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Shaw and Company Research

2010 Iowa Judicial Elections Brushfire Survey
CONFIDENTIAL DOCUMENT N=309 Registered Voters October 20-21, 2010

QA. Oftentimes people want to vote and even plan to vote, but family or job or other matters keep them from voting. Keeping this in mind, how likely are you to vote in the November 2 election? 80% 7% 10% 3% Will definitely vote. Will almost certainly vote. Will probably vote. Might vote.

Q1. Do you think you will vote absentee or on Election Day? 35% 61% 4% Absentee Election Day Don tr know/NA

Q2. Sometimes people don t have a lot of time when they vote or don t know all the candidates, so they vote a straight party ticket or they don t cast a vote in every race on the ballot. Thinking ahead to this fall do you think you will: 18% 14% 38% 28% 3% Vote straight Republican Vote straight Democratic Vote in all races, but do so race-by-race Vote only in races where you know about the candidates Don t know/NA

For each of the following people or groups, please tell me if you think of them very favorably, somewhat favorably, somewhat unfavorably, very unfavorably, or don t you have an opinion? Very favor. 28% 33% 21% 25% 13% 15% 13% 11% 8% 2% 2% Somewhat favor. 23 37 25 26 27 15 17 29 9 9 7 Somewhat unfavor. 10 7 9 18 18 13 10 12 4 2 3 Very unfavor. 34 7 29 21 30 28 15 16 7 4 8 No opinion 5 16 16 11 12 29 46 32 73 83 80

Q3. Barack Obama Q4. Chuck Grassley Q5. Tom Harkin Q6. Terry Branstad Q7. Chet Culver Q8 The Tea Party Movement Q9. The Iowa State Bar Association Q10. Attorneys Q11. Marsha K. Ternus Q12. Michael J. Streit Q13. David Baker

Shaw & Company Research October 23, 2010 RESULTS³Iowa Statewide Survey

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Q14. If the election for governor were held today, would you vote for Democrat Chet Culver, Republican Terry Branstad, or haven t you thought enough about it? 36% 45% 19% Chet Culver Terry Branstad Don t know/NA

Q15. What about the election for attorney general? Would you vote for Democrat Tom Miller, Republican Brenna Findley, or haven t you thought enough about it? 38% 36% 26% Tom Miller Brenna Findley Don t know/NA

As you may know, Iowa has a unique system for choosing judges. A nominating commission presents a list of qualified individuals to the governor, who then appoints judges from the list. After one year of judicial service and at regular intervals, judges must run in retention elections. On November 2, three judges from the state supreme court will be on the ballot. Q16. Do you think you will vote YES to retaining each of these judges, NO to retaining these judges, will you skip these votes, or haven t you thought enough about it? 36% 35% 3% 26% 1% Yes, retain judges No, do not retain judges Will skip races Haven t thought enough about Don t know/NA

Shaw & Company Research October 23, 2010 RESULTS³Iowa Statewide Survey

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GENDER 48% Male 52% Female

AGE 7% 23% 16% 23% 32%

18-29 30-44 45-54 55-64 65+

INCOME 30% Less than $40,000. 60% Greater than $40,000. 11% Don t know/Refused/NA.

RELIGION 24% Mainline Protestant 10% Evangelical Protestant 23% Catholic 26% Other Christian 3% Non-Christian 5% Atheist/Agnostic 9% Don t know/NA

ATTEND 17% More than once a week 35% Once a week 21% Once or twice a month 18% A few times a year 6% Never 3% Don t know/NA

Do you consider yourself evangelical, fundamentalist, born-again, or conservative Christian? 59% Yes 41% No

PARTYID 29% Republican 28% Democrat 41% Neither 3% Don t know/NA

Do you think of yourself as liberal, moderate, or conservative? 17% Liberal 37% Moderate 41% Conservative 5% Don t know/NA

Shaw & Company Research October 23, 2010 RESULTS³Iowa Statewide Survey