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Mississippi Statewide Poll for 2018 Elections

Conducted July 30 & 31, 2018

How likely are you to vote in the upcoming elections in 2018?


Press 1 for Very Likely
Press 2 for Somewhat Likely
Press 3 for Not Likely [THANK AND TERMINATE]

MS01 MS02 MS03 MS04 Statewide Average


Very Likely 94.53% 91.38% 92.29% 96.24% 93.61%
Somewhat Likely 5.47% 8.62% 7.71% 3.76% 6.39%

For statistical purposes only, please indicate your gender.


Press 1 for Male
Press 2 for Female
MS01 MS02 MS03 MS04 Statewide Average
Male 44.72% 36.31% 37.52% 41.40% 39.99%
Female 55.28% 63.69% 62.48% 58.60% 60.01%

We'd like to ask you what you think about the following political figures. After each one, let us know if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression.
Let's start with Roger Wicker.
Press 1 if you have a favorable impression
Press 2 if you have anunfavorable impression
Press 3 if you are undecided or don't know him

MS01 MS02 MS03 MS04 Statewide Average


Favorable 53.17% 42.46% 48.96% 43.97% 47.14%
Unfavorable 28.83% 33.35% 28.00% 29.60% 29.94%
Undecided 18.00% 24.18% 23.04% 26.43% 22.91%

Cindy Hyde-Smith
Press 1 if you have a favorable impression 1
Press 2 if you have an unfavorable impression
Press 3 if you are undecided or don't know her

MS01 MS02 MS03 MS04 Statewide Average


Favorable 36.52% 38.07% 45.74% 44.03% 41.09%
Unfavorable 21.97% 31.09% 22.40% 24.64% 33.06%
Undecided 41.50% 30.83% 31.86% 31.33% 29.45%

Chris McDaniel
Press 1 if you have a favorable impression
Press 2 if you have an unfavorable impression
Press 3 if you are undecided or don't know him

MS01 MS02 MS03 MS04 Statewide Average


Favorable 15.72% 9.02% 15.11% 25.19% 16.26%
Unfavorable 46.98% 54.49% 51.74% 41.78% 48.75%
Undecided 37.30% 36.48% 33.15% 33.03% 34.99%

Mike Espy
Press 1 if you have a favorable impression
Press 2 if you have an unfavorable impression
Press 3 if you are undecided or don't know him

MS01 MS02 MS03 MS04 Statewide Average


Favorable 23.48% 48.24% 32.09% 30.13% 33.48%
Unfavorable 28.64% 28.82% 36.25% 24.86% 29.64%
Undecided 47.88% 22.95% 31.66% 45.01% 36.87%

David Baria
Press 1 if you have a favorable impression
Press 2 if you have an unfavorable impression
Press 3 if you are undecided or don't know him

MS01 MS02 MS03 MS04 Statewide Average


Favorable 19.19% 30.32% 20.36% 23.28% 23.29%
Unfavorable 17.40% 9.55% 18.01% 15.24% 15.05%
Undecided 63.42% 60.13% 61.63% 61.48% 61.66%

If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Republican Roger Wicker, Democrat David Baria,
Reform Party candidate Shawn O'Hara or Libertarian Danny Bedwell?
Press 1 for Roger Wicker
Press 2 for David Baria
Press 3 for Shawn O'Hara
Press 4 for Danny Bedwell
Press 5 if you are undecided

MS01 MS02 MS03 MS04 Statewide Average


Roger Wicker 58.68% 41.97% 56.85% 55.51% 53.25%
David Baria 29.53% 40.39% 28.92% 30.97% 32.45%
Shawn O’Hara 1.41% 0.83% 1.25% 2.68% 1.54%
Danny Bedwell 2.26% 0.23% 1.95% 0.59% 1.26%
Undecided 8.12% 16.59% 11.04% 10.24% 11.50%

Now thinking about the special election for U.S. Senate in November, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Cindy Hyde-Smith,
Chris McDaniel, Mike Espy and Tobey Bartee?
Press 1 for Cindy Hyde-Smith
Press 2 for Chris McDaniel
Press 3 for Mike Espy
Press 4 for Tobey Bartee
Press 5 if you are undecided

MS01 MS02 MS03 MS04 Statewide Average


Cindy Hyde-Smith 39.62% 39.04% 43.63% 42.06% 41.09%
Chris McDaniel 13.72% 8.39% 12.69% 24.30% 14.77%
Mike Espy 23.53% 40.04% 26.55% 17.12% 26.81%
Tobey Bartee 0.89% 1.60% 1.66% 1.29% 1.36%
Undecided 22.24% 10.94% 15.48% 15.23% 15.97%

What if your choices in the race to replace Senator Thad Cochran in November were limited to Cindy Hyde-Smith and Mike Espy?
Press 1 for Cindy Hyde-Smith
Press 2 for Mike Espy
Press 3 if you are undecided

MS01 MS02 MS03 MS04 Statewide Average


Cindy Hyde-Smith 48.03% 43.89% 53.00% 49.05% 48.49%
Mike Espy 29.18% 45.66% 30.87% 1 28.60% 33.58%
Undecided 22.78% 10.44% 16.14% 22.35% 17.93%

What if your choices in the race to replace Senator Thad Cochran in November were limited to Mike Espy and Chris McDaniel?
Press 1 for Mike Espy
Press 2 for Chris McDaniel
Press 3 if you are undecided

MS01 MS02 MS03 MS04 Statewide Average


Mike Espy 35.54% 52.51% 40.35% 34.37% 40.69%
Chris McDaniel 27.05% 19.12% 27.36% 31.33% 26.22%
Undecided 37.41% 28.37% 32.28% 34.30% 33.09%

Now thinking about the Congressional seat in your district, do you plan to vote for Republican Trent Kelly or Democrat Randy "Mack" Wadkins?
Press 1 for Trent Kelly
Press 2 for Randy "Mack" Wadkins
Press 3 if you are undecided

MS01
Trent Kelly 57.19%
Randy “Mack” Wadkins 28.18%
Undecided 14.64%

Now thinking about the Congressional seat in your district, do you plan to vote for Democrat Bennie Thompson or Independent candidate Irving Harris?
Press 1 for Bennie Thompson
Press 2 for Irving Harris
Press 3 if you are undecided

MS02
Bennie Thompson 50.66%
Irving Harris 22.13%
Undecided 27.21%

Now thinking about the Congressional seat in your district, do you plan to vote for Republican Michael Guest or Democrat Michael Ted Evans
Press 1 for Michael Guest
Press 2 for Michael Ted Evans
Press 3 if you are undecided

MS03
Michael Guest 56.11%
Michael Ted Evans 26.87%
Undecided 17.02%
Now thinking about the Congressional seat in your district, do you plan to vote for Republican Steven Palazzo or Democrat Jeramey Anderson
Press 1 for Steven Palazzo
Press 2 for Jeramey Anderson
Press 3 if you are undecided

MS04
Steven Palazzo 53.66%
Jeramey Anderson 36.68%
Undecided 9.66%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job that President Donald Trump is doing?
Press 1 if you approve
Press 2 if you disapprove
Press 3 if you are undecided

MS01 MS02 MS03 MS04 Statewide Average


Approve 55.81% 37.83% 54.22% 58.00% 51.46%
Disapprove 32.23% 51.27% 37.65% 35.38% 39.13%
Undecided 11.96% 10.90% 8.13% 6.62% 9.40%

Does President Donald Trump's support of a candidate make you much more likely, just somewhat more likely, much less likely
or just somewhat less likely to vote for that candidate?
Press 1 if much more likely
Press 2 if just somewhat more likely
Press 3 if much less likely
Press 4 if just somewhat less likely
Press 5 if it makes no difference

MS01 MS02 MS03 MS04 Statewide Average


Much More Likely 31.18% 22.95% 29.19% 32.82% 29.04%
Somewhat More Likely 22.98% 14.37% 24.68% 24.95% 21.74%
Much Less Likely 28.26% 40.56% 29.60% 23.20% 30.41%
Somewhat Less Likely 7.21% 9.23% 5.79% 8.93% 7.79%
No Difference 10.38% 12.89% 10.73% 10.09% 11.02%
1
With what political party do you normally identify?

MS01 MS02 MS03 MS04 Statewide Average


Republican 42.00% 30.00% 46.00% 42.00% 40.00%
Democrat 36.00% 59.00% 41.00% 30.00% 41.50%
Independent 22.00% 11.00% 13.00% 28.00% 18.50%

For statistical purposes only, what is your race?


Press 1 if you are white
Press 2 if you are black or African American
Press 3 if you are Hispanic or Latino
Press 4 if you are of another ethnic group

MS01 MS02 MS03 MS04 Statewide Average


White 81.14% 71.52% 87.30% 86.00% 81.49%
African American 12.62% 20.21% 8.53% 8.35% 12.43%
Hispanic 2.03% 0.34% 0.69% 0.40% 0.86%
Other Ethnic Group 4.21% 7.93% 3.48% 5.24% 5.22%

Again for statistical purposes, what is your age range?


Press 1 for age 18 to 34
Press 2 for age 35 to 54
Press 3 for age 55 to 64
Press 4 for age 65 plus

MS01 MS02 MS03 MS04 Statewide Average


18 to 34 2.55% 2.69% 2.90% 2.03% 2.54%
35 to 54 7.85% 4.57% 6.85% 7.90% 6.79%
55 to 64 18.18% 23.48% 19.41% 17.85% 19.73%
65 plus 71.42% 69.27% 70.84% 72.23% 70.94%

Y’all Politics commissioned the poll from Triumph Campaigns. This survey was an IVR (interactive voice
response) poll conducted on July 30 & 31 in households statewide. There were 525 completed surveys per
congressional district for a total of 2100 completed surveys. The poll results have been weighted by
political party response. The margin of error is +/- 3.5%.