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Evaluation of Donald Trump post

Electoral position
FA-16 BBA section-B

Presentation (report)

Submitted To:
Sir. Haroon Rashid

Submitted By:
Ayaz Aslam FA16-BBA-189

Abdullah Ahmad FA16-BBA-169

Anas Sarwar FA16-BBA-068

Basit Ijaz FA16-BBA-029

Hafiz Usama Bin Safdar FA16-BBA-059

Umar Khalid FA16-BBA-008

Hassan Zubair FA16-BBA-038


Topics of Discussion:-

 Introduction

 New Frontiers Of Pakistan

 New Parameters and Friends Pakistan needs to find

 Future of Pakistan
Introduction
Donald Trump, on November 9, 2016 was elected as the 45th president of the United States of
America in a stunning culmination of an explosive, populist and polarizing campaign that took
relentless aim at the institutions and long held ideals of American democracy.

Donald Trump post electoral position:-

A person who achieved success through his real estate business, and gathered fame through his
popular reality television series The Apprentice, Donald Trump as the president of the United
States is both a commentary on the diversity in US politics, and the tolerance for intolerance in the
US nation. Very few would argue that Trump’s success is because of the overt racism present in his
speeches or the misogynistic remarks that were uncovered later. Trump has won despite all of this as
he proved the majority of American analysts and pre-election polls wrong. It would not be an
exaggeration to say that Trump surprised and shocked the entire world, and his win has left many
observers just speechless.

It is difficult to predict what Trump’s win means for either the United States or the rest of the world.
At the Centre of Trump’s election campaign was the promise of putting America before everything
else. It was in a way an attack on liberal internationalism and a call for realist formulation of
American self-interest. Encapsulated by the slogan “Let’s make America great again,” Trump
offered change to the American public, a change that evidently the American people were looking
for. The nature of this change remains shrouded in mystery as Trump has failed to articulate any
blueprint of his policy for the United States. He remarks have often been contradictory, and more
focused on optics than substance. Amidst all of this, Trump has displayed his ability to speak what
the crowd wants to hear, and appeal to their more basal instincts for glory and prosperity. After all,
what he has said is that he would improve the American economy, bring back jobs, and get a “better
deal for America.” Hence, Trump’s win can be seen as a rejection by the American electorate of the
same brand of tried, tested and experienced politicians. This was what Trump was essentially
counting on, as he could not match Hillary Clinton in her knowledge of American politics or her
expertise on its geopolitical realities. Where Clinton was smooth and eloquent, Trump was wavering
and prevaricating. However, Clinton, like most American analysts, failed to gauge the level of
frustration in the American public for the past policies of seasoned American politicians. It is truly
baffling how mainstream media, political pundits and analysts failed to gauge what ostensibly only
Trump correctly ascertained: the voter’s mood. It is as if media’s constant vilification of Trump —
in reaction to his constant vitriol or past decisions — turned him into an underdog in the eyes of a
large number of people. The white voter, it seems, took the ridiculing and demonization of Trump a
tad too personally, and reacted in the most potent way possible: they elected him as the next
president of the United States. Trump may not have related to the American public on a personal
level, as he started from a position of privilege and made himself a business tycoon out of it, but he
sure presented himself as the man who can do the same with America. Trump’s card was his
business acumen, and he did quite a good job at selling it. Despite all of the uncertainty regarding
what lies ahead, it must be remembered that the system that is in place in the United States ensures
that the president’s powers are kept in check by the legislature and the judiciary. No matter how
harmful or beneficial Trump’s presidency turns out to be, the American system will persevere and
continue to work. Such is the power of strong institutions and a dynamic political system.

Link: - http://dailytimes.com.pk/editorial/10-Nov-16/donald-trump-is-the-new-president-of-the-us

Mr. Trump’s win - stretching across the battleground states of Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and
Pennsylvania - seemed likely to set off financial jitters and immediate unease among international
allies, many of which were startled when Mr. Trump in his campaign cast doubt on the necessity of
America’s military commitments abroad and its allegiance to international economic partnerships.
From the moment he entered the campaign, with a shocking set of claims that Mexican immigrants
were rapists and criminals, Mr. Trump was widely underestimated as a candidate, first by his
opponents for the Republican nomination and later by Mrs. Clinton, his Democratic rival. His rise
was largely missed by polling organizations and data analysts. And an air of improbability trailed his
campaign, to the detriment of those who dismissed his angry message, his improvisational style and
his appeal to disillusioned voters.

He suggested remedies that raised questions of constitutionality, like a ban on Muslims entering the
United States. He threatened opponents, promising lawsuits against news organizations that covered
him critically and women who accused him of sexual assault. At times, he simply lied. But Mr.
Trump’s unfiltered rallies and unshakable self-regard attracted a zealous following, fusing unsubtle
identity politics with an economic populism that often defied party doctrine. His rallies - furious,
entertaining, heavy on name-calling and nationalist overtones - became the nexus of a political
movement, with daily promises of sweeping victory, in the election and otherwise, and an insistence
that the country’s political machinery was “rigged” against Mr. Trump and those who admired him.

Link: - http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/09/us/politics/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-
president.html?_r=1

President Trump:-
Its Hillary Clinton’s moment on Tuesday, but the recent controversies surrounding her
emails give Donald Trump a slim but narrow and perilous path electoral path to victory on
November, 8. The wide ranging Arab News/You Gov. MENA poll, conducted in middle of last
month, noted that nearly half of the respondents said that they wouldn’t support either candidate if
they could cast their ballot on Tuesday. Of the remaining half or so of the respondents, Donald
Trump only received 9% of support, in contrast to Hillary Clinton who received 44% of support.

Donald Trump has done more than any other presidential candidate in US modern political
history to whip up xenophobia and anti-Muslim sentiments in the US. His speeches and his image
abroad have been used repeatedly in Daesh recruiting videos. He has become the poster child for
some far-right nationalist movements. Trump has shown repeatedly a frank disregard for human
decency and civility. While a President Trump could bring a much-needed “out-side the beltway’’
perspective on how to reboot the US economy and bring back innovation so that US is more
competitive globally, his rhetoric combined with his temperament has often been the enemy of good.

A number of policy makers around the world have noted that Trump’s willingness to make
deals could make Washington a more straightforward and better partner to work with. In other
words, the US would be increasingly seen as a transactional partner than a strategic ally.

Link: - Daily Times Newspaper 8th, November page A8


New Frontiers of Pakistan

Donald Trump spent very little time in discussing Pakistan during his presidential campaign. This is
an indication of US interest in Af-Pak region and Washington shift almost complete focus towards
Middle East, more specifically Iraq and Levant. This also provides insight into U.S. relationship with
Pakistan, which for the past five decades has been defined with respect to the Afghanistan security
situation.

Even so, on the rare occasions that Trump did mention Pakistan in the build-up to becoming
America’s 45th president, It was almost always through the Indian prism – the framework
that Islamabad uses to define its relations with everyone. From Pakistan’s nuclear program, to the
jihadist groups that are given state patronage, to the overbearing influence of the Army, Trump
maintained that “India is the check to Pakistan. You have to get India involved.”

Trump’s only semi-positive statement related to Pakistan has been his desire to mediate
between New Delhi and Islamabad over the Kashmir issue last month, which Pakistan’s Foreign
Office appreciated. With the United States and India drawing closer on the nuclear front, Pakistan
increasingly fears the prospect of New Delhi joining the Nuclear Suppliers Group at the expense of
Islamabad. Pakistan argues that membership for only one of the two nuclear armed states would
destabilize the region, aggravating a precipitously charged nuclear arms race to further exacerbate
tensions between New Delhi and Islamabad.

In this regard, Trump’s repeated mention of seeking Indian help to counter Pakistan’s nuclear
program, “which can fall into the hands of rogue elements,” could result in Washington facilitating
New Delhi’s entry into the NSG, as a “check” on Islamabad’s policy of using jihadist groups as
foreign policy actors. Unlike the Obama regime, Trump might not mince any words in telling
Islamabad that the brazen collaboration between sections of the Army and terror groups in a nuclear
armed country make Pakistan “the second most dangerous country in the world” for the United
States.

Link: - http://thediplomat.com/2016/11/what-a-trump-presidency-means-for-pakistan/
A new front line against Islamist militancy involving the Islamic State is forming along
the Tajikistan-Afghanistan border, where multiple groups of Central Asian militants, as well as the
Pakistani and Afghan Taliban, have been joining forces with the Islamic State to challenge secular
regimes in former Soviet republics.

According to senior Tajik military and intelligence officers, thousands of these fighters have
captured large stretches of northern Afghanistan, positioning them to seize strategic Afghan towns
and pour back into Central Asia. This raises the prospect of a major expansion of Islamist militancy
in three fragile states that have so far been spared it. Russian troops have long been stationed in
Tajikistan as its protector, so the possibility of a widening war there cannot be dismissed. Two
months ago, some 2,500 troops from Russia and six former Soviet republics held military exercises
near the Afghan border. Nevertheless, there seems to be little appreciation in Western capitals of this
growing crisis. This is astonishing, because the militants seem poised not just to menace Central
Asia but also to unravel gains in stability that America and NATO fought for in Afghanistan after
9/11. NATO and American forces used a Tajik air base to gain access to Afghanistan from 2002
until last year, but now have left. Nevertheless, Afghanistan’s fate remains a major American
interest, and so the West should push back against the rise of militancy and increase its aid to the
region. In doing so, it will have to be willing to work with Russia, and vice versa.

Link: - http://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/10/opinion/jihads-new-frontier-tajikistan.html

Pakistan would have to make his relations with Russia and India better than before to avoid war and
to resist U.S.A.

New parameters and friends Pakistan


needs to find
Three powers – China, India, and Pakistan – hold the keys to the future of south Asia. As the West
withdraws from Afghanistan and US influence in the region declines, this triangular strategic
relationship will become more complicated unless China and India – the two major powers – can
define the parameters of a new regional order.

The strategic landscape of the sub-region is defined by the complex interactions between these three:
a rising “superpower” with a commercially defined unilateral approach to the region’s strategic fault
lines; a reluctant emerging power unwilling to commit political or diplomatic resources to stabilize
the region or even to preserve the status quo; and a deeply dissatisfied revisionist power intent on
redrawing the regional order, with the not-so-explicit approval of the rising superpower. For over
three decades now, India’s primary security concern has been Pakistan’s attempts at destabilization,
be it in Kashmir, Punjab, or other parts of the country. Pakistan’s inconclusive and unsatisfactory
trial of the perpetrators of the 2008 Mumbai terror attack, and the intermittent ceasefire violations
along the border, continue to dominate New Delhi’s perception of its security situation.

India is uncomfortably placed at the heart of a geopolitical landscape – the India–China–Pakistan


strategic triangle – that is beset with multiple strategic challenges. Even if one were to interpret
China’s attempts to engage in the reconciliation process in Afghanistan as commercially driven but
benign, the perceived Indo-Pak rivalry in Afghanistan and the Sino-Pak partnership would
effectively keep India out of the Afghan reconciliation process, hampering New Delhi’s regional
aspirations.

Link: -
http://www.ecfr.eu/what_does_india_think/analysis/china_india_pakistan_and_a_stable_regional_or
der

We may be entering in a period in which India’s friend shipping with the United States will bring
Russia closer to Pakistan, and Russia’s bolstering of ties with Pakistan will bring India closed to
United States.

As the U.S.-India embrace tightens, former Cold War friends Pakistan and Russia are supporting
each other and strengthen ties with one another. Pakistan was an early Cold War partner of the
United States, ultimately helping to remove the Soviets from Afghanistan in 1989. While India
proclaimed a policy of non-alignment, it was firmly allied with the Soviet Union, which served as its
chief defense supplier for decades. Those strong ties continued following the end of the Cold War
into recent years.
While India’s defense arsenal remains overwhelmingly Russian in origin, over the past four years,
Washington has made Moscow to become New Delhi’s top defense supplier. Moscow, realizing that
its longtime partner is now seeing other people, has lifted an arms embargo on Islamabad, which is
keen on modernizing its military and reducing its dependence on Washington.

Friendly cooperation between Pakistan and Russia goes beyond military sales. The two countries
will also boost economic and energy cooperation. And a strategic partnership may be down the
road—potentially involving China.

Link: - http://nationalinterest.org/feature/pakistan-russias-new-best-friend-13945

Pakistan will have to make his relations good with Russia in order to resist America and India.
Because America is helping India and now after Trump becoming the leader of U.S he will
completely support India because his billions of property are in India.

Trump can create problems for Muslims so Pakistan has to

Future of Pakistan
After a bitter campaign in which fiery anti-Muslim rhetoric was central to Trump's populist strategy,
many followers of Islam were dumbfounded that Americans had chosen him to lead the world's
greatest power. With markets in a tailspin and the world looking on in shock, there was growing
anxiety in Pakistan, Indonesia and Bangladesh ─ home to more than a third of the world's 1.5 billion
Muslims ─ about what his dramatic election win would mean for the Muslim world. Worried
followers of the faith listed a litany of problems for Muslims they believed would come with a
Trump presidency ─ from the billionaire following through on a pledge to ban Muslims from
entering the US, to a potential surge in militancy driven by tougher American policies. A senior
Pakistani government official, speaking anonymously, called the news "absolutely atrocious and
horrifying" while others in the country also lamented the results.

"I am disappointed to see Donald Trump winning because Hillary Clinton is a good woman, she is
good for Pakistan and Muslims all over the world," said Ishaq Khan, 32, speaking at an Islamabad
market. "She was talking about world peace ─ but Trump was talking about fighting against
Muslims." “Americans have just screwed the world yet again,” said Syed Tashfin Chaudhary, a
Bangladeshi who has several close friends in the US. Thousands in the country watched in shock as
the results rolled in and Facebook lit up with horrified reactions. “I'm in disbelief,” said the
Indonesian Muslim activist Dieted, 47. “I thought Americans are supposed to be intelligent and
mature. How is it possible Donald Trump won?” Trump appealed to America's disillusioned
white majority with populist pledges to tear up free trade deals and deport illegal immigrants, but it
was his attacks on Islam that sparked some of the greatest anger abroad and drew accusations of
xenophobia and racism. He made his most controversial remarks last December, shocking the
Islamic world by calling for a “total and complete shutdown” of Muslims entering America after
an apparently radicalized Muslim couple carried out a mass shooting in California.

There’s remain a question that,

Will president Trump be good or bad for Pakistan?

Not one to mince words, in 2012, an angry Trump had tweeted: "When will Pakistan apologies
to us for providing safe sanctuary to Osama Bin Laden for 6 years?! Some 'ally'."

The candidate also seems to have a soft spot for India. Just last month, he attended an elaborate
charity event hosted by Republican Hindu Coalition (RHC) and promised that India and the US
would be “best friends” if he were president.

So, what would a Trump presidency mean for Pakistan?

Here's what some experts and commentators think.

It will depend on how foreign policy experts shape his regional agenda. If he gives space to hawks, it
is possible Pakistan may face repercussions over its association with militant groups. On the flipside,
he has not spoken about Pakistan that much so there is a chance his Middle East agenda takes up
most of his policy space and we end up getting ignored.

— Umair Javed
Umair Javed is a freelance columnist.
"On a serious note: Trump's victory will be an enormous gift to a failing jihadist movement that will
have now had a renewed rallying cry. If jihadi ideology has a source of sustenance, it is the image of
the US as the evil anti-Muslim crusader. They will milk Trump's win dry."

— Ammar Rashid via Twitter


Ammar Rashid is a researcher, teacher, political worker at AWP and musician.

Nobody knows how Trump will approach the complexity of the issues that come with America's
Pakistan policy. There is Afghanistan, there is the stability of a nuclear-armed country, there are
regional complexities with India, China and Iran vested in some way or the other. For a man with a
simple mind, there is no telling how he will balance all these out to draw a path forward for himself
on Pakistan.

— Khurram Hussain
Khurram Hussain is a part of Dawn's staff.

The US-Pakistan relationship was destined to be downgraded regardless of who won the election.
But with Trump, the relationship could face some very trying times. Trump will have no patience for
Pakistan's approach to terror. He is unlikely to support aid without conditions. At best, we could see
a lot of tough love from Trump. At worst, we could see an increasingly tense relationship. The US-
Pakistan relationship won't collapse under Trump, but it could face unprecedented challenges.

— Michael Kugelman
Michael Kugelman is a senior associate for South Asia at the Woodrow Wilson International
Centre for Scholars in Washington, DC.

A Trump presidency will certainly be disconcerting because of its potential unpredictability - but
Pakistani policy makers will face the same pro-India slant, and the same surplus of expectations
from the Pakistani military that have been the staple of US policy since 1992. A Trump presidency
will not change the fundamentals of the dysfunctional Pakistan-US relationship.

— Musharraf Zaidi
Musharraf Zaidi is part of the Alif Ailaan campaign for education.

Link: - http://www.dawn.com/news/1295237
Pakistan link with United States weakened over the past decade and therefore he Donald Trump’s
victory would have a little impact on the country’s economy, an industry official said on
Wednesday.

Direct implications of the Trump rule on our economy will be minimal,’’ said Iftikhar Ali Malik,
vice president of South Asian Association for regional cooperation chamber of commerce and
industry. ‘‘The protectionist policies that the new winner has been propagating over the period will
have global repercussions. But, there will have a minimal on Pakistan that is not fully integrated with
the global trade and industry.’’