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MRR
40,5 Institutional investor behavioral
biases: syntheses of theory
and evidence
578 Zamri Ahmad and Haslindar Ibrahim
School of Management, Universiti Sains Malaysia, Penang, Malaysia, and
Received 19 April 2016
Revised 24 October 2016 Jasman Tuyon
Accepted 12 January 2017
Faculty of Business Management, Universiti Teknologi MARA,
Kota Kinabalu, Malaysia
Abstract
Purpose – This paper aims to review the theory and empirical evidence of institutional investor behavioral
biases in the lenses of behavioral finance paradigm. It surveys the research specifically focusing on
behavioral biases among institutional investors in investment management activities worldwide.
Design/methodology/approach – A literature survey is done to gather and synthesize evidence on
behavioral biases of institutional investors.
Findings – The survey and analysis reveal the following findings. First, the theoretical underpinning of
investors’ irrational behavior has been neglected in behavioral finance research. Second, the behavioral
heuristics and biases are dynamic and complex. Third, understanding behavioral biases’ origin, causes and
effects requires interdisciplinary perspectives from the fields of psychology, sociology and biology.
Originality/value – The analysis and alternative perspectives drawn in this paper provide new insights
into the field of behavioral finance and aims to suggest researchers, practitioners and regulators on the next
course of actions.
Keywords Behavioral finance, Institutional investors, Irrationality, Affective biases,
Cognitive heuristics, Market behaviour
Paper type Conceptual paper
1. Introduction
Practical investment and academic studies have acknowledged the existence of investment
behavioral biases that lead to irrational decision-making. These biases in investing
encompass many types, and are still not well understood. Investor irrational behavior is real
and its effects to financial and economic systems are pervasive if no efforts are taken to
acknowledge and mitigate them. Despite its significance, the theoretical underpinning of
irrational behavior remains vague, and this has been neglected in academic, practice and
policy discourse. In academic finance inquiry, empirical evidence of behavior irregularity
reflected in financial markets has increasingly challenged the validity of many modern
finance theories and models. Attention to this issue is important but remains challenging
because modern and behavioral finance paradigms are divided in perspectives with regard
to theoretical foundation of investor and market behaviors. Modern finance paradigm has
defended the assumption of rationality and market efficiency as the correct theoretical basis
Management Research Review
Vol. 40 No. 5, 2017
describing the approximate behavior for investor and the market. On the other hand,
pp. 578-603
© Emerald Publishing Limited
2040-8269
The authors greatly acknowledge the financial assistance provided for this research by Universiti
DOI 10.1108/MRR-04-2016-0091 Sains Malaysia (USM) through USM-RUI Grant No. 1001/PMGT/816276.
behavioral finance paradigm believes that investor behavior is bounded rational and Investor
collectively forms inefficient markets. behavioral
Behavioral finance postulates that as human beings, retail and institutional investors
commit some elements of irrationality in their decision-making. This human irrationality is
biases
biologically, psychologically and sociologically embedded in a normal human being. Given
the above problems in focus, the objective of this paper is to examine the evidence of various
classes of behavioral biases among fund managers, which is the largest and most important
segment of institutional investors in financial markets. We focus solely on survey-based
579
evidence to understand and describe the behavior from the individual-level data. This
review will provide information to scholars, practitioners and regulators on the origin,
causes and effects of institutional investors’ irrational behaviors and suggests possible
future actions.
This paper provides two insights. First, it proposes an alternative theoretical
underpinning through theoretical triangulation of psychological, sociological and biological
perspectives in understanding the origin, causes and effects of institutional investor
irrational behaviors. Second, it draws a conceptual framework based on syntheses of
theories and empirical evidence in understanding the origin of institutional investors’
irrational behaviors, their influence on irrational investment management strategies and
their impact on fund investment performance. This inquiry is organized as follow. Section 2
establishes the theoretical perspectives and evidences on investors and market behaviors.
Section 3, provides syntheses of the fund managers biases compiled from survey-based
research worldwide. Section 4, proposed the theoretical conceptualization and modeling of
fund managers’ irrational behaviors’ origin, causes and effects. Finally, Section 5 concludes
and provides suggestions to scholars, practitioners and regulators on the next course of
actions.
2. Literature review
2.1 Behavioral finance theoretical perspectives
Approximation of human behavior is the cornerstone in understanding the reality of
financial markets’ functioning (Shiller, 1999). In particular, investor behavior determines
asset prices through demand and supply forces, and consequently determine the financial
market behaviors. Currently, two schools of thought, namely, modern finance and
behavioral finance, provide a different theoretical conceptualization of the finance
worldviews. Figure 1 illustrates the interconnections between investor, asset prices and
market behaviors in financial systems together with the two schools of thought theoretical
perspectives. To keep our discussion focus, we briefly introduce the financial worldview
from the lenses of behavioral finance. The modern finance theoretical perspectives are
described by Miller (1999), while the behavioral finance historical development is well
explained by Ritter (2003), Baker and Nofsinger (2010), Statman (2014) and Thaler (2016).
Behavioral finance offers an alternative theoretical perspective of financial market
functioning (i.e. investor, asset prices and market behaviors) based on positive philosophical
views, which does not assume full rationality of market players. The current theoretical
foundations for investor behaviors in the behavioral finance paradigm are the bounded
rationality theory of Simon (1955) and prospect theory of Kahneman and Tversky (1979)
drawn from the field of psychology. In psychology perspective, irrationality on the part of
human decision is a basic human nature (Ellis, 1976). This is substantiated with extensive
experimental evidences from cognitive psychology on the systematic heuristics and biases
that arise from people’s beliefs and preferences (Tversky and Kahneman, 1986).
MRR
40,5
580
Figure 1.
Theoretical
perspectives of
financial market
functioning
Guided by the above theoretical assumption on human behavior, asset prices and market Investor
behavior, which are the product of collective actions of market players, are dynamic and behavioral
adaptive in nature. Human behavior biases are affecting asset prices through supply and
demand interactions which sometimes lead the market to be inefficient (Schneider and
biases
Lappen, 2000; Ritter, 2003). These provide support to the adaptive market efficiency
hypothesis of Lo (2004, 2005) as a representative theory for financial market behavior. Based
on the behavioral finance paradigm, the complexity and dynamism of investors and market
581
behaviors are best reflected and acknowledged in a complex system (Jacobs and Levy, 1989;
Mitroi and Oproiu, 2014) supported by interdisciplinary theories. As such, it is important to
synchronize investors, asset prices and market in the dynamic systems ruled by real human
behavior. In the following sections, the discussion will focus on forces determining investor
behavioral biases.
Emotion Emotion state (greed, hope, worry fear, Emotion can induce optimism (pessimism),
panic) is induced by a particular (favorable overconfidence (low confidence), overreaction
or unfavorable) event (Shefrin, 2000) (underreaction) and risk tolerance (Shefrin,
2000; Warneryd, 2001; Baker and Ricciardi,
2014)
Sentiment Sentiment state (optimistic or pessimistic) is Sentiment can induce optimism (pessimism),
induced by a particular (favorable or overconfidence (low confidence), overreaction
unfavorable) event (underreaction) and risk tolerance. Sentiment
proxies influence investors (Baker and
Wurgler, 2006)
Mood Mood state (good or bad mood, happy, sad, Mood can induce optimism (pessimism),
stress) is induced by a particular (good or overconfidence (low confidence), overreaction
bad) event (underreaction) and risk tolerance. Mood state Table III.
is induced by weather (Hirshleifer and Affects and
Shumway, 2003) due to seasonal affective investment
disorder implications
The third factor is experience. Empirical evidences showed that more experienced and
expert investors are more prone to overreaction and overconfidence biases (Chen et al., 2004;
Griffin and Tversky, 1992) and are more risk-takers (Corter and Chen, 2006). Education
difference is the fourth factor. Previous research suggests that education is important in
predicting preferences and behavior. In finance research, finance education that is expected
to increase financial literacy has been associated with choices for investment (Schooley and
Worden, 1999; Bernheim and Garrett, 2003) risk-taking behavior (Wang, 2009; Sjoberg and
Engelberg, 2009) and encourages wealth-creating investment (McCannon, 2014). Nikiforow
(2010) shows that training on behavioral finance increases awareness and reduces the fund
managers’ behavioral biases.
Personality types are psychological characteristics of individual. Many have examined
the connection between personality type and risk tolerance level. There are many
personality tests available, but the popularly used psychology-based personality-type tests
are the Myers–Briggs Type Indicator[1], Big Five Personality Taxanomy[2], Zuckerman’s
Sensation-Seeking Scale (Zuckerman, 1994), Domain-Specific Risk-Taking Scale[3] (Weber
et al., 2002; Blais and Weber, 2006) and Risk Tolerance Questionnaire (Corter and Chen,
2006). Using the Myers–Briggs Type Indicator test in behavioral finance research provides
insights that higher scores for extraversion, intuition, thinking and perceiving are positively
related to higher levels of risk tolerance (Filbeck et al., 2005). Use of Big Five personality
taxonomy in finance research also explains investment behavior and variation in risk-taking
among investors in accordance with their personality types. Mayfield et al. (2008) provide
evidence that extraverted individuals intend to engage in short-term investing behavior and Investor
individuals prone to neuroticism show that they are more risk-averse and do not engage in behavioral
short-term investing behavior. Meanwhile, individuals with openness to experience are
inclined to engage in long-term investing behavior. Zuckerman’s Sensation-Seeking Scale
biases
has been used by Belcher (2010) in examining student personality characteristics and
portfolio preferences, but no discernible pattern was found between psychological
characteristics and portfolio preferences.
3.2.2 Cultural traits. Culture impact on finance is a new emerging sub-field of behavioral 589
finance research. Based on sociology perspective, culture is partly important in
understanding individual behavior. Cultural factor has a great determinant role in
investment decision-making because investors personally and collectively adhere to
conserve personal relationship within the organization or society they belong to (Ellison and
Fudenberg, 1993). Growing evidences from behavioral finance research and other sociology
research indicated that investors’ behaviors are related to the cultural origin of the
individual. This perspective suggests that individual investment behavior could be
predicted based on their cultural characteristics. The importance of this perspective has long
been neglected in finance, but the number of recent works looking into this issue is
increasing.
Hofstede’s (1980) cultural dimension of individualism, uncertainty avoidance and long-
term orientation has been recently capitalized in behavioral finance research to explain the
behavior of stock markets. Nguyen and Truong (2013), for example, provide worldwide
evidences that information content of stock markets is higher in more individualistic
countries and in low uncertainty avoidance countries. Beracha et al. (2014) provide evidence
that institutional investors from different cultural background trade differently. In addition,
they provide evidence that institutional investors trade with higher frequency in their home
countries and in countries with similar cultural background. This finding can be
corroborated to earlier findings by Anderson et al. (2011), providing evidence that home bias
and international diversification by institutional investors are influenced by cultural bias.
Bialkowski et al. (2013) confirmed that fund managers exploit the Ramadhan anomaly in
their trading strategy.
3.2.3 Institutional traits. We discuss two important institutional traits, namely,
governance and ethical concerns. Current corporate governance policy and practice, which
are based on the rational model of decision-making, may be insufficient to mitigate future
corporate failure (Marnet, 2005). Lack of corporate governance in curving the behavioral
biases and information asymmetry has been pointed out as one of the reasons for failure in
addressing behavior-induced risks in financial markets. Marnet (2005) argued that to
gamble imprudently seems inherent in human nature. Stock returns in emerging markets
tend to be more positively skewed which can be attributed to managers having more
discretion to release good information immediately and bad information slowly (Claessens
and Yurtoglu, 2013). This is probably due to the fact that the current practice of corporate
governance does not take into account the need to curve behavioral biases. Some scholars
have voiced the needs for corporate governance to include a new mission for corporate
governance to control behavioral biases in firms (Baccar et al., 2013) and in financial
markets in general (Suto and Toshino, 2005).
Ethical concerns have also been reported to have important roles in mitigating
behavioral biases in fund management. In this perspective, Marco et al. (2011) provide
evidence of differences in risk-taking behavior between ethical and conventional mutual
fund managers. This stream of research is new which has yet to be explored in behavioral
finance research.
MRR 3.3 Irrationality investment decisions
40,5 Behavioral biases cause irrationality in various aspects of investment decisions. In Table V,
we synthesize the irrational investment decisions in four dimensions, namely, information
use, investment analysis use, investment and trading strategies and portfolio management
strategies.
Few insights can be drawn from the above evidences. First, the use of information other
590 than firm and economic fundamental factors challenges the modern asset pricing postulates
that only fundamental information matters in asset pricing modeling. Second, the popularity
of technical analysis use in equity investment analysis can be related to the influence of
behavioral biases in investor decision-making. Third, behavioral biases believe to be the
root cause of various non-rational trading strategies. Finally, in portfolio management
strategies, behavioral biases can be reconciled to explain various non-rational portfolio
management strategies. Collectively, all these will influence the level of portfolio
diversification, risk and returns differently than what was thought in modern
portfolio theory. These evidences seem to be consistent with behavioral finance views.
594
Figure 2.
The conceptual
framework: irrational
behavior’s origin,
causes and effects
5. Discussion, conclusion and practical implications Investor
5.1 New insights behavioral
We provide two new insights. First, this paper proposes alternative theoretical perspectives,
i.e. theoretical triangulation (of bounded rationality theory, prospect theory, theory of mind
biases
and ABC model), drawn from knowledge in psychology, sociology and biology. We believe
that this perspective provides a rich understanding on the origin, causes and effect of
irrational behavior of a normal human being. Second, we draw a conceptual framework
based on syntheses of the theories and empirical evidences suggested above in 595
understanding the origin of institutional investors’ irrational behaviors, their influence on
irrational investment management strategies and their direct impact on fund performance.
These theoretical and conceptual perspectives can be corroborated with behavioral finance
postulation that stock prices and market behaviors are not solely based on fundamentals but
also other non-fundamental factors which directly influence investor decision-making. In
this paper, we argue that psychology, sociology and biological forces induce these non-
fundamental factors.
Notes
1. See Filbeck et al., 2005 for detailed descriptions.
2. See Mayfield et al., 2008 for detailed descriptions.
3. See Blais and Weber (2006) for detail of questions.
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Corresponding author
Zamri Ahmad can be contacted at: zahmad@usm.my
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