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For Immediate Release Contact: John Sewell

June 25, 2019 601-974-1019

Millsaps/Chism Pre-Debate Survey: Biden Holds Wide


Lead Among Mississippi Democratic Primary Voters
Survey Examines Candidate Preferences, Strength of Support, and Sources of
Candidate Information as First Democratic Debates Loom

JACKSON—Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a commanding lead among Mississippi
Democratic voters as the first televised presidential primary debates are scheduled for the
evenings of June 26-27. According to the findings from a new Millsaps College/Chism Strategies
Pre-Debate Survey, 50% of likely Democratic 2020 primary election voters in Mississippi favor
Biden while 21% are undecided. Another 29% are divided between the other 23 Democratic
presidential hopefuls. United States Senators Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders receive 7%
each, Senator Kamala Harris receives 5%, and South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg is at 2%. All
other candidates receive less than 2% support in the survey. These figures reflect a combination
of those who support each candidate and those who are leaning towards the candidates.

The Millsaps/Chism Survey finds that Biden is particularly popular among African American
Democrats, who are expected to comprise about three-quarters of the overall electorate in the
2020 Mississippi Democratic primary. Based on supporters and leaners, Biden receives 58%
support among black Democrats, followed by Harris at 7% and Sanders at 5%. White
Democrats—expected to comprise about a quarter of the Mississippi Democratic turnout—are
more divided. 29% of white Democrats back Biden, but 18% favor Warren, 11% favor Buttigieg,
and 10% support Sanders.

“Biden has a huge early advantage in the Magnolia state—he garners 50% in a field of nearly
two-dozen candidates and holds a 43-point lead over the second place candidate,” said Dr.
Nathan R. Shrader, chair of the Department of Government and Politics and director of
American Studies at Millsaps College. “Closing the gap requires a serious debate stumble by
Biden and more visits to our state by other candidates.”

Mississippi Democratic voters are optimistic about the chances of defeating President Donald J.
Trump in November 2020. Over 60% say that they are either nearly certain that Trump will be
defeated or believe that there is a greater than a 50/50 chance of a Democrat winning next year;
22% say that chances are even that Trump is defeated or is reelected, while just 8% say that there
is little chance or less than a 50/50 chance of defeating the incumbent.

1
The Millsaps College/Chism Strategies Pre-Debate Survey was conducted June 20-21, 2019 with
a sample size of 523. 50% of interviews were conducted via landline using live operators and
50% via SMS surveys to mobile phones. The survey has a margin of error of +/-4.27%. Our
results are weighted using the expected age, race, gender and congressional district turnout ratios
of the 2020 Democratic primary in Mississippi.

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2
Millsaps College/Chism Strategies 2020 Democratic Pre-Debate Survey
Summary Analysis
On June 20-21, 2019 we surveyed likely 2020 Democratic Presidential primary voters in Mississippi
and weighted results using the expected age, race, and gender turnout ratios of the 2020 Democratic
primary in MS. The sample size was 523, with a margin of error of 4.27%. We used live operators to
land lines along with SMS surveys to mobile phones to generate a sample that was half landline and
half mobile.

Nominating a Winner vs. An Ideological Fit


When asked whether it was more important to nominate someone who could beat President Trump
or someone who was close to the voter’s own ideology, beating Trump was a higher priority by
about 5% of total respondents (50% to 45%). However, African Americans who are expected to
make up about 74% of the March 2020 turnout were almost evenly split on this matter. Among
white Democratic voters, the urge to win was about 1.8 times as important as electing the most
ideologically appealing.

Biden Enjoys Wide Lead Early in the Race


Former Vice President garners about 50% of the likely Democratic Primary support—counting
supporters and those leaning towards him—before the candidates take the stage together for the
first time on Wednesday night. 20% of respondents are undecided. Senators Sanders and Warren
run third with 7% each; with Senator Harris fourth at 5% and Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 2%. No
other candidate exceeded 2%.

Biden’s tally among African Americans was 50%, with Senator Harris second at 5%. Among white
Democrats, Biden’s plurality was only 25% with Senator Elizabeth Warren second at 16% and
Mayor Buttigieg tied with Senator Sanders at 9%. Biden has the support of 43% of Democratic
women and 38% of Democratic men. Sanders comes in second place among men with 9% while
Warren places second with women at 7%. Democratic support for Biden also cuts across age
groups, as Biden leads among those 18 to 34 (+31%), 35 to 44 (+23%), 45 to 54 (+27%), 55 to 64
(+43%), and those 65 and older (+35%).

Biden maintains a lead in each of the state’s four congressional districts. He currently leads Warren
by 30% in CD 1, Harris by 39% in CD 2, Sanders by 31% in CD 3, and Warren by 25% in CD 4.
Individual congressional district contests will be especially important in the 2020 Democratic
primary as national convention delegates are awarded proportionally by district.

No Clear Second Choice


There is no consensus about the best “second choice” candidate. More than a quarter of
respondents are unsure. Senator Sanders gets mentioned 20% of the time with Senator Harris 14%
and Senator Warren 13%. Note that Vice President Biden gets chosen as second choice by only
10% of the respondents as he enjoys almost a majority of support already, when one counts both
committed supporters and undecideds.

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Strength of Support
Among the top five candidates (Biden, Warren, Sanders, Harris, and Buttigieg), Vice President
Biden’s support is stronger, and these voters are less willing to either consider other options or
classify themselves as just loosely supporting their candidate. 65% of Biden’s supporters describe
themselves as “very strongly” supporting their candidate compared to 41% of Warren backers, 52%
of Sanders voters, 33% of Harris supporters, and 27% of Buttigieg proponents. Just 3% of Biden
voters say that they “loosely support” him compared to 22% of Buttigieg and 18% of Sanders
supporters who describe their support in this way. 31% of Biden’s supporters say they solidly
support him but are willing to consider other candidates. Meanwhile, 67% of Harris supporters say
they are willing to consider others along with 52% of Warren voters and 51% of Buttigieg backers.
Just a quarter of Sanders supporters fit this description.

Sources of Information
The vast majority of those expected to vote in the 2020 Mississippi Democratic primary gather the
information they intend to use to make a decision about the presidential primary from cable and
network television news. Nearly 60% of voters report that they will use or have been using those
outlets for information. Just 7% say that they use digital news sources and 6% look to social media
for such information. Biden leads his competitors regardless of where they get their information,
although he is especially strong (63%) among those who cite cable talk shows as their preferred
medium for political news. Warren leads Biden (+4) and the rest of the field for voters who rely
upon digital news sites. The most largely undecided voters (71%) are those who get their
information from trusted friends and family.

Methodological Note
Sample sizes for Asian American voters, Latino voters, and voters in some media markets are too
small to draw meaningful conclusions about Democratic voters in those groups.

SUPPORTERS AND LEANERS

Candidate Support Lean Total


Joe Biden 43.18% 6.83% 50.01%
Elizabeth Warren 6.05% 0.99% 7.04%
Bernie Sanders 5.27% 1.34% 6.61%
Kamala Harris 3.64% 1.48% 5.11%
Pete Buttigieg 2.11% 0.31% 2.42%
Cory Booker 1.31% 0.25% 1.56%
Eric Swalwell 0.71% 0.14% 0.85%
Michael Bennet 0.54% 0.28% 0.82%
Amy Klobuchar 0.78% 0.00% 0.78%
John Delaney 0.22% 0.54% 0.76%
Beto O'Rourke 0.40% 0.35% 0.75%
Bill de Blasio 0.71% 0.00% 0.71%
Andrew Yang 0.46% 0.00% 0.46%
Marianne
Williamson 0.38% 0.00% 0.38%

4
John Hickenlooper 0.33% 0.00% 0.33%
Steve Bullock 0.20% 0.00% 0.20%
Unsure/Refused 20.28% 21.20%

WEIGHTED TOPLINES

What is more important to you, nominating a candidate who is closest


to you on important issues or nominating someone most likely to beat
Donald Trump?
Nominating a candidate who is closest to me on important
issues 44.5%
Nominating a candidate mostly likely to beat Trump 50.0%
Unsure 5.0%
Refused 0.4%
Grand Total 100.0%

What would you say is your main source of information that will help
you decide who to support for the 2020 Democratic nomination?
Network and cable news 57.6%
Cable talk shows 3.1%
Digital news sites 7.1%
Print newspapers 4.9%
Social media 5.9%
Trusted friends and family 4.4%
Radio news shows 3.1%
Radio talk shows 4.6%
Other 5.5%
Unsure 3.7%
Grand Total 100.0%

Which Democratic presidential candidate do you support for the 2020


nomination?
Michael Bennet 0.5%
Joe Biden 43.2%
Cory Booker 1.3%
Steve Bullock 0.2%
Pete Buttigieg 2.1%
Bill de Blasio 0.7%
John Delaney 0.2%
Kamala Harris 3.6%

5
John Hickenlooper 0.3%
Amy Klobuchar 0.8%
Beto O'Rourke 0.4%
Bernie Sanders 5.3%
Eric Swalwell 0.7%
Elizabeth Warren 6.0%
Marianne Williamson 0.4%
Andrew Yang 0.5%
Unsure 32.7%
Refused 1.0%
Grand Total 100.0%

Toward which candidate do you lean?


Michael Bennet 0.8%
Joe Biden 20.3%
Cory Booker 0.8%
Pete Buttigieg 0.9%
John Delaney 1.6%
Beto O'Rourke 1.0%
Kamala Harris 4.4%
Bernie Sanders 4.0%
Eric Swalwell 0.4%
Elizabeth Warren 2.9%
Unsure 60.2%
Refused 2.7%
Grand Total 100.0%

How strongly do you support this candidate?


Very strongly 57.4%
Solid support but willing to consider others 34.3%
Loosely support 6.4%
Unsure 1.8%
Grand Total 100.0%

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If your preferred candidate drops out, who is your second choice?
Michael Bennet 2.4%
Joe Biden 10.1%
Cory Booker 5.6%
Steve Bullock 1.9%
Pete Buttigieg 2.0%
Bill de Blasio 0.1%
John Delaney 0.3%
Tulsi Gabbard 0.8%
Kirsten Gillibrand 0.4%
Mike Gravel 0.4%
Kamala Harris 13.9%
John Hickenlooper 0.3%
Amy Klobuchar 0.1%
Beto O'Rourke 1.3%
Tim Ryan 0.3%
Bernie Sanders 19.9%
Eric Swalwell 0.2%
Elizabeth Warren 13.3%
Marianne Williamson 0.4%
Andrew Yang 0.4%
Unsure 25.8%
Grand Total 100.0%

Regardless of which candidate you support, please tell us what you


think the chances are of the Democrats defeating President Donald
Trump next year?
Near certain 21.2%
Greater than 50/50 40.4%
About even 22.4%
Less than 50/50 5.4%
Little to no chance 2.8%
Unsure 7.1%
Refused 0.6%
Grand Total 100.0%

7
Age
18 to 34 12.7%
35 to 44 25.4%
45 to 54 19.1%
55 to 64 22.9%
65 or older 20.0%
Grand Total 100.0%

Race
African American 74.0%
Asian American 0.0%
Non-Hispanic White 23.0%
Hispanic or Latino 0.3%
Other 2.6%
Grand Total 100.0%

Gender
Male 36.0%
Female 64.0%
Grand Total 100.0%

Congressional District
1 19.0%
2 41.0%
3 24.0%
4 16.0%
Grand Total 100.0%

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AGE GROUP CROSSTAB

What is more important to you, nominating a candidate who is closest to you on important issues or nominating
Q02 Candidate Type 18 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 or older
Nominating a candidate closest to me on issues 52.9% 48.3% 41.6% 41.1% 39.7%
Nominating a candidate mostly likely to beat Trump 41.2% 42.7% 54.5% 55.5% 55.9%
Unsure 5.9% 7.9% 3.0% 3.4% 4.4%
Refused 0.0% 1.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

What would you say is your main source of information that will help you decide who to support for the 2020
Q03 Info Source 18 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 or older
Network and cable news 51.0% 47.2% 49.5% 67.1% 59.6%
Cable talk shows 3.9% 1.1% 5.0% 3.4% 2.2%
Digital news sites 7.8% 14.6% 8.9% 4.8% 8.1%
Print newspapers 3.9% 5.6% 4.0% 2.7% 5.1%
Social media 15.7% 10.1% 6.9% 1.4% 3.7%
Trusted friends and family 2.0% 6.7% 4.0% 3.4% 3.7%
Radio news shows 3.9% 1.1% 4.0% 4.1% 2.9%
Radio talk shows 5.9% 2.2% 7.9% 0.7% 7.4%
Other 2.0% 6.7% 6.9% 8.9% 4.4%
Unsure 3.9% 4.5% 3.0% 3.4% 2.9%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Which Democratic presidential candidate do you support for the 2020 nomination?
Q04 Candidate Preference 18 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 or older
Michael Bennet 2.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.7%
Joe Biden 39.2% 34.8% 40.6% 47.9% 39.7%
Cory Booker 3.9% 1.1% 1.0% 2.1% 0.7%
Steve Bullock 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pete Buttigieg 2.0% 5.6% 2.0% 1.4% 4.4%
Bill de Blasio 3.9% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Delaney 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kamala Harris 5.9% 0.0% 5.0% 5.5% 3.7%
John Hickenlooper 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Amy Klobuchar 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7%
Beto O'Rourke 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.7%
Bernie Sanders 5.9% 12.4% 4.0% 3.4% 3.7%
Eric Swalwell 0.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Warren 7.8% 5.6% 13.9% 4.8% 5.1%
Marianne Williamson 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Yang 2.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Unsure 19.6% 34.8% 28.7% 32.2% 38.2%
Refused 0.0% 2.2% 1.0% 0.7% 2.2%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Toward which candidate do you lean?


Q05 Candidate Lean 18 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 or older
Michael Bennet 10.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joe Biden 10.0% 12.1% 16.7% 27.1% 20.0%
Cory Booker 0.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pete Buttigieg 0.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.8%
John Delaney 0.0% 0.0% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Beto O'Rourke 0.0% 0.0% 3.3% 0.0% 1.8%
Kamala Harris 0.0% 3.0% 10.0% 2.1% 5.5%
Bernie Sanders 0.0% 3.0% 3.3% 4.2% 3.6%
Eric Swalwell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Warren 0.0% 9.1% 0.0% 4.2% 1.8%
Unsure 80.0% 60.6% 60.0% 58.3% 61.8%
Refused 0.0% 6.1% 3.3% 2.1% 3.6%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

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How strongly do you support this candidate?
Q06 Strength of Support 18 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 or older
Very strongly 46.3% 58.9% 50.7% 67.3% 55.6%
Solid support but willing to consider others 36.6% 28.6% 45.1% 30.6% 39.5%
Loosely support 12.2% 8.9% 4.2% 2.0% 2.5%
Unsure 4.9% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0% 2.5%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

If your preferred candidate drops out, who is your second choice?


Q07 Candidate Backup 18 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 or older
Michael Bennet 7.3% 0.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Joe Biden 7.3% 16.1% 9.9% 10.2% 11.1%
Cory Booker 4.9% 1.8% 4.2% 8.2% 4.9%
Steve Bullock 7.3% 1.8% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Pete Buttigieg 2.4% 1.8% 7.0% 2.0% 3.7%
Bill de Blasio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.2%
John Delaney 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tulsi Gabbard 0.0% 1.8% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Kirsten Gillibrand 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Mike Gravel 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kamala Harris 4.9% 10.7% 11.3% 15.3% 14.8%
John Hickenlooper 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Amy Klobuchar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.2%
Beto O'Rourke 2.4% 1.8% 4.2% 1.0% 1.2%
Tim Ryan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Bernie Sanders 19.5% 17.9% 19.7% 21.4% 16.0%
Eric Swalwell 0.0% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Warren 14.6% 12.5% 16.9% 11.2% 21.0%
Marianne Williamson 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Yang 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.2%
Unsure 19.5% 32.1% 21.1% 25.5% 23.5%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Regardless of which candidate you support, please tell us what you think the chances are of the Democrats defeating
Q08 Chances 18 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 or older
Near certain 27.5% 14.6% 19.8% 27.4% 19.1%
Greater than 50/50 33.3% 38.2% 42.6% 43.2% 40.4%
About even 27.5% 25.8% 23.8% 14.4% 19.1%
Less than 50/50 2.0% 6.7% 8.9% 5.5% 5.9%
Little to no chance 5.9% 3.4% 2.0% 2.1% 2.9%
Unsure 3.9% 9.0% 3.0% 7.5% 11.8%
Refused 0.0% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

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ETHNICITY CROSSTAB

What is more important to you, nominating a candidate who is closest to you on important issues or nominating someone most likely to beat Donald Trump?
Q02 Candidate Type African American Asian American Non-Hispanic White Hispanic or Latino Other
Nominating a candidate closest to me on issues 46.7% 0.0% 34.9% 33.3% 48.4%
Nominating a candidate mostly likely to beat Trump 48.2% 100.0% 61.8% 66.7% 38.7%
Unsure 4.8% 0.0% 3.3% 0.0% 9.7%
Refused 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.2%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

What would you say is your main source of information that will help you decide who to support for the 2020 Democratic nomination?
Q03 Info Source African American Asian American Non-Hispanic White Hispanic or Latino Other
Network and cable news 61.9% 0.0% 49.3% 66.7% 38.7%
Cable talk shows 3.9% 0.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Digital news sites 3.3% 0.0% 18.4% 0.0% 16.1%
Print newspapers 3.0% 0.0% 7.2% 0.0% 3.2%
Social media 5.1% 0.0% 6.6% 33.3% 9.7%
Trusted friends and family 3.9% 0.0% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Radio news shows 3.0% 0.0% 3.3% 0.0% 6.5%
Radio talk shows 6.0% 100.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Other 5.7% 0.0% 4.6% 0.0% 22.6%
Unsure 4.5% 0.0% 1.3% 0.0% 3.2%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Which Democratic presidential candidate do you support for the 2020 nomination?
Q04 Candidate Preference African American Asian American Non-Hispanic White Hispanic or Latino Other
Michael Bennet 0.3% 0.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Joe Biden 50.3% 0.0% 25.0% 33.3% 25.8%
Cory Booker 1.2% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 9.7%
Steve Bullock 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pete Buttigieg 0.0% 100.0% 9.2% 0.0% 3.2%
Bill de Blasio 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 33.3% 3.2%
John Delaney 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kamala Harris 5.1% 0.0% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0%
John Hickenlooper 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Amy Klobuchar 0.6% 0.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Beto O'Rourke 0.3% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 3.2%
Bernie Sanders 3.9% 0.0% 9.2% 0.0% 3.2%
Eric Swalwell 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Warren 2.1% 0.0% 16.4% 0.0% 16.1%
Marianne Williamson 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Yang 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Unsure 33.6% 0.0% 29.6% 33.3% 32.3%
Refused 0.9% 0.0% 2.0% 0.0% 3.2%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Toward which candidate do you lean?


Q05 Candidate Lean African American Non-Hispanic White Hispanic or Latino Other
Michael Bennet 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joe Biden 22.4% 12.5% 0.0% 18.2%
Cory Booker 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pete Buttigieg 0.0% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0%
John Delaney 0.0% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Beto O'Rourke 0.9% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kamala Harris 5.2% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Bernie Sanders 3.4% 2.1% 0.0% 9.1%
Eric Swalwell 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Warren 2.6% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Unsure 60.3% 62.5% 100.0% 63.6%
Refused 2.6% 4.2% 0.0% 9.1%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

11
How strongly do you support this candidate?
Q06 Strength of Support African American Asian American Non-Hispanic White Hispanic or Latino Other
Very strongly 64.5% 0.0% 41.3% 100.0% 60.0%
Solid support but willing to consider others 29.1% 100.0% 50.0% 0.0% 40.0%
Loosely support 4.5% 0.0% 6.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Unsure 1.8% 0.0% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

If your preferred candidate drops out, who is your second choice?


Q07 Candidate Backup African American Asian American Non-Hispanic White Hispanic or Latino Other
Michael Bennet 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joe Biden 7.7% 0.0% 18.3% 0.0% 10.0%
Cory Booker 7.3% 0.0% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Steve Bullock 1.4% 0.0% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Pete Buttigieg 1.4% 0.0% 6.7% 0.0% 10.0%
Bill de Blasio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.0%
John Delaney 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tulsi Gabbard 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kirsten Gillibrand 0.5% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mike Gravel 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kamala Harris 9.1% 100.0% 18.3% 0.0% 15.0%
John Hickenlooper 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Amy Klobuchar 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Beto O'Rourke 0.9% 0.0% 2.9% 0.0% 10.0%
Tim Ryan 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bernie Sanders 23.6% 0.0% 10.6% 50.0% 10.0%
Eric Swalwell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 50.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Warren 11.4% 0.0% 23.1% 0.0% 20.0%
Marianne Williamson 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Yang 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.0%
Unsure 30.9% 0.0% 13.5% 0.0% 15.0%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Regardless of which candidate you support, please tell us what you think the chances are of the Democrats defeating President Donald Trump next year?
Q08 Chances African American Asian American Non-Hispanic White Hispanic or Latino Other
Near certain 25.0% 0.0% 9.9% 100.0% 35.5%
Greater than 50/50 43.2% 0.0% 40.1% 0.0% 19.4%
About even 19.9% 100.0% 25.7% 0.0% 3.2%
Less than 50/50 4.2% 0.0% 7.2% 0.0% 22.6%
Little to no chance 0.9% 0.0% 6.6% 0.0% 6.5%
Unsure 6.5% 0.0% 9.2% 0.0% 12.9%
Refused 0.3% 0.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

12
GENDER CROSSTAB
What is more important to you, nominating a candidate who is closest to you on important
issues or nominating someone most likely to beat Donald Trump?
Q02 Candidate Type Male Female
Nominating a candidate closest to me on issues 47.2% 41.2%
Nominating a candidate mostly likely to beat Trump 47.7% 53.9%
Unsure 4.5% 4.6%
Refused 0.6% 0.3%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0%

What would you say is your main source of information that will help you decide who to
support for the 2020 Democratic nomination?
Q03 Info Source Male Female
Network and cable news 50.6% 59.9%
Cable talk shows 1.7% 3.7%
Digital news sites 11.4% 6.9%
Print newspapers 5.1% 3.7%
Social media 7.4% 5.2%
Trusted friends and family 2.3% 4.9%
Radio news shows 4.5% 2.6%
Radio talk shows 6.8% 3.5%
Other 8.0% 5.5%
Unsure 2.3% 4.0%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0%

Which Democratic presidential candidate do you support for the 2020 nomination?
Q04 Candidate Preference Male Female
Michael Bennet 0.6% 0.6%
Joe Biden 37.5% 43.2%
Cory Booker 1.1% 1.7%
Steve Bullock 0.0% 0.3%
Pete Buttigieg 5.1% 2.0%
Bill de Blasio 0.6% 0.6%
John Delaney 0.0% 0.3%
Kamala Harris 3.4% 4.3%
John Hickenlooper 0.6% 0.0%
Amy Klobuchar 0.6% 1.2%
Beto O'Rourke 0.6% 0.6%
Bernie Sanders 8.5% 3.7%
Eric Swalwell 0.6% 0.0%
Elizabeth Warren 6.8% 7.2%
Marianne Williamson 0.0% 0.3%
Andrew Yang 0.6% 0.3%
Unsure 31.8% 32.6%
Refused 1.7% 1.2%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0%

Toward which candidate do you lean?


Q05 Candidate Lean Male Female
Michael Bennet 1.7% 0.0%
Joe Biden 20.3% 18.8%
Cory Booker 0.0% 0.9%
Pete Buttigieg 0.0% 1.7%
John Delaney 0.0% 0.9%
Beto O'Rourke 1.7% 0.9%
Kamala Harris 8.5% 2.6%
Bernie Sanders 1.7% 4.3%
Eric Swalwell 0.0% 0.9%
Elizabeth Warren 1.7% 4.3%
Unsure 61.0% 61.5%
Refused 3.4% 3.4%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0%

13
How strongly do you support this candidate?
Q06 Strength of Support Male Female
Very strongly 53.8% 59.1%
Solid support but willing to consider others 37.6% 35.2%
Loosely support 6.0% 4.3%
Unsure 2.6% 1.3%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0%

If your preferred candidate drops out, who is your second choice?


Q07 Candidate Backup Male Female
Michael Bennet 1.7% 1.7%
Joe Biden 12.8% 10.0%
Cory Booker 2.6% 6.5%
Steve Bullock 0.9% 1.7%
Pete Buttigieg 4.3% 3.0%
Bill de Blasio 0.0% 0.4%
John Delaney 0.0% 0.4%
Tulsi Gabbard 0.9% 0.4%
Kirsten Gillibrand 0.0% 0.9%
Mike Gravel 0.0% 0.4%
Kamala Harris 15.4% 10.9%
John Hickenlooper 0.0% 0.4%
Amy Klobuchar 0.0% 0.4%
Beto O'Rourke 3.4% 1.3%
Tim Ryan 0.0% 0.4%
Bernie Sanders 19.7% 18.7%
Eric Swalwell 0.0% 0.4%
Elizabeth Warren 15.4% 15.2%
Marianne Williamson 0.0% 0.4%
Andrew Yang 0.9% 0.4%
Unsure 22.2% 25.7%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0%

Regardless of which candidate you support, please tell us what you think the chances are of
the Democrats defeating President Donald Trump next year?
Q08 Chances Male Female
Near certain 21.6% 21.6%
Greater than 50/50 40.3% 40.6%
About even 20.5% 20.7%
Less than 50/50 8.5% 4.9%
Little to no chance 2.3% 3.2%
Unsure 5.7% 8.6%
Refused 1.1% 0.3%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0%

14
CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT CROSSTAB
What is more important to you, nominating a candidate who is closest to you on important issues or
nominating someone most likely to beat Donald Trump?
% CD
Q02 Candidate Type 1 2 3 4
Nominating a candidate closest to me on issues 41.3% 46.9% 46.8% 31.9%
Nominating a candidate mostly likely to beat Trump 55.4% 48.5% 46.8% 62.8%
Unsure 3.3% 4.1% 5.7% 5.3%
Refused 0.0% 0.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

What would you say is your main source of information that will help you decide who to support for
the 2020 Democratic nomination?
% CD
Q03 Info Source 1 2 3 4
Network and cable news 58.7% 53.1% 56.0% 63.8%
Cable talk shows 2.2% 3.6% 3.5% 2.1%
Digital news sites 10.9% 5.6% 7.1% 13.8%
Print newspapers 5.4% 6.6% 2.1% 1.1%
Social media 5.4% 5.1% 9.2% 3.2%
Trusted friends and family 5.4% 4.1% 4.3% 2.1%
Radio news shows 2.2% 4.6% 2.8% 2.1%
Radio talk shows 2.2% 5.1% 5.7% 4.3%
Other 4.3% 9.2% 5.0% 4.3%
Unsure 3.3% 3.1% 4.3% 3.2%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Which Democratic presidential candidate do you support for the 2020 nomination?
% CD
Q04 Candidate Preference 1 2 3 4
Michael Bennet 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 1.1%
Joe Biden 42.4% 44.9% 39.7% 35.1%
Cory Booker 1.1% 1.0% 2.1% 2.1%
Steve Bullock 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Pete Buttigieg 4.3% 0.5% 3.5% 6.4%
Bill de Blasio 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 1.1%
John Delaney 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Kamala Harris 2.2% 6.1% 3.5% 2.1%
John Hickenlooper 0.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Amy Klobuchar 1.1% 0.5% 1.4% 1.1%
Beto O'Rourke 1.1% 0.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Bernie Sanders 1.1% 4.6% 9.2% 5.3%
Eric Swalwell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1%
Elizabeth Warren 12.0% 3.6% 7.1% 9.6%
Marianne Williamson 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Yang 0.0% 0.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Unsure 29.3% 34.7% 30.5% 33.0%
Refused 2.2% 1.0% 0.7% 2.1%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Toward which candidate do you lean?


% CD
Q05 Candidate Lean 1 2 3 4
Michael Bennet 0.0% 0.0% 2.3% 0.0%
Joe Biden 24.1% 25.7% 9.1% 15.2%
Cory Booker 0.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Pete Buttigieg 0.0% 0.0% 2.3% 3.0%
John Delaney 0.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Beto O'Rourke 0.0% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Kamala Harris 6.9% 1.4% 6.8% 6.1%
Bernie Sanders 6.9% 4.3% 2.3% 0.0%
Eric Swalwell 0.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Warren 6.9% 2.9% 4.5% 0.0%
Unsure 51.7% 55.7% 70.5% 69.7%
Refused 3.4% 2.9% 2.3% 6.1%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

15
How strongly do you support this candidate?
% CD
Q06 Strength of Support 1 2 3 4
Very strongly 60.3% 64.3% 50.5% 50.8%
Solid support but willing to consider others 34.9% 29.4% 40.2% 44.3%
Loosely support 4.8% 4.8% 6.2% 3.3%
Unsure 0.0% 1.6% 3.1% 1.6%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

If your preferred candidate drops out, who is your second choice?


% CD
Q07 Candidate Backup 1 2 3 4
Michael Bennet 1.6% 2.4% 2.1% 0.0%
Joe Biden 7.9% 7.1% 19.6% 8.2%
Cory Booker 11.1% 4.8% 5.2% 0.0%
Steve Bullock 1.6% 1.6% 1.0% 1.6%
Pete Buttigieg 6.3% 0.0% 3.1% 8.2%
Bill de Blasio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.6%
John Delaney 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Tulsi Gabbard 0.0% 0.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Kirsten Gillibrand 0.0% 0.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Mike Gravel 0.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Kamala Harris 17.5% 9.5% 12.4% 13.1%
John Hickenlooper 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Amy Klobuchar 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Beto O'Rourke 1.6% 1.6% 3.1% 1.6%
Tim Ryan 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Bernie Sanders 22.2% 22.2% 16.5% 13.1%
Eric Swalwell 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Warren 9.5% 17.5% 14.4% 18.0%
Marianne Williamson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.6%
Andrew Yang 0.0% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Unsure 17.5% 29.4% 17.5% 32.8%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Regardless of which candidate you support, please tell us what you think the chances are of the
Democrats defeating President Donald Trump next year?
% CD
Q08 Chances 1 2 3 4
Near certain 20.7% 20.9% 24.8% 19.1%
Greater than 50/50 38.0% 44.9% 36.2% 40.4%
About even 25.0% 18.4% 20.6% 21.3%
Less than 50/50 6.5% 6.6% 4.3% 7.4%
Little to no chance 3.3% 2.0% 3.5% 3.2%
Unsure 6.5% 5.6% 10.6% 8.5%
Refused 0.0% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

16
NEWS SOURCE CROSSTAB
What is more important to you, nominating a candidate who is closest to you on important issues or nominating someone most likely to beat Donald Trump?
Q02 Candidate Type Network and cable news Cable talk shows Digital news sites Print newspapers Social media Trusted friends and family Radio news shows Radio talk shows Other Unsure
Nominating a candidate closest to me on issues 41.1% 62.5% 43.2% 40.9% 48.4% 47.6% 35.3% 62.5% 39.4% 38.9%
Nominating a candidate mostly likely to beat Trump 54.9% 37.5% 54.5% 54.5% 45.2% 42.9% 58.8% 37.5% 51.5% 38.9%
Unsure 3.7% 0.0% 2.3% 4.5% 6.5% 9.5% 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 22.2%
Refused 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Which Democratic presidential candidate do you support for the 2020 nomination?
Q04 Candidate Preference Network and cable news Cable talk shows Digital news sites Print newspapers Social media Trusted friends and family Radio news shows Radio talk shows Other Unsure
Michael Bennet 0.7% 0.0% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joe Biden 46.5% 62.5% 20.5% 36.4% 25.8% 19.0% 41.2% 37.5% 45.5% 44.4%
Cory Booker 1.3% 0.0% 2.3% 0.0% 6.5% 0.0% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Steve Bullock 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pete Buttigieg 2.0% 0.0% 9.1% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0% 11.8% 4.2% 3.0% 5.6%
Bill de Blasio 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Delaney 0.0% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kamala Harris 4.7% 6.3% 2.3% 4.5% 3.2% 4.8% 0.0% 8.3% 0.0% 0.0%
John Hickenlooper 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Amy Klobuchar 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Beto O'Rourke 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bernie Sanders 2.7% 12.5% 13.6% 9.1% 16.1% 4.8% 11.8% 4.2% 3.0% 0.0%
Eric Swalwell 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Warren 5.4% 0.0% 25.0% 13.6% 6.5% 0.0% 11.8% 0.0% 9.1% 0.0%
Marianne Williamson 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Yang 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Unsure 31.6% 12.5% 25.0% 27.3% 25.8% 71.4% 11.8% 41.7% 36.4% 50.0%
Refused 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 0.0% 3.0% 0.0%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Toward which candidate do you lean?


Q05 Candidate Lean Network and cable news Cable talk shows Digital news sites Print newspapers Social media Trusted friends and family Radio news shows Radio talk shows Other Unsure
Michael Bennet 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joe Biden 23.2% 50.0% 18.2% 0.0% 12.5% 6.7% 33.3% 40.0% 0.0% 11.1%
Cory Booker 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pete Buttigieg 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Delaney 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Beto O'Rourke 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 0.0%
Kamala Harris 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.7% 12.5% 6.7% 0.0% 10.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bernie Sanders 3.0% 0.0% 9.1% 16.7% 0.0% 6.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Swalwell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 0.0%
Elizabeth Warren 3.0% 0.0% 18.2% 16.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Unsure 57.6% 50.0% 54.5% 50.0% 75.0% 73.3% 33.3% 50.0% 76.9% 88.9%
Refused 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 33.3% 0.0% 7.7% 0.0%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

How strongly do you support this candidate?


Q06 Strength of Support Network and cable news Cable talk shows Digital news sites Print newspapers Social media Trusted friends and family Radio news shows Radio talk shows Other Unsure
Very strongly 57.6% 50.0% 45.5% 50.0% 69.6% 66.7% 42.9% 57.1% 70.0% 77.8%
Solid support but willing to consider others 38.9% 42.9% 39.4% 31.3% 17.4% 16.7% 50.0% 42.9% 20.0% 22.2%
Loosely support 2.0% 7.1% 12.1% 18.8% 8.7% 16.7% 7.1% 0.0% 5.0% 0.0%
Unsure 1.5% 0.0% 3.0% 0.0% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5.0% 0.0%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

17
If your preferred candidate drops out, who is your second choice?
Q07 Candidate Backup Network and cable news Cable talk shows Digital news sites Print newspapers Social media Trusted friends and family Radio news shows Radio talk shows Other Unsure
Michael Bennet 1.0% 7.1% 0.0% 6.3% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.1%
Joe Biden 9.6% 14.3% 15.2% 12.5% 13.0% 16.7% 21.4% 7.1% 10.0% 0.0%
Cory Booker 7.1% 14.3% 0.0% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Steve Bullock 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pete Buttigieg 4.0% 0.0% 9.1% 0.0% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bill de Blasio 0.0% 0.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Delaney 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tulsi Gabbard 0.0% 7.1% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kirsten Gillibrand 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mike Gravel 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kamala Harris 13.6% 7.1% 24.2% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 21.4% 15.0% 0.0%
John Hickenlooper 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Amy Klobuchar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Beto O'Rourke 1.5% 7.1% 6.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Tim Ryan 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bernie Sanders 16.7% 14.3% 12.1% 18.8% 17.4% 33.3% 57.1% 21.4% 25.0% 22.2%
Eric Swalwell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Warren 15.7% 28.6% 15.2% 12.5% 17.4% 16.7% 14.3% 14.3% 5.0% 11.1%
Marianne Williamson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Yang 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Unsure 26.8% 0.0% 12.1% 25.0% 21.7% 33.3% 7.1% 14.3% 45.0% 55.6%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Regardless of which candidate you support, please tell us what you think the chances are of the Democrats defeating President Donald Trump next year?
Q08 Chances Network and cable news Cable talk shows Digital news sites Print newspapers Social media Trusted friends and family Radio news shows Radio talk shows Other Unsure
Near certain 25.9% 31.3% 11.4% 9.1% 29.0% 19.0% 17.6% 12.5% 12.1% 5.6%
Greater than 50/50 40.1% 37.5% 43.2% 45.5% 35.5% 38.1% 35.3% 45.8% 48.5% 33.3%
About even 19.2% 25.0% 25.0% 40.9% 16.1% 14.3% 41.2% 29.2% 9.1% 11.1%
Less than 50/50 4.0% 6.3% 11.4% 0.0% 12.9% 4.8% 5.9% 8.3% 15.2% 5.6%
Little to no chance 2.7% 0.0% 2.3% 0.0% 3.2% 19.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.0% 0.0%
Unsure 7.7% 0.0% 4.5% 4.5% 3.2% 4.8% 0.0% 4.2% 9.1% 44.4%
Refused 0.3% 0.0% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.0% 0.0%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

18
CANDIDATE STRENGTH AND SECOND CHOICE TABLES

Q04 Candidate Preference Joe Biden Q04 Candidate Preference: Joe Biden
If your preferred candidate drops out, who is
How strongly do you support this candidate? your second choice?
Q06 Strength of Support % Q07 Candidate Backup %
Very strongly 64.9% Unsure 34.2%
Solid support but willing to consider others 30.7% Bernie Sanders 26.9%
Loosely support 2.9% Kamala Harris 12.5%
Unsure 1.5% Elizabeth Warren 11.3%
Grand Total 100.0% Cory Booker 8.0%
Steve Bullock 2.0%
Pete Buttigieg 1.4%
Beto O'Rourke 1.4%
Michael Bennet 1.1%
Tulsi Gabbard 0.5%
Tim Ryan 0.5%
Kirsten Gillibrand 0.3%
Grand Total 100.0%

Q04 Candidate Preference Elizabeth Warren Q04 Candidate Preference Elizabeth Warren

If your preferred candidate drops out, who is


How strongly do you support this candidate? your second choice?
Q06 Strength of Support % Q07 Candidate Backup %
Very strongly 41.2% Kamala Harris 37.7%
Solid support but willing to consider others 51.5% Joe Biden 16.6%
Loosely support 5.8% Bernie Sanders 11.7%
Unsure 1.5% Pete Buttigieg 8.1%
Grand Total 100.0% Steve Bullock 6.3%
Unsure 6.3%
Tulsi Gabbard 5.5%
Michael Bennet 3.3%
Kirsten Gillibrand 2.2%
Amy Klobuchar 1.2%
Beto O'Rourke 1.0%
Grand Total 100.0%

19
Q04 Candidate Preference Kamala Harris Q04 Candidate Preference Kamala Harris
If your preferred candidate drops out, who is
How strongly do you support this candidate? your second choice?
Q06 Strength of Support % Q07 Candidate Backup %
Very strongly 33.2% Joe Biden 35.8%
Solid support but willing to consider others 66.8% Cory Booker 7.6%
Grand Total 100.0% Elizabeth Warren 56.6%
Grand Total 100.0%

Q04 Candidate Preference Bernie Sanders Q04 Candidate Preference Bernie Sanders
If your preferred candidate drops out, who is
How strongly do you support this candidate? your second choice?
Q06 Strength of Support % Q07 Candidate Backup %
Very strongly 51.8% Joe Biden 48.6%
Solid support but willing to consider others 25.0% Unsure 23.7%
Loosely support 18.0% Elizabeth Warren 20.5%
Unsure 5.2% Andrew Yang 4.5%
Grand Total 100.0% Kamala Harris 2.7%
Grand Total 100.0%

Q04 Candidate Preference Pete Buttigieg Q04 Candidate Preference Pete Buttigieg
If your preferred candidate drops out, who is
How strongly do you support this candidate? your second choice?
Q06 Strength of Support % Q07 Candidate Backup %
Very strongly 27.3% Joe Biden 41.4%
Solid support but willing to consider others 50.7% Elizabeth Warren 33.1%
Loosely support 22.0% Kamala Harris 10.7%
Grand Total 100.0% Beto O'Rourke 8.5%
Unsure 6.4%
Grand Total 100.0%

20