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BIMESTRE CHOCOLATE LECHE (en kilos)

ANO PRIMERO SEGUNDO TERCERO CUARTO QUINTO SEXTO

2013 116700 116100 117900 118500 116370 116910


2014 122700 121500 123600 124500 124800 124200
2015 126900 126000 126300 127800 129000 129300
2016 144300 144900 145200 144600 145500 145800
2017 147000 148500 147600 147900 147600 148800

Promedio movil simple

Bimestre Dt Ft Et Abs(Et) Et^2 Et/Dt Abs(Et/Dt)


1 116700
2 116100
3 117900
4 118500 116900 1600 1600 2560000 0.0135 0.0135
5 116370 117500 -1130 1130 1276900 -0.0097 0.0097
6 116910 117590 -680 680 462400 -0.0058 0.0058
7 122700 117260 5440 5440 29593600 0.0443 0.0443
8 121500 118660 2840 2840 8065600 0.0234 0.0234
9 123600 120370 3230 3230 10432900 0.0261 0.0261
10 124500 122600 1900 1900 3610000 0.0153 0.0153
11 124800 123200 1600 1600 2560000 0.0128 0.0128
12 124200 124300 -100 100 10000 -0.0008 0.0008
13 126900 124500 2400 2400 5760000 0.0189 0.0189
14 126000 125300 700 700 490000 0.0056 0.0056
15 126300 125700 600 600 360000 0.0048 0.0048
16 127800 126400 1400 1400 1960000 0.0110 0.0110
17 129000 126700 2300 2300 5290000 0.0178 0.0178
18 129300 127700 1600 1600 2560000 0.0124 0.0124
19 144300 128700 15600 15600 243360000 0.1081 0.1081
20 144900 134200 10700 10700 114490000 0.0738 0.0738
21 145200 139500 5700 5700 32490000 0.0393 0.0393
22 144600 144800 -200 200 40000 -0.0014 0.0014
23 145500 144900 600 600 360000 0.0041 0.0041
24 145800 145100 700 700 490000 0.0048 0.0048
25 147000 145300 1700 1700 2890000 0.0116 0.0116
26 148500 146100 2400 2400 5760000 0.0162 0.0162
27 147600 147100 500 500 250000 0.0034 0.0034
28 147900 147700 200 200 40000 0.0014 0.0014
29 147600 148000 -400 400 160000 -0.0027 0.0027
30 148800 147700 1100 1100 1210000 0.0074 0.0074
31 147700 148100 -400 400 160000 -0.0027 0.0027
32 148100 148033.333 66.6666667 66.6666667 4444.44444 0.0005 0.0005
33 148033.333 148200 -166.66667 166.666667 27777.7778 -0.0011 0.0011
34 148200 147944.444 255.555556 255.555556 65308.642 0.0017 0.0017
35 147944.444 148111.111 -166.66667 166.666667 27777.7778 -0.0011 0.0011
36 148111.111 148059.259 51.8518519 51.8518519 2688.61454 0.0004 0.0004
Total 3553780 62300 67320 476531400 0.4553702 0.4962205

N 27 DAM 2493.33333
Promedio movil ponderado

Bimestre Dt Ft Et Abs(Et) Et^2 Et/Dt


1 116700 0.1
2 116100 0.1
3 117900 0.8
4 118500 117600 900 900 810000 0.0076
5 116370 118200 -1830 1830 3348900 -0.0157
6 116910 116736 174 174 30276 0.0015
7 122700 117015 5685 5685 32319225 0.0463
8 121500 121488 12 12 144 0.0001
9 123600 121161 2439 2439 5948721 0.0197
10 124500 123300 1200 1200 1440000 0.0096
11 124800 124110 690 690 476100 0.0055
12 124200 124650 -450 450 202500 -0.0036
13 126900 124290 2610 2610 6812100 0.0206
14 126000 126420 -420 420 176400 -0.0033
15 126300 125910 390 390 152100 0.0031
16 127800 126330 1470 1470 2160900 0.0115
17 129000 127470 1530 1530 2340900 0.0119
18 129300 128610 690 690 476100 0.0053
19 144300 129120 15180 15180 230432400 0.1052
20 144900 141270 3630 3630 13176900 0.0251
21 145200 143280 1920 1920 3686400 0.0132
22 144600 145080 -480 480 230400 -0.0033
23 145500 144690 810 810 656100 0.0056
24 145800 145380 420 420 176400 0.0029
25 147000 145650 1350 1350 1822500 0.0092
26 148500 146730 1770 1770 3132900 0.0119
27 147600 148080 -480 480 230400 -0.0033
28 147900 147630 270 270 72900 0.0018
29 147600 147930 -330 330 108900 -0.0022
30 148800 147630 1170 1170 1368900 0.0079
31 147630 148590 -960 960 921600 -0.0065
32 148590 147744 846 846 715716 0.0057
33 147744 148515 -771 771 594441 -0.0052
34 148515 147817.2 697.8 697.8 486924.84 0.0047
35 147817.2 148445.4 -628.2 628.2 394635.24 -0.0042
36 148445.4 147879.66 565.74 565.74 320061.748 0.0038
Total 3575760 40320 48300 311789466 0.29399133

N 27 DAM 1788.88889
α 0.2

Abs(et/dt) Bimestre Dt Ft Et Abs(Et) Et^2


1 116700 116900 -200 200 40000
2 116100 116740 -640 640 409600
3 117900 116972 928 928 861184
0.0076 4 118500 117277.6 1222.4 1222.4 1494261.76
0.0157 5 116370 117096.08 -726.08 726.08 527192.1664
0.0015 6 116910 117058.864 -148.864 148.864 22160.490496
0.0463 7 122700 118187.0912 4512.9088 4512.9088 20366345.83712
0.0001 8 121500 118849.67296 2650.32704 2650.32704 7024233.418955
0.0197 9 123600 119799.73837 3800.26163 3800.26163 14441988.47165
0.0096 10 124500 120739.79069 3760.20931 3760.20931 14139174.02192
0.0055 11 124800 121551.83256 3248.16744 3248.16744 10550591.74738
0.0036 12 124200 122081.46604 2118.53396 2118.53396 4488186.120962
0.0206 13 126900 123045.17284 3854.82716 3854.82716 14859692.46791
0.0033 14 126000 123636.13827 2363.86173 2363.86173 5587842.285999
0.0031 15 126300 124168.91061 2131.08939 2131.08939 4541541.967964
0.0115 16 127800 124895.12849 2904.87151 2904.87151 8438278.479194
0.0119 17 129000 125716.10279 3283.89721 3283.89721 10783980.86329
0.0053 18 129300 126432.88223 2867.11777 2867.11777 8220364.279827
0.1052 19 144300 130006.30579 14293.6942 14293.6942 204309694.2319
0.0251 20 144900 132985.04463 11914.9554 11914.9554 141966161.4634
0.0132 21 145200 135428.0357 9771.9643 9771.9643 95491286.19857
0.0033 22 144600 137262.42856 7337.57144 7337.57144 53839954.5879
0.0056 23 145500 138909.94285 6590.05715 6590.05715 43428853.23128
0.0029 24 145800 140287.95428 5512.04572 5512.04572 30382648.01336
0.0092 25 147000 141630.36342 5369.63658 5369.63658 28832996.95363
0.0119 26 148500 143004.29074 5495.70926 5495.70926 30202820.27541
0.0033 27 147600 143923.43259 3676.56741 3676.56741 13517147.90822
0.0018 28 147900 144718.74607 3181.25393 3181.25393 10120376.54607
0.0022 29 147600 145294.99686 2305.00314 2305.00314 5313039.481637
0.0079 30 148800 145995.99749 2804.00251 2804.00251 7862430.093363
0.0065 31 145995.997 122719.1995 23276.798 23276.798 541809324.6456
0.0057 32 122719.199 117935.8399 4783.3596 4783.3596 22880529.04289
0.0052 33 117935.84 117164.76798 771.07192 771.07192 594551.905167
0.0047 34 117164.768 117255.0336 -90.265616 90.2656161 8147.881446974
0.0042 35 117255.034 117127.87072 127.162877 127.162877 16170.39723179
0.0038 36 117127.871 117072.66534 55.2053754 55.2053754 3047.63346827
0.35697039 Total 3499984.0101 116095.99 117845.878 790753243.3639

N 27 DAM 4364.66215
Et/Dt Abs(et/dt)
-0.0017138 0.0017138
-0.0055125 0.00551249
0.00787108 0.00787108
0.0103 0.0103
-0.0062 0.0062
-0.0013 0.0013
0.0368 0.0368
0.0218 0.0218
0.0307 0.0307
0.0302 0.0302
0.0260 0.0260
0.0171 0.0171
0.0304 0.0304
0.0188 0.0188
0.0169 0.0169
0.0227 0.0227
0.0255 0.0255
0.0222 0.0222
0.0991 0.0991
0.0822 0.0822
0.0673 0.0673
0.0507 0.0507
0.0453 0.0453
0.0378 0.0378
0.0365 0.0365
0.0370 0.0370
0.0249 0.0249
0.0215 0.0215
0.0156 0.0156
0.0188 0.0188
0.1594 0.1594
0.0390 0.0390
0.0065 0.0065
-0.0008 0.0008
0.0011 0.0011
0.0005 0.0005
0.83864274 0.8536682
BIMESTRE BITTER (en kilos)

ANO PRIMERO SEGUNDO TERCERO CUARTO QUINTO SEXTO

2013 118350 117750 119550 120150 118020 118560


2014 124950 123750 125850 126750 127050 126450
2015 130050 129150 129450 130950 132150 132450
2016 147900 148500 148800 148200 149100 149400
2017 150300 151800 150900 151200 150900 152100

Promedio movil simple

Bimestre Dt Ft Et Abs(Et) Et^2 Et/Dt Abs(Et/Dt)


1 118350
2 117750
3 119550
4 120150 118550 1600 1600 2560000 0.0133 0.0133
5 118020 119150 -1130 1130 1276900 -0.0096 0.0096
6 118560 119240 -680 680 462400 -0.0057 0.0057
7 124950 118910 6040 6040 36481600 0.0483 0.0483
8 123750 120510 3240 3240 10497600 0.0262 0.0262
9 125850 122420 3430 3430 11764900 0.0273 0.0273
10 126750 124850 1900 1900 3610000 0.0150 0.0150
11 127050 125450 1600 1600 2560000 0.0126 0.0126
12 126450 126550 -100 100 10000 -0.0008 0.0008
13 130050 126750 3300 3300 10890000 0.0254 0.0254
14 129150 127850 1300 1300 1690000 0.0101 0.0101
15 129450 128550 900 900 810000 0.0070 0.0070
16 130950 129550 1400 1400 1960000 0.0107 0.0107
17 132150 129850 2300 2300 5290000 0.0174 0.0174
18 132450 130850 1600 1600 2560000 0.0121 0.0121
19 147900 131850 16050 16050 257602500 0.1085 0.1085
20 148500 137500 11000 11000 121000000 0.0741 0.0741
21 148800 142950 5850 5850 34222500 0.0393 0.0393
22 148200 148400 -200 200 40000 -0.0013 0.0013
23 149100 148500 600 600 360000 0.0040 0.0040
24 149400 148700 700 700 490000 0.0047 0.0047
25 150300 148900 1400 1400 1960000 0.0093 0.0093
26 151800 149600 2200 2200 4840000 0.0145 0.0145
27 150900 150500 400 400 160000 0.0027 0.0027
28 151200 151000 200 200 40000 0.0013 0.0013
29 150900 151300 -400 400 160000 -0.0027 0.0027
30 152100 151000 1100 1100 1210000 0.0072 0.0072
31 151000 151400 -400 400 160000 -0.0026 0.0026
32 151400 151333.333 66.6666667 66.6666667 4444.4444444432 0.0004 0.0004
33 151333.333 151500 -166.66667 166.666667 27777.777777775 -0.0011 0.0011
34 151500 151244.444 255.555556 255.555556 65308.641975297 0.0017 0.0017
35 151244.444 151411.111 -166.66667 166.666667 27777.777777775 -0.0011 0.0011
36 151411.111 151359.259 51.8518519 51.8518519 2688.6145404636 0.0003 0.0003
Total 3629230 65600 70620 514508400 0.4707740864 0.5109766

N 27 DAM 2615.55556
Promedio movil ponderado

Bimestre Dt Ft Et Abs(Et) Et^2 Et/Dt


1 118350 0.1
2 117750 0.1
3 119550 0.8
4 120150 119250 900 900 810000 0.0075
5 118020 119850 -1830 1830 3348900 -0.0155
6 118560 118386 174 174 30276 0.0015
7 124950 118665 6285 6285 39501225 0.0503
8 123750 123618 132 132 17424 0.0011
9 125850 123351 2499 2499 6245001 0.0199
10 126750 125550 1200 1200 1440000 0.0095
11 127050 126360 690 690 476100 0.0054
12 126450 126900 -450 450 202500 -0.0036
13 130050 126540 3510 3510 12320100 0.0270
14 129150 129390 -240 240 57600 -0.0019
15 129450 128970 480 480 230400 0.0037
16 130950 129480 1470 1470 2160900 0.0112
17 132150 130620 1530 1530 2340900 0.0116
18 132450 131760 690 690 476100 0.0052
19 147900 132270 15630 15630 244296900 0.1057
20 148500 144780 3720 3720 13838400 0.0251
21 148800 146835 1965 1965 3861225 0.0132
22 148200 148680 -480 480 230400 -0.0032
23 149100 148290 810 810 656100 0.0054
24 149400 148980 420 420 176400 0.0028
25 150300 149250 1050 1050 1102500 0.0070
26 151800 150090 1710 1710 2924100 0.0113
27 150900 151410 -510 510 260100 -0.0034
28 151200 150930 270 270 72900 0.0018
29 150900 151230 -330 330 108900 -0.0022
30 152100 150930 1170 1170 1368900 0.0077
31 150930 151890 -960 960 921600 -0.0064
32 151890 151044 846 846 715716 0.0056
33 151044 151815 -771 771 594441 -0.0051
34 151815 151117.2 697.8 697.8 486924.84 0.0046
35 151117.2 151745.4 -628.2 628.2 394635.24 -0.0042
36 151745.4 151179.66 565.74 565.74 320061.748 0.0037
Total 3652365 42465 50145 338554251 0.30397097

N 27 DAM 1857.22222
α 0.2

Abs(et/dt) Bimestre Dt Ft Et Abs(Et) Et^2


1 118350 118550 -200 200 40000
2 117750 118390 -640 640 409600
3 119550 118622 928 928 861184
0.0075 4 120150 118927.6 1222.4 1222.4 1494261.76
0.0155 5 118020 118746.08 -726.08 726.08 527192.166
0.0015 6 118560 118708.864 -148.864 148.864 22160.4905
0.0503 7 124950 119957.091 4992.9088 4992.9088 24929138.3
0.0011 8 123750 120715.673 3034.32704 3034.32704 9207140.59
0.0199 9 125850 121742.538 4107.46163 4107.46163 16871241.1
0.0095 10 126750 122744.031 4005.96931 4005.96931 16047790.1
0.0054 11 127050 123605.225 3444.77544 3444.77544 11866477.9
0.0036 12 126450 124174.18 2275.82036 2275.82036 5179358.29
0.0270 13 130050 125349.344 4700.65628 4700.65628 22096169.5
0.0019 14 129150 126109.475 3040.52503 3040.52503 9244792.44
0.0037 15 129450 126777.58 2672.42002 2672.42002 7141828.77
0.0112 16 130950 127612.064 3337.93602 3337.93602 11141816.9
0.0116 17 132150 128519.651 3630.34881 3630.34881 13179432.5
0.0052 18 132450 129305.721 3144.27905 3144.27905 9886490.75
0.1057 19 147900 133024.577 14875.4232 14875.4232 221278217
0.0251 20 148500 136119.661 12380.3386 12380.3386 153272784
0.0132 21 148800 138655.729 10144.2709 10144.2709 102906232
0.0032 22 148200 140564.583 7635.4167 7635.4167 58299588.2
0.0054 23 149100 142271.667 6828.33336 6828.33336 46626136.5
0.0028 24 149400 143697.333 5702.66669 5702.66669 32520407.4
0.0070 25 150300 145017.867 5282.13335 5282.13335 27900932.7
0.0113 26 151800 146374.293 5425.70668 5425.70668 29438293
0.0034 27 150900 147279.435 3620.56534 3620.56534 13108493.4
0.0018 28 151200 148063.548 3136.45228 3136.45228 9837332.87
0.0022 29 150900 148630.838 2269.16182 2269.16182 5149095.37
0.0077 30 152100 149324.671 2775.32946 2775.32946 7702453.59
0.0064 31 149324.671 124704.934 24619.7364 24619.7364 606131422
0.0056 32 124704.934 119652.987 5051.94729 5051.94729 25522171.4
0.0051 33 119652.987 118828.197 824.789457 824.789457 680277.649
0.0046 34 118828.197 118907.719 -79.522109 79.5221085 6323.76574
0.0042 35 118907.719 118778.408 129.311578 129.311578 16721.4843
0.0037 36 118778.408 118722.773 55.6351157 55.6351157 3095.26609
0.36342765 Total 3572019.32 122810.682 124560.57 866875256

N 27 DAM 4613.35445
Et/Dt Abs(et/dt)
-0.0016899 0.0016899
-0.0054352 0.00543524
0.00776244 0.00776244
0.0102 0.0102
-0.0062 0.0062
-0.0013 0.0013
0.0400 0.0400
0.0245 0.0245
0.0326 0.0326
0.0316 0.0316
0.0271 0.0271
0.0180 0.0180
0.0361 0.0361
0.0235 0.0235
0.0206 0.0206
0.0255 0.0255
0.0275 0.0275
0.0237 0.0237
0.1006 0.1006
0.0834 0.0834
0.0682 0.0682
0.0515 0.0515
0.0458 0.0458
0.0382 0.0382
0.0351 0.0351
0.0357 0.0357
0.0240 0.0240
0.0207 0.0207
0.0150 0.0150
0.0182 0.0182
0.1649 0.1649
0.0405 0.0405
0.0069 0.0069
-0.0007 0.0007
0.0011 0.0011
0.0005 0.0005
0.87014931 0.88496486
Trabajadores 8 hr/dia

Mes 26 dias
Horas mes 624
Ano 7488

Kgs/hr Kgs/dia Kgs/mes Kgs/ano Maq. Chocolate Maq. Real


Maquina 5 9.78 78.24 2034.24 24410.88 37.23 38
Maquina 4 9.78 78.24 2034.24 24410.88 36.42 37
Maquina 3 23.65 189.2 4919.2 59030.4 30.46 31
CHOCOLATE LECHE CHOCOLATE BITTER

Bimestre Dt Ft Bimestre Dt
31 147630 148590 31 150930
32 148590 147744 32 151890
33 147744 148515 33 151044
34 148515 147817.2 34 151815
35 147817.2 148445.4 35 151117.2
36 148445.4 147879.66 36 151745.4
Total 888991.26 Total
Ft
151890
151044
151815
151117.2
151745.4
151179.66
908791.26
Chocolate Bitter

Nombre de material Cantidad


Azucar molida 0.475
Licor de cacao bitter 0.370
Manteca de cacao bitter 0.150
Lecitina de soya 0.004
Vainilla en polvo 0.001

Chocolate Leche

Nombre de material Cantidad


Azucar molida 0.430
Licor de cacao leche 0.125
Manteca de cacao 0.268
Lecitina de soya 0.004
Vainilla en polvo 0.001
Leche descremada en polvo 0.171
Sal industrial 0.002
CHOCOLATE LECHE CHOCOLATE BITTER

Bimestre Dt Ft Bimestre Dt Ft
31 147630 148590 31 150930 151890
32 148590 147744 32 151890 151044
33 147744 148515 33 151044 151815
34 148515 147817.2 34 151815 151117.2
35 147817.2 148445.4 35 151117.2 151745.4
36 148445.4 147879.66 36 151745.4 151179.66
Total 888991.26 Total 908791.26

Chocolate bitter Chocolate Leche

Unidad 0.475 gr Unidad 0.430 gr


Anual 1913244.75789 gr Anual 2067421.534884 gr
Anual 1913.24475789 kg Anual 2067.421534884 kg

Total azucar 2067.42153