massachusetts was a good thing or a bad thing?”
Good
Thing
40%

ProCon
11%

Bad
Thing
45%

Don't
Know
4%

(N=)
520

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

41%
28%

10%
17%

45%
55%

4%
0%

470
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

33%
51%
32%
42%

12%
12%
0%
10%

50%
34%
64%
45%

4%
3%
4%
4%

158
162
53
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

31%
35%
51%

9%
13%
10%

56%
49%
36%

5%
3%
3%

123
179
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

34%
44%
51%

10%
13%
9%

51%
42%
34%

4%
1%
6%

266
148
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

46%
35%
41%

9%
12%
11%

42%
48%
46%

2%
5%
3%

164
211
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

45%
36%
42%

13%
10%
9%

42%
49%
45%

1%
5%
4%

170
256
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

46%
32%
37%

11%
15%
8%

41%
48%
52%

2%
5%
4%

245
103
162

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

45%
32%
51%

12%
9%
8%

39%
54%
41%

3%
5%
0%

280
211
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

37%
48%

10%
12%

51%
38%

3%
3%

236
183

Male
Female

38%
43%

8%
13%

51%
39%

3%
5%

250
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

30%
37%
44%
45%

13%
10%
9%
13%

51%
51%
44%
37%

6%
2%
2%
6%

63
135
188
122

White
Minority

41%
34%

9%
19%

46%
45%

4%
2%

445
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

38%
43%
35%
48%

9%
11%
9%
14%

45%
42%
52%
36%

7%
4%
3%
2%

84
101
208
124

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

37%
44%
38%
45%
52%

15%
3%
11%
9%
14%

44%
49%
46%
45%
32%

5%
4%
5%
1%
3%

46
74
26
57
73

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

48%
35%
45%
41%
31%

10%
10%
13%
11%
11%

38%
49%
42%
45%
53%

4%
6%
0%
3%
5%

133
161
99
65
61

ALL MA ADULTS

51

“Who do you think is MOST responsible for the failure to legalize gambling in Massachusetts … Governor Deval Patrick … Senate President
Therese Murray … or Speaker of the House Robert De Leo?”
Deval
Patrick
25%

Therese
Murray
4%

Don't
Know
31%

(N=)
503

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

25%
23%

4%
3%

25%
13%

13%
8%

4%
8%

29%
45%

455
39

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

31%
20%
32%
18%

5%
5%
0%
4%

22%
31%
27%
17%

16%
11%
7%
13%

3%
5%
5%
4%

23%
27%
29%
44%

155
162
49
85

Good thing casino bill failed
Bad thing casion bill failed
Mixed/Don't Know

20%
31%
17%

5%
4%
3%

22%
25%
24%

11%
14%
10%

2%
6%
6%

40%
20%
40%

201
228
73

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

36%
25%
19%

6%
2%
5%

17%
25%
26%

12%
11%
13%

3%
7%
3%

26%
30%
35%

119
175
209

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

29%
22%
17%

4%
4%
5%

25%
27%
15%

10%
12%
17%

5%
3%
4%

26%
32%
43%

259
146
97

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

21%
32%
18%

6%
3%
3%

29%
22%
21%

14%
10%
14%

2%
4%
8%

28%
29%
35%

162
200
131

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

24%
26%
22%

5%
5%
1%

27%
20%
30%

9%
14%
12%

2%
7%
1%

32%
28%
33%

166
250
62

Democrat
Independent
Republican

23%
27%
28%

4%
5%
4%

26%
17%
25%

10%
12%
15%

4%
10%
2%

33%
28%
27%

239
99
156

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

19%
32%
24%

5%
4%
0%

26%
23%
9%

13%
12%
8%

4%
5%
5%

34%
24%
55%

271
205
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

27%
22%

5%
4%

22%
31%

14%
11%

3%
3%

29%
29%

228
180

Male
Female

26%
23%

4%
4%

26%
21%

18%
7%

5%
4%

21%
40%

240
263

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

18%
26%
25%
28%

3%
1%
7%
4%

21%
25%
25%
19%

8%
10%
12%
16%

11%
1%
6%
3%

38%
36%
25%
30%

59
134
182
121

White
Minority

25%
25%

4%
5%

22%
34%

13%
6%

4%
4%

32%
25%

433
61

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

20%
34%
24%
22%

5%
6%
1%
7%

32%
17%
24%
23%

8%
10%
11%
17%

3%
4%
6%
2%

32%
28%
33%
29%

82
99
203
117

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

33%
26%
24%
12%
20%

4%
6%
5%
1%
3%

27%
21%
24%
26%
20%

14%
12%
12%
13%
8%

3%
4%
1%
8%
11%

20%
32%
33%
40%
38%

127
156
97
64
59

ALL MA ADULTS

Robert
de Leo Combination Other
24%
12%
4%

52

“Recently, there has been a lot of discussion about building more than 100 windmills off the coast of Cape Cod in Nantucket Sound to
generate electricity. Based on what you have heard or read about the Cape Wind project, do you support or oppose the project to build
windmills in Nantucket Sound to generate electricity?”
Strongly Support
Oppose Strongly
Don't
Support Somewhat Neutral Somewhat Oppose
Know
(N=)
ALL MA ADULTS
49%
20%
6%
7%
13%
5%
520
Likely voter
Non-likely voter

49%
53%

21%
16%

6%
13%

7%
4%

14%
4%

4%
10%

470
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

39%
51%
76%
49%

16%
24%
20%
24%

8%
8%
0%
3%

9%
8%
0%
1%

24%
5%
4%
14%

3%
4%
1%
9%

159
162
53
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

41%
46%
57%

16%
25%
19%

5%
7%
6%

12%
3%
6%

23%
12%
7%

3%
7%
5%

124
179
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

45%
55%
53%

20%
20%
23%

7%
5%
7%

8%
5%
6%

19%
7%
5%

3%
8%
6%

267
148
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

45%
46%
60%

20%
20%
21%

5%
8%
5%

9%
7%
2%

17%
13%
7%

4%
5%
6%

164
211
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

57%
46%
42%

22%
21%
12%

8%
6%
4%

6%
6%
13%

4%
15%
27%

4%
6%
2%

170
257
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

55%
41%
47%

23%
27%
13%

7%
8%
5%

5%
7%
8%

5%
12%
24%

5%
6%
3%

245
103
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

57%
39%
52%

20%
20%
22%

6%
6%
11%

5%
8%
8%

5%
23%
6%

6%
4%
2%

280
212
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

43%
56%

20%
24%

6%
6%

7%
6%

21%
4%

4%
4%

237
183

Male
Female

60%
40%

15%
25%

7%
6%

5%
8%

10%
15%

3%
7%

250
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

63%
55%
48%
40%

21%
18%
20%
21%

4%
7%
4%
11%

2%
5%
7%
8%

5%
11%
14%
15%

4%
4%
7%
4%

63
135
188
123

White
Minority

49%
54%

21%
15%

5%
13%

7%
2%

13%
6%

5%
9%

446
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

51%
47%
51%
47%

21%
19%
17%
27%

5%
10%
7%
2%

3%
9%
6%
7%

12%
10%
15%
11%

7%
5%
4%
5%

84
101
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

58%
49%
53%
62%
52%

22%
19%
30%
13%
27%

5%
7%
0%
7%
4%

0%
5%
7%
2%
5%

8%
14%
3%
15%
10%

7%
6%
7%
1%
2%

46
74
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

52%
48%
49%
54%
43%

16%
24%
18%
21%
21%

9%
3%
7%
5%
9%

8%
8%
6%
7%
1%

9%
15%
12%
6%
23%

7%
2%
8%
7%
2%

133
161
100
65
61

53

"If electricity generatedby the Cape Wind project costs more than electricity from traditional sources, would you be willing to pay more on
your utility bill for electricity from Cape Wind?" IF YES: “How much more would you be willing to pay per month … less than 5 percent
more … 5 to 10 percent more … or more than 10 percent more per month?”
Less
More
Don't
None
Than 5% 5-10% Than 10% Know
(N=)
ALL MA ADULTS
50%
18%
20%
4%
7%
520
Likely voter
Non-likely voter

49%
55%

19%
14%

21%
15%

3%
6%

7%
10%

470
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

70%
34%
37%
48%

12%
24%
23%
21%

14%
28%
29%
17%

0%
7%
4%
3%

4%
7%
6%
12%

159
162
53
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

68%
61%
31%

11%
16%
25%

13%
14%
30%

1%
2%
6%

6%
7%
8%

124
179
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

61%
32%
47%

17%
23%
17%

16%
31%
15%

1%
5%
8%

4%
9%
12%

267
148
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

52%
47%
52%

19%
22%
14%

23%
21%
18%

1%
3%
8%

5%
8%
8%

164
211
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

44%
50%
63%

19%
22%
11%

26%
17%
14%

2%
5%
2%

8%
6%
10%

170
257
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

36%
63%
64%

22%
20%
13%

26%
13%
17%

7%
1%
1%

9%
3%
5%

245
103
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

36%
67%
59%

23%
14%
10%

26%
13%
16%

6%
0%
5%

8%
6%
10%

280
212
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

66%
33%

16%
22%

12%
32%

1%
6%

5%
7%

237
183

Male
Female

48%
53%

19%
18%

23%
18%

6%
2%

4%
10%

250
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

40%
48%
51%
55%

22%
15%
20%
20%

25%
24%
23%
11%

8%
6%
2%
1%

4%
7%
5%
12%

63
135
188
123

White
Minority

51%
48%

19%
15%

20%
23%

4%
3%

7%
12%

446
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

61%
58%
53%
33%

14%
20%
16%
24%

13%
17%
19%
30%

0%
1%
4%
8%

11%
4%
8%
5%

84
101
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

53%
53%
62%
45%
39%

18%
20%
13%
29%
17%

15%
17%
20%
19%
40%

9%
3%
0%
5%
1%

6%
7%
6%
2%
3%

46
74
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

52%
44%
53%
38%
72%

19%
23%
15%
18%
12%

15%
22%
22%
29%
16%

3%
5%
4%
4%
0%

11%
6%
6%
11%
0%

133
161
100
65
61

54

“And on another topic, does Massachusetts need to do more to ensure that illegal immigrants do not receive public benefits?”

ALL MA ADULTS

Yes Yes No No Strongly Somewhat Neutral Somewhat Strongly
51%
9%
7%
11%
15%

Don't
Know
7%

(N=)
520

Likely voter
Non-likely voter

51%
41%

9%
6%

7%
11%

11%
18%

15%
17%

6%
7%

470
41

Baker voter
Patrick voter
Cahill voter
Other/Undecided voter

77%
26%
55%
49%

8%
11%
10%
9%

3%
9%
9%
10%

4%
18%
8%
12%

4%
29%
13%
8%

3%
7%
6%
12%

159
162
53
94

Support Tea Party
Neither Support/Oppose
Oppose Tea Party

76%
60%
29%

8%
9%
10%

3%
7%
9%

2%
10%
18%

7%
8%
25%

5%
6%
9%

124
179
217

Excited about November
Depressed about November
Neither Excited/Depressed

64%
30%
46%

8%
9%
12%

6%
8%
9%

8%
19%
9%

10%
24%
15%

4%
11%
9%

267
148
105

Extremely interested in election
Very interested
Somewhat/Not Very interested

57%
49%
46%

8%
12%
7%

6%
7%
10%

8%
15%
11%

19%
11%
17%

3%
8%
8%

164
211
136

Registered Democrat
Registered Unaffiliated
Registered Republican

35%
55%
71%

12%
8%
6%

8%
8%
4%

18%
8%
7%

19%
15%
4%

7%
6%
8%

170
257
65

Democrat
Independent
Republican

32%
61%
73%

12%
6%
8%

10%
9%
2%

18%
3%
7%

20%
14%
6%

9%
7%
4%

245
103
163

Approve of Obama
Disapprove of Obama
Neither Approve/Disapprove

34%
73%
51%

10%
9%
7%

10%
4%
6%

17%
3%
13%

21%
7%
23%

9%
4%
0%

280
212
24

Brown voter
Coakley voter

72%
28%

8%
11%

3%
8%

6%
19%

6%
26%

5%
8%

237
183

Male
Female

51%
50%

9%
9%

7%
8%

7%
15%

18%
12%

9%
5%

250
270

35 or under
35 to 49
50 to 64
65 and over

43%
57%
48%
53%

7%
9%
11%
8%

21%
4%
5%
6%

13%
9%
12%
13%

10%
15%
17%
17%

6%
6%
7%
4%

63
135
188
123

White
Minority

52%
39%

9%
8%

6%
17%

10%
17%

15%
15%

7%
4%

446
64

High school or less
Some college
College graduate
Post-graduate

59%
70%
48%
35%

9%
6%
9%
11%

7%
2%
9%
8%

9%
9%
14%
10%

11%
11%
15%
21%

5%
1%
5%
15%

84
101
208
125

Less than $30K
$30K to $60K
$60K to $75K
$75K to $100K
$100K or more

44%
54%
51%
57%
49%

8%
9%
4%
12%
3%

6%
7%
10%
2%
10%

31%
5%
11%
14%
15%

10%
20%
14%
12%
20%

2%
5%
9%
2%
4%

46
74
26
57
74

Inside 128
128 to 495
Central MA
Western MA
Southern MA/Cape/Islands

40%
47%
66%
46%
63%

7%
14%
8%
6%
7%

9%
8%
4%
7%
5%

13%
14%
5%
11%
10%

21%
11%
10%
24%
10%

11%
5%
6%
5%
5%

133
161
100
65
61

55