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2018 OREGON VOTER POLL

CROSS TABULATIONS
OCTOBER 8, 2018

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S1. Regarding the general election coming up this November, would you say you are (select one):

Number of elections voted


Age Gender Region in, of the past four
Total elections
Willamette Portland
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Eastern Cen/East Southern Coastal 2 of 4 3 of 4 All 4
Valley Metro
356 9 25 57 100 165 200 156 9 20 39 14 77 197 163 123 70
3% 7% 16% 28% 46% 56% 44% 3% 6% 11% 4% 22% 55% 46% 35% 20%

Certain to vote 95% 67% 84% 93% 95% 99% 98% 92% 100% 95% 100% 100% 100% 92% 96% 95% 94%
Very likely to vote 5 33 16 7 5 1 3 8 - 5 - - - 8 4 5 6
Chi Square 30.02 5.20 11.82 0.22
.001 .023 .037 .895

Registered Party Congressional District


Total Other /
Pacific Working
Democrat Republican Independent Libertarian Constitution Non- 1 2 3 4 5
Green Families
affiliated
356 157 121 34 2 1 2 0 39 59 75 81 64 77
44% 34% 10% 1% 0% 1% 0% 11% 17% 21% 23% 18% 22%

Certain to vote 95% 100% 93% 85% 50% - 100% - 97% 92% 99% 89% 100% 97%
Very likely to vote 5 - 7 15 50 100 - - 3 8 1 11 - 3
Chi Square 46.59 14.89
.001 .005

1 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
S2. Congressional District

Number of elections voted


in, of the past four
Age Gender Region elections
Willamette Portland
Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Eastern Cen/East Southern Coastal Valley Metro 2 of 4 3 of 4 All 4
356 9 25 57 100 165 200 156 9 20 39 14 77 197 163 123 70
3% 7% 16% 28% 46% 56% 44% 3% 6% 11% 4% 22% 55% 46% 35% 20%

1 17% 22% 12% 28% 17% 13% 14% 20% 11% 5% 3% 29% 12% 22% 23% 7% 20%
2 21 - 8 21 24 22 24 18 67 60 54 14 13 12 16 35 9
3 23 67 48 30 18 17 22 24 - 10 5 - 10 35 20 7 57
4 18 - 8 5 21 23 18 18 11 15 26 36 29 12 17 27 6
5 22 11 24 16 20 25 23 20 11 10 13 21 36 19 25 25 9
Chi Square 43.61 3.82 120.00 99.58
.001 .431 .001 .001

Registered Party Congressional District


Other /
Pacific Working Non-
Total Democrat Republican Independent Libertarian Green Constitution Families affiliated 1 2 3 4 5
356 157 121 34 2 1 2 0 39 59 75 81 64 77
44% 34% 10% 1% 0% 1% 0% 11% 17% 21% 23% 18% 22%

1 17% 20% 14% 15% - - 50% - 10% 100% - - - -


2 21 17 28 24 50 - - - 15 - 100 - - -
3 23 27 12 29 50 100 50 - 31 - - 100 - -
4 18 15 23 12 - - - - 21 - - - 100 -
5 22 21 23 21 - - - - 23 - - - - 100
Chi Square 30.10 1000+
.181 .001

2 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
S3. Registered Party

Number of elections voted


in, of the past four
Age Gender Region elections
Willamette Portland
Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Eastern Cen/East Southern Coastal Valley Metro 2 of 4 3 of 4 All 4
356 9 25 57 100 165 200 156 9 20 39 14 77 197 163 123 70
3% 7% 16% 28% 46% 56% 44% 3% 6% 11% 4% 22% 55% 46% 35% 20%

Democrat 44% 44% 36% 42% 49% 43% 36% 54% 11% 25% 38% 50% 52% 45% 48% 38% 44%

Republican 34% 22% 32% 21% 31% 41% 42% 24% 33% 60% 49% 43% 32% 28% 39% 37% 19%

Others / NAV 22% 33% 32% 37% 20% 16% 23% 21% 56% 15% 13% 7% 16% 26% 13% 25% 37%

Independent 10% 22% 12% 18% 6% 8% 8% 12% 44% 10% 3% - 8% 11% 7% 8% 17%
Libertarian 1% - 4% - 1% - 1% 1% - - 3% - - 1% - 2% -
Pacific Green 0% - - - 1% - - 1% - - - - - 1% - 1% -
Constitution 1% - - - 1% 1% 1% 1% - - - - 3% - 1% - 1%
Other / Non- 11% 11% 16% 19% 11% 7% 14% 7% 11% 5% 8% 7% 5% 15% 5% 15% 19%
affiliated
Chi Square 30.86 21.58 46.96 31.14
.158 .001 .025 .002

3 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
S3. Registered Party

Registered Party Congressional District


Other /
Pacific Working Non-
Total Democrat Republican Independent Libertarian Green Constitution Families affiliated 1 2 3 4 5
356 157 121 34 2 1 2 0 39 59 75 81 64 77
44% 34% 10% 1% 0% 1% 0% 11% 17% 21% 23% 18% 22%

Democrat 44% 100% - - - - - - - 54% 35% 52% 38% 43%

Republican 34% - 100% - - - - - - 29% 45% 17% 44% 36%

Others / NAV 22% - - 100% 100% 100% 100% - 100% 17% 20% 31% 19% 21%

Independent 10% - - 100% - - - - - 8% 11% 12% 6% 9%


Libertarian 1% - - - 100% - - - - - 1% 1% - -
Pacific Green 0% - - - - 100% - - - - - 1% - -
Constitution 1% - - - - - 100% - - 2% - 1% - -
Other / Non-affiliated 11% - - - - - - - 100% 7% 8% 15% 13% 12%
Chi Square 1000+ 30.10
.001 .181

4 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
S4. Gender

Number of elections voted


in, of the past four
Age Gender Region elections
Willamette Portland
Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Eastern Cen/East Southern Coastal Valley Metro 2 of 4 3 of 4 All 4
356 9 25 57 100 165 200 156 9 20 39 14 77 197 163 123 70
3% 7% 16% 28% 46% 56% 44% 3% 6% 11% 4% 22% 55% 46% 35% 20%

Male 56% 56% 56% 58% 51% 59% 100% - 67% 55% 59% 71% 66% 50% 53% 60% 57%
Female 44 44 44 42 49 41 - 100 33 45 41 29 34 50 47 40 43
Chi Square 1.62 356.00 7.83 1.59
.806 .001 .166 .451

Registered Party Congressional District


Other /
Pacific Working Non-
Total Democrat Republican Independent Libertarian Green Constitution Families affiliated 1 2 3 4 5
356 157 121 34 2 1 2 0 39 59 75 81 64 77
44% 34% 10% 1% 0% 1% 0% 11% 17% 21% 23% 18% 22%

Male 56% 46% 69% 44% 50% - 50% - 72% 47% 63% 53% 56% 60%
Female 44 54 31 56 50 100 50 - 28 53 37 47 44 40
Chi Square 21.58 3.82
.001 .431

5 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
S5. Number of elections voted in, of the past four elections

Number of elections voted


in, of the past four
Age Gender Region elections
Willamette Portland
Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Eastern Cen/East Southern Coastal Valley Metro 2 of 4 3 of 4 All 4
356 9 25 57 100 165 200 156 9 20 39 14 77 197 163 123 70
3% 7% 16% 28% 46% 56% 44% 3% 6% 11% 4% 22% 55% 46% 35% 20%

Two of 4 46% 44% 32% 33% 45% 53% 43% 49% 22% 40% 54% 86% 49% 42% 100% - -
Three of 4 35 33 32 33 40 32 37 31 56 35 36 14 30 37 - 100 -
All four 20 22 36 33 15 15 20 19 22 25 10 - 21 22 - - 100

Mean 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.7 2.6 2.8 2.7 3.0 2.9 2.6 2.1 2.7 2.8 2.0 3.0 4.0
Chi Square 17.59 1.59 16.52 712.00
.024 .451 .086 .001

Registered Party Congressional District


Other /
Pacific Working Non-
Total Democrat Republican Independent Libertarian Green Constitution Families affiliated 1 2 3 4 5
356 157 121 34 2 1 2 0 39 59 75 81 64 77
44% 34% 10% 1% 0% 1% 0% 11% 17% 21% 23% 18% 22%

Two of 4 46% 50% 52% 35% - - 50% - 21% 63% 35% 41% 42% 52%
Three of 4 35 30 37 29 100 100 - - 46 14 57 10 52 40
All four 20 20 11 35 - - 50 - 33 24 8 49 6 8

Mean 2.7 2.7 2.6 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 - 3.1 2.6 2.7 3.1 2.6 2.6
Chi Square 31.14 99.58
.002 .001

6 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
S6. Age category

Number of elections voted


in, of the past four
Age Gender Region elections
Willamette Portland
Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Eastern Cen/East Southern Coastal Valley Metro 2 of 4 3 of 4 All 4
356 9 25 57 100 165 200 156 9 20 39 14 77 197 163 123 70
3% 7% 16% 28% 46% 56% 44% 3% 6% 11% 4% 22% 55% 46% 35% 20%

18-34 3% 100% - - - - 3% 3% - - 3% - 1% 4% 2% 2% 3%
35-44 7 - 100 - - - 7 7 - 10 3 - 8 8 5 7 13
45-54 16 - - 100 - - 17 15 11 5 10 7 10 21 12 15 27
55-64 28 - - - 100 - 26 31 56 25 31 21 23 29 28 33 21
65+ 46 - - - - 100 49 44 33 60 54 71 57 38 53 43 36
Chi Square 1000+ 1.62 25.69 17.59
.001 .806 .176 .024

Number of elections voted


in, of the past four
Age Gender Region elections
Willamette Portland
Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Eastern Cen/East Southern Coastal Valley Metro 2 of 4 3 of 4 All 4

Mean 62 28 40 50 60 73 63 61 62 66 64 70 64 60 64 62 59

7 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
S6. Age category

Registered Party Congressional District


Other /
Pacific Working Non-
Total Democrat Republican Independent Libertarian Green Constitution Families affiliated 1 2 3 4 5
356 157 121 34 2 1 2 0 39 59 75 81 64 77
44% 34% 10% 1% 0% 1% 0% 11% 17% 21% 23% 18% 22%

18-34 3% 3% 2% 6% - - - - 3% 3% - 7% - 1%
35-44 7 6 7 9 50 - - - 10 5 3 15 3 8
45-54 16 15 10 29 - - - - 28 27 16 21 5 12
55-64 28 31 26 18 50 100 50 - 28 29 32 22 33 26
65+ 46 45 56 38 - - 50 - 31 36 49 35 59 53
Chi Square 30.86 43.61
.158 .001

Registered Party Congressional District


Other /
Pacific Working Non-
Total Democrat Republican Independent Libertarian Green Constitution Families affiliated 1 2 3 4 5

Mean 62 62 65 57 51 56 65 - 58 60 65 57 66 63

8 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
Q1. Before we talk about Oregon, please indicate your rating of US President Donald Trump

Number of elections voted


in, of the past four
Age Gender Region elections
Willamette Portland
Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Eastern Cen/East Southern Coastal Valley Metro 2 of 4 3 of 4 All 4
356 9 25 57 100 165 200 156 9 20 39 14 77 197 163 123 70
3% 7% 16% 28% 46% 56% 44% 3% 6% 11% 4% 22% 55% 46% 35% 20%

Favorable 40% 33% 44% 42% 32% 45% 50% 28% 67% 55% 51% 50% 42% 35% 38% 47% 34%

Very favorable 29% 11% 32% 21% 25% 34% 34% 22% 44% 45% 36% 43% 30% 23% 28% 34% 20%
Somewhat 12% 22% 12% 21% 7% 11% 17% 6% 22% 10% 15% 7% 12% 11% 10% 13% 14%
favorable
Unfavorable 60% 67% 56% 58% 68% 55% 50% 72% 33% 45% 49% 50% 58% 65% 62% 53% 66%

Somewhat 6% 33% 4% 4% 6% 7% 5% 9% 11% 15% 5% - - 9% 7% 7% 6%


unfavorable
Very unfavorable 53% 33% 52% 54% 62% 48% 46% 63% 22% 30% 44% 50% 58% 57% 55% 46% 60%

Mean 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.9 3.1 2.7 2.6 3.1 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.6 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.7 3.1
Chi Square 25.26 19.97 23.19 6.10
.014 .001 .080 .412

9 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
Q1. Before we talk about Oregon, please indicate your rating of US President Donald Trump

Registered Party Congressional District


Other /
Pacific Working Non-
Total Democrat Republican Independent Libertarian Green Constitution Families affiliated 1 2 3 4 5
356 157 121 34 2 1 2 0 39 59 75 81 64 77
44% 34% 10% 1% 0% 1% 0% 11% 17% 21% 23% 18% 22%

Favorable 40% 5% 89% 47% 50% - 50% - 26% 31% 48% 26% 55% 44%

Very favorable 29% 1% 72% 21% - - 50% - 13% 19% 36% 15% 42% 32%
Somewhat favorable 12% 4% 17% 26% 50% - - - 13% 12% 12% 11% 13% 12%
Unfavorable 60% 95% 11% 53% 50% 100% 50% - 74% 69% 52% 74% 45% 56%

Somewhat 6% 2% 5% 24% - 100% - - 13% 8% 8% 10% 3% 3%


unfavorable
Very unfavorable 53% 93% 6% 29% 50% - 50% - 62% 61% 44% 64% 42% 53%

Mean 2.8 3.9 1.4 2.6 3.0 3.0 2.5 - 3.2 3.1 2.6 3.2 2.5 2.8
Chi Square 285.90 23.61
.001 .023

10 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
Q2. And now in terms of the way things are going here in Oregon, would you say things are generally on the right track, or going in the
wrong direction?

Number of elections voted


in, of the past four
Age Gender Region elections
Willamette Portland
Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Eastern Cen/East Southern Coastal Valley Metro 2 of 4 3 of 4 All 4
356 9 25 57 100 165 200 156 9 20 39 14 77 197 163 123 70
3% 7% 16% 28% 46% 56% 44% 3% 6% 11% 4% 22% 55% 46% 35% 20%

Right track 50% 33% 44% 46% 56% 49% 44% 58% 44% 30% 49% 50% 51% 52% 53% 45% 50%

Very much on the 10% 11% 8% 7% 11% 10% 11% 8% 11% 5% 5% 21% 13% 9% 12% 7% 9%
right track
Somewhat on the 40% 22% 36% 39% 45% 39% 33% 50% 33% 25% 44% 29% 38% 43% 42% 37% 41%
right track
Wrong track 50% 67% 56% 54% 44% 51% 57% 42% 56% 70% 51% 50% 49% 48% 47% 55% 50%

Somewhat on the 22% 67% 36% 23% 18% 21% 22% 23% 11% 25% 10% 21% 21% 26% 21% 24% 23%
wrong track
Very much on the 28% - 20% 32% 26% 30% 35% 19% 44% 45% 41% 29% 29% 22% 26% 31% 27%
wrong track

Mean 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.5 2.9 3.1 2.9 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.8 2.7
Chi Square 17.00 15.08 18.74 2.90
.150 .002 .226 .821

11 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
Q2. And now in terms of the way things are going here in Oregon, would you say things are generally on the right track, or going in the
wrong direction?

Registered Party Congressional District


Other /
Pacific Working Non-
Total Democrat Republican Independent Libertarian Green Constitution Families affiliated 1 2 3 4 5
356 157 121 34 2 1 2 0 39 59 75 81 64 77
44% 34% 10% 1% 0% 1% 0% 11% 17% 21% 23% 18% 22%

Right track 50% 78% 19% 35% 50% 100% - - 44% 58% 44% 54% 45% 48%

Very much on the 10% 14% 9% - - - - - 3% 12% 12% 10% 8% 6%


right track
Somewhat on the 40% 64% 10% 35% 50% 100% - - 41% 46% 32% 44% 38% 42%
right track
Wrong track 50% 22% 81% 65% 50% - 100% - 56% 42% 56% 46% 55% 52%

Somewhat on the 22% 14% 29% 24% 50% - 50% - 33% 31% 24% 26% 13% 19%
wrong track
Very much on the 28% 8% 52% 41% - - 50% - 23% 12% 32% 20% 42% 32%
wrong track

Mean 2.7 2.2 3.2 3.1 2.5 2.0 3.5 - 2.8 2.4 2.8 2.6 2.9 2.8
Chi Square 124.48 22.45
.001 .033

12 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
Q3. And in the race this November for the governor of Oregon, which of these candidates will most likely get your vote? Please indicate
whether your choice is “certain” or only “likely” at this time.
(If undecided) Please indicate the candidate most likely to get your vote, if your ballot was due today.

Number of elections voted


in, of the past four
Age Gender Region elections
Willamette Portland
Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Eastern Cen/East Southern Coastal Valley Metro 2 of 4 3 of 4 All 4
356 9 25 57 100 165 200 156 9 20 39 14 77 197 163 123 70
3% 7% 16% 28% 46% 56% 44% 3% 6% 11% 4% 22% 55% 46% 35% 20%

Kate Brown (D) 49% 22% 48% 47% 57% 46% 42% 58% 33% 30% 44% 43% 49% 53% 53% 42% 50%

Certain to vote 34% 22% 24% 35% 40% 32% 28% 42% 22% 20% 23% 29% 38% 37% 37% 28% 37%
for Kate Brown
(D)
Likely to vote for 15% - 24% 12% 17% 14% 14% 16% 11% 10% 21% 14% 12% 16% 17% 14% 13%
Kate Brown (D)
Knute Buehler 45% 33% 44% 46% 36% 52% 54% 34% 44% 70% 54% 50% 43% 42% 43% 50% 41%
(R)

Certain to vote 28% 11% 32% 21% 24% 34% 33% 23% 33% 50% 31% 43% 27% 25% 29% 36% 14%
for Knute Buehler
(R)
Likely to vote for 17% 22% 12% 25% 12% 18% 22% 11% 11% 20% 23% 7% 16% 17% 14% 15% 27%
Knute Buehler
(R)
Other candidate 6% 44% 8% 7% 7% 2% 5% 8% 22% - 3% 7% 8% 6% 4% 7% 9%

Certain to vote 1% - - - 1% 1% 1% 1% 11% - - - 1% - - 1% 1%


for Patrick
Starnes
(Independent)
Likely to vote for 3% 33% 4% 7% 1% 2% 3% 4% - - 3% 7% 4% 4% 3% 3% 4%
Patrick Starnes
(Independent)

13 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
Q3. And in the race this November for the governor of Oregon, which of these candidates will most likely get your vote? Please indicate
whether your choice is “certain” or only “likely” at this time.
(If undecided) Please indicate the candidate most likely to get your vote, if your ballot was due today.

Number of elections voted


in, of the past four
Age Gender Region elections
Willamette Portland
Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Eastern Cen/East Southern Coastal Valley Metro 2 of 4 3 of 4 All 4
356 9 25 57 100 165 200 156 9 20 39 14 77 197 163 123 70
3% 7% 16% 28% 46% 56% 44% 3% 6% 11% 4% 22% 55% 46% 35% 20%

Likely to vote for 1% 11% - - 1% - 1% - 11% - - - 1% - - 1% 1%


Aaron Auer
(Constitution)
Certain to vote 1% - - - 2% - - 1% - - - - 1% 1% 1% 1% -
for Nick Chen
(Libertarian)
Likely to vote for 1% - 4% - 2% - 1% 1% - - - - - 2% - 2% 1%
Nick Chen
(Libertarian)
Chi Square 75.45 20.30 58.68 22.35
.001 .009 .029 .132

14 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
Q3. And in the race this November for the governor of Oregon, which of these candidates will most likely get your vote? Please indicate
whether your choice is “certain” or only “likely” at this time.
(If undecided) Please indicate the candidate most likely to get your vote, if your ballot was due today.

Registered Party Congressional District


Other /
Pacific Working Non-
Total Democrat Republican Independent Libertarian Green Constitution Families affiliated 1 2 3 4 5
356 157 121 34 2 1 2 0 39 59 75 81 64 77
44% 34% 10% 1% 0% 1% 0% 11% 17% 21% 23% 18% 22%

Kate Brown (D) 49% 87% 7% 24% 50% 100% - - 46% 54% 44% 57% 38% 51%

Certain to vote for 34% 69% 2% 6% - 100% - - 21% 42% 32% 40% 23% 32%
Kate Brown (D)
Likely to vote for 15% 18% 6% 18% 50% - - - 26% 12% 12% 17% 14% 18%
Kate Brown (D)
Knute Buehler (R) 45% 8% 91% 56% - - 50% - 46% 42% 51% 33% 58% 44%

Certain to vote for 28% 4% 62% 29% - - 50% - 23% 24% 31% 15% 44% 31%
Knute Buehler (R)
Likely to vote for 17% 4% 29% 26% - - - - 23% 19% 20% 19% 14% 13%
Knute Buehler (R)
Other candidate 6% 4% 2% 21% 50% - 50% - 8% 3% 5% 10% 5% 5%

Certain to vote for 1% - - 3% - - 50% - - - - 1% 2% -


Patrick Starnes
(Independent)
Likely to vote for 3% 3% - 15% - - - - 5% 2% 3% 6% 2% 4%
Patrick Starnes
(Independent)
Likely to vote for 1% 1% 1% - - - - - - 2% 1% - - -
Aaron Auer
(Constitution)

15 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
Q3. And in the race this November for the governor of Oregon, which of these candidates will most likely get your vote? Please indicate
whether your choice is “certain” or only “likely” at this time.
(If undecided) Please indicate the candidate most likely to get your vote, if your ballot was due today.

Registered Party Congressional District


Other /
Pacific Working Non-
Total Democrat Republican Independent Libertarian Green Constitution Families affiliated 1 2 3 4 5
356 157 121 34 2 1 2 0 39 59 75 81 64 77
44% 34% 10% 1% 0% 1% 0% 11% 17% 21% 23% 18% 22%

Certain to vote for 1% 1% 1% - - - - - - - - - 2% 1%


Nick Chen
(Libertarian)
Likely to vote for 1% - - 3% 50% - - - 3% - 1% 2% - -
Nick Chen
(Libertarian)
Chi Square - -
.001 .287

16 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
Q4. Measure 102: “Allows local bonds for financing affordable housing with non-governmental entities”

Number of elections voted


in, of the past four
Age Gender Region elections
Willamette Portland
Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Eastern Cen/East Southern Coastal Valley Metro 2 of 4 3 of 4 All 4
356 9 25 57 100 165 200 156 9 20 39 14 77 197 163 123 70
3% 7% 16% 28% 46% 56% 44% 3% 6% 11% 4% 22% 55% 46% 35% 20%

Yes 46% 67% 52% 46% 47% 42% 49% 41% 22% 70% 36% 29% 58% 42% 47% 46% 41%

Certain to vote 12% 22% 16% 18% 10% 10% 13% 12% - 10% 5% - 16% 14% 15% 10% 10%
yes
Likely to vote yes 33% 44% 36% 28% 37% 32% 37% 29% 22% 60% 31% 29% 43% 28% 32% 37% 31%
Undecided 23% 22% 20% 25% 16% 27% 16% 33% 33% 5% 31% 7% 25% 23% 24% 21% 24%

No 31% 11% 28% 30% 37% 30% 36% 26% 44% 25% 33% 64% 17% 35% 29% 33% 34%

Certain to vote no 11% 11% 4% 7% 14% 12% 14% 8% 11% - 10% 43% 6% 12% 12% 12% 7%
Likely to vote no 21% - 24% 23% 23% 19% 22% 19% 33% 25% 23% 21% 10% 23% 18% 20% 27%
Chi Square 13.70 15.80 41.90 5.87
.621 .003 .003 .662

17 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
Q4. Measure 102: “Allows local bonds for financing affordable housing with non-governmental entities”

Registered Party Congressional District


Other /
Pacific Working Non-
Total Democrat Republican Independent Libertarian Green Constitution Families affiliated 1 2 3 4 5
356 157 121 34 2 1 2 0 39 59 75 81 64 77
44% 34% 10% 1% 0% 1% 0% 11% 17% 21% 23% 18% 22%

Yes 46% 61% 25% 38% 50% 100% - - 54% 46% 45% 46% 36% 53%

Certain to vote yes 12% 17% 4% 9% 50% 100% - - 15% 17% 7% 19% 8% 10%
Likely to vote yes 33% 44% 21% 29% - - - - 38% 29% 39% 27% 28% 43%
Undecided 23% 23% 27% 12% 50% - 50% - 18% 20% 24% 22% 23% 25%

No 31% 16% 48% 50% - - 50% - 28% 34% 31% 32% 41% 22%

Certain to vote no 11% 5% 17% 21% - - - - 8% 10% 9% 6% 19% 12%


Likely to vote no 21% 11% 31% 29% - - 50% - 21% 24% 21% 26% 22% 10%
Chi Square 66.57 22.65
.001 .124

18 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
Q5. Measure 103: “Prohibits taxes/fees based on transactions for “groceries” (defined) enacted or amended after September 2017”

Number of elections voted


in, of the past four
Age Gender Region elections
Willamette Portland
Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Eastern Cen/East Southern Coastal Valley Metro 2 of 4 3 of 4 All 4
356 9 25 57 100 165 200 156 9 20 39 14 77 197 163 123 70
3% 7% 16% 28% 46% 56% 44% 3% 6% 11% 4% 22% 55% 46% 35% 20%

Yes 40% 56% 36% 42% 38% 41% 48% 31% 44% 60% 51% 57% 39% 36% 40% 41% 39%

Certain to vote 25% 33% 20% 30% 23% 25% 30% 19% 44% 45% 31% 36% 21% 22% 22% 28% 27%
yes
Likely to vote yes 15% 22% 16% 12% 15% 16% 18% 12% - 15% 21% 21% 18% 13% 18% 13% 11%
Undecided 21% 33% 32% 21% 16% 22% 13% 31% 22% 5% 18% 14% 29% 21% 21% 17% 29%

No 38% 11% 32% 37% 46% 37% 40% 37% 33% 35% 31% 29% 32% 44% 39% 41% 33%

Certain to vote no 19% - 16% 18% 27% 17% 18% 21% 22% 15% 15% 14% 13% 23% 19% 21% 17%
Likely to vote no 19% 11% 16% 19% 19% 20% 22% 16% 11% 20% 15% 14% 19% 20% 20% 20% 16%
Chi Square 11.14 21.58 20.06 7.13
.801 .001 .454 .523

19 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
Q5. Measure 103: “Prohibits taxes/fees based on transactions for “groceries” (defined) enacted or amended after September 2017”

Registered Party Congressional District


Other /
Pacific Working Non-
Total Democrat Republican Independent Libertarian Green Constitution Families affiliated 1 2 3 4 5
356 157 121 34 2 1 2 0 39 59 75 81 64 77
44% 34% 10% 1% 0% 1% 0% 11% 17% 21% 23% 18% 22%

Yes 40% 28% 60% 38% - - - - 38% 44% 40% 28% 50% 43%

Certain to vote yes 25% 15% 39% 29% - - - - 26% 20% 31% 21% 27% 27%
Likely to vote yes 15% 13% 21% 9% - - - - 13% 24% 9% 7% 23% 16%
Undecided 21% 23% 19% 21% 50% - 50% - 18% 22% 19% 26% 22% 17%

No 38% 49% 21% 41% 50% 100% 50% - 44% 34% 41% 46% 28% 40%

Certain to vote no 19% 24% 12% 18% 50% 100% 50% - 21% 15% 25% 22% 17% 16%
Likely to vote no 19% 25% 10% 24% - - - - 23% 19% 16% 23% 11% 25%
Chi Square 45.08 22.26
.006 .135

20 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
Q6. Measure 104: Defines “Expands (beyond taxes) application of requirement that three-fifths legislative majority approve bills raising
revenue.”

Number of elections voted


in, of the past four
Age Gender Region elections
Willamette Portland
Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Eastern Cen/East Southern Coastal Valley Metro 2 of 4 3 of 4 All 4
356 9 25 57 100 165 200 156 9 20 39 14 77 197 163 123 70
3% 7% 16% 28% 46% 56% 44% 3% 6% 11% 4% 22% 55% 46% 35% 20%

Yes 36% 33% 40% 28% 32% 41% 43% 27% 11% 45% 41% 43% 38% 34% 34% 40% 33%

Certain to vote 17% 11% 24% 12% 15% 19% 23% 10% 11% 35% 23% 14% 17% 15% 16% 22% 11%
yes
Likely to vote yes 19% 22% 16% 16% 17% 21% 21% 17% - 10% 18% 29% 21% 19% 18% 18% 21%
Undecided 28% 56% 32% 35% 27% 23% 18% 40% 22% 25% 28% 14% 30% 28% 27% 24% 34%

No 37% 11% 28% 37% 41% 36% 40% 33% 67% 30% 31% 43% 32% 38% 39% 36% 33%

Certain to vote no 19% 11% 20% 18% 21% 18% 21% 16% 33% 5% 18% 29% 14% 20% 19% 21% 13%
Likely to vote no 18% - 8% 19% 20% 19% 19% 17% 33% 25% 13% 14% 18% 18% 20% 15% 20%
Chi Square 12.77 26.24 17.39 7.93
.689 .001 .627 .440

21 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
Q6. Measure 104: Defines “Expands (beyond taxes) application of requirement that three-fifths legislative majority approve bills raising
revenue.”

Registered Party Congressional District


Other /
Pacific Working Non-
Total Democrat Republican Independent Libertarian Green Constitution Families affiliated 1 2 3 4 5
356 157 121 34 2 1 2 0 39 59 75 81 64 77
44% 34% 10% 1% 0% 1% 0% 11% 17% 21% 23% 18% 22%

Yes 36% 23% 56% 32% - - - - 33% 39% 39% 27% 41% 36%

Certain to vote yes 17% 6% 33% 18% - - - - 13% 12% 21% 10% 22% 21%
Likely to vote yes 19% 17% 23% 15% - - - - 21% 27% 17% 17% 19% 16%
Undecided 28% 28% 23% 44% 50% - 50% - 23% 31% 28% 31% 28% 21%

No 37% 49% 21% 24% 50% 100% 50% - 44% 31% 33% 42% 31% 43%

Certain to vote no 19% 25% 9% 12% - 100% 50% - 26% 12% 17% 27% 19% 16%
Likely to vote no 18% 24% 12% 12% 50% - - - 18% 19% 16% 15% 13% 27%
Chi Square 62.96 20.72
.001 .189

22 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
Q7. Measure 105: “Repeals law limiting use of state/local law enforcement resources to enforce federal immigrations laws.”

Number of elections voted


in, of the past four
Age Gender Region elections
Willamette Portland
Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Eastern Cen/East Southern Coastal Valley Metro 2 of 4 3 of 4 All 4
356 9 25 57 100 165 200 156 9 20 39 14 77 197 163 123 70
3% 7% 16% 28% 46% 56% 44% 3% 6% 11% 4% 22% 55% 46% 35% 20%

Yes 40% 33% 44% 37% 33% 45% 46% 32% 56% 65% 44% 43% 42% 35% 39% 43% 37%

Certain to vote 29% 11% 28% 26% 26% 33% 35% 22% 44% 55% 31% 43% 32% 23% 28% 35% 23%
yes
Likely to vote yes 11% 22% 16% 11% 7% 12% 11% 10% 11% 10% 13% - 9% 12% 11% 8% 14%
Undecided 9% 22% 8% 14% 6% 9% 8% 12% - 15% 13% - 5% 11% 9% 8% 11%

No 51% 44% 48% 49% 61% 46% 47% 56% 44% 20% 44% 57% 53% 54% 52% 49% 51%

Certain to vote no 38% 22% 32% 39% 48% 33% 37% 39% 22% 10% 31% 50% 42% 40% 38% 37% 37%
Likely to vote no 13% 22% 16% 11% 13% 13% 10% 17% 22% 10% 13% 7% 12% 14% 14% 11% 14%
Chi Square 15.61 10.52 23.69 5.14
.480 .033 .256 .743

23 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
Q7. Measure 105: “Repeals law limiting use of state/local law enforcement resources to enforce federal immigrations laws.”

Registered Party Congressional District


Other /
Pacific Working Non-
Total Democrat Republican Independent Libertarian Green Constitution Families affiliated 1 2 3 4 5
356 157 121 34 2 1 2 0 39 59 75 81 64 77
44% 34% 10% 1% 0% 1% 0% 11% 17% 21% 23% 18% 22%

Yes 40% 14% 76% 47% - 100% 50% - 26% 39% 40% 28% 50% 44%

Certain to vote yes 29% 8% 60% 32% - - - - 21% 24% 36% 14% 41% 34%
Likely to vote yes 11% 6% 17% 15% - 100% 50% - 5% 15% 4% 15% 9% 10%
Undecided 9% 6% 11% 15% - - 50% - 13% 3% 17% 14% 5% 5%

No 51% 80% 13% 38% 100% - - - 62% 58% 43% 58% 45% 51%

Certain to vote no 38% 60% 10% 24% 50% - - - 49% 39% 32% 40% 41% 38%
Likely to vote no 13% 20% 3% 15% 50% - - - 13% 19% 11% 19% 5% 13%
Chi Square 158.94 37.41
.001 .002

24 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
Q8. Measure 106: Prohibits spending “Public Funds” (defined) directly/indirectly for “Abortion” (defined); Exceptions; Reduces abortion
access.”

Number of elections voted


in, of the past four
Age Gender Region elections
Willamette Portland
Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Eastern Cen/East Southern Coastal Valley Metro 2 of 4 3 of 4 All 4
356 9 25 57 100 165 200 156 9 20 39 14 77 197 163 123 70
3% 7% 16% 28% 46% 56% 44% 3% 6% 11% 4% 22% 55% 46% 35% 20%

Yes 34% 22% 40% 30% 29% 39% 41% 26% 67% 55% 41% 57% 30% 29% 36% 35% 29%

Certain to vote 25% 22% 24% 21% 22% 29% 32% 17% 44% 50% 33% 36% 19% 22% 23% 29% 23%
yes
Likely to vote yes 9% - 16% 9% 7% 10% 9% 9% 22% 5% 8% 21% 10% 8% 13% 6% 6%
Undecided 10% 44% 12% 9% 9% 8% 9% 11% - - 10% - 8% 12% 11% 8% 9%

No 56% 33% 48% 61% 62% 53% 51% 63% 33% 45% 49% 43% 62% 58% 53% 57% 63%

Certain to vote no 44% 22% 32% 47% 47% 44% 40% 49% 22% 15% 38% 43% 47% 48% 42% 44% 47%
Likely to vote no 12% 11% 16% 14% 15% 10% 11% 15% 11% 30% 10% - 16% 11% 10% 13% 16%
Chi Square 20.79 11.47 34.54 8.40
.187 .022 .023 .395

25 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
Q8. Measure 106: Prohibits spending “Public Funds” (defined) directly/indirectly for “Abortion” (defined); Exceptions; Reduces abortion
access.”

Registered Party Congressional District


Other /
Pacific Working Non-
Total Democrat Republican Independent Libertarian Green Constitution Families affiliated 1 2 3 4 5
356 157 121 34 2 1 2 0 39 59 75 81 64 77
44% 34% 10% 1% 0% 1% 0% 11% 17% 21% 23% 18% 22%

Yes 34% 8% 71% 35% 50% - - - 26% 29% 37% 23% 47% 36%

Certain to vote yes 25% 4% 55% 26% - - - - 23% 17% 31% 19% 34% 26%
Likely to vote yes 9% 4% 17% 9% 50% - - - 3% 12% 7% 5% 13% 10%
Undecided 10% 7% 9% 18% - - 50% - 13% 10% 12% 12% 6% 6%

No 56% 85% 20% 47% 50% 100% 50% - 62% 61% 51% 64% 47% 57%

Certain to vote no 44% 71% 12% 26% 50% - 50% - 49% 46% 35% 49% 42% 47%
Likely to vote no 12% 13% 8% 21% - 100% - - 13% 15% 16% 15% 5% 10%
Chi Square 164.78 19.35
.001 .251

26 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018
Region

Number of elections voted


in, of the past four
Age Gender Region elections
Willamette Portland
Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Eastern Cen/East Southern Coastal Valley Metro 2 of 4 3 of 4 All 4
356 9 25 57 100 165 200 156 9 20 39 14 77 197 163 123 70
3% 7% 16% 28% 46% 56% 44% 3% 6% 11% 4% 22% 55% 46% 35% 20%

Eastern 3% - - 2% 5% 2% 3% 2% 100% - - - - - 1% 4% 3%
Cen/East 6 - 8 2 5 7 6 6 - 100 - - - - 5 6 7
Southern 11 11 4 7 12 13 12 10 - - 100 - - - 13 11 6
Coastal 4 - - 2 3 6 5 3 - - - 100 - - 7 2 -
Willamette Valley 22 11 24 14 18 27 26 17 - - - - 100 - 23 19 23
Portland Metro 55 78 64 74 57 45 50 63 - - - - - 100 50 59 61
Chi Square 25.69 7.83 1000+ 16.52
.176 .166 .001 .086

Registered Party Congressional District


Other /
Pacific Working Non-
Total Democrat Republican Independent Libertarian Green Constitution Families affiliated 1 2 3 4 5
356 157 121 34 2 1 2 0 39 59 75 81 64 77
44% 34% 10% 1% 0% 1% 0% 11% 17% 21% 23% 18% 22%

Eastern 3% 1% 2% 12% - - - - 3% 2% 8% - 2% 1%
Cen/East 6 3 10 6 - - - - 3 2 16 2 5 3
Southern 11 10 16 3 50 - - - 8 2 28 2 16 6
Coastal 4 4 5 - - - - - 3 7 3 - 8 4
Willamette Valley 22 25 21 18 - - 100 - 10 15 13 10 34 36

Portland Metro 55 57 46 62 50 100 - - 74 73 32 85 36 49


Chi Square 46.96 120.00
.025 .001

27 KGW TV | Oregonian Media Group / 2018 Oregon Voter Poll


October, 2018