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To: Supporters of Cort VanOstran

Fr: Pete Brodnitz, Expedition Strategies
Re: Recent survey findings
Date: September 4, 2018

Expedition Strategies conducted 402 total interviews in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District from August
23 - 26, 2018, with a sample of likely general election voters. The margin of error for overall results
is ±4.90%.

Cort VanOstran is now leading in the campaign for Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District. President
Trump is a significant political drag on Congresswoman Wagner in this suburban district, just as he is in
several other similar districts nationwide. Wagner’s problems are compounded by her own weak political
standing, which is comparable to that of President Trump.

VANOSTRAN LEADS INITIAL BALLOT +2%

VanOstran leads Wagner by +2% on the initial ballot (43% VanOstran; 41% Wagner; 1% Kirk; 0% Arnold,
and 14% undecided).

Initial Ballot

If the election for Congress were held today,
would you be voting for…?
[If undecided] Well, if the election for Congress were held today
and you had to decide right now, to which candidate would you
lean?
All
Difference +2
Democrat Cort VanOstran 43
Republican Ann Wagner 41
Libertarian Tony Kirk 1
Green Party David Arnold 0
Don’t Know 14

VANOSTRAN LEADS DESPITE WAGNER’S HIGHER NAME RECOGNITION

Only 41% of district voters are favorable toward Congresswoman Wagner and 39% view her unfavorably.

VanOstran’s net favorability is +18. While VanOstran’s current name ID is 32%, 25% view him favorably
and only 7% view him unfavorably.
Favorability Summary

Would you say you are very favorable, somewhat favorable,
somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable towards…?
Ann Wagner Cort VanOstran
Name ID 80 32
Very Fav 15 12
Fav/Unfav 41/39 25/7

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PRESIDENT TRUMP’S LOW APPROVAL RATINGS IN MO-02
HURT WAGNER AND BOOST VANOSTRAN

54% of voters say they disapprove of the job President Trump is doing, while 45% approve. Almost half of
district voters strongly disapprove of the job the President is doing.

Trump Job Approval Summary

Trump Job Approval
Difference -9
Total Approve 45
Strongly approve 26
Somewhat approve 19
Total Disapprove 54
Somewhat disapprove 7
Strongly disapprove 47
Don’t Know 1

Expedition Strategies is a strategic opinion research consultancy that specializes in helping to elect
candidates worldwide. Our clients include Congressman and gubernatorial nominee Tim Walz of
Minnesota, Congressman Adam Smith of Washington, Governor Gina Raimondo of Rhode Island and
Senators Kaine (VA), Hirono (HI), Coons (DE), Merkley (OR) and Wyden (OR).

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