You are on page 1of 8

Wealth Management Advisory

United Overseas Bank Indonesia Daily FX Technical


Calvin Nico Herlambang, CFA Daily RSI/30D Heatmap Tuesday, July 25, 2017
WM Advisory Head
(62) 21 23506000 ext. 30350
calvinnico@uob.co.id

Diendy Liu
Wealth Management Research
(62) 21 23506000 ext. 30359
diendy@uob.co.id

Erricky
Wealth Management Research
(62) 21 23506000 ext. 30343
erricky@uob.co.id

Central Bank Rates


Rates Current Next Meet
US Fed 1.25 2017/07/27
EU ECB 0.00 2017/09/07 RSI Indicator Below 30 = Oversold Above 70 = Overbought
UK BOE 0.25 2017/08/03 30D Range <10% = Near lowest level of the last 30 days
>90% = Near highest level of the last 30 days
AU RBA 1.50 2017/08/01
NZ RBNZ 1.75 2017/08/10 Daily ADX Heatmap
ID BI 7DRR 4.75 2017/08/22
FX Daily Rates
CCY USD IDR
USD - 13,320
EUR 1.1639 15,500
GBP 1.3021 17,340
AUD 0.7914 10,541
NZD 0.7432 9,899
JPY 111.28 119.68
SGD 1.3629 9,772
FX Weekly Rates
Currency 7 D Low 7 D High
AUDUSD 0.7675 0.7989
EURUSD 1.1371 1.1658
GBPUSD 1.2881 1.3126
DMI ADX DMI +/- Heat Map
NZDUSD 0.7247 0.7415 Blue = Indicates a strong trend. Green = Indicates golden cross.
USDJPY 111.48 113.58 Red = Indicates a false trend. Red = Indicates death cross.
USDSGD 1.3648 1.3788 DMI index 20-40 indicates The greater the difference indicates
confirmation of a trend. confirmation of a trend.
USDIDR 13,291 13,352
Sources: Bloomberg, UOB Indonesia Page 1
Daily FX Technical AUDUSD - EURUSD Tuesday, July 25, 2017

AUDUSD – D1 – Technical Analysis

ADX 42, Bull Trending Strategy Sentiment Resistance: 0.8000


RSI 72, Over-bought Neutral FOMC Statement Support: 0.7835
Federal Funds Rate

EURUSD – D1 – Technical Analysis

ADX 48, Bull Trending Strategy Sentiment Resistance: 1.1714


RSI 70, Over-bought Long if break 1.1714; FOMC Statement Support: 1.1616
Stop Loss @ 1.1616 Federal Funds Rate

Sources: Bloomberg, UOB Indonesia Page 2


Daily FX Technical GBPUSD - NZDUSD Tuesday, July 25, 2017

GBPUSD – D1 – Technical Analysis

ADX 16, Sideway Strategy Strategy Resistance: 1.3129


RSI 57, Neutral Maintain short UK Prelim GDP q/q Support: 1.2775
(Short @1.3029; SL @1.3129)

NZDUSD – D1 – Technical Analysis

ADX 36, Sideway Strategy Sentiment Resistance: 0.7486


RSI 70, Over-bought Maintain short FOMC Statement Support: 0.7380
(Short @ 0.7437; SL @ 0.7500) Federal Funds Rate

Sources: Bloomberg, UOB Indonesia Page 1


Daily FX Technical USDCAD - USDJPY Tuesday, July 25, 2017

USDCAD – D1 – Technical Analysis

ADX 64, Bear Trending Strategy Strategy Resistance: 1.2654


RSI 20, Over-sold Neutral FOMC Statement Support: 1.2461
Federal Funds Rate

USDJPY – D1 – Technical Analysis

ADX 20, Sideway Strategy Strategy Resistance: 111.71


RSI 38, Neutral Neutral FOMC Statement Support: 110.24
Federal Funds Rate

Sources: Bloomberg, UOB Indonesia Page 3


Daily FX Technical USDCHF - USDSGD Tuesday, July 25, 2017

USDCHF – D1 – Technical Analysis

ADX 18, Sideway Strategy Sentiment Resistance: 0.9522


RSI 31, Neutral Neutral FOMC Statement Support: 0.9445
Federal Funds Rate

FX Cross Currency – USDSGD – D1 – Technical Analysis

ADX 42, Bear Trending Strategy Sentiment Resistance: 1.3698


RSI 32, Neutral Bearish FOMC Statement Support: 1.3493
recommendation Federal Funds Rate

Sources: Bloomberg, UOB Indonesia Page 5


Daily FX Technical EURGBP - SGDJPY Tuesday, July 25, 2017

FX Cross Currency – EURAUD – D1 – Technical Analysis

ADX 25, Sideway Strategy Sentiment Resistance: 1.4823


RSI 43, Neutral Long Recommendation AUD CPI Support: 1.4651

FX Cross Currency – GBPAUD – D1 – Technical Analysis

ADX 34, Bear Trending Strategy Sentiment Resistance: 1.6566


RSI 35, Neutral Short AUD CPI Support: 1.6176
Recommendation

Sources: Bloomberg, UOB Indonesia Page 5


Daily FX Technical GBPSGD – FX Volatility Index Tuesday, July 25, 2017

FX Cross Currency – NZDSGD – D1 – Technical Analysis

ADX 30, Sideway Strategy Sentiment Resistance: 1.0175


RSI 58, Neutral Short SG Industrial Production Support: 1.0022
Recommendation

FX Volatility Index

Sources: Bloomberg, UOB Indonesia Page 5


Wealth Management Advisory
United Overseas Bank Indonesia Disclaimer
Diendy Liu
Wealth Management Research About Daily FX Technical
(62) 21 23506000 ext. 30359
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on information available to the public.
diendy@uob.co.id
Although the information contained herein is believed to be reliable, UOB
Erricky Group makes no representation as to the accuracy or completeness. Also,
Wealth Management Research opinions and predictions contained herein reflect our opinion as of date of
(62) 21 23506000 ext. 30343 the analysis and are subject to change without notice. UOB Group may
calvinnico@uob.co.id have positions in, and may effect transactions in, currencies and financial
Ivan products mentioned herein. Prior to entering into any proposed
Treasury Specialist Team Leader transaction, without reliance upon UOB Group or its affiliates, the reader
(62) 21 23506000 ext 30364 should determine, the economic risks and merits, as well as the legal, tax
IvanIvan@uob.co.id and accounting characterizations and consequences, of the transaction
and that able to assume these risks. This document and its contents are
Michelle Djasa proprietary information and products of UOB Group and may not be
Treasury Specialist reproduced or otherwise.
(62) 21 4529171 ext 3237
michelle@uob.co.id Disclaimer: Laporan ini disusun berdasarkan informasi dari sumber yang
dapat dipercaya oleh PFS-DII. PFS-DII tidak menjamin keakuratan,
Hananto Winahyu Wibowo kecukupan, ataupun kelengkapan informasi dan materi yang diberikan.
Treasury Specialist Meskipun Laporan ini telah dipersiapkan dengan seksama, PFS-DII tidak
(62) 22 4261191 ext 3306, 3307 bertanggung jawab atas segala konsekuensi hukum dan keuangan yang
hanantowinahyu@uob.co.id timbul, baik terhadap atau diderita oleh orang atau pihak apapun dan
Eka Budi Setiawan dengan cara apapun yang dianggap sebagai akibat dari tindakan yang
Treasury Specialist dilakukan atas dasar keseluruhan atau sebagian dari Laporan ini. Investasi
(62) 31 5471772 e 3268 melalui Reksa Dana mengandung Risiko. Calon Investor wajib membaca
ekabudisetiawan@uob.co.id dan memahami Prospektus sebelum memutuskan untuk berinvestasi
melalu Reksa Dana. Kinerja masa lalu tidak mencerminkan kinerja masa
Ronald Prasetya Budiharto
datang. Transaksi jual beli valas (Forex Transaction/Trading) mengandung
Treasury Specialist
(62) 21 6320942 Risiko. Calon investor wajib memahami mekanisme jual beli valas sebelum
ronaldbudiharto@uob.co.id memutuskan untuk berinvestasi melalui Forex Transaction/Trading.

Ridwan Prajanta
Treasury Specialist
(62) 21 23506000 ext 30101
ridwanprajanta@uob.co.id

Riza Albar
Treasury Specialist
(62) 7252647 ext 3213
rizaalbar@uob.co.id

URL: www.uob.co.id Page 6

You might also like