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@mengwong + @propellerfish 20101019 What market are you pursuing? Is the target market big enough? Is it growing or shrinking? What are the other characteristics of your market, and why do you care? How do you find data on your market? How do you define your competitors? What are inexpensive tactics to do custom market research, such as surveys? How can you determine if you can win in your target market, and when do you decide to walk away?
Just your average dorky programmer entrepreneur angel investor incubator founder and Paleo Diet dude specializing in sous vide lamb shoulder beef roast and eggs at 65°C
ALEX MARQUEZ
Propellerfish
ENTREPRENEURSHIP
the pursuit of opportunity without regard to resources currently controlled
MNC resources
Your resources
MNC resourcefulness
Your resourcefulness
YOUR JOB
MAKE SOME NEW THING PEOPLE WANT
INNOVATION
But if it's new, how do I know people want it?
I'M SCRATCHING MY OWN ITCH
• Hey, at • Linux • Apache • Firefox • MySQL
least I want it
MY SALIVA TASTES BETTER THAN YOURS
Artist • Guided by heart • Broke Graphic Designer • Guided by client • Not Broke
WHAT KIND ARE YOU?
• Opportunistic: I • Visionary:
detect untapped profit potential
argh wtf brb omg ftw
OOPS, I MADE AN ART PROJECT
OOPS, I REINVENTED THE WHEEL
I blame academia
CROSSING THE CHASM
• Geoffrey • Learn
Moore
to “pivot”
GETTING IT RIGHT THE FIRST TIME
• Peter • John
Christy
Katsaros
DEVELOPMENT TIMELINE
Fundamental Science Technical Innovation Productization User Manual White Paper Sales Brochure Ad Campaign First Customer
SECRET SAUCE, PLEASE
• Industry • Domain •I •I •I
Experience ++ Expertise ++
have a PhD + – have an MBA – – dropped out of college ++
COMPETITIVE RESEARCH
• Crunchbase.com. ListIO.com. LMGTFY.com. • Don’t
skate to where the puck is. Skate to where the puck will be. invention must make sense in the world in which it is completed, not the world in which it was begun.
• An
WHY YOU? WHY NOW?
• Are
you riding some sort of disruptive wave?
WHY YOU? WHY NOW?
• Why
didn’t somebody try this and succeed three years ago? they did, and they FAILED.
• Maybe
WE HAVE NO COMPETITION
DO IT BACKWARDS
Traditional Model
• Build • Sell
The Epiphany
the Product, v1
• Sell
the Product, v1. No sales. to the Drawing Board the Product, v2.
the Product, v1. No sales. to the Drawing Board
• Back • Build
• Back • Sell
the Product, v2 the Product, v2
• Build • Fail. • Win.
CUSTOMER DEVELOPMENT
• See
also Eric Ries, www.startuplessonslearned.com
bit.ly/cVYDeH
THEY WOULD HAVE SAID
WHAT THEY WANTED,
IF I HAD ASKED MY CUSTOMERS
HORSE
HENRY FORD
A FASTER
ACTUALLY, MY SALIVA DOES TASTE BETTER THAN YOURS
http://www.cultofmac.com/john-sculley-on-steve-jobs-the-full-interview-transcript/63295
SOMETIMES YOU DO HAVE TO BUILD IT
• Show, Don’t Tell; Paper • Business • Does • To
Prototyping only goes so far
as Science Experiment
a Market Exist?
Build the Minimum Viable Product, Lean Startup Methodology
• Follow
OBVIOUS CHECKPOINTS
• Is
the market… or small? or shrinking?
• big
• growing • rich
or poor? or unwilling to buy?
• eager
ONE LAST THING
•!
∀ User = Customer use pay
• Users
• Customers • If
you’re not the customer, you might be the product
THINK BIG
“best in class” vs “in a class of our own”
new class best
worst
What is your market?
Everyone with an iphone
Ehm… That’s probably not the case.
In the words of Bill Cosby
“I don’t know the secret to success but I do know the secret to failure is trying to please everybody.”
- Bill Cosby
The cheater’s guide to opportunity development
A homework assignment for you to work on between now and next Tuesday
1. Focus yourself with a few questions
Everybody Who’s
going
to
hate
this
thing? Who’s
going
to
use
it
most
oEen? Who’s
going
to
tell
their
friends
about
it? Who’s
most
likely
to
pay
for
it? Opera&ng
down
here
means
you’re… …creaFng
products
with
a
disFnct
user
in
mind …targeFng
your
limited
markeFng
$
more
effecFvely …more
likely
to
create
a
great
product
for
a
small
group
of
people
rather
than
an
alright
product
for
a
lot
of
people …most
likely
to
be
talked
about,
shared,
etc.
Your target market
2. Reach out to these people and talk to them about this space
This doesn’t need to be expensive… Skype, Surveymonkey, Facebook, email, stopping people on the street, talking to friends of friends of friends, camping out in retail, interviewing people who use your would be compeFtors… All of these are fair game in terms of market research
3. Define your target user based on what you hear
Demographic
Who are they?
Psychographic
Men between the ages of 25-35 with above average income
What do they think?
Behavioral
Who are sick and tired of Apple and see the Iphone as a cliché.
What do they do?
They are looking for a new phone and probably visit Gizmodo and Inventorspot on a daily basis.
4. Define the issue in their life you intend to solve
Our target user, an Independent minded techie, is looking for a cool gadget that isn’t a part of the mainstream cult of Apple.
5. Land your positioning in a single line
We are to Apple in 2010 what Apple was to IBM in 1984.
6. Come to the next session with 100 things that exemplify that idea outside of your category
the ideas are allowed to be bad
How do you have a few good ideas? By having a lot of bad ideas.
7. And 20 starting names for your venture
Flickr – photos. Lanyrd – conferences. Mint – personal finance. Gameplan – organizing sports.
This action might not be possible to undo. Are you sure you want to continue?