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ACCOUNTING THEORY
(SUBJECT CODE: ECAU601401)
Chapter 13
BEHAVIOURAL RESEARCH IN ACCOUNTING
(Godfrey et.al. Accounting Theory 7th Ed)
Lecturer:
Mrs. Siti Nuryanah, S.E., M.S.M., M.Bus.Acc., Ph.D.
Group Member
1. Eggie Auliya Husna 1706105246
2. Fendhi Birowo 1706105290
3. Yolanda Tamara 1406612275
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CHAPTER 13
BEHAVIOURAL RESEARCH IN ACCOUNTING
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influence of the output of this function on users’ judgements and decision making. The aim
of research within this model is often more than that of explaining and predicting behaviour
at an individual or group level. It is also concerned with improving the quality of decision
making. In the context of financial accounting, that aim translates into improving decision
making by both producers (including auditors) and users of accounting reports.
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providing the subject with a number of numerical cues across repetitive cases of actual
business success and failure, drawn from archival data. Thus, in this task (as opposed to
others described later), a ‘correct’ solution exists as a benchmark against which to compare
human performance. Libby was the first to research the task of assessing business failure.
What has emerged in the literature is the question whether disclosing to the subjects the
actual rate of failure is necessary to achieve realism in the task. On the other hand,
researchers cannot hope to gain evidence from this task setting unless a ‘reasonable’ number
of actual failure cases are included in the materials provided.
PROCESS TRACING METHODS AND THE EVIDENCE
In process tracing, the decision maker may again, for instance, be given a series of case
studies to analyse but this time is asked to verbally describe each step gone through when
making the decision. These verbal descriptions are recorded by the researcher and then
analysed to produce a ‘decision tree’ diagram to represent the decision processes of the
decision maker. In general terms, the decision trees derived from process tracing methods
are intuitively good descriptors of people’s decision processes.
However, relative to Brunswik lens models, process tracing methods are not always
good predictors of the event of interest. One reason for this is that decision makers often
have difficulty explaining all the steps they go through. Some researchers have tried to
overcome the general limitations pf both lens and process tracing methods by combining the
predictive and descriptive powers of the two approaches. One such alternative is a statistical
technique known as ‘classification and regression trees’ (CART) that uses statistical
methods to partition (or split) the output of a decision maker’s judgements into decision
‘nodes’ that maximize the power of the model to correctly predict the classification of
different cases into the right type of decision.
The relative predictive power of lens and process tracing models has been studied in
business context by Larcker and Lessig and Selling and Shank. In a share selection scenario,
Larcker and Lessig found that process tracing models outperformed the statistical linear
models, but Selling and Shank found the opposite when the two approaches were compared
in a task involving the prediction of bankruptcy. These differences in the studies may reflect
our earlier comment that the type of decision task requires different styles of decision
processing.
PROBABILISTIC JUDGEMENTS AND THE EVIDENCE
The probabilistic judgement model is useful for looking at situations in accounting
where initial beliefs about a prediction or evaluation need to be revised once further
evidence becomes available. An investor’s revision of an investment decision in the light of
new evidence concerning the outcome of a lawsuit against a firm is an example of this type
situation. This model argues that the ‘normatively’ correct way to revise initial beliefs,
stated as subjective probabilities, is by applying Bayes’s theorem, a basic tenet of
conditional probability theory. Bayes’s theorem states that the revised (posterior) probability
in the light of additional evidence is equal to the original belief (base rate) multiplied by the
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amount by which prior expectations should be revised; that is, by the informativeness or
diagnosticity of the the new data.
Thus:
Posterior odds = Likelihood ratio x Prior odds
(revised (amount by which prior (initial probability or base rate)
probability) expectations should be revised)
HJT research within probabilistic judgements model has consistently demonstrated that
humans possessing a variety of skill levels and, observed over a variety of tasks, revise their
prior probabilities to a lesser extent that Bayes’s theorem prescribes. This conservatism has
been attributed to the use of rules of thumb and biases which are adopted as a means of
simplifying complex judgements in order for humans to cope. Three rules of thumb are
defined in the literature as follows:
1. Representativeness
2. Availability
3. Anchoring and adjustment
FORMAT AND PRESENTATION OF FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
The lens model is useful in examining financial statement presentation issues as well as
in analysis of predictive judgements. It permits analysis of human judgement accuracy in
terms of determining the extent to which the individual detects essential properties of the
judgement task and consistently applies judgement policy. If changing the report format of
information results in improving either of the above characteristics, human judgement
accuracy should increase. The decision-usefulness objective, adopted in the conceptual
framework , depends partly on the user’s ability to interpret the data for a given investment
or credit decision. The impact of a change in the report format on subjects’ ability to detect a
change in the financial status of the firm can similarly be examined within a lens model
framework.
The multidimensional graphics most researched have been in the form of schematic or
Chernoff faces as illustrated in figure 1 above. Stock and Watsons concluded that a
multidimensional graphics approach would be useful whenever cost or data availability
makes good statistical models impossible to build, especially if the results using
multidimensional graphics are at least as the results of a model.
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C. REPRESENTATIVENESS: THE EVIDENCE
AVAILABILITY: THE EVIDENCE
The basis of this rule of thumb is that likelihood judgements are based on retrieval from
memory of relevant instances or construction of plausible scenarios. The more instances
recalled, or the greater the ease with which one can recall instances or generate plausible
explanations for an event, the higher will be the judged probability of occurence of the
event. However, this requires a large sample of probabilities to improve prediction accuracy.
ANCHORING AND ADJUSTMENT: THE EVIDENCE
From Joyce and Biddle research, it was expected that practising auditors would adjust
for changes in internal controls by adjusting audit scope but that the adjustment would be
insufficient as anchoring on the initial internal control would occur. No evidence of
anchoring and adjustment was found. However, Kinney and Uecker did find evidence of
anchoring and adjustment in analytical review (ratio analysis) and compliance test (audit test
of internal controls) tasks.
EXPERT JUDGEMENT AND RULES OF THUMB
The research involving expert judgement is concerned with examining the thought
processes of experts and the determinants of expertise. Numerous studies in auditing have
confirmed that audit experts have better recall, integrative abilities, and error frequency
learning ability than do novices. Audit experts exhibit evidence of all three rules of thumb
and it is not clear that this necessarily results in inferior quality in decision making. The
double-entry nature of bookkeeping means that audit tests often overlap and mechanisms
exist (e.g. partner review) which try to assure quality. Process tracing methods may be a
good way of learning more about the differences between the decision process of experts
and novices. This knowledge would be valuable for training purposes.
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two-way, with individuals (or groups of individuals) directly and indirectly affecting the
structure of accounting systems and information disclosures.
E. LIMITATIONS OF BAR
The overview of Behavioural Accounting Research (BAR) has shown that it makes us
learn a great deal about how different decision makers use accounting information.
However, it has also revealed that there is significantly much more for us to learn in this
area. The frequent and frustrating contradictions between the findings of similar studies
simply mean that human information processing is much more complex than the
development of current research theories and methods.
These limitations of BAR had also meant that it is yet to achieve the same level of
dominance in the academic literature presently enjoyed by the capital markets and agency
theory research schools. Other limitations of BAR are:
1. The lack of a single underlying theory which helps in the unification of the diverse
research questions and findings of BAR;
2. BAR researchers have borrowed from a multitude of disciplines and contexts and have
no common framework whithin which to develop useful generalisations for policy
makers. There is also no signal that such theory is likely in the foreseeable future.
Beside its limitations, BAR has some value for the development of accounting
researchers and practitioners, such as:
1. BAR methods have been used by many groups of decision makers to develop expert
systems and other practical tools for information processing and training purposes in
the workplace;
2. BAR offers the promise of revealing systematic errors made by all decision makers
within specific contexts that have implications for improvement at the macro level;
3. BAR have a significant role in the development of Triple Bottom Line Reporting, in
which it helps the accounting researchers and policy makers in developing emerging
areas of non-financial measurement of accounting theory; and
4. BAR will help future researchers to develop richer hypotheses and tests of how
decision makers process accounting information.
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REFERENCES
Godfrey, Jayne, Allan Hodgson, Ann Tarca, Jane Hamilton, and Scott Holmes. (2010).
Accounting Theory, 7th Ed. John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (GOD)