EFP/04 - fact sheet

http://tyndall.e-collaboration.co.uk/publications/fact_sheets/untitled/efp...

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Climate change impacts on UK Overseas Territories
Dr Chris Sear, from the University of Greenwich, and researchers from the Tyndall Centre have compiled stakeholder opinions, recent research results and other available information to examine impacts of future climate change on UK Overseas Territories (OTs). The study, funded by the Department for International Development, focused on Anguilla, Montserrat and the Turks and Caicos Islands in the Wider Caribbean, St Helena and Tristan da Cunha in the South Atlantic and the Pitcairn Islands in the South Pacific, but the results have relevance to other small island states and their regions. The researchers concluded that all three regions are likely to warm by more than 3°C by 2100, but they advise planning for the worst case scenario of a 5 - 6° rise. Increasingly severe tropical storms and hurricanes are likely in the Caribbean, with 20% stronger winds, more rain and higher sea surges. All areas studied are likely to experience changes in seasonal rainfall, increasing the risk of droughts and floods. These changes will be exacerbated by rises in global sea level by as much as 90cm by the end of the century. Such changes will affect the fragile OT environments, which sustain the livelihoods of these economically vulnerable states. Changes in climate will impact on natural resources such as beaches, and marine ecosystems such as coral reefs and mangrove forests consequently these impacts are likely to primarily affect tourism, fisheries, water supply, population movement and coastal infrastructure. Through stakeholder interviews, the researchers found that governments and the wider population in OTs were generally more concerned with immediate disasters than future climate change impacts. The researchers recommend priority be given to improving scientific knowledge and public and decision-maker awareness of likely future climates in OT regions, and providing training at government and community levels to help develop adaptation and action plans.

Governments and communities in UK Overseas Territories need to plan for the impacts of predicted future climate change on their fragile environments. © Ian Grigg More information Contact the lead investigator of Project EFP/04 (The Impacts of Global Climate Change on the UK Overseas Territories): Dr Chris Sear Natural Resources Institute, University of Greenwich Medway Campus, Chatham Maritime, Kent ME4 4TB Phone: +44 (0) 1634 88 3105; Fax: +44 (0) 1634 88 3341 Email: c.b.sear@greenwich.ac.uk Other researchers involved in this project are: Dr Mike Hulme, Dr Neil Adger and Dr Kate Brown, Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia Project duration: January 2001 to March 2001 Useful web sites: The Tyndall Centre: www.tyndall.ac.uk The Natural Resources Institute: www.nri.org

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EFP/04 - fact sheet

http://tyndall.e-collaboration.co.uk/publications/fact_sheets/untitled/efp...

The School of Development Studies: www.uea.ac.uk/dev The British Government Department for International Development: www.dfid.gov.uk Impacts of global climate change on UK OTs - Issues and Recommendations: www.nri.org/work/CC-OT.pdf UK Overseas Territory Conservation Forum: http://www.ukotcf.org/

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