You are on page 1of 16

NORTH DAKOTA

2018 GENERAL ELECTION

AUGUST 2018

Survey conducted August 26 through August 27, 2018. 1,125 likely 2018 General Election voters
participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2018
General Election. Margin of Error is +/-3% with a 95% level of confidence. Totals do not always equal
100% due to rounding.

1251 NW Briarcliff Pkwy ∙ Kansas City, Missouri 64116 ∙ 816-407-1222


www.RemingtonResearchGroup.com
Q: On the ballot this November is Measure 2. “This initiated measure would amend Article II of the North
Dakota Constitution to state that ‘only a citizen’ of the United States is a qualified elector, instead of the
current provision that states ‘every citizen’ of the United States is a qualified elector. The measure also
would state that only a qualified elector may vote in any general, special, or primary election for a
federal, statewide, state legislative, district, county, township, city, or school district office or ballot
measure”.

If the election were held today, would you vote to support or oppose Measure 2?

Strongly support: 49%


Somewhat support: 19%
TOTAL SUPPORT: 68%

Somewhat oppose: 7%
Strongly oppose: 11%
TOTAL OPPOSE: 18%

Not sure: 14%

Q: Which of the following comes closest to your opinion on who should be able to vote in North Dakota
elections?

Only U.S. citizens should vote in North Dakota elections: 80%


Non-citizens should have the right to vote in some elections: 9%
Not sure: 11%

I will now read you a few brief statements you may hear during the November 2018 General Election.
Please indicate after hearing each statement whether you would be more likely or less likely to support
Measure 2.

Q: Supporters of Measure 2 say the amendment is needed to clarify that only U.S. citizens are eligible to
vote in all North Dakota elections and that non-citizens are not permitted to vote.

More likely to support Measure 2: 73%


Less likely to support Measure 2: 17%
No difference in your vote: 10%

Q: Opponents of Measure 2 say it is unnecessary, because non-citizens are currently not allowed to vote
anywhere in North Dakota.

More likely to support Measure 2: 53%


Less likely to support Measure 2: 25%
No difference in your vote: 22%

1251 NW Briarcliff Pkwy ∙ Kansas City, Missouri 64116 ∙ 816-407-1222


www.RemingtonResearchGroup.com
Q: Supporters point out that, weeks ago, non-citizens began registering to vote in San Francisco. Non-
citizens are also voting in Chicago and in 11 cities in Maryland. The effort to allow non-citizens to vote is
spreading to other cities and states.

More likely to support Measure 2: 66%


Less likely to support Measure 2: 21%
No difference in your vote: 13%

Q: Opponents of the measure argue it is merely an attempt to whip up anti-immigrant sentiment in this
election.

More likely to support Measure 2: 54%


Less likely to support Measure 2: 24%
No difference in your vote: 22%

Q: The sponsor of the measure said, “a lot of people say this is an immigration issue. It’s really not. It’s
really about preserving the right for U.S. citizens, and in our case, North Dakota residents, to be the only
voters in all elections in North Dakota”.

More likely to support Measure 2: 69%


Less likely to support Measure 2: 17%
No difference in your vote: 14%

Q: If a candidate running for public office supported Measure 2 would that make you more likely or less
likely to vote for that candidate?

More likely to vote for that candidate: 54%


Less likely to vote for that candidate: 24%
No difference in your vote: 22%

Q: Recently, there has been discussion of a federal constitutional amendment that, if passed, would allow
only U.S. citizens to vote in all federal, state and local elections. If you knew that a candidate for Congress
had sponsored this amendment, would you be more likely or less likely to vote for that candidate?

More likely to vote for that candidate: 61%


Less likely to vote for that candidate: 20%
No difference in your vote: 19%

1251 NW Briarcliff Pkwy ∙ Kansas City, Missouri 64116 ∙ 816-407-1222


www.RemingtonResearchGroup.com
Now, sometimes in a survey like this people change their minds. I will ask you the original Measure 2
ballot question again.

Q: On the ballot this November is Measure 2. “This initiated measure would amend Article II of the North
Dakota Constitution to state that ‘only a citizen’ of the United States is a qualified elector, instead of the
current provision that states ‘every citizen’ of the United States is a qualified elector. The measure also
would state that only a qualified elector may vote in any general, special, or primary election for a
federal, statewide, state legislative, district, county, township, city, or school district office or ballot
measure”.

If the election were held today, would you vote to support or oppose Measure 2?

Strongly support: 63%


Somewhat support: 16%
TOTAL SUPPORT: 79%

Somewhat oppose: 5%
Strongly oppose: 10%
TOTAL OPPOSE: 15%

Not sure: 6%

1251 NW Briarcliff Pkwy ∙ Kansas City, Missouri 64116 ∙ 816-407-1222


www.RemingtonResearchGroup.com
Q: On the ballot this November is Measure 2. “This initiated measure would amend Article II of the North
Dakota Constitution to state that ‘only a citizen’ of the United States is a qualified elector, instead of the
current provision that states ‘every citizen’ of the United States is a qualified elector. The measure also
would state that only a qualified elector may vote in any general, special, or primary election for a
federal, statewide, state legislative, district, county, township, city, or school district office or ballot
measure”.

If the election were held today, would you vote to support or oppose Measure 2?

Column % Fargo Minot


Strongly support 44% 55%
Somewhat support 20% 19%
Somewhat oppose 7% 6%
Strongly oppose 14% 8%
Not sure 15% 12%
Table 1. Q3 by DMA – Categorical

Column % Republican Democrat Non-Partisan


Strongly support 68% 24% 43%
Somewhat support 12% 32% 19%
Somewhat oppose 3% 8% 11%
Strongly oppose 5% 22% 12%
Not sure 13% 14% 15%
Table 2. Q3 by PARTY

Column % Female Male


Strongly support 46% 53%
Somewhat support 20% 18%
Somewhat oppose 6% 7%
Strongly oppose 10% 13%
Not sure 18% 9%
Table 3. Q3 by GENDER

Column % Conservative Moderate Liberal


Strongly support 68% 31% 24%
Somewhat support 12% 28% 26%
Somewhat oppose 3% 10% 12%
Strongly oppose 4% 18% 22%
Not sure 12% 14% 16%
Table 4. Q3 by IDEOLOGY

1251 NW Briarcliff Pkwy ∙ Kansas City, Missouri 64116 ∙ 816-407-1222


www.RemingtonResearchGroup.com
Q: Which of the following comes closest to your opinion on who should be able to vote in North Dakota
elections?

Column % Fargo Minot


Only U.S. citizens 79% 81%
Non-citizens 10% 8%
Not sure 10% 11%
Table 5. Q4 by DMA – Categorical

Column % Republican Democrat Non-Partisan


Only U.S. citizens 95% 60% 75%
Non-citizens 2% 22% 9%
Not sure 3% 18% 16%
Table 6. Q4 by PARTY

Column % Female Male


Only U.S. citizens 78% 83%
Non-citizens 8% 11%
Not sure 14% 7%
Table 7. Q4 by GENDER

Column % Conservative Moderate Liberal


Only U.S. citizens 94% 71% 50%
Non-citizens 3% 15% 24%
Not sure 4% 14% 25%
Table 8. Q4 by IDEOLOGY

1251 NW Briarcliff Pkwy ∙ Kansas City, Missouri 64116 ∙ 816-407-1222


www.RemingtonResearchGroup.com
I will now read you a few brief statements you may hear during the November 2018 General Election.
Please indicate after hearing each statement whether you would be more likely or less likely to support
Measure 2.

Q: Supporters of Measure 2 say the amendment is needed to clarify that only U.S. citizens are eligible to
vote in all North Dakota elections and that non-citizens are not permitted to vote.

Column % Fargo Minot


More likely 69% 77%
Less likely 19% 15%
No difference 11% 8%
Table 9. Q5 by DMA – Categorical

Column % Republican Democrat Non-Partisan


More likely 92% 49% 64%
Less likely 5% 35% 20%
No difference 3% 16% 16%
Table 10. Q5 by PARTY

Column % Female Male


More likely 73% 74%
Less likely 16% 18%
No difference 11% 8%
Table 11. Q5 by GENDER

Column % Conservative Moderate Liberal


More likely 91% 55% 50%
Less likely 6% 28% 32%
No difference 2% 17% 18%
Table 12. Q5 by IDEOLOGY

1251 NW Briarcliff Pkwy ∙ Kansas City, Missouri 64116 ∙ 816-407-1222


www.RemingtonResearchGroup.com
Q: Opponents of Measure 2 say it is unnecessary, because non-citizens are currently not allowed to vote
anywhere in North Dakota.

Column % Fargo Minot


More likely 51% 56%
Less likely 26% 24%
No difference 23% 20%
Table 13. Q6 by DMA – Categorical

Column % Republican Democrat Non-Partisan


More likely 67% 38% 44%
Less likely 15% 39% 31%
No difference 18% 23% 25%
Table 14. Q6 by PARTY

Column % Female Male


More likely 53% 54%
Less likely 24% 26%
No difference 23% 19%
Table 15. Q6 by GENDER

Column % Conservative Moderate Liberal


More likely 69% 36% 35%
Less likely 13% 39% 38%
No difference 17% 25% 27%
Table 16. Q6 by IDEOLOGY

1251 NW Briarcliff Pkwy ∙ Kansas City, Missouri 64116 ∙ 816-407-1222


www.RemingtonResearchGroup.com
Q: Supporters point out that, weeks ago, non-citizens began registering to vote in San Francisco. Non-
citizens are also voting in Chicago and in 11 cities in Maryland. The effort to allow non-citizens to vote is
spreading to other cities and states.

Column % Fargo Minot


More likely 61% 71%
Less likely 25% 18%
No difference 15% 11%
Table 17. Q7 by DMA – Categorical

Column % Republican Democrat Non-Partisan


More likely 86% 38% 57%
Less likely 8% 44% 22%
No difference 6% 18% 21%
Table 18. Q7 by PARTY

Column % Female Male


More likely 64% 67%
Less likely 22% 21%
No difference 14% 11%
Table 19. Q7 by GENDER

Column % Conservative Moderate Liberal


More likely 87% 44% 36%
Less likely 8% 35% 41%
No difference 5% 21% 22%
Table 20. Q7 by IDEOLOGY

1251 NW Briarcliff Pkwy ∙ Kansas City, Missouri 64116 ∙ 816-407-1222


www.RemingtonResearchGroup.com
Q: Opponents of the measure argue it is merely an attempt to whip up anti-immigrant sentiment in this
election.

Column % Fargo Minot


More likely 51% 57%
Less likely 25% 23%
No difference 24% 19%
Table 21. Q8 by DMA – Categorical

Column % Republican Democrat Non-Partisan


More likely 74% 29% 43%
Less likely 9% 47% 29%
No difference 16% 24% 28%
Table 22. Q8 by PARTY

Column % Female Male


More likely 51% 58%
Less likely 25% 24%
No difference 25% 18%
Table 23. Q8 by GENDER

Column % Conservative Moderate Liberal


More likely 75% 34% 26%
Less likely 9% 38% 51%
No difference 16% 29% 23%
Table 24. Q8 by IDEOLOGY

1251 NW Briarcliff Pkwy ∙ Kansas City, Missouri 64116 ∙ 816-407-1222


www.RemingtonResearchGroup.com
Q: The sponsor of the measure said, “a lot of people say this is an immigration issue. It’s really not. It’s
really about preserving the right for U.S. citizens, and in our case, North Dakota residents, to be the only
voters in all elections in North Dakota”.

Column % Fargo Minot


More likely 65% 73%
Less likely 19% 14%
No difference 16% 13%
Table 25. Q9 by DMA – Categorical

Column % Republican Democrat Non-Partisan


More likely 88% 44% 60%
Less likely 5% 34% 20%
No difference 7% 22% 20%
Table 26. Q9 by PARTY

Column % Female Male


More likely 68% 71%
Less likely 15% 19%
No difference 18% 11%
Table 27. Q9 by GENDER

Column % Conservative Moderate Liberal


More likely 88% 51% 41%
Less likely 6% 27% 34%
No difference 6% 22% 25%
Table 28. Q9 by IDEOLOGY

1251 NW Briarcliff Pkwy ∙ Kansas City, Missouri 64116 ∙ 816-407-1222


www.RemingtonResearchGroup.com
Q: If a candidate running for public office supported Measure 2 would that make you more likely or less
likely to vote for that candidate?

Column % Fargo Minot


More likely 51% 57%
Less likely 25% 22%
No difference 24% 21%
Table 29. Q10 by DMA – Categorical

Column % Republican Democrat Non-Partisan


More likely 71% 33% 42%
Less likely 15% 34% 29%
No difference 13% 33% 29%
Table 30. Q10 by PARTY

Column % Female Male


More likely 52% 56%
Less likely 21% 27%
No difference 27% 17%
Table 31. Q10 by GENDER

Column % Conservative Moderate Liberal


More likely 71% 35% 36%
Less likely 15% 33% 36%
No difference 13% 33% 28%
Table 32. Q10 by IDEOLOGY

1251 NW Briarcliff Pkwy ∙ Kansas City, Missouri 64116 ∙ 816-407-1222


www.RemingtonResearchGroup.com
Q: Recently, there has been discussion of a federal constitutional amendment that, if passed, would allow
only U.S. citizens to vote in all federal, state and local elections. If you knew that a candidate for Congress
had sponsored this amendment, would you be more likely or less likely to vote for that candidate?

Column % Fargo Minot


More likely 58% 64%
Less likely 21% 19%
No difference 20% 16%
Table 33. Q11 by DMA – Categorical

Column % Republican Democrat Non-Partisan


More likely 78% 40% 52%
Less likely 11% 36% 22%
No difference 11% 24% 26%
Table 34. Q11 by PARTY

Column % Female Male


More likely 60% 62%
Less likely 19% 23%
No difference 21% 15%
Table 35. Q11 by GENDER

Column % Conservative Moderate Liberal


More likely 80% 40% 43%
Less likely 10% 31% 37%
No difference 10% 30% 20%
Table 36. Q11 by IDEOLOGY

1251 NW Briarcliff Pkwy ∙ Kansas City, Missouri 64116 ∙ 816-407-1222


www.RemingtonResearchGroup.com
Now, sometimes in a survey like this people change their minds. I will ask you the original Measure 2
ballot question again.

Q: On the ballot this November is Measure 2. “This initiated measure would amend Article II of the North
Dakota Constitution to state that ‘only a citizen’ of the United States is a qualified elector, instead of the
current provision that states ‘every citizen’ of the United States is a qualified elector. The measure also
would state that only a qualified elector may vote in any general, special, or primary election for a
federal, statewide, state legislative, district, county, township, city, or school district office or ballot
measure”.

If the election were held today, would you vote to support or oppose Measure 2?

Column % Fargo Minot


Strongly support 58% 68%
Somewhat support 15% 16%
Somewhat oppose 6% 4%
Strongly oppose 13% 7%
Not sure 7% 5%
Table 37. Q12 by DMA – Categorical

Column % Republican Democrat Non-Partisan


Strongly support 84% 34% 55%
Somewhat support 7% 33% 14%
Somewhat oppose 0% 10% 7%
Strongly oppose 4% 17% 15%
Not sure 5% 7% 9%
Table 38. Q12 by PARTY

Column % Female Male


Strongly support 60% 66%
Somewhat support 17% 14%
Somewhat oppose 6% 4%
Strongly oppose 9% 11%
Not sure 8% 5%
Table 39. Q12 by GENDER

1251 NW Briarcliff Pkwy ∙ Kansas City, Missouri 64116 ∙ 816-407-1222


www.RemingtonResearchGroup.com
Now, sometimes in a survey like this people change their minds. I will ask you the original Measure 2
ballot question again.

Q: On the ballot this November is Measure 2. “This initiated measure would amend Article II of the North
Dakota Constitution to state that ‘only a citizen’ of the United States is a qualified elector, instead of the
current provision that states ‘every citizen’ of the United States is a qualified elector. The measure also
would state that only a qualified elector may vote in any general, special, or primary election for a
federal, statewide, state legislative, district, county, township, city, or school district office or ballot
measure”.

If the election were held today, would you vote to support or oppose Measure 2? (Continued)

Column % Conservative Moderate Liberal


Strongly support 84% 42% 36%
Somewhat support 7% 24% 27%
Somewhat oppose 1% 9% 8%
Strongly oppose 4% 17% 20%
Not sure 5% 8% 9%
Table 40. Q12 by IDEOLOGY

1251 NW Briarcliff Pkwy ∙ Kansas City, Missouri 64116 ∙ 816-407-1222


www.RemingtonResearchGroup.com
DEMOGRAPHICS

%
Fargo 50%
Minot 50%
Table 41. DMA

%
Republican 48%
Democrat 27%
Non-Partisan 25%
Table 42. PARTY

%
Female 53%
Male 47%
Table 43. GENDER

%
Conservative 53%
Moderate 36%
Liberal 11%
Table 44. IDEOLOGY

1251 NW Briarcliff Pkwy ∙ Kansas City, Missouri 64116 ∙ 816-407-1222


www.RemingtonResearchGroup.com