You are on page 1of 28

Nro.

K TTF Estado NP TTF Benard I-kaesimo


1 5 5100 F 1 5100 12.96% 16.67%
2 4 9500 S 9500
3 3 15000 F 2.25 15000 36.11% 37.50%
4 2 22000 S 22000
5 1 40000 F 4.125 40000 70.83% 68.75%

Chart Title
1.4

1.2
1 f(x)
5100=0.12962963
3.13342265766467E-05x - 0.0213940562
0.16666667 0.12962963 8.53699582

2.25
R² = 0.9999991130.375 0.36111111 9.61580548
19500

15000 0.36111111
0.8
22000
4.125 0.6
40000 0.70833333 0.6875 0.70833333 10.5966347
0.4

0.2
Chart Title
0.500 0
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000

-
8.000 f(x) = 1.0604295628x - 11.0184539854
8.500 9.000 9.500 10.000 10.500 11.000

-0.500
R² = 0.999781007
-1.000

-1.500

-2.000

-2.500

TTF Benard I-kaesimo R(t) X


1 5100 0.12962963 0.16666667 0.87037037 5100
9500
2.25 15000 0.36111111 0.375 0.63888889 15000
22000
4.125 40000 0.70833333 0.6875 0.29166667 40000
Chart Title
0.99999911
1.4 0.99999956
1.2
f(x) = 3.13342265766467E-05x - 0.0213940562
0.99988972

R² = 0.999999113
1 0.99994486

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000
X Y
F(t) ln(TBF) 1/(1-F(t)) ln(1/(1-F(t))) ln(ln(1/(1-F(t))))
12.96% 8.537 1.149 0.139 - 1.974

36.11% 9.616 1.565 0.448 - 0.803

70.83% 10.597 3.429 1.232 0.209

R
0.99989
- 0.0213940562
-1.1281436

-0.3554904 Beta= 1.0604


Eta= 32546.2915386
0.54852228

0 40000 45000

184539854
10.500 11.000 D.E. 1.2309
Media 9.9673

Probabilidades de falla
TTF Weibull
0 0.0%
2000 5.1%
4000 10.3%
6000 15.3%
8000 20.2%
10000 24.9%
12000 29.3%
14000 33.6%
Y 16000 37.6%
0.13883644 31913.983821 3.1334227E-05 18000 41.4%
20000 44.9%
0.44802472 20033.333333 4.9916805E-05 22000 48.3%
24000 51.5%
1.23214368 26000 54.5%
Probabilidades de falla
NP TTF Weibull
1 5100 0.13
2.25 15000 0.36
13940562 4.125 40000 0.71

45000
Probabilidades de falla
LogNormal Exponencial
0.0% 0.0%
2.7% 6.1%
8.7% 11.8%
15.2% 17.1%
21.3% 22.2%
26.9% 26.9%
32.0% 31.3%
36.6% 35.5%
40.8% 39.4%
44.5% 43.1%
47.9% 46.5%
51.0% 49.8%
53.8% 52.8%
56.4% 55.7%
Probabilidades de falla Prueba de bondad
K-S
LogNormal Exponencial Weibull LogNormal Exponencial
0.12 0.15 0.2 0.07 0.08 0.05
0.39 0.37 0.45 0.09 0.06 0.08
0.70 0.71 0.825 0.11 0.13 0.11
MAX 0.11311 0.12958 0.11093
Nro. K TTF Estado NP TTF Benard I-kaesimo
1 5 5100 F 1 5100 12.96% 16.67%
2 4 9500 S 9500
3 3 15000 F 2.25 15000 36.11% 37.50%
4 2 22000 S 22000
5 1 40000 F 4.125 40000 70.83% 68.75%

Chart Title
1.4

1.2
1 f(x)
5100=0.12962963
3.13342265766467E-05x - 0.0213940562
0.16666667 0.12962963 8.53699582

2.25
R² = 0.9999991130.375 0.36111111 9.61580548
19500

15000 0.36111111
0.8
22000
4.125 0.6
40000 0.70833333 0.6875 0.70833333 10.5966347
0.4

0.2
Chart Title
0.500 0
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000

-
8.000 f(x) = 1.0604295628x - 11.0184539854
8.500 9.000 9.500 10.000 10.500 11.000

-0.500
R² = 0.999781007
-1.000

-1.500

-2.000

-2.500

TTF Benard I-kaesimo R(t) X


1 5100 0.12962963 0.16666667 0.87037037 5100
9500
2.25 15000 0.36111111 0.375 0.63888889 15000
22000
4.125 40000 0.70833333 0.6875 0.29166667 40000

Chart Title
0.99999911
1.4 0.99999956
1.2
f(x) = 3.13342265766467E-05x - 0.0213940562
0.99988972

R²1 = 0.999999113 0.99994486

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000
X Y
F(t) ln(TBF) 1/(1-F(t)) ln(1/(1-F(t))) ln(ln(1/(1-F(t))))
12.96% 8.537 1.149 0.139 - 1.974

36.11% 9.616 1.565 0.448 - 0.803

70.83% 10.597 3.429 1.232 0.209

R
0.99989
- 0.0213940562
-1.1281436

-0.3554904 Beta= 1.0604


Eta= 32546.2915386
0.54852228

0 40000 45000

184539854
10.500 11.000 D.E. 1.2309
Media 9.9673

Probabilidades de falla
TTF Weibull
0 0.0%
2000 5.1%
4000 10.3%
6000 15.3%
8000 20.2%
10000 24.9%
12000 29.3%
14000 33.6%
Y 16000 37.6%
0.13883644 31913.983821 3.1334227E-05 18000 41.4%
20000 44.9%
0.44802472 20033.333333 4.9916805E-05 22000 48.3%
24000 51.5%
1.23214368 26000 54.5%

Probabilidades de falla
NP TTF Weibull
1 5100 0.13
2.25 15000 0.36
13940562 4.125 40000 0.71

45000
Probabilidades de falla
LogNormal Exponencial
0.0% 0.0%
2.7% 6.1%
8.7% 11.8%
15.2% 17.1%
21.3% 22.2%
26.9% 26.9%
32.0% 31.3%
36.6% 35.5%
40.8% 39.4%
44.5% 43.1%
47.9% 46.5%
51.0% 49.8%
53.8% 52.8%
56.4% 55.7%

Probabilidades de falla Prueba de bondad


K-S
LogNormal Exponencial Weibull LogNormal Exponencial
0.12 0.15 0.2 0.07 0.08 0.05
0.39 0.37 0.45 0.09 0.06 0.08
0.70 0.71 0.825 0.11 0.13 0.11
MAX 0.11311 0.12958 0.11093
Nro. K TTF Estado NP X Benard I-kaesimo
1 5 2000 F 1.00 2000 12.96% 16.67%
2 4 2200 F 2.00 2200 31.48% 33.33%
3 3 2600 S
4 2 2800 F 3.33 2800 56.17% 55.56%
5 1 3000 S

Chart Title
1.4

1.2
1 f(x)
5100=0.12962963
3.13342265766467E-05x - 0.0213940562
0.16666667 0.12962963 8.53699582

2.25
R² = 0.9999991130.375 0.36111111 9.61580548
19500

15000 0.36111111
0.8
22000
4.125 0.6
40000 0.70833333 0.6875 0.70833333 10.5966347
0.4

0.2
Chart Title
0
0.500 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000

-
8.000 f(x) = 1.0604295628x - 11.0184539854
8.500 9.000 9.500 10.000 10.500 11.000

-0.500
R² = 0.999781007
-1.000

-1.500

-2.000

-2.500

TTF Benard I-kaesimo R(t) X


1 5100 0.12962963 0.16666667 0.87037037 5100
9500
2.25 15000 0.36111111 0.375 0.63888889 15000
22000
4.125 40000 0.70833333 0.6875 0.29166667 40000

Chart Title
0.99999911
1.4 0.99999956
1.2
f(x) = 3.13342265766467E-05x - 0.0213940562
0.99988972
0.99994486
R²1 = 0.999999113
0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000
X Y
F(t) ln(TBF) 1/(1-F(t)) ln(1/(1-F(t))) ln(ln(1/(1-F(t))))
12.96% 7.601 1.149 7.601 7.601
31.48% 7.696 1.459 7.696 7.696

56.17% 7.937 2.282 7.937 7.937

R
1.00000
- 0.0213940562
-1.1281436

-0.3554904 Beta= 1.0604


Eta= 32546.2915386
0.54852228
Pendiente 0.0004162856

0 40000 45000

184539854
10.500 11.000 D.E.= 1.2309
Media= 9.9673

Probabilidades de falla
TTF Weibull
0 0.0%
2000 5.1%
4000 10.3%
6000 15.3%
8000 20.2%
10000 24.9%
12000 29.3%
14000 33.6%
Y 16000 37.6%
0.13883644 31913.983821 3.1334227E-05 18000 41.4%
20000 44.9%
0.44802472 20033.333333 4.9916805E-05 22000 48.3%
24000 51.5%
1.23214368 26000 54.5%

Probabilidades de falla
NP TTF Weibull
1 5100 0.13
2.25 15000 0.36
13940562 4.125 40000 0.71

45000
Probabilidades de falla
LogNormal Exponencial
0.0% 0.0%
2.7% 6.1%
8.7% 11.8%
15.2% 17.1%
21.3% 22.2%
26.9% 26.9%
32.0% 31.3%
36.6% 35.5%
40.8% 39.4%
44.5% 43.1%
47.9% 46.5%
51.0% 49.8%
53.8% 52.8%
56.4% 55.7%

Probabilidades de falla Prueba de bondad


K-S
LogNormal Exponencial Weibull LogNormal Exponencial
0.12 0.15 0.2 0.07 0.08 0.05
0.39 0.37 0.45 0.09 0.06 0.08
0.70 0.71 0.825 0.11 0.13 0.11
MAX 0.11311 0.12958 0.11093

Se escoge el menor, previa verificación del numero


de datos según el nivel de significancia.