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Sensitivity Analysis with Excel

Lecture Outline
Sensitivity Analysis

Effects on the Objective Function Value (OFV):


• Changing the Values of Decision Variables
• Looking at the Variation in OFV:
Excel One- and Two-Way Data Tables, and Scenario Manager
• Finding the Optimum OFV: Excel Solver

Effects on the Optimum:


• Making One Change to the Model Parameters:
• Changing a Decision Variable Coefficient in a Constraint
(Graphical intuitions)
• Changing the Right Hand Side (RHS) of a Constraint:
Slack & Shadow Price
• Changing a Decision Variable Coefficient in the Objective Function:
Reduced Cost

• Making Multiple Changes to the Model Parameters


• The 100% Rule
• SolverTable
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Steps in Modeling

STEP 1: Formulate

STEP 2: Solve (Find the Optimum)

STEP 3: Do a Sensitivity Analysis

Problem Statement
Boxers and Briefs Example - Revisited

Champion Sports manufactures two types of custom men's


underwear: boxers and briefs. How many boxers and how
many briefs should be produced per week, to maximize
profits, given the following constraints…

– The (profit) contribution per boxer is $3.00, compared to $4.50


per brief.
– Briefs use 0.5 yards of material; boxers use 0.4 yards. 300
yards of material are available.
– It requires 1 hour to manufacture one pair of boxers and 2
hours for one pair of briefs. 900 labors hours are available.
– There is unlimited demand for boxers but total demand for
briefs is 375 units per week.
– Each boxer uses 1 insignia logo and 600 insignia logos are in
stock.

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Algebraic
Formulation

The Algebraic LP Formulation


Revisited
• Variables: number of Boxers, number of Briefs.

Objective Function Coefficients


• Objective function:
– maximize ( $3.00 x Boxers ) + ( $4.50 x Briefs )

Constraint Coefficients
• Constraints:
– Material: ( .4 x Boxers ) + ( .5 x Briefs ) <= 300 yards
– Labor: ( 1 x Boxers ) + ( 2 x Briefs ) <= 900 hrs
– Demand: ( 0 x Boxers ) + ( 1 x Briefs ) <= 375 units
– Logos: ( 1 x Boxers ) + ( 0 x Briefs ) <= 600
– Non-Negativity:
Boxers >= 0
Briefs >= 0 Constraints Right Hand Sides (RHS)
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Graphical
Formulation

The Graphical LP Formulation - Revisited


Optimal Solution

$3.00 $4.50 Total


900
Hours Boxers Briefs Profit
800 A 300 200 $1,800.00
700 B 0 375 $1,687.50
Logos C 150 375 $2,137.50
600
F D 500 200 $2,400.00
Boxers

E
500 E 600 120 $2,340.00
D Optimum
400 F 600 0 $1,800.00
Demand
300 A
200
C Material
100
B
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900
Briefs
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Excel
Formulation

Excel Formulation - Revisited


Boxers and Briefs Example: Profit Maximization
See boxers_and_briefs_example.xls in the downloads for today’s class.

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Excel Tools for Sensitivity Analysis

• One-way Data Table, Two-Way Table, Scenario Manager

Pertains to changing RHS of


• Solver Answer Report a constraint
• Slack

• Solver Sensitivity Report


• Shadow Price, Allowable Increase / Decrease
• Reduced Cost, Allowable Increase / Decrease

• SolverTable
Pertains to changing
Objective Function
Coefficients
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Changing the Value of Decision Variables


With Two- Way Data Tables

The two-way data table below shows the effect, on profit, of


changing the two decision variables (i.e. the number of boxers produced, and
the number of briefs produced). This initial analysis assumes there are no
constraints. Clearly, if constraints are taken into account, the maximum profit in
the data table shown below ($4350, for 700 boxers and 500 briefs) would
change since that is not a feasible solution.

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Steps in Modeling

STEP 1: Formulate

STEP 2: Solve (Find the Optimum)

STEP 3: Do a Sensitivity Analysis

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Changing the Value of Decision Variables


With Two- Way Data Tables
The two-way data table below shows the effect on profit of changing the number
of boxers and briefs produced. Conditional formatting has been used to highlight
infeasible solutions (in red) and the optimal feasible solution (in green).
Don’t panic ! You aren’t expected to know how to construct the table /
formula shown below – its only shown to illustrate how complex it is to
create a table that shows the feasible and optimal solutions ! Notice
that we were lucky in this instance that the optimum solution falls at a
point that was in our table: had we chosen broader intervals for
number of boxers and briefs we would have found a good, but not
optimal, solution.

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Excel Answer Report - Revisited
Boxers and Briefs Example: Profit Maximization

Fortunately, as we’ve seen Excel


provides us with an easy mean of
finding the optimal feasible
solution: simply use Excel Solver.

– Make sure Solver is


available:
• If not, Tools | Add-Ins… |
Solver Add-in
– Use it:
• Tools | Solver…

– Read the Answer Report to


find the optimal value, and the
decision variable settings at
this optimum.
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Excel Answer Report

Optimum
Objective
Function Value

Optimum
Product Mix

Status of the
Constraints

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Steps in Modeling

STEP 1: Formulate

STEP 2: Solve (Find the Optimum)

STEP 3: Do a Sensitivity Analysis

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Answer Report
The Answer Report also shows us which constraints are binding and non-
binding at the optimum. “Slack” indicates the spare capacity on a non-binding
constraint at the optimum.
– Slack = 0 implies constraint is binding: resources are exhausted
– Slack ≠ 0 implies constraint is non-binding: there are left-over resources
We can see below, for instance, that:
– getting additional logos
wouldn’t help us improve profit
since we already have 100
unused logos at the optimum
– advertising our briefs to
stimulate demand (at the
current price) would be
money wasted, since demand
for briefs is already greater
than the number of briefs we
should produce at the
optimum.
– material and labor constraints
are cramping our profit. 18

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Slack and Binding

• Slack measures unused available resources

• Binding constraints
– Optimal solution lies on binding constraints
– Multiple binding constraints means solution is at intersection of
constraints: a vertex

• Slack and binding constraints


– Slack = 0 : the resource is exhausted, the constraint is binding,
the optimal vertex includes this constraint.
– Slack ≠ 0 : spare capacity is available, constraint is not binding

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Excel Sensitivity Analysis Report


Choose Sensitivity to see a more detailed Sensitivity Report...

Pertain to
Objective
Function
Coefficient
Ranging

Pertain to
Right Hand Side
(RHS) Ranging
on Constraints 20

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Excel Sensitivity Analysis Report

The Excel Sensitivity Analysis Report allows you to see:

• … over what range and under what conditions the


components of a solution remain unchanged

• … how sensitive a solution is to changes in the data, and


to get an insight into how technological improvements
may affect optimum values.

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Sensitivity Analysis
Changing a Decision Variable
Co-Efficient in a Constraint
Graphical Intuitions
The Sensitivity Report doesn’t tell us anything about what happens when the
coefficients of a decision variable in a constraint change, but here are some
graphical intuitions…
900 900
Hours Assume we Hours
800 changed the amount 800
700
of material required 700
per brief from 0.5 Logos
Logos yards to 1 yard.
600 600
Boxers

Notice how the


Boxers

500 Demand shape of the 500 Demand


feasible region
400 changes, and the 400

300 optimal solution 300


changes.
200 200
Material Material
100 100

100 200 300 400 500 600 100 200 300 400 500 600
Briefs Briefs 22

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Sensitivity Analysis Report
Changing the Right Hand Side (RHS)
of a Constraint
Graphical Intuitions
Changing the RHS of a constraint causes the constraint line to shift left or right,
but does not alter the slope of the line !
900 900
Hours Assume an extra Hours
800 Demand 100 yards of 800 Demand
700
material became 700
Logos available (increasing Logos
600 our total available to 600
Boxers

400 yards). Notice

Boxers
500 how the material 500 Material
constraint shifts
400 right. The change is 400

300 greater than the 300


Material ‘allowable increase’
200 (see later) and the 200
optimum solution
100 vertex changes. 100

100 200 300 400 500 600 100 200 300 400 500 600
Briefs Briefs 23

Sensitivity Analysis
Changing the Right Hand Side (RHS)
of a Constraint
The Shadow Price

What is meant by the optimal vertex ?

The optimal vertex is :


“what intersection of constraints is the optimal solution to be found at?”.

From the previous slide, we saw that the original optimal vertex was:
“at the intersection of the materials and hours constraints”.

However, when we increased the RHS of the materials constraint beyond the
maximum ‘allowable increase’ (i.e. by 100 yards), the optimal vertex shifts to:
“at the intersection of the logos and hours constraints”.

Had the change in materials been within the allowable increase, then the
optimal vertex would have stayed the same (i.e. it would still have been “at the
intersection of the materials and hours constraints) but the optimal product
mix and the optimal solution value would have changed.
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Sensitivity Analysis
Changing the Right Hand Side (RHS)
of a Constraint
Graphical Intuitions
Changing the RHS of a constraint causes the constraint line to shift to a
parallel position to the left or right, but does not alter the slope of the line !
900
Assume a extra 100 hours of labor Hours
became available (increasing our 800 Demand
total available to 1000 hours). 700
Notice how the labor constraint
shifts right, and the optimal Logos
600
solution value and optimal

Boxers
product mix change. 500

400
However, the change is less than
the ‘allowable increase’ for this 300
constraint and the optimum Material
solution vertex stays the same: 200
the optimal solution is still at the 100
intersection of the materials and
labor hours constraints .
100 200 300 400 500 600
Briefs 25

Sensitivity Analysis
Changing the Right Hand Side (RHS)
of a Constraint
• Tighten constraint: make feasible region smaller.
– Optimal value can only get worse (fewer choices)

• Loosen (relax) constraint: make feasible region larger.


– Optimal value can only do better (more choices)

• Assume b is a positive number and the constraint line has the form
y = ax + b (i.e. y – ax = b) then increasing the RHS (i.e. b) will cause the
line to shift vertically up and will:
– Tighten the constraint if it’s a lower-bound constraint
– Loosen the constraint if its an upper-bound constraint
So notice that increasing the RHS may have positive or negative effects
on the optimum, depending on the type of constraint !
• In contrast, if b is a positive number and the constraint line has the form
y = ax – b (i.e. ax – y = b) then increasing the RHS (i.e. b) will cause the
line to shift vertically down !
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Sensitivity Analysis Report
Changing the Right Hand Side (RHS)
of a Constraint
The Shadow Price
The Shadow Price for a constraint is the change in the optimal objective
function value per unit increase in the Right Hand Side (RHS) of a given
constraint.
The Shadow Price only remains valid within the Allowable Increase and
Decrease shown for that Shadow Price.

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Shadow Prices
Example

A stain is found on 15 yards of material, reducing material from


300 to 285 yards. How does this affect optimal profit ?
New optimal profit
= Old optimal profit - (shadow price x yards)
= $2,400 – ($5/yard x 15 yards) = $2,325
Notice the Allowable range for the Materials Usage constraint.
What could you say about a stain on 60 yards? 28

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Shadow Prices
Example

Labor is willing to negotiate 100 additional hours of production work.


How much of a premium should management pay for overtime hours?
Addition to optimal profit = shadow price x hours
= $1/hour x 100 hours = $100
If $9.28 for 900th hour, then $10.28 for 901st hour. But remember, the
productivity rate will change when people work longer hours…
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Increase Labor by 100 hours

$3.00 $4.50 Total


900
Hours Boxers Briefs Contribution
800
A 300 200 $1,800.00
700
Logos
B 0 375 $1,687.50
600 C 150 375 $2,137.50
F
Boxers

E Demand
500
D
D 500 200 $2,400.00
400 E 600 120 $2,340.00
G F 600 0 $1,800.00
300 A
G 333.3 333.3 $2,500.00
200
C
100
B Material
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900
Briefs
30

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Shadow Prices
Example

How much would you pay for one additional insignia logo?

Nothing: logos are not constraining the solution!

Notice the range for logos: what is 1E+30?


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Shadow Price / RHS Ranging

• Shadow price
– Shadow price = marginal change to objective function value of
increasing constraint RHS by 1 unit
– Scaling issues: changing one model unit
(e.g. model may be in millions of units …)

• Slack and shadow price


– Shadow price = 0 implies constraint is not binding
– Shadow price ≠ 0 implies Slack = 0

• Slack and allowable increase/decrease


– How much you must tighten a constraint to make it bind
– Notice that, for a non-binding constraint, either the allowable
increase or the allowable decrease will be equal to the slack,
since either adding or subtracting the slack to / from the RHS
will make the constraint bind.
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Shadow Price / RHS Ranging

• Shadow price on a constraint:


– Change in optimal objective function value per unit change in right-
hand-side of the constraint
– zero if constraint is non-binding

• Shadow price and RHS ranging:


– Allowable increase / decrease =
Range of RHS coefficients for which shadow prices remain valid.

• Optimal value (production mix) will change:


– If binding constraints are moved, the optimal mix changes
– The objective function value changes
– The shadow price allows us to predict new optimal value.
– Need to resolve the model to get the new mix (decision variables).

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Allowable Increase / Decrease


for the RHS of a Constraint

Allowable increase/decrease in constraints:


• How much you can tighten or relax a constraint RHS and remain
binding (or non-binding) (see also: Slack)
• Range in RHS coefficients for which the shadow price remains valid
(see also: Shadow Price)
• Feasible Region: How much you can reshape the feasible region
without changing the optimal vertex. (The optimal mix will always
change, but the optimal vertex stays the same within the allowable
increase/decrease.)

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Allowable Increase / Decrease
for the RHS of a Constraint

Change within allowable increase/decrease


• Optimal vertex (intersection of the binding constraints)
is unchanged.
• Optimal value of objective function is updated by
Shadow Price.
• Optimal product mix (value of decision variables) is
calculated by re-testing the model.

Change outside allowable increase/decrease


• Start over ….

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Shadow Price, Slack, and Binding

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Shadow Price in
Maximization vs Minimization Problems

– For maximization problems:


• increase in the objective function value is good
(+ve shadow price is good, and helps the optimum solution)
• decrease in the objective function value is bad
(-ve shadow price is bad, and hurts the optimum solution)

– For minimization problems:


• increase in the objective function value is bad
(+ve shadow price is bad, and hurts the optimum solution)
• decrease in the objective function value is good
(-ve shadow price is good, and helps the optimum solution)

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Shadow Prices in a Minimization Problem


Our objective in the Big Mac Attack Problem is to achieve least-cost
in meeting our Recommended Daily Allowance (RDA) requirements:
including both upper and lower limits.

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Shadow Prices in a Minimization Problem
Sodium was an upper bound constraint. It has a negative shadow price:
increasing the RHS of the sodium constraint would loosen the constraint
and allow us to achieve a better optimum: i.e. a lower meal cost.

Vitamin C was an lower bound constraint. It has a positive shadow


price: increasing the RHS of the Vitamin C constraint would tighten the
constraint and force us to a worse optimum: i.e. a higher meal cost.

Constraints
Final Shadow Constraint Allowable Allowable
Cell Name Value Price R.H. Side Increase Decrease
$D$21 TOTAL Protein 80.7 0.00000E+00 55 25.70794559 1E+30
$E$21 TOTAL Fat 52.5 0.00000E+00 54.7 1E+30 2.242552634
$F$21 TOTAL Sodium 3000 -2.98066E-04 3000 80.04881803 864.3523347
$G$21 TOTAL VitaminA 100 1.57422E-02 100 79.62482802 42.4869867
$H$21 TOTAL VitaminC 100 6.80000E-03 100 1E+30 38.07812436
$I$21 TOTAL VitaminB1 138 0.00000E+00 100 38.48083748 1E+30
$J$21 TOTAL VitaminB2 116 0.00000E+00 100 16.44004464 1E+30
$K$21 TOTAL Niacin 124 0.00000E+00 100 24.04707449 1E+30
$L$21 TOTAL Calcium 100 1.38042E-02 100 78.48290598 13.19677205
$M$21 TOTAL Iron 100 3.38561E-02 100 28.82593 8.011547469

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Sensitivity Analysis Report


Changing a Decision Variable
Co-Efficient in the Objective Function
The allowable increase and decrease for the Adjustable Cells
(i.e. for the objective function coefficients) tells us how much the objective
function coefficients can change before the optimal solution vertex changes.
Note that the optimal solution value changes as the objective function
coefficients change, but the optimal product mix and vertex stays the same
within the objective function coefficient’s allowable increase/decrease range.

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Sensitivity Analysis Report
Changing an Objective Function Coefficient
Graphical Intuitions

• Changing an objective function coefficient


changes the slope of the objective function.
• Optimal solution value always changes but,
within the allowable increase / decrease, the 900
optimal product mix will not: within the Hours
allowable increase decrease the isoprofit line 800 Demand
just swivels around a single point! 700
• If the slope of the objective function changes Logos
600
beyond the allowable increase / decrease then

Boxers
the optimal vertex will change, and the optimal 500
product mix will change, as illustrated to the
right. At right we see the relative contribution 400
of briefs (i.e. the coefficient of ‘briefs’ in the 300
objective function) increasing, causing the Material
objective function to become steeper, until 200
eventually (beyond the allowable increase) the 100
optimal product mix and optimal vertex shift.
The new optimal solution favors more briefs in 100 200 300 400 500 600
the optimal product mix. Briefs 41

Sensitivity Analysis Report


Changing an Objective Function Coefficient
Graphical Intuitions

Multiple Optima
Notice that, for a certain combination of
objective function coefficients, the objective
900
function can becomes tangent to a segment Hours
of a constraint line (in this case, to a segment 800 Demand
of the Hours constraint). In this case, every 700
point along the tangential line segment is an Logos
optimum, so multiple optimal product mixes 600
Boxers

are available, all with the same optimal 500


solution value.
400

Notice that for an isoprofit line with multiple 300


Material
optima, the allowable increase and decrease 200
are zero, since it is impossible for the line to
100
swivel around a single point and any change
in the objective function coefficients will 100 200 300 400 500 600
cause the optimal vertex to shift ! Briefs 42

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Summary
Changing a Decision Variable
Co-Efficient in the Objective Function

• A coefficient is associated with each decision variable


• The allowable increase / decrease for each coefficient is the range
over which the coefficient can vary without changing the product
mix (i.e. without changing the vertex at which the optimal solution
is found)
• The following do change:
– Objective Function Value
– Shadow Prices
– Reduced Costs
• Need to resolve the model to find this information
• Can use to understand flexibility in relative pricing of a product.

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Summary
Changing a Decision Variable
Co-Efficient in the Objective Function

• Changes “slope” of isoprofit / isocost curve (in 2D)

• Changes decision variable contribution to objective


function

• Does NOT change shape of feasible region

• In 2-dimensional case, the slope of the objective


function changes, but, within the allowable increase /
decrease range, the optimal solution still resides at
the same extreme vertex of the feasible region
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Changing a Decision Variable
Co-Efficient in the Objective Function
Example

A management consultant offers to improve efficiency in the production of


boxers. This would increase the contribution by $0.50 to $3.50. What is the
new mix? What is the increase in weekly profit ?
No change in the product mix.
Change in weekly profit = $0.50 x 500 boxers/week = $250 ($2,650 total)
Note the range: What could you say about $1 increase? 45

Changing a Decision Variable


Co-Efficient in the Objective Function
Example

The contribution of briefs decreases by $0.75 to $3.75. What is


the new mix? What is the decrease in weekly profit?
No change in the product mix.
Change in weekly profit =
$0.75 x 200 briefs/week = $150 ($2,250 total) 46

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Reduced Cost

• Associated with each decision variable.


• Amount by which profit contribution of variable must
be improved before the variable will have a positive
value in the solution.
• Or, rate at which the objective function value will
deteriorate if a variable currently at zero is forced to
increase by a small amount.
• Zero if the variable already appears in the optimal
solution.

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Reduced Cost (RC)


• Unit cost (penalty or loss) in optimal objective function value of
forcibly including a Decision Variable (DV) not in the optimal
solution.
• Necessary change in DV coefficient (‘reduction’ in price) so the
DV is part of the optimal solution.
• Rate at which the optimal objective function value deteriorates
when a non-optimal DV is required.
• Reduced cost of a DV happens to be equivalent to the shadow
price of the non-negativity constraint for that DV. Why ?
Because forcing a variable into a solution is the same as
increasing the RHS of its non-negativity constraint (e.g. from ≥0
to ≥1).
• RC = 0 implies DV is part of the optimal solution.
• RC ≠ 0 implies DV does not contribute to the optimal objective
function value, and that forcing that DV into the solution would
worsen the optimal solution.
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Reduced Costs
Example

Adjustable Cells
Final Reduced Objective Allowable Allowable
Cell Name Value Cost Coefficient Increase Decrease
$B$11 Production Boxers 500 $0.00 3 0.6 0.3
$C$11 Production Padded 0 ($1.00) 6 1 1E+30
$D$11 Production Briefs 200 $0.00 4.5 1.5 0.75

New line: padded briefs, 1 yard of material and 2 hours of


labor. Contribution is $6.00 per padded brief.

Forced to produce one unit of padded brief per week, what


would be cost?
Reduced cost is -$1.00 per padded brief.

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Amended Model
To Demonstrate Reduced Cost

Force the model to construct ONLY boxers:

• Objective function:
– Maximize ( $10.00 x Boxers ) + ( $1 x Briefs )
• Constraints:
– Material: ( 1 x Boxers ) + ( 0.5 x Briefs ) ≤ 300 yards
– Logos: ( 1 x Boxers ) + ( 0 x Briefs ) ≤ 600 logos
– Labor: ( 1 x Boxers ) + ( 2 x Briefs ) ≤ 900 hrs
– Demand: ( 0 x Boxers ) + ( 1 x Briefs ) ≤ 375 units
– Boxers ≥ 0 Briefs ≥ 0

50

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Reduced Cost
Example

The optimal solution to the amended model is:


300 Boxers, 0 Briefs for Optimal Value: $3,000
Adjustable Cells
Final Reduced Objective Allowable Allowable
Cell Name Value Cost Coefficient Increase Decrease
$C$3 Decision Variables Boxers 300 0 10 1E+30 7.999999955
$D$3 Decision Variables Briefs 0 -3.999999967 1.00000002 3.999999967 1E+30

Constraints
Final Shadow Constraint Allowable Allowable
Cell Name Value Price R.H. Side Increase Decrease
$E$6 Material 300 10 300 300 300
$E$7 Logos 300 0 600 1E+30 300
$E$8 Labor 300 0 900 1E+30 600
$E$9 Demand 0 0 375 1E+30 375

Now, the President comes to visit Penn, but he has forgotten his
briefs … so we must manufacture at least one pair. What is the
penalty? … Think carefully …

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Reduced Cost
Example (Amended Model)
– Maximize: ( $10.00 x Boxers ) + ( $1 x Briefs )
– Material: ( 1 x Boxers ) + ( 0.5 x Briefs ) ≤ 300 yards
Adjustable Cells
Final Reduced Objective Allowable Allowable
Cell Name Value Cost Coefficient Increase Decrease
$C$3 Decision Variables Boxers 300 0 10 1E+30 7.999999955
$D$3 Decision Variables Briefs 0 -3.999999967 1.00000002 3.999999967 1E+30

Constraints
Final Shadow Constraint Allowable Allowable
Cell Name Value Price
Only Binding
R.H. Side
Constraint
Increase Decrease
$E$6 Material 300 10 300 300 300
$E$7 Logos 300 0 600 1E+30 300
$E$8 Labor 300 0 900 1E+30 600
$E$9 Demand 0 0 375 1E+30 375

Every boxer contributes $10.00 Every brief contributes $1.00 If


we make 1 brief we get $1 more profit, but we lose 0.5 yards of
material, which costs us 0.5 boxers (i.e. $5 of boxer profits)
Thus the marginal loss is $4 (= $1 - $5). Notice that the labor,
logo, and demand constraints weren’t binding so producing an
extra pair of briefs doesn’t cost us anything there ! 52

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Multiple Optima

• We saw earlier that one indicator of multiple optima


was a zero allowable increase and decrease, since
that implied that the objective function overlapped
with a line segment (rather than merely being tangent
to a single point), and thus could not pivot within a
range around a single point.
• As second indicator of multiple optima is finding a
decision variable with a Final Value (at the optimum)
of zero, and a Reduced Cost of zero. This means
that the variable can be forced into the optimal
solution at no cost, and therefore an alternative
optimum is available.
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Reduced Cost in
Maximization vs Minimization Problems
• Reduced cost tells you the effect on the objective function value of forcing
a variable into the optimal solution. Forcing a variable into the optimal
solution always worsens the solution, irrespective of whether its a max or
min problem. However:
• a worse solution in a max problem involves a lower optimal value
(i.e. negative reduced cost)
• a worse solution in a min problem involves a higher optimal value
(i.e. positive reduced cost).

• This is why:
• max problems have negative reduced costs
• min problems have positive reduced costs

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Changing Multiple Parameters Simultaneously:
The 100% Rule

• We've only changed on parameter at a time. What happens if


we change more than one?

• Use the 100% rule for simultaneous changes in constraint RHSs


and Decision Variable coefficients.

• Calculate each change as a percentage (%) of its respective


allowable increase/decrease.

• If the accumulated (absolute value) % changes are less than


100%, then you sum their shadow price / reduced cost impacts.

• Otherwise, you must recalculate the LP…

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The 100% Rule

• 100% also holds for objective coefficients.

• Can also be combined for changes in constraint functions.

• If a single value is outside of range, or if the sum of ratios >


1, then you need to re-compute a solution (resolve the LP)
for new constraints.

• Remember:
– Change constraint functions, production mix changes
– Change objective function (within allowable increase /
decrease), production mix does not.

56

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The 100% Rule
Example

If material decreases from 300 to 290 yards and labor increases from 900 to 1000
hours, what is the change in weekly contribution?
100 / 131.25 labor hours + 10 / 52.5 material
= 0.7619 + 0.1905 = 0.9524 < 1.0000
So, change in Objective Function Value =
($1/hr x 100 hrs) - ($5/yard x 10 yards) = $50
So, new Objective Function Value =
$2,450 (= $2,400 + $50)

NOTE: The solution changes to 266.67 boxers and 366.67 briefs


(need to resolve to get this information) 57

100% Rule
Example: Pricing out a New Product

Constraints
Final Shadow Constraint Allowable Allowable
Cell Name Value Price R.H. Side Increase Decrease
$D$4 Yards_Material 300 5 300 15 52.5
$D$5 Logos 500 0 600 1E+30 100
$D$6 Hours_Labor 900 1 900 131.25 60
$D$7 Demand_Briefs 200 0 375 1E+30 175

Product designers offer a new line of “padded” briefs that require


1 yard of material and 2 hours of labor. Contribution would be
$6.00 per brief. Should management introduce this line?
Percentage changes: 1 / 52.5 material 2 / 60 labor hours
= 0.019 + 0.033 = 0.052 < 1.0000
Loss from one “padded” brief = reducing relevant constraints
($5.00/yard x 1 yard) + ($1.00/hour x 2 hours) = $7.00
Do not produce! $7.00 cost exceeds the $6.00 contribution
58

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SolverTable
SolverTable is an Excel Add-In that allows you to produce 2-way data tables
which look at the sensitivity of the optimum solution to changes in any 2
parameters.

Question:
How does SolverTable differ from a regular 2-way data table ?
Answer:
They’re pretty much the same, except:
• SolverTable reruns Excel Solver for each combination of parameter
values, whereas a regular 2-way data table could not do that.
• SolverTable does not auto-update – it merely pastes values. So
SolverTable would need to be rerun if other model parameters
(besides the 2 you are testing) change. In contrast, a regular 2-way
data table uses formulas, and the values of these formulas
automatically update as model parameters change.

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SolverTable
– Getting it:
• Download it from
http://highered.mcgraw-hill.com/sites/0072493682/student_view0/cd_update__solver_table.html

– Installing It:
• Follow the instruction on the web-page above.
• Then open Excel and go to Tools | Add-Ins… | Solver Table Add-in

– Using it:
• Lay out your 2-way table, putting the formula to evaluate under the
different scenarios in the top left hand corner, like you would in a
regular 2-way data table.
• Go to Tools | SolverTable…

Warning: Because of the complexity of the 2-way data tables and SolverTables in the Boxers and
Briefs example spreadsheet, it could take you up to 20 minutes to run the scenario analysis. Press
Escape repeatedly at any time, or Ctrl+Break, if you wish to terminate the analysis.
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SolverTable Example
Changing Multiple Decision Variables Coefficients in a Constraint
The example below shows the results of running SolverTable to investigate the effects
of changing per-unit labor requirements for boxers and briefs on the optimal solution. In
other words, it shows the effect of changing the coefficients of the decision variables in
the labor constraint. The top table shows the effect on the optimal solution value (i.e.
optimal profit in dollars). The bottom table shows the effect on the optimal product
mix. You can see that increasing the number of hours required per product type
(boxers or brief) decreases the amount of that product type in the optimal mix.

Effect on
Optimal
Solution Value

Effect on
Optimal Product
Mix

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Key Points

Constraint Right Hand Sides:


• Slack and Shadow Price
• Changes within the allowable ↑ / ↓ never alter whether a
constraint is (non) binding.
• Change constraint RHS: value of decision variables (product
mix) changes.

Objective Function Coefficients:


• Reduced Cost
• Changes within the allowable ↑ / ↓ never alter the optimal
vertex.
• Changes within the allowable ↑ / ↓: value of decision
variables (product mix) does not change.
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Sensitivity Analysis Report
Summary
Optimal product mix Non-zero if the Allowable objective function
(Optimal decision variable is not coefficient range:
variable values) in the solution. Solution vertex stays the same.
Zero if it is.

Usage of resource Allowable constraint RHS range:


(Left Hand Side of constraint) Shadow price is valid.
Increase in optimal objective function value per unit increase in
right hand side (RHS) of constraint.
∆Z = (shadow price) × (∆
∆RHS) 63

Sensitivity Analysis
Why Should You Care ?

• Uncertainty – welcome to the real world.

• Slack – what to do with unused resources?

• Iteration – constraints are rarely fixed


e.g. begin with a budget allocation and then evaluate alternatives

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