PRECIPITACIÓN TOTAL MENSUAL (mm)

REGISTRO HISTÓRICO COMPLETADO

Estación : MILPO
Longitud : 77° 14' W Distrito
Latitud : 09° 53' S Provincia
Altitud : 4400 m.s.n.m. Región

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT
1988 319.9 166.7 177.2 214.4 67.6 13.6 0.0 7.8 40.7 117.1
1989 154.7 163.5 172.2 102.5 54.7 63.3 22.3 83.0 111.1 75.3
1990 33.2 91.5 80.2 21.4 5.6 4.7 0.5 9.5 5.6 46.6
1991 124.9 132.0 133.1 78.2 44.7 10.0 0.0 30.2 26.7 127.3
1992 49.2 52.8 95.4 54.1 12.7 0.0 12.7 8.4 4.4 120.6
1993 156.9 143.8 181.2 195.0 37.6 18.2 11.8 4.6 106.5 144.5
1994 280.9 250.9 221.0 109.7 57.6 11.3 6.4 12.7 53.7 81.3
1995 131.8 99.0 174.4 54.6 52.1 5.8 10.0 21.2 33.8 70.4
1996 142.3 140.2 154.9 119.2 47.6 0.7 0.9 9.9 40.0 78.5
1997 142.5 159.0 45.3 45.6 28.9 1.8 18.6 21.0 47.4 66.3
1998 256.2 200.5 190.5 129.0 23.6 22.1 0.0 9.9 17.8 127.4
1999 198.8 286.2 196.7 82.2 29.2 29.9 11.0 7.8 92.9 46.3
2000 153.3 188.9 211.5 43.7 98.4 6.5 6.9 18.7 60.2 67.7
2001 234.9 158.4 214.1 28.1 42.4 7.5 18.7 0.5 72.1 110.7
2002 89.8 220.4 284.8 87.9 28.3 10.5 6.2 4.1 39.0 221.5
2003 143.0 137.5 169.3 160.3 43.3 13.9 19.5 14.2 28.5 73.7
2004 85.3 358.2 82.8 114.1 57.5 16.8 45.1 5.2 26.9 131.7
2005 148.5 119.4 270.7 96.0 69.9 6.9 14.5 20.7 21.7 98.6
2006 95.1 155.6 329.6 320.1 42.2 36.6 6.1 7.6 39.0 63.1
2007 491.2 39.6 468.6 291.9 58.5 19.9 19.9 20.8 6.6 135.2
2008 347.2 244.7 459.3 99.3 10.9 45.5 48.6 109.7 82.4 248.8
2009 305.1 216.5 162.3 233.4 10.7 12.8 9.7 10.2 8.3 160.9
2010 68.4 45.0 159.8 19.2 22.8 8.0 1.3 2.8 33.2 69.4
2011 279.8 278.9 177.4 95.7 10.1 3.2 23.0 17.4 201.3 119.6
2012 266.7 638.3 227.0 433.1 38.3 41.0 5.6 3.3 149.2 106.1
2013 127.7 388.2 369.3 256.5 90.0 86.4 39.4 28.1 47.8 250.1
2014 376.5 612.2 323.1 160.3 443.2 17.7 23.6 12.1 56.5 84.8
MEDIA 192.73 210.66 212.29 135.02 56.61 19.06 14.16 18.57 53.83 112.72
MÁXIMA 491.20 638.30 468.60 433.10 443.20 86.40 48.60 109.70 201.30 250.10
MÍNIMA 33.20 39.60 45.30 19.20 5.59 0.01 0.00 0.50 4.42 46.30
DESV. EST. 111.23 146.95 104.88 101.04 80.76 20.21 13.32 23.98 45.92 55.18
Fuente: SENAMHI
IPITACIÓN TOTAL MENSUAL (mm)
STRO HISTÓRICO COMPLETADO

: CATAC
Provincia : RECUAY
Región : ANCASH

NOV DIC TOTAL

48.8 71.8 1245.7
17.7 19.5 1039.7
72.4 23.7 395.0
63.4 68.9 839.4
47.3 35.8 493.4
115.1 208.2 1323.5
75.9 111.0 1272.4
115.3 184.9 953.3
71.8 85.7 891.7
87.7 234.1 898.2
40.9 79.9 1097.8
85.4 105.9 1172.3
34.7 172.6 1063.1
160.2 107.5 1155.1
135.5 131.8 1259.8
56.2 157.8 1017.2
169.7 136.9 1230.2
82.0 207.7 1156.6
192.8 240.3 1528.1
225.9 173.1 1951.2
55.6 180.7 1932.7
122.0 182.6 1434.5
225.3 300.9 956.1
232.8 536.4 1975.6
380.7 388.5 2677.8
141.3 179.1 2003.9
86.3 270.5 2466.8
116.40 170.22 1312.26
380.70 536.40 2677.80
17.70 19.50 394.95
80.83 113.19 501.02
 ALA
AAA
PROYECTO :
REPRESA VADO CHICO

DISTRITO RAQUIA
PROVINCIA RECUAY
REGION ANCASH
CUENCA
SUBCUENCA
INTERCUENCA TANCARPO

PARAMETROS GEOMORFOLOGICOS

CUADROS-1

INTERCUENCA AREA (Km2) PERÍMETRO (Km.)

TANCARPO 19.05 25.00

AREAS ENTRE CURVAS-SUBCUENCA DE ESTUDIO

COTAS promedio AREA (M2) AREA (KM2)

2450 2665 2558 359277 0.359
2665 2880 2773 1309160 1.309
2880 3095 2988 2618160 2.618
3095 3310 3203 3417980 3.418
3310 3525 3418 4063510 4.064
3525 3740 3633 2522030 2.522
3740 3954 3847 3127520 3.128
3955 4170 4063 1457790 1.458
4170 4385 4278 1624500 1.625
4386 4600 4493 447158 0.447

TOTAL 20,947,085.00 20.9

TOTAL 20,947,085.00 20.9

 CURVAS HIPSOMETRICAS

AREAS PARCIALES
COTA (1) %
(KM2) (2)

1 2450-2665 0.36 1.72

2 2665-2880 1.31 6.25
3 2880-3095 2.62 12.50
4 3095-3310 3.42 16.32
5 3310-3525 4.06 19.40
6 3525-3740 2.52 12.04
7 3740-3954 3.13 14.93
8 3955-4170 1.46 6.96
9 4170-4385 1.62 7.76
10 4386-4600 0.45 2.13
11 TOTAL 20.947 100.00

ALTURA MEDIA DE LA CUENCA (Hm)

Hm = ∑ (Ai * Hi )/ ∑Ai

Ai Area parcial
Hi Altura media de cada area parcial
Hm Altua media de la cuenca

AREAS PARCIALES
COTA ALTURA MEDIA
(KM2)

2450-2665 0.359 2558

2665-2880 1.309 2773
2880-3095 2.618 2988
3095-3310 3.418 3203
3310-3525 4.064 3418
3525-3740 2.522 3633
3740-3954 3.128 3847
3955-4170 1.458 4063
4170-4385 1.625 4278
4386-4600 0.447 4493
TOTAL 20.947
 TIEMPO DE CONCENTRACION

tc = 0.94788 * (L 3/H)0.385

Tiempo de concentracion (Hr)

Longitud de Curso principal (Km)
Diferencia de nivel entre la divisoria de aguas y la salida (m)

Tc : tc 0.71 Horas
L:
H: POLIGONO DE FRECUENCIAS

COTA AREAS PARCIALES (KM2) %

2450-2665 0.36 1.72

2665-2880 1.31 6.25
2880-3095 2.62 12.50
3095-3310 3.42 16.32
3310-3525 4.06 19.40
3525-3740 2.52 12.04
3740-3954 3.13 14.93
3955-4170 1.46 6.96
4170-4385 1.62 7.76
4386-4600 0.45 2.13
TOTAL 20.95 100.00

PARAMETROS DE AREA Y PERIMETRO

AREA (A) 19.05 Km2

PERIMETRO (P) 25.00 Km

COEFICIENTE DE COMPACIDAD (Kc)

Kc = 0.28 ( P / √A)
AREA (A) 19.05 Km2
PERIMETRO (P) 25.00 Km

Kc 1.616

RECTANGULO EQUIVALENTE

LADO MAYOR DEL RECTANGULO (L)

L = √A*(Kc/1.12)+√((

LADO MENOR DEL RECTANGULO (l)

l = √A*(Kc/1.12)-√(
L 10.836

l 1.76

PERFIL LONGITUDINAL DEL CAUCE

LONGITUD 10.07 Km

FACTOR DE FORMA

Ff = A / L 2

AREA (A) 19.05 Km2

LONGITUD (L) 10.07 Km

Rf 0.188

DENSIDAD DE DRENAJE

ORDEN LONGITUD (km)

1er orden 10.074

Lt 10074.00 m
 10.07 Km

Area 19.05 Km2

D prom 0.53
Ancho Promedio (km) 1.89
Factor de Forma 0.19
A VADO CHICO

MICROC
UENCA
DE PERÍMETRO (Km.)
EMBALS
E
TANCARPO 19.05

0
0

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
 AREA AREA
ACUM.ENCIMA % ACUM.DEBAJO %
(Km2) (Km2)
0.36 1.72 20.95 97.9 2450-2665
1.67 7.97 19.64 90.1 2665-2880
4.29 20.46 17.02 83.2 2880-3095
7.70 36.78 13.60 68.2 3095-3310
11.77 56.18 9.54 56.2 3310-3525
14.29 68.22 7.02 36.8 3525-3740
17.42 83.15 3.89 20.5 3740-3954
18.88 90.11 2.43 8.0 3955-4170
20.50 97.87 0.81 1.7 4170-4385
20.95 100.00 0.36 0.0 4386-4600
117.82

CUADRO -2
ALTURA MEDIA DE LA CUENCA (Hm)

Hm 3498.17 m

AREAS VS. COTAS PROMEDIO

Ai * Hi
4.500

918.85 4.000

3,629.65 3.500
7,821.75
AREA

3.000
10,946.08
13,887.05 2.500
9,161.27
2.000
12,031.57
5,922.27 1.500

6,948.80 1.000
2,009.08
0.500
73,276.371
0.000
2558 2773 2988 3203 3418 3633 384
 0.500

0.000
2558 2773 2988 3203 3418 3633 384

CUADRO-3
DATOS Microcuenca
Longitud (m) 10.07 Km
Cota Superior 4600.00 m

Cota Inferior 2450.00 m

S (m/m) 0.21 %
S (%) 21.34 % PENDIENTE MEDIA DE LA CUENCA
Tc (hr) 0.71

25.00

20.00 19.40

16.32
14.93
15.00
12.50 12.04

10.00
6.96
6.25
5.00

1.72

0.00

COEF. DE COMPACIDAD (Kc)

 Kc 1.616

L = √A*(Kc/1.12)+√((Kc/1.12)2-1))

l = √A*(Kc/1.12)-√((Kc/1.12)2-1))

10074

0.188 FACTOR DE FORMA (Ff)

Ff 0.188
 %AREA %AREA
ACUM.DEBAJ.L ACUM.ENC.
(Km2) (Km2) 4450
2558 1.72% 100.0%
2773 7.97% 93.8%
2988 20.46% 81.3%

Al tura (ms nm)

3950
3203 36.78% 64.9%
3418 56.18% 45.5%
3633 68.22% 33.5%
3847 83.15% 18.6% 3450
4063 90.11% 11.6%
4278 97.87% 3.8%
4493 100.00% 1.7%
2950

2450
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Porcent

CUENCA DELA
ALTURA MEDIA (msnm)
REPRESA
3498.17

VS. COTAS PROMEDIO

FIGURA-1

3418 3633 3847 4063 4278 4493

 3418 3633 3847 4063 4278 4493

DATOS
Cota Superior
Cota Inferior
S (m/m)
S (%)
10074 m 6.75

MEDIA DE LA CUENCA

Cotas (m.s.n.m)

4386-4600
2450-2665 2665-2880 4170-4385
3955-4170
14.93 2880-3095 3095-3310
3740-3954
12.04 3525-3740
3310-3525 3525-3740
3310-3525
7.76
6.96 3740-3954 3955-4170 3095-3310
2880-3095
4170-4385 4386-4600 2665-2880
2.13

2450-2665
0.00 5.00 1
20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Porcentaje de Area Acumul ado (%)
 Microcuenca
4600.00 m
2450.00 m
0.21 %
21.34 % DATOS
Cota Superior
Cota Inferior
S (m/m)
S (m/m)

Tc (hr)

4600
4385
4170
3954
3740
3525
3310
3095
2880
2665
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00
Area Relativa (%)
 Microcuenca
4600.00 m
2450.00 m

0.21 %
21.34 %

%
 PP prom Anual (mm)
PP MEDIA
Altitud Media
ESTACIONES ANUAL RELACIÓN PP (mm) PROMEDIO ANUAL VS. ALTI
(msnm)
(mm)
1,500
MILPO 4,400.00 1,312.26
CHIQUIAN 3,382.00 607.58 1,300
f(x) = 0.7565752646x - 2005.3630485517
MAYORARCA 3,351.00 558.04 R² = 0.9445856794
OCROS 3,230.00 287.77 1,100
MALVAS 3,250.00 533.10
900

LUGAR ALTURA MEDIA PP(mm) C.T 700

ESTACION- MILPO 4,400.0 1,312.26 1.000
Cuenca de estudio 3,498.2 641.31 0.489 500

300

100
3000 3200 3400 3600 3800 4000 42
0.7566
Altitud (msnm)
-2005.4
PP (mm) PROMEDIO ANUAL VS. ALTITUD

46x - 2005.3630485517
4

3600 3800 4000 4200 4400

Altitud (msnm)
 L(km) Perimetro(km) Area(km2) Cota max
10.07 25.00 19.05 4600.00

pendiente de la cuenca 20.93%

 Kc=0.28P/A^1/2 Ff=A/L^2 L = Kc.A½.(1+(1-(1.12/Kc)2)½)/1.12

Cota Min Coef. Compacidad Fact.Forma Rectangulo Equivalente

2450.00 1.60 0.19 10.72
 l = Kc.A½.(1-(1-(1.12/Kc)2)½)/1.12 W=A/L

ctangulo Equivalente Ancho medio de la cuenca

1.78 1.89
Sr= (Cotamax-cotamin)/longitud cauce principal

Pendiente del cauce principal(m/m)

0.21
 Generación de Precipitación para la cuenca en est
0.488709005

Año Ene Feb Mar Abr May

1988 156.34 81.47 86.60 104.78 33.04
1989 75.60 79.89 84.13 50.07 26.75
1990 16.23 44.72 39.19 10.46 2.73
1991 61.03 64.49 65.05 38.22 21.85
1992 24.06 25.78 46.62 26.41 6.19
1993 76.69 70.29 88.56 95.30 18.39
1994 137.28 122.62 108.02 53.61 28.15
1995 64.41 48.38 85.23 26.68 25.46
1996 69.54 68.52 75.70 58.25 23.26
1997 69.64 77.70 22.14 22.29 14.12
1998 125.21 97.99 93.10 63.04 11.53
1999 97.16 139.87 96.13 40.17 14.27
2000 74.92 92.32 103.36 21.36 48.09
2001 114.80 77.41 104.63 13.73 20.72
2002 43.89 107.71 139.18 42.96 13.83
2003 69.89 67.20 82.74 78.34 21.16
2004 41.69 175.06 40.47 55.76 28.10
2005 72.57 58.35 132.29 46.92 34.16
2006 46.48 76.04 161.08 156.44 20.62
2007 240.05 19.35 229.01 142.65 28.59
2008 169.68 119.59 224.46 48.53 5.33
2009 149.11 105.81 79.32 114.06 5.23
2010 33.43 21.99 78.10 9.38 11.14
2011 136.74 136.30 86.70 46.77 4.94
2012 130.34 311.94 110.94 211.66 18.72
2013 62.41 189.72 180.48 125.35 43.98
2014 184.00 299.19 157.90 78.34 216.60
Promedio 94.19 102.95 103.75 65.98 27.66
Max 240.05 311.94 229.01 211.66 216.60
Min 16.23 19.35 22.14 9.38 2.73

mm Ene Feb Mar Abr May

Promedio 94.19 102.95 103.75 65.98 27.66
 Histogram

120.00

100.00

80.00

PP(mm
60.00

)
40.00

20.00

0.00
Ene Feb M
para la cuenca en estudio-Estación MILPO modificada(mm)

Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic Total

6.65 0.00 3.81 19.89 57.23 23.87 35.10 608.77
30.93 10.91 40.56 54.30 36.80 8.65 9.53 508.12
2.29 0.22 4.66 2.75 22.78 35.40 11.59 193.02
4.89 0.00 14.76 13.05 62.21 30.98 33.68 410.20
0.00 6.21 4.11 2.16 58.94 23.12 17.50 241.11
8.90 5.77 2.25 52.05 70.62 56.25 101.75 646.82
5.52 3.13 6.21 26.22 39.73 37.09 54.25 621.83
2.83 4.89 10.36 16.52 34.41 56.35 90.36 465.89
0.34 0.44 4.84 19.55 38.36 35.09 41.88 435.78
0.88 9.09 10.26 23.16 32.40 42.86 114.41 438.96
10.80 0.00 4.84 8.70 62.26 19.99 39.05 536.50
14.61 5.38 3.81 45.40 22.63 41.74 51.75 572.91
3.18 3.37 9.14 29.42 33.09 16.96 84.35 519.55
3.67 9.14 0.24 35.24 54.10 78.29 52.54 564.51
5.13 3.03 2.00 19.06 108.25 66.22 64.41 615.68
6.79 9.53 6.94 13.93 36.02 27.47 77.12 497.11
8.21 22.04 2.54 13.15 64.36 82.93 66.90 601.21
3.37 7.09 10.12 10.60 48.19 40.07 101.50 565.24
17.89 2.98 3.71 19.06 30.84 94.22 117.44 746.80
9.73 9.73 10.17 3.23 66.07 110.40 84.60 953.57
22.24 23.75 53.61 40.27 121.59 27.17 88.31 944.53
6.26 4.74 4.98 4.06 78.63 59.62 89.24 701.05
3.91 0.64 1.37 16.23 33.92 110.11 147.05 467.25
1.56 11.24 8.50 98.38 58.45 113.77 262.14 965.49
20.04 2.74 1.61 72.92 51.85 186.05 189.86 1308.66
42.22 19.26 13.73 23.36 122.23 69.05 87.53 979.32
8.65 11.53 5.91 27.61 41.44 42.18 132.20 1205.55
9.31 6.92 9.08 26.31 55.09 56.89 83.19 641.31
42.22 23.75 53.61 98.38 122.23 186.05 262.14
0.00 0.00 0.24 2.16 22.63 8.65 9.53

Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic

9.31 6.92 9.08 26.31 55.09 56.89 83.19
 Histograma de la Precipitación promedio mensual total (mm)

120.00

100.00

80.00
PP(mm

60.00
)

40.00

20.00

0.00
Ene Feb Ma r Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic
641.31
 ·         encuentran, esta es:
T = -0.0000002*H²-0.004*H+27.208

H (altura media cuenca) 3498.17

T 10.76791
 L=300+25*T+0.05T^3
T=C°
C=(P-D)/P
P (pp en cuenca)
Coeficiente de escurrimiento C
Deficit de escurrimiento (D)

Según : L. TURC
Parámetro “L”
631.62
 631.62
10.77

641.31 mm
0.28
461.52 mm/año

Según : L. TURC
Déficit de Escurrimiento “D” Coeficiente de Escurrimiento “C”
461.52 0.28
P2 411281.1621
L2 398948.0825
P2/L2 1.030913997
1.930913997

1.389573315

461.5172559
 Area (Km2) Lamina ( mm/año)
Acuíferos potenciales 0 641.31 0
Lagunas 0 0 0
Nevados 0 0 0
0.00
Retención Total (m3/año) 0

Area(km2) 19.05 0.00

mm/año 0.00
 m m
50 50

Categoría Area (Km2) Lamina ( mm/año) Total

Bofedal 0.0000 641.31 0.00
Lagunas 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nevados 0.00 0.00 0.00
Retención (mm/año)
m2
2500 0.0025
a=-0.00252* LN(area cuenca)+0.030
a 0.0226

agotamiento rápido por la retención entre 50 y 80 mm/año y

vegetación poco desarrollada
 GENERACION DE CAUDALES
Quebrada T

PRECIPIT
PRECIPITACION EFECTIVA (mm/mes)
(mm/mes)
MES

P. TOTAL PE - I PE - II PE - III

31 Enero 94.19 3.65 22.30 40.12

28 Febrero 102.95 4.65 27.16 46.65
31 Marzo 103.75 4.75 27.63 47.27
30 Abril 65.98 1.33 10.22 22.34
31 Mayo 27.66 0.08 1.56 6.08
30 Junio 9.31 0.00 0.14 1.52
31 Julio 6.92 0.00 0.06 1.08
31 Agosto 9.08 0.00 0.13 1.47
30 Setiembre 26.31 0.07 1.40 5.67
31 Octubre 55.09 0.77 6.91 16.79
30 Noviembre 56.89 0.85 7.41 17.65
31 Diciembre 83.19 2.59 16.96 32.60
Total 641.31 18.74 121.88 239.24
0.15 0.3 0.45

AREA DE LA CUENCA

A = 19.05 Km2

PRECIPITACION EFECTIVA :

PE = C1 * PE-I + C2 * PE-II

C2= (C*P-PIII)/(PEII-PEIII)
C3= (C*P-PII)/((PEIII-PEII)

C 0.28
 P 641.31
PE-I 18.74
PE-II 121.88

I
a0 0
a1 0
a2 -0.00007
a3 0.000007
a4 -0.00000002
 GENERACION DE CAUDALES PARA EL AÑO PROMEDIO
Quebrada Tancarpo

ON EFECTIVA (mm/mes) CONTRIBUCION A LA RETENCION (mm/mes) CAUDALES MENSUALES

AGOTAMIENTO ABASTECIMIENTO GENERADOS

PE-IV PE
bi G ai A (mm/mes)
59.78 70.81 20.00 0.00 70.81
67.41 79.07 20.00 0.00 79.07
68.12 79.83 5.00 0.00 79.83
37.59 46.16 0.508 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.16
13.32 17.39 0.252 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.39
4.09 5.54 0.128 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.54
3.00 4.08 0.064 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.08
3.98 5.39 0.032 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.39
12.59 16.47 0.016 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.47
30.01 37.43 0.008 0.00 10.00 0.00 37.43
31.22 38.84 20.00 0.00 38.84
50.69 60.84 25.00 0.00 60.84
381.81 461.86 1.008 0.00 100.00 0.00 461.86
0.6

RETENCION DE LA CUENCA COEFICIENTE DE AGOTAMIENTO

R = 0.00 mm/año a =

LOS COEFICIENTES : COMPROBACION

C3 = -0.5615 C4 = 1.56 C3+ C4=

 II III IV
0 0 0
-0.0054 0.134 0.418
0.0021 0.0031 0.0023
0.000005 0 0
0 0 0
AUDALES MENSUALES Variación mensual de Descargas (m3/s)
0.60
GENERADOS
(m3/sg) 0.50
0.50
0.56 0.40
0.57
0.33 0.30
0.12
0.04 0.20

0.03
0.10
0.04
0.12
0.00
0.27 1 3 5 7 9 11
0.28
0.43
0.27
Variación mensual de la Precipitación (mm)
120.00

100.00
E DE AGOTAMIENTO
80.00

0.0226 60.00

40.00
PROBACION
20.00

1.00
0.00
1 3 5 7 9 11
 ANALISIS DE CORRELACION MULTIPLE

Variables Independientes V. Depend.

Método de Mínimo
Mes Qt-1(mm/mes) PE(mm/mes) Q(mm/mes)
X1 X2 Y X1 Y
1 60.84 70.81 70.81 4308.51
2 70.81 79.07 79.07 5598.89
3 79.07 79.83 79.83 6311.92
4 79.83 46.16 46.16 3685.00
5 46.16 17.39 17.39 802.82
6 17.39 5.54 5.54 96.34
7 5.54 4.08 4.08 22.62
8 4.08 5.39 5.39 22.03
9 5.39 16.47 16.47 88.84
10 16.47 37.43 37.43 616.48
11 37.43 38.84 38.84 1453.64
12 38.84 60.84 60.84 2363.09
S 461.86 461.86 461.86 25370.19

Donde:

Ecuación de regresión múltiple de tres variables:

Variable dependiente:
Variables independientes:
Parámetros de la ecuación de regresión múltiple:

En este caso:

Las equivalencias son:

RELACION MULTIPLE Formación de sistema de ec

Método de Mínimos Cuadrados

X2 Y X12 X 22 X1 X2
5014.30 3702.07 5014.30 4308.51
6251.62 5014.30 6251.62 5598.89
6372.80 6251.62 6372.80 6311.92
2130.81 6372.80 2130.81 3685.00
302.47 2130.81 302.47 802.82
30.69 302.47 30.69 96.34
16.68 30.69 16.68 22.62
29.09 16.68 29.09 22.03
271.30 29.09 271.30 88.84 461.86 =
1400.87 271.30 1400.87 616.48 25370.19 =
1508.39 1400.87 1508.39 1453.64 27031.10 =
3702.07 1508.39 3702.07 2363.09
27031.10 27031.10 27031.10 25370.19
n de sistema de ecuaciones:

12.00 b1 + 461.86 b2 + 461.86 b3

461.86 b1 + 27031.10 b2 + 25370.19 b3
461.86 b1 + 25370.19 b2 + 27031.10 b3
Cálculo de los parámetros:

12.00 461.86 461.86

DM = 461.86 27031.10 25370.19 = 335814231.22

461.86 25370.19 27031.10

461.86 461.86 461.86

Db1 = 25370.19 27031.10 25370.19 = 0.00
27031.10 25370.19 27031.10

12.00 461.86 461.86

Db2 = 461.86 25370.19 25370.19 = 0.00
461.86 27031.10 27031.10

12.00 461.86 461.86

Db3 = 461.86 27031.10 25370.19 = 335814231.22
461.86 25370.19 27031.10

Por lo tanto los parámetros de la ecuación b1 = 0.00

de Regresión Múltiple es el siguiente: b2 = 0.00
b3 = 1.00
Cálculo del Error Estándar del Estimado:

Variables Independientes V. Depend.

Estimado
m Qt-1 PE Q e = Y - Y' e2
X X Y Y'
1 2

1 60.84 70.81 70.81 70.81 0.00 0.00

2 70.81 79.07 79.07 79.07 0.00 0.00
3 79.07 79.83 79.83 79.83 0.00 0.00
4 79.83 46.16 46.16 46.16 0.00 0.00
5 46.16 17.39 17.39 17.39 0.00 0.00
6 17.39 5.54 5.54 5.54 0.00 0.00
7 5.54 4.08 4.08 4.08 0.00 0.00
8 4.08 5.39 5.39 5.39 0.00 0.00
9 5.39 16.47 16.47 16.47 0.00 0.00
10 16.47 37.43 37.43 37.43 0.00 0.00
11 37.43 38.84 38.84 38.84 0.00 0.00
12 38.84 60.84 60.84 60.84 0.00 0.00
S 461.86 461.86 461.86 461.85 0.01 0.00

38.488390 Error estándar del estimado:

841.34801 Coeficiente de determinación:
p= 3.0 Coeficiente de correlación múltiple:

Donde:

p = número de parámetros, en este caso es 3 (b1, b2 y b3).

Error estándar del estimao:

Varianza de la variable dependiente Y:

Coeficiente de determinación.
 Parámetros de la ecuación de generación:

Y2 Parámetros:

5014.30 - Factor constante (caudal básico):

6251.62 - Coeficiente de la variable independiente (Q t-1):
6372.80 - Coeficiente de la variable independiente (PE):
2130.81 - Error típico del estimado Y:
302.47 - Coeficiente de determinación:
30.69 - Coeficiente de correlación múltiple:
16.68
29.09 - Valor para el inicio de la generación (mm):
271.30
1400.87
1508.39
3702.07 Modelo Autoregresivo:
27031.10
Donde:
0.00258 Qt = Caudal generado del año t.
1.00000 Qt-1 = Caudal del año (t-1).
1.00000 PEt = Precipitación efectiva del año t.
S = Error estándar.
Z = Número aleatorio normal (0,1), del año t.
b1,b2,b3 = Coeficientes de regresión lineal múltiple.
 b1 = 0.00
b2 = 0.00
b3 = 1.00
S= 0.00
R2 = 1.00
R= 1.00

Qt-1 = 60.84
 PRECIPITACION MEN

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY

1988 156.34 81.47 86.60 104.78 33.04
1989 75.60 79.89 84.13 50.07 26.75
1990 16.23 44.72 39.19 10.46 2.73
1991 61.03 64.49 65.05 38.22 21.85
1992 24.06 25.78 46.62 26.41 6.19
1993 76.69 70.29 88.56 95.30 18.39
1994 137.28 122.62 108.02 53.61 28.15
1995 64.41 48.38 85.23 26.68 25.46
1996 69.54 68.52 75.70 58.25 23.26
1997 69.64 77.70 22.14 22.29 14.12
1998 125.21 97.99 93.10 63.04 11.53
1999 97.16 139.87 96.13 40.17 14.27
2000 74.92 92.32 103.36 21.36 48.09
2001 114.80 77.41 104.63 13.73 20.72
2002 43.89 107.71 139.18 42.96 13.83
2003 69.89 67.20 82.74 78.34 21.16
2004 41.69 175.06 40.47 55.76 28.10
2005 72.57 58.35 132.29 46.92 34.16
2006 46.48 76.04 161.08 156.44 20.62
2007 240.05 19.35 229.01 142.65 28.59
2008 169.68 119.59 224.46 48.53 5.33
2009 149.11 105.81 79.32 114.06 5.23
2010 33.43 21.99 78.10 9.38 11.14
2011 136.74 136.30 86.70 46.77 4.94
2012 130.34 311.94 110.94 211.66 18.72
2013 62.41 189.72 180.48 125.35 43.98
2014 184.00 299.19 157.90 78.34 216.60
CIPITACION MENSUAL (mm)

JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC ANUAL

6.65 0.00 3.81 19.89 57.23 23.87 35.10 608.8
30.93 10.91 40.56 54.30 36.80 8.65 9.53 508.1
2.29 0.22 4.66 2.75 22.78 35.40 11.59 193.0
4.89 0.00 14.76 13.05 62.21 30.98 33.68 410.2
0.00 6.21 4.11 2.16 58.94 23.12 17.50 241.1
8.90 5.77 2.25 52.05 70.62 56.25 101.75 646.8
5.52 3.13 6.21 26.22 39.73 37.09 54.25 621.8
2.83 4.89 10.36 16.52 34.41 56.35 90.36 465.9
0.34 0.44 4.84 19.55 38.36 35.09 41.88 435.8
0.88 9.09 10.26 23.16 32.40 42.86 114.41 439.0
10.80 0.00 4.84 8.70 62.26 19.99 39.05 536.5
14.61 5.38 3.81 45.40 22.63 41.74 51.75 572.9
3.18 3.37 9.14 29.42 33.09 16.96 84.35 519.5
3.67 9.14 0.24 35.24 54.10 78.29 52.54 564.5
5.13 3.03 2.00 19.06 108.25 66.22 64.41 615.7
6.79 9.53 6.94 13.93 36.02 27.47 77.12 497.1
8.21 22.04 2.54 13.15 64.36 82.93 66.90 601.2
3.37 7.09 10.12 10.60 48.19 40.07 101.50 565.2
17.89 2.98 3.71 19.06 30.84 94.22 117.44 746.8
9.73 9.73 10.17 3.23 66.07 110.40 84.60 953.6
22.24 23.75 53.61 40.27 121.59 27.17 88.31 944.5
6.26 4.74 4.98 4.06 78.63 59.62 89.24 701.1
3.91 0.64 1.37 16.23 33.92 110.11 147.05 467.3
1.56 11.24 8.50 98.38 58.45 113.77 262.14 965.5
20.04 2.74 1.61 72.92 51.85 186.05 189.86 1308.7
42.22 19.26 13.73 23.36 122.23 69.05 87.53 979.3
8.65 11.53 5.91 27.61 41.44 42.18 132.20 1205.5

9 100.0704086 40.17423292 44.27938857 58.82336856 1.429382998 -19.682846 -5.90516175

10 35.47730629 38.91189855 42.30743712 15.05929432 -3.60236492 -0.25568565 -18.0798805
11 -0.26491662 10.77349918 6.355569769 -16.6333018 -22.8144933 -23.1663638 3.317754594
12 23.82299584 26.59572323 27.03773487 5.573635361 -7.52376598 -21.090328 -0.21267926
13 4.435486594 5.470572267 12.29827127 -3.86822262 -20.0503552 -24.9960903 -6.50725125
14 36.35057367 31.22890329 45.85107673 51.2386048 -10.2879041 -17.8765775 20.00032519
15 84.82268763 73.09367151 61.41548112 17.88910229 -2.48028904 -20.5820706 4.674410792
16 26.5294775 13.70575321 43.1846804 -3.65319066 -4.63060867 -22.7323902 20.07851863
17 30.63463314 29.81360202 35.56081992 21.60329073 -6.38996108 -24.726323 3.071445255
18 30.71282659 37.16378545 -7.28918565 -7.17189549 -13.7010478 -24.296259 9.2878238
19 75.16579769 53.38892442 49.47925238 25.43476933 -15.773174 -16.3596248 -9.00944135
20 52.72428018 86.89481382 51.90324905 7.137504178 -13.5837576 -13.3100806 8.388599231
21 34.93527239 48.85370486 57.68956367 -7.91473318 13.47117288 -22.4587132 -11.433438
22 66.83819624 36.92920513 58.7060784 -14.0138216 -8.42299055 -22.067746 37.6329461
23 10.10885493 61.16917179 86.34745973 9.366017241 -13.9356281 -20.8948444 27.97605616
24 30.90831019 28.75799056 41.19074766 37.67204282 -8.07112006 -19.5655559 -3.02764313
25 8.34950251 115.0444525 7.3720845 19.60935799 -2.51938576 -18.431751 41.34713454
26 33.05862981 21.68148417 80.83482215 12.53285159 2.328607567 -22.3023263 7.059310737
27 12.18098111 35.83449696 103.8627905 100.148602 -8.50118399 -10.6906003 50.37847695
28 167.0430907 1.611725962 158.2072318 89.12332688 -2.12841856 -17.2197526 63.31949141
29 110.7438133 70.66967485 154.5712368 13.82304337 -20.7384575 -7.21099221 -3.26222345
30 94.28409397 59.64439969 38.45397723 66.25174544 -20.8166509 -19.9956198 22.6979989
31 1.742156761 3.195143139 37.47655922 -4.37007226 -16.0859477 -21.8722624 63.08491109
32 84.39262371 84.04075323 44.35758201 12.41556143 -21.0512312 -23.7489049 66.01716512
33 79.27095334 224.5543664 63.74955533 144.3278961 -10.0259561 -8.97034463 123.8412146
34 24.92651196 126.7734686 119.3841885 75.28308785 10.18704837 8.779566435 30.24366594
35 122.1991523 214.3501224 101.3215036 37.67204282 148.2766649 -18.0798805 8.740469715
 NOV DIC

PE PE I PE II PE III PE IV PE
14.84 0.19 2.61 8.52 17.50 22.55
5.13 0.00 0.14 1.56 4.19 5.67
22.76 0.00 0.23 1.97 5.15 6.94
19.67 0.16 2.39 8.03 16.69 21.55
14.34 0.01 0.58 3.29 8.02 10.67
38.34 4.51 26.46 45.73 66.34 77.92
23.97 0.74 6.68 16.39 29.44 36.77
38.42 3.26 20.35 37.42 56.55 67.29
22.54 0.33 3.82 11.05 21.54 27.43
28.15 6.14 34.36 55.91 77.93 90.29
12.28 0.26 3.29 9.96 19.83 25.37
27.32 0.64 6.04 15.24 27.79 34.84
10.32 2.69 17.49 33.36 51.62 61.88
56.55 0.67 6.24 15.60 28.31 35.45
46.36 1.24 9.70 21.49 36.47 44.87
17.26 2.09 14.37 28.77 45.91 55.54
60.62 1.38 10.54 22.84 38.26 46.92
26.11 4.48 26.32 45.54 66.13 77.68
70.84 6.57 36.43 58.49 80.81 93.34
86.31 2.71 17.60 33.52 51.82 62.10
17.06 3.06 19.34 36.01 54.85 65.43
41.01 3.15 19.79 36.64 55.62 66.27
86.02 11.39 60.52 86.74 111.20 92.64
89.66 26.84 232.97 248.16 267.63 184.71
123.84 19.40 108.90 137.19 162.27 126.89
48.70 2.98 18.97 35.48 54.21 64.72
27.65 8.84 47.54 71.89 95.45 108.68

3.079264599
-17.3761395199
-15.7262579186
1.9415500351
-10.9994644209
56.3993718953
18.397359656
47.2898360396
8.5058893921
 66.5254224817
6.2382796082
16.403426915
42.480939429
17.0289744416
26.5294775014
36.6946248082
28.5234102424
56.2038882932
68.9494191472
42.6764230311
45.6477737823
46.3906114701
92.6420317161
184.7148082835
126.890758796
45.0222262557
80.7566287112
 PRECIPITACION

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR

1988 217.34 59.33 63.89 80.83
1989 54.23 38.91 61.69 33.56
1990 8.86 29.52 25.48 6.24
1991 42.14 44.94 45.39 24.77
1992 4.44 16.12 30.95 16.54
1993 36.01 49.73 65.66 71.84
1994 84.82 98.63 83.97 36.28
1995 44.87 32.27 62.66 16.73
1996 49.11 48.25 54.32 39.92
1997 49.19 56.05 13.69 13.79
1998 75.17 53.39 69.80 43.76
1999 52.72 116.98 72.61 26.18
2000 53.65 69.08 79.46 13.18
2001 66.84 55.79 80.68 8.28
2002 28.91 83.67 116.23 28.22
2003 49.40 47.16 60.45 56.60
2004 27.29 115.04 26.40 37.96
2005 51.66 40.00 108.79 31.17
2006 30.84 54.61 141.04 217.49
2007 167.04 11.87 158.21 89.12
2008 110.74 95.53 154.57 32.38
2009 94.28 81.82 57.45 89.95
2010 21.37 13.59 56.39 5.58
2011 113.57 113.09 63.98 31.06
2012 106.71 224.55 86.84 144.33
2013 43.25 126.77 119.38 101.47
2014 122.20 214.35 101.32 56.60
PROMEDIO 66.91 73.74 76.34 50.14
PRECIPITACION EFECTIVA EN mm

MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC

21.10 3.92 0.00 2.23 12.22 39.11 14.84 22.55
16.77 19.63 6.52 26.47 36.81 23.76 5.13 5.67
1.59 1.33 0.13 2.73 1.60 14.11 22.76 6.94
13.50 2.87 0.00 8.93 7.85 43.09 19.67 21.55
3.64 0.00 3.66 2.41 1.26 40.46 14.34 10.67
11.25 5.29 3.39 1.31 35.07 50.01 38.34 77.92
17.72 3.25 1.82 3.66 16.41 25.87 23.97 36.77
15.90 1.65 2.87 6.18 10.04 22.06 38.42 67.29
14.43 0.20 0.25 2.84 12.00 24.88 22.54 27.43
8.53 0.51 5.40 6.12 14.37 20.65 28.15 90.29
6.91 6.45 0.00 2.84 5.16 43.13 12.28 25.37
8.62 8.83 3.16 2.23 30.03 14.01 27.32 34.84
32.05 1.85 1.97 5.43 18.59 21.13 10.32 61.88
12.76 2.14 5.43 0.14 22.65 36.66 56.55 35.45
8.34 3.01 1.77 1.16 11.68 84.20 46.36 44.87
13.05 4.01 5.67 4.10 8.40 23.20 17.26 55.54
17.69 4.87 13.63 1.48 7.91 44.83 60.62 46.92
21.89 1.97 4.18 6.03 6.33 32.12 26.11 77.68
12.70 10.92 1.74 2.17 11.68 19.57 70.84 93.34
18.02 5.79 5.79 6.06 1.88 46.23 86.31 62.10
3.13 13.76 14.76 36.28 26.26 97.58 17.06 65.43
3.07 3.68 2.78 2.92 2.37 56.85 41.01 66.27
6.66 2.29 0.37 0.79 9.86 21.71 86.02 92.64
2.90 0.91 6.72 5.04 74.72 40.08 89.66 184.71
11.46 12.31 1.59 0.94 51.95 34.92 123.84 126.89
28.98 27.68 11.81 8.28 14.50 98.23 48.70 64.72
148.28 5.13 6.91 3.48 17.36 27.11 27.65 108.68
17.81 5.71 4.16 5.64 17.37 38.72 39.85 59.79
ANUAL
537.34
329.15
121.31
274.69
144.49
445.81
433.17
320.95
296.18
306.74
344.26
397.55
368.60
383.37
458.42
344.82
404.63
407.93
666.93
658.43
667.46
502.46
317.28
726.43
926.33
693.78
839.06
456.21
AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR
1988 0.54 0.77 0.61 0.23
1989 0.63 0.19 0.41 0.76
1990 0.06 0.42 0.51 0.95
1991 0.04 0.54 0.74 0.05
1992 0.34 0.90 0.60 0.70
1993 0.25 0.84 0.73 0.40
1994 0.86 0.05 0.69 0.97
1995 0.86 0.69 0.60 0.67
1996 0.37 0.32 0.88 0.74
1997 0.65 0.12 0.81 0.41
1998 0.40 0.58 0.55 0.25
1999 0.81 0.74 0.18 0.69
2000 0.66 0.73 0.86 0.70
2001 0.11 0.52 0.77 0.74
2002 0.55 0.44 0.42 0.53
2003 0.37 0.62 0.11 0.06
2004 0.91 0.88 0.65 0.88
2005 0.08 0.78 0.51 0.02
2006 0.34 0.91 0.53 0.52
2007 0.78 0.02 0.12 0.61
2008 0.36 0.47 0.87 0.75
2009 0.59 0.98 0.02 0.50
2010 0.76 0.19 0.39 0.48
2011 0.68 0.88 0.13 0.87
2012 0.45 0.26 0.24 0.16
2013 0.34 0.19 0.55 0.41
2014 0.69 0.23 0.59 0.81
MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC
0.93 0.71 1.00 0.25 0.49 0.84 0.96 0.99
0.86 0.27 0.82 0.39 0.71 0.39 0.15 0.45
0.87 0.19 0.97 0.66 0.44 0.04 0.88 0.47
0.03 0.11 0.28 0.23 0.31 0.68 0.64 0.74
0.94 0.48 0.77 0.59 0.75 0.97 0.53 0.53
0.30 0.74 0.81 0.66 0.56 0.42 0.66 0.04
0.75 0.86 0.11 0.78 0.45 0.24 0.75 0.09
0.27 0.93 0.64 0.76 0.66 0.15 0.03 0.25
0.22 0.68 0.57 0.02 0.39 0.45 0.03 0.72
0.67 0.23 0.81 0.38 0.85 0.31 0.70 0.06
0.62 0.67 0.37 0.53 0.71 0.37 0.65 0.52
0.11 0.51 0.71 0.57 0.32 0.94 0.30 0.95
0.04 0.61 0.96 0.85 0.37 0.47 0.14 0.57
0.24 0.19 0.38 0.49 0.84 0.95 0.06 0.65
0.75 0.72 0.27 0.19 0.69 0.71 0.15 0.55
0.87 0.34 0.43 0.63 0.15 0.75 0.26 0.05
0.70 0.25 0.32 0.51 0.20 0.70 0.93 0.76
0.27 0.34 0.96 0.07 0.17 0.53 0.21 0.83
0.41 0.15 1.00 0.50 0.47 0.68 0.07 0.34
0.82 0.80 0.17 0.59 0.45 0.88 0.65 0.81
0.84 0.41 0.79 0.86 0.20 0.13 0.10 0.69
0.40 0.66 0.76 0.53 0.95 0.19 0.31 0.84
0.91 0.36 0.07 0.97 0.14 0.90 0.91 0.97
0.66 0.42 0.87 0.71 0.80 0.34 0.41 0.91
0.08 0.60 0.16 0.98 0.47 0.93 0.51 0.91
0.61 0.89 0.27 0.77 0.78 0.40 0.61 0.68
0.40 0.24 0.11 0.48 0.41 0.63 0.28 0.21
 AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR
1988 217.34 59.33 63.89 80.83
1989 54.23 38.91 61.69 33.56
1990 8.86 29.52 25.48 6.24
1991 42.14 44.94 45.39 24.77
1992 4.44 16.12 30.95 16.54
1993 36.01 49.73 65.66 71.84
1994 84.82 98.63 83.97 36.28
1995 44.87 32.27 62.66 16.73
1996 49.11 48.25 54.32 39.92
1997 49.19 56.05 13.69 13.79
1998 75.17 53.39 69.80 43.76
1999 52.72 116.98 72.61 26.18
2000 53.65 69.08 79.46 13.18
2001 66.84 55.79 80.68 8.28
2002 28.91 83.67 116.23 28.22
2003 49.40 47.16 60.45 56.60
2004 27.29 115.04 26.40 37.96
2005 51.66 40.00 108.79 31.17
2006 30.84 54.61 141.04 217.49
2007 167.04 11.87 158.21 89.12
2008 110.74 95.53 154.57 32.38
2009 94.28 81.82 57.45 89.95
2010 21.37 13.59 56.39 5.58
2011 113.57 113.09 63.98 31.06
2012 106.71 224.55 86.84 144.33
2013 43.25 126.77 119.38 101.47
2014 122.20 214.35 101.32 56.60
PROM 66.91 73.74 76.34 50.14
MÁX. 217.34 224.55 158.21 217.49
MÍN 4.44 11.87 13.69 5.58
DESVEST 48.25 52.95 37.58 47.32
MAY JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC
21.10 3.92 0.00 2.23 12.22 39.11 14.84 22.55
16.77 19.63 6.52 26.47 36.81 23.76 5.13 5.67
1.59 1.33 0.13 2.73 1.60 14.11 22.76 6.94
13.50 2.87 0.00 8.93 7.85 43.09 19.67 21.55
3.64 0.00 3.66 2.41 1.26 40.46 14.34 10.67
11.25 5.29 3.39 1.31 35.07 50.01 38.34 77.92
17.72 3.25 1.82 3.66 16.41 25.87 23.97 36.77
15.90 1.65 2.87 6.18 10.04 22.06 38.42 67.29
14.43 0.20 0.25 2.84 12.00 24.88 22.54 27.43
8.53 0.51 5.40 6.12 14.37 20.65 28.15 90.29
6.91 6.45 0.00 2.84 5.16 43.13 12.28 25.37
8.62 8.83 3.16 2.23 30.03 14.01 27.32 34.84
32.05 1.85 1.97 5.43 18.59 21.13 10.32 61.88
12.76 2.14 5.43 0.14 22.65 36.66 56.55 35.45
8.34 3.01 1.77 1.16 11.68 84.20 46.36 44.87
13.05 4.01 5.67 4.10 8.40 23.20 17.26 55.54
17.69 4.87 13.63 1.48 7.91 44.83 60.62 46.92
21.89 1.97 4.18 6.03 6.33 32.12 26.11 77.68
12.70 10.92 1.74 2.17 11.68 19.57 70.84 93.34
18.02 5.79 5.79 6.06 1.88 46.23 86.31 62.10
3.13 13.76 14.76 36.28 26.26 97.58 17.06 65.43
3.07 3.68 2.78 2.92 2.37 56.85 41.01 66.27
6.66 2.29 0.37 0.79 9.86 21.71 86.02 92.64
2.90 0.91 6.72 5.04 74.72 40.08 89.66 184.71
11.46 12.31 1.59 0.94 51.95 34.92 123.84 126.89
28.98 27.68 11.81 8.28 14.50 98.23 48.70 64.72
148.28 5.13 6.91 3.48 17.36 27.11 27.65 108.68
17.81 5.71 4.16 5.64 17.37 38.72 39.85 59.79
148.28 27.68 14.76 36.28 74.72 98.23 123.84 184.71
1.59 0.00 0.00 0.14 1.26 14.01 5.13 5.67
27.17 6.38 4.02 7.87 16.64 22.76 29.51 40.10
 Area (Km2) 19.046695

Series de caudales generad

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY

1988 1.55 0.47 0.45 0.59 0.15
1989 0.39 0.31 0.44 0.25 0.12
1990 0.06 0.22 0.18 0.05 0.01
1991 0.30 0.35 0.32 0.18 0.10
1992 0.03 0.13 0.22 0.12 0.03
1993 0.26 0.39 0.47 0.53 0.08
1994 0.60 0.75 0.60 0.27 0.13
1995 0.32 0.25 0.45 0.12 0.11
1996 0.35 0.38 0.39 0.29 0.10
1997 0.35 0.44 0.10 0.10 0.06
1998 0.53 0.41 0.50 0.32 0.05
1999 0.37 0.92 0.52 0.19 0.06
2000 0.38 0.54 0.57 0.10 0.23
2001 0.48 0.44 0.57 0.06 0.09
2002 0.21 0.64 0.83 0.21 0.06
2003 0.35 0.37 0.43 0.42 0.09
2004 0.19 0.91 0.19 0.28 0.13
2005 0.37 0.31 0.77 0.23 0.16
2006 0.22 0.42 1.00 1.60 0.09
2007 1.19 0.09 1.13 0.65 0.13
2008 0.79 0.75 1.10 0.24 0.02
2009 0.67 0.64 0.41 0.66 0.02
2010 0.15 0.10 0.40 0.04 0.05
2011 0.81 0.89 0.45 0.23 0.02
2012 0.76 1.77 0.62 1.06 0.08
2013 0.31 1.00 0.85 0.75 0.21
2014 0.87 1.63 0.72 0.42 1.05
PROM. 0.48 0.58 0.54 0.37 0.13
MÁX. 0.34 0.41 0.27 0.35 0.19
MÍN. 0.00 0.09 0.10 0.04 0.01

m3/s Ene Feb Mar Abr May

PROM. 0.48 0.58 0.54 0.37 0.13

Caudales promedio generad

0.70
 Caudales promedio generad
0.70

0.60

0.50

0.40

0.30

0.20

0.10

0.00
Ene Feb Mar Abr May
 Series de caudales generados m3/s

JUN JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC

0.03 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.28 0.11 0.16
0.14 0.05 0.19 0.27 0.17 0.04 0.04
0.01 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.10 0.17 0.05
0.02 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.31 0.14 0.15
0.00 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.29 0.11 0.08
0.04 0.02 0.01 0.26 0.36 0.28 0.55
0.02 0.01 0.03 0.12 0.18 0.18 0.26
0.01 0.02 0.04 0.07 0.16 0.28 0.48
0.00 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.18 0.17 0.20
0.00 0.04 0.04 0.11 0.15 0.21 0.64
0.05 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.31 0.09 0.18
0.06 0.02 0.02 0.22 0.10 0.20 0.25
0.01 0.01 0.04 0.14 0.15 0.08 0.44
0.02 0.04 0.00 0.17 0.26 0.42 0.25
0.02 0.01 0.01 0.09 0.60 0.34 0.32
0.03 0.04 0.03 0.06 0.16 0.13 0.39
0.04 0.10 0.01 0.06 0.32 0.45 0.33
0.01 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.23 0.19 0.55
0.08 0.01 0.02 0.09 0.14 0.52 0.66
0.04 0.04 0.04 0.01 0.33 0.63 0.44
0.10 0.10 0.26 0.19 0.69 0.13 0.47
0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.40 0.30 0.47
0.02 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.15 0.63 0.66
0.01 0.05 0.04 0.55 0.28 0.66 1.31
0.09 0.01 0.01 0.38 0.25 0.91 0.90
0.20 0.08 0.06 0.11 0.70 0.36 0.46
0.04 0.05 0.02 0.13 0.19 0.20 0.77
0.04 0.03 0.04 0.13 0.28 0.29 0.43
0.05 0.03 0.06 0.12 0.16 0.22 0.29
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.04 0.04

Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic

0.04 0.03 0.04 0.13 0.28 0.29 0.43

dales promedio generados en Microcuenca Tancarpo

dales promedio generados en Microcuenca Tancarpo

Mar Abr May Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Di c

 Dias del mes por años

AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL

1967 31 28 31 30 31 30 31
1968 31 28 31 30 31 30 31
1969 31 29 31 30 31 30 31
1970 31 28 31 30 31 30 31
1971 31 28 31 30 31 30 31
1972 31 28 31 30 31 30 31
1973 31 29 31 30 31 30 31
1974 31 28 31 30 31 30 31
1975 31 28 31 30 31 30 31
1976 31 28 31 30 31 30 31
1977 31 29 31 30 31 30 31
1978 31 28 31 30 31 30 31
1979 31 28 31 30 31 30 31
1980 31 28 31 30 31 30 31
1981 31 29 31 30 31 30 31
1982 31 28 31 30 31 30 31
1983 31 28 31 30 31 30 31
1984 31 28 31 30 31 30 31
1985 31 29 31 30 31 30 31
1986 31 28 31 30 31 30 31
1987 31 28 31 30 31 30 31
1988 31 28 31 30 31 30 31
1989 31 29 31 30 31 30 31
1990 31 28 31 30 31 30 31
1991 31 28 31 30 31 30 31
1992 31 28 31 30 31 30 31
1993 31 29 31 30 31 30 31
2013 31 29 31 30 31 30 31
os

AGO SET OCT NOV DIC

31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
31 30 31 30 31
N° Año Ene Feb Mar Abr May
1 1965 184.89 558.75 374.71 214.77 96.48
2 1966 126.83 186.53 212.10 150.41 84.57
3 1967 120.80 136.95 164.29 138.73 54.96
4 1968 100.07 124.80 149.36 118.35 50.31
5 1969 68.98 122.18 123.13 114.15 46.17
6 1970 66.81 120.71 114.92 78.17 32.89
7 1971 65.64 112.91 112.50 75.24 32.85
8 1972 63.59 110.92 103.58 74.68 31.76
9 1973 63.26 103.61 102.78 72.52 31.52
10 1974 61.52 103.02 100.30 64.69 29.70
11 1975 61.26 94.11 89.17 63.97 26.01
12 1976 55.59 91.76 86.96 61.20 25.62
13 1977 54.21 91.40 84.98 60.85 25.38
14 1978 51.12 89.58 73.30 57.32 25.28
15 1979 49.53 84.34 73.11 56.46 25.21
16 1980 49.45 82.10 73.02 56.19 23.76
17 1981 48.38 73.47 69.10 55.75 23.60
18 1982 48.06 70.40 67.76 51.59 23.55
19 1983 47.03 65.48 63.61 51.56 23.51
20 1984 46.97 58.37 58.46 50.41 23.00
21 1985 46.68 55.71 57.73 47.37 22.15
22 1986 46.33 54.41 56.98 46.85 22.08
23 1987 45.09 54.34 56.93 45.60 20.03
24 1988 44.70 53.64 55.56 45.03 19.94
25 1989 43.73 50.97 54.99 43.83 19.16
26 1990 43.57 50.63 54.96 42.53 19.10
27 1991 43.26 49.64 54.51 39.83 18.87
28 1992 42.92 48.23 54.19 38.54 18.87
29 1993 41.71 44.60 53.13 37.62 16.83
30 1994 40.57 44.49 50.46 35.45 16.66
31 1995 39.26 43.81 48.24 35.42 16.58
32 1996 38.77 42.32 47.28 35.14 16.28
33 1997 38.50 41.98 46.89 34.24 15.83
34 1998 36.67 37.82 46.48 32.04 15.77
35 1999 36.00 36.55 43.95 31.78 15.72
36 2000 35.98 36.25 43.31 31.51 15.62
37 2001 31.68 34.73 37.57 30.15 15.37
38 2002 31.31 31.66 37.10 29.85 14.91
39 2003 31.29 31.10 34.29 28.13 14.54
40 2004 30.80 30.09 34.24 27.69 14.53
41 2005 30.39 29.59 33.74 27.01 13.90
42 2006 29.50 29.24 33.35 26.24 13.56
43 2007 28.66 28.32 32.50 26.14 13.23
44 2008 27.03 26.21 27.70 21.60 12.86
45 2009 24.97 22.48 26.49 19.90 12.51
46 2010 18.69 17.87 25.85 18.80 12.23
47 2011 17.24 14.62 15.96 18.10 10.06
Promedio 51.05 74.95 73.65 54.54 24.96
Persistencia de Caudales (m3/s
Ene Feb Mar Abr May
50% 44.70 53.64 55.56 45.03 19.94
75% 35.98 36.25 43.31 31.51 15.62
Caudal Ecológico 5.10 7.50 7.36 5.45 3.00
 Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic %
37.08 15.87 26.04 26.38 79.44 70.83 116.30 2.08
35.52 15.59 16.55 26.02 71.97 62.91 105.41 4.17
22.68 11.16 12.19 23.24 60.21 58.43 102.99 6.25
21.73 10.86 10.90 22.22 49.03 57.28 86.18 8.33
20.10 10.39 9.97 17.61 48.52 54.03 82.46 10.42
17.02 10.35 8.79 15.95 47.61 51.48 79.12 12.50
17.01 10.32 8.77 15.20 45.72 48.85 74.38 14.58
16.81 10.14 8.13 14.70 45.51 47.49 72.30 16.67
15.76 10.12 8.11 14.07 44.40 47.25 66.07 18.75
15.55 10.04 7.80 13.47 40.10 46.60 65.65 20.83
15.28 9.69 7.50 13.33 39.80 45.89 64.60 22.92
15.22 9.51 7.37 12.91 35.87 45.88 63.82 25.00
15.02 9.39 7.30 12.69 33.88 45.12 61.27 27.08
14.68 9.18 7.26 12.57 33.04 42.40 59.66 29.17
14.64 9.04 7.23 12.38 32.84 41.67 59.04 31.25
14.17 8.51 7.05 11.98 30.73 41.23 54.40 33.33
13.98 8.47 7.05 11.54 30.28 41.12 51.50 35.42
13.90 8.41 6.92 11.30 29.44 41.09 50.08 37.50
13.58 8.10 6.91 10.72 29.11 39.91 49.31 39.58
13.51 8.07 6.82 10.71 28.37 39.73 48.75 41.67
13.32 8.04 6.81 10.28 27.17 39.49 46.19 43.75
13.13 8.00 6.80 10.25 26.97 37.73 44.23 45.83
13.00 7.98 6.76 10.21 25.26 37.00 43.07 47.92
12.83 7.90 6.75 10.12 23.65 34.50 40.17 50.00
12.62 7.88 6.74 9.90 23.14 34.44 39.61 52.08
12.27 7.68 6.71 9.46 20.53 34.41 39.30 54.17
11.97 7.64 6.64 9.36 18.91 33.48 38.93 56.25
11.56 7.60 6.61 9.24 18.89 33.08 38.84 58.33
11.54 7.54 6.60 8.97 17.92 32.97 38.64 60.42
11.46 7.50 6.58 8.88 16.57 32.77 37.54 62.50
11.40 7.49 6.52 8.87 16.05 31.23 37.18 64.58
11.36 7.49 6.42 8.81 15.58 30.94 36.55 66.67
10.81 7.45 6.30 8.77 15.50 30.84 35.13 68.75
10.80 7.44 6.21 8.60 15.05 30.57 33.21 70.83
10.70 7.41 6.20 8.39 14.78 28.07 31.93 72.92
10.62 7.24 6.10 8.34 12.96 26.56 29.36 75.00
10.61 7.19 6.06 7.93 12.90 24.18 29.27 77.08
10.50 7.18 6.06 7.88 12.74 22.00 29.02 79.17
10.39 7.13 5.99 7.84 11.57 21.79 26.87 81.25
9.51 7.00 5.94 7.68 11.45 21.34 26.38 83.33
9.42 6.90 5.93 7.28 11.16 16.61 24.40 85.42
 8.91 6.67 5.89 7.19 10.98 14.21 23.94 87.50
8.75 6.64 5.86 7.03 10.44 12.87 23.03 89.58
8.62 6.61 5.61 6.80 9.10 12.60 21.35 91.67
8.20 6.27 5.53 6.47 8.92 10.48 20.58 93.75
8.18 6.02 5.48 6.10 7.46 10.47 14.02 95.83
7.24 5.80 5.00 5.71 7.16 8.20 13.94 97.92
13.89 8.49 7.59 11.39 27.21 35.58 48.43
sistencia de Caudales (m3/s)
Jun Jul Ago Sep Oct Nov Dic
12.83 7.90 6.75 10.12 23.65 34.50 40.17
10.62 7.24 6.10 8.34 12.96 26.56 29.36
1.67 1.02 0.91 1.37 3.26 4.27 4.84
35.98
 31 28 31 30 31 30 31 31
Descripción Uni Ene. Feb. Mar. Abr. May. Jun. Jul. Ago.
Oferta Hídrica promedio mensual
Caudal m³/s 51.05 74.95 73.65 54.54 24.96 13.89 8.49 7.59
Volumen hm³ 136.73 181.32 197.26 141.37 66.86 36.01 22.73 20.33
Caudales ecológico
Caudal m³/s 5.10 7.50 7.36 5.45 3.00 1.67 1.02 0.91
Volumen hm³ 13.67 18.13 19.73 14.14 8.02 4.32 2.73 2.44
Oferta Hídrica al 75% de persistencia
Caudal m³/s 35.98 36.25 43.31 31.51 15.62 10.62 7.24 6.10
Volumen hm³ 96.36 87.69 116.00 81.67 41.83 27.53 19.40 16.34
Otros usos comprometidos (poblacional)
Caudal m³/s 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Volumen hm³ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Otros usos comprometidos (agricola)
Caudal m³/s 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Volumen hm³ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Oferta hídrica disponible en el punto de interés
Caudal m³/s 30.87 28.75 35.94 26.06 12.62 8.96 6.23 5.19
Volumen hm³ 82.69 69.56 96.27 67.54 33.80 23.21 16.68 13.90
Demanda de la Central Hidroeléctrica Pedro Andres
Caudal m³/s 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00
Volumen hm³ 21.43 19.35 21.43 20.74 21.43 20.74 21.43 21.43
Disponibilidad Hídrica para la Central Hidroeléctrica Pedro Andres
Caudal m³/s 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 6.23 5.19
Volumen hm³ 21.43 19.35 21.43 20.74 21.43 20.74 16.69 13.90
 30 31 30 31
Set. Oct. Nov. Dic. Total (hm³)

11.39 27.21 35.58 48.43 35.98

29.52 72.87 92.21 129.70 1126.93

1.37 3.26 4.27 4.84

3.54 8.74 11.07 12.97 119.50

8.34 12.96 26.56 29.36

21.62 34.71 68.84 78.65 690.65

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

6.97 9.69 22.29 24.52

18.07 25.96 57.78 65.68 571.15

8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00

20.74 21.43 20.74 21.43 252.29

6.97 8.00 8.00 8.00

18.07 21.43 20.74 21.43 237.35