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Published online 27 November 2013 in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com). DOI: 10.1002/uog.12560
Correspondence to: Dr L. Schäffer, Division of Obstetrics, University Hospital of Zürich, Frauenklinikstrasse 10, 8091 Zürich, Switzerland
(e-mail: leonhard.schaeffer@usz.ch)
#T. Burkhardt and M. Schmidt contributed equally to this study.
Accepted: 27 June 2013
Copyright 2013 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. ORIGINAL PAPER
78 Burkhardt et al.
appeared to correlate well with incidence and severity2 . quality of different biometry parameters was analyzed by
Others confirmed this cut-off in small non-diabetic receiver–operating characteristics (ROC) curves and the
populations3,4 . A new approach has been introduced area under the curve (AUC). For selected cut-offs, odds
recently by Belfort et al.5 who hypothesized that a rounder ratios (ORs) with 95% CIs, sensitivity, specificity, and
form of the fetal head may alter fetal transit through positive and negative predictive values (PPV, NPV) were
the pelvis by altered velocity and rotational properties. calculated. The influence of independent risk factors was
Our aim was to analyze different fetal anthropometric tested by logistic regression analysis. Based on these data,
properties and combinations in a large, unselected a hypothetical model was applied to estimate the percent
population with routine ultrasound biometric data close risk for the occurrence of shoulder dystocia comprising
to delivery for their quality to contribute to the risk different risk factors.
assessment for shoulder dystocia in a clinically useful way.
RESULTS
METHODS
Among the 12 794 deliveries that fulfilled the inclusion
A retrospective cohort study was conducted obtaining
criteria, shoulder dystocia occurred in 146 (1.14%).
data from our electronic database ‘Perinat’, which
Women in the study group were slightly older (30.8 ± 5.7
contains all diagnoses and clinical data about the
vs 29.3 ± 5.5 years, P = 0.002), heavier (body mass
course of pregnancy, delivery, maternal and infant
index (BMI) 24.0 ± 4.4 vs 22.9 ± 4.0, P = 0.006) and
outcome, as well as sonographic biometric data. In the
gestation at delivery was slightly later (280.8 ± 8.1 vs
study period from January 1995 to June 2011, 27 318
278.4 ± 8.3 days, P < 0.001). Although small in clinical
singleton infants in vertex presentation were born at term
terms, these differences were statistically significant.
(37 + 0 to 42 + 0 weeks of gestation) in our institution.
Infants with shoulder dystocia were more likely to
To be included in the analysis, subjects had to have
be male and were significantly heavier than were
full sonographic biometry within 7 days of delivery,
measuring biparietal diameter (BPD), occipitofrontal control infants (3948 ± 412 vs 3404 ± 444 g, P < 0.001).
diameter (OFD), abdominal transverse diameter (ATD), Basic maternal and infant characteristics are given in
abdominal anterioroposterior diameter (AAP) and femur Table 1.
length (FL). The head circumference was calculated from Estimated fetal weight (EFW) calculated by ultrasound
BPD and OFD (calipers were set at the outer edges of the biometry within 7 days of delivery likewise was signifi-
fetal skull skin) in our electronic database as described cantly greater in the shoulder dystocia group compared
by Kurmanavicius et al.6 . Abdominal circumference (AC) with the control group (3592 ± 402 vs 3254 ± 421 g,
was calculated from the abdominal diameters ATD and P < 0.001). Evaluation of the mean percentage error
AAP (calipers were set at the outer edges of the fetal of weight estimation revealed an underestimation of
abdominal wall) using the ellipse formula and abdominal −8.8% and −4% in the shoulder dystocia and con-
diameter (AD) and was defined as the mean of ATD trol groups. While fetal head measurements (BPD, OFD
and AAP7 . Fetal biometry at admission to the delivery and BPD/OFD) were not significantly different, abdom-
room is a routine procedure in our clinic. Incomplete inal parameters were significantly larger in the shoulder
data or biometry performed > 7 days before delivery dystocia group (Table 2).
(7744 deliveries (28.3%)) and Cesarean sections (6780
(24.8%)) were excluded from our analysis, resulting in
12 794 term vaginal deliveries with complete sonographic Table 1 Maternal and fetal baseline characteristics of shoulder
dystocia and control groups
biometry data. Fetal weight was estimated according to
the Hadlock three-parameter formula8 , which has been Shoulder
shown to be a reliable model at term9 . dystocia Controls
The presence of shoulder dystocia was defined accord- Variable (n = 146) (n = 12 648) P*
ing to the American College of Obstetricians and Gyne- Maternal age (years) 30.8 ± 5.7 29.3 ± 5.5 0.002
cologists’ (ACOG) practice bulletin10 as ‘the requirement Multiparous (%) 58.2 51.7 0.119
of additional obstetric maneuvers to release the shoulders Body mass index prior to 24.0 ± 4.4 22.9 ± 4.0 0.006
after gentle downward traction has failed’. No prophylac- pregnancy (kg/m2 )
tic maneuvers are performed in our institution. The diag- Gestational diabetes 7.5 2.7 < 0.001
mellitus (%)
nosis of shoulder dystocia was obtained from the Interna-
Gestational age (days) 280.8 ± 8.1 278.4 ± 8.3 < 0.001
tional Classification of Disease codes and all cases were Birth weight (g) 3948 ± 412 3404 ± 444 < 0.001
verified for additional maneuvers to release the shoulders. Birth weight percentile 79.9 ± 21.1 52.4 ± 28.5 < 0.001
Statistical analysis was conducted using STATA Male infant sex (%) 61.6 50.7 0.009
11.0 (Stata Corporation, College Station, TX, USA). Operative vaginal 34.3 17.1 < 0.001
delivery (%)
Continuous variables were compared using the Student’s
Umbilical artery pH 7.21 ± 0.08 7.24 ± 0.08 < 0.001
t-test for different sample sizes. Nominal and categorical 5-min Apgar score 8.4 ± 1.3 8.9 ± 0.6 < 0.001
variables were compared using the χ2 -test. The level of
statistical significance was set at P < 0.05. The diagnostic Results are given as mean ± SD or %. *Student’s t-test.
Copyright 2013 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2014; 43: 77–82.
Prediction of shoulder dystocia 79
Interval between last ultrasound and delivery (days) 2.4 ± 2.5 1.4 ± 1.8 < 0.001
Estimated fetal weight (g) 3592 ± 402 3254 ± 421 < 0.001
Biparietal diameter (BPD) (mm) 97.4 ± 4.0 97.0 ± 4.1 0.211
Occiptofrontal diameter (OFD) (mm) 114.5 ± 6.1 114.0 ± 5.6 0.319
BPD/OFD 0.85 ± 0.04 0.85 ± 0.04 0.978
Head circumference (mm) 333.9 ± 13.8 332.4 ± 13.1 0.201
Abdominal diameter (mm) 112.8 ± 6.5 107.3 ± 6.6 < 0.001
Abdominal circumference (mm) 354.4 ± 20.0 337.0 ± 20.7 < 0.001
Abdominal diameter – biparietal diameter (AD – BPD) (mm) 15.3 ± 6.7 10.3 ± 6.4 < 0.001
Abdominal circumference – head circumference (AC – HC) (mm) 20.5 ± 20.8 4.6 ± 19.8 < 0.001
Abdominal circumference/head circumference (AC/HC) 1.1 ± 0.06 1.0 ± 0.06 < 0.001
Abdominal circumference × femur length (AC × FL) 26 112 ± 3029 24 584 ± 2560 < 0.001
1.00 40
0.75
20
AD – BPD (mm)
Sensitivity
0.50
0
0.25
−20
0.00
0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00
1000 2000 3000 4000 5000
1 – Specificity
Estimated fetal weight (g)
Copyright 2013 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2014; 43: 77–82.
80 Burkhardt et al.
Table 3 Diagnostic test characteristics for different cut-off values for abdominal diameter – biparietal diameter difference (AD – BPD),
abdominal circumference (AC) and estimated fetal weight (EFW)
Variable Cut-off Sensitivity (%) Specificity (%) PPV (%) NPV (%) OR (95% CI) LR
AD – BPD 15 mm 53.4 76.2 2.52 99.3 3.7 (2.7–5.1) 2.2
20 mm 19.9 93.2 3.28 99.0 3.4 (2.3–5.2) 2.9
24 mm 11.0 98.0 5.97 99.0 6.0 (3.6–10.3) 5.5
26 mm* 8.22 98.8 7.55 98.9 7.6 (4.2–13.9) 7.1
28 mm 4.79 99.3 7.14 98.9 7.0 (3.2–15.0) 6.7
AC 350 mm* 63.7 72.5 2.6 99.4 4.6 (3.3–6.5) 2.3
370 mm 16.4 95.1 3.8 99.0 3.9 (2.47–6.0) 3.4
390 mm 4.8 99.6 11.7 98.9 12.0 (5.5–26.3) 11.4
EFW 3000 g 91.1 26.6 1.4 99.6 3.7 (2.1–6.5) 1.2
3500 g 62.3 71.6 2.47 99.4 4.2 (3.0–5.8) 2.2
4000 g* 15.1 95.3 3.5 99.0 3.6 (2.3–5.7) 3.2
4500 g 4.11 98.8 3.92 98.9 3.6 (1.6–8.2) 3.5
*Cut-off values used for calculations in the study. LR, likelihood ratio; NPV, negative predictive value; OR, odds ratio; PPV, positive
predictive value.
Table 4 Multivariate logistic regression analysis of the influence of Table 5 Regression analysis of the impact of gestational diabetes
gestational diabetes, estimated fetal weight, gender and mellitus (GDM), different estimated fetal weights (EFW), gender
abdominal – biparietal diameter difference (AD – BPD) on the risk and abdominal diameter – biparietal diameter (AD – BPD) on
for shoulder dystocia shoulder dystocia risk
Copyright 2013 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2014; 43: 77–82.
Prediction of shoulder dystocia 81
Copyright 2013 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2014; 43: 77–82.
82 Burkhardt et al.
Copyright 2013 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2014; 43: 77–82.