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Sixth Annual Meeting of the Evolutionary Demography Society

10-12 January, 2019, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL 33124


Cox Science Center, Lecture Hall Room 126 and Lobby
1301 Memorial Drive, Coral Gables, FL 33124
Sponsors Organizing Committee
UM College of Arts and Sciences Carol Horvitz, University of Miami
UM Institute of Theoretical and Mathematical Ecology Deborah Roach, University of Virginia
UM Vice Provost for Research James Carey, University of California, Davis
UM Department of Biology S. Tuljapurkar, Stanford University
Evolutionary Demography Society Michelle Afkhami, University of Miami
Don De Angelis, University of Miami and USGS

Student Assistants Staff Associate


Katherine Mendilut Ebony Gallagher, University of Miami
Kristine Padgett
Anastasiya Plotnikova

WiFi Access: choose "CanesGuest"


DAY 1 Jan 10
10-Jan 8:00 AM buses pick up: from Residence Inn Coconut Grove, 2835 Tigertail Ave (core hotel area) and from Hampton Inn Coconut Grove,2800 SW 28th Terrace

Welcome ceremony

10-Jan 8:35 AM Leonidas G. Bachas, Dean, College of Arts and Sciences


R. Stephen Cantrell, Chair, Department of Mathematics; Director,
Institute for Theoretical and Mathematical Ecology
Athula H. Wikramanayake, Chair, Department of Biology

Talks (K= keynote; 20 min + 5 for questions; L=lightning: 5 min + 3 for questions)
Author Co-Authors Title

10-Jan 8:50 AM K 1 Daniel Promislow The Dog Aging Project: Genes and Environment, Doggos and
Demography
10-Jan 9:15 AM K 2 Shripad Tuljapurkar Fitness and the Demography of the Genome
10-Jan 9:40 AM L 1 Michelle Afkhami Aaron David, Khum Thapa- Do microbiomes matter? Combining demographic modeling and experimental approaches
Magar, Pedro Quintana- to understand the role of soil microbiomes for persistence of imperiled plants.
Ascencio, Eric Menges,
Christopher A Searcy
10-Jan 9:48 AM L 2 Jaime Anaya-Rojas Tomos Potter, Alison Competitive asymmetry between Trinidadian guppies ( Poecilia reticulata) and killifish
Blanchette, Shay Callahan, ( Rivulus hartii)
Ronald Bassar, and Joseph
Travis
10-Jan 9:56 AM L 3 David Steinsaltz Maria Christodoulou Longitudinal data, latent processes, and ageing

10-Jan 10:15 AM coffee break

10-Jan 10:45 AM K3 Elisabetta Barbi Demography of Human Longevity


10-Jan 11:10 AM L 4 James Anderson Telomeres, hematopoiesis and the longevity-biomass relationship
10-Jan 11:18 AM L 5 Saul Newman The role of errors in late-life mortality patterns
10-Jan 11:26 AM L 6 Matthias Galipaud Kokko, Hanna The effect of extrinsic mortality on senescence: where are we and where should we go?

10-Jan 11:34 AM L 7 Julie Landes Fanie Pelletier, Olivia Bagley, Are human aging rates decelerating?
Konstantin Arbeev, Luigi
Ferrucci, Alan Cohen
10-Jan 11:42 AM L 8 Morgane Tidiere Adele Badruna, Dominique Influence of pathogenic environment on mammals: sex differences in longevity and ageing
Pontier, Jean-Michel Gaillard,
Jean-Francois Lemaitre

10-Jan 11:50 AM L 9 Anna C Vinton David A Vasseur Evolutionary rescue amidst environmental stress depends on the life-history traits under

10-Jan 12 noon lunch Cox Science Center Lobby

10-Jan 1:15 PM K 4 Yngvild Vindenes Using demographic approaches to understand ecological and evolutionary
responses to a warmer and more variable world
10-Jan 1:40 PM K 5 Charlotte de Vries Linking life history theory, population genetics and population ecology using
evolutionary demography: a matrix population approach
10-Jan 2:05 PM L 10 Christopher Searcy Adam Clause, Levi Gray, Martin Building the first amphibian integral projection model: implications for managing the
Krkosek, Hilary Rollins, Peter endangered California tiger salamander
Trenham, Brad Shaffer

10-Jan 2:13 PM L 11 tba tba


10-Jan 2:21 PM L 12 Christophe Coste Samuel Pavard Using Trait Level Analysis of Multitrait Matrices to
analyze the effects of Costs of Reproduction on Individual Fitness
10-Jan 2:29 PM L 13 Christina Hernandez Silke van Daalen, Hal Caswell, Maternal age and fitness in a rotifer: a demographic analysis
Michael Neubert, Kristin
Gribble
10-Jan 2:37 PM L 14 Kristin Gribble Martha J. Bock, George C. Maternal age effects on offspring aging and response to caloric restriction
Jarvis, Emily L. Corey, Emily E.
Stone

10-Jan 2:45 PM coffee break/posters

10-Jan 3:30 PM K 6 Shayna Bernstein An age-stage Markovian approach to dynamic heterogeneity and poverty
10-Jan 3:55 PM K 7 Uli Steiner Evolution of individual heterogeneity
10-Jan 4:20 PM L 15 Erin Fegley Deborah A. Roach Early-late life history trade-offs and senescence among plant species
10-Jan 4:28 PM L 16 Jennifer Blake-Mahmud Lena Struwe Patterns of sex expression, health, and mortality in a sex-changing tree
10-Jan 4:36 PM L 17 James Holland Jones Michael H. Price, Michael New Estimates of Hunter-Gatherer Mortality Patterns From Improved Fits of the Siler Model
Gurven
10-Jan 4:44 PM L 18 Daniel Kruger Sex ratio biases and life history variation in modern human populations
10-Jan 4:52 PM L 19 Rachel Spigler Effects of mating system change on population dynamics: an experimental test (in the
making...)

10-Jan 5:00 PM Poster Reception Cox Science Center Lobby


10-Jan 7:15 PM bus back to hotels

10-Jan dinner on your own - small groups Coconut Grove

DAY 2 Jan 11
11-Jan 8:00 AM buses pick up: from Residence Inn Coconut Grove, 2835 Tigertail Ave (core hotel area) and from Hampton Inn Coconut Grove,2800 SW 28th Terrace

11-Jan 8:30 AM K 8 James Carey Methuselah’s gift: Exploring the human lifespan
11-Jan 8:55 AM K 9 Rebecca Sear (by Skype) Evolutionary ‘population studies’: how can evolutionary theory help us understand
variation in human fertility across time and space?
11-Jan 9:20 AM L 20 Ioanna Visviki Nicholas Malizia, Amir Socioeconomic Status and Longevity in a Religious Order
Niknejad
11-Jan 9:28 AM L 21 James D. M. Tolliver Susanne Schindler, Kari Modeling a balanced reproductive polymorphism in an iconic system of sexual selection
Koivula, Nelli Roenkae, Natalia
Karlionova, David B. Lank, and
Clemens Kuepper
11-Jan 9:36 AM L 22 Oldrich Tomasek Alexandre Racine, Barbora Testing the avian fast-slow life-history continuum across traits and ecological contexts
Blazkova, Tomas Albrecht, Alan
A. Cohen
11-Jan 9:44 AM L 23 Steven Orzack Max Shpak, Nathan Myhrvold Update: Why are dinosaurs big and mammals are not?

11-Jan 9:52 AM L 24 Saul Newman Invalid findings from regression choices and rounding errors

11-Jan 10:00 AM coffee break/posters

11-Jan 10:45 AM K 10 Emily Bruns The evolution of age-specific resistance: a case study of anther-smut disease on
wild carnations
11-Jan 11:10 AM L 25 Lalasia Bialic-Murphy Christopher D. Heckel, Robert Habitat degradation drives up reproductive costs, altering the reproductive strategy and
M. McElderry, Susan Kalisz operational sex ratio of an understory perennial

11-Jan 11:18 AM L 26 Mark Belk Ethan Damron, Dane Jo, Senescence and the cost of reproduction: how reproductive costs accrue over a lifetime
Ashlee Smith, Curtis Creighton
11-Jan 11:26 AM L 27 Raisa Hernandez-Pacheco Ulrich K. Steiner, Kristine L. Perturbation response to a hurricane in a non-human primate population
Grayson
11-Jan 11:34 AM L 28 J. Aaron Hogan Jess K. Zimmerman, Jill The Frequency of Cyclonic Wind Storms Shapes Tropical Forest Dynamism and Functional
Thompson, MarIa Uriarte, Trait Dispersion
Nathan G. Swenson, Richard
Condit, Stephen Hubbell,
Daniel J. Johnson, I Fang Sun,
Chia-Hao Chang-Yang, Sheng-
Hsin Su, Perry Ong, Lillian
Rodriguez, Carla C. Monoy,
Sandra Yap, Stuart J. Davies

11-Jan 11:42 AM L 29 Diana Rypkema Carol Horvitz, Shripad How climate affects extreme events and hence ecological population models
Tuljapurkar
11-Jan 11:50 AM L 30 Stephanie Jenouvrier An eco-evolutionary model predicts population response of Black-browed Albatross to
climate change

11-Jan 12 noon lunch / Evolutionary Demography Society Board Meeting : Cox Science Center Room 166

11-Jan 1:15 PM K 11 tba tba


11-Jan 1:40 PM K 12 Susan Kalisz J. Mason Heberling, Alison Linking species interactions, physiology and demography in the forest understory
Hale
11-Jan 2:05 PM L 31 Robert McElderry Priyanga Amarasekare Thermal reaction norms of life history traits exhibit cryptic genetic variation for more
constrained traits
11-Jan 2:13 PM L 32 Cary Tuckfield Mark Belk Evidence for climate cycle variation among annual growth rates of WY sage-grouse using
lek counts
11-Jan 2:21 PM L 33 Matthew Wolak Among-individual differences in survival and reproduction in a natural population of song
sparrows
11-Jan 2:29 PM L 34 Jane Molofsky Stephen Keller, Lindsey Demographic processes following plant hybridization
Millbrath
11-Jan 2:37 PM L 35 C. Jessica Metcalf B.L. Koskella, Luke Henry Living together, over long and short time-scales: plants and their microbes

11-Jan 2:45 PM coffee break/posters

11-Jan 3:30 PM K 13 Wenyun Zuo Traveling Wave: Advancing front of old-age human survival
11-Jan 3:55 PM K 14 Susanne Schindler Life-history consequences of conflict between social groups
11-Jan 4:20 PM L 36 Samuel Pavard Goki Ly, Romain Laurent, From social organizations to genetics diversity in South-East Asia: why kinship demography
Berenice Alard, Sophie Lafosse, matters.
Chou Monidarin, Gerard
Diffloth, Frederic Bourdier,
Olivier Evrard, Bruno
Toupance, Raphaelle Chaix

11-Jan 4:28 PM L 37 Brandie Quarles Deborah Roach Evidence for Multiple Aging Phenotypes in Plantago lanceolata
11-Jan 4:36 PM L 38 David Miller Beth Reinke, Fred Janzen, and Joint estimation of growth and survival from mark-recapture data to improve estimates of
Anne Bronikowski senescence in wild populations
11-Jan 4:44 PM L 39 tba tba
11-Jan 4:52 PM L 40 David Iles Stephanie Jenouvrier, Rubao Ji, Local to global hierarchical structuring of Adelie penguin responses to climate
Heather Lynch

11-Jan 5:00 PM posters / Awards Judges' Committee Meeting (Cox Science Center, Room 166A)

11-Jan 5:30 PM bus back to hotels

11-Jan 8:00 PM Banquet/ Awards - Coconut Grove - Peacock Garden Café -2889 McFarlane Rd, Coconut Grove, FL 33133

DAY 3 Jan 12
check out of hotel/ pick up is later
12-Jan 8:30 AM buses pick up: from Residence Inn Coconut Grove, 2835 Tigertail Ave (core hotel area) and from Hampton Inn Coconut Grove,2800 SW 28th Terrace

12-Jan 9:00 AM K 15 Ron Bassar Linking experimental studies in the laboratory and nature to understand eco-
evolutionary feedbacks: an example using Trinidadian guppies
12-Jan 9:25 AM K 16 Takenori Takada Randomly-generated population projection matrices and COMPADRE Plant Matrix
Database: Focusing on elasticity and inter-stage flow
12-Jan 9:50 AM L 41 Michael Neubert Emily Moberg, Esther Shyu, On The Bioeconomics Of Marine Reserves When Dispersal Evolves
Guillermo Herrera, Suzanne
Lenhart, Yuan Lou
12-Jan 9:58 AM L 42 Arni S.R. Srinivasa Rao James R. Carey A Partition Theorem for a Randomly Selected Large Population
12-Jan 10:06 AM L 43 Hiroyuki Yokomizo Keiichi Fukaya, John G. Comparative demography among four functional groups based on elasticity and inter-stage
Lambrinos, Yuka flows of individuals
Kawai,Takenori Takada

12-Jan 10:15 AM coffee break / posters

12-Jan 10:45 AM K 17 Luke Eberhart-Phillips The interplay between behavioral ecology and population dynamics
12-Jan 11:10 AM L 44 Sean MacMahon Global demographic attractors for tree species: implications for biome shifts
12-Jan 11:18 AM L 45 Carol Horvitz Extreme environments: return times and stochastic population dynamics

Worskshops (concurrent, start before lunch at 11:30 and continue after lunch)
12-Jan 11:30 AM W 1 Tom Miller Room 166 Bayesian approaches to population models - intro
12-Jan 11:30 AM W 2 Christophe Coste Samuel Pavard Room 217 How traits impact evolution and ecology in multi-trait matrix models -
intro
12-Jan 11:30 AM W 3 David Steinsaltz Room 108 Stochastic models in demography - intro

12-Jan 12 noon lunch Cox Science Center Lobby

12-Jan 1:15 PM W 1 Tom Miller Room 166 Bayesian approaches to population models - continued
12-Jan 1:15 PM W 2 Christophe Coste Samuel Pavard Room 217 How traits impact evolution and ecology in multi-trait matrix models -
continued
12-Jan 1:15 PM W 3 David Steinsaltz Room 108 Stochastic models in demography - continued

12-Jan 3:00 PM end of conference

Posters (must fit in space that is 48 inches wide by 36 inches high)

Posters will be on display throughout the meeting


Cox Science Center Lobby
Author Co-Authors Title
P 1 Young-Jae Cha Woorim Ko, Yejin Lim, Competition Tightness Underlies the Effect of Population Density on Fertility: A Life History
Jaekyung Jang, Youngtae Cho, Theory
P 2 Bethany Fowler Dayk Jang
Michael Neubert, Kristen Half a million matrices: size-structured modeling reveals in situ phytoplankton dynamics
Hunter-Cevera, Andrew Solow,
Heidi Sosik
P 3 Joshua Fowler Tom Miller Vertically transmitted fungal symbionts buffer host demographic variability
P 4 Walid Mawass Emmanuel Milot, Francine M. The effect of environmental conditions during development on age at first reproduction and
Mayer fitness: a life-history and quantitative genetic perspective
P 5 Jessie Mutz Structured by density: population-level consequences of spatial structure for an insect
herbivore
P 6 Brandie Quarles Kathleen Donohue Demographic and Evolutionary Consequences of Dispersal
P 7 Christina Hernandez Silke van Daalen, Hal Caswell, Maternal age and fitness in a rotifer: a demographic analysis
Michael Neubert, Kristin
Gribble
P 8 David Iles Stephanie Jenouvrier, Rubao Ji, Local to global hierarchical structuring of Adelie penguin responses to climate
Heather Lynch
P 9 Julie Landes Fanie Pelletier, Olivia Bagley, Are human aging rates decelerating?
Konstantin Arbeev, Luigi
Ferrucci, Alan Cohen
P 10 Diana Rypkema Carol Horvitz, Shripad How climate affects extreme events and hence ecological population models
Tuljapurkar
P 11 Christopher Searcy Adam Clause, Levi Gray, Martin Building the first amphibian integral projection model: implications for managing the
Krkosek, Hilary Rollins, Peter endangered California tiger salamander
Trenham, Brad Shaffer

P 12 James D. M. Tolliver Susanne Schindler, Kari Modeling a balanced reproductive polymorphism in an iconic system of sexual selection
Koivula, Nelli Roenkae, Natalia
Karlionova, David B. Lank, and
Clemens Kuepper
P 13 Oldrich Tomasek Alexandre Racine, Barbora Testing the avian fast-slow life-history continuum across traits and ecological contexts
Blazkova, Tomas Albrecht, Alan
A. Cohen
P 14 Ioanna Visviki Nicholas Malizia, Amir Socioeconomic Status and Longevity in a Religious Order
Niknejad
P 15 Hiroyuki Yokomizo Keiichi Fukaya, John G. Comparative demography among four functional groups based on elasticity and inter-stage
Lambrinos, Yuka flows of individuals
Kawai,Takenori Takada
P 16 Sathvik Palakurty Don DeAngelis, Michelle Interaction Frequencies Determine Specialization in Mutualism
Akfhami
P 17 Erin Fegley Deborah A. Roach Early-late life history trade-offs and senescence among plant species