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FINAL REPORT
ADDRESS COWI A/S
Parallelvej 2
2800 Kongens Lyngby
Denmark
TEL +45 56 40 00 00
FAX +45 56 40 99 99
WWW cowi.com
FEBRUARY 2019
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CORPORATION (IFC)
FINAL REPORT
A116615 2
CONTENTS
1 Executive Summary 9
2 Introduction 15
2.1 Background 15
2.2 Screening of sites 15
2.3 Purpose of this document 16
2.4 Offshore pipelines in the southern Vietnam 18
4 Site 1 – Mui Ke Ga 30
4.1 Metocean conditions 30
4.2 Soil conditions 36
4.3 Navigation to/from berth 36
4.4 Configuration and Mooring Arrangement 37
4.5 Connection to shore concept 40
4.6 Cost estimates 43
4.7 Implementation Schedule 45
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12 References 138
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1 Executive Summary
Objective The overall objective of this study is to assess if a cost effective FSRU solution
can be established in the south of Vietnam.
Five sites The study assessed feasibility in terms of site conditions, navigation, mooring
arrangement, connection to shore and likely costs of establishing an FSRU
Terminal at five site locations:
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Site 1 – Mui Ke Ga The site is exposed to waves from the sea including typhoon waves. The normal
wave conditions do not allow sufficiently long weather windows to enable reliable
Ship-To-Ship (STS) transfer between a LNG carrier and the FSRU.
The estimated CAPEX and OPEX for the marine elements are as follows:
Site 3 – Long Hai The site is exposed to metocean conditions similar to what is found for Site 1
and thus a similar alternative mooring arrangement is recommended, i.e.
Spread Mooring (RCM) for the FRSU and Multi-Buoy Mooring (MBM) for the
LNGC with an Aerial Transfer Tower.
Two options for transferring gas to shore were considered, a high pressure (HP)
gas tap into an existing pipeline and transfer in a new 10 km long subsea
pipeline.
An initial assessment of the existing pipeline indicate that the capacity is not
sufficient for handling the additional FSRU volume and thus the estimated CAPEX
and OPEX for the marine elements are presented for the 10 km long new subsea
pipeline:
Site 4 – Vinh Ganh Rai This site is located inside Vinh Ganh Rai and is thus more protected against
waves than the other sites which are all in open exposed conditions. This will
make traditional STS transfer possible using one of the following two mooring
arrangements:
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• Pile cluster guide pile mooring of the FSRU on sea island berth
The estimated CAPEX and OPEX for the marine elements are as follows:
Site 5 – Vinh Chau Site 5 is exposed to more adverse wave conditions to what is found for Site 3 as
waves from North East reach the site and waves during the south-west monsoon
are more pronounced. The extreme wind speeds at the site is weaker than at
Site 3. A similar alternative mooring arrangement as for Site 1 and Site 3 is
recommended, i.e. Spread Mooring (RCM) for the FRSU and Multi-Buoy Mooring
(MBM) for the LNGC with an Aerial Transfer Tower.
The estimated CAPEX and OPEX for the marine elements including a 42.0 km
long new subsea pipeline are as follows:
Site 7 – Ca Mau Area The site is located off the west coast of Vietnam where the normal wave
conditions are somewhat calmer than on the southeast coast. It is assessed that
STS transfer of LNG will be possible for the following two types of mooring
arrangement:
A SSY mooring will require somewhat deeper water depth than a RCM mooring.
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The transfer of gas from the FSRU could either be by a subsea pipeline
connecting to an existing subsea pipeline in the Ca Mau corridor or through a
new subsea pipeline to shore.
An initial assessment of the existing pipeline indicate that the capacity is not
sufficient for handling the additional FSRU volume and thus the estimated CAPEX
and OPEX for the marine elements are presented for a long new subsea pipeline:
The estimated CAPEX and OPEX for the marine elements, including a 59 km long
pipeline to shore are as follows:
The estimated CAPEX and OPEX for the marine elements, including a 31 km long
pipeline to shore are as follows:
Conclusion on Sites All sites have technically viable solutions that could offer cost-effective electricity
for Southern Vietnam. CAPEX at the five sites varies from 102 to 158 Million
USD for the assessed solutions. An FSRU using a RCM mooring system at Site 7
- Ca Mau emerges as having the lowest CAPEX, and a SSY mooring system
including a 59 km long subsea pipeline at Site 7 – Ca Mau as having the highest
CAPEX.
OPEX is a little higher for Site 4 – Vinh Ganh Rai due to the requirement of
maintenance dredging.
For all five sites the project implementation time is governed by the FSRU
delivery time, for a newbuild vessel 30 to 36 months and to convert an existing
LNGC 24 to 30 months.
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Levelized Cost The Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) was estimated for a new combined cycle
of Electricity gas turbine (CCGT) power plant using LNG imported from each option. The
power plant characteristics (size, capacity factor, heat rate, and costs) were
assumed to be the same for each option. The differences in LCOE are primarily
the result of differences in the unit price of gas delivered by each option to the
plant boundary, as presented in the table below.
Table 1-1 Unit Price of Gas @ Plant Boundary. Figures in USD per MMBTU.
While differences in CAPEX for mooring and gas pipelines do result in differences
in delivered gas prices, these variations are very small relative to the total unit
price of gas, which is primarily dependent on the ex-ship LNG price. All options
offer a similar price of gas at USD 9.5-9.7 per MMBTU at an ex-ship LNG price of
USD 8.4 per MMBTU.
At the gas prices listed above, all options offer a potentially competitive LCOE of
USD 85 per MWh, of which USD 63 per MWh is for fuel consumption.
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LNG-to-shore-options For an FSRU moored at the five identified sites, five options were identified for
the transfer of LNG to shore:
A review of the options concluded that for an FSRU moored at any of the five
sites, transfer of LNG to shore through a cryogenic pipeline is either not
technical or economical feasible. It was concluded that STS transfer to barges
and a 7,500 m³ LNGC is not feasible at the exposed sites (Sites, 1, 3, 5 and 7).
STS transfer to a small 40,000 m³ LNGC can be done at the exposed sites
though with some seasonally unreliable supply, however, the water depth at the
smaller river harbours along the coast is not sufficient. In Vinh Ganh Rai, the
number of sites for mooring of a 40,000 m³ LNGC are limited and thus not
considered as the best option.
STS transfer to barges will be feasible in the protected Vinh Ganh Rai and a high
level concept was prepared for both a barge with ISO containers and a Floating
Storage Barge. It was found that the CAPEX including purchase of barge was
smallest for the option with STS transfer to barge with ISO containers on deck
(43.5 Million USD) and with the OPEX being about equal for the two options.
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2 Introduction
2.1 Background
The Ministry of Industry and Trade (MOIT) in Vietnam has asked for assistance
from the International Finance Corporation (IFC) to help with identification of
siting options for an floating storage and regasification unit (FSRU) LNG import
terminal in southern Vietnam.
IFC has selected a consultant team consisting of COWI and K&M Advisors to
carry out the study with COWI as the lead consultant. VIPO Consulting Agency
from Hanoi is the local partner on the consultant's team. IFC has received
funding for this study from the Japan Quality Infrastructure Trust Fund, a
technical assistance facility housed within IFC.
Vietnam does not currently have any LNG terminals. Two onshore terminals
have been under development for many years. Part of the reason for the delay
in the development process is that building onshore terminals have proven to be
expensive in southern Vietnam, thus making the economics difficult to support
LNG-to-power projects.
The overall objective of the study is to assess if a cost effective FSRU solution
can be established in the south of Vietnam.
Initially, twelve possible site locations along the coast of southern Vietnam were
identified and presented at the consultation meetings with key stakeholders.
Nine sites considered full draft FSRUs and three sites considered draft-limited
FSRUs, see Figure 2.1.
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Based on the consultations and the conclusions made, five full draft FSRU Sites
(1, 3, 4, 5 and 7) have been selected to be studied further. The five sites were
selected based on:
› Bathymetry (water depth) for navigation and mooring of FSRU and LNGC
› Site 1 – Mui Ke Ga
(close to shore option)
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The technical study will also include a qualitative assessment of the possibility to
establish an FSRU terminal at Son My located in between Site 1 - Mu Ke Ga and
Site 3 - Long Hai.
Findings of the technical study and associated costs of the marine works will
together with costs of the gas and power infrastructure be used in an analysis of
the Levelized Cost of Electricity (LOCE).
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Finally, the study also assesses the possibility to have LNG transferred to
onshore for each of the five locations. The advantage of having LNG onshore
should be considered from a development and energy management standpoint
as this solution would enable the trucking of LNG using ISO containers or LNG
tank-trucks to smaller industrial and power generating users.
› Bach Ho – Dinh Co gas pipeline system. According to Ref. /2/ the pipeline
diameter is 16 inches, the length is 197 km and the capacity is 2 BCMA
(200 mmcfd). The pipeline system transports gas from fields of Su Tu
Den/Su Tu Vang-Rang Dong, Phuong Dong-Bach Ho, Ca Ngu Vang in the
Cuu Long Basin onshore to provide warm gas for the Dinh Co Gas
Processing Plant (GPP) and after being processed, dry gas is provided for
the Ba Ria, Phu My power plants, Phu My Fertilizer Plant and consumers.
› Nam Con Son 1 (NCS1) gas pipeline system with 26 inch diameter, length
of 370 km and a design capacity of 7.0 BCMA (700 mmcfd). According to
Ref. /2/ the pipeline transports gas from Lan Tay gas field (Block 06.1),
Rong Doi, Rong Doi Tay field (Block 11.2) in the Nam Con Son basin
onshore at Long Hai (Long Dien district, Ba Ria-Vung Tau province) to feed
the Nam Con Son Gas Processing Plant.
› Nam Con Son 2 (NCS2) gas pipeline system with 26 inch diameter, parallel
to the existing NCS1 pipeline with length of 330 km and a design capacity
of 7.0 BCMA. NCS2’s maximum gas supply will be 4 BCMA (the first phase
is completed and the second phase will go into operation in 2020).
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Figure 2.3 Offshore gas pipeline in the southeast region of Vietnam, from Ref. /1/.
According to Ref. /1/ and Ref. /2/ the southwest region of Vietnam has two
subsea gas pipeline systems and a third one is being planned, as indicated in
Figure 2.4:
› One operating gas pipeline system from PM3 gas field to Ca Mau area to
supply natural gas to Southwest region of Vietnam. The gas supply from
PM3 source is about 1.5-2 BCMA and is expected to decline from 2027 to
below 0.5 BCM in 2030. According to Ref. /2/ the pipeline transports gas
from the overlapping sea of Vietnam and Malaysia and 46-Cai Nuoc to Ca
Mau to feed power plants of Ca Mau No.1 and No.2. The pipeline length is
298 km offshore with designed capacity of 2.0 BCM/year (200 mmcfd) and
the pipe diameter is 18 inches.
› One pipeline from Block B (production platforms) about 250 km off the
coast to power plants in Can Tho City, with offshoots supplying power and
fertiliser plants throughout the south-western region. The pipeline has a
carrying capacity of 6.4 BCM a year and the gas supply from Block B is
expected to be in the order of 5 BCMA from 2023. The pipe diameter is 28
inches and the production was expected to start in 2014.
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Figure 2.4 Offshore gas pipeline in the southwest region of Vietnam, from Ref. /1/.
An initial assessment of the existing pipelines indicate that the capacity is not
sufficient for handling the additional FSRU volume, 750 mmcf/day. The
possibility of a subsea pipeline from the FSRU tapping into an existing subsea
pipeline will require further detailed studies considering future pipeline capacity,
gas quality, costs, commercial aspects etc.
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› design vessels
› offloading time (typically about 24-30 hours for the specified ships)
3.1 Assumptions
The following assumptions formed the basis for the study on the siting options:
› The downtime for transfer of LNG from LNGC to FSRU should be limited to
approximately <10%.
It is assumed that the FSRU terminal will provide services with respect to
unloading of LNG from a LNGC, regasification and storage at a FSRU and
transferring of natural gas to shore by a pipeline. Hence, the FSRU terminal
comprises the following major marine elements:
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› One (1) floating regasification and storage unit (FSRU) - assuming that
storage and regasification is made on the FSRU (hence no FSUs or FRUs are
considered).
› One (1) transient LNG Carrier (LNGC) for transfer of LNG to the FSRU.
Long dredged access channels are not considered part of a cost effective
solution due to high CAPEX and OPEX.
For the exposed Sites 1 and 3 reinforced tanks are most probably required due
to sloshing issues, but would require further vetting/sloshing studies.
Alternatively, the FSRU could be a converted Moss LNGC for sloshing resilience,
but this would likely limit storage capacity to <150,000 m³.
A Q-Flex type LNGC is considered in the present study. The capacity of a Q-Flex
ship is between 210,000 m3 and 216,000 m3.
Table 3-1 presents ship characteristics for membrane LNG carries. For the
conceptual design a FSRU with a capacity of 177.000 m³ is used in the present
study. For the case of a smaller FSRU, the ship length, breath and draft will be
slightly less but the proposed solutions will still be suitable.
It is noted, that older LNGCs can be acquired inexpensively and used as FSRU or
Floating Storage Unit (FSU), this is typically Moss LNG ships with capacities from
125.000 to 160,000 m³.
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Table 3-1 Characteristics of design ships, as defined by PIANC, Ref. /3/ (for capacity
of 177,000 m3 and 218,000 m³) and by Qatargas, Ref. /4/ (for capacity of
125,000 m 3)
FSRU LNGC
Q-Flex
Following the guidelines in Ref. /3/ (PIANC Report 121, Table 2.2) the required
water depth at terminal site is assessed, as summarised in Table 3-2 and Table
3-3. It appears that for a terminal at open sea a water depth of 17.8 m is
required whereas a water depth of 13.6 m is required for a terminal in protected
water.
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Table 3-2 Required water depth for an FSRU LNG terminal at open sea for Site 1-Mui
Ke Ga, Site 3-Long Hai, Site 5-Vinh Chau and Site 7-Ca Mau Area, for a
ship draft of T=12m
Terminal at Comments
open sea (Outer
channel)
(*) Chart datum (CD) is approximately equal to LAT according to sea charts
Table 3-3 Required water depth for a LNG terminal at protected sea, for Site 4-Vinh
Gahn Rai, for a ship draft of T=12m
Terminal at Comments
protected area
(Inner channel)
(*) Chart datum (CD) is approximately equal to LAT according sea charts
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Site 4 is positioned east of the main channel in an anchorage area with a water
depth of approximately 10 mCD. Hence, dredging of a navigational channel to a
water depth of (1.15*12+0.4≈) 14 mCD is required in order to navigate the
LNGC to and from the terminal. The length of the dredged channel will be
around 1 km long as indicated in Figure 3.3.
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Figure 3.1 Site 1 – Mui Ke Ga, Position at water depth 18.9 mCD (20 mMSL) and
located about 1.7 km from shore
Figure 3.2 Site 3 – Long Hai, Position at water depth 18.6 mCD (20 mMSL) and
located about 7.2 km from shore
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Figure 3.3 Site 4 – Position of Vinh Ganh Rai at water approximately 10 mCD and
located about 4.2 km from shore
Figure 3.4 Site 5 – Vinh Chau, Position at water depth 17.8mCD (20.6 mMSL) and
located about 19.8 km from shore.
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Figure 3.5 Site 7 – Ca Mau Area, Position at water depth 19.4 mCD (20 mMSL) and
located about 30.7 km from shore
Extreme wind speeds are very similar between the sites, which is expected in
areas governed by large weather systems such as monsoons and typhoons. The
typhoon wind speeds govern the extreme conditions, but with the low latitudes
the sites are seldom exposed to typhoons and these have often been
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downgraded to tropical depressions or storms by the time when they reach the
sites.
The extreme wind speeds at Ca Mau are expectedly lower as typhoons rarely
reach the Gulf of Thailand since they have to cross or pass south of the
Indochinese Peninsula.
A typical ship-to-ship (STS) loading between the LNGC and FSRU takes 24-30
hours. Hence, if the normal wave conditions are too rough, in terms of Hs
exceeding 1.5-2.0 m or peak wave periods exceeding 8s for longer time periods,
then the STS loading may not work. However, if the motions of the two ships
are decoupled it may be possible to transfer using a tower/aerial system. Under
this scenario, a weather window of 2-4 hours with Hs<1.5 m is needed for tugs
to hook up the LNGC in a multi-buoy mooring (MBM). If specially designed larger
tugs are utilized this tug operational limit can be increased to Hs=2 m,
particularly if the wave periods are 8 s or less.
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4 Site 1 – Mui Ke Ga
This site is characterised by relatively deep water close to the shore which
facilitates the location of a mooring arrangement only about 1.7 km from the
shore, as indicated in Figure 3.1. This site can be used for supply to a new
power plant close to the shore or alternatively to the new power plant at Son My
located about 35 km down the coast towards the south-west.
Table 4-2 High and low extreme total water levels for Site 1-Mui Ke Ga
Mui Ke Ga -0.96 -0.83 -0.82 -0.85 -0.87 -0.90 +1.11 +1.27 +1.33 +1.40 +1.43 +1.45
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higher than at Long Hai and Vinh Chau as Mui Ke Ga falls within the main north-
east monsoon (coastal) current.
Figure 4.1 Current rose for Site 1-Mui Ke Ga (for near sea surface current speed)
based on GROW-Fine hindcast data.
The site is exposed to typhoons and 16 typhoons have been recorded within a
radius of 100 km from the site since 1961. The extreme wind statistic is
presented in Table 4-4.
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Figure 4.2 Wind rose for Site 1-Mui Ke Ga based on GROW-Fine hindcast data (1 hour
average wind speed at 10 m height).
Table 4-4 Omni-directional extreme wind speeds (m/s) at Site 1-Mui Ke Ga (1 hour
average wind speed at 10 m height)
The extreme significant wave height for a return period of 100 year is
Hm0,100=4.0 m, as shown in Table 4-5.
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Figure 4.3 Wave rose for significant wave height for Site 1-Mui Ke Ga, based on
GROW-Fine hindcast data.
Figure 4.4 Scatter diagram for significant wave height and mean wave direction for
Site 1-Mui Ke Ga, based on GROW-Fine hindcast data.
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Figure 4.5 Scatter diagram for peak wave period and mean wave direction for Site 1-
Mui Ke Ga, based on GROW-Fine hindcast data.
Table 4-5 Extreme significant wave height (m), for Site 1-Mui Ke Ga, based on
extreme value analysis of GROW-Fine hindcast data.
The probability of a weather window of 24-30 hours where the significant wave
is less than 1.5 m and the peak wave period is less than 8 s, corresponding to a
typical STS loading situation, is 55-60% in December-January, i.e. in ≈42% of
time a slot will not be available within these months, as shown in Table 4-6.
For the case where the significant wave is less than 2.0 m and the peak wave
period is less than 8 s the probability of a weather window of 24 hours is ≈86%
in November-December, as shown in Table 4-7.
For a weather window of 24-30 hours, the probability for a peak wave period
less than 8 s is high, varies within 90-100% in each month through the year. In
October-November the probability of wave periods less than 8 s is lowest, i.e.
the long period waves most often occur in October-November.
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Table 4-6 Monthly probability of finding a single weather window starting in the given
month with a significant wave height less than 1.5 m and peak wave
period less than 8 s, for Site 1-Mui Ke Ga, based on GROW-Fine hindcast
data
Window Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2 hrs 74.9 81.3 87.8 98.4 99.6 99.7 99.1 98.0 98.9 93.2 80.5 70.8
4 hrs 73.1 79.7 86.7 98.0 99.6 99.6 99.0 97.8 98.7 92.6 79.1 68.9
6 hrs 71.5 78.2 85.6 97.7 99.5 99.6 98.8 97.6 98.5 92.0 77.8 67.1
18 hrs 63.4 71.3 80.5 96.3 99.3 99.2 98.0 96.5 97.5 88.4 71.5 58.8
24 hrs 60.4 68.7 78.9 95.8 99.2 99.0 97.6 96.0 97.1 86.7 69.1 55.5
36 hrs 54.9 64.2 75.9 94.8 99.1 98.8 96.8 95.1 96.2 83.5 64.5 50.0
Table 4-7 Monthly probability of finding a single weather window starting in the given
month with a significant wave height less than 2.0 m and peak wave
period less than 8 s, for Site 1-Mui Ke Ga, based on GROW-Fine hindcast
data
Window Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2 hrs 95.6 96.9 97.8 99.5 99.7 ≈100 ≈100 ≈100 99.6 94.2 92.4 93.3
4 hrs 95.1 96.4 97.6 99.4 99.6 ≈100 ≈100 99.9 99.5 93.8 91.8 92.4
6 hrs 94.5 96.0 97.3 99.4 99.6 ≈100 ≈100 99.9 99.4 93.3 91.1 91.6
18 hrs 91.5 94.0 95.9 99.1 99.5 ≈100 99.9 99.8 99.0 90.7 87.7 87.7
24 hrs 90.2 93.2 95.4 99.0 99.4 99.9 99.9 99.8 98.8 89.4 86.1 86.0
36 hrs 87.7 91.6 94.4 98.7 99.2 99.9 99.8 99.7 98.4 86.9 83.1 83.0
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› Layer 1: medium to fine sand whited grey, dense state (thickness 3.2 m)
› Layer 2: fine sand, drakish grey, bluish grey, loose state (thickness 2.2 m)
› Layer 5: lightly weathering granite, bluish grey, darkish grey (thickness 8.5
m)
Hence, based on the above and experience from previously projects in the area
it is assumed for Site 1- Mui Ke that the top layers consists of fine-medium sand
whereas the lower layers consist of light to strongly granite.
› The ships are berthed in a position parallel to the main wind and current
directions in order to reduce the static mooring loads. The ships are heading
45⁰N against the direction where the strongest current comes from.
› Wind and current will act almost parallel to ship during berthing, transfer
and unberthing.
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Figure 4.6 Proposed terminal alignment for Site 1- Mui Ke Ga (shown for a
conventional mooring solution)
› Spread Mooring for the FRSU and Multi-Buoy Mooring (MBM) for the LNGC
with an Aerial Transfer Tower in between, as depicted in Figure 4.7.
Explanation:
› While winds are seasonally 180° opposite, wave conditions are not
seasonally aligned. This will make a spread mooring using ship-to-ship
(STS) transfer challenging.
› Counterintuitively, the relatively short wave periods <8 s work against the
RCM system, based on model testing. Table 4-8 provides a synopsis of the
performance limits of the RCM system when conducting high level feasibility
assessments such as this.
› From Table 4-8, the limit of Hs<1.5 m will control this site, based on head-
on waves predominately <8 s and beam-on waves <14 s.
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Table 4-8 Limiting significant wave height for STS operations between LNGC and
FSRU in the 138.000- 178.000 m3 range, by CAN Systems based on model
test (FRSU heading 225°).
Limiting significant
Vessel Sector Wave direction Wave peak wave height for
period offloading
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› For STS transfer from LNGC to FSRU, the probability of a 24-30 hour time
slot with Hs<1.5 m and Tp<8 s in the Dec - Jan period would likely be in
the 55-60% range. In Nov and Feb/Mar the probability would likely be in
the 70-80% range. Thus conducting STS transfers at this location is
deemed insufficiently reliable, so alternatives are required.
› It should be noted there are no operating FSRU berths that use spread
moorings, though such projects are under development at the time of the
writing of this report. There are also no operating terminals using the aerial
transfer tower system described here. The design of this unique system
requires special expertise to properly handle the mooring, structural and
topsides designs in a cost-effective manner.
› The mooring for the FSRU would need to be disconnectable. Though the
design typhoon conditions are within the theoretical limits of the RCM
system, this does not account for the possibility of the eye of the storm
passing directly over the terminal. In such a circumstance, the winds and
waves directions would be chaotic and the FSRU captain would likely take
the decision to protect the ship by departing the berth. Fortunately, this
would likely be a rare event. The RCM can be disconnected in a controlled
manner in about 8 hrs, but could be released in an emergency condition
within about 20 minutes.
› The FSRU could be a converted Moss LNGC for sloshing resilience, but this
would likely limit storage capacity to <150,000 m³. Alternatively, a
membrane FSRU with reinforced tanks may work, but would require further
vetting/sloshing studies.
› The LNGC could be any available vessel supply carrier in the Apr – Oct
period, but would be restricted to either a Moss LNGC or an LNGC with
reinforced tanks for the Nov – Mar period.
› Water depths in the 20 m range (measured from mean sea level) would be
appropriate. The RCM system has been tested in as little as 17m water
depths.
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› One (1) landfall valve station at the pipeline landfall before the isolation
joint
A pipeline with outer diameter of 24 inch (610 mm) would be required for the
transportation of a flowrate of 750 mmscfd dry gas.
Pending the project material philosophy, carbon steel qualified for full sour
service (X52 or X60) will be used for the gas pipeline. In general, the material
selected shall be based on chemical and mechanical stability for the selected
design life.
Proposed characteristic and operational data for the gas pipeline are
summarized in Table 4-10 and Table 4-11.
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Characteristics Values
Corrosion Allowance 0 mm
› Pipelay will be initiated at the landfall and will continue towards the FSRU.
› The water depth along the offshore pipeline route varies from 0 to 20
mMSL.
› The soil conditions along the route consist in general of fine medium sand
and is suitable for ploughing and trenching.
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Based on high values of the extreme current and waves it is recommended that
the pipeline is laid in an open trench and the excavated soil will protect the
pipeline at the sea bottom against current, as indicated in Figure 4.8.
The offshore pipeline will typically be installed by a shallow water lay barge, as
shown in Figure 4.9.
The method used for the landfall section should be selected after careful
evaluation from a combination of the following methods:
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› At FSRU – site
The tie-in at FSRU will be by 2 off spools arrangement. The spools will be
connected to the end of pipeline and required PLEM riser. The spools will be
designed to accommodate pipeline installation and operational loads from
the pipeline system.
› Onshore – site
The tie-in will consist of an onshore welding upstream the landfall valve
station and isolation joint. This operation is comprising of a pull-in on land
combined with a shallow water S-lay barge.
The estimates presented herein are intended to be used for concept screening
and are based on experience with similar global projects. The accuracy of the
estimates is estimated to be ±25%.
The cost estimates exclude VAT and other duties which might be added in
Vietnam.
4.6.1 CAPEX
A summary of CAPEX estimates for Site 1 – Mui Ke Ga is provided in Table 4-12.
The site is intended to be located nearshore in water depths of 20 m or more,
such that no dredging is required. All costs are presented as installed costs and
are intended to be conservative estimates.
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Site 1 –
Mui Ke Ga
Cost element (Million USD)
Material Supply
Total 112
4.6.2 OPEX
OPEX estimates assume an FSRU in the 177,000 m³ storage capacity range,
with reinforced membrane tanks. A sloshing study is recommended to confirm
suitability of this vessel class semi-permanently moored and considering the
site-specific metocean conditions. Based on current market conditions, an all-
inclusive charter rate of USD 100,000/day is anticipated for a charter period of 5
to 10 years.
The OPEX costs for the mooring systems, transfer tower, riser and subsea
pipeline is estimated at 1% of CAPEX for the considered period of about 10
years.
Based on above, OPEX per year will be in the rage of 30 to 40 Million USD.
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Administration 4
Operational 6
Total 10
It is assumed that the FSRU lease includes costs for fuel, supply vessels needed
for goods as well as crew exchange etc.
The construction schedule would be similar for the aerial transfer tower and the
subsea pipeline and will depend on the availability of a suitable pipelay vessel for
the subsea pipeline. The schedule required for the spread mooring and MBM
supply and installation should be less than 6 months.
A long lead item will be the pipeline. The delivery duration estimate from date of
order, including fabrication, for the pipeline system components (incl. coating,
concrete covers, bends, flanges, etc.) will likely be 12-15 months. However, the
delivery time may be reduced if the pipe can be sourced from worldwide stocks.
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One option is to have high pressure (HP) gas tap into this existing pipeline. Any
interruption in gas supply from the FSRU due to weather conditions will not be
critical as the supply will continue from the offshore gas fields.
It is assumed that the gas via the subsea and an onshore pipeline will deliver
gas into a new power plant on the Long Son Island which will also be the case
for Site 4 – Vinh Ganh Rai.
Table 5-2 High and low extreme total water levels for Site 3-Long Hai
Long Hai -1.21 -1.06 -1.01 -1.04 -1.06 -1.08 +1.26 +1.38 +1.44 +1.50 +1.54 +1.57
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Figure 5.1 Current rose for Site 3-Long Hai (for near sea surface current speed)
based on GROW-Fine hindcast data.
Table 5-3 Directional extreme current speeds for Site 3-Long Hai
The site is exposed to typhoons and 13 typhoons have been recorded within a
radius of 100 km from the site since 1961. The extreme wind statistic is
presented in Table 5-4.
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Figure 5.2 Wind rose for Site 3-Long Hai based on GROW-Fine hindcast data (1 hour
average wind speed at 10 m height).
Table 5-4 Omni-directional extreme wind speeds (m/s) at Site 3-Long Hai (1 hour
average wind speed at 10 m height).
The extreme significant wave height for a return period of 100 year is
Hm0,100=4.1 m, as shown in Table 5-5.
For the case where the significant wave is less than 2.0 m and the peak wave
period is less than 8 s the probability of a weather window of 24-30 hours is 90-
92% in November-December, as shown in Table 5-7.
For a weather window of 24-30 hours the probability for a peak wave period less
than 8 s is high, varies within 94-100% in each month through the year. In
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Figure 5.3 Wave rose for significant wave height for Site 3-Long Hai, based on
GROW-Fine hindcast data.
Figure 5.4 Scatter diagram for significant wave height and mean wave direction for
Site 3-Long Hai, based on GROW-Fine hindcast data.
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Figure 5.5 Scatter diagram for peak wave period and mean wave direction for Site 3-
Long Hai, based on GROW-Fine hindcast data.
Table 5-5 Extreme significant wave height (m), for Site 3-Long Hai, based on
extreme value analysis of GROW-Fine hindcast data.
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Table 5-6 Monthly probability of finding a single weather window starting in the given
month with a significant wave height less than 1.5 m and peak wave
period less than 8 s, for Site 3-Long Hai, based on GROW-Fine hindcast
data
Window Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2 hrs 80.9 85.3 90.1 99.2 99.8 ≈100 ≈100 99.7 99.8 96.4 86.7 78.6
4 hrs 79.5 84.0 89.2 99.1 99.7 ≈100 ≈100 99.7 99.8 96.0 85.6 77.1
6 hrs 78.1 82.7 88.4 99.0 99.7 ≈100 ≈100 99.6 99.7 95.5 84.5 75.7
18 hrs 71.6 76.8 84.5 98.3 99.6 99.9 99.9 99.3 99.5 93.1 78.8 68.7
24 hrs 69.1 74.6 83.1 97.9 99.5 99.9 99.9 99.2 99.4 91.9 76.4 65.7
36 hrs 64.5 70.3 80.7 97.3 99.4 99.9 99.8 98.9 99.1 89.6 72.0 60.4
Table 5-7 Monthly probability of finding a single weather window starting in the given
month with a significant wave height less than 2.0 m and peak wave
period less than 8 s, for Site 3-Long Hai, based on GROW-Fine hindcast
data
Window Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2 hrs 97.9 98.1 98.6 99.6 99.8 * ≈100 * 99.8 97.0 95.4 96.4
4 hrs 97.6 97.8 98.4 99.6 99.8 * ≈100 * 99.8 96.6 94.9 95.9
6 hrs 97.2 97.5 98.2 99.6 99.8 * ≈100 * 99.8 96.3 94.4 95.4
18 hrs 95.4 96.2 97.3 99.3 99.7 * ≈100 * 99.6 94.4 91.6 92.8
24 hrs 94.7 95.6 96.9 99.2 99.6 * 99.9 * 99.5 93.5 90.3 91.6
36 hrs 93.1 94.5 96.3 99.0 99.6 * 99.9 * 99.3 91.7 87.9 89.3
› Layer 1: medium to fine sand whited grey, dense state (thickness 3.2 m)
› Layer 2: fine sand, drakish grey, bluish grey, loose state (thickness 2.2 m)
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› Layer 5: lightly weathering granite, bluish grey, darkish grey (thickness 8.5
m)
Hence, based on the above and experience from previously projects in the area
it is assumed for Site 3-Long Hai that the top layers consists of fine-medium
sand whereas the lower layers consist of lightly to strongly granite below.
› The ships are berthed in a position parallel to the main wind direction, in
order to reduce the static mooring loads. The ships are heading 225⁰N
against the direction where the strongest current comes from.
› Wind will act almost parallel to ship during berthing, stay and unberthing.
› Current will act with an angle of ≈45⁰ to ship during berthing, transfer and
unberthing.
Figure 5.6 Proposed terminal alignment for Site 3-Long Hai (shown for a conventional
mooring solution)
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› Spread Mooring for the FRSU and Multi-Buoy Mooring (MBM) with an Aerial
Transfer Tower and a Subsea Pipeline Tap Into Existing Subsea Pipeline, as
depicted in Figure 4.7 for Site 1 – Mui Ke Ga.
Explanation:
› While winds are seasonally 180° opposite, wave conditions are not
seasonally aligned. This will make a spread mooring using ship-to-ship
(STS) transfer challenging.
› The limits of the RCM system described in Table 4-8 are applicable for this
site as well. From Table 4-8, the limit of Hs<1.5 m will control this site,
based on head-on waves predominately <8 s and beam-on waves <14 s.
› For STS transfer from LNGC to FSRU, the probability of a 24-30 hour time
slot with Hs<1.5 m and Tp<8 s in the Dec - Jan period would likely be in
the 65-70%. In Nov and Feb/Mar the probability would likely be in the 75-
85% range. Thus conducting STS transfers at this location is deemed
insufficiently reliable, so alternatives are required.
› It should be noted there are no operating FSRU berths that use spread
moorings, though such projects are under development at the time of the
writing of this report. There are also no operating terminals using the aerial
transfer tower system described here. The design of this unique system
requires special expertise to properly handle the mooring, structural and
topsides designs in a cost-effective manner.
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› The mooring for the FSRU would need to be disconnectable. Though the
design typhoon conditions are within the theoretical limits of the RCM
system, this does not account for the possibility of the eye of the storm
passing directly over the terminal. In such a circumstance, the winds and
waves directions would be chaotic and the FSRU captain would likely take
the decision to protect the ship by departing the berth. Fortunately, this
would likely be a rare event. The RCM can be disconnected in a controlled
manner in about 8 hrs, but could be released in an emergency condition
within about 20 minutes.
› The FSRU could be a converted Moss LNGC for sloshing resilience, but this
would likely limit storage capacity to <150,000 m³. Alternatively, a
membrane FSRU with reinforced tanks may work, but would require further
vetting/sloshing studies.
› The LNGC could be any available vessel supply carrier in the Apr–Oct
period, but would be restricted to either a Moss LNGC or an LNGC with
reinforced tanks for the Nov – Mar period.
› Water depths in the 20 m range (measured from mean sea level) would be
appropriate. The RCM system has been tested in as little as 17 m water
depths.
One option is to transfer the regasified gas into an existing pipeline. A pipeline
length of about 1 km is assumed between the FSRU and an existing pipeline.
Another option is to transfer the gas to a 10 km long pipeline running from the
FSRU vessel to an onshore facility, method as described for Site 1.
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A pipeline with outer diameter of 24 inch (610 mm) would be required for the
transportation of a flowrate of 750 mmscfd dry gas.
Pending the project material philosophy, carbon steel qualified for full sour
service (X52 or X60) will be used for the gas pipeline. In general, the material
selected will be based on chemical and mechanical stability for the selected
design life.
Proposed characteristic and operational data for the gas pipeline are
summarized in Table 5-9 and Table 5-10.
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Characteristics Values
Corrosion Allowance 0 mm
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If the gas from the FSRU is transported to the existing subsea gas pipeline, the
connection is planned to be performed by a hot-tap solution. Figure 5.7 below
shows a typical hot-tap configuration. This solution includes the following
equipment:
› Crossover spool
› The tie-in method will comprise flanged spool/PLEM and hot-tap assembly.
An expansion spool will be used for connection at each end.
› The water depth along the new subsea pipeline route is approximately 18
mCD.
› The soil conditions along the route consist in general of fine medium sand
and is suitable for ploughing and trenching.
Based on high values of the extreme current and waves it is recommended that
the pipeline is laid in an open trench and the excavated soil will protect the
pipeline at the sea bottom against current, as indicated in Figure 4.8.
The offshore pipeline will typically be installed by a shallow water lay barge, as
shown in Figure 4.9.
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› At FSRU – site
The tie-in at FSRU will be by 2 off spools arrangement. The spools will be
connected to the end of pipeline and required PLEM riser. The spools will be
designed to accommodate pipeline installation and operational loads from
the pipeline system.
The tie-in consists of hot-tap assembly and tie-in with crossover spool
towards a PLEM, as described above. Spool tie-in also between PLEM and
connecting pipeline. The size of the branch shall be decided based on the
flow requirements and the size of the existing gas pipeline.
A description of the pipeline installation for the option with transfer in a subsea
pipeline to an onshore facility is presented in Section 4.5.2.
The estimates presented herein are intended to be used for concept screening
and are based on experience with similar global projects. The accuracy of the
estimates is estimated to be ±25%.
The cost estimates exclude VAT and other duties which might be added in
Vietnam.
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5.6.1 CAPEX
A summary of CAPEX estimates for Site 3 – Long Hai is provided in Table 5-11.
The site is intended to be located nearshore in water depths of 20 m or more,
such that no dredging is required. All costs are presented as installed costs and
are intended to be conservative estimates.
Material Supply
Option 1 75
Subsea pipeline with hot-tap and
offshore installation of material
supply
Option 2 60
Subsea pipeline (10 km to shore)
and offshore installation of
material supply
5.6.2 OPEX
OPEX estimates assume an FSRU in the 177,000 m³ storage capacity range,
with reinforced membrane tanks. A sloshing study is recommended to confirm
suitability of this vessel class semi-permanently moored and considering the
site-specific metocean conditions. Based on current market conditions, an all-
inclusive charter rate of USD 100,000/day is anticipated for a charter period of 5
to 10 years.
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The OPEX costs for the mooring systems, transfer tower, riser and subsea
pipeline is estimated at 1% of CAPEX for the considered period of about 10
years.
Based on above, OPEX per year will be in the rage of 30 to 40 Million USD.
Administration 4
Operational 6
Total 10
It is assumed that the FSRU lease includes costs for fuel, supply vessels needed
for goods as well as crew exchange etc.
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The construction schedule would be similar for the aerial transfer tower and the
subsea pipeline and will depend on the availability of a suitable pipelay vessel for
the subsea pipeline. The schedule required for the spread mooring and MBM
supply and installation should be less than 6 months.
Long lead items will be the pipeline (incl. coating, concrete covers, bends,
flanges, etc.) and hot-tap assembly and equipment (incl. valve, gooseneck,
PLEM, spool, PLR, etc.). The delivery duration estimated from date of order,
including fabrication, for the long lead items will be up to 24 months.
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Table 6-1 Tidal levels for Site 4–Vinh Ganh Rai, based on
United Kingdom Hydrographic Office, 2012
MSL 0 2,80
MLLWS - -
Total water level data, including surge, within Vinh Ganh Rai could not been
sourced for this high level evaluation, but surge levels will be amplified and
exceed the extreme surge levels at Long Hai.
For a critical southerly typhoon track the Vung Tau peninsular may funnel water
into the bay and possibly result in surge exceeding +1.5 m.
The site is located a short distance east of the main navigation channel
traversing through the shallow flats and close to the tip of the Vung Tau
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peninsular. The current at the site is expected to be more or less aligned with
the orientation of the main navigation channel and likely to exceed 1 m/s on a
regular basis. Following periods with heavy rainfall the current speed can be
stronger and possibly exceed 1.3 m/s.
There are two distinct wave directions from NE-E and from SW, as indicated in
Figure 6.1 and Figure 6.2. Due to the limited fetch the significant wave heights
are generally limited up to 0.6 m and in rare cases up to 1.0 m. Peak wave
periods up to 5 s generally occur, but long peak wave periods (swells) can also
occur, as depicted in Figure 6.3.
The extreme significant wave height for a return period of 100 years is
Hm0,100=1.4 m, as shown in Table 6-2.
The probability of a weather window of 24-30 hours where the significant wave
height is less than 1.5 m and peak wave period less than 8 s, corresponding to a
typical STS loading situation, is almost 100% throughout the year, as shown in
Table 6-3.
Figure 6.1 Wave rose for significant wave height for Site 4-Vinh Ganh Rai, based on
MIKE21 SW modelling of the wave conditions.
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Figure 6.2 Scatter diagram for significant wave height and mean wave direction for
Site 4-Vinh Ganh Rai, based on MIKE21 SW modelling of the wave
conditions.
Figure 6.3 Scatter diagram for peak wave period and mean wave direction for Site 4-
Vinh Ganh Rai, based on MIKE21 SW modelling of the wave conditions.
Table 6-2 Omni-directional extreme significant wave height, for Site 1-Vinh Ganh
Rai, based on extreme value analysis of MIKE21 SW modelling data.
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Table 6-3 Monthly probability of finding a single weather window starting in the given
month with a significant wave height less than 1.5 m and peak wave
period less than 8 s, for Site 4-Vinh Ganh Rai, based on MIKE21 SW
modelling of the wave conditions.
Window Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
* No threshold exceedance,
≈100: Few exceedances, but less than 0.1%
› Layer 1: Silty clay, bluish grey. This layer appears in all boreholes with
thickness varies from 19.7m to 23.0m
› Layer 2: Medium sand with clay or gravel at some places, yellowish grey,
bluish grey; medium dense to dense state. Thickness of this layer varies
from 21.3m to 23.7m.
› Layer 3: Clay, clay with sand, bluish grey, reddish brown, whitish grey,
yellowish brown, very stiff to hard state.
According to Ref. /8/ soil investigations have been performed at location Phu
Long Island, Ba Ria – Vung Tau Provice, located ≈10 km northwest of Site 4-
Vinh Ganh Rai. Based on the offshore boring (SM01 at 10°29'02.4'',
107°00'16.3'') the following geological characteristics exists:
› Layer 1: clayey sand with organic matter, very loose state (thickness 2.0
m)
For Site 4-Vinh Ganh Rai, it is assumed that the top layer consists of fine
materials in terms of clay, silt and clayey sand whereas the lower layers consist
of sand with clay or soft to stiff clay.
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› The ships are berthed in a position parallel to the main wind direction, in
order to reduce the static mooring loads.
› The moored ships are heading 225⁰N against the direction of the dredged
channel.
› Navigation to berth will be possible when the ship arrives in the dredged
channel from SW to NE and makes a turn in the turning basin.
› Navigation from berth to deep water will be straight forward through the
dredged channel from NE to SW.
The sketch in Figure 6.4 shows the turning basin for Site 4 placed towards the
north of the berth. It appears from the master plan for the "TUYẾN LUỒNG TÀU
BIỂN CÁI MÉP - THỊ VẢI" project, as indicated in Figure 6.5, that a new
reclamation is planned south of the proposed Site 4 and a new dredged channel
is planned north of the site.
It is assessed that the turning basin placed north of the site will be acceptable as
it will be part of the future new dredged channel, hence the dredging work will
not be wasted. At the time of establishing the new dredged channel it should be
decided if the turning basin should be moved further north or turning of ships
can be done in the new turning basin planned east of the new dredged channel.
Further, it is assessed that a turning basin placed south of the site would be too
close to the future reclamation.
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Figure 6.4 Proposed terminal alignment for Site 4-Vinh Ganh Rai (shown for a
conventional mooring solution)
Figure 6.5 Extract of Master plan for "TUYẾN LUỒNG TÀU BIỂN CÁI MÉP - THỊ VẢI"
(the proposed Site 4-Vinh Ganh Rai is marked with a red star)
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› This mooring would use conventional mooring lines and quick release
hooks.
› Pile Cluster Guide Pile Mooring of the FSRU with the LNGC moored alongside
and with STS Transfer from LNGC, as depicted in Figure 6.7.
› This mooring system uses large diameter piles as guide piles, clustered
fore and aft to handle pitch motion. The guide piles use donut fenders
that are retained within a bracket, welded to the FSRU hull.
› The large diameter guide piles negate the need for breasting and
mooring dolphins.
› The FSRU is permanently moored and cannot readily depart the berth,
thus requiring the berth to withstand extreme events with the FSRU at
berth.
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Explanation:
› The other controlling aspect of this site is the shallow water. The navigation
channel shall be dredged to ≈14 mCD and the turning basin and berth area
for the subject terminal would need to be dredged to the same depth.
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› It should be noted that there are no operating FSRU berths that use guide
pile moorings, though such projects are under development at the time of
the writing of this report. The design of this unique system requires special
expertise to properly handle the unique mooring and structural aspects in a
cost-effective manner. The design is under development or consideration
for current projects, but would likely require physical modeling to satisfy
class and ensure bankability. The principle advantage of this system is the
vessel would be permanently moored and designed to withstand a direct hit
from the design typhoon. The vessel could potentially be classed as a
marine installation vs a ship.
› The sea island berth will be connected to shore via a HP gas subsea
pipeline.
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› One (1) landfall valve station at the pipeline landfall before the isolation
joint.
A pipeline with outer diameter of 24 inch (610 mm) would be required for the
transportation of a flowrate of 750 mmscfd dry gas.
Pending the project material philosophy, carbon steel qualified for full sour
service (X52 or X60) will be used for the gas pipeline. In general, the material
selected will be based on chemical and mechanical stability for the selected
design life.
Proposed characteristic and operational data for the gas pipeline are
summarized in Table 6-5 and Table 6-6.
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Characteristics Values
Corrosion Allowance 0 mm
› Pipelay will be initiated at the landfall and will continue towards the FSRU.
› The water depth along the offshore pipeline route varies from 0 to 10 mCD.
› The soil conditions along the route consist in general of soft silty clay and
sand and is suitable for ploughing and trenching.
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Based on high values of the extreme current it is recommended that the pipeline
is laid in an open trench and the excavated soil will protect the pipeline at the
sea bottom against current, as indicated in Figure 4.8.
The offshore pipeline will typically be installed by a shallow water lay barge, as
shown in Figure 4.9.
The method used for the landfall section should be selected after careful
evaluation from a combination of the following methods:
› At FSRU – site
The tie-in at FSRU will be by 2 off spools arrangement. The spools will be
connected to the end of pipeline and required PLEM riser. The spools will be
designed to accommodate pipeline installation and operational loads from
the pipeline system.
› Onshore – site
The tie-in will consist of an onshore welding upstream the landfall valve
station and isolation joint. This operation is comprising of a pull-in on land
combined with a shallow water S-lay barge.
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The estimates presented herein are intended to be used for concept screening
and are based on experience with similar global projects. The accuracy of the
estimates is estimated to be ±25%.
The cost estimates exclude VAT and other duties which might be added in
Vietnam.
6.6.1 CAPEX
A summary of CAPEX estimates for Site 4 – Vinh Gan Rai is provided in Table
6-7. The site is currently used as an anchorage area, and this anchorage area
would need to be relocated. Dredging to -14 m will be necessary in the
approach, turning basin and berth area. All costs are presented as installed costs
and are intended to be conservative estimates, including 1 m overdredging
depth covering dredge tolerance and to delay the time of the first maintenance
dredging.
The cost for dredging is based on a unit price of 8 USD/m³, including transport
and disposal within 10 km, normally in Vietnam.
Site 4 –
Vinh Ganh Rai
(Million USD)
Material Supply
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6.6.2 OPEX
OPEX estimates assume an FSRU in the 177,000 m³ storage capacity range,
with reinforced membrane tanks. A sloshing study is recommended to confirm
suitability of this vessel class semi-permanently moored and considering the
site-specific metocean conditions. Based on current market conditions, an all-
inclusive charter rate of USD 100,000/day is anticipated for a charter period of 5
to 10 years.
The approach, turning basin and berth area are to be dredged to approximately
-14mCD. The seabed is expected to consist of fine materials in terms of clay, silt
and clayey sand. Hence, due to the current flow, expected to be more or less
aligned with the orientation of the main channel and likely to exceed 1 m/s, it is
expected that the dredged areas will be filled with sediments on a regular basis
and there will be a need for maintenance dredging. For this reason a
maintenance dredging of approximately 3.1 million USD (taken as 10% of the
CAPEX dredging works) is assumed in this study.
The OPEX costs for the mooring systems, transfer tower, riser and subsea
pipeline is estimated at 1% of CAPEX for the considered period of about 10
years.
Based on above, OPEX per year will be in the rage of 35 to 40 Million USD.
Administration 4
Operational 6
Total 10
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It is assumed that the FSRU lease includes costs for fuel, supply vessels needed
for goods as well as crew exchange etc.
The critical path for the construction of the infrastructure would be the
procurement, fabrication, delivery and installation of the marine piling for either
the conventional mooring or the guide pile mooring alternative. It is expected
that certain long-lead procurement items such as the marine loading arms,
gangway, fenders and quick release hook systems would require 9-12 months,
depending on market conditions at the time of order.
The delivery duration estimate from date of order, including fabrication, for the
pipeline system components (incl. coating, concrete covers, bends, flanges, etc.)
will likely be 12-15 months. However, the delivery time may be reduced if the
pipe can be sourced from worldwide stocks.
The subsea pipeline installation and burial will likely require 3-6 months,
depending on the availability of a suitable pipelay vessel. The dredging of
approach, turning basin and berth areas will likely require about 6 months.
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It is assumed that the gas will be transferred to shore at Bac Lieu via a subsea
pipeline, as shown in Figure 3.4, and from there via an onshore pipeline to a
new power plant located about 15 km inland.
Table 7-1 Tidal levels for Site 5-Vinh Chau, based on tidal constituents
obtained from the DTU10 global ocean tide model
Data on total water levels including storm surge for the Vinh Chau area could
not be sourced for this high level evaluation, but extreme storm surge levels are
expected to be similar, if not slightly lower, compared to the levels at Site 3-
Long Hai due to weaker extreme wind speeds.
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The site is exposed to typhoons and 11 typhoons have been recorded within a
radius of 100 km from the site since 1961. The extreme wind statistic is
presented in Table 7-2.
Figure 7.1 Wind rose for Site 5-Vinh Chau based on GROW-Fine hindcast data
(1 hour average wind speed at 10 m height).
Table 7-2 Omni-directional extreme wind speeds (m/s) at Site 5-Vinh Chau
(1 hour average wind speed at 10 m height).
The extreme significant wave height for a return period of 100 year is
Hm0,100=4.2 m, as shown in Table 7-3.
The probability of a weather window of 24-30 hours where the significant wave
is less than 1.5 m and the peak wave period is less than 8 s, corresponding to a
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For the case where the significant wave is less than 2.0 m and the peak wave
period is less than 8 s the probability of a weather window of 24-30 hours is
approx. 75% in December-January, as shown in Table 7-5.
For a weather window of 24-30 hours the probability for a peak wave period less
than 8 s is high, varies within 98-100% in each month through the year. In
October-November, the probability of wave periods less than 8 s is lowest, i.e.
the long period waves most often occur in October-November.
Figure 7.2 Wave rose for significant wave height for Site 5-Vinh Chau, based on
GROW-Fine hindcast data.
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Figure 7.3 Scatter diagram for significant wave height and mean wave direction for
Site 5-Vinh Chau, based on GROW-Fine hindcast data.
Figure 7.4 Scatter diagram for peak wave period and mean wave direction for Site 5-
Vinh Chau, based on GROW-Fine hindcast data.
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Table 7-3 Extreme significant wave height (m), for Site 5-Vinh Chau, based on
extreme value analysis of GROW-Fine hindcast data.
Table 7-4 Monthly probability of finding a single weather window starting in the given
month with a significant wave height less than 1.5 m and peak wave
period less than 8 s, for Site 5-Vinh Chau, based on GROW-Fine hindcast
data
Window Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2 hrs 64.4 72.5 81.7 98.1 99.8 99.8 99.5 98.8 99.4 97.9 81.2 61.0
4 hrs 62.0 70.6 80.6 97.9 99.8 99.7 99.4 98.7 99.2 97.6 79.8 58.7
6 hrs 59.7 68.8 79.6 97.7 99.8 99.7 99.3 98.5 99.1 97.3 78.4 56.5
18 hrs 49.8 61.0 74.9 96.7 99.6 99.5 98.7 97.7 98.4 95.8 72.2 46.6
24 hrs 46.4 58.5 73.0 96.3 99.5 99.4 98.4 97.4 98.1 95.1 69.7 43.4
36 hrs 40.6 54.0 69.8 95.5 99.4 99.1 97.9 96.7 97.4 93.7 65.3 37.7
Table 7-5 Monthly probability of finding a single weather window starting in the given
month with a significant wave height less than 2.0 m and peak wave
period less than 8 s, for Site 5-Vinh Chau, based on GROW-Fine hindcast
data
Window Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2 hrs 87.9 91.1 93.4 99.8 99.9 * * 99.9 * 99.4 93.3 86.3
4 hrs 86.6 90.0 92.7 99.7 99.9 * * 99.9 * 99.4 92.5 85.1
6 hrs 85.3 89.0 92.1 99.7 99.9 * * 99.9 * 99.3 91.8 83.9
18 hrs 79.1 84.3 89.0 99.5 99.8 * * 99.8 * 98.8 88.1 77.8
24 hrs 76.7 82.6 87.8 99.4 99.7 * * 99.8 * 98.6 86.6 75.4
36 hrs 72.6 79.7 85.7 99.2 99.7 * * 99.8 * 98.1 83.8 70.9
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According to Ref. /9/ soft soil with silty and clayey material is present along the
coastline of the Soc Trang province (the region east of Bac Lieu).
Figure 7.5 Sea chart of the area between Con Son Island and shore (C-map)
The proposed terminal layout configuration for Site 5-Vinh Chau is shown in
Figure 7.6. The corresponding berthing conditions are:
› The ships are berthed in a position parallel to the main wind direction in
order to reduce the static mooring loads.
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› Wind will act almost parallel to ship during berthing, stay and unberthing.
Figure 7.6 Proposed terminal alignment for Site 5-Vinh Chau (shown for a
conventional mooring solution).
› Spread Mooring for the FRSU and Multi-Buoy Mooring (MBM) for the LNGC
with an Aerial Transfer Tower in between, as depicted in Figure 4.7 for Site
1 – Mui Ke Ga.
Explanation:
› While winds are seasonally 180° opposite, wave conditions are not
seasonally aligned. This will make a spread mooring using ship-to-ship
(STS) transfer challenging.
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using STS will not likely be feasible in the winter months. The typical
threshold used for screening of feasible solutions when considering STS
transfer is Hs<1.5 m. The wave period is also important and with some
solutions where the wave period is relatively short it may be possible to
conduct STS transfers in up to Hs=2 m sea states.
› The limits of the RCM system described in Table 4-8 are applicable for this
site as well. From Table 4-8, the limit of Hs<1.5 m will control this site,
based on head-on waves predominately <8 s and beam-on waves <14 s.
› For STS transfer from LNGC to FSRU, the probability of a 24-30 hour time
slot with Hs<1.5 m and Tp<8 s in the Dec - Jan period would likely be
approx. 45%. In Nov and Feb/Mar the probability would likely be in the 60-
70% range. Thus conducting STS transfers at this location is deemed
insufficiently reliable, so alternatives are required.
› It should be noted there are no operating FSRU berths that use spread
moorings, though such projects are under development at the time of the
writing of this report. There are also no operating terminals using the aerial
transfer tower system described here. The design of this unique system
requires special expertise to properly handle the mooring, structural and
topsides designs in a cost-effective manner.
› The mooring for the FSRU would need to be disconnectable. Though the
design typhoon conditions are within the theoretical limits of the RCM
system, this does not account for the possibility of the eye of the storm
passing directly over the terminal. In such a circumstance, the winds and
waves directions would be chaotic and the FSRU captain would likely take
the decision to protect the ship by departing the berth. Fortunately, this
would likely be a rare event. The RCM can be disconnected in a controlled
manner in about 8 hrs, but could be released in an emergency condition
within about 20 minutes.
› The FSRU could be a converted Moss LNGC for sloshing resilience, but this
would likely limit storage capacity to <150,000 m³. Alternatively, a
membrane FSRU with reinforced tanks may work, but would require further
vetting/sloshing studies.
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› The LNGC could be any available vessel supply carrier in the Apr–Oct
period, but would be restricted to either a Moss LNGC or an LNGC with
reinforced tanks for the Nov – Mar period.
› Water depths in the 20 m range (measured from mean sea level) would be
appropriate. The RCM system has been tested in as little as 17 m water
depths.
› One (1) landfall valve station at the pipeline landfall before the isolation
joint.
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A pipeline with outer diameter of 24 inch (610 mm) would be required for the
transportation of a flowrate of 750 mmscfd dry gas.
Pending the project material philosophy, carbon steel qualified for full sour
service (X52 or X60) will be used for the gas pipeline. In general, the material
selected will be based on chemical and mechanical stability for the selected
design life. No corrosion allowance is assumed for a natural gas pipeline. The
cathodic protection will be provided by bracelet anodes which will be ‘flushed’
into the concrete weight coating. Further, external corrosion coating will be used
in terms of a classic 3-layer PP or PE according to ISO 21809-1, Ref. /7/.
Proposed characteristic and operational data for the gas pipeline are
summarized in Table 7-7 and Table 7-8.
Characteristics Values
Corrosion Allowance 0 mm
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› Pipelay will be initiated at the landfall and will continue towards the FSRU.
› The water depth along the offshore pipeline route varies from 0 to 21
mMSL.
› The soil conditions along the route consist in general of soft soil with silty
and clayey material and is suitable for ploughing and trenching.
Based on high values of the extreme current and waves it is recommended that
the pipeline is laid in an open trench and the excavated soil will protect the
pipeline at the sea bottom against current, as indicated in Figure 4.8.
The offshore pipeline will typically be installed by a shallow water lay barge, as
shown in Figure 4.9.
› At FSRU – site
The tie-in at FSRU will be by 2 off spools arrangement. The spools will be
connected to the end of pipeline and required PLEM riser. The spools will be
designed to accommodate pipeline installation and operational loads from
the pipeline system.
› Onshore – site
The tie-in will consist of an onshore welding upstream the landfall valve
station and isolation joint. This operation is comprising of a pull-in on land
combined with a shallow water S-lay barge.
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The estimates presented herein are intended to be used for concept screening
and are based on experience with similar global projects. The accuracy of the
estimates is estimated to be ±25%.
The cost estimates exclude VAT and other duties which might be added in
Vietnam.
7.6.1 CAPEX
A summary of CAPEX estimates for Site 5 – Vinh Chau is provided in Table 7-9.
The site is intended to be located nearshore in water depths of 20 m or more,
such that no dredging is required. Costs for dredging of a possibly required
approach channel to Site 5 are not included. All costs are presented as installed
costs and are intended to be conservative estimates.
Site 5 –
Vinh Chau
Cost element (Million USD)
Material Supply
Total 146
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7.6.2 OPEX
OPEX estimates assume an FSRU in the 177,000 m³ storage capacity range,
with reinforced membrane tanks. A sloshing study is recommended to confirm
suitability of this vessel class semi-permanently moored and considering the
site-specific metocean conditions. Based on current market conditions, an all-
inclusive charter rate of USD 100,000/day is anticipated for a charter period of 5
to 10 years.
The OPEX costs for the mooring systems, transfer tower, riser and subsea
pipeline is estimated at 1% of CAPEX for the considered period of about 10
years.
Based on above, OPEX per year will be in the rage of 30 to 40 Million USD.
Administration 4
Operational 6
Total 10
It is assumed that the FSRU lease includes costs for fuel, supply vessels needed
for goods as well as crew exchange etc.
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The construction schedule would be similar for the aerial transfer tower and the
subsea pipeline and will depend on the availability of a suitable pipelay vessel for
the subsea pipeline. The schedule required for the spread mooring and MBM
supply and installation should be less than 6 months.
A long lead item will be the pipeline. The delivery duration estimate from date of
order, including fabrication, for the pipeline system components (incl. coating,
concrete covers, bends, flanges, etc.) will likely be 12-15 months. However, the
delivery time may be reduced if the pipe can be sourced from worldwide stocks.
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One option is to transfer the regasified gas into a pipeline inside the Ca Mau
pipeline corridor. Any interruption in gas supply from the FSRU due to weather
conditions will not be critical as the supply will continue from offshore. Another
option is to transfer the gas in a 30-60 km long subsea pipeline connecting the
FSRU to shore.
The gas is targeted for Ca Mau (but it could also be for O Mon if in the future a
Ca Mau - O Mon LNG link will be constructed).
Table 8-2 High and low extreme total water levels for Site 7-Ca Mau Area
Ca Mau Area -0.76 -0.74 -0.75 -0.76 -0.77 -0.78 +0.93 +0.98 +1.00 +1.04 +1.08 +1.13
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Figure 8.1 Current rose for Site 7-Ca Mau Area (for near sea surface current speed)
based on GROW-Fine hindcast data.
Table 8-3 Directional extreme current speeds for Site 7-Ca Mau Area
There are two main wind directions, from eastern directions (within NE-SE) and
south western directions (within SW-W), as indicated in Figure 8.2. Normal wind
speeds can be up to 12 m/s.
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The site is less exposed to typhoons than Sites 1 and 3. Seven typhoons have
been recorded within a radius of 100 km from the site since 1961. The extreme
wind statistics are presented in Table 8-4.
Figure 8.2 Wind rose for Site 7-Ca Mau based on GROW-Fine hindcast data (1 hour
average wind speed at 10 m height).
Table 8-4 Omni-directional extreme wind speeds (m/s) for Site 7-Ca Mau Area (1
hour average wind speed at 10 m height).
The extreme significant wave height for a return period of 100 year is
Hm0,100=4.3 m, as indicated in Table 8-5.
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For the case where the significant wave is less than 2.0 m and the peak wave
period is less than 8 s the probability of a weather window of 24 hours is ≈99%
in October-December, as shown in Table 8-7
Further, for a weather window of 24 hours the probability for a peak wave period
less than 8 s is ≈100% in each month through the year.
Figure 8.3 Wave rose for significant wave height for Site 7-Ca Mau Area, based on
GROW-Fine hindcast data.
Figure 8.4 Scatter diagram for significant wave height and mean wave direction for
Site 7-Ca Mau Area, based on GROW-Fine hindcast data.
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Figure 8.5 Scatter diagram for peak wave period and mean wave direction for Site 7-
Ca Mau Area, based on GROW-Fine hindcast data.
Table 8-5 Extreme significant wave height (m), for Site 7-Ca Mau Area, based on
extreme value analysis of GROW-Fine hindcast data.
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Table 8-6 Monthly probability of finding a single weather window starting in the given
month with a significant wave height less than 1.5 m and peak wave
period less than 8 s, for Site 7-Ca Mau Area, based on GROW-Fine hindcast
data
Window Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2 hrs 97.3 98.0 98.6 99.7 99.7 99.3 98.9 97.2 98.4 97.8 97.6 95.7
4 hrs 96.5 97.4 98.2 99.6 99.7 99.2 98.7 96.9 98.2 97.6 97.1 94.8
6 hrs 95.6 96.8 97.7 99.5 99.6 99.1 98.6 96.6 98.0 97.4 96.6 93.9
18 hrs 90.9 93.3 95.1 98.8 99.5 98.5 97.7 95.1 96.8 96.4 93.7 88.8
24 hrs 89.1 92.0 94.1 98.5 99.4 98.3 97.3 94.4 96.3 95.9 92.5 86.8
36 hrs 86.0 89.9 92.6 98.1 99.3 97.7 96.6 93.2 95.1 95.0 90.1 83.4
Table 8-7 Monthly probability of finding a single weather window starting in the given
month with a significant wave height less than 2.0 m and peak wave
period less than 8 s, for Site 7-Ca Mau Area, based on GROW-Fine hindcast
data
Window Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2 hrs ≈100 ≈100 * * * 99.9 99.9 99.6 ≈100 99.5 99.8 99.6
4 hrs ≈100 ≈100 ≈100 * * 99.9 99.9 99.6 99.9 99.4 99.8 99.5
6 hrs ≈100 ≈100 ≈100 * * 99.9 99.9 99.6 99.9 99.4 99.7 99.5
18 hrs 99.9 99.9 ≈100 * * 99.8 99.8 99.4 99.8 99.1 99.4 99.1
24 hrs 99.9 99.8 ≈100 * * 99.7 99.8 99.4 99.8 99.0 99.2 99.0
36 hrs 99.8 99.7 99.9 * * 99.6 99.7 99.2 99.7 98.7 98.9 98.7
Based on experience from previously projects in the area it is assumed that the
top layer consists of fine materials in terms of silt and clay.
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› The ships are berthed in a position parallel to the main wind direction, in
order to reduce the static mooring loads. The ships are heading 45⁰N
against the direction where the strongest current comes from.
› Wind will act almost parallel to ship during berthing, transfer and
unberthing.
› Current will act with an angle of ≈45⁰ to ship during berthing, transfer and
unberthing.
Figure 8.6 Proposed terminal alignment for Site 7-Ca Mau Area (shown for a
conventional mooring solution)
› Submerged Soft Yoke (SSY) Mooring of the FSRU with the LNGC moored
alongside with STS transfer from LNGC, and subsea pipeline will tap into
existing subsea pipeline in the Ca Mau corridor or new pipeline to shore, as
depicted in Figure 8.7
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Figure 8.7 Submerged Soft Yoke (SSY) Mooring (image from NOV-APL)
› Restricted Catenary Mooring (RCM) of the FSRU with the LNGC moored
alongside with STS transfer and subsea pipeline will tap into existing subsea
pipeline in the Ca Mau corridor or new pipeline to shore, as depicted in
Figure 8.8.
› The mooring lines fore and aft are pushed downward prior to extending
laterally to their catenary configuration, to allow for berthing of the
LNGC in a nested configuration without compromising the mooring
system
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Figure 8.8 Restricted Catenary Mooring System (image from CAN Systems)
Explanation:
› Winds and waves are seasonally 180° opposite and aligned, making this site
a good candidate for STS transfer and thus a cost-effective solution.
› The limits of the RCM system described in Table 4-8 are applicable for this
site as well. From Table 4-8, the limit of Hs<1.5 m will control this site,
based on waves predominately <8 s.
› For STS transfer from LNGC to FSRU, the probability of a 24-30 hour time
slot with Hs<1.5 m and Tp<8 s in the Dec - Jan period would likely be in
the 85-90% range. In Nov and Feb/Mar the probability would likely be in
the 90-95% range. Thus conducting STS transfers at this location is
deemed reliable using the RCM system.
› It should be noted there are no operating FSRU berths that use spread
moorings such as RCM, though such projects are under development at the
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VIETNAM FSRU 101
time of the writing of this report. The design of this unique system requires
special expertise to properly handle the mooring issues in a cost-effective
manner.
› For the RCM system, the mooring for the FSRU would need to be
disconnectable. Though the design typhoon conditions are within the
theoretical limits of the RCM system, this does not account for the
possibility of the eye of the storm passing directly over the terminal. In
such a circumstance the winds and waves directions would be chaotic and
the FSRU captain would likely take the decision to protect the ship by
departing the berth. Fortunately, this would likely be a rare event. The RCM
can be disconnected in a controlled manner in about 8 hrs, but could be
released in an emergency condition within about 20 minutes.
› The FSRU could be a converted Moss LNGC for sloshing resilience, but this
would likely limit storage capacity to <150,000 m³. Alternatively, a
membrane FSRU with reinforced tanks may work, but would require further
vetting/sloshing studies.
› The LNGC could likely be any available vessel supply carrier year-round with
minimal sloshing concerns, though precautions may be required during the
winter months.
› Water depths in the 20 m range would be appropriate for the RCM System.
The RCM system has been tested in as little as 17m water depths. But for
the SSY weathervaning system, water depths of 22-23 m are
recommended.
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One option is to transfer the regasified gas into a pipeline inside the Ca Mau
pipeline corridor. A pipeline length of 4 km is assumed between the FSRU and an
existing pipeline (for both options of a RCM or SSY moored FSRU).
Another option is to transfer the gas to a pipeline running from the FSRU vessel
to an onshore facility. A pipeline length of 31 km has been considered for a RCM
moored FRSU at a position with water depth 19.4mCD (20 mMSL), whereas a
pipeline length of 59 km has been considered for a SSY moored FRSU at a
position with water depth 22.0 mCD, as indicated in Figure 8.9. Method as
described for Site 1.
Figure 8.9 Pipeline lengths for Site 7- Cau Mau for the case where a gas pipeline is
running from the FSRU vessel to an onshore facility.
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A pipeline with outer diameter of 24 inch (610 mm) would be required for the
transportation of a flowrate of 750 mmscfd dry gas.
Pending the project material philosophy, carbon steel qualified for full sour
service (X52 or X60) will be used for the gas pipeline. In general, the material
selected will be based on chemical and mechanical stability for the selected
design life.
Proposed characteristic and operational data for the gas pipeline are
summarized in Table 8-9 and Table 8-10.
Characteristics Values
Corrosion Allowance 0 mm
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The gas from the FSRU is transported to an existing subsea gas pipeline. The
connection is planned to be performed by a hot-tap solution as described in
section 5.5.1 and shown in Figure 5.7.
› The tie-in method will comprise flanged spool/PLEM and hot-tap assembly.
An expansion spool will be used for connection at each end.
› The water depth along the new subsea pipeline route varies from 18 to 19.5
mCD.
› The soil conditions along the route consist in general of fine materials in
terms of silt and sand and is suitable for ploughing and trenching.
Based on high values of the extreme current and waves it is recommended that
the pipeline is laid in an open trench and the excavated soil will protect the
pipeline at the sea bottom against current, as indicated in Figure 4.8.
The offshore pipeline will typically be installed by a shallow water lay barge, as
shown in Figure 4.9.
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› At FSRU – site
The tie-in at FSRU will be by 2 off spools arrangement. The spools will
connected to the end of pipeline and required PLEM riser. The spools will be
designed to accommodate pipeline installation and operational loads from
the pipeline system.
The tie-in consists of a hot-tap assembly and tie-in with crossover spool
towards a PLEM, as described in section 5.5.1. Spool tie-in also between
PLEM and connecting pipeline. The size of the branch shall be decided based
on the flow requirements and the size of the existing gas pipeline.
A description of the pipeline installation for the option with transfer in a subsea
pipeline to an onshore facility is presented in Section 4.5.2.
The estimates presented herein are intended to be used for concept screening
and are based on experience with similar global projects. The accuracy of the
estimates is estimated to be ±25%.
The cost estimates exclude VAT and other duties which might be added in
Vietnam.
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8.6.1 CAPEX
A summary of CAPEX estimates for Site 7 – Ca Mau is provided in Table 8-11.
The site is intended to be located nearshore in water depths of 20-25 m or
more, such that no dredging is required. All costs are presented as installed
costs and are intended to be conservative estimates.
Site 7 – Ca Mau
(Million USD)
Material Supply
Flexible riser 10 10 10 10
Option 1 77 72
Subsea pipeline, with hot-tap and 4
km pipeline
Option 2, Alt. 1 70
Subsea pipeline, 31 km to shore from
20 m depth, including shore crossing
8.6.2 OPEX
OPEX estimates assume an FSRU in the 177,000 m³ storage capacity range,
with reinforced membrane tanks. A sloshing study is recommended to confirm
suitability of this vessel class semi-permanently moored and considering the
site-specific metocean conditions. Based on current market conditions, an all-
inclusive charter rate of USD 100,000/day is anticipated for a charter period of 5
to 10 years.
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The OPEX costs for the mooring systems, transfer tower, riser and subsea
pipeline is estimated at 1% of CAPEX for the considered period of about 10
years.
Based on above, OPEX per year will be in the rage of 30 to 40 Million USD.
Administration 4
Operational 6
Total 10
It is assumed that the FSRU lease includes costs for fuel, supply vessels needed
for goods as well as crew exchange etc.
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Long lead items will be the SSY mooring system, pipeline (incl. coating, concrete
covers, bends, flanges, etc.) and hot-tap assembly and equipment (incl. valve,
gooseneck, PLEM, spool, PLR, etc.).
The RCM mooring system by CAN Systems could potentially save 6 months of
the schedule for delivery of SSY mooring system.
The delivery duration estimate from date of order, including fabrication, for the
pipeline will likely be 12-18 months. The subsea pipeline installation and burial
will likely require 6-9 months, depending on the availability of a suitable pipelay
vessel.
The delivery duration estimate from date of order, including fabrication, for the
hot-tap assembly and equipment will likely be up to 24 months.
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9 Son My Site
Son My was not selected as one of the optimum locations for siting an LNG
import terminal. The primary reason is the water depths offshore Son My are
shallow compared to Site 1–Mui Ke Ga, so Site 1 is deemed preferable due to
the shorter subsea pipeline required. However, this brief assessment of the Son
My site is included herein to assess the potential site at a high level, without
cost estimates.
Six power plants (Son My I #1-3 and Son My II #1-3) are being planned in the
Bình Thuận province on the southern coast of Vietnam, each with a capacity of
750 MW using imported LNG (according to Ref. /1/, Table 3.4). If about 22,000
m³ LNG/day is required, an LNG delivery has to be scheduled about once a
week. Son My does not have a pipeline connection to the existing network and
would thus be reliant on continuous supply from a FSRU or onshore storage
tanks.
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Figure 9.2 Location of proposed LNG terminal at Son My, including bathymetric data,
from Ref. /1/.
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Figure 9.3 General layout of Son My LNG Terminal as proposed by Ref. /1/.
The CAPEX of constructing the planned trestle, breakwater and dredged channel
would be very high – much higher than the FSRU alternatives considered for
Sites 1, 3, 4, 5 and 7.
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If Son My is the location of the planned power plant, the cost of an FSRU
moored off Son My should be comparable to the costs of an FSRU at Site 1 – Mui
Ke Ga. An FSRU at Son My would require a longer subsea pipeline than Site 1,
but the need for an onshore pipeline from Site 1 to Son My would be eliminated.
The following conclusions can be reached with regard to LNG import at Son My:
• If the power plant could be sited near Site 1 rather than Son My, the
cost would be lower due to the shorter subsea pipeline required
• If the power plant must be located at Son My, an FSRU solution could
still be feasible and likely cost-effective under two scenarios: a) FSRU off
the coast at Son My or b) FSRU off the coast of Site 1 with onshore
pipeline to Son My.
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Technical
CAPEX
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O&M
Plant Performance
All options are assumed to supply a greenfield 1,500 MW CCGT power plant
running at base load, which presents the most favourable technical case for the
economic competitiveness of LNG-to-power in Vietnam. Such a plant could
achieve a net heat rate of 6,516 BTU per kWh (HHV) at an annual capacity
factor of 70%, consistent with the performance of existing CCGT plants in
Vietnam.1 The power plant would consume approximately 60 trillion BTU per
year of natural gas.
CAPEX
For all FSRU options, the power plant EPC cost is estimated at USD 750 USD per
kW, or USD 1,125 million for a 1,500 MW plant. The EPC cost includes all major
components, including interconnection with the grid at a nearby location. Project
development and financing costs are estimated at 12% of the EPC costs,
comprising Owner’s costs (5%) and financing expenses, including interest during
construction (IDC) (7%). Owner’s costs include advisory fees, environmental
and site studies, permitting and application fees, and developer’s fees.
The cost of land for the power plant and associated facilities is not included in
the cost estimates.
The costs of gas pipelines (onshore and offshore) from the FSRU to the plant
sites have been included in the delivered cost of gas, and these are included in
the fuel charge component of the LCOE.
O&M
Annual fixed O&M is estimated at USD 23,200 per MW per year,2 equal to
approximately USD 34.8 million annually for a 1,500 MW plant. Variable O&M is
estimated to be USD 0.13 per MWh,3 equal to USD 1.2 million annually. The
1
Based on an estimated 60% thermal efficiency (LHV) for CCGT with a 6%
penalty for 70% load factor, converted to HHV at 1.1 to 1 for natural gas.
2
Danish Energy Agency, “Technology Catalogue for the Vietnamese Power
Sector,” 12 September 2018, 21-24.
3
Danish Energy Agency, 21-24.
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costs of starts are estimated to be USD 1.4 million annually, based on 12 starts
per year at a cost of USD 80 per MW per start.4
Site 1 – Mui Ke Ga
Site 1 is not located near any major existing power plants or substations. We
present two potential power plant options for Site 1:
• Option 1a: CCGT plant is located at Son My, and gas is supplied by an
onshore pipeline which runs 37 km to the site.
Option 1a
In this option, the power plant would be located at Son My, requiring a new gas
pipeline of 37 km at a cost of USD 74 million.
Figure 10.1 Site 1a: Power Plant Location and Gas Pipeline
Option 1b
The power plant would be located in undeveloped land near to the shore,
requiring a short onshore gas pipeline (1 km) and a new 220 kV transmission
line connecting the site to the nearest substation at Phan Thiet (35 km).
The offshore pipeline (in yellow below) would run 1,700 m and cost USD 50
million. The onshore pipeline (in orange) would run 1,000 m and cost USD 2
million. The blue outline represents the area of consideration for locating the
new CCGT plant.
4
Danish Energy Agency, 21-24.
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Figure 10.2 Site 1b: Power Plant Location and Gas Pipeline
The figure below illustrates the potential transmission line route from the site to
the Phan Thiet substation. The cost of the transmission line is estimated to be
USD 30 million based on a unit cost of USD 850,000 per km of 220 kV line (incl.
rights-of-way).
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The development of a new power plant on Long Son Island will require a new
onshore gas pipeline of approximately 29.5 km at a cost of USD 59 million. The
pipeline will need to bypass waterways and dense residential areas as much as
possible, which increases the required distance, as shown in the figure below.
The grid interconnection for Long Son Island is assumed to fall within the CAPEX
budget of USD 750 per kW without requiring any additional transmission costs.
Similar to Site 3, the grid interconnection for Long Son Island is assumed to fall
within the CAPEX budget of USD 750 per kW without requiring any additional
transmission costs.
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The figure below presents a possible pipeline route from Site 5 to the power
plant. The subsea pipeline (yellow) runs 42 km to the shore, where it connects
to the onshore pipeline (orange) which runs 15 km to the power plant.
Site 5 requires a new transmission line to connect the power plant to the nearest
220 kV substation in Bac Lieu. The line would run approximately 6.8 km and
cost USD 6 million.
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The Unit Price of Gas is the lifetime average cost of LNG from the FSRU
delivered to the plant boundary as dry pipeline gas. The Unit Price of Gas is the
sum of four components:
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As described in previous sections for each option, the FSRU Charter Rate is
estimated to be 80,000 USD/day for a converted FSRU and 100,000 USD/day for
a new FSRU. The LCOE estimates presented herein assume the use of a
converted FSRU. Owner’s costs are estimated to be USD 10 million per year.
As stated above, annual gas demand for the power plant is estimated to be 60
trillion BTU per year.
The capital recovery cost per year is estimated using an annuity of the total
CAPEX (mooring + dredging + riser and topsides + LNG transfer + 12% soft
costs) over an expected gas supply period of 20 years at a 12% cost of capital.
The OPEX for the mooring component is estimated as 1% of the CAPEX per year
plus any annual dredging costs (annual dredging applicable to Site 4 only).
The capital recovery cost per year is estimated using an annuity of the total
CAPEX (offshore pipeline + onshore pipeline + 12% soft costs) over an expected
gas supply period of 20 years at a 12% cost of capital.
The OPEX for the pipeline component is estimated as 1% of the CAPEX per year.
The LNG ex-ship price is assumed to be indexed to oil with a slope-price index
formula and no intercept. Based on current market dynamics in East Asia, LNG
supplied to Vietnam would most likely be sourced from Qatar or Australia. From
current market conditions and informal consultations with potential suppliers,
the ex-ship price is estimated as follows:
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10.2.3 O&M
The O&M Charge is estimated as the sum of Fixed O&M and Variable O&M. Fixed
O&M is estimated to be USD 34.8 million per year using a unit cost of USD
23,200 per MW per year. Variable O&M is assumed to be USD 0.13 per MWh.
The cost of starts is estimated to be USD 1.4 million per year at USD 80 per MW
per start and with 12 starts per year.
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By far, the fuel charge is the most significant driver of the LCOE, being
approximately 3.5 times larger than the capacity charge and 15 times larger
than the O&M charge. This is a typical cost breakdown for a CCGT power plant.
All sites have comparable LCOE figures, although Sites 1b and 4 have the lowest
electricity prices. Site 1b and Site 5 demonstrate a common trade-off of power
plant siting: power transmission is often cheaper than gas pipeline, making it
more cost-effective to locate a power plant close to the gas source, rather than
building a long pipeline to a distant site. Site 1b and Site 5 each have higher
transmission costs (USD 30 million and USD 6 million), resulting in higher
capacity charges compared with other sites. These capacity charges, however,
are more than offset by lower delivered gas prices at the plant boundary. Site 4
benefits from a short gas pipeline and no additional transmission costs.
Table 10-3 Unit Price of Gas @ Plant Boundary. Figures in USD per MMBTU.
Site 7 has the lowest mooring charge due to its lower CAPEX requirement. This
cost advantage is partially offset, however, by a significant pipeline cost (both
subsea and onshore). Site 1b and Site 4 have shorter gas pipelines, resulting in
a cost savings of USD 0.20 per MMBTU in the delivered gas price. Sites 1a and 3
have slightly higher expected costs compared to the other two options.
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While Site 1b appears to offer the lowest unit price for gas (and lowest LCOE
along with Site 4), all six sites are very close in unit cost, and LCOE differences
among all sites are well within the margin of error in this estimate. Thus, all five
sites appear to have similar economic viability, and a more detailed cost
estimate and analysis of implementation risks (particularly regarding power
plant siting, pipeline routing, and grid interconnection) would be required in
order to identify a preferred site for an LNG-to-power project.
The LNG supply market is changing, however, and LNG suppliers are offering
greater flexibility and competitive pricing at smaller supply quantities. A number
of LNG projects are operational or planned which would provide gas for seasonal
consumption, or for mid-merit power plants. One prominent example of such a
project is the LNG import terminal operated by SPEC in Cartagena, Colombia.
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VIETNAM FSRU 125
We have estimated the LCOE for a CCGT operating in mid-merit with the
following assumptions:
• Capacity factor of 40% per year (down from 70% at base load)
• Heat rate of 6,655 BTU per kWh (up from 6,516 BTU per kWh due to an
additional 2% penalty for lower load factor)
• 365 starts per year (assuming one start per day vs. one start per month
if operating at base load).
The LCOE increases from USD 85 per MWh to USD 117 per MWh from base load
to mid-merit. At USD 117 per MWh, the CCGT operating on LNG is still cost-
effective compared to mid-merit diesel generation.
The reduction in capacity factor results in a 75% increase in the capacity charge
compared to base load generation, while the increase from monthly to daily
starts results in a 370% increase in O&M charges. The heat rate penalty (and
lower gas demand through the LNG terminal) results in an 11% increase in the
fuel charge compared to base load operations.
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Oil Price Site 1a: Site 1b: Site 3: Site 4: Site 5: Site 7:
(USD / bbl) Mui Ke Ga Mui Ke Ga Long Hai Vinh Ganh Vinh Chau Ca Mau
(Son My) (Phan Thiet) Rai
Table 10-5 Oil Prices vs. Unit Gas Price @ Plant Boundary (USD per MMBTU)
Oil Price Site 1a: Site 1b: Site 3: Site 4: Site 5: Site 7:
(USD / bbl) Mui Ke Ga Mui Ke Ga Long Hai Vinh Ganh Vinh Chau Ca Mau
(Son My) (Phan Thiet) Rai
As expected, LNG to power becomes very attractive at low oil prices, and less
competitive with high oil prices. If operating in mid-merit, LNG-fired power
plants would likely maintain competitiveness against diesel, as diesel prices
would also rise and fall with oil prices. At base load, LNG-fired power plants
would vary in competitiveness against non-petroleum sources such as coal and
hydropower.
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VIETNAM FSRU 127
Table 10-6 Changes in Power Plant CAPEX vs. LCOE (USD per MWh)
Table 10-7 Changes in LNG Terminal + Pipeline CAPEX vs. LCOE (USD per MWh)
Changes in CAPEX result in only moderate changes in LCOE. Power plant CAPEX
has a much larger impact on LCOE compared to the CAPEX for the LNG terminal
and gas pipeline.
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11 LNG-to-shore options
This section focuses on assessing the possibility to have LNG transferred to
onshore for each of the five locations studied for mooring of an FSRU in southern
Vietnam. The premise for this initiative is that major part of the LNG is
regasified and a smaller part transferred as LNG to shore for distribution to
industrial users.
› Potential options
› Review of options
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The identified options for getting LNG onshore are described in the following for
two main principles, one being through pipeline at the location of the FSRU and
one transporting the LNG to a site with a receiving terminal where LNG can be
transferred onshore.
The ship-to-ship (STS) transfer from the FSRU to a smaller vessel, as discussed
in the options below, will be the limiting factor for operation. STS may not be
feasible at exposed locations as they will be seasonally unreliable.
A floating transfer system could, for example, be the Connect LNG UTS system,
the Houlder Marine/Wartsila system, or the 7Seas ATS solution. All options can
be applied in sheltered water and over shorter distances. The Universal Transfer
System (UTS) is shown in Figure 11.3.
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VIETNAM FSRU 131
Pipeline to shore
The FSRU for Site 3, Site 5 and Site 7 is moored too far offshore for considering
a pipeline solution on a trestle. For Site 1, it could be technically feasible but it is
a too expensive solution for a small volume of LNG to be supplied to industrial
customers.
It is concluded that for an FSRU moored at any of the four exposed sites,
transfer of LNG to shore through a cryogenic pipeline is not feasible.
If the seasonally unreliable supply can be dealt with, this option might be
possible for the four exposed sites. This will require a potential at-shore location
for a jetty or an MBM mooring system with floating transfer system within a
reasonable distance (i.e. around 100 km) from the moored FSRU.
Pipeline to shore
Transfer from an FSRU moored about 4 km off the shore using a cryogenic
pipeline on a trestle would not be economical feasible.
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Receiving terminal
The three previously outlined options using STS transfer from an FSRU to either
a small LNGC or a barge would be feasible in the protected harbour where Site 4
is located:
Vinh Ganh Rai is an industrial area and thus will be suited for LNG to shore to
industrial users.
LNGC data
Table 11-1 Characteristics of LNGC
Small-Scale LNGC
Locations
Considering an LNGC with a capacity of 40,000 m³, the water depth at the jetty
should be at least 11 m and the water depth for a MBM system at least 11 m in
a distance 500 to 600 m from shore.
Considering an LNGC with a capacity of 7,500 m³ the water depth at the jetty
should be at least 7 m and the water depth for a MBM system at least 7 m at a
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distance 500 to 600 m from shore. For the four offshore sites it is assessed that
STS transfer to a small 7,500 m³ LNGC will be unreliable and is not considered
further.
For an FSRU moored at Site 1 – Mui Ke Ga, a receiving terminal could be located
at Phan Thiet which already has a small port. The port is too small and shallow
to accommodate a 40,000 m³ LNGC.
For an FSRU moored at Site 3 – Long Hai, a receiving terminal could be located
in one of the small ports along the southern coastline. However, also for these
sites the water is too shallow and it is concluded that this option is not feasible
for a 40,000 m³ LNGC. Serving a receiving terminal inside Vinh Ganh Rai could
be possible, however, the number of sites for mooring of a 40,000 m³ LNGC are
limited and not considered further in this study.
For an FSRU moored at Site 5 – Vinh Chau, a receiving terminal could be located
inside the rivers along the southern coastline. However, also for these sites the
water is too shallow and it is concluded that this option is not feasible for a
40,000 m³ LNGC.
For an FSRU moored at Site 7 – Ca Mau Area, all port facilities in the vicinity are
located inside rivers. The limited water depths in the rivers will not be able to
accommodate a 40,000 m³ LNGC.
It is concluded that no optimal option is found for transfer of LNG to shore from
an FSRU moored at any of the exposed sites.
Barge data
A typical Floating Storage Barge is shown in Figure 11.4 and characteristics of a
typical FSB is given in Table 11-2.
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134 VIETNAM FSRU
FSB
Breadth, B (m) 16
The dimension of a barge for ISO containers could have about the same
dimensions as indicated above for a FSB.
Locations
Two LNGC sizes are considered as previously described for the exposed sites,
and the restrictions to the water depths will be 11 m for the 40,000 m³ LNGC
and 7 m for the 7,500 m³ LNG.
Costs of a jetty or a MBM with a floating transfer system for mooring of a LNGC
will be higher than using a barge with ISO containers or a floating storage
barge. Further, the number of possible locations for mooring of an LNGC will be
less than for the barges with limited draft. Therefore, the small-scale LNGC
option will not be considered further in this study.
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An existing quay structure can be used for offloading LNG from the FSB to trucks
or containers. Alternatively, a new quay or small platform can be constructed at
a suitable site for delivery to industrial customers.
Concept
The barge with ISO containers or a storage tank can be moored along the FSRU
in periods without the LNGC, or alternative it can be moored on the other side of
the platform. Transfer of LNG from the FSRU to ISO containers or storage tank
will take place via flexible cryogenic hoses connecting to a piping and manifold
system on the barge.
The barge has a length of about 60m and the required quay length for handling
of ISO containers will depend on the mooring arrangement at the site. A quay
length of 100 m is considered to be adequate, as shown in below figure showing
a harbour facility for offloading of ISO containers. Each barge can carry 30
containers (40 ft) in one layer, it is assumed that another 90 containers will be
required to optimise the transport to shore. Each container has a volume of
about 41 m³. Reach stacker, mobile crane or a barge crane on rails can be used
for handling of the ISO containers.
A FSB will only require a small mooring platform (15*20m) and a couple of
mooring dolphins. A truck loading station will be required at the mooring
platform.
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Cost estimates
An high level estimate of the CAPEX for the two concepts was prepared. The
costs cover LNG to shore without allowance for storage facilities or trucking to
possible industrial users.
Quay 5
Container crane 5
Total 43.5
Floating storage
barge
Cost element (Million USD)
Total 55
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This assumes the barge is purchased and thus considered as CAPEX. It is also
possible to treat the barge as OPEX under a charter arrangement.
Owner's annual costs for operation of the facility will be about 3 MUSD.
The maintenance costs for the mooring arrangement and quay including transfer
systems is estimated at 1% of CAPEX for the considered period of about 10
years where the maintenance requirements will be limited.
• Navigational issues
Establishing the basis for the concept development is important, i.e. data on
customers and their consumption of LNG.
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12 References
/1/ Petrovietnam Engineering J.S.C, Port and Waterway
Engineering Consultant J.S.C
Data Collection Survey on Natural Gas, Development and LNG Import
To Vietnam, Final Report
.
/2/ EnergyQuest
Vietnam Natural Gas Profile
February 2011.
/3/ PIANC
Report no. 121, Harbour Approach Channels, Design Guidelines
2014.
/4/ Qatargas Operating Company Limited
Ship/Shore Interface Document, Vessel Data , 204000028100016th
edition
Sept. 2006.
/5/ COWI
Vietnam FSRU Study. Metocean study
Nov. 2018.
/6/ IC & C – BENC – DAINAM JOINT VENTURE
LNG Terminal Selection Study, Son My, Binh Thuan, Vietnam.
Geotechnical Survey. March-April 2011.
Draft of Geotechnical report, April 2011.
/7/ ISO 21809-1
Petroleum, External coating for buried or submerged pipelines used in
pipeline transportation systems
.
/8/ IC & C – BENC – DAI NAM JOINT VENTURE
LNG Terminal Selection Study, Phu Long, Ba Ria – Vung Tau,
Vietnam, Geotectnical Survey March–April 2011
Geotechnical Report Rev.1.
/9/ GIZ - Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale
Zusammenarbeit GmbH
Integrated Coastal Protection and Mangrove Belt Rehabilitation in the
Mekong Delta. Pre-feasibility study for investments in coastal
protection along 480 kilometers in the Mekong Delta
.
/10/ DNVGL
ST-F101, Submarine Pipeline Systems,
October 2017 (Amended Dec 2017).
/11/ ISO 21457
Petroleum, petrochemical and natural gas industries Materials
selection and corrosion control for oil and gas production systems
September 2010.
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