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Cantidades Pronóstico Error Error

Mes Error Error (Abs)
S2142 (Ft) Cuadrático Abs/At
1 524,979
2 524,979
3 524,979
4 629,937 524979 104958 104958 11016181764 0.17
5 524,979 559965 -34986 34986 1224020196 0.07
6 630,000 559965 70035 70035 4904901225 0.11
7 735,021 594972 140049 140049 19613722401 0.19
8 524,979 630000 -105021 105021 11029410441 0.20
9 735,021 630000 105021 105021 11029410441 0.14
10 524,979 665007 -140028 140028 19607840784 0.27
11 420,021 594993 -174972 174972 30615200784 0.42
12 315,000 560007 -245007 245007 60028430049 0.78
13 420000 -279951 1120077 169069118085 2.34
14
15

n= 10
DAM= 112008 ∑EC 169069118085
EMC= ### EMC 16906911809
PEMA= 23% REMC 130027
PME= -11%

8 21004 0.000 41995.14 9 41.2 -7001 -0.996 48997.996 55998.Error/At Mes Cantidades Pronóstico Error S2143 (Ft) 1 63.07 5 41.17 4 63.11 6 41.78 12 63.996 55998.12 55998.6 -14003 0.000 2 41.996 55998.19 7 41.996 48997.2 14003 -1.000 0.6 -14003 -0.20 8 63.6 -14003 0.000 48997.0 n= 12 DAM= 9335 EMC= 130718939 PEMA= 19% PME= -4% .9 63000.2 14003 -0.27 10 63.996 3 63.000 55998.6 7001 -0.000 48997.2 -7001 -0.42 11 41.6 0 52497.

33 6 7001 49019602 0.33 8 7001 49019602 0.17 -0.17 7 21004 441176418 0. Error Error Error (Abs) Cuadrático Error/At Mes Abs/At S2145 1 2 3 7001 49019602 0.11 4 14003 196078408 0.33 5 14003 196078408 0.33 -0.33 11 14003 196078408 0.22 10 14003 196078408 0.22 0.17 -0.11 0.33 -0.33 0.22 12 112022 1568627263 2 0 ∑EC 1568627263 EMC 130718939 REMC 11433 .33 -0.22 0.17 9 14003 196078408 0.

00 420.07 -0.07 524.07 0.979 489993 34986 34986 1224020196 0.00 524.00 0.07 524.00 0.25 489993 -174930 384846 ### 1 0 472500 420021 n= 9 DAM= 42761 ∑EC ### EMC= 3944065076 EMC 3944065076 PEMA= 9% REMC 62802 PME= -5% .00 524.00 0.33 -0.021 524979 -104958 104958 ### 0.25 -0.Cantidades Pronóstico Error Error Error Error (Abs) Cuadrático Error/At (Ft) Abs/At 420.979 524979 0 0 0 0.937 524.979 489993 34986 34986 1224020196 0.07 524.979 524979 0 0 0 0.021 524.979 559965 -34986 34986 1224020196 0.979 524979 0 0 0 0.07 0.979 629.07 420.021 559965 -139944 139944 ### 0.979 489993 34986 34986 1224020196 0.33 524.07 0.

000 384993 -69993 69993 4899020049 6 315.000 384993 -69993 69993 4899020049 5 315.021 315000 105021 105021 ### 10 315.000 350007 -35007 35007 1225490049 315000 -174993 385035 ### 315000 315000 n= 12 DAM= 32086 ∑EC ### EMC= 2144117561 EMC 2144117561 PEMA= 9% REMC 46305 PME= -5% .000 350007 -35007 35007 1225490049 12 315.000 2 419.021 4 315. Cantidades Pronóstico Error Mes Error Error (Abs) Cuadrático S2146 (Ft) 1 315.000 350007 -35007 35007 1225490049 11 315.958 3 420.000 315000 0 0 0 8 315.000 350007 -35007 35007 1225490049 7 315.000 315000 0 0 0 9 420.

004 3 126.000 0.001 0.000 147.11 10 147.11 -0.11 -0.996 104.00 0.996 154.25 9 147.22 -0.996 139.999 104.11 12 104.999 0.22 5 126.11 6 167.997 0.11 11 104.000 2 147.004 154.000 0.996 133.001 0.999 0.00 0.996 n= 9 DAM= 23331 EMC= 707760379 PEMA= 18% PME= -7% .11 -0.996 133.11 -0.22 -0.25 0.00 8 167.22 4 167.00 7 147.000 0.004 160. Error Error/At Mes Cantidades Pronóstico Abs/At S2147 (Ft) 1 126.996 147.001 0.001 1 -1 118.004 153.

17 27997 27997 783843208 0.12 -13994 13994 195843231 0.21 -21000 21000 441000000 0.21 0.27 -0.47 -28006 28006 784313631 0.27 -42008 209983 6369843408 2 -1 ∑EC 6369843408 EMC 707760379 REMC 26604 .47 -0.05 -0.12 0.05 -49006 49006 2401548831 0.17 -6993 6993 48902049 0.17 -0.10 -0.05 -0.17 0. Error Error Error Error (Abs) Cuadrático Error/At Abs/At S2148 34994 34994 1224608031 0.10 -6997 6997 48960808 0.05 20996 20996 440823618 0.

000 279993 35007 35007 1225490049 0.33 0.979 244986 -35007 35007 1225490049 0.17 13 209979 -140028 420084 26960781078 1.000 209979 105021 105021 11029410441 0.979 244986 -35007 35007 1225490049 0.17 -0.89 n= 9 DAM= 46676 ∑EC 26960781078 EMC= 2995642342 EMC 2995642342 PEMA= 20% REMC 54732 PME= -10% .00 0.979 279993 -70014 70014 4901960196 0.33 -0.17 12 209.979 244986 -35007 35007 1225490049 0.11 0.000 4 315.17 -0.979 209979 0 0 0 0.33 6 209.00 9 315.17 -0.17 8 209.33 -0.11 5 209.979 244986 -35007 35007 1225490049 0.17 11 209.33 10 209.78 -0.000 2 209.979 279993 -70014 70014 4901960196 0.979 3 315.33 7 209. Cantidades Pronóstico Error Error Mes Error Error (Abs) Error/At (Ft) Cuadrático Abs/At 1 315.17 -0.

Mes Cantidades Pronóstico Error Error (Abs) S2171 (Ft) 1 356.000 412999 -34999 34999 5 356.996 356996 0 0 10 378.996 2 504.996 356996 0 0 9 356.000 3 378.992 363997 -28006 28006 356996 -133010 175018 346494 335992 n= 9 DAM= 19446 ∑EC EMC= 746004320 EMC PEMA= 5% REMC PME= -4% .000 4 378.000 356996 21004 21004 11 356.996 420000 -63004 63004 6 356.996 370999 -14003 14003 7 356.996 363997 -7001 7001 12 335.996 363997 -7001 7001 8 356.

04 6 41.02 -0. Error Error Error/At Mes Cantidades Cuadrático Abs/At s2311 1 41.09 4 41.00 0.02 11 41.00 8 41.08 -0.996 3969529218 0.996 784313631 0.996 49019602 0.996 196078408 0.000 49019602 0.09 -0.02 -0.000 0 0.02 7 63.04 -0.06 0.000 441176418 0.18 -0.00 0.996 2 63.18 5 41.996 6714038880 0 0 n= DAM= 6714038880 EMC= 746004320 PEMA= 27313 PME= .06 10 63.996 0 0.08 12 41.996 1224902002 0.000 3 41.00 9 63.

00 0.11 55999 -14003 14003 196078408 0.33 0.Pronóstico Error Error Error Error (Abs) Cuadrático Error/At (Ft) Abs/At 48997 -7001 7001 49019602 0.17 -0.17 -0.22 0.33 48997 -7001 91018 1225490049 2 -1 41996 41996 9 10113 ∑EC 1225490049 136165561 EMC 136165561 20% REMC 11669 -6% .33 -0.33 -0.17 41996 0 0 0 0.17 -0.33 48997 -7001 7001 49019602 0.11 0.00 41996 21004 21004 441176418 0.17 48997 14003 14003 196078408 0.17 48997 -7001 7001 49019602 0.22 55999 7001 7001 49019602 0.33 55999 -14003 14003 196078408 0.

000 279993 35007 35007 1225490049 0.11 8 209.11 7 315.000 279993 35007 35007 1225490049 0. Cantidades Pronóstico Error Error Mes Error Error (Abs) Cuadrático s2312 (Ft) Abs/At 1 315.11 10 420.979 279993 -70014 70014 4901960196 0.67 315000 0 560112 ### 2 262490 209979 n= 9 DAM= 62235 ∑EC ### EMC= 5991284684 EMC 5991284684 PEMA= 23% REMC 77403 PME= -6% .000 279993 35007 35007 1225490049 0.000 315000 0 0 0 0.000 4 315.000 279993 35007 35007 1225490049 0.33 9 315.11 5 209.979 279993 -70014 70014 4901960196 0.021 279993 140028 140028 ### 0.000 2 209.979 350007 -140028 140028 ### 0.00 12 209.33 11 315.979 3 315.33 6 315.

33 0.33 0.11 -0.00 -0.Error/At 0.11 0.67 -1 .11 0.33 0.11 -0.

49 0.36 0.00 2 14 9 5 5 25 0.24 12 26 13 13 13 159 0.52 0.16 0.15 7 7 8 -1 1 1 0.83 -0.15 -2.17 8 9 8 1 1 2 0.60 11 12 15 -3 3 8 0.20 5 9 16 -7 7 55 0.16 9 21 8 13 13 161 0.60 0.00 0.49 21 67 650 6 -1 n= 11 DAM= 6 ∑EC 650 EMC= 59 EMC 59 PEMA= 52% REMC 8 PME= -13% .17 -0.36 3 24 12 12 12 154 0.51459902 Ventas Pronóstico Error Error mes Error Error (Abs) Cuadrático Error/At Reales (At) (Ft) Abs/At 1 9 9 0 0 0 0.24 -0.83 6 4 13 -9 9 74 2.52 4 15 18 -3 3 9 0. instrumentos de percusion SE α = 0.20 -0.

instrumentos de viento SE α = 0.1 Ventas Pronóstico Error mes Error Error (Abs) Cuadrático Reales (At) (Ft) 1 10 10 0 0 0 2 7 10 -3 3 9 3 30 10 20 20 412 4 6 12 -6 6 33 5 8 11 -3 3 10 6 5 11 -6 6 34 7 9 10 -1 1 2 8 18 10 8 8 62 9 28 11 17 17 292 11 11 13 -2 2 3 12 32 12 20 20 382 44 85 1238 n= 11 DAM= 8 ∑EC 1238 EMC= 113 EMC 113 PEMA= 51% REMC 11 PME= -8% .

00 1 19 19 0 0.68 3 21 17 4 0.17 -1.96 4 11 21 -10 0.39 -0.15 -0.15 11 21 29 -8 0.96 -0.68 0. instrumentos de electricos SE α = 0.61 0.14 7 9 9 0 0.39 5 9 11 -2 1.44 0.14 -0.00 0.98668005 Error Ventas Pronóstico Error/At mes Error Abs/At Reales (At) (Ft) 0.44 8 12 9 3 0.43 -0.17 6 9 9 0 0.61 9 29 12 17 0.61 12 39 21 18 6 -1 20 n= 11 DAM= 6 EMC= 73 PEMA= 28% PME= -1% .61 0.43 2 17 19 -2 0.

59 9 19 8 60 0.19 0.46 12 26 64 803 3 0 n= ∑EC 803 DAM= EMC 73 EMC= REMC 9 PEMA= PME= .24 -0.12 -0.12 2 6 4 16 0.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 4 2 4 0.90 -0.37 11 17 18 320 0.19 3 18 10 99 0.25 0.00 0.37 -0.46 0.90 4 11 2 5 0.00 6 9 0 0 0.nstrumentos de electricos SE α = Error Error Ventas Error (Abs) Cuadrático Error/At mes Abs/At Reales (At) 0 0 0.24 5 6 0 0 0.00 7 8 3 9 0.25 8 6 17 290 0.

73 0.00 0.00 11 -5 5 25 0.25 15 11 11 127 0.41 -0. instrumentos de cuerda 0.04 0.04 9 -1 1 1 0.83 9 0 0 0 0.83 -0.25 0.00 0.33 5 13 13 171 0.10 -0.00 4 2 2 4 0.10 8 -2 2 6 0.41 7 12 12 137 0.73 11 0 0 0 0.43 0.62 0.43 34 51 489 4 1 11 5 ∑EC 489 44 EMC 44 34% REMC 7 10% .62 13 4 4 18 0.46446605 Pronóstico Error Error Error Error (Abs) Cuadrático Error/At (Ft) Abs/At 4 0 0 0 0.33 0.