03 - fact sheet

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A blueprint for integrated assessment of climate change
The Tyndall Centre's Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) will bring together climate models, socio-economic models, models of technological change, policy models, transport models and models of social behaviour and decision making. Before building the model, it is vital for decisions to be made regarding the questions the model will answer, the structure it will take and how it will be realised. Dr Rachel Warren, is coordinating a large team of Tyndall Centre research partners from around the UK to establish the structural and implementation framework for the IAM. They are gathering information from discussions with expert integrated assessment modellers and key representatives from industry, government and other organisations, from literature reviews, and visits to centres of excellence. The gathered information will assist decisions about which model components are required from existing modules (including representation of water resources, energy use and forestry) as well as crucial new modules that need to be developed for representation of coastal impacts, transport and the built environment, extreme events, abrupt climate change and other areas in which the Tyndall Centre has expertise. The team's main activity will be to investigate ways these and other modules will link together and interact, how the model will deal with uncertainty, and how it can incorporate feedback from decision makers using the model. The model will be at the core of the Tyndall Centre's research, allowing scientists to conduct a holistic investigation into adaptation and mitigation strategies for climate change.

Computer models that bring together climate science, policy and socio-economic research are essential for analysing the impacts of climate change policies across a broad range of sectors, time scales and areas. More information project summary page Contact the lead investigator of Project IT1.3 (Evaluation of approaches to integrated assessment: a 'blueprint project'): Dr Rachel Warren Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK Phone: +44 (0)1603 593912; Fax: +44 (0) 1603 593901

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IT1.03 - fact sheet

Email: Other researchers involved in this project are: Dr Alex Haxeltine, Tyndall Centre, University of East Anglia Dr Jonathan Köhler, Tyndall Centre, University of East Anglia and Department of Applied Economics, University of Cambridge Dr Jean Palutikof and Dr Clair Hanson, Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia Dr Richard Harding, CEH Wallingford Professor John Shepherd, Tyndall Centre (South), Southampton Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton Dr Frans Berkhout and Dr Andrew Stirling, SPRU, University of Sussex Professor Tim O'Riordan, CSERGE, University of East Anglia Professor Peter Allen, Cranfield School of Management, Cranfield University Dr Chris Nash, Institute for Transport Studies, University of Leeds Dr Simon Shackley, Tyndall Centre (North), Manchester School of Management, UMIST Project Duration April 2001 to May 2002 Useful web sites: The Tyndall Centre: The Climatic Research Unit: 'Blueprint project' web page: The Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research: Model Visualization at the Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center: Decision Support and Integrated Assessment at the Institute for Systems Informatics and Safety:

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