Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Environment, security
and regionalism in
the Asia-Pacific: is
environmental security
a useful concept?
Karin Dokken
Published online: 26 Nov 2010.
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2 Environment, security and regionalism
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4 in the Asia-Pacic: is environmental
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security a useful concept?
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10 Karin Dokken
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15 Abstract From the very beginning the Association of Southeast Asian
Nations (ASEAN) has been occupied with the task of nding common solu-
16 tions to common security problems. To a large degree, one may say that
17 security questions have been a driving force for continued regional inte-
18 gration in Southeast Asia. In the future questions of environmental security
19 may be playing the same role. The states around the South China Sea are
1120 to a large degree interdependent when it comes to questions of the human
environment. They are interdependent to the degree that if they fail to nd
21 common solutions to environmental problems they may end up in violent
22 conict against each other. In general, environmental interdependence is
23 both a source of conict and a potential for international integration. The
24 direction of the development, i.e. whether it leads to conict or not, is to a
25 large degree a question of how the decision-makers perceive the situation.
This paper addresses the usefulness of the concept ‘environmental security’
26 in relation to political perception of environmental interdependence in
27 Southeast Asia. If the political actors address serious environmental prob-
28 lems as security matters they are more likely to put them at the top of the
29 agenda and deal with them in satisfactory manners, i.e. to cooperate and
1130 nd solutions that are acceptable to all parties involved.
31 Keywords Environmental security; integration; ASEAN; interdependence;
32 epistemic communities.
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38 Karin Dokken is an Associate Professor at the Department of Political Science, University
of Oslo. Her major publications include Environment, Security and Regional Integration in
39 West Africa (Oslo: Unipub, 1997).
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41 Address: Department of Political Science, University of Oslo, P.O. Box 1097 Blindern, 0317
42 Oslo, Norway. E-mail: Karin.dokken@stv.uio.no
43 The Pacic Review
44 ISSN 0951–2748 print/ISSN 1470–1332 online © 2001 Taylor & Francis Ltd
http://www.tandf.co.uk/journals
1145 DOI: 10.1080/0951274011008731 1
510 The Pacic Review
1 Introduction
2
With Cambodia’s admission on 30 April 1999, the Association of Southeast
3
Asian Nations (ASEAN) achieved the incorporation of all Southeast
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Asian states. Cambodia’s accession nalized a programme of ambitious
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enlargement from 1995, which also saw the entry of Vietnam, Laos and
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Myanmar. During the twenty-seven years since ASEAN came into exis-
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tence in August 1967 only one state had been added to the founding ve,
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Brunei in 1984. Cambodia’s accession also capped a long process of
9
creating one Southeast Asian (political) unit, notwithstanding the member
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states’ former political record. The recent years’ enlargement of ASEAN
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1 From the very rst day China was of central importance to the ASEAN
2 cooperation. Of equal importance was the common position towards
3 Vietnam. In fact, it was only in 1975, following the communist victory in
4 Indochina, that ASEAN began to grow rapidly in status as a regional
5 grouping (Chon Li Choy 1981: 58). In the same way as China, Vietnam’s
6 attitude towards ASEAN had been quite hostile. The Communist victory
7 in Vietnam in 1975 made the ASEAN members perceive an increasing
8 necessity to coordinate their relations to the new state, the Socialist
9 Republic of Vietnam (SRV). ‘[N ]o single external matter after 1975–76
10 has served as strongly as the SRV issue to produce a sense of solidarity
11 and cohesion among the ASEAN ve’ (Jørgensen-Dahl 1982: 123). In the
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12 pear. This meant that China could now dominate the maritime environ-
13 ment of the region.4 Shortly afterwards it became clear that the American
14 Clark air base and the Subic Bay naval base in the Philippines would be
15 closed down. According to the ‘East Asia Security Initiative’ (EASI) the
16 Americans should reduce their military presence in the region by 12 per
17 cent by the year 1992. There is still some uncertainty concerning the role
18 of the USA in the region. The conicts in the South China Sea have led
19 several ASEAN members to wish for a stronger American presence to
1120 balance Chinese power. After all China’s proximity, its size, ethnic out-
21 reach and advancement in modernizing itself is still perceived to be a
22 long-term threat by several ASEAN members (Lee Lai To 1995: 534).
23 The single most important security political development of the 1990s
24 was the formation of the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF). It had become
25 clear to ASEAN that the presence of outsiders/great powers would not
26 be sufcient to provide for Southeast Asia’s long-term security (Simon
27 1998: 17). Some kind of cooperative security arrangement which would
28 link the region to its major partners in Northeast Asia (and to some extent
29 North America) was needed to ll the gap. Fortunately for ASEAN no
1130 subregional counterpart to ASEAN had been created. Therefore ASEAN
31 was able to ll the vacuum by offering to create a new region-wide entity
32 modelled on the association’s process of consultation and dialogue. The
33 July 1991 ASEAN Post-Ministerial Conference (PMC)5 took important
34 steps in bringing security issues explicitly into the agenda for the partic-
35 ipating countries. They agreed that the PMC would be an appropriate
36 base for discussing regional security issues. They emphasized that their
37 denition of security was not conned to military issues, but that they
38 advocated a comprehensive approach to security issues. When the ASEAN
39 heads of state met half a year later in Singapore, they decided to bring
40 their initiative several steps forward as they decided to ‘intensify its
41 external dialogues in political and security matters using the ASEAN
42 PMC’ (Alvestad 1998: 33). These declarations eventually led up to the
43 ASEAN Ministerial Meeting in Singapore on 23–24 July 1993 where it
44 was decided to create a separate security component of the PMC dialogue
1145 named the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF). The objective of the ARF
514 The Pacic Review
1 from 1980 to 1993, the average annual growth of energy consumption was
2 9.8 per cent in Malaysia, 5.1 per cent in China, 3.5 per cent in the
3 Philippines and 2.6 per cent in Vietnam (Magno 1997: 103). Many govern-
4 ments are beginning to appreciate that certain kinds of energy use will
5 incur political, social and environmental costs, which may have implica-
6 tions for national security. In Southeast Asia, resource scarcity is aggra-
7 vating tensions over unresolved maritime-boundary quarrels. Every state
8 in the region, except Laos, is involved in at least one dispute with a neigh-
9 bour. Disputes in the South China Sea region have led to military
10 confrontation, or have been the subject of ofcial protests. What is new
11 and troublesome about these disputes is that they are taking place against
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12 by between 40 per cent and 65 per cent since 1950 (Dupont 1998: 61),
13 and according to the World Bank most states in the region will be facing
14 serious water shortages by the year 2025, unless strong action is taken.
15 Water shortages are likely to impinge on the security of states and indi-
16 viduals in a number of ways. The perhaps most important link is the fact
17 that it takes a large amount of water to produce just one kilogram of rice.
18 Hence, there is a direct relationship between water shortage and food
19 insecurity. Another problem related to the water policy of the states is
1120 the construction of dams. This often means large-scale population displace-
21 ment, a phenomenon which may prompt political instability and violence
22 within states.
23 In the same way as with other environmental matters, fresh water
24 scarcity is likely to assume broader and more serious security ramica-
25 tions when it becomes entangled with other sources of tension. Also, the
26 quality and the strength of the political relationship between states, and
27 between groups within a state, sharing water resources is crucial in deter-
28 mining whether disputes escalate. Water scarcity will have the potential
29 to affect the region’s security environment both domestically and inter-
1130 nationally. Domestically, water shortages can intensify or aggravate social
31 and political tensions and complicate the everyday political and social life
32 of a country. Internationally, the security problem related to water scarcity
33 is a question of growing interdependence between states. As interdepen-
34 dence grows, the water problems of one state will become the concern of
35 all. In this way, the importance of water as one of the factors prompting
36 international conict will increase.
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The emergence of a new concept: environmental security
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40 These (very brief) examples of a possible relationship between environ-
41 mental deterioration and security in the South China Sea region are
42 presented to illustrate the necessity to apply a comprehensive security
43 concept if the problems of the region are to be solved. A comprehensive
44 security concept consists of something more than political and military
1145 security. Issue areas that should also be included in a comprehensive
518 The Pacic Review
1 inter alia the effects of the military apparatus on the human environment
2 – in peacetime as well as during war. A major work within this area is
3 Arthur Westing’s Environmental Hazards of War (1990a) discussing the
4 consequences of a conventional war on a rapidly industrializing world.
5 High levels of development and industrialization make widespread devas-
6 tation increasingly likely as the result of war damage to civilian facilities
7 such as nuclear power plants, chemical plants and dams. The devastation
8 is not from the weapons alone but from the release of radioactive or toxic
9 chemicals or impounded waters.
10 (2) The second approach can be subordinated under the ‘redening
11 security’ tradition, which started long before the current debate on security
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12 and authoritative institutions and social relations. These four are often
13 causally interlinked. In Ecoviolence (Blitt and Homer-Dixon 1998) a fth
14 intermediate variable is introduced, namely social segmentation. The
15 model thereby now operates with ve social effects of environmental
16 degradation.
17 As to the second question, we may draw on more traditional theories
18 of conict to hypothesize that severe environmental degradation may
19 produce three different types of conict. First, there are simple scarcity
20 conicts, arising over struggle for three types of resources in particular:
21 fresh water, sh and agriculturally productive land. Second, there are
22 group identity conicts, arising from large-scale movements of populations
23 brought about by environmental change. Third, relative deprivation
24 conicts, arising from economic decline caused by environmental prob-
25 lems. All these categories could be both domestic and international in
26 scope. Related to the main subject of this paper the question would be:
27 How can regional integration be expected to break the anticipated causal
28 link between environmental change and conict? In particular, how can
29 fear of environmentally induced conicts – security considerations – func-
30 tion as driving forces for regional cooperation. Related to Homer-Dixon’s
31 model, international cooperation could either break the link between envi-
32 ronmental change and social effects, or the link between social effects of
33 environmental change and conict. Figure 1 illustrates this anticipated
34 relationship.
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The necessity of driving forces in international integration
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processes
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39 Most researchers studying the environmental situation in the South China
40 Sea region point to the necessity of regional cooperation to come to grips
41 with a growing problem. So far, however, regionalism has not come too far
42 in dealing with the international environmental problems. The most obvious
43 institution to do so is the Association of Southeast Asian Nations. ASEAN
44 has already cooperated on environmental issues for many years. However,
45 the impression is that the association does not put the environmental issues
K. Dokken: Environment, security and regionalism 521
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8 Figure 1 Environmental conict or international cooperation?
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10 at the top of its agenda. To do so it would probably have to regard them as
11 even more serious than it does today. If serious environmental problems
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12 were dened by the political actors as security matters, then they would most
13 certainly be put higher up on the agenda.
14 Let us also look at this from the opposite angle: in the scientic liter-
15 ature on international integration outside Europe, the lack of political will
16 to go forward with the integration process is very often cited as one of
17 the most important reasons for lack of success. This general lack of politi-
18 cal will is probably related to the lack of driving forces in the integration
19 process. Such driving forces, when present, have traditionally been related
1120 to high politics. High politics is politics that concern vital national inter-
21 ests, politics that the actors regard as sensitive to the state and that is to
22 be dealt with by the highest authorities of the state (Dokken 1997: 84).9
23 There is a general tendency for the perception of a common threat to
24 create a strong driving force for inter-state cooperation. In the case of
25 ASEAN we saw that the fear of communism was an important driving
26 force for integration during the rst phases of the process. With the end
27 of the Cold War and through the inclusion of all Southeast Asian states
28 in the association ASEAN has lost its probably most important driving
29 force. The most interesting question to ask in relation to the subject of
1130 this paper is whether environmental security considerations could serve
31 as an equally important driving force for continued integration in
32 Southeast Asia. Before answering this question I would like to refer briey
33 to some theoretical points related to international integration. One of the
34 most important theorists within the eld of international integration is
35 Ernst B. Haas. In his classical works on neo-functionalism (Haas 1958,
36 1964) pragmatic interest policy is put forward as the basic process vari-
37 able. Other kinds of independent variables are de-emphasized at all levels
38 of the integration. Later on, however, Haas admitted that pragmatic inter-
39 ests would not be sufcient to bring a process forward. In fact, this admit-
40 tance was one of the main reasons why Haas nally left his original theory.
41 Another important theorist within this eld, Amitai Etzioni, developed a
42 framework for the preconditions to an integration process. Considerable
43 attention was given to the ‘common external threat’. However, Etzioni
44 sidesteps the question of what will happen to the union if or when the
1145 threat is dissolved (like in the case of ASEAN and the end of the Cold
522 The Pacic Review
1 War); likewise the issue of how relevant the threat is to stages other than
2 the ‘pre-unication state’ (Etzioni 1965).
3 A considerable degree of political will seems to be a necessary factor
4 in all processes of integration. This political will is usually related to high
5 politics considerations. In classical integration theory there has been a lack
6 of attention to the role of high politics as driving forces for the integra-
7 tion process.
8 One very important aspect related to this is that driving forces cannot
9 function as such without being perceived by the political actors as high
10 politics. Hence the concept must be related to the general perceptions of
11 the politicians. The actors must recognize and perceive the link between
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1 problems as security matters, they must learn that they are. Teaching the
2 political actors about the relationship between environment and security
3 in the South China Sea region may therefore be an important task for
4 the epistemic communities of concerned scientists in the region. There is
5 particularly one process that deserves to be mentioned here. In 1990,
6 Indonesia initiated a series of annual workshops on the South China Sea
7 problem. Funded by the Canadian International Development Agency
8 (CIDA), they aimed at bolstering cooperation and promoted condence-
9 building processes among the countries involved in the territorial disputes.
10 These workshops are still in function. The participants are foreign ministry
11 ofcials and academics from ASEAN, China and Taiwan. However, the
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1 example here is the triangle China, Vietnam and ASEAN. Since the
2 creation of ASEAN China has been perceived (although not ofcially) as
3 a common external enemy to the members of the organization. The poten-
4 tial threat of a strong China has become ever more visible as the South
5 China Sea dispute has been brought to the central stage of the inter-
6 national policy debate in the region. Driven by perceptions of the mili-
7 tary ambitions of China in relation to the country’s claims to South China
8 Sea territories, the ASEAN countries have embarked on efforts to beef
9 up their own naval capabilities. It is undeniable that the territorial disputes
10 in the South China Sea, involving ve of the member countries of ASEAN,
11 have been major factors propelling the arms build-up in the region (Magno
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12 1997: 102). Another way of handling this problem within ASEAN has
13 been to bring Vietnam – one of the most important parties to the disputes
14 – into the organization. ASEAN countries have realized that they cannot
15 compete with China individually. They have to deal with her collectively.
16 However, China is not willing to deal with the disputes in a multilateral
17 forum. This is an obvious dilemma for the possible solution to the problem.
18 By bringing in Vietnam, ASEAN has not only made itself stronger in
19 absolute numbers. The admission of Vietnam into ASEAN has also
20 strengthened the organization’s interest in and, not least, its right to
21 conduct discussions on the South China Sea. The admission of Vietnam
22 will most certainly affect the future approach of ASEAN to the South
23 China Sea disputes. It is likely that the organization will come up with
24 a joint declaration during the next few years. The approach favoured
25 by most ASEAN states is a regional approach to a regional problem.
26 Several key politicians have stated this openly.10 As of today, there is
27 primarily one such declaration that deserves our attention here, namely
28 the ASEAN/AMM Declaration on the South China Sea (1992). This
29 declaration marked ASEAN’s rst formal step in tackling the issue
30 and is a milestone in the development of an ASEAN approach to the
31 disputes. ‘Just as in the Cambodian conict, ASEAN did not inch from
32 addressing another delicate and sensitive issue, namely the South China
33 Sea conicts’ (Lee Lai To 1995: 539). By coming up with the declaration,
34 and adopting a common stand in spite of their differences, ASEAN created
35 a new role for itself in the territorial disputes in the South China Sea. It
36 remains to be seen to what extent Vietnam would affect ASEAN’s
37 solidarity and its position towards China on these questions in the future.
38 Undoubtedly, a future declaration on the South China Sea will differ
39 signicantly from the one that ASEAN worked out before Vietnam’s
40 admission.
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42
Conclusions
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44 China’s recent assertiveness in the South China Sea has had several impli-
45 cations for the ASEAN states. First, it already has caused some concern
K. Dokken: Environment, security and regionalism 527
1 in the region, and should China persist with its forward policy it will rein-
2 force its neighbours’ mistrust and misgivings towards China. Second, it is
3 likely to force the ASEAN claimant states to establish a political defence
4 coalition against China because they cannot compete with China individ-
5 ually. Third, it may trigger a revision by some states of the two-China
6 policy, with the effect of embarrassing China by recognizing Taiwan.
7 Fourth, it may introduce new factors into the geopolitics of the region,
8 such as providing a pretext for Japan to re-arm itself in order to protect
9 its vital interests in the South China Sea. Fifth, it may introduce host coun-
10 tries of overseas Chinese to adopt once again a hostile policy towards the
11 overseas Chinese communities (Gao 1994: 353).
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530 The Pacic Review
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