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Original Title: Flying Pilots

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a. At 95 per cent confidence, what is the margin of error for estimating the population mean flying time?

b. What is the 95 per cent confidence interval estimate of the population mean flying time?

c. The mean number of hours of flying time for pilots at United Airlines is 36 hours per month. Use your

Data: n x-bar s or s %

100 49 8.5 95

Degrees of freedom = 99

t- score = 1.9842

Width of the confidence interval = t * SE = 1.6866

Lower Limit of the confidence interval = x-bar - width = 47.3134

Upper Limit of the confidence interval = x-bar + width = 50.6866

The confidence interval is [ 47.3134 50.6866 ]

(b) The 95% confidence interval is [47.3134 hours, 50.6866 hours]

(c) As per (b) we are 95% confident that no pilot of Continental Airlines flies less than 47.3 hours per month. This is

9 hours per month (The Wall Street Journal, 25 February, 2003). Assume that this mean was based on actual flying times for a sa

pulation mean flying time?

n flying time?

hours per month. Use your results from part (b) to discuss differences between the flying times for the pilots at the two airlines.

47.3 hours per month. This is distinctly high compared to the mean flying time of 36 hours per month for pilots of United Airlines. Even if w

tual flying times for a sample of 100 Continental pilots and the sample standard deviation was 8.5 hours.

pilots at the two airlines. The Wall Street Journal reported United Airlines as having the highest labour cost among all airlines. D

of United Airlines. Even if we were able to apply a confidence interval, the mean flying time for pilots of United Airlines is much less implyin

ost among all airlines. Does the information in this exercise provide insight as to why United Airlines might expect higher labou

Airlines is much less implying that more pilots have to be hired. This could explain the higher labor costs for United Airlines.

ight expect higher labour costs?

ed Airlines.

Problem: A survey of 611 office workers investigated telephone answering practices, including how often each office

a. What is the point estimate of the proportion of the population of office workers who are able to take ev

b. At 90 per cent confidence, what is the margin of error?

c. What is the 90 per cent confidence interval for the proportion of the population of office workers who

Data: n p %

611 0.46 90

z- score = 1.6449

Width of the confidence interval = z * SE = 0.0332

Lower Limit of the confidence interval = P - width = 0.4267

Upper Limit of the confidence interval = P + width = 0.4931

The confidence interval is [ 0.4267 0.4931 ]

(b) Margin of error = width of the confidence interval = 0.0332

(c) The 90% confidence interval is [0.4267, 0.4931]

luding how often each office worker was able to answer incoming telephone calls an how often incoming telephone calls went di

kers who are able to take every telephone call?

ation of office workers who are able to take every telephone call?

g telephone calls went directly to voice mail (USA Today, 21 April, 2002). A total of 281 office workers indicated that they never

indicated that they never need voice mail and are able to take every telephone call.

Problem: A production line operates with a mean filling weight of 500 grams per container. Over-filling or under-fill

a. State the hypotheses in the hypothesis test for this quality control application.

b. If a sample mean of 510 grams were found, what is the p-value? What action would you recommend?

c. If a sample mean of 495 grams were found, what is the p-value? What action would you recommend?

d. Use the critical value approach. What is the rejection rule for the preceding hypothesis testing procedu

(a) H0: The mean weight is 500 g, that is μ = 500 vs Ha: The mean weight is different from 500 g, that is μ ≠ 500

(d with b)

Data: n μ s

30 500 25

H0: μ = 500

Ha: μ ≠ 500

SE = s/Ön = 4.5644

z = (x-bar - μ)/SE = 2.1909

Decision: It appears that the mean weight is different from 500 g. The filling mechanism needs to be re

(6) Calculate the p- value for the test and interpret it:

p- value = 0.0285. It appears that the mean weight is different from 500 g. The filling mechanism needs to be reset

(d with c)

Data: n μ s

30 500 25

H0: μ = 500

Ha: μ ≠ 500

SE = s/Ön = 4.5644

z = (x-bar - μ)/SE = -1.0954

Decision: There is no sufficient evidence that the mean weight is different from 500 g. The filling mech

(6) Calculate the p- value for the test and interpret it:

p- value = 0.2733. There is no sufficient evidence that the mean weight is different from 500 g. The filling mechanis

Over-filling or under-filling presents a serious problem and when detected requires the operator to shut down the production line

would you recommend?

pothesis testing procedure? Repeat parts (b) an (c). Do you reach the same conclusion?

x-bar

510

x-bar

495

We fail to reject H0

down the production line to readjust the filling mechanism. From past data, a population standard deviation σ = 25 grams is ass

ion σ = 25 grams is assumed. A quality control inspector selects a sample of 30 items every hour and at that time makes the deci

that time makes the decision of whether to shut down the line for readjustment. The level of significance is α = 0.05.

Problem: Microsoft Outlook is the most widely used email manager. A Microsoft executive claims that Microsoft Ou

a. Formulate the hypotheses that can be used to test the claim.

b. A Merrill Lynch study reported that Microsoft Outlook is used by 72 per cent of Internet users. Assum

c. At α = 0.05, should the executive’s claim of at least 75 per cent be rejected?

(a) H0: The proportion is 75% or more, that is p ≥ 0.75 vs Ha: The proportion is less than 0.75, that is p < 0.75

Data: n p p'

300 0.75 0.72

H0: p ³ 0.75

Ha: p < 0.75

z = (p' - p)/SE = -1.2000

Decision: There is no sufficient evidence that the population proportion is less than 0.75. The executiv

(6) Calculate the p- value for the test and interpret it:

(c) There is no sufficient evidence that the population proportion is less than 0.75. The executive’s claim of at least

executive claims that Microsoft Outlook is used by at least 75 per cent of Internet users. A sample of Internet users will be used

2 per cent of Internet users. Assume that the report was based on a sample size of 300 Internet users. What is the p-value?

we fail to reject H0

ortion is less than 0.75. The executive’s claim of at least 75 per cent can not rejected.

0.75. The executive’s claim of at least 75 per cent can not rejected.

net users will be used to test this claim.

is the p-value?

Problem: The Dublin retailer age study (used as an example above) provided the following data on the ages of custom

Inner- Out-of-

city town

store store

n1 = 36 n2 = 49

1

= 40 2

= 35

years years

σ1 = 9 σ2 = 10

years years

[I have taken the hypothesis to be tested as - At α = 0.05, is there a significant difference in the mean ages of the cu

Data: n1

36

H0: μ1 = μ2

Ha: μ1 ≠ μ2

t (Two-tailed), α = 0.05

Lower Critical t- score = -1.9890

SE = s * Ö{(1 /n1) + (1 /n2)} = 2.1054

t = (x1-bar -x2-bar)/SE = 2.3749

Since 2.3749

Decision: It appears that there is a significant difference in the mean ages of the customers

(6) Calculate the p- value for the test and interpret it:

p- value = 0.0199

It appears that there is a significant difference in the mean ages of the customers at the two stores.

data on the ages of customers from independent random samples taken at the two store locations.

n2 x1-bar x2-bar s1 s2

49 40 35 9 10

Degrees of freedom = 83

Upper Crtical t- score = 1.9890

This is the probability of rejecting a true null hypothesis.

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