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JAN FEB MARCH APRIL MAY JUNE JULY AUG

NO YEAR 31 28 31 30 31 30 31 31
1 1995 254 178 384 202.5 210 213.5 197 80
2 1996 248.5 294.5 196.5 192 93 75.5 58.5 125
3 1997 127.5 86.5 129 120.5 141.5 12 83 26
4 1998 113 106.5 16 46 114 206 270 162.5
5 1999 393 267.5 288 160 112 44 34 19
6 2000 209.5 256.5 226 241.5 146 116.5 41 92
7 2001 167.5 370.5 325.5 272.5 19 244 57 12
8 2002 488.5 390.5 456.5 316.5 187.5 158.5 52.5 25
9 2003 249.5 322 513.5 332 141 101.5 63 134
10 2004 614 372.5 461.5 228 268 174 163 7
11 2005 528 301 600.5 374 376.3 275 200.5 63
12 2006 276.45 388.95 486 373.7 277.72 385 98.5 105
13 2007 647.1 631.25 289.4 582.1 416.9 336.6 165.75 206.27
14 2008 391.7 288.75 634.7 512 166.5 114,00 256 188.5
15 2009 614 372.5 461.5 228 268 174 163 7
MAX 647.1 631.25 634.7 582.1 416.9 385 270 206.27
AVG. 354.81667 308.49667 364.57333 278.75333 195.828 179.72143 126.85 83.484667
MIN 113 86.5 16 46 19 12 34 7
SEPT OCT NOV DEC TOTAL
30 31 30 31 YEAR MAX DATE
81 107 232.5 295.5 2435 384 9/9/1995
148 322.5 238.5 295.5 2288 322.5 21/04/96
124 59 112 254.5 1275.5 254.5 3/7/1997
136 321.5 371.5 372.5 2235.5 372.5 26/06/98
30 172 210.5 273 2003 393 20/04/99
111 180.5 240.5 157.5 2018.5 256.5 16/01/00
210.1 196.5 370.5 313 2558.1 370.5 23/03/01
45 46.5 244 392.5 2803.5 488.5 15/01/02
112.5 135 442 370.5 2916.5 513.5 11/8/2003
81 18 417 668.5 3472.5 668.5 22/02/04
126.5 298 474.8 586.8 4204.4 600.5 21/04/05
123 62 177 453 3206.32 486 22/03/06
95.1 340.9 512.7 264.05 4488.12 647.1 04/048/07
131.8 262.8 584.2 623.2 4040.15 634.7 3006/08
81 18 417 668.5 3472.5 668.5
210.1 340.9 584.2 668.5 5577.02 7060.8 15/01/02
109.06667 169.34667 336.31333 399.23667 2906.4874 470.72
30 18 112 157.5 651

jlh hujan maks


average maks
Curah Hujan Max Curah hujan rata-rata
No. Tahun
(x) mm (xbar) mm (Xi –X) (Xi - X)2 S
1 1995 384 470.72 -86.72 7520.3584 21665.587
2 1996 322.5 470.72 -148.22 21969.1684 147.1924
3 1997 254.5 470.72 -216.22 46751.0884
4 1998 372.5 470.72 -98.22 9647.1684
5 1999 393 470.72 -77.72 6040.3984
6 2000 256.5 470.72 -214.22 45890.2084
7 2001 370.5 470.72 -100.22 10044.0484
8 2002 488.5 470.72 17.78 316.1284
9 2003 513.5 470.72 42.78 1830.1284
10 2004 668.5 470.72 197.78 39116.9284
11 2005 600.5 470.72 129.78 16842.8484
12 2006 486 470.72 15.28 233.4784
13 2007 647.1 470.72 176.38 31109.9044
14 2008 634.7 470.72 163.98 26889.4404
15 2009 668.5 470.72 197.78 39116.9284
jumlah 470.72 303318.224
· Curah hujan rencana
2.6
S
XT  X   Yt  Y n 
Sn
a) Variasi reduksi dari variable yang diramalkan (YT) b) Variasi reduksi rata-rat

  T  1     n  1 
YT   ln  ln  r Yn   ln  ln 
   n 1
  Tr  

Periode Ulang (tr-1)/tr Yt no urut


2 1 0.366513 1
3 2 0.90272 2
4 3 1.245899 3
5 4 1.49994 4
6 5 1.701983 5
7 6 1.869825 6
8 7 2.013419 7
9 8 2.138911 8
10 9 2.250367 9
11 10 2.350619 10
12 11 2.441716 11
13 12 2.525195 12
14 13 2.602232 13
15 14 2.673752 14
15
jlh
Average Yn bar

c) Standar deviasi dari variasi reduksi rata-rata (Sn)

2 a b sn sn telah diakar
 ___


 Yn  Yn 

15.62 14 1.115714 1.06
Sn 
n 1
Variasi reduksi rata-rata (Yn)

   n  1  m  
Yn   ln  ln  
  n  1  

data ketetapan a b Yn Yn (Yn - Y n)2


15 1 15 16 2.740493 0.5128 4.96261613
15 1 14 16 2.013419 0.5128 2.25185642
15 1 13 16 1.571953 0.5128 1.12180408
15 1 12 16 1.245899 0.5128 0.53743462
15 1 11 16 0.981647 0.5128 0.21981756
15 1 10 16 0.755015 0.5128 0.05866804
15 1 9 16 0.552752 0.5128 0.00159617
15 1 8 16 0.366513 0.5128 0.02139991
15 1 7 16 0.190339 0.5128 0.10398089
15 1 6 16 0.019357 0.5128 0.2434861
15 1 5 16 -0.15113 0.5128 0.44080642
15 1 4 16 -0.32663 0.5128 0.70464988
15 1 3 16 -0.5152 0.5128 1.05678789
15 1 2 16 -0.7321 0.5128 1.54977444
15 1 1 16 -1.01978 0.5128 2.34880587
7.692537 15.6234844
Average Yn bar 0.512836

n telah diakar
S/SN YT-YN x TOTAL xt
Curah Hujan 138.8608 -0.143 470.72 -19.8571 450.8629 15.02876
147.7136 -0.1252 447.35 -18.4937 428.8563
S
XT  X   Yt  Yn 
Sn

XT
X = curah hujan rata-rata (470,72 mm)
S = standar deviasi (147,1924)
Sn = standar deviasi dari variasi reduksi rata-rata (1,06)
YT = variasi reduksi dari variable yang diramalkan (0,37)
Yn = variasi reduksi rata-rata dari jumlah data (0,51)
X = curah hujan rata-rata (447,35 mm)
S = standar deviasi (147,7136)
Sn = standar deviasi dari variasi reduksi rata-rata (1,00)
YT = variasi reduksi dari variable yang diramalkan (0,37)
Yn = variasi reduksi rata-rata dari jumlah data (0,4952)
JAN FEB MARCH APRIL MAY JUNE JULY AUG
NO YEAR 31 28 31 30 31 30 31 31
1 1995 8.19 6.36 12.39 6.75 6.77 7.12 2.58 6.35
2 1996 8.02 10.16 6.34 6.4 3 2.52 4.03 1.89
3 1997 12.15 4.95 3.64 3.83 2.84 0.4 0.23 2.18
4 1998 4.5 1.36 0.32 2.37 8.08 5.88 1.37 6.32
5 1999 10.5 7.48 5.74 5.45 5.37 1.72 0.74 1.1
6 2000 7.26 6.47 4.55 5.82 5.84 4.72 3.98 2.92
7 2001 5.4 13.23 10.5 9.08 0.61 8.13 1.84 0.39
8 2002 15.76 13.95 14.73 10.55 6.05 5.28 1.69 0.81
9 2003 8.05 11.5 16.56 11.07 4.55 3.38 2.03 4.32
10 2004 19.81 12.84 14.89 7.6 8.65 5.8 5.26 0.23
11 2005 17.03 10.75 19.37 12.47 12.14 9.17 6.47 2.03
12 2006 8.92 13.89 15.68 12.46 8.96 12.83 3.18 3.39
13 2007 20.87 22.54 9.34 19.4 13.45 11.22 5.35 6.65
14 2008 12.64 9.96 20.47 17.07 5.37 3.8 8.26 6.08
15 2009 22 14 17 17 15 13 17 10
MAX 22 22.54 20.47 19.4 15 13 17 10
AVG. 12.073333 10.629333 11.434667 9.8213333 7.112 6.3313333 4.2673333 3.644
MIN 4.5 1.36 0.32 2.37 0.61 0.4 0.23 0.23
SEPT OCT NOV DEC TOTAL
30 31 30 31 YEAR MAX DATE
2.7 3.45 7.75 9.53 79.94 10.4
4.93 10.4 7.95 9.53 75.17 12.15
- 2.1 2 8.47 42.79 13.03
1.08 12 13.03 10.18 66.49 10.5
2.47 5.13 8.4 7.63 61.73 8.98
3.28 8.98 8.5 1.52 63.84 13.23
7 6.34 12.35 10.1 84.97 15.76
1.5 1.5 8.13 12.66 92.61 16.56
3.75 4.35 14.73 11.95 96.24 21.56
2.7 0.58 13.9 21.56 113.82 19.37
4.22 9.61 15.83 18.93 138.02 15.68
4.08 1.98 5.89 14.6 105.86 22.54
3.17 11 17.09 8.52 148.6 20.47
4.39 8.48 19.47 20.1 136.09 31
7 15 21 31 199 31
7 15 21 31 213.41 262.23
3.7335714 6.7266667 11.734667 13.085333 100.59357 17.482
1.08 0.58 2 1.52 15.2
Curah HujanCurah
Max hujan rata-rata
No. Tahun
(x) mm (xbar) mm (Xi –X) (Xi - X)2 S
1 1995 10.4 17.48 -7.08 50.1264 47.48275
2 1996 12.15 17.48 -5.33 28.4089 6.81
3 1997 13.03 17.48 -4.45 19.8025
4 1998 10.5 17.48 -6.98 48.7204
5 1999 8.98 17.48 -8.5 72.25
6 2000 13.23 17.48 -4.25 18.0625
7 2001 15.76 17.48 -1.72 2.9584
8 2002 16.56 17.48 -0.92 0.8464
9 2003 21.56 17.48 4.08 16.6464
10 2004 19.37 17.48 1.89 3.5721
11 2005 15.68 17.48 -1.8 3.24
12 2006 22.54 17.48 5.06 25.6036
13 2007 20.47 17.48 2.99 8.9401
14 2008 31 17.48 13.52 182.7904
15 2009 31 17.48 13.52 182.7904
jumlah 262.23 664.7585
average 17.482 17.48 0.002 44.31723
· Curah hujan rencana

S
XT  X   Yt  Y n 
Sn
a) Variasi reduksi dari variable yang diramalkan (YT)

  T  1 
YT   ln  ln  r 
  Tr  

Periode Ulang(tr-1)/tr Yt
2 1 0.366513
3 2 0.90272
4 3 1.245899
5 4 1.49994
6 5 1.701983
7 6 1.869825
8 7 2.013419
9 8 2.138911
10 9 2.250367
11 10 2.350619
12 11 2.441716
13 12 2.525195
14 13 2.602232
15 14 2.673752

c) Standar deviasi dari variasi reduksi rata-rata (Sn)

2
 ___


 Yn  Yn 

Sn 
n 1
b) Variasi reduksi rata-rata (Yn)

   n  1  m  
Yn   ln  ln  
  n  1  

no urut data ketetapan a b Yn Yn (Yn - Y n)2


1 15 1 15 16 2.740493 0.5128 4.962616
2 15 1 14 16 2.013419 0.5128 2.251856
3 15 1 13 16 1.571953 0.5128 1.121804
4 15 1 12 16 1.245899 0.5128 0.537435
5 15 1 11 16 0.981647 0.5128 0.219818
6 15 1 10 16 0.755015 0.5128 0.058668
7 15 1 9 16 0.552752 0.5128 0.001596
8 15 1 8 16 0.366513 0.5128 0.0214
9 15 1 7 16 0.190339 0.5128 0.103981
10 15 1 6 16 0.019357 0.5128 0.243486
11 15 1 5 16 -0.15113 0.5128 0.440806
12 15 1 4 16 -0.32663 0.5128 0.70465
13 15 1 3 16 -0.5152 0.5128 1.056788
14 15 1 2 16 -0.7321 0.5128 1.549774
15 15 1 1 16 -1.01978 0.5128 2.348806
jlh 7.692537 15.62348
Average Yn bar 0.512836 1.041566

ri variasi reduksi rata-rata (Sn)

a b sn sn telah diakar
15.62 14 1.115714 1.06
S/SN YT-YN x TOTAL
Curah Hujan 6.424528 -0.14 17.48 -0.89943

S
XT  X   Yt  Yn 
Sn

XT
X = curah hujan rata-rata (17,48 mm)
S = standar deviasi (6,81)
Sn = standar deviasi dari variasi reduksi rata-rata (1,06)
YT = variasi reduksi dari variable yang diramalkan (0,37)
Yn = variasi reduksi rata-rata dari jumlah data (0,51)

S
XT  X   Yt  Yn 
Sn
6,81
X T  17,48   0,367  0,51
1,06
X T  16 , 58 mm
xt
16.58057 15.02876

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